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Mobilität der Zukunft-
Schlüsselfaktoren und Chancen
Future Mobility-
Keyfactors and Chances
e-mobil BW Technologietag
2. Oktober 2013, Stuttgart
Dr. Ulrich Eichhorn
Geschäftsführer - Managing Director
Why Mobility?
• Mobility is a basic requirement and basic right of
humans
• Mobility is clearly and strongly correlated to wealth and
economic performance
11.10.2013 Seite 2
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100 1200
GD
P [
B€]
s [Bkm]
GDP Germany 1970-2010
VDA PowerPoint
Mobility as a System
11.10.2013 Seite 3
Mobility
Inputs
• Energy
• Area
• Resources
• ….
Effects
• Economic
• Social
• Personal
• …..
Side-Effects
• Emissions
• Accidents
• …..
VDA PowerPoint
0
200
400
600
800
1.000
1.200
1.400
1970 1980 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2025
[B. P
km
]
Luftverkehr
Eisenbahn
ÖffentlicherStraßenpersonenverkehrPkw-Verkehr
Air traffic
Railroad
Public transport
Passenger car
Traffic in Germany until 2025
11.10.2013 Seite 5
(Source: DiW, BMVBS, BVU/DLR/ISL)
169%
VDA PowerPoint
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2025
[B.
tkm
] Binnenschiff
Bahnen
Lkw
Goods traffic in Germany until 2025
11.10.2013 Seite 6
(Source: DiW, BMVBS, BVU/DLR/ISL)
227% Barge
Trains
Commercial
vehicle
VDA PowerPoint
The story so far
11.10.2013 Seite 7
Particulate matter: old and newer passenger vehicle
Then … … Now
VDA PowerPoint
"Smog"- Catastrophe in London 1952
11.10.2013 Seite 8
Nelson-column in London 1952
Nelson-column in London 2012
VDA PowerPoint
"Smog" in Los Angeles 1956
11.10.2013 Seite 9
Los Angeles Skyline 2009
Smog in Los Angeles 1956
VDA PowerPoint
Achievments over the years
2012
Basis0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
Seite 11 Dr.-Ing. Ulrich Eichhorn, VDA
Challenges & Chances
Mobility
Energy
Efficiency
Petrol/Diesel
CNG
Electricity
Safety
„Vision Zero“
Emissions
PM & NO2
CO2
Networking Partners Partners
Car2X Car2Car
11.10.2013 Seite 12 VDA PowerPoint
The fan-strategy of the
German automotive industry
11.10.2013 Seite 14
Source: VDA
11.10.2013 VDA PowerPoint Seite 14
Electric Mobility – What is that?
11.10.2013 Seite 16
Battery EV / BEV
Range Extender /
REEV
Plug-in Hybrid /
PHEV
Full Hybrid /
HEV
Mild Hybrid /
HEV
Start/Stop
Scope of Electric Mobility
according to NPE
i.e. re-chargeable
from grid
VDA PowerPoint
Future Drive Trains
11.10.2013 Seite 17
Tailored solutions on the market:
Hybridisation
Long distance Interurban City
Fuel Cell
Battery electric
Internal Combustion Engine
Plug-in/ range Extender
Quelle: Daimler AG
VDA PowerPoint
Die Anfänge …..
Seite 18 Dr.-Ing. Ulrich Eichhorn, VDA Total Cost of Ownership –
Risiko oder Chance für die Elektromobilität?
Elektromobilität heute -
Zwischenbilanz auf dem Weg zur
Marktdurchdringung
Seite 19 Dr.-Ing. Ulrich Eichhorn, VDA
VW e-Golf
Porsche Panamera Sport
Tourismo
Opel Ampera
Audi A3 e-tron
Ford C-
MAX
BMWi3
Smart fortwo
electric drive
VW e-Up
Car2X-Communication
11.10.2013 Seite 21
Danger Warning Message warn all vehicles
for upcoming obstacles on the road
Source: simTD
Car2X- Communication between traffic
lights, Roadside-Units and vehicles
Source: Vogel Business Media
VDA PowerPoint Page 21
simTD – Sichere Intelligente Mobilität
Testfeld Deutschland Obstacle Warning
Traffic Light Circuit
Car-to-Car-
Communication
Road Weather
Warning
Traffic Light Phase
Assistant
Building Lot
Informationen
Traffic Sign Assistant
Location based
Services
Emergency Vehicle
Warning Electronic Brake lights
11.10.2013 Seite 22 VDA PowerPoint
Chances & Remaining Challenges
11.10.2013 Seite 24
Mobility Inputs
• Energy:
„Fuels“ &
Drive for the
Future
Value
• Mobility Concepts
• Networking
Side-Effects
• Particulates & NO2
• Accidents
• Remaining Accidents
• CO2
• Congestion
VDA PowerPoint
Mobility as a System: Goal-Scenario
11.10.2013 Seite 25 VDA PowerPoint
Mobility
Inputs • Energy
• Area • Resources
• ….
Nutzen
Economic
Social
Personal
…..
Side-Effects
Summary
• Many former problems are solved with
the latest generations of cars
• Areas for further progress are • Last remaining pollutants
• CO2-Reduction
• Sustainable Energy-Sources for Transport
• Networking and Car2X Communication
• Mobility Concepts
11.10.2013 Seite 26 VDA PowerPoint