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QUARTERLY UPDATE Q4 2018
MANUFACTURING
Page 2
INDUSTRY OVERVIEWM&A TRANSACTIONS & PERFORMANCE
77.8
112.
1
130.
5
40.0
85.7
101.
8
116.
7
164.
4
78.8
170.
4
111.
4
150.
8
46.4
79.4
62.5
77.9
74.9
131.
7
86.2
32.9
183 174 166 164 166 168 166
193
159 158 155 171
156 142
129 147
105 100
129 125
-
50
100
150
200
250
-
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Tran
sact
ion
Volu
me
(Num
ber o
f Dea
ls)
Tran
sact
ion
Valu
e ( $
Billi
ons)
NORTH AMERICAN MANUFACTURING M&A TRANSACTIONS
Transaction value Transaction volume
Source: Capital IQ. Data as of December 31, 2018.
• Merger and acquisition (M&A) activity in the manufacturing industry within North America declined in the fourth quarter of 2018. Overall transaction volume decreased from 129 deals in third quarter of 2018 to 125 deals in fourth quarter 2018, and total transaction value decreased from $86.2 billion to $32.9 billion in the same period. Factors contributing to the decline in aggregate transaction value include:
• A decline in average transaction value between periods from $668 million to $264 million. This was largely attributable to Broadcom Inc. acquiring CA Technologies for $21.8 billion in the third quarter 2018. Relative to third quarter 2018, there were no transactions of similar size or scope which occurred in fourth quarter 2018.
• During the fourth quarter of 2018, North American capital markets experienced heightened levels of volatility due to a continuation of geopolitical tensions and trade frictions, further monetary tightening through the gradual increase of key benchmark interest rates, as well as a current U.S. government shut down which started towards the end of December. Collectively these factors contributed to a reduction in investor sentiment within the market.
• Overall transaction volume did not change significantly during the period. Consistent with third quarter 2018, the industrials subsector within the manufacturing industry continued to dominate the majority of transactions; however, declined modestly between periods, from 28 percent to 26 percent of total transaction volume. Transaction activity within the health care subsector declined 55 percent, from 22 transactions in third quarter 2018 to 10 transactions in fourth quarter 2018. The decline in health care transaction volume was partially offset by an increase in the consumer staples and consumer discretionary subsector which increased 34 percent, from 19 transactions in third quarter 2018 to 29 transactions in fourth quarter 2018.
M&A MARKET UPDATE FOR Q4 2018
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Page 3
MACRO ECONOMIC INDICATORS
Source: IBISWorld Industry Reports.F indicates forecast.
The key external drivers that affect the manufacturing industry in Canada include; industrial capacity utilization, the worldprice of crude oil, the Canadian-dollar effective exchange rate index and the consumer confidence index. Growth in the manufacturing industry in Canada is expected to be fueled by lower than historical crude oil prices, a depressed Canadian dollar relative to key trading partners and more stable industrial capacity utilization rates. It is important to note that uncertainty related to the recently adopted United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) and a projected global economic slowdown may impact consumer confidence levels and other macro economic indicators, which could restrict the Canadian manufacturing industry from reaching full potential.
74
76
78
80
82
84
86
88
Perc
ent
INDUSTRIAL CAPACITY UTILIZATION
0.00
20.00
40.00
60.00
80.00
100.00
120.00
$USD
per
bar
rel
WORLD PRICE OF CRUDE OIL
85.00
90.00
95.00
100.00
105.00
110.00
115.00
Inde
x
CANADIAN-DOLLAR EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE INDEX
80.00
85.00
90.00
95.00
100.00
105.00
110.00
115.00
120.00
Inde
x
CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX
Page 4
SELECT RECENT M&A TRANSACTIONS
Source: Capital IQ.All figures are in $USD.
• Cleveland, Ohio based TransDigm Group Inc. engineers and manufacturers aviation components under its three divisions: power and controls, airframe, and non-aviation. Its components are used in commercial and military aircrafts.
• Esterline Technologies Corporation designs and produces aviation communication systems, power control systems, and avionic sensors for aerospace and military applications. The company is headquartered in Bellevue, Washington.
• II-VI Incorporated develops and manufactures application-specific photonic, and electronic materials and components. Its products are used by customers in the automotive, military, medical, communication, and manufacturing industry. The company is headquartered in Saxonburg, Pennsylvania.
• Finisar Corporation manufactures optical communication components used in networking equipment, data centers, telecommunication systems, consumer electronics and automotive components. The company is headquartered in Sunnyvale, California.
• Luxfer Holdings PLC is a high tech components manufacturer that specializes in using bespoke alloys designed for highly specific applications within the medical, military, and aviation industries. The company operates 20 manufacturing facilities worldwide and is headquartered in Manchester, United Kingdom.
• Neo Performance Materials Inc. focuses on processing, engineering, and producing components using rare earth metals and zirconium based materials. The company had its IPO on the TSX during December 2017 and is headquartered in Toronto, Ontario.
• Sycamore Partners is a private equity firm based in New York City, NY. The firm specializes in consumer distribution and retail-related investments and partners with management teams to improve the operating profitability and strategic value of the business.
• Pure Fishing Inc. is a leading global provider of fishing tackle, lures, rods and reels with a portfolio of brands that include Abu Garcia, All Star, Berkley, Chub, Fenwick and many more. The company is headquartered in Columbia, South Carolina.
Announced Oct 10, 2018
TEV $4.367 billion
TEV/EBITDA 13.04x
TEV/Revenue 1.96x
Announced Nov 9, 2018
TEV $3.827 billion
TEV/EBITDA 36.95x
TEV/Revenue 1.79x
Announced Dec 18, 2018
TEV $606 million
TEV/EBITDA 8.74x
TEV/Revenue 1.10x
Announced Nov 7, 2018
TEV $1.3 billion
TEV/EBITDA Not Disclosed
TEV/Revenue 2.34x
Announced intention to
acquire
Announced intention to
acquire
Announced intention to
acquire
acquired
Page 5
PUBLIC COMPARABLE ANALYSISTRADING MULTIPLES & OPERATING STATISTICS
Source: Capital IQ. Data as of December 31, 2018.LTM refers to last twelve months. NTM refers to next twelve months.
(Figures In $USD millions, except percentages and ratios)
LTM Operating Figures NTM Consensus Estimates Valuation
CompanyMarket
CapitalizationEnterprise
Value RevenueRevenue Growth EBITDA
EBITDA Margin
Revenue Growth
EBITDA Margin
NTM EV/EBITDA
LTM EV/EBITDA
LTM EV/REV
Auto Parts and EquipmentAptiv PLC $16,222 $19,760 $14,435 12.0% $2,281 15.8% 3.0% 16.8% 7.9x 8.7x 1.4xMagna International Inc. $15,192 $19,206 $42,732 18.2% $4,622 10.8% (4.2%) 10.6% 4.4x 4.2x .4xLear Corporation $7,884 $8,946 $21,149 3.3% $2,125 10.0% 1.2% 10.1% 4.1x 4.2x .4xBorgWarner Inc. $7,235 $9,114 $10,543 11.3% $1,788 17.0% 0.6% 16.5% 5.1x 5.1x .9xAutoliv, Inc. $6,120 $7,850 $8,678 (16.4%) $1,297 14.9% 4.7% 14.7% 6.1x 6.1x .9xMedian $7,884 $9,114 $14,435 11.3% $2,125 14.9% 1.2% 14.7% 5.1x 5.1x .9xMean $10,531 $12,975 $19,507 5.7% $2,423 13.7% 1.1% 13.8% 5.5x 5.6x .8x
Automobile ManufacturersGeneral Motors Company $47,211 $133,727 $146,365 (1.0%) $22,774 15.6% 0.8% 15.4% 5.9x 5.9x .9xTesla, Inc. $57,153 $69,094 $21,461 82.5% $1,648 7.7% 33.5% 13.6% 16.6x 41.9x 3.2xFord Motor Company $30,431 $160,385 $160,338 2.3% $11,678 7.3% (8.8%) 8.2% 14.0x 13.7x 1.0xMedian $47,211 $133,727 $146,365 2.3% $11,678 7.7% 0.8% 13.6% 14.0x 13.7x 1.0xMean $44,932 $121,069 $109,388 27.9% $12,033 10.2% 8.5% 12.4% 12.1x 20.5x 1.7x
Aerospace and DefenseThe Boeing Company $183,143 $185,109 $101,127 8.3% $13,915 13.8% 8.8% 15.9% 11.4x 13.3x 1.8xUnited Technologies Corporation $91,933 $120,346 $66,501 11.1% $11,749 17.7% 15.8% 17.8% 9.1x 10.2x 1.8x
Lockheed Martin Corporation $74,474 $88,362 $53,762 5.3% $8,591 16.0% 5.3% 16.0% 10.0x 10.3x 1.6x
General Dynamics Corporation $46,558 $58,629 $36,193 16.9% $5,265 14.5% 7.2% 13.9% 10.5x 11.1x 1.6x
Raytheon Company $43,640 $47,180 $27,058 6.7% $3,876 14.3% 7.3% 18.9% 8.6x 12.2x 1.7xNorthrop Grumman Corporation $42,519 $56,196 $30,095 16.6% $4,974 16.5% 13.9% 14.2% 11.8x 11.3x 1.9x
Median $60,516 $73,495 $44,978 9.7% $6,928 15.3% 8.1% 16.0% 10.3x 11.2x 1.8xMean $80,378 $92,637 $52,456 10.8% $8,062 15.5% 9.7% 16.1% 10.2x 11.4x 1.8x
Construction Machinery and Heavy TrucksCaterpillar Inc. $74,985 $103,612 $54,722 20.4% $11,067 20.2% 4.2% 20.6% 9.2x 9.4x 1.9xCummins Inc. $21,390 $23,317 $23,121 18.8% $3,309 14.3% 4.6% 16.1% 6.0x 7.0x 1.0xPACCAR Inc $19,967 $25,790 $23,496 20.8% $3,743 15.9% (2.5%) 12.5% 9.1x 6.9x 1.1xMedian $21,390 $25,790 $23,496 20.4% $3,743 15.9% 4.2% 16.1% 9.1x 7.0x 1.1xMean $38,781 $50,906 $33,780 20.0% $6,040 16.8% 2.1% 16.4% 8.1x 7.8x 1.3x
Electrical Components and EquipmentEmerson Electric Co. $37,413 $41,123 $17,408 14.0% $3,561 20.5% 8.4% 21.3% 10.2x 11.5x 2.4xEaton Corporation plc $29,757 $36,594 $21,609 5.9% $3,873 17.9% 3.4% 18.7% 9.0x 9.4x 1.7xRockwell Automation, Inc. $18,099 $18,989 $6,722 4.9% $1,476 22.0% 4.2% 23.0% 11.8x 12.9x 2.8xAMETEK, Inc. $15,714 $17,097 $4,718 14.2% $1,239 26.3% 9.6% 26.5% 12.5x 13.8x 3.6xMedian $23,928 $27,792 $12,065 10.0% $2,519 21.2% 6.3% 22.2% 11.0x 12.2x 2.6xMean $25,246 $28,451 $12,614 9.8% $2,537 21.6% 6.4% 22.4% 10.9x 11.9x 2.6x
Page 6
PUBLIC COMPARABLE ANALYSISTRADING MULTIPLES & OPERATING STATISTICS
Source: Capital IQ. Data as of December 31, 2018.LTM refers to last twelve months. NTM refers to next twelve months.
(Figures In $USD millions, except percentages and ratios)
LTM Operating Figures NTM Consensus Estimates Valuation
CompanyMarket
CapitalizationEnterprise
Value RevenueRevenue Growth EBITDA
EBITDA Margin
Revenue Growth
EBITDA Margin
NTM EV/EBITDA
LTM EV/EBITDA
LTM EV/REV
Agricultural and Farm MachineryDeere & Company $47,521 $86,857 $37,318 28.4% $5,967 16.0% (4.3%) 16.8% 14.4x 14.6x 2.3xCNH Industrial N.V. $12,469 $32,994 $27,786 13.0% $3,255 11.7% 7.5% 9.2% 11.8x 10.1x 1.2xThe Toro Company $5,914 $5,937 $2,619 4.5% $446 17.0% 5.8% 17.0% 12.6x 13.3x 2.3xAGCO Corporation $4,358 $6,018 $9,287 18.0% $813 8.8% 2.7% 8.7% 7.3x 7.4x .6xMedian $9,191 $19,506 $18,537 15.5% $2,034 13.9% 4.3% 13.0% 12.2x 11.7x 1.7xMean $17,565 $32,951 $19,252 16.0% $2,620 13.4% 2.9% 12.9% 11.5x 11.4x 1.6x
Industrial MachineryIllinois Tool Works Inc. $42,036 $47,855 $14,817 5.2% $4,053 27.4% 0.3% 27.8% 11.5x 11.8x 3.2xParker-Hannifin Corporation $19,739 $23,861 $14,518 8.7% $2,589 17.8% 1.5% 18.0% 9.0x 9.2x 1.6xStanley Black & Decker, Inc. $18,088 $23,714 $13,982 9.7% $2,129 15.2% 3.7% 16.3% 9.6x 11.1x 1.7xFortive Corporation $22,596 $26,472 $7,244 11.8% $1,731 23.9% (0.2%) 24.8% 15.0x 15.3x 3.7xIngersoll-Rand Plc $22,411 $25,514 $15,668 10.4% $2,279 14.5% 4.9% 15.8% 10.1x 11.2x 1.6xMedian $22,411 $25,514 $14,518 9.7% $2,279 17.8% 1.5% 18.0% 10.1x 11.2x 1.7xMean $24,974 $29,483 $13,246 9.2% $2,556 19.8% 2.0% 20.5% 11.0x 11.7x 2.4x
PharmaceuticalsJohnson & Johnson $346,109 $358,004 $81,581 6.7% $28,205 34.6% (0.3%) 36.9% 12.0x 12.7x 4.4xPfizer Inc. $252,318 $277,056 $53,647 2.1% $22,705 42.3% (0.4%) 40.7% 12.2x 12.2x 5.2xMerck & Co., Inc. $198,695 $212,376 $41,729 4.8% $14,095 33.8% 3.8% 37.5% 12.5x 15.1x 5.1xBristol-Myers Squibb Company $84,842 $85,429 $22,561 8.6% $7,208 31.9% 7.4% 31.6% 11.8x 11.9x 3.8x
Eli Lilly and Company $113,733 $118,504 $24,278 8.0% $7,789 32.1% 2.1% 33.6% 14.2x 15.2x 4.9xAllergan plc $45,082 $67,468 $15,787 (1.0%) $7,093 44.9% (3.8%) 48.0% 8.8x 9.5x 4.3xMedian $113,733 $118,504 $24,278 4.8% $7,789 33.8% 2.1% 37.5% 12.2x 12.2x 4.9xMean $138,934 $152,166 $31,600 4.5% $11,778 37.0% 1.8% 38.3% 11.9x 12.8x 4.6x
Diversified ChemicalsDowDuPont Inc. $122,696 $152,344 $85,977 37.6% $15,809 18.4% 4.2% 22.3% 7.8x 9.6x 1.8xEastman Chemical Company $10,238 $16,746 $10,137 8.1% $2,350 23.2% 2.4% 22.6% 7.1x 7.1x 1.7xThe Chemours Company $4,828 $7,558 $6,749 13.8% $1,693 25.1% 1.3% 24.6% 4.5x 4.5x 1.1xHuntsman Corporation $4,597 $7,635 $9,346 16.0% $1,533 16.4% (1.1%) 14.7% 5.4x 5.0x .8xMedian $7,533 $12,191 $9,742 14.9% $2,022 20.8% 1.8% 22.4% 6.3x 6.1x 1.4xMean $35,590 $46,071 $28,052 18.9% $5,346 20.8% 1.7% 21.0% 6.2x 6.6x 1.3x
Page 7
PUBLIC COMPARABLE ANALYSISGROWTH, MARGINS & MULTIPLES
5.1x
6.1x
13.7x
7.0x
12.2x
11.2x
11.7x
12.2x
11.2x
0.0x 2.0x 4.0x 6.0x 8.0x 10.0x 12.0x 14.0x 16.0x
Auto Parts and Equipment
Diversified Chemicals
Automobile Manufacturers
Construction Machinery and Heavy Trucks
Pharmaceuticals
Aerospace and Defense
Agricultural and Farm Machinery
Electrical Components and Equipment
Industrial MachineryLTM EV/EBITDA
7.7%
14.9%
13.9%
15.9%
15.3%
17.8%
20.8%
21.2%
33.8%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
Automobile Manufacturers
Auto Parts and Equipment
Agricultural and Farm Machinery
Construction Machinery and Heavy Trucks
Aerospace and Defense
Industrial Machinery
Diversified Chemicals
Electrical Components and Equipment
PharmaceuticalsLTM EBITDA MARGIN
9.7%
9.7%
20.4%
11.3%
10.0%
15.5%
4.8%
2.3%
14.9%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
Aerospace and Defense
Industrial Machinery
Construction Machinery and Heavy Trucks
Auto Parts and Equipment
Electrical Components and Equipment
Agricultural and Farm Machinery
Pharmaceuticals
Automobile Manufacturers
Diversified ChemicalsLTM REVENUE GROWTH
Source: Capital IQ. Data as of December 31, 2018.LTM refers to last twelve months. NTM refers to next twelve months.Valuation details provided on page 5 and 6.
10.9%
17.9%
10.1x
Page 8
PUBLIC COMPARABLE ANALYSISGROWTH, MARGINS & MULTIPLES
13.6%
13.0%
14.7%
16.0%
16.1%
18.0%
22.2%
22.4%
37.5%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Automobile Manufacturers
Agricultural and Farm Machinery
Auto Parts and Equipment
Aerospace and Defense
Construction Machinery and Heavy Trucks
Industrial Machinery
Electrical Components and Equipment
Diversified Chemicals
PharmaceuticalsNTM EBITDA MARGIN
0.8%
2.1%
8.1%
1.8%
6.3%
1.2%
1.5%
4.2%
4.3%
0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9%
Automobile Manufacturers
Pharmaceuticals
Aerospace and Defense
Diversified Chemicals
Electrical Components and Equipment
Auto Parts and Equipment
Industrial Machinery
Construction Machinery and Heavy Trucks
Agricultural and Farm MachineryNTM REVENUE GROWTH
Source: Capital IQ. Data as of December 31, 2018.LTM refers to last twelve months. NTM refers to next twelve months.Valuation details provided on page 5 and 6.
3.4%
19.3%
10.0x
5.1x
6.3x
12.2x
9.1x
10.1x
10.3x
14.0x
11.0x
12.2x
0.0x 2.0x 4.0x 6.0x 8.0x 10.0x 12.0x 14.0x 16.0x
Auto Parts and Equipment
Diversified Chemicals
Pharmaceuticals
Construction Machinery and Heavy Trucks
Industrial Machinery
Aerospace and Defense
Automobile Manufacturers
Electrical Components and Equipment
Agricultural and Farm MachineryNTM EV/EBITDA
Page 9
PUBLIC COMPARABLE ANALYSISPERFORMANCE ANALYSIS
Source: Capital IQ. Data as of December 31, 2018.Further details provided on page 5 and 6.
-20.5%
-2.9%
-21.3%
-15.5%
-20.9%
-6.4%
-15.5%
-4.3%
-18.9%
-30.00%
-25.00%
-20.00%
-15.00%
-10.00%
-5.00%
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%MANUFACTURING PEER GROUP MARKET CAPITALIZATION
Auto Parts and Equipment Automobile Manufacturers Aerospace and DefenseConstruction Machinery and Heavy Trucks Electrical Components and Equipment Agricultural and Farm MachineryIndustrial Machinery Pharmaceuticals Diversified Chemicals
5.3x
9.6x
8.8x
11.4x
12.6x
11.5x
13.1x
7.8x
5.00x
7.00x
9.00x
11.00x
13.00x
15.00x
MANUFACTURING PEER GROUP EV/EBITDA MULTIPLES
Auto Parts and Equipment Automobile Manufacturers Aerospace and DefenseConstruction Machinery and Heavy Trucks Electrical Components and Equipment Agricultural and Farm MachineryIndustrial Machinery Pharmaceuticals Diversified Chemicals
Page 10
MNPCF – LEADERSHIP TEAM
DUE DILIGENCE LEADERSHIP
TRANSACTION LEADERSHIP
Aleem BandaliManaging Director
Dale AntonsenManaging Director
John CaggianielloManaging Director
[email protected] 416.513.4177
Brett FranklinPresident
Mike ReynoldsManaging Director
Johnny EarlManaging Director
[email protected] 604.637.1514
Dan PorterManaging Director
Stephen ShawManaging Director
Jason BurgessManaging Director
Mark RegehrManaging Director
Craig MaloneyManaging Director
Patrick KhouzamManaging Director
Page 11
MNPCF – RECENT TRANSACTIONS
NATIONAL