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Modes of Mega Infrastructure Financing and their Effects on Ci6es: A Review of the Australian Experience Phillip O’Neill Centre for Western Sydney

Modes&of&MegaInfrastructure& Financing… · Modes&of&MegaInfrastructure& Financing&and&their&Effects&on&Ci6es:& A&Review&of&the&Australian& Experience& & PhillipO’Neill& CentreforWestern&Sydney

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Page 1: Modes&of&MegaInfrastructure& Financing… · Modes&of&MegaInfrastructure& Financing&and&their&Effects&on&Ci6es:& A&Review&of&the&Australian& Experience& & PhillipO’Neill& CentreforWestern&Sydney

Modes  of  Mega  Infrastructure  Financing  and  their  Effects  on  Ci6es:  

A  Review  of  the  Australian  Experience  

 Phillip  O’Neill  

Centre  for  Western  Sydney  

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Outline  

1.  Context  2.  Theore6cal  framework  3.  Australia's  infrastructure  history  4.  Case  study  priva6sa6on  Port  of  Newcastle  5.  Case  study  priva6sa6on  of  Port  Botany  and  

Sydney’s  motorways  6.  Conclusions    

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Relevance  

1.  What  is  the  public  policy  ra6onale  for  the  priva6sa6on  of  urban  infrastructure?  

2.  What  demands  are  made  on  the  opera6on  of  urban  infrastructure  when  their  performance  coincides  with  the  need  for  delivery  of  compe66ve  returns  over  long  6me  periods?  

3.  What  new  management  skills  and  tasks  are  required  of  government  and  its  apparatus  in  order  to  ensure  successful  infrastructure  rollout  and  opera6on?  

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Concerns  

1.  What  rela6onships  between  infrastructure  financing  and  urban  structure/performance  are  evident?  

2.  How  are  these  expressed?  3.  What  does  a  progressive  poli6cs  of  

infrastructure  provision  look  like?  4.  What  sorts  of  state  capacity  and  ac6on—

statecraX—are  needed?  

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The  Wider  Project  

•  Australian  Research  Council  Discovery  Project:  Tracing  modes  of  infrastructure  1inancing.  

•  Michael  Pryke  and  John  Allen  from  Open  University  

•  Preqin  data  base  analysis  •  Interviews  in  New  York,  Toronto,  London,  Sydney,  Melbourne  

•  Documentary  case  studies.  

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Infrastructure’s  tensions  

Interplay  and  

tension  

Investors  

Finance  The  asset  

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     Abbott  and  Cohen  2014  

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     Abbott  and  Cohen  2014  

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     Abbott  and  Cohen  2014  

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Infrastructure’s  lifecycle  

Project         Operation  commences     commences            

 

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Risk  lessens    

Returns  moderate  

Financing  period  lengthens  

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Infrastructure’s  Framings  

• Organisa6onal  structure  •  Capital  structure  •  Regulatory  regime  

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‘Joe’  Cahill  Premier  NSW  1952  to  1959  

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Paul  KeaFng  Treasurer  1983  to  1991  

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Fred  Hilmer  NaFonal  Comp.  Policy  1995  

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Restructuring  and  NaFonal  CompeFFon  Policy  

•  Within  a  national  project  of  international  competitiveness,  rising  productivity  and  economic  rationalism  for  the  state  apparatus  

•  Sell-­‐off  of  national  non-­‐infrastructure  state  enterprises  (Qantas,  Commonwealth  Bank,  Commonwealth  Serum  Laboratories)  

•  Corporatisation  and  marketisation  of  utilities  

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Jeff  KenneN  Premier  Victoria  1992  to  1999  

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Peter  Costello  Treasurer  1996-­‐2007  

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PrivaFsaFon  and  Debt  ReducFon    

•  Sell-­‐off  state  utilities  •  Sell-­‐off  national  telecommunications  carrier  •  Repeated  Xiscal  surpluses  •  Funding  of  pension  liabilities  esp.  by  Future  Fund  

•  Infrastructure  emerges  as  a  Xinancial  product  and  as  a  private  economic  sector  

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Kevin  Rudd  and  Julia  Gillard  Prime  Ministers,  2007  to  2013    

 

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Privatisation and Debt Expansion  

•  Continued  sell-­‐off  of  state  utilities  •  Establishment  of  Infrastructure  Australia  •  But  Global  Financial  Crisis  and  massive  spending  response  

•  Repeated  Xiscal  deXicits  •  Infrastructure  role  devolved  to  private  sector    

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Mike  Baird  Premier  NSW,  2013–    

 

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The  Recycling  Capital  Period  

•  Long  term  public  Xinance  difXiculty  •  Continued  sell-­‐off  of  state  utilities  •  Funds  (to  be)  recycled  into  newly  commissioned  projects  

•  Maturing  assets  privatised  and  cycles  repeated.  

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Port  of  Newcastle  

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Port  Botany  and  Sydney’s  Motorways  

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Year   Australia   Sydney  (GMR)  

1850   0.4  mil   39,000  

1900   3.7  mil   481,000  

1950   8.3  mil   1,700,000  

2000   19.2  mil   4,085,000  

2050   35.0  mil   7,500,000  

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Lessons  from  the  Australian  Experience  

•  Public  sector  balance  sheets  •  Contemporary  state  apparatus  •  Sources  of  Xinance  •  Funding  •  Statecraft:  – Organisational  structures  – Capital  structures  – Regulatory  structures