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U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Mapping floodplain in the Chesapeake watershed Greg Noe National Research Program, Reston VA Funded by: EDF USGS Chesapeake Priority Ecosystem Science Program USGS National Research Program

Mapping floodplain in the Chesapeake watershed · 2017. 8. 1. · Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake USDA SSURGO Flooding frequency Drainage class Hydric

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Page 1: Mapping floodplain in the Chesapeake watershed · 2017. 8. 1. · Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake USDA SSURGO Flooding frequency Drainage class Hydric

U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey

Mapping floodplain in the Chesapeake watershed

Greg Noe

National Research Program, Reston VA

Funded by:

EDF

USGS Chesapeake Priority Ecosystem Science Program

USGS National Research Program

Page 2: Mapping floodplain in the Chesapeake watershed · 2017. 8. 1. · Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake USDA SSURGO Flooding frequency Drainage class Hydric

Floodplain nutrient and sediment retention

Empirical studies have quantified large rates of N, P, and sediment trapping by floodplains in the Chesapeake watershed

Does this scale up?

Can it be predicted and modeled?

Floodplains are locations for significant material retention before river loading into coastal waters

Page 3: Mapping floodplain in the Chesapeake watershed · 2017. 8. 1. · Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake USDA SSURGO Flooding frequency Drainage class Hydric

Coastal Plain floodplains trap large nutrient loads

1) Measured sedimentation fluxes in plots

2) Scaled to entire CP extent of floodplain

3) Compared to river load

Percent retention for 7 rivers:

Median Range

Nitrogen 22% (5 to 150%)

Phosphorus 59% (14 to 587%)

Sediment 119% (53 to 690%)

Noe and Hupp. 2009. Ecosystems.

g m-2 yr-1 × m2

g yr-1

Page 4: Mapping floodplain in the Chesapeake watershed · 2017. 8. 1. · Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake USDA SSURGO Flooding frequency Drainage class Hydric

Geomorphic controls on floodplain sediment retention and loss

Log bank height:floodplain width

-2.0 -1.8 -1.6 -1.4 -1.2 -1.0 -0.8

Lo

g (

+2

00

) si

te s

edim

ent

bu

dg

et (

kg

m-1

yr-

1)

1.6

1.8

2.0

2.2

2.4

2.6

2.8

3.0

3.2

Difficult Run

Little Conestoga Creek

Linganore Creek

r = -0.783p < 0.001

Schenk et al. 2013, ESP&L

Chesapeake Piedmont

Page 5: Mapping floodplain in the Chesapeake watershed · 2017. 8. 1. · Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake USDA SSURGO Flooding frequency Drainage class Hydric

Floodplain variability in the Chesapeake

Noe 2013, Treatise of Geomorphology

Page 6: Mapping floodplain in the Chesapeake watershed · 2017. 8. 1. · Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake USDA SSURGO Flooding frequency Drainage class Hydric

The Floodplain Restoration Prioritization Tool

Where to restore floodplain to have largest reductions in loads to the Chesapeake Bay? 1. Develop conceptual model of factors influencing load trapping by floodplains 2. Translate into quantitative index model using GIS data 3. Map potential load reduction 4. Identify degraded floodplain at sites

Page 7: Mapping floodplain in the Chesapeake watershed · 2017. 8. 1. · Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake USDA SSURGO Flooding frequency Drainage class Hydric

CHANNEL

FLOODPLAIN Hydro-

connectivity

Water

velocity

Roughness

Water

residence

time

Floodplain

area

Soil

organic

content

Soil

redox

Micro-

topography

Vegetation

Wetness

River

load

Soil

Fe, Al

CBP WSM

Gage data

DEM

SPARROW

DEM

FEMA

GAP

NWI

SSURGO

SSURGO GAP SSURGO SSURGO DEM

DEM

Gap

SSURGO

DEM

DEM

Conceptual model of factors influencing floodplain retention of nitrogen, phosphorus, and sediment

GAP

Soil texture

SSURGO

1) Is there

load?

2) How much

load gets on

the

floodplain?

3) What

happens

once the

load gets on

the

floodplain?

ADJACENT

UPLANDS NLCD

DEM

GAP

SSURGO

Storage

component

Factor

Flux

Influence

GIS database

ATMOSPHERE

NADP

Adjacent

land use

Page 8: Mapping floodplain in the Chesapeake watershed · 2017. 8. 1. · Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake USDA SSURGO Flooding frequency Drainage class Hydric

Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake

DEM processing - Computer intensive - Requires ground truthing FEMA - Large gaps in coverage - 100 yr (or more) floodplain NWI - Maps various wetland types - wetland ≠ floodplain, floodplain ≠ wetland - Only natural vegetation systems could ID floodplain GAP - Partially based on NWI - Only natural vegetation systems could ID floodplain - Wetland vegetation systems can be classified as floodplain with varying degrees of wetness - Mapped for entire watershed USDA SSURGO -Some gaps in coverage -County variability in mapping of characteristics

Page 9: Mapping floodplain in the Chesapeake watershed · 2017. 8. 1. · Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake USDA SSURGO Flooding frequency Drainage class Hydric

Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake

USDA SSURGO Flooding frequency Drainage class Hydric class Hydrologic groups Water table depth

618.30 Flooding Frequency Class, Duration Class, and Month A. Definition.—“Flooding” is the temporary covering of the soil surface by flowing water from any source, such as streams overflowing their banks, runoff from adjacent or surrounding slopes, inflow from high tides, or any combination of sources. Shallow water standing or flowing that is not concentrated as local runoff during or shortly after rain or snowmelt is excluded from the definition of flooding. Chapter 3 of the Soil Survey Manual provides additional information. Standing water (ponding) or water that forms a permanent covering is also excluded from the definition.

Page 10: Mapping floodplain in the Chesapeake watershed · 2017. 8. 1. · Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake USDA SSURGO Flooding frequency Drainage class Hydric

Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake

USDA SSURGO Flooding frequency

Flooding Frequency Class Definition

None No reasonable possibility of flooding; one chance out of 500 of

flooding in any year or less than 1 time in 500 years.

Very rare

Flooding is very unlikely but is possible under extremely unusual

weather conditions; less than 1 percent chance of flooding in any

year or less than 1 time in 100 years but more than 1 time in 500

years.

Rare

Flooding is unlikely but is possible under unusual weather

conditions; 1 to 5 percent chance of flooding in any year or nearly

1 to 5 times in 100 years

Occasional

Flooding is expected infrequently under usual weather conditions;

5 to 50 percent chance of flooding in any year or 5 to 50 times in

100 years.

Frequent

Flooding is likely to occur often under usual weather conditions;

more than a 50 percent chance of flooding in any year (i.e., 50

times in 100 years), but less than a 50 percent chance of flooding

in all months in any year.

Very frequent

Flooding is likely to occur very often under usual weather

conditions; more than a 50 percent chance of flooding in all

months of any year.

Page 11: Mapping floodplain in the Chesapeake watershed · 2017. 8. 1. · Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake USDA SSURGO Flooding frequency Drainage class Hydric

Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake

USDA SSURGO coverage

Page 12: Mapping floodplain in the Chesapeake watershed · 2017. 8. 1. · Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake USDA SSURGO Flooding frequency Drainage class Hydric

Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake

FEMA mapping coverage

Page 13: Mapping floodplain in the Chesapeake watershed · 2017. 8. 1. · Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake USDA SSURGO Flooding frequency Drainage class Hydric

Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake

GAP vegetation mapping coverage

Page 14: Mapping floodplain in the Chesapeake watershed · 2017. 8. 1. · Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake USDA SSURGO Flooding frequency Drainage class Hydric

Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake

NWI coverage

Page 15: Mapping floodplain in the Chesapeake watershed · 2017. 8. 1. · Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake USDA SSURGO Flooding frequency Drainage class Hydric

Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake

USDA SSURGO Flooding frequency

Page 16: Mapping floodplain in the Chesapeake watershed · 2017. 8. 1. · Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake USDA SSURGO Flooding frequency Drainage class Hydric

Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake

FEMA floodplain (≤ 100 yr)

Page 17: Mapping floodplain in the Chesapeake watershed · 2017. 8. 1. · Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake USDA SSURGO Flooding frequency Drainage class Hydric

Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake

GAP floodplain wetlands

Page 18: Mapping floodplain in the Chesapeake watershed · 2017. 8. 1. · Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake USDA SSURGO Flooding frequency Drainage class Hydric

Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake: Difficult Run test

Page 19: Mapping floodplain in the Chesapeake watershed · 2017. 8. 1. · Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake USDA SSURGO Flooding frequency Drainage class Hydric

Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake: Difficult Run test

Page 20: Mapping floodplain in the Chesapeake watershed · 2017. 8. 1. · Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake USDA SSURGO Flooding frequency Drainage class Hydric

Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake: Difficult Run test

NWI GAP SSURGO flood freq FEMA

Page 21: Mapping floodplain in the Chesapeake watershed · 2017. 8. 1. · Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake USDA SSURGO Flooding frequency Drainage class Hydric

Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake: Difficult Run test

NWI

GAP

SSURGO flood freq

FEMA

Page 22: Mapping floodplain in the Chesapeake watershed · 2017. 8. 1. · Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake USDA SSURGO Flooding frequency Drainage class Hydric

Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake: Difficult Run test

Equal weight composite of all 4

Page 23: Mapping floodplain in the Chesapeake watershed · 2017. 8. 1. · Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake USDA SSURGO Flooding frequency Drainage class Hydric

Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake: Difficult Run test

Flood freq – FEMA composite

Page 24: Mapping floodplain in the Chesapeake watershed · 2017. 8. 1. · Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake USDA SSURGO Flooding frequency Drainage class Hydric

Potential GIS data for mapping floodplain area in Chesapeake

DRAFT [DETAILS in DEVELOPMENT] → SSURGO Flood Frequency can map floodplain area in most of watershed with gaps filled in by composite of FEMA (conservatie) /GAP (liberal)