1. MYANMAR 2015 AND BEYOND Thet Aung Min Latt Managing Director
Diamond Intelligence Co., Ltd www.diamondconsultantgroup.co m
Offshore E&P Summit Myanmar 2015
2. AGENDA An assessment of the Myanmar General elections, key
players Analysis on the general elections impact on Myanmar
business community When major initiatives will happen and why?
Radical movement Ethnic Politics Different scenario in 2015 Myanmar
general election
3. THE KEY PLAYERS The Military USDP NLD Ethnic political
parties
4. THE MILITARY Senior General Min Aung Hlaing General Wai Lwin
General Mya Tun Oo
5. USDP U Thein Sein current president U Thura Shwe Mann
current speaker of the house U Htay Oo Vice chairman of USDP
6. NLD Daw Aung San Suu Kyi
7. ETHNIC POLITICAL PARTIES Rakhine National Party U Aung Thar
Aung Shan Nationalities Democratic Party (white tiger) Sai Ai Pao
SNLD Khun Htun Oo
8. THE ELECTION USDP NLD The Military (25% and former General)
Ethnic political parties
9. USDP West policy Party Congress (President and MPs)
Rebuilding image Controversial Ministers, MPs Collective vision
Minor business interest conflict
10. NLD NLD congress Lack of MPs for election BIG challenge The
management committee Would like to choose Youth and Women
11. ETHNIC POLITICAL PARTIES Likely to win major vote in ethnic
region Shan, Rahkine and Mon UNA dont have agreement with NLD
12. THE MILITARY Senior General Min Aung Hlaing Recent visit
Last year Korea, Japan This year Pakistan, Serbia, UAE Good
relationship with Thai army Building diplomatic image Rebuild
Myanmar army image during Kokant conflict
13. PERMANENT SECRETARY www.moi.gov.mm
14. PERMANENT SECRETARY permanent secretaries will run the
government During prepare for election and after the election
15. THE GOVERNMENT AFTER ELECTION President Vice President
Speaker of the house Commander in Chief * [ One vice president as
National Energy Planning committee ]
16. MAJOR INITIATIVES 2015 2016 Very likely to become coalition
government USDP, NLD, ethnic parties 2017 Likely to prove new
bills, effective government
17. INSTABILITY - INTERNAL Rise of Labor Union example Zawtika
project
18. INSTABILITY EXTERNAL Arakan army current conflict with army
Anti Muslim movement New tension in Kayah with KNPP
19. Photo from bnionline.net
20. IN RAKHINE Rakhine party and armed group interest 2008
Constitution Appendix I and II changes Their resources for their
region Their region with their leader as Chief Minister
21. WHAT THE GOVERNMENT IS DOING Stability Electricity for
Rakhine state Not accepting yet AA, TNLA, MNDAA in NCA
22. THE ARMED CONFLICT KNU 1988 to 2012 KIA Ceasefire 1994 to
2011 MNDAA 1989 to 2009, 2015 AA 2009 East and West conflict
zones
23. ETHNIC ARMY Ethnic arm group conference request AA, TNLA,
MNDAA in NCA
24. 2008 CONSTITUTION CHANGES 10 June 2015 proposed by USDP
MP
25. PROPOSING 2008 CHANGES 59 (d) shall be well acquainted with
the affairs of the Union such as political, administrative,
economic and military; (d) shall be well acquainted with the
affairs of the Union such as political, administrative, economic
and defense;
26. PROPOSING 2008 CHANGES 59 (f) shall he himself, one of the
parents, the spouse, one of the legitimate children or their
spouses not owe allegiance to a foreign power, not be subject of a
foreign power or citizen of a foreign country. They shall not be
persons entitled to enjoy the rights and privileges of a subject of
a foreign government or citizen of a foreign country; Removed: one
of the legitimate children or their spouses
27. PROPOSING 2008 CHANGES 436 75% to 70%
28. PROPOSING 2008 CHANGES 62 63 64 The President or the
Vice-Presidents shall not be representative of any Hluttaw. If the
President or the Vice-Presidents are Hluttaw representatives, they
shall be deemed to have resigned from their seats in that Hluttaw,
and if the President or the Vice- Presidents are the Civil Services
personnel, they shall be deemed to have resigned or retired from
their offices from the day of their election. 64. If the President
or the Vice-Presidents are members of a political party, they shall
not take part in its party activities during their term of office
from the day of their election.
29. PROPOSING 2008 CHANGES 261 Chief Minister of the Region or
State will be elected by vote of their MPs of representative
parliament.
30. PROPOSING 2008 CHANGES 1,2,3,5 SCHEDULE ONE Union
Legislative List SCHEDULE TWO Region or State Legislative List
SCHEDULE THREE List of Legislation of the Leading Body of Self-
Administered Division or Self-Administered Area SCHEDULE FIVE Taxes
Collected by Region or States
31. RECOMMENDATION Effective CSR Environmental Employee
Emergency plan review External Communication (PR)
32. THANKS Q&A Thet Aung Min Latt Managing Director Diamond
Intelligence Co., Ltd www.diamondconsultantgroup.com
