NJ CC Poll Topline Results November 12

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    Princeton Survey Research Associates International

    November 2012 Omnibus Week 2

    November 2012 Omnibus Week 2

    Princeton Survey Research Associates International for

    National Journal

    Final Topline ResultsNovember 12, 2012

    Total: 1,000 adults age 18 and older

    Margin of error: Plus or minus 3.7 percentage points

    Interviewing dates: November 8-11, 2012

    LANDLINE INTRO:

    Hello, my name is ________ and I'm calling for Princeton Survey Research. Were

    conducting a study about some important issues today, and would like to includeyour household. RANDOMIZE RESPONDENT SELECTION - DO NOT RANDOMIZE BY

    FORM: May I please speak with the YOUNGEST ADULT MALE, age 18 or older, whois now at home? AND May I please speak with the YOUNGEST ADULT FEMALE,age 18 or older, who is now at home? IF NO MALE/FEMALE ASK: May I please

    speak with the YOUNGEST ADULT FEMALE/MALE, age 18 or older, who is now at

    home?

    CELL PHONE INTRO:

    Hello, I am ___ calling for Princeton Survey Research. We are conducting a national

    study of cell phone users. I know I am calling you on a cell phone. This is not asales call. (IF R SAYS DRIVING/UNABLE TO TAKE CALL: Thank you. We will try you

    another time...)

    CELL PHONE SCREENING INTERVIEW:

    S1. Are you under 18 years old, OR are you 18 or older?

    1 Under 18

    2 18 or older9 Dont know/Refused

    IF S1=2, CONTINUE WITH MAIN INTERVIEWIF S1=1,9, THANK AND TERMINATE: This study is limited to adults age 18 and

    over. I wont take any more of your time...

    READ TO ALL CELL PHONE - INTRODUCTION TO MAIN INTERVIEW: Were

    interested in learning more about people with cell phones. If you are now driving acar or doing any activity requiring your full attention, I need to call you back later.

    The first question is...

    Notes: Due to rounding, percentages may not add to 100. An asterisk (*) indicatesvalues less than 0.5%.

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    Page 2

    Princeton Survey Research Associates International

    November 2012 Omnibus Week 2

    ASK ALL

    CC1. Some experts believe there are as many as 11 million illegal immigrants in

    the United States today. Which ONE of the following steps, if any, do you

    think the government should take to deal with illegal immigrants? [READ 1-3

    IN ORDER FOR HALF SAMPLE, READ IN REVERSE ORDER FOR OTHER HALF

    SAMPLE]{May 3-6, 2012 Omni}

    Nov

    8-11

    2012

    May

    3-6

    2012

    Dec

    1-4

    2011

    17 Deport ALL illegal immigrants, no matter how

    long they have been in the U.S.

    17 25

    43 Deport SOME, but allow those who have been

    here for many years and have broken no other

    laws to stay here legally [OR]

    44 39

    33 Allow ALL illegal immigrants to stay, providedthey have broken no other laws and commit to

    learning English and U.S. history

    33 28

    3 None of the above [VOL. DO NOT READ] 3 5

    4 Dont know/Refused [VOL. DO NOT READ] 4 3

    ASK ALLCC2. Scientists have linked emissions of carbon dioxide and other gases to global

    climate change. Do you believe that global climate change is increasing the

    likelihood that the U.S. will be hit by storms such as Hurricane Sandy which

    recently caused major damage along the east coast? {new}

    Nov

    8-112012

    Yes 57No 34

    Dont know/Refused (VOL.) 8

    ASK THOSE WHO RESPONDED YES TO CC2 (CC2=1)

    CC3. Has the Hurricane made you believe that Congress and the President should

    address climate change more urgently even if it means enacting regulationsthat some say could raise the cost of electricity and other energy? {new}

    Based on those who believe climate change is increasing storms (n=557)

    Nov

    8-11

    2012

    Yes 74

    No 20

    Dont know/Refused (VOL.) 6

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    Page 3

    Princeton Survey Research Associates International

    November 2012 Omnibus Week 2

    ASK ALL

    CC4. Over the coming months, HOW IMPORTANT is it for Congress to act on each

    of the following? First, is passing legislation to [INSERT ITEM; RANDOMIZE]

    very important, somewhat important, not too important or not at all

    important? What about legislation to [NEXT ITEM]? (IF NECESSARY: Is

    passing legislation to [ITEM] very, somewhat, not too, or not at allimportant?) {April 12-15, 2012 Omni}

    Very

    important

    Somewhat

    important

    Not too

    important

    Not at all

    important

    (VOL.)

    Oppose/

    not

    needed/Should

    not be

    done

    (VOL.Dont

    know/

    Refuse

    a. Reduce the federalbudget deficit

    Nov 8-11,2012 75 18 2 2 0 3Apr 12-15, 2012 73 17 4 3 * 2

    Jul 8-11, 2010 70 20 4 3 * 3

    b. Address the jobsituation

    Nov 8-11,2012 86 10 1 1 * 1

    Apr 12-15, 2012 79 14 2 2 * 2

    Jul 8-11, 2010 80 12 2 3 * 2

    May 13-16, 2010 81 13 2 2 * 2

    c. Address immigrationpolicy

    Nov 8-11,2012 48 39 9 2 * 1Apr 12-15, 2012 46 34 12 6 * 2

    Jul 8-11, 2010 63 24 5 5 1 2

    May 13-16, 2010 59 27 8 4 * 2

    d. Address the countrysenergy needs

    Nov 8-11,2012 69 24 3 2 * 2

    Apr 12-15, 2012 64 26 5 3 * 2

    Jul 8-11, 2010 66 25 3 3 1 2

    May 13-16, 2010 67 25 4 3 * 2

    e. Improve publiceducation

    Nov 8-11,2012 76 16 3 3 * 2

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    Page 4

    Princeton Survey Research Associates International

    November 2012 Omnibus Week 2

    ASK ALL

    CC5. Over the coming months, HOW LIKELY do you think it is that Congress and

    President Obama WILL agree on legislation on each of the following? First,

    how likely do you think it is that Congress and the President WILL agree on

    legislation to [INSERT ITEM; RANDOMIZE]? Very likely, somewhat likely, not

    too likely, or not at all likely? What about legislation to [NEXT ITEM]? (IFNECESSARY: How likely is it that Congress and the President will agree on

    legislation to [ITEM]? Very, somewhat, not too, or not at all likely?) {April

    12-15, 2012 Omni}

    ASK ALL

    CC6. Who do you trust more to deal effectively with the problems facing thecountry in the coming months [READ AND RANDOMIZE] {new}

    Nov

    8-11

    2012

    Congressional Republicans [or] 32

    President Obama and CongressionalDemocrats

    50

    [VOL. DO NOT READ] Both equally 4

    [VOL. DO NOT READ] Neither 9

    [VOL. DO NOT READ] Dont

    know/Refused

    5

    Very

    likely

    Somewhat

    likely

    Not too

    likely

    Not at all

    likely

    (VOL.)

    Dont

    know/

    Refused

    a. Reduce the federal budgetdeficit

    Nov 8-11,2012 22 34 24 18 3

    Apr 12-15, 2012 10 27 30 30 3

    b. Address the job situationNov 8-11,2012 31 41 17 10 1

    Apr 12-15, 2012 19 37 23 18 2

    c. Address immigration policyNov 8-11,2012 14 37 34 13 3

    Apr 12-15, 2012 9 30 31 27 3

    d. Address the countrysenergy needs

    Nov 8-11,2012 18 43 27 10 2

    Apr 12-15, 2012 12 37 26 22 3

    e. Improve public educationNov 8-11,2012 23 43 23 9 2

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    Page 5

    Princeton Survey Research Associates International

    November 2012 Omnibus Week 2

    DEMOGRAPHICS

    I have one last set of questions to help us better understand the people who took

    part in our survey.

    SEX Respondents Sex

    48 Male

    52 Female

    EMPLOY Are you now employed full-time, part-time, or not employed?

    49 Employed full-time

    11 Employed part-time

    40 Not employed

    * (DO NOT READ) Dont know/ Refused

    PAR Are you the parent or guardian of any children under 18 years of age?

    32 Yes

    68 No

    * (DO NOT READ) Dont know/Refused

    AGE What is your age?

    20 18 to 2934 30 to 49

    26 50 to 6418 65 and older

    2 (DO NOT READ) Refused

    EDUC What is the highest level of school you have completed or the highest degree

    you have received?

    1 Less than high school (Grade 1-8 or no formal schooling)

    10 High school incomplete (Grades 9-11 or Grade 12 with NOdiploma)

    31 High school graduate (Grade 12 with diploma or GED

    certificate)18 Some college, no degree (includes community college)10 Two year associate degree from a college/university

    16 Four year college or university degree/Bachelors degree

    1 Some postgraduate or professional schooling, no postgraduate

    degree

    12 Postgraduate or professional degree, including masters,

    doctorate, medical or law degree

    1 (DO NOT READ) Dont know/Refused

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    Page 6

    Princeton Survey Research Associates International

    November 2012 Omnibus Week 2

    HISP Are you of Hispanic or Latino background, such as Mexican, Puerto Rican,

    Cuban or other Spanish background?

    13 Yes

    87 No1 (DO NOT READ) Dont know/Refused

    RACE What is your race? Are you white, black, Asian, or some other race? [IF R

    SAYS HISPANIC OR LATINO, PROBE: Do you consider yourself a WHITE

    (Hispanic/Latino) or a BLACK (Hispanic/Latino)?

    68 White non-Hispanic

    30 Total non-White

    11 Black non-Hispanic

    13 Hispanic

    3 Asian/Pacific Islander

    4 Other non-Hispanic2 (DO NOT READ) Dont know/Refused

    INC Last year, that is in 2011, approximately what was your total family income

    before taxes just tell me when I get to the right category.INC1 (IF DONT KNOW OR REFUSED) Keeping in mind that this is a completely

    confidential survey, can you please tell me if your total household income

    BEFORE taxes last year was over or under $75,000?

    INC2 (IF UNDER $75,000) Was it over or under $50,000?INC3 (IF UNDER $50,000) Was it over or under $30,000?

    29 $75,000 or more13 $50,000 to under $75,000

    20 $30,000 to under $50,000

    29 Under $30,000

    9 Undesignated

    REG Which of these statements best describes you?

    76 Are you ABSOLUTELY CERTAIN that you areregistered to vote at your current address

    3 Are you PROBABLY registered, but there is a

    chance your registration has lapsed [OR]

    20 Are you NOT registered to vote at your

    current address?

    1 (DO NOT READ) Dont know/Refused

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    Page 7

    Princeton Survey Research Associates International

    November 2012 Omnibus Week 2

    PARTY In politics TODAY, do you consider yourself a Republican, Democrat, or

    Independent?

    24 Republican

    33 Democrat

    37 Independent

    3 No preference (VOL.)

    * Other party (VOL.)

    2 Don't know/Refused (VOL.)

    That completes the interview. Thank you very much for your time and cooperation.

    Have a nice day/evening.