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Multicriteria Procedures for Environmental Assessment of Transport Routes Crossing the Pyrenees in Navarre (Spain) Angel A. Juan [email protected] Dep. of Computer Sciences, Multimedia and Telecommunication Open University of Catalonia Barcelona, SPAIN Javier Faulin Esteban de Paz [email protected] Dep. of Statistics and Operations Research Public University of Navarre Pamplona, SPAIN Fernando Lera [email protected] Department of Economics Public University of Navarre Pamplona, SPAIN

Multicriteria Procedures for Environmental Assessment of Transport Routes Crossing the Pyrenees in Navarre (Spain) Angel A. Juan [email protected] Dep. of

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Multicriteria Procedures for Environmental Assessment of Transport Routes Crossing the

Pyrenees in Navarre (Spain)

Angel A. Juan

[email protected]

Dep. of Computer Sciences, Multimedia and Telecommunication

Open University of Catalonia

Barcelona, SPAIN

Javier Faulin

Esteban de Paz

[email protected]

Dep. of Statistics and Operations Research

Public University of Navarre

Pamplona, SPAIN

Fernando Lera [email protected]

Department of Economics

Public University of Navarre

Pamplona, SPAIN

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0. Index

1. Introduction

2. Problem definition

3. Some transportation activities to follow up

4. Environmental Issues of Transportation

5. Methodological Analysis

6. Multicriteria evaluation and decision making

7. AHP Results and Sensitivity Analysis

8. Conclusions

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1. Introduction-I: Problem Approximation

Goods Transportation by Road is one of the main concerns of the European Union due to the pollution implications

Routing Problems Crossing Areas with Environmental Criteria (Sinha and Labi, 2007):

• Traditional optimization problems have considered classical criteria to optimize: distance, fuel consumption, costs,…

• Including also environmental criteria in those transportation problems adds an important value to the classical ones.

• Good characteristics to establish green corridors: environmentally-friendly roads with low pollution levels.

Traditionally, environmental criteria are very well considered using Multicriteria Analysis (Weintraub et al., 2007; Saaty, 2001)

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1.  Introduction-II: Geographical Focus

Goods Transportation crossing the Pyrenees (geographical border between Spain and France) is one of the critical problems to link the Iberian peninsula with Central Europe. The analysis of this problem is essential according to the environmental policies of European Union.

• Current situation of goods transportation using the two traditional motorways between Spain and France.

• A complete analysis of the two traditional motorways is well-known, but analysis of other routes is needed.

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1. Introduction-III: A Route Selection Example

Considering the two ways of connecting points A and B, we have to evaluate their respective routes to decide which one is better according to the pre-defined environmental criteria.

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2.  Problem definition-I

Alternative selection: It is known that the main roads crossing the Pyrenees in Navarre are the next ones:

i. Alt 1- Pamplona- Leiza (AP-15 and A-15)

ii. Alt 2- Pamplona- Vera Bidasoa (N-121A)

iii. Alt 3- Pamplona- Dancharinea (N-121B)

iv. Alt 4- Pamplona- Valcarlos (N-135)

v. Alt 5- Pamplona-Yesa (A-21 and N-240)

Which of them is the best route according to sustainability?

• Criteria selection. Options:

a. Only environmental criteria

b. Environmental criteria plus traditional transport criteria

c. Which environmental criteria?

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3. Some transportation activities to follow upKey logistic activities in big retail companies.

i. Activities related to the delivery of final products from big warehouses and depots to local retail shops, supermarkets and hypermarkets.

ii. Suitable tuning of the supply chain management.

iii. Assignment decisions involving logistic resources, such as vehicle drivers, loading and unloading policies, selection of vehicle sizes and characteristics, delivery actions in big cities, etc.

iv. Tracking and monitoring activities related to products delivery.

v. Design of adequate Decision Support Systems in logistic activities

Retail companies usually make a big logistic effort in delivery activities from their depots to their retail shops

84. Environmental issues of Transportation- I

Dimensions of the Environmental Problem

a. Climate Change

b. Effects on the Air Quality

c. Noise Pollution

d. Water Quality

e. Land use and Effects on Soil Quality

f. Others: radioactive, light, visual and thermal pollution

Importance of transportation and logistic activities in the production of PM10 particles

Externalities caused by Logistic Activities

a. All the dimensions previously mentioned

b. Traffic congestion and traffic jams

c. Infrastructures wear

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4. Environmental issues of Transportation- III

Air Pollutants

a. Local impact:

i.Carbon Monoxide (CO) (70-90%)

ii.Nitrogen Oxides (NOx) (45-50%)

iii.VOC (Volatile Organic Compounds) (40-50%)

iv.Pollutant Particles (25%)

v.Lead (30-40%)

Carbon Monoxide (CO), Carbon Dioxide (CO2),Nitrogen Oxide (NOx) andSulphur Dioxide (SO2) are the most important pollutants

b.Global impact:

i.Carbon Dioxide (CO2) (25%)

ii.Sulphur Dioxide (SO2) (5%)

iii.Ozone (O3)

iv.Acid Rain (10-30%)

v.Clorofluorocarbonates (CFC) (30%)

Percentages represent the rate of the pollutant produced by logistic activities.

Percentages represent the rate of the pollutant produced by logistic activities.

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4. Environmental issues of Transportation- IV

Noise Pollutants

a. Noises due to road transportation:

i. The vehicle engine and the asphalt rubbing are the main noise producers

ii. It is the most important noise producer related to logistic activities.

b. Noises due to train transportation

i. Train engines and the friction between wheels and tracks

ii. Aerodynamic noise for speeds greater than 200 km/h (124 miles/h)

c. Noises due to air transportation

i. It assumes the 20% of the transportation costs

Road accounts for approximately 70% of total noise emissions by transportation

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5. Methodological Analysis

Methodology to tackle this transportation problem:1. The problem presents a discrete number of alternatives. 2. Knowing that it is possible to build very well-defined

alternatives characterized by multiple attributes.

3. Multiattribute Programming focused on AHP is the most plausible procedure to analyse this problem.

Alternatives

Attributes

Multiattribute Programming AHP

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6. Multicriteria evaluation and decision making- I

Problem Definition

Criteria Alternatives

Decision Matrix

Scoring

User Preferences

Decision Rules

Sensitivity Analysis

Final Decision

Multicriteria decision analysis: Steps

1. Problem definition 2. Alternatives

3. Criteria

4. Scoring

5. Decision Matrix

6. User Preferences

7. Decision Rules

8. Sensitivity Analysis

9. Final Decision

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6. Multicriteria evaluation and decision making- II

I. Problem definition

Selection of the transportation route crossing the Pyrenees which have a minimum environmental impact over nature.

II. Alternatives

i. Alt 1- Pamplona- Leiza (AP-15 and A-15)

ii. Alt 2- Pamplona- Vera Bidasoa (N-121A)

iii. Alt 3- Pamplona- Dancharinea (N-121B)

iv. Alt 4- Pamplona- Valcarlos (N-135)

v. Alt 5- Pamplona-Yesa (A-21 and N-240)

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6. Multicriteria evaluation and decision making- III

Geographical Description of the five Alternatives

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6. Multicriteria evaluation and decision making- IV

I. The values of the impacts on the criteria

Incidence: severity of the impact

Magnitude: quantity and quality of the affected factor

II. Actions on the infrastructure cause impacts on the environment

Actions Impacts

• Emissions increase.

• Higher noise levels.

• More intensive traffic.

• Greater vibration.

• Uncontrolled releases of pollutants and accidents.

• Increased atmospheric levels because of the traffic• Reduction of acoustic comfort because of the traffic• Effects on accidents.• Higher risk of forest fires.• Alteration of landscape areas of high value.• Alteration of landscape areas of minor value.• Impact on protected natural areas

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Impact of a Road Corridor on Nearby Environmental Factors

6. Multicriteria evaluation and decision making- V

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6. Multicriteria evaluation and decision making- VI

Characteristics of the Survey Developed to Calculate Criteria Weights-1

I. A survey was carried out in the surrounding areas of the five candidate roads to estimate importance of the criteria weights for AHP (Lera et al., 2011):

Geographical area: Roads crossing the Pyrenees in Navarre

Survey size: 600 with a stratified methodology

Definition of two influence zones according to their infrastructures distance: Zone A and Zone B

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6. Multicriteria evaluation and decision making- VII

Characteristics of the Survey Developed to Calculate Criteria Weights-2

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6. Multicriteria evaluation and decision making- VIII

Selected Criteria for the AHP Model

I. According to the results given by the previous survey, the selected criteria are organised in the following way:

Factors: they gather subfactors in three great groups: Social, Economic and Natural Areas

Subfactors: they present precise details of the impacts of different actions

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6. Multicriteria evaluation and decision making- IX

 Alternative

1Alternative

2Alternative

3Alternative

4Alternative

5

Heritage of Cultural Interest %

0.00 0.01 0.25 6.81 1.02

Results of the alternatives scoring for environmental assessment.Factor: Social – Subfactor: Heritage of Cultural Interest

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6. Multicriteria evaluation and decision making- X

 Alternative

1Alternative

2Alternative

3Alternative

4Alternative

5

Recreative Zones % 4.38 8.33 7.21 7.10 2.96

Results of the alternatives scoring for environmental assessment.Factor: Social – Subfactor: Recreative Zones

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6. Multicriteria evaluation and decision making- XIResults of the alternatives scoring for environmental assessment.

Factor: Social – General Results for this Factor

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6. Multicriteria evaluation and decision making- XIIResults of the alternatives scoring for environmental assessment.

Factor: Economic – General Results for this Factor

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6. Multicriteria evaluation and decision making- XIII

  SCIs%

SACs%

Protected Landscapes%

Nature reserves%

Natural Parks%

Alternative 1 0 0 0 0 0Alternative 2 25.64 0.04 5.86 0 0.04

Alternative 3 24.59 0 5.69 0 0

Alternative 4 0.11 0 0 0 0

Alternative 5 2.58 0 0 0.22 0

Results of the alternatives scoring for environmental assessment.Factor: Natural Areas – Previous Calculations

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6. Multicriteria evaluation and decision making- XIVResults of the alternatives scoring for environmental assessment.

Factor: Natural Areas – General Results for this Factor

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7. AHP Results and Sensitivity Analysis- I

DECISIONAL MATRIX  Alternative 1 Alternative 2 Alternative 3 Alternative 4 Alternative 5

Social 0.29 0.24 0.11 0.11 0.24

Economic 0.31 0.04 0.04 0.31 0.30

Natural Areas 0.20 0.10 0.20 0.10 0.40

Weight Criteria

Social 0.40Economic 0.20

Natural Areas 0.40

AHP RESULTSAlternative 1 0.281Alternative 2 0.132Alternative 3 0.099Alternative 4 0.191Alternative 5 0.297

Decisional Matrix and Results

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7. AHP Results and Sensitivity Analysis- II

Sensitivity Analysis Description

I. Validity of the solutions given by the previous AHP model

Proposed solutions: Alt 1 (0.281) and Alt 5 (0.297)

How sensible are those solutions to the weights?

II. Sensitivity Analysis provides the robustess of the solutions:

Factor Weights: Social (0.4), Economic (0.2) and Natural Areas (0.4)

Simulation experiment:• Size: 5,000

• Social and Natural Areas factors are uniformely simulated in the range [0.3,0.5]

• Economic factor is uniformely simulated in the range [0.1,0.3]

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7. AHP Results and Sensitivity Analysis- III

Sensitivity Analysis Results

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8. Conclusions- I

1. A robust solution has been obtained to make recommendations in the

use of infrastructures on behalf of distribution companies and delivery

to retailers.

2. The results are consistent between them and are in favor of the use of

motorways and recommend avoiding the use of national road dual

carriageways.

3. For the criteria weighing and environmental factor construction, users

subjective judgments by means of a survey were taken into account.

Other procedures (expert choice with a Delphi method) were also

considered to balance the previous assumptions.

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8. Conclusions- II

4. The main results of this AHP model are being studied by the local

Government of Navarre to use it as a way of infrastructures

classification to be recommended to distribution companies and

logistic carriers.

5. The previous results assume the assessment of infrastructures with a

high degree of environment involvement.

6. Possibility of making replicas of the study with different alternatives.

Multicriteria Procedures for Environmental Assessment of Transport Routes Crossing the

Pyrenees in Navarre (Spain)

Angel A. Juan

[email protected]

Dep. of Computer Sciences, Multimedia and Telecommunication

Open University of Catalonia

Barcelona, SPAIN

Javier Faulin

Esteban de Paz

[email protected]

Dep. of Statistics and Operations Research

Public University of Navarre

Pamplona, SPAIN

Fernando Lera [email protected]

Department of Economics

Public University of Navarre

Pamplona, SPAIN

Thank you!Thank you!