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MULTI-ACTOR MULTI-CRITERIA DECISION ANALYSIS OF COMMUNITY BENEFIT SCHEMES Dissertation in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of MASTER OF SCIENCE WITH A MAJOR IN ENERGY TECHNOLOGY WITH FOCUS ON WIND POWER Uppsala University Department of Earth Sciences, Campus Gotland [Christopher Leach] [September 2018]

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MULTI-ACTOR MULTI-CRITERIA DECISION ANALYSIS OF COMMUNITY

BENEFIT SCHEMES

Dissertation in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of

MASTER OF SCIENCE WITH A MAJOR IN ENERGY TECHNOLOGY WITH

FOCUS ON WIND POWER

Uppsala University

Department of Earth Sciences, Campus Gotland

[Christopher Leach]

[September 2018]

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MULTI-ACTOR MULTI-CRITERIA DECISION ANALYSIS OF COMMUNITY

BENEFIT SCHEMES

Uppsala University

Department of Earth Sciences, Campus Gotland

Approved by:

Supervisor, Dr Heracles Polatidis, Senior lecturer, Uppsala University

Josefin Knudsen, Project leader, Gotlands Vindelproducenter (GVP)

Examiner, Prof. Jens Sorensen

Date

[September 2018]

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ABSTRACT

Community benefit schemes in the context of wind power are increasingly provisioned by

developers as a means of generating local socio-economic and environmental value,

fostering social relations and strengthening acceptance. Determining an appropriate and

effective benefit scheme can prove challenging, given the variation of exposed

stakeholders, diversity in schemes and the lack of decision making guidance. A multi-

criteria decision aid framework for identifying the most appropriate scheme(s) for a

hypothetical wind power project is developed. The framework is based on AHP and

PROMETHEE II decision support tool, where six (6) alternative schemes are assessed

using the preferences of five (5) stakeholders and their relevant criteria. The framework

was applied to a fictitious development on the island of Gotland. Results from the applied

example indicate that the most locally suited outcome was the ownership based models. It

is anticipated that the methodological framework can help identify the scheme(s) that

respond to the needs and preferences of the locality. Moreover, a decision making platform

of this nature can provide practical support to developers, communities and local

authorities, and contribute to a more effective and efficient development and negotiation

process surrounding community benefit schemes.

Key words: Multi-actor, multi-criteria decision analysis, MAMCA, community benefit

scheme, wind power, stakeholders, Analytic Hierarchy Process, PROMETHEE II

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NOMENCLATURE

MAMCA – Multi Actor Multi Criteria Analysis

MCDA – Multi criteria decision analysis

O&M – Operation and maintenance

BoP – Balance of Plant

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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

Firstly, I would like to thank Dr. Heracles Polatidis, for his expertise, assistance and

patience throughout the process of this Thesis. Without his guidance and persistent help

this Thesis would not have been possible. Furthermore, I would like to extend my gratitude

to Josefin Knudsson, acting program coordinator for Vindkluster Gotland. Her

outstanding knowledge of the wind power regime on Gotland together with local contacts

were of significant benefit. I would like to express my appreciation to the participants who

contributed to the research and data collection. Finally, I am thankful for the moral support

from close family, especially my mother, who had always believed in me and my goals.

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CONTENTS

CHAPTER 1. INTRODUCTION ................................................................................. 10

1.1 Background ............................................................................................................ 10

1.2 Area of research interest ......................................................................................... 12

1.3 Aims and Objectives .............................................................................................. 13

1.4 Thesis Outline ........................................................................................................ 14

CHAPTER 2. LITERATURE REVIEW....................................................................... 15

2.1 Community Benefit Schemes ................................................................................. 15

2.1.1 Definition and principle .................................................................................. 15

2.1.2 Planning process .............................................................................................. 17

2.1.3 Examples ......................................................................................................... 18

2.1.3.1 Conventional Economic Benefits ............................................................. 18

2.1.3.2 Flows of financial benefits: Ownership ................................................... 22

2.1.3.3 Flows of financial benefits: Community fund .......................................... 24

2.1.3.4 Contributions to in-kind local assets, facilities and others ....................... 25

2.1.4 Merits .............................................................................................................. 27

2.1.5 Challenges ....................................................................................................... 29

2.1.6 Comparative summary .................................................................................... 31

2.2 Multi-Criteria Analysis .......................................................................................... 33

2.2.1 Definition ........................................................................................................ 33

2.2.2 Process .......................................................................................................... 34

2.2.3 Application to research context .................................................................... 36

CHAPTER 3. METHODOLOGY .................................................................................. 37

3.1 Conceptualisation ................................................................................................... 37

3.2 Description of alternatives ..................................................................................... 39

3.3 Stakeholder Analysis .............................................................................................. 40

3.3.1 Identification/mapping .................................................................................... 40

3.3.2 Classification ................................................................................................... 41

3.4 Model development ................................................................................................ 43

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3.4.1 Defining criteria .............................................................................................. 43

3.4.2 Criteria weighting ............................................................................................ 44

3.4.3 Criteria operationalisation ............................................................................... 47

3.4.4 Visual PROMETHEE II method and ranking ................................................. 47

3.4.5 Analysis of alternatives ................................................................................... 49

CHAPTER 4. RESULTS ............................................................................................... 51

4.1 AHP results ............................................................................................................ 51

4.2 Criteria Operationalisation results .......................................................................... 53

4.3 Visual PROMETHEE II results ............................................................................. 54

CHAPTER 5. DISCUSSION ........................................................................................ 56

CHAPTER 6. CONCLUSIONS .................................................................................... 59

REFERENCE LIST .......................................................................................................... 62

APPENDIX A. 70

APPENDIX B. 71

APPENDIX C. 72

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TABLE OF FIGURES

Figure 1 Past and forecasted wind power production in Sweden (2001 – 2019) ............. 11

Figure 2 Comparison between landowner lease payment (left) and proximity rent

payments (right) (Ernst & Young, 2014) ................................................................. 19

Figure 3 Wind catchment model proposed by LRF. Dashed red lines indicate land

ownership boundary. Green buffer marks five diameters from turbine. (LRF, 2013)

.................................................................................................................................. 20

Figure 4 The three major processes of wind power procurement (Edlund & Eriksson,

2014) ......................................................................................................................... 21

Figure 5 Joint-venture arrangement (Haggett et al., 2014) .............................................. 23

Figure 6 A revenue sharing arrangement (Haggett et al., 2014) ...................................... 24

Figure 7 Methodology conceptualisation ......................................................................... 38

Figure 8 AHP mapping for all stakeholders ..................................................................... 45

Figure 9 Input into PROMETHEE II tool ........................................................................ 49

Figure 10 Weight allocation for each stakeholder using the AHP method ...................... 52

Figure 11 Criteria operationalisation for a landholder ..................................................... 54

Figure 12 Visual PROMETHEE II data entry for the Landholder .................................. 55

Figure 13 MCDA-RES results for the Landholder .......................................................... 55

Figure 14 Final ranking of benefit schemes ..................................................................... 57

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TABLE OF TABLES

Table 1 Types of community benefits, adapted from Munday et al., 2011. 15

Table 2 Exemplified wind catchment area calculus (LRF, 2013) 20

Table 3 Examples of in-kind benefits 26

Table 4 Summary of comparative assessment 31

Table 5 Community Benefit alternatives 39

Table 6 Stakeholder overview 42

Table 7 Stakeholder criteria 43

Table 8 Weight calculation using the AHP method 45

Table 9 Weight calculation for the Landowner using the AHP method 51

Table 10 Consistency ratio calculation for Landowners 52

Table 11 Scoring for Landholders 53

Table 12 Aggregated results from the Visual PROMETHEE Software 56

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CHAPTER 1. INTRODUCTION

1.1 Background

Tremendous growth in renewable energy deployment has been observed over the past

decade. Partially as a consequence of increased demand for affordable and secure energy

sources but triggered also by the wide consensus linking fossil fuel combustion to

dangerous climate change (Moomaw et al., 2011). Reducing carbon emissions and

ensuring energy security by means of renewable energy investment has become a top

priority for most nation states (Müller et al., 2011). Wind power is one promising and cost-

competitive solution proving its worthy at disrupting the conventional fossil fuelled

energy system (Waldo, 2012).

The expansion of wind power, in both ashore and offshore types, is gaining momentum,

with approximately 370 GW currently installed globally (as of Quarter 4 of 2014), as

opposed to only 48 GW ten years ago (GWEC, 2016). This equates to an annual growth

rate of 23 per cent, and conservative estimates expect this trend to continue, surpassing

700 GW by 2020 (GWEC, 2014). On a regional scale, wind power development in the

EU is mature compared to other regions, with 15 countries expressing gigawatt-level

installed capacity. Currently it constitutes more than 10 percent of the EU electricity

supply (128.8 GW) and has a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.8 per cent

(EWEA, 2016).

In Sweden, where despite having good conditions for hydropower and pursuing an

intensive nuclear program, wind power has surged lately (Fig 1). Modest growth was

recorded prior to 2007, but continued support from legal and fiscal measures and advances

in technology are proving effective (Bergek & Jacobsson, 2010; Wizelius, 2014). Today,

wind power is considered a mainstream power technology generating approximately 11.5

TWh of electrical energy, equivalent to 8 percent of the national mix (comparable to 39%

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hydro & 38% nuclear) (Svensk Energi, 2015). Wind power is expected to play a significant

role in the make-up of Sweden’s fossil fuel free target.

Figure 1 Past and forecasted wind power production in Sweden (2001 – 2019)

(data from Svensk Vindenergi, 2015)

The deployment of wind power brings a mixture of economic, environmental and social

impacts (Munday et al., 2011). While impacts can accrue globally (e.g. through less air

pollution), a large portion remains localised, given that wind power is strongly anchored

in the local domain. Localised impacts can be felt positively (e.g. as employment) and

negatively (e.g. as visual intrusion). In Sweden, significant emphasis has been placed on

maximising opportunities for locals to benefit and to ensure a positive lasting legacy is

achieved. This is somewhat part of a more boarder vision able to challenge the

conventional style of thinking and elevates the notion of justice (Munday et al., 2011 and

Walker et al., 2014). Safeguarding an equitable distribution of benefits has shown to be

both legislated (e.g. Denmark’s Renewable Energy Act. 2009) and voluntarily driven (e.g.

developer-community shared ownership arrangements). Such initiatives have adopted the

broad term ‘community benefit schemes’ and can be negotiated between the developer,

community and local authority. Evidence shows that these schemes can help ensure that a

proportion of benefits do not leech out of the locality and hence become a stimulus for

rural growth and economical resilience (Munday et al., 2011). Moreover, they are regarded

0.5 0.6 0.9 1.02.0

3.5

7.2

11.5

15.9

19.2

0

5

10

15

20

25

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Electrciyproducon(TW

h)

Year

Wind power production in Sweden (2001-2019)

Forecast

Electricityproduc on(TWh)

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as effective instruments to foster social relations and strengthen acceptance (Toke, 2005).

Therefore, discussions on such schemes are commonly featured during the planning phase

of proposed developments.

Nevertheless, provisioning an appropriate or locally suited community benefit scheme can

be challenging. This is partially problematized by the variation of stakeholder preferences

and needs exposed to a wind power project. Failing to appreciate this can for example

engender feelings of distributional or opportunity injustice among community members

(Evans et al., 2011; Munday et al., 2011). In some cases conflict has arisen leading to

alienation within communities and possibly a breakdown of developer-community

relations (Musall & Kuik, 2011). This can cause higher rates of objection, delays in project

timelines and potentially jeopardise the realisation of the project.

Appraisal methods such as the multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) make it possible

to evaluate several alternatives on various quantitative and qualitative criteria. An

extension to this is the explicit introduction of stakeholder notion or so called Multi-actor-

multi-criteria assessment. By definition a stakeholder can be an individual or group can

influence or are influenced by the decision. The MAMCA is a decision making instrument

proving use in the transport sector, amongst others, the ability to assess complex decision

making problems (Hadavi et al., 2016).

1.2 Area of research interest

As mentioned in Chapter 1.1, an inadequate recognition and involvement with community

members during the decision making process can be a significant factor influencing the

reception and potential successes of a scheme (Vento Luden, 2012). Accordingly the

promotion of a community benefit scheme should result from the consensus of several

actors, including all in the vicinity who are directly and indirectly affected by a potential

initiative. Because it is expected that heterogeneous actors possess different interests and

perceptions towards the appropriate application of the scheme. In this instance, a

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consensus implies that all actors share the responsibility for the decision taken and are

motivated for its implementation (Georgepoulou et al., 1997). This approach may be

realised through a combination of group decision aid and multi-criteria decision making

methods to appropriately convey the multifaceted nature of beneficiaries. Henceforth, the

author advocates the incorporation of local needs and preferences into a collaborative and

systematic process when determining a community benefit scheme. To this end, support

is earned from the whole community, as opposed to enriching individuals or particular

groups. In a systematic manner, the author refers to the development of a decision making

platform able to identify the most appropriate community benefit scheme(s) for the local

entity. It is anticipated that a decision aid tool can provide improved direction, guidance

and work as a support system that is transparent, documentable and auditable. Moreover,

a platform of this nature would lead to a progression away from generic offerings but

towards locally tailored arrangements suited to local needs. Consequently, it is hoped that

through this approach a democratic, comprisable and bespoke community benefit

scheme(s) can be attained.

1.3 Aims and Objectives

It is postulated that multiple preferences exist on the appropriate selection of a community

benefit scheme. Hence this Thesis attempts to process the desires and needs of

stakeholders in a group decision aid tool employed to identify the most optimal scheme(s).

A number of appropriate community benefit provisions have been identified in the

literature. In order to evaluate the individual schemes, stakeholder objectives/preferences

are represented through the weighting of applicable criteria. The framework Analytic

Hierarchy Process (AHP) (Saaty, 1988) is used to assign weights to the criteria. Thereafter,

the decision support tool of Preference Ranking Organization METHod for Enrichment of

Evaluations (PROMETHEE II) (Brans et al., 1985) is used to rank the various schemes

based on stakeholder weightings and operationalisation of criteria.

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The framework is to be applied using a hypothetical test case on Gotland, whereby the

preferences of key stakeholder groups possessing an interest in community benefit

schemes are considered. Through their input and the use of appropriate decision support

tools, decision makers can identify the ‘most’ comprisable schemes(s) tailored to the local

context.

In order to provide a decision making platform, this requires the support from the

following key objectives:

1. Identify appropriate community benefit schemes

2. Detect key merits and drawbacks associated with each community benefit

scheme

3. Propose relevant decision making criteria based on preferences from key

stakeholder groups

4. Propose an optimal scheme/set of schemes

1.4 Thesis Outline

This Thesis is composed of five chapters - an introduction, literature review, methodology,

results and conclusion. In Chapter 1 the research area is identified and the objectives to

investigate this are outlined. Chapter 2 provides an overview of community benefit

schemes, their conception, common typologies, their place in the planning phase, their

relative strengths and weaknesses. Chapter 3 describes the methodology used to identify

the most appropriate scheme(s), and in addition introduces data collection methods and

the decision support tools employed. Chapter 4 applies the methodology of AHP and

PROMOTHEE II to hypothetical case and presents the results. The paper finishes with a

concluding paragraph, highlighting limitations with the project and outlining further

research exploration.

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CHAPTER 2. LITERATURE REVIEW

2.1 Community Benefit Schemes

2.1.1 Definition and principle

Community benefit schemes in the context of wind power can be classed as provisions

employed often by developers to help ensure that host communities are able to share the

tangible rewards from developments (Walker & Devine-Wright, 2008; Cass et al., 2010).

They are supposed to be mechanisms that are locally appropriate and tailored to needs of

the community. The arrangement of community benefit schemes vary hugely in practice,

given the local nature of a wind farm and the host communities. Generally, however, they

are classed according to four categories outlined in Table 1 and showcased in Chapter

2.1.3.

Table 1 Types of community benefits, adapted from Munday et al., 2011.

Categories

1. Conventional economic benefits

- Land rental income and royalty payments

- Procurement of local services and goods

- Local business rates and/or taxes

2. Flows of financial benefits to local communities

- Ownership

- Community fund

3. Contributions to in-kind local assets and facilities

- Landscape/ecological enhancement measures

- Infrastructure/modernisation

4. Other

- Development involvement

- Educational programmes, visits and funding

- Discounted electricity

- Sponsorship

They are commonly voluntary undertakings by wind developers and although not always

material consideration they are viewed as good practice (Scotland, L.E., 2014). Such that

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they are increasingly used as a competitive advantage. In some countries however, like

Denmark, the provision of community benefit schemes are bound to law, thereby

authorizing developers to adhere to legislative arrangements (See 2.1.2).

Defining ‘community’ has important implications for how community benefit schemes

are conceptualised and operationalised (Rudolph et al., 2015). Rudolph et al., found

evidence for five different conceptualisations. These are as follows:

Communities of locality: refers to a group of individuals defined by spatial and

jurisdictional criteria

All-embracing community: refers to an indirect and spatially detached distribution

of benefits spread across a wide area extending to regions not necessarily affected

by a particular development

Communities of interest: refers to communities constituted through a common

interest

Communities who are affected: refers to any particular groups or communities who

are negatively impacted

Community organisations: refers to local, charitable or public organisations that

act as a category of the public

The most common approach for defining communities is by means of spatial determinants,

however, it should be noted that this remains somewhat ill-defined (Cass et al., 2010).

CSE (2009) exemplify that benefit schemes, which are community orientated, can lead to

benefits beyond the locality when considering the context of project procurement for

example. Hence, it is imperative to appreciate the projects context.

The rationale for community benefit schemes can be understood in many ways and this is

acknowledged by Cowell et al. (2012) who posit the following interpretations: to foster

social acceptance, acts of good neighbourliness and to compensate. The latter relates to

the notion that wind is essentially a ‘common’ resource and the impact on host

communities must be accounted for (DECC, 2014). Furthermore, there is sound evidence

that through local value creation, community benefit initiatives can better mitigate against

resistance (Cass et al., 2010). Yet, commentators have questioned their capacity to

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expedite planning consents and therefore undermining the formal planning system

(Aitken, 2010). This is discussed further in Chapter 2.1.5.

2.1.2 Planning process

Discussions on appropriate ways for communities to benefit are commonly raised in

stakeholder consultations preceding a wind farm development. Until only recently,

voluntary community benefit provision were beset by a lack of an industry-wide consensus

on what is termed good practice. The materialisation of best practice guides can support

in the development, execution and operational phases of community benefit provisions

(see HSSL, 2008, DECC, 2014 and Vento Luden, 2012).

To the authors knowledge, work by Vento Luden (2012) (Appendix A), is the first real

attempt to propose a methodological platform for determining a community benefit

package. They posit that their ‘Community Benefit Charter’ can be a useful tool to guide

both developers and communities through discussions. The flowchart highlights the

importance of considering the objectives of the developer, community and local authority.

The preferences may then be compared in a decision matrix. The outcome is expected to

form the basis for further negotiation.

In Sweden, there is little guidance beyond that from Hela Sverige Ska Leva. In their

publication - Vindkraftens Lokala Nytta (HSSL, 2008) a number of compensating

models are showcased based on rules of thumb. These include:

1. In farms with 1-3 turbines or up to 6 MW and a local equity participation in excess

of 10 percent is advised, however no requirement for a community fund

2. In farms of four wind turbines or more (more than 6 MW), on privately owned

land subject to private land lease agreements, the compensation should amount to

0.5 percent

3. For remaining farms the compensation should amount to at least 1 percent.

4. Farms with at least four turbines should offer a minimum of 10 percent in equity

participation

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In other regions, such as Denmark legislation has attempted to standardise benefit

offerings. For example the Renewable Energy Act. 2009 was revised to encompass a

number of schemes aimed at promoting wind power and local value creation (Jensen et

al., 2014 and Sperling, 2015). These include schemes compensating for loss of house value

(Værditapsordning) and ownership offerings (Køberetsordning), where 20 % ownership

shares are to be offered to residents within a 4.5 km radius of farm. While on the one hand,

they legally secure local value creation, yet on the other, they restrict communities and/or

developers from bringing forward new innovative solutions developed in a way

appropriate for the local context and circumstances (Haggett, 2010).

2.1.3 Examples

The most common typologies contained in Table 1 are described. The review is supported

by examples outlined in Vento Ludens (2012), DECC (2014), Ernst and Young (2015),

CSE (2009), Munday et al., (2011) and Edlund & Eriksson (2013). Additionally, the

community benefits register (CBR) (http://www.localenergyscotland.org/view-the-

register/) was particularly useful.

2.1.3.1 Conventional Economic Benefits

Landowner payments exist as two forms: 1) landowner lease payments 2) proximity rent

payments (Ernst & Young, 2014). In the former, landowners hosting turbines, road access

or other park constructions receive payment from the developer. This contractual

arrangement is familiar and somewhat guaranteed. Provisioning for proximity payments

are, however, no certainty and generally fall under the voluntary umbrella. They allow

landowners within a radius from the turbines to receive royalties and therefore increase

the distribution of wealth amongst a greater number of proprietors (Fig. 2).

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Figure 2 Comparison between landowner lease payment (left) and proximity rent payments (right)

(Ernst & Young, 2014)

One of the following four payment structures are generally adopted: 1) one off lump sum;

2) fixed payment at scheduled intervals; 3) payments tied to gross revenue; or 4) a

combination of the aforementioned. Fixed or performance related sums have been the

most commonly employed approaches. Production based land lease in Sweden are

typically in the range of 3 – 5% of gross park revenue (Wizelius, 2014). Proximity

payments are notably less due to their inherently broader distribution.

There are number of different methods to determine proximity payments. One such

example is ‘wind catchment areas’ (vindupptagningsområden) proposed by the Federation

of Swedish Farmers, Sweden (Lantbrukarnas Riksförbund, LRF) (Fig. 3 & Table 2) (LRF,

2013). LRF’s model is slightly more complex than the previous example, by working

under the premise that by constructing a turbine, this can discourage others from erecting

turbines within the near vicinity (or 5 diameters) on their respective land without having

a detrimental impact to the production of both turbines e.g. through wake losses.

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Considerations are made to physical intrusions (e.g. road) and terrain height of the

turbines, acknowledging that higher positions are exposed to better wind resources and as

such higher payments must ensue.

Figure 3 Wind catchment model proposed by LRF. Dashed red lines indicate land

ownership boundary. Green buffer marks five diameters from turbine. (LRF, 2013)

Table 2 Exemplified wind catchment area calculus (LRF, 2013)

The procurement and employment of local contractors and resources is one method for a

developer to contribute to the local economy during all phases of a wind power project-

planning, construction, operation/maintenance and decommission (Munday, et al., 2011;

Brown, et al., 2012). Securing local content in this manner has become an integral part of

developer policies, with many vowing their commitment to local procurement within the

supply chain (Edlund & Eriksson, 2014).

Criteria Dubois Carlsson Bengtsson Andersson

Lease (4% annually) 380 000 at 25% -

95 000 kr

380 000 at 40% -

152 000 kr

380 000 at 25%

- 95 000 kr

380 000 at 10%

- 38 000 kr

Height 10 000 kr - 10 000 kr -

Physical intrusion 2250 kr (road) 4750 kr (road &

crane) 2500 kr (crane) -

Total per annum 107 250 kr 156 750 kr 107 500 kr 38 000 kr

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Local value creation by means of procurement of services and goods may be classified

according to three tiers (Slattery et al., 2011):

direct (accrued from expenditures onsite),

indirect (supporting industries within the supply chain) and;

induced (reinvestment and spending from direct and indirect beneficiaries)

Most value emerging from a wind development is through direct and indirect means

during the contracting and construction phases (Edlund & Eriksson, 2014). They comprise

procurement of turbines, Balance of Plants (BoP) and operation and maintenance (O&M)

(Fig 4).

Figure 4 The three major processes of wind power procurement (Edlund & Eriksson, 2014)

Turbine procurement represents the most capital intensive part, equivalent to approx. 70

% of total CAPEX. However, the few turbine developers in existence, generally have

established supply chains, given that the components are large and complex. Therefore,

the probability of sourcing local components is rather low (Edlund & Eriksson, 2014).

Both O&M and BoP carry a high potential for local content. Through the O&M phase

developers and/or manufactures can create long-term employment opportunities for

service personnel. As an indication 9 full time-equivalents (FTEs) were employed to serve

a 42 MW project in North Sweden (Edlund & Eriksson, 2014). BoP, by means of civil

works, electrical works and grid connection represents the largest scope to procure locally.

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Esteves & Barclay (2011) reveal a number of strategies currently used to enhance local

participation with businesses. This includes preferencing, whereby higher preference

weightings are assigned to local businesses in competitive bidding processes.

Alternatively, price matching is the process where only local contractors may

competitively bid amongst each other in a more market-orientated strategy. Unbundling

allows large contractors to be broken down, enabling small and medium sized enterprises

to participate. Other strategies include conditions applied to non-local suppliers to sub-

contract locally.

Induced impacts relate to the increased economic activity stimulated by the increased

purchasing power of direct and indirect beneficiates at local retailers, food and hospitality

services, childcare providers etc. These are much harder to influence, given that they are

dictated by individual choices. One approach would be for beneficiaries to be incentivised

to spend locally.

2.1.3.2 Flows of financial benefits: Ownership

Local ownership represents another provision increasingly employed by developers. This

is where landowners/communities are offered a shared financial stake and as such they

possess dividends that are directly related to the performance and profitability of the

project. There are numerous business arrangements in operation, given the variation of

investor motives and also national regulation that can be supportive of certain agreements.

For simplicity, these may be categorized under three core groups according to Ernst and

Young (2014) and DECC (2014):

1. Individual landowner co-investment in partnership with developer (not relevant)

2. Community organisation co-investment in partnership with developer

- Joint ventures

- Shared revenue

- Split ownership

3. Wholly community owned e.g. community opts for complete project takeover

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The ‘joint venture’ model can be defined as a partnership between commercial operator

and community organization collectively create, own and manage a project (Fig 5). This

is exemplified by Neilston community project. In 2009, Neilston Development Trust

(NDT) entered into limited liability partnership with the developer Caron Free

Development (CFD). CFD offered NDT the right with no obligation to contribute to 49.9

% including a pro-rata share of development costs. NDT opted for 28.3% share in the

windfarm, and consequently it is estimated to generate the community approximately

£10m over the lifetime. Today, profits are distributed to a number of renaissance and

development projects recognised in the Renaissance Town Charter.

Figure 5 Joint-venture arrangement (Haggett et al., 2014)

The ‘shared revenue’ model is where a community organization purchases the rights to a

future virtual revenue stream. Falck Renewables Wind Ltd. has undertaken a number of

shared revenue based projects involving co-operatives, for example Kilbraur Wind Energy

Co-op (KWEC) (DECC, 2014). The KWEC’s initial share offer raised over £1m from 528

investors and so formed their initial stake in the project. Investors receive annual interest

payments based on the wind farms performance (Fig. 6).

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Figure 6 A revenue sharing arrangement (Haggett et al., 2014)

The ‘split ownership’ model is where the community enterprise owns a proportion of the

assets. Generally, there is no pooling of income or direct expenses, though grid access,

cabling and debt financing may be shared (DECC, 2014). Hedbodberget wind farm in

Rättvik (Dalarna, Sweden) is a pertinent example. In 2006, the municipality Rättvik

purchased two turbines out of the original nine constructed during phase one. One out of

the two turbines was purchased by the co-op Rättvik vind ek (Wizelius, 2014).

2.1.3.3 Flows of financial benefits: Community fund

The community fund represents one of the most common forms of benefit schemes. This

is where a fraction of profits are distributed to the local community (Baxter et al., 2013).

In most cases, funds are controlled and administered by a local trust organization, to ensure

equality and avoid conflicting interests. The fund can provide financial support for capital

projects e.g. energy conservation schemes (DECC, 2014). This initiative is exemplified

by the community fund at Keadby Wind Farm whereby approx. £170,000 per year is made

available to communities within the local Area (SSE, 2016). This is in addition to a

Sustainable Development Fund, which supports strategic projects that prioritise either job

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creation, development of renewable energy and energy efficiency schemes or enhance the

natural and built environment.

The amount committed to funds vary and like landowner payments, the disbursement is

either fixed, performance related, a lump sum or a combination (CSE, 2009). According

to the Community Benefit Register, the average community fund in Scotland is £6,140,

while commentators such as Muntay et.al (2011) highlight that this figure is closer to

£1000/MW, albeit outdated. The Swedish rural lobby group – Hela Sverige ska leva,

recommends an annual performance tied payment of at least 1% gross revenue, though in

reality this is not the case (Andersson, 2011; Wizelius, 2014). This statement is supported

by findings from Edlund & Eriksson (2014), where they revealed that for 10 wind farms

in the county of Jämntland, developers had offset between 0.17 – 1.0% of profit.

2.1.3.4 Contributions to in-kind local assets, facilities and others

Community benefit packages can bring further tangible rewards to the community in ways

beyond conventional means. This can take the form of in-kind benefits or other voluntary

mechanisms. They are characterised as on-the-ground local improvements crafted to the

desires of the community and hence many innovative schemes have been developed. This

ranges from new facilities or infrastructure, to tourism or recreational provisions, amenity

improvement, environmental enhancements, educational or scholarship programmes

(Table 3).

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Table 3 Examples of in-kind benefits

In-kind benefit Example Description

Tourism Näsudden Visitor

Centre (Vattenfall)1

A visitor centre at Näsudden wind farm

on Gotland during the summer to give

visitors the chance to learn more about

the park’s history and wind power in

general.

Environmental-

Stewardship

Cefn Croes

(Cambrian Wind

Energy)2

Financial support for a number of

environmental restoration activities in

the area.

Discounted electricity-

initiative

Local Electricity

Discount Scheme

(LEDS) (RES)3

Individuals matching spatial criteria are

entitled to discount on their electricity

bills.

Educational

programme

ALIenergy’s

educational

programme (Scottish

Power)4

Direct investment in an educational

programme, which runs energy

workshops in primary schools and

supports energy conservation measures

in the local area.

Apprenticeships/

Studentships

University Bursary

Scheme (London

Array)5

A commitment to supporting education

for future students

Sponsorship Ffynnon Oer (RWE)3 RWE sponsored the Afan Mountain

Bike Trails, which run close to the wind

farm through the nearby Afan Forest

Park.

Participation Extensive

Consultation

Early and continued engagement with

the community beyond the legal

requirements, where input from local

actors are considered more openly and

earnestly e.g. turbine placement

1 Braunova (2013) 2 Natural resources Wales (2016) 3 DECC (2014) 4 CSE (2009) 5 Rudolph et al (2015)

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2.1.4 Merits

A continued effort has taken place over the past decade to broaden our understanding of

the merits emerging from community benefit schemes (Toke et al., 2008; Slee, 2015).

Generally this has centred on their ability to create local value and secondly their impact

upon attitudes towards wind power. There is also a growing awareness of the individual

assets and limitations of the most common forms of provision.

Since the conception of wind power for wide scale energy production, there has been a

healthy supply of research striving to better understand the underlying factors leading to

local acceptance/and or opposition. This has uncovered a multiplicity of arguments as to

what aspects shape and influence attitude towards wind energy developments (Ellis et al.,

2007). While, the NIMBY (Not In My Back Yard) concept, often used to explain

objections, has received significant attention, it has routinely been condemned as too

simplistic in its explanation (Wolsink, 2007). Instead, the literature points to other

influential factors that relate to the perceived distribution of benefits, local participation

and opportunities for the local economy (e.g. employment, ownership, funding,

participation) (Devine-Wright, 2005; Warren & McFadyen, 2010; Devlin, 2005; Ellis et

al., 2009, Rygg, 2012).

Evidence for this can be found in Denmark, where less objection leading to higher rates

of deployment have coincided with benefit provisions of legal and voluntary nature (Toke

et al., 2008). For example, Slee (2015) showed that project ownership structure plays an

inherent role, such that public attitudes are more positive towards locally orientated wind

energy projects. There is proof that pre-existing positive attitudes may be enhanced and

negative ones suppressed if ownership is characteristically local (Warren & McFadyen,

2010). Work by Walker (2008) reveals that by positively affecting public attitudes,

schemes are proving to be effective tools in nullifying objection and smoothing out the

path towards planning consent. Improved participation causes communities to feel a sense

of value, inclusiveness in the project and cohesiveness among members of the host

community (Haggett et al., 2014).

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Findings show that through ownership and performance related payments (e.g. funds and

equity share), communities possess a vested interest in the projects well-being and long

term success. Hence, this can become an impetus for lobbying support, though the use of

local networks and procuring of local services. Walker (2008) identified six incentives for

different actors, including individuals, community organisations, local government and

the private sector, to participate in community-owned ventures: Local income and

regeneration, local approval and planning permission, local control, lower energy costs

and reliable supply, ethical and environmental commitment, load management.

Evidence based research has shown how wind power schemes can bring substantial

localized economic benefits to host communities (Breukers & Wolsink, 2007; Szarka and

Bluhdorn 2006). This is realized by means of opportunities in construction,

manufacturing, maintenance and other local jobs, tax revenues, lease income to

landowners and rural infrastructure investments (Slattery et al., 2011). Critics assert that

in the absence of community benefit schemes, local value creation can be modest (Slattery

et al., 2011; Cowell et al., 2012). Lantz & Tegen (2008, 2009) show that the ability of

local businesses to participate and the extent of local ownership can dramatically impact

the scale of economic impacts to the local arena.

Munday et al (2011), showed that the revenue flows associated with community funds are

dwarfed by the streams that could be accrued from equity participation. Lantz and Tegen

(2008, 2009) quantify this impact between 79 and 164 percent greater local economic

benefit than absentee owned projects. In a similar study, Ejdemo and Söderholm (2015)

traced the impact distribution arising from wind power community benefit schemes on

wider regional development, by means of increased income, output, employment and

investment. The adopted input-output model comprehensively conveyed the direct (value

added generated by project) and indirect/induced (linkages to other activities – multiplier

effects) economic contributions (Ejdemo & Söderholm, 2015). Their work highlights the

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significant financial benefits realised through local procurement of services and goods in

the balance of plant process.

Community benefit funds are an opportunity for the local community to access resources,

including long-term, low risk and predictable funding to directly enhance their local

economy, society and environment in a democratic manner (Liljenfeldt, 2013). Moreover,

existing community entities can be utilised to administer and govern the funds, while they

do not necessitate a skill set beyond basic expertise and hence they are easily implemented.

2.1.5 Challenges

Community benefit schemes are generally well received and are advocated mechanisms

for benefit distribution. However, they are not exempt from critique and suffer a number

of hurdles to progress. This varies also by initiative. Broadly speaking, they have been

perceived as discrete commercial strategies to silence objection or buy planning

permission, even adopting the term ‘compensation devices’ and thus suggest that

communities are being reimbursed due to suffering (CSE, 2009 & Aitken, 2010). Trust

has been voiced as an essential component to realising the progression of benefit schemes

(Haggett et al., 2014). Sources of distrust are two way and can stem from the skewed

power relations between developer and community. A lack of openness and transparency

can leave communities feeling aggrieved, while developers highlight the lack of

appreciation from communities towards the commercial constraints and therefore leading

to unrealistic expectations.

Concern over equality with respect to the allocation and distribution of benefits are also

heavily cited within the literature (Evans et al., 2011; Munday et al., 2011). The procedure

to defining beneficiaries can lead to conflict, alienation and jeopardising social cohesion

as many individuals, groups, communities etc. will not be eligible to the benefit

arrangements (Bell et al., 2005). Critics argue that this runs the risk of marginalising needs

and desires of sections of the community and undermining the core objective of

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community benefit schemes (Vento Luden, 2012). In a similar vein, community members

may perceive the benefits as insufficient or have other opinions on where the resources

should be allocated (Bristow et al., 2012; Walker et al., 2007).

The extensive dialogue and negotiation that unfolds during the development phase can

become a burden on resources (Hinshelwood, 2001). This is especially true if the

community lack the financial, technical or legal expertise required in discussions and are

therefore vulnerable to making ill-informed decisions (Walker et al., 2007). Shared equity

arrangements with the community involves many complexities (Walker, 2008). For

instance, the legal conditions, the schemes viability and the extensive liaison are just some

obstacles that need to be overcome (Hinshelwood, 2011). In their survey, Haggett et al.,

(2014) expose a number of challenges to shared ownership, highlighting finance,

knowledge, trust and timing as key hurdles to progression.

Difficulties have been witnessed in sourcing dedicated persons within the community with

skills (including community engagement and consultation; financial and accounting skills;

project management and delivery; business planning; monitoring, evaluation and impact

assessments) and the drive necessary to realise the desired benefit arrangement.

Consequently, there is an increasing expectation on developers to show how more

complex arrangements such as shared equity can be achieved with undue complication,

risk and expense. This has led developers to adopt a support and advocacy role, thereby

becoming a resource intense exercise and extending the scope of their work (Haggett et

al., 2014).

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2.1.6 Comparative summary

Table 4 is a summary of the relative assets and limitations of the core benefit sharing models. This has been adapted from Haggett

et al., (2014) and CSE (2009). This information will be useful in (1) determining decision making criteria and (2) verifying the

scoring from experts.

Table 4 Summary of comparative assessment

Scheme Assets Limitations

Proximity rent model

/ Community Fund

Easily implemented

Long term

Predictable

Stable

Flexible end use

Restricted to particular groups meeting criteria

Overreliance

Small fraction of the profits

Requires community management

Local Supply Chain High income potential

Can be widespread

Less visible at local level

Largely short term and temporary

Shared Ownership:

joint venture (JV)

High income potential

Whole community benefits regardless of

investment

Early stage risk and finance provided by

developer

Skills and expertise from developer

Banks more likely to approve loans

Require up-front equity – considered divisive

Access to start-up finance

Drain on resources

No immediate benefits, revenues only

generated during operation

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Shared Ownership:

shared revenue (SR)

Individuals benefit from investment

Medium/high income potential

Less resource intensive than JV

Community develops skills

Greater sense of ownership

Require up-front equity

Greater difficulty to source finance than JV

Requires trust

No immediate benefits, revenues only

generated during operation

In-kind Benefit Easily implemented

Little to no management required by the

community

Less contentious for a developer

Can be inflexible

Low income potential

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2.2 Multi-Criteria Analysis

The findings showcased in Chapter 2.1 indicate that research has chiefly concentrated on

identifying the relative strengths and weaknesses of community benefit schemes. The

conclusions from such analyses are fruitful in providing feedback and guidance to

interested parties during the negotiation phase of a community benefit scheme. However,

the conclusions are generalised, such that the successes of one scheme may not always be

easily transferrable. Pioneering work by Vento Luden (2012) paved the way for a new

practical approach, whereby objectives of key stakeholders in combination with requisites

could systematically be considered in the decision making process. This thesis extends

this train of thought through the adoption of a proven methodological approach that

combines group decision aid with multi-criteria decision making – namely a multi-actor

multi-criteria analysis (MAMCA). In this manner, the preferences of all decision makers

can be considered with the use of performance measures applied to criteria. This facilitates

the ability to examine and analyse schemes on how they impact each member of the

community.

2.2.1 Definition

A Multi Actor Multi Criteria Analysis (MAMCA) is a decision making instrument used

in the appraisal of complex problems. MAMCA is an extension of the conventional Multi-

criteria decision analysis (MCDA). MCDA focuses on evaluating alternatives against

several criteria, while the MAMCA incorporates the subjective perspectives of multiple

stakeholders simultaneously. An advantage is that both qualitative and quantitative criteria

can be evaluated to broadly represent the decision making objectives of multiple

stakeholders (Macharis et al., 2012). MAMCA draws together many other forms of

analyses such as cost-benefit analysis, environmental impact analysis, social impact

analysis and others, into one holistic overview. It allows the user to comparatively evaluate

multiple conflicting criteria from multiple decision makers in a logical and consistent

manner (Mendoza & Martins, 2006). Appropriate mathematical algorithms are selected to

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ensure the validity of the ranking approach. The methodology identifies the most

appropriate alternative and provides decision makers with valuable feedback on the

sensitivity of stakeholders to schemes (Turcksin et al. 2011).

MAMCA has been extensively researched in the realm of environmental management,

and in particular the wind power branch. This ranges from strategic energy policy planning

(Diakoulaki & Karangelis, 2007), spatial analysis (Lee et al., 2009), determining optimal

technology (Minguez et al., 2011 and Wang et al., 2009 ) to exploring models of wind

power ownership (Harti, 2009). To our knowledge, its use in the determination of an

appropriate community benefit scheme in the context of wind power is novel.

2.2.2 Process

The methodological approach necessitates the existence of (1) multiple alternative

scenarios, (2) multiple criteria for scenario evaluation and; (3) multiple actors involved in

the development procedure of community benefits (Georgepoulou et al., 1997). The

MAMCA procedure consist of a number of subsequent steps:

Step 1: Define the decision problem and identify the alternatives

Step 2: Identify the relevant stakeholders and key objectives

Step 3: Translate objectives into criteria and allocate weight

Step 4: Operationalise the identified stakeholder criteria

Step 5: Construct evaluation matrix which aggregates each alternative contribution

to the objectives of all stakeholders

Step 6: Rank alternatives

Step 7: Implement the most optimal scheme based on performance

This Thesis is concerned with the decision problem associated with choosing a locally

appropriate community benefit scheme. A number of alternatives have been showcased in

Chapter 2.1.3, these include conventional economic benefits, flows of financial benefits

to local communities, contributions to in-kind local assets and others.

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Stakeholder analysis can be employed in step 2 to identify relevant stakeholders and their

respective objectives, goals, preferences etc. The promotion of a community benefit

scheme should result from the consensus of several actors, including all in the vicinity

who are directly and indirectly affected by a potential initiative. It is assumed that all actors

share the responsibility for the decision taken and are motivated for its implementation

(Georgepoulou et al., 1997).

Based on the preferences from each stakeholder and supported by the existing literature,

a set of criteria can be constructed. Thereafter, a weighting technique can be employed to

determine the importance of each criterion. Methods include fixed point scoring, ordinal

ranking, a graphical method and paired comparisons (Hajkowicz et al., 2000). The choice

is somewhat linked to practical use and ability in helping clarify the decision problem.

The pairwise comparison method or Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) is claimed to be

most helpful in explaining the complex decision problem, similar to that at hand

(Hajkowicz et al., 2000). The method comprises of three actions. Firstly the problem is

modelled as a hierarchy, secondly respondents analyse using pairwise comparisons to

derive numerical scales at the nodes, and finally judgements are synthesised to yield a set

of priorities (Saaty, 1980).

In step 4, criteria identified are performance measured or operationalised through

indicators or attributes. A score or attribute scale are defined, as well as a procedure to

obtain these scores. Measurement scales can be a either quantitative or qualitative in

nature.

The core of the evaluation process arrives in step 5 and 6. An evaluation matrix is

constructed whereby all alternatives are evaluated on each criterion separately. This

information is aggregated using several available mathematical and analytical procedures

such as PROMETHEE (Preference Ranking Organization METHod for Enrichment of

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Evaluations) or ELECTRE (ELimination Et Choix Traduisant la REalité or ELimination

and Choice Expressing REality). The aforementioned decision support methods make it

possible to aggregate all the separate criterion scores of an alternative into one single

synthetic final score or ranking. At this point the decision maker has a good insight into

the sensitivity of the different alternatives to the stakeholder objectives.

In the final step results are interpreted and integrated and so conclude the decision making

process. This is also an opportunity to warrant further analysis through the revision of

alternatives following improved insight gained from executing the MAMCA.

2.2.3 Application to research context

MAMCA is very suited to the decision dilemma at hand, given that it necessitates the input

from multiple alternatives, actors and criteria. In contrast to many types of evaluative

tools, all types of data can be processed. In the context of decision making surrounding

community benefit schemes, there are many non-monetary and intangible elements, which

are scored according to qualitative forms. Since, stakeholder participation is cemented at

the heart of the evaluation process it allows for the continuous incorporation of local actors

in the decision making process. Because, wind power has a large footprint; schemes are

able to influence a broad scope of persons with individual interests and preferences.

Hence, by considering a broad spectrum of interested actors, the overall assessment and

eventual outcome is impartial and more likely to fully represent a compromised scheme

for the greater good.

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CHAPTER 3. METHODOLOGY

3.1 Conceptualisation

The final outcome of this Thesis, as presented in Chapter 1, is to find the most optimal

community benefit scheme applied to a fictitious wind farm development. This will be

achieved by identifying several alternative schemes, and evaluating their impact on key

stakeholder groups through the use of discrete criteria. The research objective is assessed

in a socio-economic manner, and thus allows for a holistic valuation.

The methodology employed, as presented in Chapter 3, will be a multi-actor multi-criteria

analysis (MAMCA). The appraisal method allows for the incorporation of multiple criteria

and objectives from different stakeholders. The methodology is conceptualised in the

framework presented in Figure 7, which is an adaption of the thought process behind

community benefit determination as demonstrated in Vento Luden (2012). The process

commences with a project’s inception and the decision dilemma is introduced - what

voluntary mechanisms for community benefit are to be provisioned? A challenge is

presented, given the broad mix and perhaps conflicting stakeholder

objectives/preferences. Different alternatives for community benefit provision are

fashioned during what is known as scenario analysis. Stakeholder analysis is employed to

identify unique groups that together broadly represent the genetic make-up of the

community. Criteria are subsequently construed from stakeholder objectives. Stakeholder

preferences are conveyed through the structured technique Analytical Hierarchy Process

(AHP) (Saaty, 1988). Criteria are operationalized, where quantitative indicators are

assigned, thereby facilitating the scoring of alternatives over how they contribute to each

criterion. The evaluation matrix is entered into PROMETHEE II (Preference Ranking

Organization METHod for Enrichment of Evaluations), which represents particular multi-

criteria decision aid (MCDA) technique used in this study used to identify the most

optimal scheme (Brans & Vincke, 1985).

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Figure 7 Methodology conceptualisation

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3.2 Description of alternatives

This sub-chapter outlines the different benefit schemes to be tested during the MAMCA.

Seven independent alternatives were recognised in the literature (Table 5). Any figures

stated are based upon cited values in the literature and should be used as guidance. An

elaborative description of these can be found in Chapter 2.

Table 5 Community Benefit alternatives

Alternatives

1 Proximity Rent Model

2 Community Fund

3 Local Content

4 Shared Ownership: joint venture

5 Shared Ownership: shared revenue

6 In-kind Benefit: habitat management

7 In-kind Benefit: discounted electricity

1. Proximity Rent Model

Proprietors within a 2 km radius of the turbines receive royalty payments based on total

hectares within the considered zone. This is tied to annual gross revenue whereby 4 % in

earnings is portioned off for this purpose.

2. Community Fund

Payment into a fund for use by the local community. Equivalent to 1% annual gross

revenue.

3. Local Content

An obligation on developers to source goods and/or services from local providers. This

considers a minimum of 30% of the projects total capital expenditure throughout the key

phases - planning, construction, operation and decommission.

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4. Shared Ownership: joint venture

Partnership between commercial operator and community organization collectively

create, own and manage a project.

5. Shared Ownership: shared revenue

Community organization possesses a financial stake in the project and thus a share of the

revenue.

6. In kind benefit: habitat management

On-the-ground local improvements tailored to the desires of the community. Habitat

conservation seeks to conserve, protect and restore habitat areas for wild plants and

animals.

7. In kind benefit: discounted electricity

On-the-ground local improvements tailored to the desires of the community. Proprietors

within a 5 km radius are eligible for discounted energy bills.

3.3 Stakeholder Analysis

Stakeholder analysis is systematic process for identifying individuals or groups who are

likely to be affected by a proposed action. This helps to ensure the consideration of local

views in a comprehensive and equitable manner.

3.3.1 Identification/mapping

Edward Freeman’s well acknowledged definition of a stakeholder serves as a good starting

point. He states that a stakeholder may be “any group or individual who can affect or is

affected by the achievement of the organisations objectives” (Freeman, 1984). In this

instance, the community benefit schemes provisioned by the organisation or developer

acts as the objective. Identifying all the stakeholders relevant to community benefit

schemes from a wind power project is a challenging task. This is largely due to local

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context but also partially caused by the diverse nature of provisions and the ill-defined

concept of community.

For the purposes of this Thesis, we propose the adoption of a defined geographical region.

This could be the local municipality, parishes or even neighbouring administrative

divisions where the application site covers. Yet, as Liljenfeldt (2013) reasons, this has the

potential to neglect many who are likely to locally benefit from such schemes. For example

services in project procurement may have their premises on coarser geographical scales.

As such, we suggest the inclusion of shared interests that may exist on a wider geographic

reach.

While not considered here, there are other means to further delineate, for instance based

on proximity to site, geographical features, demographics and many more (Scotland, L.E,

2014). For the purposes of this Thesis, a geographical catchment area is adopted, such that

it conforms to the definition of community. It is anticipated that key stakeholder groups

are adequately represented in such an approach.

3.3.2 Classification

This sub-chapter showcases the selected stakeholders (Table 6). The stakeholders are

grouped, exemplified under specific parties and briefly described with an explanation on

their relevant stake or interest. For the purposes of this thesis, hypothetical interests of

each stakeholder group have been used to maintain an appropriate level of independency.

All stakeholders are assumed to share the same overriding and rational objective to

maximise local value creation. It is however, anticipated that they do not share the same

individual goals or objectives to realise this. For the purposes of this Thesis, the

preferences of the developer are detached, bringing the community into focus.

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Table 6 Stakeholder overview

Group Sub-groups Local

example to

Gotland

Hypothetical

core interest

1. Landholder Participating

landholders

Adjoining

landholders

Equality of

distribution and

equitable

opportunity to

benefits.

2. Local resident Local village

Community group

Nearby villages

e.g. Burgsvik Equality of

distribution and

equitable

opportunity to

benefits

3. Local business Local small

suppliers

Construction

company

e.g.

Siral Energi

Maximising use of

local content

4. Local authority Local County

Local Municipality

e.g.

Länsstyrelsen

gotland, region

Gotland

Equality of

distribution and

equitable

opportunity to

benefits.

5. Local investor Individual

Cooperative

Development

banks

Pension funds etc.

e.g. Ryftes

Energi,

Förvaltning

Fole, Österudd

Näs Annex AB

Investments with

high return and

low risk. Equality

of opportunity.

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3.4 Model development

Once the alternatives and stakeholders are defined, the next process is to identify criteria

that reflect the preferences of each key stakeholder. As far as the author knows, criteria

based analysis has not yet been applied in the decision making sphere under investigation.

Thus, support was sought through an analytical review of credible scientific articles on the

evaluation of community benefit schemes, as well MAMCA in environmental decision

making, as showcased in Chapter 2.2.

3.4.1 Defining criteria

Criteria was chosen based on both the applicability to the alternatives and also how strong

they represent the preferences of stakeholders. The question was asked: What is it that

stakeholders value with respect to community benefit schemes? Hence, many criteria have

connections to local value creation and reflect the socio-economic elements. The process

was simplified by finding commonality among the alternatives and subsequently assigning

homogenous criteria for all stakeholders. Each criterion must be made operational and

able to reflect the relative performance of alternatives in achieving the overarching

objective. Criteria was screened for completeness, redundancy, operationally, mutual

independence of preferences and double counting as according to advice from the Crown

(2009). The final criteria are described in table 7.

Table 7 Stakeholder criteria

Criteria Description

Income generation to

the community

The potential scale of absolute return for the community in monetary

terms

Ease of

implementation

The resources in both time, skills/expertise and finance required in

the development and negotiation of the community benefit scheme(s)

and also the on-going administration and governance following

delivery.

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3.4.2 Criteria weighting

The purpose of weighting criteria is to develop a set of cardinal or ordinal values from the

decision-maker, which indicates the relative importance of each alternative (Hajkowicz et

al., 2000).

The derivation of weights allocated to each criterion can be achieved using the Analytical

Hierarchy Process (AHP). This is divided into two phases; (1) pairwise comparison (2)

computing the vector of criteria weights.

The AHP process starts with creating a pairwise comparison matrix. Subjective opinion

and/or actual measurements can be used as input to the model. In this instance, stakeholder

representatives are asked to numerically judge criteria based on their importance and

meaning in a pairwise trade-off. Table 8 illustrates this process. Each entry denoted as

ajxky of the matrix represents the importance of the jth criterion to the kth criterion. If ajxky

> 1, then the jth criterion is more important than the kth criterion. While, vice versa if ajxky

< 1. In instances where the criteria share the same importance ajk is denoted 1.

Distributional justice Justice for the local community in terms of being entitled to share in

the benefits from the community scheme

Equality of

opportunity

The opportunities for local stakeholders to participate in the

community benefit scheme

Longevity The longevity of benefits over time

Job creation Job creation paid or voluntary opportunities to learn and develop

transferrable skills

Risk to the

community

The risk imposed on the community from participating in the scheme

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Table 8 Weight calculation using the AHP method

a k1 k2 k3…..

j1 1 aj1k2 aj1k3

j2 aj2k1* 1 aj2k3

j3……. aj3k1* aj3k2* 1

*automated

Pairwise comparisons are judged according to a nine point scale creating a reciprocal ratio

matrix (Appendix B). The phrases in the “explanation” column are only suggestive, and

can be used to translate the decision maker’s qualitative evaluations of the relative

importance between two criteria into numbers. The advantage of assigning a numerical

priority is that it allows previously incommensurable elements to be compared to one

another. AHP can require a large number of evaluations by the user – as illustrated in

figure 8. Fortunately, the decision evaluation is rather simple, since only two criteria are

compared. Furthermore, in an effort to reduce the decision maker’s workload, the AHP

matrix was partially automated.

Figure 8 AHP mapping for all stakeholders

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There are many approaches to computing weights (e.g. geometric weighting), we

however, consider the simplified weighted arithmetic mean method [WAMM] to

aggregate. This is achieved by the following sequential steps (Carrion et al., 2008;

Malczewski, 1999):

a. Sum the values in each column of the pair-wise comparison matrix;

b. Divide each element in the matrix by its column total (normalized

comparison matrix);

c. Compute the average of the elements in each row of the normalized

matrix.

For a fixed criterion, the AHP assigns a score to each option according to the decision

maker’s pairwise comparisons of the options based on that criterion. The higher the score,

the better the performance of the option with respect to the considered criterion. Finally,

the AHP combines the criteria weights and the options scores, thus determining a global

score for each option, and a consequent ranking. The global score for a given option is a

weighted sum of the scores it obtained with respect to all the criteria.

The AHP method can be extended to provide a mathematical measure of judgement

inconsistency. Firstly, a consistency index (CI) is determined, which measures the

inconsistencies of pair-wise comparisons, expressed as (Appendix C):

𝑪𝑰 = 𝛌 𝐦𝐚𝐱 − 𝒏

𝒏−𝟏 (1)

Consistency ratios can be calculated based on the properties of reciprocal matrices and

expressed as the following fraction:

𝑪𝑰 = 𝐂𝐈

𝑹𝑰 (2)

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Where CI represents the consistency index and RI is the average CI of the randomly

generated comparison. Generally a CR value below 10 % is perceived as acceptable, beyond

this suggests the decision maker must revise their judgements.

3.4.3 Criteria operationalisation

Through the operationalisation of criteria, the user is able to empirically observe the

criteria as indicators in either metric or variable form. The general concept is to identify

the extent to which the alternatives contribute to each criterion. Indicators are commonly

of quantitative nature, but they can nevertheless be qualitative. In this instance the

literature was used as feedback for quantitatively ranking on a simplified score system of

1 – 7 (7 is equivalent to highest contribution).

3.4.4 Visual PROMETHEE II method and ranking

PROMETHEE II (Preference Ranking Organisation Method for Environment

Evaluations) is a pertinent tool for identifying the most optimal community benefit

scheme. The software developed by VPSolutions (2013) was utilised. The method

employs a comparative pair per pair approach, whereby decisions along each criterion are

evaluated (Tallandier & Stinckwich, 2001). Decisions are assessed according to the

operationalised criteria, whereby the user assigns max/min preference. The use of the

PROMETHEE II method requires four additional types of information for each criterion:

a weight, preference function, preference and indifference. Accordingly, the decision

making process is detailed in four steps (Tallandier & Stinckwich, 2001):

Step 1 – This step computes for each pair of possible decisions and for each criterion, the value

of the preference degree. Let gj (a) be the value of a criterion j for a decision a. We note dj (a, b),

the difference of value of a criterion j for two decisions a and b

(𝒂, 𝒃) = 𝒈𝒋 (𝒂) − 𝒈𝒋 (𝒃) (3)

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Pj (a, b) is the value of the preference degree of a criterion j for two decisions a and b.

The preference functions used to compute these preference degrees are defined such as:

𝑷𝒋 (𝒂, 𝒃) = 𝑭 (𝒅𝒋(𝒂, 𝒃))𝒘𝒊𝒕𝒉 ∀𝒙 ∈] − ∞, ∞[, 𝟎 ≤ 𝑭(𝒙) ≤ 𝟏] (4)

Step 2 - This step consists in aggregating the preference degrees of all criteria for each

pair of possible decisions. For each pair of possible decisions, we compute a global

preference index. Let C be the set of considered criteria and wj the weight associated to

the criterion j. The global preference index for a pair of possible decision a and b is

computed as follows:

𝝅 (𝒂, 𝒃) = ∑𝒋 𝝐 𝑪 𝒘𝒋 𝒙 𝑷𝒋 (𝒂, 𝒃) (5)

Step 3 - The third step, which is the first that concerns the ranking of the possible

decisions, consists in computing the outranking flows. For each possible decision a, we

compute the positive outranking flow φ +(a) and the negative outranking flow φ −(a). Let

A be the set of possible decisions and n the number of possible decisions. The positive

outranking flow of a possible decision a is computed by the following formula:

𝝋+ (𝒂) = 𝟏

𝒏−𝟏= ∑ 𝝅𝒙𝝐𝑨 (𝒂, 𝒙) (6)

The negative outranking flow of a possible decision a is computed by the following

formulae:

𝝋− (𝒂) = 𝟏

𝒏−𝟏= ∑ 𝝅𝒙𝝐𝑨 (𝒙, 𝒂) (7)

Step 4 - The last step consists in using the outranking flows to establish a complete

ranking between the possible decisions. The ranking is based on the net outranking

flows. These are computed for each possible decision from the positive and negative

outranking flows. The net outranking flow φ(a) of a possible decision a is computed as

follows:

𝝋(𝒂) = 𝝋+(𝒂) − 𝝋−(𝒂) (8)

Results may be ‘fine-tuned’ when containing a preference function, preference and

indifference threshold. The preference function can either be Usual, U-shape, V-shape,

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Linear, Level or Gaussian (Guarnieri & Almeida, 2015). The preference threshold

relates to the greatest difference between two consecutive alternatives. This number has

to be greater than two consecutive alternatives to trigger change in the preference of the

alternatives; otherwise it will present the indifference threshold (Brans and Vincke,

1985). The evaluation matrix, comprising of criteria weights (AHP exercise) and

operationalisation process are entered into the PROMETHEE software (Figure 9).

Figure 9 Input into PROMETHEE II tool

The higher the value of the net outranking flow for a decision, the better the decision is.

The context of this application is to recognise the most optimal decision and thus seeks

to identify the alternative that maximises the net outranking flow.

3.4.5 Analysis of alternatives

The final step in the methodology framework is to observe and compare the results from

Visual PROMETHEE II. The performance of each alternative is evaluated in regard to the

defined criteria and their associated operationalisation. The results are presented

graphically, whereby the alternatives are linearly ranked on a per stakeholder basis. The

value of this analysis relates to the much-needed insight into how each alternative affects

the individual stakeholder groups. The final approach of collecting the results into one

3.4.2 Criteria weighting

from AHP

3.4.3 Criteria operationalisation

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single graphic informs the decision makers which community benefit scheme would serve

as the most optimal choice or even showcase which combination of schemes are most

favourable.

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CHAPTER 4. RESULTS

4.1 AHP results

Pairwise comparison matrixes were filled in hypothetically to represent the core the values

of the stakeholders. The arithmetic mean was then employed to compute the weights for

each criterion as per the steps detailed in Chapter 3 (Tegou et al., 2010). Table 8

exemplifies the pairwise comparison matrix and standardised matrix for a landowner. The

final stage concerns the derivation of the consistency ratio as per the formula provided in

Chapter 3 (Table 9) (Tegou et al., 2010). This reveals how consistent the judgements have

been relative to random responses. A CR in excess of 0.1 would indicate that the

judgements are untrustworthy because they are too ‘random’. Table 10 conveys the

derivation of variables needed to determine the resultant CR (Consistency Ratio). All

stakeholders had a CR value within acceptable limits and hence the results are reliable

were all within acceptable limits and thus the results can be relied upon.

Table 9 Weight calculation for the Landowner using the AHP method

Pairwise

comparison

Maximising

financial

return

Ease of

impleme

ntation

Distributional

Justice

Equality of

opportunity Longevity

Job

creation

Minimizing

risk Weight

Maximising

financial

return

0.37 0.36 0.36 0.40 0.39 0.26 0.22 33.9%

Ease of

implementati

on

0.09 0.09 0.10 0.09 0.10 0.03 0.11 8.8%

Distributional

Justice 0.12 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.12 0.16 0.15 13.1%

Equality of

opportunity 0.12 0.13 0.17 0.13 0.14 0.23 0.22 16.4%

Longevity 0.18 0.18 0.20 0.19 0.20 0.26 0.22 20.5%

Job creation 0.05 0.09 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 3.9%

Minimizing

risk 0.06 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.04 3.4%

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Table 10 Consistency ratio calculation for Landowners

ℷ max 7.301

CI 0.050

CR 0.04

constant 1.32

Figure 10 Weight allocation for each stakeholder using the AHP method

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Figure 10 illustrates the weight allocation for all stakeholders using the Analytical

hierarchy Process (AHP) method. Landowners and investors both perceive the financial

return to be the most important criteria. Local business’ also felt strongly about this criteria

but considered the equality of opportunity to participate in the scheme as central. The local

resident regarded the distribution of benefits as fundamental to a community benefit

scheme. The local authority held the longevity of benefits over time as imperative to a

schemes success. All users were less moved by the risks schemes may impose, implying

that they most consider them fairly risk-free provisions. Moreover, there ability to foster

jobs and implement at low effort were also not highly reflected. The weightings are

conceived as indicative for the stakeholders groups.

4.2 Criteria Operationalisation results

The next step in the process is to operationalize by means of expert consultation. The aim

is to understand the extent of how individual community benefit schemes contributes to

the fulfilment of different decision making criteria. This is achieved through expert

judgement whereby the decision making criteria are scored in order of hierarchy. Seven

schemes are tested against seven criteria. A score of 7 denotes that the scenario contributes

the highest positive impact on the respective criteria. The results for landholders are shown

in Table 11 and Figure 11.

Table 11 Scoring for Landholders

Score

Maximising

financial

return

Ease of

implementation

Distributional

Justice

Equality of

opportunity Longevity Job creation

Minimizing

risk

Proximity Rent

Model 7 3 6 5 4 1 2

Community Fund 3 7 5 2 4 1 6

Local Content 6 5 4 2 1 7 3

Joint venture 6 1 4 5 7 3 2

Shared revenue 5 3 4 6 7 2 1

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Figure 11 Criteria operationalisation for a landholder

4.3 Visual PROMETHEE II results

The Visual PROMETHEE II or Preference Ranking Organization Method for Enrichment

Evaluations developed by VP Solutions was utilised. The user-friendly interface of Visual

PROMETHEE II is essentially a MCDA tool designed to process several decision making

alternatives, according to multiple conflicting criteria and the views of multiple

stakeholders. To this end, it ranks the decision making alternatives from best to worst.

Data entry is straightforward and only warrants that chosen criteria has undergone

operationalisation and received appropriate weightings.

A Linear preference function was adopted for all criteria, given that all were scored

quantitatively on the same scale. Preference thresholds show the number which is greater

than the difference between two alternatives in one single criteria. In this particular case,

the indifference and preference quantities were advised by the preference function

assistant contained in the software. A value of 2.1 was considered appropriate.

Habitat

management 1 3 4 2 5 7 6

Discounted

electricity 1 4 7 5 3 2 6

Sum: 29 26 34 27 31 23 26

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The data entry and results for the Landholder are illustrated in Figure 12 and 13

respectively. Highly ranked alternatives are signified by a greater net outranking flow.

Figure 12 Visual PROMETHEE II data entry for the Landholder

Figure 13 MCDA-RES results for the Landholder

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CHAPTER 5. DISCUSSION

The multi-actor multi-criteria analysis method contributes to an improved understanding

of how different stakeholder groups that exercise discrete objectives are influenced by a

certain decision in the pursuit of such objectives. Consequently, the MAMCA is a

pertinent methodology since a community benefit scheme will impact most stakeholders

in the locality to varying degrees. The decision maker has the ability to fairly compare

different schemes knowing the potential consequences of their final decision.

Table 12 and Figure 14 show the aggregated result from the Visual PROMETHEE II. It

was computed by a simple mathematical operation, where aggregated results present the

sum of all results from all stakeholders for a particular alternative. In this fictitious

example, it is evident that a developer-community ownership model is the most optimally

comprisable solution for the community. In particular a preference centred on the shared

revenue typology. In-kind benefits, compromising of habitat management and discounted

electricity were the least favoured among the stakeholders.

Table 12 Aggregated results from the Visual PROMETHEE Software

Scenario

/PROMETHEE

Net Flow

Landholder Local resident Local business Local

authority

Local

investor

Aggregated

value

Proximity Rent

Model 0.2947 0.1652 -0.1023 -0.1152 -0.1061 0.02726

Community

Fund -0.191 0.1846 -0.3067 0.3148 0.0025 0.00084

Local Content -0.1195 -0.0955 0.1568 0.0615 -0.1441 -0.02816

Joint venture 0.2785 -0.1785 0.0944 -0.0654 0.2842 0.08264

Shared revenue 0.2758 -0.1155 0.2006 -0.0827 0.2757 0.11078

Habitat

management -0.3837 -0.0082 -0.003 0.0279 -0.0858 -0.09056

Discounted

electricity -0.1548 0.048 -0.0398 -0.1409 -0.2264 -0.10278

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Figure 14 Final ranking of benefit schemes

Over half of the stakeholders (Landholder, local business and local investor) preferred

ownership based models as means for community benefit provision. These schemes

optimise the monetary return and hence it could be argued that such stakeholders are more

motivated by this. Landholders may feel they should be compensated because they are

closely exposed to the generating source, investors may argue that a return on investment

is pivotal while local business owners are possibly more concerned with their future trade

and prosperity. Less appropriate were the in-kind benefits (habitat management and

discounted electricity). Job creation, risk and ease of implementation were not recognised

as key criteria influencing their decision. In-kind benefits are very specific provisions that

would give preference to a select audience, which was compounded in the criteria

operationalisation step.

In addition to ownership based models, the landholder identified a strong preference

towards the proximity based model, given that this group comprises of adjoining

landowners. Local residents showed wind-spread appreciation for schemes that optimised

the distribution of benefits equally and also provided opportunities for the local arena to

participate. The proximity rent model is regarded as an efficient method to fairly share the

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benefits among landowners and adjoining landowners. However, it is less effective if the

proximity radius fails to capture the bulk of the community. While, the community fund

is more flexible and better capable of serving more residents if channelled in a fair manner.

The local business is naturally focussed on provisions that generate income on a

commercial level for a sustained period. Beyond, investment opportunities in ownership

models, local content is evidently imperative given the direct, indirect and induced

benefits listed Ch. 2. The local authority adopted a similar stance to the local resident

identifying the need for local inclusion through distribution and opportunities. In addition,

the importance of a sustainable flow of benefits throughout the projects life and beyond

by means of a legacy was evident. Both the community fund and habitat enhancement are

provisions that meet this criteria. One may suspect an element of hitchhiking with respect

to conservation efforts, which are anyway part of the local authorities remit. The local

investor shows parallels with the business providers in that monetary return and longevity

are central to their decision. Ownership models were unsurprisingly the most pertinent

provision. No clear distinction between the ownership types with equal preference

between both.

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CHAPTER 6. CONCLUSIONS

Wind power as a conventional technology for generating electricity is a reality.

Developments can bring a mixture of socio-economic and environmental impacts to the

local sphere. Community benefit schemes are proving to be respected instruments used to

create local value and foster social acceptance. Yet, it in order to realise their full potential,

a number of barriers must be overcome. This Thesis identifies three: inadequate

appreciation of local context, over-reliance on one-size-fits-all model and the lack of

decision-making guidance. Consequently, provisioning appropriate community benefits is

not straightforward but necessitates a structured and transparent two-way dialogue with

the locality.

In response, the author advocated the adoption of a decision making platform able to

incorporate the preferences of local stakeholders. Hence, the assumption is that support

earned from the whole community, as opposed to enriching individuals or particular

groups is better. It is anticipated that this will help identify the most appropriate

community benefit scheme(s) for the local entity.

A multi actor multi criteria analysis was recognised as the most appropriate means of

achieving the studies goal, given its capacity to incorporate local preferences and criteria

to a series of tested alternatives. Subsequently, a number of appropriate community benefit

schemes were investigated and their merits and drawbacks recognised. Key stakeholder

representatives were selected ensuring a broad appreciation of the views present in a

community. Relevant but common decision making criteria based on the preferences of

key stakeholders were defined, weighted and operationalized according to literature and

expert consultation.

The decision making platform was applied to a fictitious case study on the island of

Gotland. The results shows that the ownership based model were the most appropriate for

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60

the locality in that it would optimise the majority of the stakeholder’s preferences. This

study demonstrates that group decision aid and multi-criteria decision making methods

could prove effective instruments in finding local contingent solutions. A decision making

platform of this nature allows users to identify solution areas eliciting further exploration

to identify the final arrangement set-up. Hence, it can be regarded as a tool with a practical

purpose for facilitating the dialogue among stakeholders in the pursuit of a community

benefit scheme.

The research consists of a number of shortcomings, whereby through further exploration

a more all-round understanding of how different schemes optimise the preferences of local

stakeholders could be attained. Generic recommendations comprise of an increased

sample size and application to a real case. Criteria identification can be regarded as the

most challenging undertaking during this study and for this reason would serve best from

further enquiry. A broader criteria base, which is better tailored to the preferences of the

locality would lead to a more inclusive result. For this study a simplified approach to

criteria quantification was adopted using a score based system, which relied on expert

judgement. This was subject to bias due to the nature of the methodology. Further research

may benefit from the inclusion of measureable criteria, therefore making any scoring

subject to the aforementioned redundant, which would notably produce a more accurate

and robust distribution of results. Finally, the consideration of inhomogeneous criteria

would likely make the results more personal to the stakeholder group. Moreover, this study

was reliant upon a moderate comprehension of community benefit schemes. In reality,

great care must be exercised when educating participants so as not to bias them towards a

particular decision. This study avoided incorporating the commercial views from the

developer, for instance the monetary costs, previous experience and alignment of company

objectives or goals. This would arguably lead to a more realistic and obtainable outcome

when considering the commercial boundaries of the developer. Communities are

continually evolving and so are there needs. Consequently, what may be perceived as a

locally appropriate scheme has the propensity to alter over time. One of the benefits with

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the decision making platform is that it is documentable and hence opens the door for

longitudinal studies to assess how stakeholders perceptions of old and new change. This

could greatly assist the fine tuning of an existing scheme currently or previously

implemented.

The research findings herewith contribute valuable insights into the existing body of

knowledge within wind power community benefit schemes. This study responds to calls

from leading commentators who have expressed the need for an evaluation of such

schemes and one that incorporates stakeholder preferences (see Segerström, 2014; Ejdemo

& Söderholm, 2015; Edlund & Eriksson, 2014). It is hoped that the decision making

platform showcased will provide enhanced practical guidance for both developers and host

communities, and contribute to a more effective and efficient negotiation process. Finally,

this is an exciting opportunity to provide valuable results to the project Vindkluster

Gotland, which is funded by the Swedish Energy Agency, Gotlands Vindelproducenter

and Region Gotland. The author is hopeful that the findings will appeal to developers,

communities, policy makers and other groups associated with wind power on Gotland.

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APPENDIX A.

Best practice community benefit development process (Vento Luden, 2012)

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APPENDIX B.

Fundamental scale of pairwise comparisons

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APPENDIX C.

Derivation of the consistency ratio

1. Judgement comparisons

2. Use the priorities as factors (weights) for each column.

Pairwise comparisons

Maximising

financial return

Ease of

implementation

Distributional

Justice

Equality of

opportunity Longevity

Job

creation

Minimizing

risk

1 Maximising financial return 1.0 4.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 8.0 6.0

2 Ease of implementation 0.3 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.5 1.0 3.0

3 Distributional Justice 0.3 1.3 1.0 1.0 0.6 5.0 4.0

4 Equality of opportunity 0.3 1.4 1.4 1.0 0.7 7.0 6.0

5 Sustainability 0.5 2.0 1.7 1.4 1.0 8.0 6.0

6 Job creation 0.1 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 1.0 0.9

7 Minimizing risk 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.1 1.0

Sum 2.7 11.0 8.3 7.4 5.1 31.1 26.9

STANDARDIZED MATRIX

Weight

Maximising financial return 33.9%

Ease of implementation 8.8%

Distributional Justice 13.1%

Equality of opportunity 16.4%

Sustainability 20.5%

Job creation 3.9%

Minimizing risk 3.4%

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3. Multiply each value in the first column of the comparison matrix with the weighting. Then add the values in each row

to obtain a set of values called sum. Finally divide the sum by the weight.

4. To calculate the lambda max simply average the SUM/weight. C.I. is calculated as per the formula (n = 7). From this a

consistency ratio can be derived. RI is the conbsistnecy index of a randomly generated comapriosn matrix and is public

available.

CI and CR worksheet

Maximising financial returnEase of implementationDistributional JusticeEquality of opportunityLongevity Job creationMinimizing riskSUM SUM/Weight

1 Maximising financial return 0.34 0.35 0.39 0.49 0.41 0.31 0.21 2.50 7.38

2 Ease of implementation 0.08 0.09 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.04 0.10 0.64 7.23

3 Distributional Justice 0.11 0.11 0.13 0.16 0.12 0.19 0.14 0.97 7.40

4 Equality of opportunity 0.11 0.13 0.19 0.16 0.14 0.27 0.21 1.21 7.39

5 Sustainability 0.17 0.18 0.22 0.23 0.21 0.31 0.21 1.52 7.40

6 Job creation 0.04 0.09 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.28 7.12

7 Minimizing risk 0.06 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.25 7.19

n 7.00

λmax 7.301

CI 0.050

CR 0.04

constant 1.32

Saaty’s CIr values for matrices are given by the following table

Size of Matrix Random Consistency (CIr)

1 0 1

2 0 2

3 0.58 3

4 0.90 4

5 1.12 5

6 1.24 6

7 1.32 7

8 1.41 8

9 1.45 9

10 1.49 10