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1 WORKING PAPER Men, pensions and wellbeing in rural South Africa: Tracking effects through policy shifts Enid Schatz F. Xavier Gómez-Olivé Margaret Ralston Jane Menken Stephen Tollman September 2012 Population Program POP2012-04 _____________________________________________________________________________

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Page 1: Men, pensions and wellbeing in rural South Africa - University of

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WORKING PAPER

Men, pensions and wellbeing in rural South Africa: Tracking effects through policy shifts Enid Schatz F. Xavier Gómez-Olivé Margaret Ralston Jane Menken Stephen Tollman September 2012 Population Program POP2012-04

_____________________________________________________________________________

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Men,  pensions  and  wellbeing  in  rural  South  Africa:  Tracking  effects  through  policy  shifts  

 Enid  Schatz,  University  of  Missouri  F.  Xavier  Gómez-­‐Olivé,  University  of  the  Witwatersrand  Margaret  Ralston,  University  of  Missouri  Jane  Menken,  University  of  Colorado  Stephen  Tollman,  University  of  the  Witwatersrand    Contact  Information:  Enid  Schatz  420  Lewis  Hall  Columbia,  MO  65203  Email:  [email protected]      Paper  prepared  for  the  Population  Association  of  America  Meeting,  Session  

187:  Public  Policy  and  Families  in  Developing  Countries    

Draft,  Please  do  not  cite  without  authors’  permission    

     Abstract  Pensions  play  an  important  role  in  older  persons’  wellbeing  in  rural  South  Africa,  with  men  and  women  reporting  improved  wellbeing  in  the  years  directly  following  pension-­‐eligibility.  Women’s  age-­‐eligibility  has  been  set  at  60  since  the  inception  of  South  Africa’s  non-­‐contributory  state-­‐funded  pension,  whereas  men  until  recently  have  begun  receipt  at  age  65.  As  of  2010,  men’s  age  of  eligibility  equalized  with  that  of  women.  Using  two  panels  of  the  WHO-­‐Study  of  Global  Aging  and  Adult  Health  study,  collected  in  2006  and  2010  in  the  MRC/Wits  Rural  Public  Health  and  Health  Transitions  Research  Unit  (Agincourt),  we  examine  whether  “improvements”  in  men’s  reports  of  wellbeing  mirror  men’s  age-­‐eligibility—65-­‐69  in  2006,  and  60-­‐64  in  2010—thus  tracking  the  pension-­‐eligibility  policy  change.  Data  from  both  panels  show  that  pension  receipt  is  an  important  factor  in  older  persons’  reports  of  wellbeing.  In  the  2010  data,  those  who  report  not  receiving  a  pension  are  more  likely  to  report  poor  wellbeing.  In  2010,  post  policy  change,  there  is  a  different  relationship  between  pension,  gender,  and  wellbeing  than  seen  in  the  2006  data.  At  the  later  period,  pension-­‐eligibility  affects  men’s  and  women’s  reports  of  wellbeing  similarly  for  most  outcomes,  whereas  in  2006  we  saw  differences  by  age  and  sex.  Finally,  the  results  emphasize  the  benefits  of  evaluating  both  simple  and  composite  indicators,  with  stronger  relationships  between  pensions  and  worry  and  WHOQoL  than  other  outcomes.      

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Introduction  Pensions  play  an  important  role  in  older  persons’  health  and  wellbeing  in  

South  Africa  (Schatz  et  al.  2011;  Ardington  et  al.  2010;  Gómez-­‐Olivé  et  al.  2010).  Women’s  age  eligibility  has  been  set  at  age  60  since  the  inception  of  South  Africa’s  non-­‐contributory  state-­‐funded  pension,  whereas  men  have  until  recently  begun  receipt  at  age  65.  As  of  2010,  men’s  age  of  eligibility  equalized  with  that  of  women—i.e.  men’s  age-­‐eligibility  was  lowered  from  65  to  60  years.  This  is  a  major  policy  shift,  argued  on  the  basis  of  gender  equality  (Case  number:  32838/05  in  the  High  Court  of  South  Africa).  In  this  paper  we  investigate  whether  this  policy  shift  provides  evidence  of  a  strong  association  between  pension  receipt  and  reports  of  improved  wellbeing  among  rural  Black  South  African  men.    

In  Schatz  et  al.  (2011)  we  examined  the  relationship  between  gender,  pensions  and  wellbeing  using  data  from  the  2006  WHO-­‐Study  of  Global  Aging  and  Adult  Health  study  (WHO-­‐SAGE).  We  found  a  striking,  but  temporary  cross-­‐sectional  improvement  in  reports  of  wellbeing  upon  reaching  pension  eligibility,  with  the  relationship  being  stronger  for  women  than  for  men.  Since  the  downward  shift  in  men’s  age-­‐eligibility  began  in  2008,  the  data  offer  a  baseline  prior  to  the  policy  change.  The  shift  to  younger  age-­‐eligibility  for  men,  captured  in  a  second  wave  of  WHO-­‐SAGE  collected  in  2010,  allows  us  to  assess  the  impact  of  this  policy  change  on  age  patterns  in  wellbeing.    Shifting  “improvements”  in  wellbeing  outcomes  to  younger  ages,  60-­‐64  in  the  2010  data,  compared  to  at  65-­‐69  years  as  seen  in  the  2006  data,  would  confirm  that  the  age  pattern  differences  we  are  finding  could  be  attributed  to  the  pension  and  its  effects.  In  addition,  in  2006,  men  showed  a  pre-­‐pension  eligibility  drop  in  wellbeing;  at  ages  60-­‐64  men  reported  worse  wellbeing  than  at  ages  55-­‐59.  In  this  analysis  we  also  will  investigate  if  the  pre-­‐pension-­‐eligibility  drop  in  men’s  wellbeing  remains,  or  if  shifting  to  the  same  age  at  pension  eligibility  reduces  this  pre-­‐pension  effect  for  men.  

South  Africa  has  high  HIV-­‐prevalence,  as  well  as  high  levels  of  non-­‐communicable  disease  among  persons  age  50-­‐plus  (Anderson  &  Phillips  2006).  While  HIV/AIDS  rates  in  elders  are  currently  lower  than  among  their  younger  peers,  increasing  prevalence  stresses  families  and  household  systems.  Older  people,  more  often  women,  assume  roles  as  caregivers,  particularly  in  multigenerational  households  affected  by  the  illness  (Munthree  &  Maharaj  2010;  Møller  &  Devey  2003;  Møller  1998).  Because  of  the  differentiation  in  gendered  roles  surrounding  caregiving,  much  of  the  research  on  the  effects  of  the  HIV/AIDS  on  households  has  focused  on  the  experiences  of  women.    

In  order  to  examine  these  issues,  we  examine  six  measures  of  wellbeing—four  individual  indicators  based  on  responses  to  single  questions  and  two  composite  measures  constructed  by  WHO  from  responses  to  multiple  questions.  We  first  show  relevant  descriptive  statistics  for  men  and  women  in  2006  and  in  2010.  We  then  present  regression  models  (including  women  and  men)  for  each  panel  to  see  if  similar  patterns  emerge  in  the  two  years.  With  the  2010  data,  we  go  on  to  examine  how  inclusion  of  a  variable  measuring  pension  receipt,  as  opposed  to  using  age  as  a  proxy,  affects  the  relationship  of  aging  to  wellbeing.    Background  

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Aging  and  health  in  rural  South  Africa  has  been  largely  shaped  by  a  burden  of  disease  that  includes  endemic  levels  of  HIV/AIDS,  as  well  as  a  growing  epidemic  of  non-­‐communicable  disease,  particularly  among  those  over  age  50  (Anderson  &  Phillips  2006;  Kahn  et  al.  2006).  Men’s  and  women’s  mortality  profiles  are  quite  different,  however.  The  probability  of  dying  between  ages  15  and  60  was  34%  for  women  and  51%  for  men  (Dorrington,  Moultrie  &  Timaeus  2004);  men’s  excess  mortality  in  this  age  range  largely  came  from  accidents  and  homicides  (Dorrington  et  al.  2001;  Hosegood,  Vanneste  &  Timaeus  2004).  Obesity,  hypertension,  diabetes  and  stroke  are  emerging  as  important  illnesses  among  older  persons  in  South  Africa;  nearly  70%  of  those  over  age  60  report  having  at  least  one  chronic  illness  and  more  than  half  report  having  a  resulting  physical  disability  (Ferreira  2000).       Whereas  older  women  are  likely  to  be  widowed  and  to  live  alone  or  with  extended  family,  the  majority  of  older  men  are  married  or  in  a  relationship  (UN  2010).  Women’s  longer  life  expectancy,  age  differences  between  spouses  with  women  usually  marrying  men  who  are  older  than  them,  and  men’s  greater  likelihood  to  remarry  after  being  widowed  or  divorced,  all  lead  to  older  South  African  men  being  more  likely  than  older  women  to  live  with  a  spouse  (Cohen  &  Menken  2006;  UN  2010).  Thus,  older  men  often  have  more  resources  and  assistance  on  which  they  can  draw  than  have  older  women  (Ezeh,  Chepngeno,  Kasiira,  &  Woubalem  2006;  UN  2010).     The  social  roles  of  older  South  African  men,  and  men  in  rural  South  Africa  more  generally,  continue  to  be  shaped  by  apartheid  era  migration  policies  which  created  circular  migration  flows,  particularly  of  men,  from  rural  to  urban  areas  (Susser  2011).  This  may  mean  that  older  men  are  more  likely  than  older  women  to  be  used  to  having  income  and  controlling  that  income.  In  addition,  older  men  are  likely  to  have  spent  more  of  their  lives  living  outside  the  rural  area  than  in  the  rural  area  prior  to  retirement.      South  African  old-­age  pension  

While  the  pension  is  available  to  all  South  Africans,  it  is  an  important  stable  economic  resource  for  the  majority  of  black  South  African  households  (May  2003;  Sanger  &  Mtati  1999).  More  than  90%  of  black  older  South  Africans  access  the  pension  (Ferreira  2006;  Burns,  Keswell,  &  Leibbrandt  2005),  and  the  cash  transfer  is  as  much  as  twice  the  median  per  capita  income  of  the  black  population  (Case  &  Deaton  1998).  Thus,  pension  receipt  may  significantly  increase  the  income  in  black  South  African  households  (Barrientos  et  al.  2003;  May  2003;  Møller  &  Devey  2003).  In  2005,  the  monthly  pension  was  SAR780  (approximately  USD130)  (Samson,  MacQuene,  &  van  Niekerk  2006);  it  increased  incrementally  annually  in  relation  to  inflation  and  cost  of  living;  in  2010  the  grant  amount  was  SAR1080  (approximately  USD180)(SASSA  2012).    

Many  rural  households  depend  on  a  variety  of  social  grants  to  sustain  them;  income-­‐pooling  of  pensions  and  other  social  grants  provides  a  reliable  and  regular  safety  net  for  the  needs  of  older  persons  and  their  households  (May  2003;  Sanger  &  Mtati  1999).  Because  of  older  persons’  income–pooling,  the  pension  has  also  been  shown  to  improve  overall  food  security  and  wellbeing  in  older  people’s  households  (Barrientos  et  al.  2003;  Møller  &  Devey  2003).  In  many  cases  pensions  are  viewed  as  

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a  household  resource,  covering  family  members’  health  and  everyday  needs  (Case  &  Deaton  1998;  May  2003).  The  presence  of  a  pensioner,  particularly  of  a  woman,  enhances  the  wellbeing  of  other  household  members  (Ardington  et  al.  2010;  Burns  et  al.  2005;  Duflo  2003).  Although  there  has  been  a  relatively  little  research  conducted  on  male  pensioners’  roles  in  meeting  household  needs,  limited  research  does  show  that  men  also  worry  about  meeting  household  needs  (Sherr,  2009).  For  example,  Wiener  and  colleagues  (2001)  in  a  study  of  31  fathers  of  HIV-­‐positive  6-­‐16  years-­‐olds  reported  that  over  half  revealed  elevated  levels  of  parenting  psychological  stress.  

Although  research  on  spending  habits  of  pensioners  in  South  Africa  is  limited,  there  is  evidence  of  gendered  spending  habits  more  generally.  The  gender  of  the  household  head  in  South  Africa  significantly  influences  spending  on  certain  budget  items  (Maitra  &  Ray  2003).  Namely,  women  household  heads  are  more  likely  than  their  male  counterparts  to  spend  on  clothing  and  child-­‐care.  Posel,  Fariburn,  and  Lund  (2006)  found  that  pension  income,  specifically  received  by  women,  was  used  to  support  grandchildren.  Case  and  Deaton  (1998)  find  that  despite  having  less  income  overall,  when  women  control  income,  they  often  favor  spending  money  on  food  over  other  expenditures.  The  largest  differences,  however,  were  that  female  household  heads  spent  considerably  less  than  male  household  heads  on  alcohol,  tobacco  and  transportation.  This  is  consistent  with  the  finding  that  female  pensioners  share  more  of  their  income  with  household  members  than  male  pensioners  (Posel  et  al.  2006).  This  literature  suggests  that  men  and  women,  including  pensioners,  value  household  expenses  and  spend  household  income  in  different  ways.  

While  income-­‐pooling  may  decrease  the  direct  benefits  of  the  pension  to  pensioners,  recent  research  suggests  that  pension  receipt  improves  health  and  wellbeing  of  pensioners,  as  well.  Ardington  and  colleagues  (2010)  find  that  pensions  buffer  financial  and  emotional  impacts  of  an  adult  child’s  death  and  the  resulting  carework  for  grandchildren  left  behind  (Ardington  et  al.  2010).  A  study  from  the  Eastern  Cape  shows  older  South  Africans’  (aged  60  plus)  perceptions  of  their  ability  to  provide  care  for  children  are  primarily  dependent  on  their  knowledge  about  accessing  pensions  (Boon  et  al.  2010).  Gómez-­‐Olivé  et  al.  (2010),  using  WHO-­‐SAGE  2006  data  from  Agincourt,  found  that  despite  having  aged,  60-­‐69  year  olds  did  not  report  significantly  worse  health  status  or  function  compared  to  50-­‐59  year  olds.  They  suggest  that  the  plateau  in  reported  health  and  wellbeing  may  be  related  to  receipt  of  pensions  “which  allow  [pensioners]  to  have  a  better  life  with  higher  food  security  and,  importantly,  with  higher  capacity  to  help  the  children  in  their  households  who  have  also  higher  food  security  and  higher  schooling”  (p.32).  Schatz  et  al.  (2011)  extended  the  Gómez-­‐Olivé  et  al.  (2010)  analysis  by  examining  the  same  outcomes,  but  in  5-­‐year  rather  than  10-­‐year  age  groups.  Across  age  and  sex  groups,  the  findings  point  to  a  greater  impact  of  pension  receipt  on  wellbeing  for  women  than  men,  but  with  a  transitory  observed  effect  for  both  (Schatz  et  al.  2011).  Women  report  better  wellbeing  during  a  striking  “honeymoon”  period  in  the  first  years  of  pension-­‐eligibility  (ages  60-­‐64).  While,  men’s  wellbeing  drops  pre-­‐pension  eligibility  (ages  60-­‐64),  increases  at  pension-­‐eligibility  (65-­‐59),  then  declines  (70-­‐

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74).  Pensions  may  enhance  financial  wellbeing,  but  results  from  previous  papers  show  their  observed  effect  on  social  wellbeing  is  gendered  and  temporary.        Older  persons  and  HIV/AIDS  

The  focus  of  research  on  older  persons  in  HIV/AIDS  endemic  contexts  has  largely  centered  on  roles  of  older  women  in  caregiving  and  how  this  might  affect  their  health  and  wellbeing.  Men  are  often  portrayed  as  not  as  dynamic  a  part  of  family  caregiving;  however,  research  from  North  American  and  Latin  American  are  affirming  that  men  participate  in  caregiving  in  their  own  ways  and  that  they  may  participate  more  than  is  commonly  believed  (Bannon  &  Caorreia  2006).  While  clearly  important,  the  assumption  of  men’s  lack  of  participation  in  caregiving  has  meant  that  men’s  experiences  have  often  been  left  out  of  research  (Bannon  &  Caorreia  2006).  Data  from  Tanzania  show  that  even  though  women  did  nearly  twice  the  carework  as  men,  older  men  and  women  were  equally  likely  to  be  caregivers  for  sick  household  members  (Dayton  &  Ainsworth  2002).  Munthree  and  Maharaj  (2010)  found  that  more  South  African  men  than  women  reported  knowing  someone  who  was  HIV-­‐positive,  as  well  as  someone  who  had  died  of  AIDS.  While  women  reported  much  more  time  and  energy  spent  on  caregiving  due  to  a  clear  gendered  division  of  labor  within  families,  “men  are  also  responding  to  the  changing  situation  by  performing  roles  that  extend  beyond  financial  support”  (Munthree  &  Maharaj  2010,  p.  169).    

Despite  contributing  fewer  hours  to  caregiving,  men  may  be  just  as  vulnerable  to  the  increased  stress  caused  by  the  illness.  Given  their  lack  of  experience  with  caregiving  roles,  men  may  try  to  relieve  unprecedented  emotional  and  physical  demands  of  caregiving  through  alcohol  and  other  escapist  behaviors  (Mudege  &  Ezeh  2009).  Thus,  stress  also  could  be  associated  with  early  deaths  among  older  men  (Ice  et  al.  2010).  While  much  literature  to  date  has  focused  on  women,  this  paper  begins  to  explore  older  men’s  experiences  of  living  in  an  AIDS-­‐endemic  community.  In  addition,  this  paper  further  extends  work  on  the  role  of  pensions  in  older  persons  lives  to  examine  how  policy  changes  and  longitudinal  data  can  provide  additional  insight  into  the  relationship  between  pensions  and  wellbeing.   Data  &  Methods    

Data:  The  WHO-­‐INDEPTH  Study  of  Global  Ageing  and  Adult  Health  Survey  (WHO-­‐SAGE)  was  conducted  in  2006  and  2010  in  the  MRC/Wits  Rural  Public  Health  and  Health  Transitions  Research  Unit  (Agincourt)  site  as  part  of  a  multi-­‐country  longitudinal  project  to  increase  understanding  of  health  and  wellbeing  of  adult  populations  in  developing  countries  (http://www.who.int/healthinfo/systems/sage/en/index.html).    The  Short  Version  of  the  WHO-­‐SAGE  questionnaire  was  incorporated  as  a  census-­‐module  in  the  Agincourt  Health  and  socio-­‐Demographic  Surveillance  System  (AHDSS)  for  persons  over  the  age  of  50  in  2006  and  again  in  2010.  The  module  included  questions  on  self-­‐reported  health,  functionality,  and  wellbeing.  The  census  collected  additional  demographic  and  household-­‐level  data.  In  2010,  upon  the  request  of  this  research  team,  the  census  included  a  question  about  pension  receipt.  Thus,  the  data  

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presented  represent  two  special  surveys  plus  linked  data  from  the  annual  census  in  each  survey  year.  

In  2006,  approximately  65%    (N=4085)  of  the  target  population  completed  the  module.  Nearly  two-­‐thirds  of  those  who  completed  the  module  were  women  due  to  high  and  persisting  male  labor  migration  even  in  the  older  age  groups.  [For  details  of  the  sample  and  data  collection,  see  Gómez-­‐Olivé  et  al.,  2010  and  Kowal  et  al.,  2010.]  In  2010,  60%  of  the  target  population  of  approximately  10,000  completed  the  questionnaire  with  only  0.4%  refusing.  The  rest  either  were  not  found  at  the  time  of  the  census  (35%),  ineligible  (4%)  or  dead  (1.6%).  The  resulting  sample  is  approximately  5,980  individuals  age  50  and  above,  about  one-­‐quarter  of  whom  were  male  and  three-­‐quarters  female  (see  Table  2B).  

The  main  reason  for  finding  many  fewer  men  than  women  at  all  adult  ages  in  Agincourt  is  related  to  migration.  Collinson  and  colleagues  (2007)  find  a  high  level  of  temporary  or  circular  migration  between  Agincourt  and  urban  areas.  These  movements  lead  to  strong  ties  in  Agincourt  between  its  rural  population  and  those  living  in  urban  areas.  Over  half  the  male  population  between  ages  25  to  54  are  likely  to  migrate  at  some  point  (Collinson  et  al.  2007).  Males  are  most  likely  to  take  part  in  circular  migration  after  age  19  and  the  likelihood  remains  high  until  around  age  74.    Female  likelihood  of  temporary  migration  is  lower  then  males  and  they  have  a  greatest  likelihood  of  migrating  between  the  ages  25  to  49  (Collinson,  Tollman,  &  Kahn  2007).  Thus,  the  sample  is  dominated  by  women,  who  are  less  likely  to  migrate,  and  also  is  likely  to  be  biased  toward  males  who  have  retired,  and  those  who  might  be  too  ill  or  old  to  work.  

About  one-­‐third  of  the  Agincourt  population  is  of  Mozambican  origin.  They  largely  came  to  Agincourt  during  the  Mozambican  civil  war  from  the  mid-­‐1970s  to  early  1980s.  Previous  research  from  Agincourt  has  shown  that  self-­‐identified  Mozambicans  are  less  well  off  than  the  host  South  African  population  in  terms  of  education,  household  assets,  and  child  mortality  (Gómez-­‐Olivé  et  al.  2010;  Hargreaves,  Collinson,  Kahn,  Clark,  &  Tollman  2004).  Prior  to  2006,  Mozambican  permanent  residents  were  not  eligible  for  South  African  social  grants;  however,  even  before  the  Constitutional  Court  ruling,  a  large  number  of  Mozambicans  managed  to  access  pensions  (Schatz  2009).  

Variables:  The  basic  measures  that  we  use  to  explore  issues  of  social  wellbeing  come  from  two  constructs  of  subjective  wellbeing—affect  and  quality  of  life.  These  constructs  are  often  put  together,  with  a  number  of  others,  to  determine  overall  quality  of  life  (e.g.  as  in  WHOQoL).  We  examine  four  individual  domains  as  dichotomous  variables:  sad,  worry,  dissatisfied  and  unhappy.  Respondents  were  asked  the  extent  to  which,  in  the  last  30  days,  they  felt  sad,  low,  or  depressed  (sad),  felt  worry  or  anxiety  (worry),  were  satisfied  with  life  as  a  whole  (dissatisfied)  and  felt  happy  in  general  (unhappy).  In  addition,  we  examine  two  WHO  composite  variables:  WHOQoL,  described  above,  and  WHODASi-­‐  which  includes  a  number  of  measures  to  assess  disability  and  functionality.  All  six  measures  are  outlined  in  more  detail  in  Table  1.      

Tables  2A  and  2B  show  demographic  and  other  characteristics  of  the  population  by  age  and  sex  in  2006  and  2010,  respectively.  They  include  household  structure,  socio-­‐economic  status  (SES),  marital  status,  education,  employment  

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status,  nationality  of  origin,  and  self-­‐reported  health.  Household  structure  includes  mean  household  size  and  mean  percent  of  household  members  under  age  15.  SES  makes  use  of  a  household  asset  score  derived  from  34  variables  collected  in  2005  for  the  2006  models  and  collected  in  2009  for  the  2010  models  (including  information  about  the  type  and  size  of  dwelling,  access  to  water  and  electricity  appliances  and  livestock  owned  and  transport  available).  The  score  was  derived  through  principal  component  factor  analysis  and  then  divided  into  quintiles.  Marriage  unions  in  this  area  may  be  traditional,  civic,  or  polygamous  (a  small  minority).  We  dichotomize  marital  status—currently  married  or  unmarried  (those  never  married,  separated,  divorced,  or  widowed).  Education  is  categorized  as  no  formal  education  or  some  education.  Employment  status,  collected  for  2004  in  the  2005  Agincourt  census,  and  again  for  2008  in  the  2009  census,  is  coded  as  currently  working  or  not.  The  majority  of  those  not  working  were  not  looking  for  work  but  had  retired,  having  concluded  their  working  career.  Employment  status  focused  on  those  with  permanent  formal  work,  so  may  not  capture  those  doing  informal  income-­‐generating  activities.  “Percent  South  African”  captures  self-­‐identification  as  South  African  or  Mozambican.  Self-­‐rated  health  is  categorized  as  “bad”  or  not.  These  variables  are  included  in  regression  models  that  add  covariates  to  the  more  basic  models  focused  on  age,  sex  and  pension  receipt.  

Analysis:  We  first  describe  characteristics  for  men  by  age  groups  in  2006  and  2010  (Tables  2A  &  2B).  We  then  present  logistic  regression  models  assessing  relationships  of  wellbeing  to  age  and  sex.  All  outcome  measures  are  calibrated  so  that,  for  dichotomous  outcomes,  1  indicates  that  the  respondent  was  worse  off  -­‐  referred  to  as  "poor".  We  include  tables  from  Schatz  et  al.  2011  to  represent  the  2006  data,  and  present  new  tables  that  show  similar  models  for  the  2010  data  (Tables  3A  &  3B).  We  report  age  in  five-­‐year  intervals  to  capture  recent  pension-­‐eligibility.  There  was  no  direct  measure  of  pension  receipt  in  2006,  but  as  shown  in  Table  4,  in  2010  over  80%  of  age-­‐eligible  individuals  reported  pension  receipt.  In  order  to  compare  2006  to  2010  data  in  these  tables,  we  continue  to  use  age  as  a  proxy  for  pension-­‐eligibility.  We  run  tests  in  for  these  models  to  see  if  there  is  a  significant  change  in  each  of  the  six  wellbeing  outcomes  when  moving  from  pre-­‐pension  to  pension-­‐eligibility,  and  from  initial  pension-­‐eligibility  to  5-­‐years  post-­‐eligibility.  In  Table  5,  we  focus  on  models  using  2010  data  that  incorporate  the  direct  measure  of  pension  receipt.  These  models  also  include  tests  for  significant  change  in  each  of  the  six  wellbeing  outcomes  when  moving  from  pre-­‐pension  to  pension-­‐eligibility,  and  from  initial  pension-­‐eligibility  to  5-­‐years  post-­‐eligibility,  while  controlling  for  pension  receipt.    Results  

Tables  2A  and  2B  show  the  characteristics  of  men  and  women  in  the  two  panels  of  data.  In  each  table  the  age  categories  that  corresponds  with  pension-­‐eligibility  are  highlighted.  The  most  notable  change  between  tables  2A  and  2B  is  that  for  men  the  shift  in  reported  wellbeing  at  pension-­‐eligibility  (a  smaller  percentage  report  “poor”  wellbeing  than  in  the  pre-­‐pension-­‐eligibility  age  category)  mirrors  the  downward  shift  in  age-­‐eligiblity.  In  other  words,  in  2006,  a  smaller  percentage  of  men  reported  “poor”  wellbeing  in  the  65-­‐69  age  category  than  in  the  60-­‐64  age  

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group;  where  as  in  2010,  a  smaller  percentage  of  men  in  the  60-­‐64  age  category  reported  “poor”  wellbeing  than  in  the  55-­‐59  age  category.  Thus,  the  pattern  of  changes  over  age-­‐categories  in  reported  wellbeing  is  more  similar  among  men  and  women  in  2010  than  it  was  in  2006.  These  differences  will  be  explored  further  through  regression  analysis.  

Table  3A  (taken  from  Schatz  et  al.  2011)  shows  results  based  on  SAGE  2006.  In  general,  the  probability  of  scoring  as  "poor"  the  majority  of  the  wellbeing  variables  increased  with  age;  women  were  more  likely  than  men  to  score  in  the  "poor"  category.  However,  there  is  a  significant  interaction  between  age  and  sex.  The  tests  showed  that  women  60-­‐64  were  better  off  than  those  younger  and  older,  coinciding  with  pension  eligibility.  For  men,  there  appeared  to  be  a  slight  increase  for  those  65-­‐69  (the  age  of  pension-­‐eligibility  in  2006).  These  results  held  for  most  of  the  measures  used.  They  held  when  only  age,  sex,  and  age-­‐sex  interactions  were  in  the  models  and  also  when  a  variety  of  social  and  economic  predictors  (based  on  those  shown  in  Table  2A)  were  introduced  (see  Schatz  et  al.  2011).  

Table  3B,  based  on  SAGE  2010,  replicates  the  age-­‐sex  models.  As  in  2006,  women  report  significantly  worse  wellbeing  than  men,  controlling  for  age.  However,  of  the  six  measures  used,  only  one  still  had  an  age-­‐sex  interaction.  This  is  the  first  evidence  of  change  over  the  four-­‐year  period  between  the  surveys.  Since  there  was  no  age-­‐sex  interaction,  the  tests  in  Table  3B  explore  whether  there  was  a  significant  change  for  both  men  and  women  in  wellbeing  from  age  55-­‐59  to  60-­‐64  (pre-­‐pension  to  pension-­‐eligibility),  from  60-­‐64  to  65-­‐69  (pension-­‐eligibility  to  post-­‐pension-­‐eligibility),  and  65-­‐69  to  70+  (post-­‐pension  to  post-­‐post-­‐pension).  The  “improvement”  in  reported  wellbeing  at  pension-­‐eligibility  found  in  2006  was  much  less  common  in  2010.  Only  worry  and  WHOQoL  showed  significant  “improvement”,  with  declines  in  reported  “poor”  wellbeing.  The  “honeymoon”  effect,  a  significant  increase  in  “poor”  wellbeing  from  pension-­‐eligibility  to  post-­‐pension  eligibility  disappeared  completely.  Instead,  the  expected  increase  in  "poor"  wellbeing  with  age  was  postponed  to  older  ages  (70+).  

To  understand  further  the  effects  of  the  pension  on  wellbeing,  we  requested  that  a  direct  question  on  pension  receipt  (and  all  grants)  be  included  in  the  2010  census.  We  therefore  had  additional  leverage—a  direct  measure  of  pension  receipt  rather  than  having  to  rely  on  age  as  a  proxy.  Table  4  shows  that  a  small  percentage  of  the  population  (less  than  3%)  manages  to  receive  the  pension  prior  to  official  age  eligibility;  as  one  would  expect,  the  percentage  of  the  population  covered  by  the  grant  increases  at  the  age  of  eligibility.  Over  80%  of  people  over  60  report  receiving  the  grant.    

We  consider  pension  receipt  directly  in  Table  5  by  adding  it  to  the  regression  models.  In  all  cases,  those  who  were  not  receiving  the  pension  were  more  likely  to  be  in  the  "poor"  category.  Pension  receipt  does  not  seem  to  affect  gender  differences,  however;  controlling  for  pension  status,  women  still  report  significantly  poorer  wellbeing  across  all  six  outcomes.  When  information  on  pension  receipt  is  included  in  the  models,  there  is  significant  “improvement”  in  wellbeing  at  pension  eligibility  for  four  of  the  six  outcomes,  compared  to  just  two  outcomes  in  Table  3B.  Once  again,  however,  there  is  less  evidence  of  the  “honeymoon”  effect  seen  in  the  2006  data,  with  only  WHODASi  showing  a  significant  decline  post-­‐pension  eligibility  

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prior  to  expected  increases  in  “poor”  wellbeing  at  older  ages  (70+).    Discussion    

The  analysis  above  provides  new  insights  into  the  relationships  between  gender,  pensions  and  wellbeing.  First,  women  continue  to  be  more  likely  to  report  poor  wellbeing  across  a  range  of  indicators.  Second,  the  strong  age-­‐gender  interaction  found  in  the  2006  data  does  not  hold  with  the  2010  data—showing  a  less  significant  difference  in  patterns  of  change  by  age  for  men  and  women.  Third,  the  “honeymoon”  effect  that  was  so  prominent  in  2006  with  “improved”  wellbeing  at  pension-­‐eligibility  and  then  a  significant  decline  post-­‐eligibility  also  is  much  more  muted  and  stretched  out  in  2010.  Finally,  as  with  Schatz  et  al.  (2011),  we  note  this  change  is  apparent  in  the  specific  questions,  which  indicates  that  there  is  value  in  "unpacking"  composite  measures.  

The  continued  strong  gender  differences  in  reporting  of  wellbeing  need  to  be  explored  further.  Women  fare  much  worse  than  men  across  all  wellbeing  indicators.  It  is  unclear  whether  this  is  an  issue  of  reporting  or  of  true  differences  in  health  and  wellbeing.  The  SAGE  data  include  anchoring  vignettes.  Future  work  should  explore  how  these  can  be  used  to  unpack  the  reasons  behind  gender  differences  in  wellbeing  as  reported  in  both  2006  and  2010,  regardless  of  pension-­‐eligibility  or  receipt.  

The  age-­‐gender  interaction,  which  was  so  prominent  in  the  2006  SAGE  data  disappears  with  the  change  in  policy,  however:  when  men  and  women  begin  receiving  pensions  at  the  same  age  there  are  fewer  sex  differences  in  patterns  of  reported  wellbeing  as  individuals  age.  Some  of  this  change  may  be  that  when  answering  questions  about  wellbeing  in  2006,  men  compared  their  situation  not  only  with  other  men  in  their  age  group,  but  also  with  women  of  their  same  age,  who  at  the  time  were  receiving  pensions  while  the  men  were  not.  This  might  have  affected  the  ways  in  which  men  reported  their  own  wellbeing,  which  is  2006  showed  declines  in  the  60-­‐64  pre-­‐pension  age-­‐category.    

In  general,  the  downward  shift  in  men’s  age-­‐eligibility  by  2010  seems  to  be  associated  with  reports  of  better  wellbeing  upon  pension-­‐eligibility  for  both  men  and  women  equally—these  changes  are  even  more  evident  in  the  models  where  actual  pension  receipt  is  measured  as  opposed  to  simply  using  age  as  a  proxy.  This  means  that  when  pension-­‐receipt  information  is  not  available,  the  relationships  between  pensions  and  improvements  in  wellbeing  are  likely  underestimated.  The  subsequent  decline  in  wellbeing  post-­‐pension  receipt  seen  in  2006  is  not  present  in  the  2010  data.  This  may  be  due  partly  to  the  equalization  of  men’s  and  women’s  pension-­‐eligibility,  as  explained  above.  Future  analyses  will  include  social  and  economic  covariates  to  see  if  these  affect  the  pattern  of  reported  wellbeing  as  individuals  age.    

The  analyses  presented  here  are  cross-­‐sectional.  The  final  step  will  be  to  analyze  the  panel  data  for  those  who  were  respondents  in  2006  and  again  in  2010.  The  linked  dataset  is  currently  being  constructed.  We  will  then  be  able  to  examine  change  in  wellbeing  over  time  for  each  respondent  and  test  whether  the  findings  seen  in  the  two  cross-­‐sections  hold  at  the  level  of  the  individual.  

   

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Table  1.   Wellbeing  Outcome  Measures  Variable   Original  coding   Dichotomous  Recoding  Sad*   None  

Mild  0=none/mild    

  Moderate  Severe  Extreme  

1=  at  least  some  sad    

Worry   None  Mild  

0=none/mild    

  Moderate  Severe  Extreme  

1=  at  least  some  worry    

Unhappy   Very  happy  Happy  

0=  happy  

  Neither  Unhappy  Very  Unhappy  

1=at  least  some  unhappy    

Dissatisfied   Very  satisfied  Satisfied  

0=  satisfied    

  Neither    Dissatisfied  Very  dissatisfied  

1=  at  least  some  dissatisfied  

Variable   Components   Dichotomous  recoding  of  quintiles  

WHODASi  (Function)  

Interpersonal  activities,  Difficulties  in  daily  living:  Standing,  Walking,  Household  duties,  Learning,  Concentrating,  Self-­‐care  Scale  0  (low  ability)  to  100  (high  ability)  

0=60%  best  WHODASi  1=40%  worst  WHODASi  

WHOQoL  (Quality  of  Life)  

Enough  energy  for  daily  life,  Enough  money  to  meet  needs,  Satisfaction  with:  Your  health,  Yourself,  Ability  to  perform  daily  activities,  Personal  relationships,  Condition  of  your  living  space,  Rate  your  overall  quality  of  life  Scale  0  (low  QOL)  to  100  (high  QOL)  

0=60%  best  WHOQoL  1=40%  worst  WHOQoL  

*Questions  translated  into  Shangaan  for  WHO-­‐SAGE:  Overall  in  the  last  30  days,  how  much  of  a  problem  did  you  have…  SAD:…with  feeling  sad,  low  or  depressed?;  WORRY:  …  with  worry  or  anxiety?;  DISSATISFIED:  Taking  all  things  together,  how  satisfied  are  you  with  your  life  as  a  whole  these  days?;  UNHAPPY:  Taking  all  things  together,  how  would  you  say  you  are  these  days?        

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Table  2A.  Background  Characteristics  and  Wellbeing  by  Sex  and  5-­‐Year  Age  Group,  Agincourt  HDSS  and  SAGE  2006          Recent  pension-­‐eligible  age  highlighted    

  MEN   WOMEN     50-­‐54   55-­‐59   60-­‐64   65-­‐69   70-­‐74   75+   50-­‐54   55-­‐59   60-­‐64   65-­‐69   70-­‐74   75+  Mean  household  size        6.6      6.3      7.3      7.0      6.9      6.0      8.3    8.0      7.5      7.0      6.5      6.4  Mean  percent  of  household  under  15   26.4   20.9   22.3   21.5   21.3   19.0   30.0   26.5   26.0   26.3   25.3   23.9  Socio-­‐economic  status  (quintiles)                            First  (lowest)   13.4   16.0   17.0      9.8   18.3   17.1   13.9   12.8   9.8   13.6   17.4   17.2    Second   21.4   18.4   14.2   10.3   13.3   16.3   15.9   16.4   17.4   16.8   21.4   23.3    Third   16.1   17.6   27.4   20.1   13.3   19.1   20.9   22.4   17.9   23.8   18.9   18.0    Fourth   16.1   18.4   11.3   29.3   23.3   19.1   23.9   19.2   25.8   24.9   22.6   23.4    Fifth  (highest)   33.0   29.6   30.2   30.5   31.7   28.5   25.4   29.2   29.1   20.9   19.7   18.2  Percent  unmarried   25.9   24.0   18.9   19.5   20.0   23.6   43.9   49.8   53.8   64.4   75.4   84.3  Percent  with  no  formal  education   36.6   42.4   44.3   53.5   65.8   70.7   50.4   54.6   57.2   71.5   85.1   84.6  Percent  working  in  2004   39.3   29.6   36.8   17.8   15.0   5.7   26.1   24.0   16.4   8.6   5.4   2.2  Percent  South  African   82.3   79.9   83.8   75.4   72.0   68.8   73.1   71.0   75.6   71.4   67.6   71.1  Percent  bad  self-­‐rated  health   12.5   16.0   22.6   21.8   10.8   17.5   9.4   13.0   12.2   15.2   18.3   24.7  Wellbeing  variables          (Percent  scored  1)  

                       

         Sad   39.3   35.2   44.3   35.1   34.2   43.1   45.0   44.8   39.1   47.9   52.3   51.1            Worry   50.9   42.4   50.9   39.1   40.0   49.2   52.6   57.1   44.0   55.8   59.1   60.7            Dissatisfied   30.0   29.0   39.3   32.4   31.6   34.4   32.6   33.7   23.6   29.8   36.8   39.0            Unhappy   34.3   27.7   38.3   27.7   28.7   37.8   33.2   33.4   25.5   32.9   36.3   39.3            Poor  WHODASi   28.4   30.9   30.8   29.6   32.2   40.9   30.7   35.1   29.5   41.6   50.8   60.1            Poor  WHOQoL   37.9   31.6   41.9   34.7   35.9   41.7   39.4   41.4   30.6   38.3   45.3   50.0  N   112   125   106   174   120   246   460   438   409   382   350   644      

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Table  2B.  Background  Characteristics  and  Wellbeing  by  5-­‐Year  Age  Group  for  Women  and  Men  in  2010,  Agincourt  HDSS  and  SAGE          Recent  pension-­‐eligible  age  highlighted    

  Men   Women     50-­‐54   55-­‐59   60-­‐64   65-­‐69   70-­‐74   75+   50-­‐54   55-­‐59   60-­‐64   65-­‐69   70-­‐74   75+  Mean  household  size     6.1   6.9   7.4   8.6   6.7   6.0   8.2   8.1   7.7   7.2   6.6   6.4  Mean  percent  of  household  under  15  

24.4   21.9   20.9   25.9   18.2   17.8   27.5   26.7   25.4   25.6   25.2   22.0  

Socio-­‐economic  status  (quintiles)  

                       

 First  (lowest)   19.6   20.0   14.9   11.7   14.4   20.4   15.3   12.2   15.4   13.2   17.0   21.1    Second   16.8   17.5   16.8   15.2   17.3   22.6   19.3   19.7   20.0   21.1   23.3   22.5    Third   20.1   19.6   20.6   23.3   21.4   22.3   23.0   20.9   20.2   23.1   22.4   21.2    Fourth   14.8   22.5   19.5   17.5   16.1   18.3   20.5   20.8   18.2   20.5   19.0   18.2    Fifth  (highest)   28.7   20.4   28.2   32.3   30.9   16.4   21.9   26.5   26.2   22.1   18.3   17.0  Percent  unmarried   29.2   22.6   22.4   19.3   25.8   31.7   40.5   49.1   58.5   62.3   73.5   82.4  Percent  with  no  formal  education  

34.6   40.3   49.0   55.7   54.8   71.8   47.5   52.4   55.6   63.9   82.5   88.8  

Percent  working  (2008)   55.1   47.6   40.4   25.9   12.1   6.7   33.1   30.8   20.0   8.9   5.0   3.4  Percent  bad  self-­‐rated  health   13.6   11.9   12.1   15.7   14.3   20.5   13.5   15.3   16.4   17.5   22.5   28.7  Percent  South  African   75.1   73.3   69.8   68.3   71.7   64.8   67.7   73.5   69.9   73.0   64.6   66.4  Wellbeing  variables          (Percent  scored  1)  

                       

         Sad   33.0   37.5   26.4   27.4   38.7   38.8   39.0   38.1   38.3   38.2   45.5   48.1            Worry   40.5   40.1   32.1   31.7   40.7   41.7   45.1   43.6   39.5   41.1   48.7   51.6            Dissatisfied   20.7   19.0   15.5   19.2   17.8   25.5   19.5   21.2   18.2   21.1   24.0   31.6            Unhappy   25.4   25.1   20.8   17.4   25.8   30.9   27.3   27.0   25.6   28.4   29.1   34.7            Poor  WHODASi   26.3   27.6   22.6   26.5   33.6   44.0   29.7   29.5   31.1   36.0   45.2   57.4            Poor  WHOQoL   36.2   32.5   24.5   28.7   29.1   41.0   34.6   38.4   30.7   31.8   39.3   50.3  N   213   243   265   230   244   327   807   747   652   589   560   1,100  

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Table  3A.  Relationships  of  Sex  and  5-­‐year  Age  Group  to  Health  and  Wellbeing  Measures,  Agincourt  HDSS  and  SAGE  2006  Logistic  regression  odds  ratios  and  (95%  confidence  intervals)1  

  SAD   WORRY   UNHAPPY   DISSATISFIED              POOR          WHODASi  

   POOR  WHOQOL  

Female          1.53***  (1.31,  1.79)  

           1.60***  (1.37,  1.86)  

               1.16  (0.99,  1.37)  

1.13  (0.96,  1.33)  

     1.36**    (1.09,  1.70)  

   1.31***  (1.03,  1.39)  

Age  Groups              50-­‐54  (omitted)   1   1   1   1   1   1  

55-­‐59  0.96  

(0.77,  1.20)  1.09  

(0.88,  1.36)  0.95  

(0.75,  1.19)  1.03  

(0.82,  1.30)  1.21    

(0.96,  1.52)  1.01    

(0.81,  1.26)  

60-­‐64  1.51*  

(1.00,  2.29)  1.24  

(0.82,  1.87)  1.40  

(0.91,  2.15)  1.52*  

(0.99,  2.32)  1.31  

(0.83,  2.08)          1.40  

(0.92,  2.12)  

65-­‐69  1.09  

(0.88,  1.36)  1.06  

(0.85,  1.31)  0.92  

(0.73,  1.16)  0.95  

(0.76,  1.20)            1.45**  (1.15,  1.82)  

0.95    (0.76,  1.19)  

70-­‐74  1.16  

(0.92,  1.46)  1.13  

(0.90,  1.43)  1.06  

(0.83,  1.35)  1.18  

(0.92,  1.49)            1.40  

(0.89,  2.21)  1.19    

(0.95,  1.50)  

75plus  1.30**  

(1.07,  1.58)  1.29**  

(1.07,  1.58)  1.28*  

(1.05,  1.57)  1.30**  

(1.06,  1.59)            2.05***  (1.45,  2.88)  

         1.45***    (1.19,  1.77)  

Female*Age  60-­‐64  0.50**  

(0.32,  0.77)  0.54**  

(0.35,  0.84)  0.47**  

(0.30,  0.75)  0.42***  

(0.27,  0.67)  0.69  

(0.42,  1.13)  0.47***  

(0.30,  0.73)  

Female*Age  75-­‐plus   -­‐-­‐   -­‐-­‐   -­‐-­‐   -­‐-­‐  1.60**  

(1.11,  2.29)   -­‐-­‐  Tests  run  on  above  models  to  assess  differences  between  specific  age/sex  groups      Improvement  at  pension-­‐eligibility      Women  60-­‐64  vs  55-­‐59   *   ***   **   ***   *   ***  Men  65-­‐69  vs  60-­‐64   NS   NS   *   **   NS   *  Decline  in  next  age  group  after  pension-­‐eligibility      Women  65-­‐69  vs  60-­‐64   **   ***   **   **   ***   **  Men  70-­‐74  vs  65-­‐69   NS   NS   NS   *   NS   **  N   4060   4016   4021   4059   4069   4065  

1  Models  were  first  estimated  with  all  sex*age-­‐group  interactions.  Interactions  that  were  jointly  non-­‐significant  were  deleted  and  the  models  re-­‐estimated.    NS  p>.05,  *p<=.05,  **p<=.01,  ***p<=.001        

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Table  3B.  Relationships  of  Sex  and  5-­‐year  Age  Group  to  Health  and  Wellbeing  Measures,  Agincourt  HDSS  and  SAGE  2010  Logistic  regression  odds  ratios  and  (95%  confidence  intervals)1  

  SAD   WORRY   UNHAPPY   DISSATISFIED  POOR  

WHODASi  POOR  

WHOQOL  

Female  1.39***  

(1.23  -­‐  1.57)  1.35***  

(1.20  -­‐  1.53)  1.18*  

(1.02  -­‐  1.36)  1.21**  

(1.05  -­‐  1.40)  1.47***  

(1.29  -­‐  1.67)  1.30***  

(1.14  -­‐  1.47)  Age  Groups              50-­‐54  (omitted)   -­‐   -­‐   -­‐   -­‐   -­‐   -­‐  

55-­‐59  1.02  

(0.85  -­‐  1.22)  0.96  

(0.80  -­‐  1.14)  0.99  

(0.81  -­‐  1.21)  1.06  

(0.85  -­‐  1.32)  1.01  

(0.83  -­‐  1.23)  1.10  

(0.92  -­‐  1.33)  

60-­‐64  0.90  

(0.75  -­‐  1.09)  0.77**  

(0.64  -­‐  0.93)  0.88  

(0.72  -­‐  1.08)  0.87  

(0.69  -­‐  1.10)  1.01  

(0.83  -­‐  1.23)  0.77**  

(0.64  -­‐  0.94)  

65-­‐69  0.91  

(0.75  -­‐  1.11)  0.81*  

(0.67  -­‐  0.97)  0.65*  

(0.44  -­‐  0.96)  1.07  

(0.85  -­‐  1.34)  1.26*  

(1.03  -­‐  1.53)  0.85  

(0.70  -­‐  1.03)  

70-­‐74  1.31**  

(1.08  -­‐  1.58)  1.12  

(0.93  -­‐  1.36)  1.08  

(0.88  -­‐  1.33)  1.17  

(0.93  -­‐  1.47  1.82***  

(1.49  -­‐  2.21)  1.08  

(0.89  -­‐  1.32)  

75plus  1.41***  

(1.20  -­‐  1.67)  1.24**  

(1.06  -­‐  1.46)  1.40***  

(1.17  -­‐  1.67  1.77***  

(1.46  -­‐  2.14)  2.95***  

(2.48  -­‐  3.50)  1.74***  

(1.48  -­‐  2.06)  

Female*Age  65-­‐69   -­‐   -­‐  1.60*  

(1.06  -­‐  2.41)       -­‐  Tests  run  on  above  models  to  assess  differences  between  specific  age/sex  groups      Improvement  at  pension-­‐eligibility      60-­‐64  vs  55-­‐59   NS   *   NS   NS   NS   ***  Decline  in  next  age  group  after  pension-­‐eligibility      65-­‐69  vs  60-­‐64   NS   NS   NS   NS   *   NS  70-­‐74  vs  65-­‐69   NS   ***   NS   NS   ***   *  N   5,970   5,950   5,977   5,961   5,977   5,977  1    Some  models  omit  certain  variables  or  interaction  terms  through  listwise  deletion.  Each  included  variables  lists  its  odds  ratios  and  confidence  interval.  *p<=.05  **p<=.01,  ***p<=.001      

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Table  4.  Percent  of  pension  receipt  by  Sex  and  5-­‐Year  Age  Group,    Agincourt  HDSS  and  SAGE  2010     Men   Women  50  to  54   3.3   2.2  55  to  59   11.5   10.7  60  to  64   71.7   78.8  65  to  69   84.4   84.6  70  to  74   88.1   86.6  75  plus   83.2   86.1  Total  (50+)   59.5   57.1  Pension  Eligible  (60+)   81.7   84.2  N   1,522   4,455        

Page 21: Men, pensions and wellbeing in rural South Africa - University of

Table  5.  Relationships  of  Pension  receipt  Sex  and  5-­‐year  Age  Group  to  Health  and  Wellbeing  Measures,  Agincourt  HDSS  and  SAGE  2010  Logistic  regression  odds  ratios  and  (95%  confidence  intervals)1  

  SAD   WORRY   UNHAPPY   DISSATISFIED  POOR  

WHODASi      POOR  

WHOQOL  

Female  1.39***  

(1.23  -­‐  1.58)  1.36***  

(1.20  -­‐  1.53)  1.19*  

(1.03  -­‐  1.37  1.22**  

(1.05  -­‐  1.41)  1.47***  

(1.30  -­‐  1.67)  1.31***  

(1.15  -­‐  1.48)  Age  Groups              50-­‐54  (omitted)   -­‐   -­‐   -­‐   -­‐   -­‐   -­‐  

55-­‐59  1.02  

(0.85  -­‐  1.22)  0.96  

(0.80  -­‐  1.14)  0.99  

(0.81  -­‐  1.21)  1.06  

(0.85  -­‐  1.32)  1.01  

(0.83  -­‐  1.23)  1.10  

(0.92  -­‐  1.33)  

60-­‐64  0.88  

(0.73  -­‐  1.07)  0.75**  

(0.62  -­‐  0.90)  0.79*  

(0.64  -­‐  0.97)  0.83  

(0.65  -­‐  1.05)  0.97  

(0.80  -­‐  1.19)  0.70***  

(0.57  -­‐  0.85)  

65-­‐69  0.90  

(0.74  -­‐  1.09)  0.79*  

(0.65  -­‐  0.95)  0.61*  

(0.41  -­‐  0.90)  1.03  

(0.82  -­‐  1.30)  1.22*  

(1.00  -­‐  1.50)  0.79*  

(0.65  -­‐  0.97)  

70-­‐74  1.29**  

(1.07  -­‐  1.56)  1.10  

(0.91  -­‐  1.33)  1.02  

(0.82  -­‐  1.25)  1.14  

(0.91  -­‐  1.44)  1.78***  

(1.46  -­‐  2.16)  1.03  

(0.84  -­‐  1.25)  

75plus  1.40***  

(1.18  -­‐  1.65)  1.21*  

(1.03  -­‐  1.43)  1.30**  

(1.09  -­‐  1.56)  1.71***  

(1.41  -­‐  2.08)  2.88***  

(2.42  -­‐  3.42)  1.64***  

(1.39  -­‐  1.94)  

No  Pension    1.10  

(0.92  -­‐  1.31)  1.17  

(0.98  -­‐  1.39)  1.57***  

(1.31  -­‐  1.88)  1.23*  

(1.01  -­‐  1.49)  1.18  

(0.99  -­‐  1.41)  1.50***  

(1.26  -­‐  1.79)  

Female*Age  65-­‐69   -­‐   -­‐  1.59*  

(1.05  -­‐  2.40)   -­‐   -­‐   -­‐  Tests  run  on  above  models  to  assess  differences  between  specific  age/sex  groups      Improvement  at  pension-­‐eligibility      60-­‐64  vs  55-­‐59   NS   **   *   *   NS   ***  Decline  in  next  age  group  after  pension-­‐eligibility      65-­‐69  vs  60-­‐64   NS   NS   NS   NS   *   NS  70-­‐74  vs  65-­‐69   ***   **   **   NS   ***   **  N   5,970   5,950   5,977   5,961   5,977    

1    Some  models  omit  certain  variables  or  interaction  terms  through  listwise  deletion.  Each  included  variables  lists  its  odds  ratios  and  confidence  interval.  *p<=.05  **p<=.01,  ***p<=.001