Manfred Mudelsee Curriculum Vitae February 2019 Dr. rer. nat., Dipl.-Phys., e. K. Personal Nationality: German Company Address: Climate Risk Analysis, Kreuzstrasse 27, Heckenbeck, 37581 Bad Gandersheim, Germany Telephone Number: +49 5563 9998140 Email Address: mudelsee@climate-risk-analysis.com Academic Address: Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Bussestrasse 24, 27570 Bremerhaven, Germany URLs: www. climate-risk-analysis.com (company) www.manfredmudelsee.com (academic)

Research Fields ● Statistical Analysis of Climate Data ● Risk Analysis ● Mathematical Simulation Methods

Career since 10/2007 Visiting/Research Scientist, Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research,

Bremerhaven, Germany since 07/2009 Eingetragener Kaufmann (HRA 201394, Amtsgericht Hannover, Germany) since 01/2005 CEO and Founder, Climate Risk Analysis 03/2011–06/2011 Guest Scientist, MARUM – Center for Marine Environmental Sciences, University of

Bremen, Germany 09/2003–08/2004 Visiting Scholar, Department of Earth Sciences, Boston University, USA 09/1999–09/2007 Research Scientist, Institute of Meteorology, University of Leipzig, Germany 09/1997–08/1999 Postdoc, Institute of Mathematics and Statistics,

University of Kent, Canterbury, United Kingdom 04/1996–08/1997 Research Fellow, Geological Institute, University of Kiel, Germany

Education 03/1996 PhD in Geology (magna cum laude), University of Kiel, Germany; Advisor: K. Stattegger 06/1990 Diploma in Physics, University of Heidelberg, Germany; Advisor: A. Mangini

Honours 1997 Type: Marie Curie Research Fellow

Awarder: European Commission

Publications Text, supplementary information or computer code available at www.manfredmudelsee.com where marked. Publications—Books B4 Mudelsee M (in preparation) Statistical Analysis of Climate Extremes. Cambridge University Press,

New York. B3 Mudelsee M (2014) Climate Time Series Analysis: Classical Statistical and Bootstrap Methods. Second

Edition. Springer, Cham. xxxii + 454 pp [ISBN: 978-3-319-04449-1; Atmospheric and Oceanographic Sciences Library, No. 51]

B2 Mudelsee M (2010) Climate Time Series Analysis: Classical Statistical and Bootstrap Methods. Springer, Dordrecht. xxxiv + 474 pp [ISBN: 978-90-481-9481-0; Atmospheric and Oceanographic Sciences

Library, No. 42] B1 Mudelsee M (1996) Entwicklung neuer statistischer Analysemethoden für Zeitreihen mariner, stabiler

Isotopen: die Evolution des globalen Plio-/Pleistozänen Klimas. Tectum, Marburg, Germany, 153 pp. [ISBN-13: 978-3-89608-462-0, microfiche] [Ph.D. Dissertation 1995, University of Kiel]

Publications—Peer-Reviewed Papers P81 Polanco-Martínez JM, Medina-Elizalde MA, Sánchez Goñi MF, Mudelsee M (in press) BINCOR: An

R package to estimate the correlation between two unevenly spaced time series. R Journal. P80 Mudelsee M (2019) Trend analysis of climate time series: A review of methods. Earth-Science Reviews

(doi:10.1016/j.earscirev.2018.12.005). [Paper] P79 St. George S, Mudelsee M (2018) The weight of the flood-of-record in flood frequency analysis.

Journal of Flood Risk Management (doi:10.1111/jfr3.12512). [Paper] P78 Wilhelm B, Ballestero Cánovas JA, Macdonald N, Toonen WHJ, Baker V, Barriendos M, Benito G,

Brauer A, Corella JP, Denniston R, Glaser R, Ionita M, Kahle M, Liu T, Luetscher M, Macklin M, Mudelsee M, Munoz S, Schulte L, St. George S, Stoffel M, Wetter O (2019) Interpreting historical, botanical, and geological evidence to aid preparations for future floods. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Water 6:e1318 (doi:10.1002/wat2.1318). [Paper]

P77 Mudelsee M, Bermejo MA (2017) Optimal heavy tail estimation―Part I: Order selection. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics 24:737–744. [Paper]

P76 Mudelsee M (2017) Exkurs: Unsicherheiten bei der Analyse und Attribution von Hochwasserereignissen [Excursion: Uncertainties in the analysis and attribution of flood events]. In: Brasseur G, Jacob D, Schuck-Zöller S (Eds.) Klimawandel in Deutschland: Entwicklung, Folgen, Risiken und Perspektiven. Springer, Berlin, 103–109. [Paper]

P75 Deininger M, McDermott F, Mudelsee M, Werner M, Frank N, Mangini A (2017) Coherency of late Holocene European speleothem δ18O records linked to North Atlantic ocean circulation. Climate Dynamics 49:595–618. [Paper]

P74 Balmer S, Sarnthein M, Mudelsee M, Grootes PM (2016) Refined modeling and 14C plateau tuning reveal consistent patterns of glacial and deglacial 14C reservoir ages of surface waters in low-latitude Atlantic. Paleoceanography 31:1030–1040. [Paper]

P73 Ólafsdóttir KB, Schulz M, Mudelsee M (2016) REDFIT-X: Cross-spectral analysis of unevenly spaced paleoclimate time series. Computers and Geosciences 91:11–18. [Paper]

P72 Pfeifer S, Bülow K, Gobiet A, Hänsler A, Mudelsee M, Otto J, Rechid D, Teichmann C, Jacob D (2015) Robustness of ensemble climate projections analyzed with climate signal maps: Seasonal and extreme precipitation for Germany. Atmosphere 6:677–698. [Paper]

P71

Sarnthein M, Balmer S, Grootes PM, Mudelsee M (2015) Planktic and benthic 14C reservoir ages for three ocean basins, calibrated by a suite of 14C plateaus in the glacial-to-deglacial Suigetsu atmospheric 14C record. Radiocarbon 57:129–151. [Paper]

P70 Sinha A, Kathayat G, Cheng H, Breitenbach SFM, Berkelhammer M, Mudelsee M, Biswas J, Edwards RL (2015) Trends and oscillations in the Indian summer monsoon rainfall over the last two millennia. Nature Communications 6:6309 (doi:10.1038/ncomms7309). [Paper]

P69

Kuhnt W, Holbourn A, Xu J, Opdyke B, De Deckker P, Röhl U, Mudelsee M (2015) Southern hemisphere control on Australian monsoon variability during the late deglaciation and Holocene. Nature Communications 6:5916 (doi:10.1038/ncomms6916). [Paper]

P68 Mudelsee M, Bickert T, Lear CH, Lohmann G (2014) Cenozoic climate changes: A review based on time series analysis of marine benthic δ18O records. Reviews of Geophysics 52:333–374. [Paper] [Stack data]

P67 Pol K, Masson-Delmotte V, Cattani O, Debret M, Falourd S, Jouzel J, Landais A, Minster B, Mudelsee M, Schulz M, Stenni B (2014) Climate variability features of the last interglacial in the East Antarctic EPICA Dome C ice core. Geophysical Research Letters 41:4004–4012 (doi:10.1002/2014GL059561). [Paper] [Code]

P66 Felis T, McGregor HV, Linsley BK, Tudhope AW, Gagan MK, Suzuki A, Inoue M, Thomas AL, Esat TM, Thompson WG, Tiwari M, Potts DC, Mudelsee M, Yokoyama Y, Webster JM (2014) Intensification of the meridional temperature gradient in the Great Barrier Reef following the Last Glacial Maximum. Nature Communications 5:4102 (doi:10.1038/ncomms5102). [Paper]

P65 Ólafsdóttir KB, Mudelsee M (2014) More accurate, calibrated bootstrap confidence intervals for estimating the correlation between two time series. Mathematical Geosciences 46:411–427. [Paper] [PearsonT3 code]

P64 Berkelhammer M, Sinha A, Mudelsee M, Cheng H, Yoshimura K, Biswas J (2014) On the low-frequency component of the ENSO–Indian Monsoon relationship: A paired proxy perspective. Climate of the Past 10:733–744. [Paper]

P63 Livina VN, Lohmann G, Mudelsee M, Lenton TM (2013) Forecasting the underlying potential governing the time series of a dynamical system. Physica A 392:3891–3902. [Paper]

P62 Mudelsee M, Fohlmeister J, Scholz D (2012) Effects of dating errors on nonparametric trend analyses of speleothem time series. Climate of the Past 8:1637–1648. [Paper]

P61 Fohlmeister J, Schröder-Ritzrau A, Scholz D, Spötl C, Riechelmann DFC, Mudelsee M, Wackerbarth A, Gerdes A, Riechelmann S, Immenhauser A, Richter DK, Mangini A (2012) Bunker cave stalagmites: An archive for central European Holocene climate variability. Climate of the Past 8:1751–1764. [Paper]

P60 Mudelsee M (2012) Discussion of “An analysis of global warming in the Alpine region based on nonlinear nonstationary time series models” by F. Battaglia and M. K. Protopapas. Statistical Methods and Applications 21:341–346. [Paper]

P59 Scholz D, Frisia S, Borsato A, Spötl C, Fohlmeister J, Mudelsee M, Miorandi R, Mangini A (2012) Holocene climate variability in north-eastern Italy: Potential influence of the NAO and solar activity recorded by speleothem data. Climate of the Past 8:1367–1383. [Paper]

P58 Mudelsee M (2012) A proxy record of winter temperatures since 1836 from ice freeze-up/breakup in lake Näsijärvi, Finland. Climate Dynamics 38:1413–1420. [Paper]

P57 Braun H, Ditlevsen P, Kurths J, Mudelsee M (2011) A two-parameter stochastic process for Dansgaard–Oeschger events. Paleoceanography 26:PA3214. [doi:10.1029/2011PA002140] [Paper]

P56 Sinha A, Berkelhammer M, Stott L, Mudelsee M, Cheng H, Biswas J (2011) The leading mode of Indian summer monsoon precipitation variability during the last millennium. Geophysical Research Letters 38:L15703. [doi:10.1029/2011GL047713] [Paper]

P55 Christie DA, Boninsegna JA, Cleaveland MK, Lara A, Le Quesne C, Morales MS, Mudelsee M, Stahle DW, Villalba R (2011) Aridity changes in the temperate–mediterranean transition of the Andes since AD 1346 reconstructed from tree-rings. Climate Dynamics 36:1505–1521. [Paper]

P54 Sinha A, Stott L, Berkelhammer M, Cheng H, Edwards RL, Buckley B, Aldenderfer M, Mudelsee M (2011) A global context for megadroughts in monsoon Asia during the past millennium. Quaternary Science Reviews 30:47–62. [Paper]

P53 D'Arrigo R, Abram N, Ummenhofer C, Palmer J, Mudelsee M (2011) Reconstructed streamflow for Citarum river, Java, Indonesia: Linkages to tropical climate dynamics. Climate Dynamics 36:451–462. [Paper]

P52 Mudelsee M (2011) The bootstrap in climate risk analysis. In: Kropp JP, Schellnhuber HJ (Eds.) In Extremis: Disruptive Events and Trends in Climate and Hydrology. Springer, Berlin, 45–58.

P51 Masson-Delmotte V, Stenni B, Blunier T, Cattani O, Chappellaz J, Cheng H, Dreyfus G, Edwards RL, Falourd S, Govin A, Kawamura K, Johnsen SJ, Jouzel J, Landais A, Lemieux-Dudon B, Lourantou A, Marshall G, Minster B, Mudelsee M, Pol K, Röthlisberger R, Selmo E, Waelbroeck C (2010) An abrupt change of Antarctic moisture origin at the end of Termination II. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 107:12091–12094.

P50 Berkelhammer M, Sinha A, Mudelsee M, Cheng H, Edwards, RL, Cannariato K (2010) Persistent multidecadal power of the Indian summer monsoon. Earth and Planetary Science Letters 290:166–172.

P49 Braun H, Ditlevsen P, Kurths J, Mudelsee M (2010) Limitations of red noise in analysing Dansgaard–Oeschger events. Climate of the Past 6:85–92.

P48 Fleitmann D, Cheng H, Badertscher S, Edwards RL, Mudelsee M, Göktürk OM, Fankhauser A, Pickering R, Raible CC, Matter A, Kramers J, Tüysüz O (2009) Timing and climatic impact of Greenland interstadials recorded in stalagmites from northern Turkey. Geophysical Research Letters 36:L19707. [doi:10.1029/2009GL040050]

P47 Girardin MP, Ali AA, Carcaillet C, Mudelsee M, Drobyshev I, Hély C, Bergeron Y (2009) Heterogeneous response of circumboreal wildfire risk to climate change since the early 1900s. Global

Change Biology 15:2751–2769. P46 Kürbis K, Mudelsee M, Tetzlaff G, Brázdil R (2009) Trends in extremes of temperature, dew point,

and precipitation from long instrumental series from central Europe. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 98:187–195. [Code]

P45 Mudelsee M (2009) Break function regression: A tool for quantifying trend changes in climate time series. European Physical Journal Special Topics 174:49–63. [Code]

P44 Trauth MH, Larrasoaña JC, Mudelsee M (2009) Trends, rhythms and events in Plio–Pleistocene African climate. Quaternary Science Reviews 28:399–411.

P43 Mudelsee M, Scholz D, Röthlisberger R, Fleitmann D, Mangini A, Wolff EW (2009) Climate spectrum estimation in the presence of timescale errors. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics 16:43–56.

P42 Röthlisberger R, Mudelsee M, Bigler M, de Angelis M, Fischer H, Hansson M, Lambert F, Masson-Delmotte V, Sime L, Udisti R, Wolff EW (2008) The southern hemisphere at glacial terminations: Insights from the Dome C ice core. Climate of the Past 4:345–356.

P41 Abram NJ, Gagan MK, Cole JE, Hantoro WS, Mudelsee M (2008) Recent intensification of tropical climate variability in the Indian Ocean. Nature Geoscience 1:849–853.

P40 Besonen MR, Bradley RS, Mudelsee M, Abbott MB, Francus P (2008) A 1,000-year, annually-resolved record of hurricane activity from Boston, Massachusetts. Geophysical Research Letters 35:L14705. [doi:10.1029/2008GL033950]

P39 Girardin MP, Mudelsee M (2008) Past and future changes in Canadian boreal wildfire activity. Ecological Applications 18:391–406.

P38 Fleitmann D, Mudelsee M, Burns SJ, Bradley RS, Kramers J, Matter A (2008) Evidence for a widespread climatic anomaly at around 9.2 ka before present. Paleoceanography 23: PA1102. [doi:10.1029/2007PA001519]

P37 Abram NJ, Mulvaney R, Wolff EW, Mudelsee M (2007) Ice core records as sea ice proxies: An evaluation from the Weddell Sea region of Antarctica. Journal of Geophysical Research 112:D15101. [doi:10.1029/2006JD008139].

P36 Fleitmann D, Dunbar RB, McCulloch M, Mudelsee M, Vuille M, McClanahan T, Cole JE, Eggins S (2007) East African soil erosion recorded in a 300 year old coral colony from Kenya. Geophysical Research Letters 34:L04401. [doi:10.1029/2006GL028525] [Supplementary Information 1/1 (PDF)]

P35 Mudelsee M (2007) Long memory of rivers from spatial aggregation. Water Resources Research 43:W01202. [doi:10.1029/2006WR005721] [Supplementary Information 1/1 (Text)]

P34 Mudelsee M, Alkio M (2007) Quantifying effects in two-sample environmental experiments using bootstrap confidence intervals. Environmental Modelling & Software 22:84–96. [Code] [Supplementary Information 1/1 (ZIP)]

P33 Fleitmann D, Burns SJ, Mangini A, Mudelsee M, Kramers J, Villa I, Neff U, Al-Subbary AA, Buettner A, Hippler D, Matter A (2007) Holocene ITCZ and Indian monsoon dynamics recorded in stalagmites from Oman and Yemen (Socotra). Quaternary Science Reviews 26:170–188.

P32 Girardin MP, Bergeron Y, Tardif JC, Gauthier S, Flannigan MD, Mudelsee M (2006) A 229-year dendroclimatic-inferred record of forest fire activity for the Boreal Shield of Canada. International Journal of Wildland Fire 15:375–388.

P31 Mudelsee M, Deutsch M, Börngen M, Tetzlaff G (2006) Trends in flood risk of the river Werra (Germany) over the past 500 years. Hydrological Sciences Journal 51:818–833.

P30 Mudelsee M (2006) CLIM-X-DETECT: Fortran 90 program for robust detection of extremes against a time-dependent background in climate records. Computers and Geosciences 32:141–144. [Code]

P29 Mudelsee M, Raymo ME (2005) Slow dynamics of the Northern Hemisphere Glaciation. Paleoceanography 20:PA4022. [doi:10.1029/2005PA001153]

P28 Wolff E, Kull C, Chappellaz J, Fischer H, Miller H, Stocker TF, Watson AJ, Flower B, Joos F, Köhler P, Matsumoto K, Monnin E, Mudelsee M, Paillard D, Shackleton N (2005) Modeling past atmospheric CO2: Results of a challenge. Eos, Transactions of the American Geophysical Union 86:341, 345.

P27 Mudelsee M, Börngen M, Tetzlaff G, Grünewald U (2004) Extreme floods in central Europe over the past 500 years: Role of cyclone pathway “Zugstrasse Vb”. Journal of Geophysical Research 109:D23101. [doi:10.1029/2004JD005034]

P26 Fleitmann D, Burns SJ, Neff U, Mudelsee M, Mangini A, Kramers J, Matter A (2004) Holocene

records of rainfall variation and associated ITCZ migration from stalagmites from northern and southern Oman. In: Diaz HF, Bradley RS (Eds.) The Hadley Circulation: Present, Past, and Future. Kluwer, Dordrecht, 259–287.

P25 Holzkämper S, Mangini A, Spötl C, Mudelsee M (2004) Timing and progression of the last interglacial derived from a high alpine stalagmite. Geophysical Research Letters 31:L07201. [doi:10.1029/2003GL019112]

P24 Fleitmann D, Burns SJ, Neff U, Mudelsee M, Mangini A, Matter A (2004) Paleoclimatic interpretation of high-resolution oxygen isotope profiles derived from annually laminated speleothems from Southern Oman. Quaternary Science Reviews 23:935–945.

P23 Mudelsee M, Börngen M, Tetzlaff G, Grünewald U (2003) No upward trends in the occurrence of extreme floods in central Europe. Nature 425:166–169. [Text German (PDF)] [Supplementary Information 1/4 (PDF)] [Supplementary Information 2/4 (PDF)] [Supplementary Information 3/4 (PDF)] [Supplementary Information 4/4 (PDF)]

P22 Niggemann S, Mangini A, Mudelsee M, Richter DK, Wurth G (2003) Sub-Milankovitch climatic cycles in Holocene stalagmites from Sauerland, Germany. Earth and Planetary Science Letters 216:539–547.

P21 Mudelsee M (2003) Estimating Pearson’s correlation coefficient with bootstrap confidence interval from serially dependent time series. Mathematical Geology 35:651–665. [Code]

P20 Fleitmann D, Burns SJ, Mudelsee M, Neff U, Kramers J, Mangini A, Matter A (2003) Holocene forcing of the Indian monsoon recorded in a stalagmite from Southern Oman. Science 300:1737–1739. [Supplementary Information 1/1 (PDF)]

P19 Burns SJ, Fleitmann D, Mudelsee M, Neff U, Matter A, Mangini A (2002) A 780-year annually resolved record of Indian Ocean monsoon precipitation from a speleothem from south Oman. Journal of Geophysical Research 107:4434. [doi:10.1029/2001JD001281]

P18 Mudelsee M (2002) TAUEST: A computer program for estimating persistence in unevenly spaced weather/climate time series. Computers and Geosciences 28:69–72. [Code]

P17 Schulz M, Mudelsee M (2002) REDFIT: Estimating red-noise spectra directly from unevenly spaced paleoclimatic time series. Computers and Geosciences 28:421–426. [Code]

P16 Tetzlaff G, Börngen M, Mudelsee M, Raabe A (2002) Meteorological and hydrological aspects of the 1000-year flooding event of the Main river in 1342. Wasser & Boden 54(10):41–49.

P15 Mudelsee M (2001) Note on the bias in the estimation of the serial correlation coefficient of AR(1) processes. Statistical Papers 42:517–527.

P14 Mudelsee M (2001) The phase relations among atmospheric CO2 content, temperature and global ice volume over the past 420 ka. Quaternary Science Reviews 20:583–589.

P13 Neff U, Burns SJ, Mangini A, Mudelsee M, Fleitmann D, Matter A (2001) Strong coherence between solar variability and the monsoon in Oman between 9 and 6 kyr ago. Nature 411:290–293. [Supplementary Information 1/2 (XLS)] [Supplementary Information 2/2 (XLS)]

P12 Diks C, Mudelsee M (2000) Redundancies in the Earth’s climatological time series. Physics Letters A 275:407–414.

P11 Mudelsee M (2000) Ramp function regression: A tool for quantifying climate transitions. Computers and Geosciences 26:293–307. [Code]

P10 Mudelsee M, Schulz M (1997) The Mid-Pleistocene Climate Transition: Onset of 100 ka cycle lags ice volume build-up by 280 ka. Earth and Planetary Science Letters 151:117–123.

P9 Mudelsee M, Stattegger K (1997) Exploring the structure of the mid-Pleistocene revolution with advanced methods of time-series analysis. International Journal of Earth Sciences 86:499–511.

P8 Schulz M, Mudelsee M (1997) Simultaneous presence of orbital inclination and eccentricity in proxy climate records from Ocean Drilling Program Site 806, by Muller RA, MacDonald GJ: Comment. Geology 25:860–861.

P7 Mudelsee M, Stattegger K (1994) Application of the Grassberger-Procaccia algorithm to the 18O record from ODP Site 659: Selected methodical aspects. In: Kruhl JH (Ed.) Fractals and Dynamic Systems in Geoscience. Springer, Berlin, 399–413.

P6 Mudelsee M, Stattegger K (1994) Plio-/Pleistocene climate modeling based on oxygen isotope time series from deep-sea sediment cores: The Grassberger-Procaccia algorithm and chaotic climate

systems. Mathematical Geology 26:799–815. P5 Schulz M, Mudelsee M, Wolf-Welling TCW (1994) Fractal analyses of Pleistocene marine oxygen

isotope records. In: Kruhl JH (Ed.) Fractals and Dynamic Systems in Geoscience. Springer, Berlin, 377–387.

P4 Barabas M, Mudelsee M, Walther R, Mangini A (1992) Dose-response and thermal behaviour of the ESR signal at g = 2.0006 in carbonates. Quaternary Science Reviews 11:173–179.

P3 Barabas M, Bach A, Mudelsee M, Mangini A (1992) General properties of the paramagnetic centre at g = 2.0006 in carbonates. Quaternary Science Reviews 11:165–171.

P2 Mudelsee M, Barabas M, Mangini A (1992) ESR dating of the Quaternary deep-sea sediment core RC 17-177. Quaternary Science Reviews 11:181–189.

P1 Barabas M, Bach A, Mudelsee M, Mangini A (1989) Influence of the Mg-content on ESR-signals in synthetic calcium carbonate. Applied Radiation and Isotopes 40:1105–1111.

Publications—Conference Papers C134 Mudelsee M (2018) Mathematical marine geosciences: A time series paleo perspective. 19th Annual

Conference of the International Association for Mathematical Geosciences, Olomouc, Czech Republic, September 2018.

C133 Polanco JM, Sánchez Goñi MF, Medina-Elizalde MA, Mudelsee M (2018) Estimating correlation between unevenly spaced paleoclimate time series. Case study: Abrupt climate changes during the last glacial. Summer School Climate Risk and the Future of International Climate Policy, Bilbao, Spain, July 2018.

C132 Deininger M, McDermott F, Lippold J, Wassenburg J, Mudelsee M, Scholz D (2018) Coherency of Holocene European speleothem δ18O records: Implications for the Mediterranean hydroclimate. Mediterranean Desert Margin and Drylands Workshop, University of Leipzig, Germany, March 2018.

C131 Mudelsee M (2018) Statistics for corals. DFG-Rundgespräch Tropical Coral Archives, MARUM – Center for Marine Environmental Sciences, University of Bremen, Germany, January 2018.

C130 Mudelsee M (2017) Risk analyses on records of paleoclimate. GeoBremen 2017 Conference, Bremen, Germany, September 2017.

C129 Mudelsee M (2016) The coral archive for climate time series analysis. 1st Coral Paleoclimate Workshop, MARUM – Center for Marine Environmental Sciences, University of Bremen, Germany, November 2016.

C128 Mudelsee M (2016) Critical statistical tools for analysing critical transitions. Invited paper, 1st CRITICS (Critical Transitions in Complex Systems) Workshop, University of Copenhagen, Kulhuse, Denmark, September 2016.

C127 Mudelsee M (2016) Statistical flood risk analysis: From paleo to present. Invited keynote, PAGES Flood Working Group's Cross-Community Workshop on Past Flood Variability, MSH-Alpes University, Grenoble, France, June 2016.

C126 Polanco Martínez JM, Faria SH, Medina-Elizalde M, Mudelsee M (2016) The BINCOR R package: A computational software to estimate the correlation between two irregular paleoclimate time series. PAGES Flood Working Group's Cross-Community Workshop on Past Flood Variability, MSH-Alpes University, Grenoble, France, June 2016.

C125 Mudelsee M (2016) I do it my way: Physics and business. Invited presentation, 1st ArcTrain & HOSST Joint Retreat Career Options and Choices, Itzehoe, Germany, June 2016.

C124 Mudelsee M (2015) Optimal estimation and big data in climatology. PEN (Past Earth Network) Conference, Crewe Hall, Crewe, United Kingdom, September 2015.

C123 Mudelsee M (2015) Big climate data analysis. Geophysical Research Abstracts 17:EGU2015-6841 (EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, April 2015).

C122 Felis T, McGregor HV, Linsley BK, Tudhope AW, Gagan MK, Suzuki A, Inoue M, Thomas AL, Esat TM, Thompson WG, Tiwari M, Potts DC, Mudelsee M, Yokoyama Y, Webster JM (2015) Intensification of the meridional temperature gradient in the Great Barrier Reef following the Last Glacial Maximum―Results from IODP Expedition 325. Geophysical Research Abstracts 17:EGU2015-10089 (EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, April 2015).

C121 Mudelsee M (2015) Big climate data analysis. LINC Final Conference Complex Networks and Climate Variability, Utrecht University, Vienna, Austria, April 2015.

C120 Felis T, McGregor HV, Linsley BK, Tudhope AW, Gagan MK, Suzuki A, Inoue M, Thomas AL, Esat TM, Thompson WG, Tiwari M, Potts DC, Mudelsee M, Yokoyama Y, Webster JM (2015) Intensification of the meridional temperature gradient in the Great Barrier Reef following the Last Glacial Maximum―Results from IODP Expedition 325. Joint Colloquium―DFG Prioriry Programs ICDP (International Scientific Drilling Program) and IODP (International Ocean Discovery Program), University of Bonn, Bonn, Germany, March 2015.

C119 Olafsdottir KB, Mudelsee M, Schulz M (2013) Correlation estimation between two climate time series with improved uncertainty measures. Interdisciplinary Conference of Young Earth System Scientists, Hamburg, Germany, September 2013.

C118 Olafsdottir KB, Mudelsee M (2013) Correlation estimation of climate time series with calibrated bootstrap confidence interval. International Conference Ocean Gateways Past and Present: Significance for Ocean Circulation and Terrestrial Climates, Hebrew University, Jerusalem, Israel, May 2013.

C117 Bermejo M, Mudelsee M (2013) Does climate have heavy tails? Geophysical Research Abstracts 15:EGU2013-8449 (EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, April 2013).

C116 Pol K, Masson-Delmotte V, Cattani O, Debret M, Falourd S, Jouzel J, Landais A, Minster B, Mudelsee M, Schulz M, Stenni B (2013) Enhanced Antarctic climate variability during the last interglacial period. Geophysical Research Abstracts 15:EGU2013-10418 (EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, April 2013).

C115 Mudelsee M, Bermejo M, Köhler P, Lohmann G (2013) Interglacial climate dynamics and advanced time series analysis. Geophysical Research Abstracts 15:EGU2013-3313 (EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, April 2013).

C114 Livina VN, Lohmann G, Mudelsee M, Lenton TM (2013) Potential forecasting of climate time series. Geophysical Research Abstracts 15:EGU2013-2233 (EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, April 2013).

C113 Olafsdottir KB, Mudelsee M (2013) More accurate, calibrated bootstrap confidence intervals for correlating two autocorrelated climate time series. Geophysical Research Abstracts 15:EGU2013-2167 (EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, April 2013).

C112 Bermejo MA, Mudelsee M (2013) Does Climate have Heavy Tails? Conference on the Occasion of Prof. Jürgen Kurths’ 60th Birthday Nonlinear Data Analysis and Modeling: Advances, Applications, Perspectives, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany, March 2013.

C111 Mudelsee M, Bermejo MA, Bickert T, Chirila D, Fohlmeister J, Köhler P, Lohmann G, Olafsdottir K, Scholz D (2012) Trends and Correlation Estimation in Climate Sciences: Effects of Timescale Errors. Invited presentation, AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, USA, December 2012.

C110 Mudelsee M (2012) Die “Steckbriefe” aus der Sicht eines Klimastatistikers (mit ein paar Vorschlägen). Workshop Statistische Verfahren in der Auswertung von Klimamodell- und Klimaimpaktmodelldaten, Climate Service Center, Hamburg, Germany, November 2012.

C109 Mudelsee M (2012) Unsicherheiten unseres Wissens über vergangene und künftige hydrologische Extremereignisse. Kolloquium Wissen was war ... – Rückblick auf hydrologische Extremereignisse, Federal Institute of Hydrology, Koblenz, Germany, October 2012.

C108 Mudelsee M, Köhler P, Lohmann G (2012) Climate Sensitivity during and between Interglacials (ClimSens). Interdynamik Status Seminar, Bremen, Germany, February 2012.

C107 Mudelsee M, Fohlmeister J, Scholz D (2012) Effects of Dating Errors on Statistical Analyses of Speleothem Time Series. 4th Daphne Workshop, Heidelberg, Germany, February 2012.

C106 Mudelsee M (2012) Paleoclimate time series analysis. The International Environmetrics Society Conference 2012, Hyderabad, India, January 2012.

C105 Panferov O, Doering C, Haberlandt U, Jacob D, Moseley C, Mudelsee M (2011) Implementation of meteorological information for impact modelling. DWD–VTI Workshop “Klimawandel und die Auswirkungen auf die Land- und Forstwirtschaft”, Braunschweig, Germany, May 2011.

C104 Mudelsee M (2011) Climate Time Series Analysis. AWI–PACES Topic 4 Meeting, Potsdam, Germany, May 2011.

C103 Panferov O, Mudelsee M, Döring C, Moseley C, Jacob D, Lohmann G (2011) Climate change projections for Lower Saxony, Germany, in the 21st century. Second Status Seminar, Research Cluster “Climate Impact on Lower Saxony, Germany (KLIFF)”, Göttingen, Germany, May 2011.

C102 Mudelsee M (2011) A proxy record of winter temperatures since 1836 from ice freeze-up/breakup in lake Näsijärvi, Finland. Geophysical Research Abstracts 13:EGU2011-1241 (EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, April 2011).

C101 Olafsdottir K, Mudelsee M, Schulz M (2011) Correlation estimation of paleoclimate time series of unequal timescales. Geophysical Research Abstracts 13:EGU2011-14031 (EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, April 2011).

C100 Panferov O, Mudelsee M, Döring C, Moseley C, Jacob D, Lohmann G (2011) Climate change projections for Lower Saxony, Germany, in the 21st century. Geophysical Research Abstracts 13:EGU2011-14020 (EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, April 2011).

C99 Mudelsee M, Köhler P, Lohmann G (2011) Climate Sensitivity and Interglacials. Interdynamik Status Seminar, Bremen, Germany, March 2011.

C98 Mudelsee M (2010) Climate Risk and Time Series Analysis. 3rd KLIMZUG–CSC Meeting on “Statistical Methods for Analysing Climate Model and Impact Model Data”, Hamburg, Germany, December 2010.

C97 Fleitmann D, Mudelsee M, Bradley RS, Burns SJ, Cheng H, Mangini A, Edwards R, Matter A (2010) Megadroughts at the dawn of Islam recorded in a stalagmite from Oman. AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, USA, December 2010. [ID# PP51B-06]

C96 Mudelsee M (2010) Climate Time Series Analysis, with Examples from Regression and Risk Analysis. Seventh Autumn Symposium Research Training Group “Statistical Modelling”, Dortmund, Germany, November 2010.

C95 Mudelsee M (2010) Climate Risk and Climate Change. International Workshop “Recent Achievements in the Study of Extreme Events”, Potsdam, Germany, September 2010. [Text (PPT)]

C94 Mudelsee M (2010) Climate Time Series and Risk Analysis. Workshop “Extremes in Weather and Climate”, Bonn, Germany, June 2010.

C93 Lohmann G, Mudelsee M, Jacob D, Haberlandt U, Löpmeier F-J, Panferov O, Weisse R (2010) Regional Climate Projections. First Status Seminar, Research Cluster “Climate Impact on Lower Saxony, Germany (KLIFF)”, Göttingen, Germany, May 2010.

C92 Mudelsee M, Dragos C, Lohmann G (2010) Estimating changes in extreme climate in Europe: Selected Methodical Aspects. First Status Seminar, Research Cluster “Climate Impact on Lower Saxony, Germany (KLIFF)”, Göttingen, Germany, May 2010.

C91 Mudelsee M, Schulz M, Trauth M (2010) Introduction to Climate Time Series Analysis: Novel Tools and Applications to Centennial-to-millennial Scale Variations (Session CL4.4). EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, May 2010.

C90 Mudelsee M, Dragos C, Lohmann G (2010) Estimating changes in extreme climate in Europe: Selected Methodical Aspects. Geophysical Research Abstracts 12:EGU2010-5542 (EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, May 2010).

C89 Fensterer C, Scholz D, Mangini A, Hoffmann D, Mudelsee M, Pajón JM, Spötl C (2010) Climate variability in the Caribbean area during the last 12.5 ka reconstructed from speleothems from western Cuba. EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, May 2010.

C88 Mudelsee M, Chirila D, Lohmann G (2010) Estimating Changes in Extreme Climate in Europe: Selected Methodical Aspects. Continents under Climate Change, Berlin, Germany, April 2010.

C87 Mudelsee M (2010) Einführung: Climate Model Bias Correction. Workshop Climate Model Bias Correction and 3rd Meeting Regional Climate Projections – User, Research Cluster “Climate Impact on Lower Saxony, Germany (KLIFF)”, Hannover, Germany, April 2010.

C86 Mudelsee M (2009) Introduction to Climate Time Series Analysis: Novel Tools and their Application (Session CL54). EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, April 2009.

C85 Fleitmann D, Mudelsee M, Bradley RS, Pickering R, Kramers J, Burns SJ, Mangini A, Matter A (2009) Megadroughts at the dawn of Islam recorded in a 2600-year long stalagmite from northern Oman. Geophysical Research Abstracts 11:EGU2009-8174-1 (EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, April 2009).

C84 Fleitmann D, Cheng H, Badertscher S, Göktürk OM, Mudelsee M, Fankhauser A, Pickering R, Edwards RL, Kramers J, Tüysüz O (2009) Precise timing of Dansgaard–Oeschger events 1–13 in stalagmites from Sofular cave, northern Turkey. Geophysical Research Abstracts 11:EGU2009-9386-1

(EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, April 2009). C83 Trauth MH, Larrasoaña JC, Mudelsee M (2009) Trends, rhythms and events in Plio–Pleistocene

African climate. Geophysical Research Abstracts 11:EGU2009-2362 (EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, April 2009).

C82 Mudelsee M (2008) Climate time series analysis using the bootstrap. 1st International Workshop on Data Analysis and Modelling in Earth Sciences, Potsdam, Germany, September 2008.

C81 Fleitmann D, Mudelsee M, Bradley R, Burns SJ, Pickering R, Kramers J, Matter A (2008) Megadroughts recorded in a 2600-year long stalagmite from northern Oman. Extreme climate events during recent millennia and their impact on Mediterranean societies, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens, Greece, September 2008.

C80 Mudelsee M (2008) Predictability in the hydrological system. Seasonal Predictability in Meteorology and Hydrology, Federal Institute of Hydrology, Koblenz, Germany, June 2008. [Text German (PPT)]

C79 Mudelsee M, Fleitmann D, Scholz D, Röthlisberger R, Wolff EW (2008) Climate spectrum estimation, aliasing and timescale errors: Algorithms and application to stalagmite and ice core records. Climate Change: From the Geologic Past to the Uncertain Future: A Tribute to André Berger, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium, May 2008.

C78 Röthlisberger R, Mudelsee M, Lambert F, Masson-Delmotte V, Fischer H, Wolff EW, Bigler M, Udisti R, de Angelis M, Hansson M (2008) Glacial terminations as seen in the EPICA Dome C ice core records. Climate Change: From the Geologic Past to the Uncertain Future: A Tribute to André Berger, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium, May 2008.

C77 Girardin MP, Mudelsee M (2008) Changements climatiques et feux de forêt dans l'est du Canada: une évaluation de la sensibilité des projections aux scénarios d'émissions de gaz à effet de serre. 76e Congrès de l'Association francophone pour le savoir (ACFAS), Québec, Canada, May 2008.

C76 Mudelsee M, Fleitmann D, Scholz D, Röthlisberger R, Wolff EW (2008) Climate spectrum estimation, aliasing and timescale errors: Algorithms and application to stalagmite and ice core records. Geophysical Research Abstracts 10:EGU2008-A-02796 (EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, April 2008).

C75 Girardin MP, Mudelsee M (2008) Past and future changes in Canadian boreal wildfire activity. Geophysical Research Abstracts 10:EGU2008-A-02282 (EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, April 2008).

C74 Mudelsee M (2008) Long-term changes in climatic and hydrological systems: some questions. Geophysical Research Abstracts 10:EGU2008-A-06381 (EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, April 2008).

C73 Scholz D, Frisia S, Borsato A, Spötl C, Fohlmeister J, Mühlinghaus C, Miorandi R, Mudelsee M, Kromer B, Mangini A (2008) Holocene stalagmite indicates alternating influence of central European and Mediterranean climate in northern Italy. Geophysical Research Abstracts 10:EGU2008-A-08873 (EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, April 2008).

C72 Röthlisberger R, Mudelsee M, Lambert F, Masson-Delmotte V, Fischer H, Wolff EW, Bigler M, Udisti R, de Angelis M, Hansson M (2008) Glacial terminations in the Southern Hemisphere: A case study from the EPICA Dome C ice core. Geophysical Research Abstracts 10:EGU2008-A-03139 (EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, April 2008).

C71 Mudelsee M, Fleitmann D, Scholz D, Röthlisberger R, Wolff EW (2008) Climate spectrum estimation, aliasing and timescale errors: Algorithms and application to stalagmite and ice core records. 2nd Daphne Workshop, Heidelberg, Germany, February 2008.

C70 Röthlisberger R, Lambert F, Mudelsee M, Bern CFA team, Dome C chemistry consortium (2007) Phasing at glacial terminations: dust and sea salt vs. isotopes. European Ice Core Forum, Bernin, France, October 2007.

C69 Kürbis K, Mudelsee M, Tetzlaff G (2007) Trends in den akkumulierten Rekorden von Temperatur, Taupunkt und Niederschlag über die vergangenen Jahrhunderte. DACH 2007, Hamburg, Germany, September 2007.

C68 Girardin MP, Mudelsee M (2007) Past and future changes in Canadian boreal wildfire activity. 6th North American Forst Ecology Workshop, Vancouver, Canada, June 2007.

C67 Mudelsee M (2007) Explaining the Hurst phenomenon by spatial aggregation. Geophysical Research

Abstracts 9:02419 (EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, April 2007). C66 Röthlisberger R, Bigler M, Fischer H, Ruth U, Siggaard-Andersen M-L, Andersen KK, Svensson A,

Johnsen SJ, Mudelsee M, Raible C, Stocker TF, Goto-Azuma K, Hansson ME (2007) How fast was rapid climate change during the last glacial period? Geophysical Research Abstracts 9:07997 (EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, April 2007).

C65 Fleitmann D, Mudelsee M, Burns SJ, Bradley RS, Kramers J, Matter A (2007) Speleothem evidence for a widespread climatic anomaly at around 9.200 years before present. Geophysical Research Abstracts 9:07306 (EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, April 2007).

C64 Fleitmann D, Burns SJ, Mangini A, Mudelsee M, Kramers J, Matter A (2007) Indian monsoon dynamics recorded in stalagmites from Oman and Yemen (Socotra). Geophysical Research Abstracts 9:10408 (EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, April 2007). [Text (Abstract, PDF)]

C63 Dunbar RB, Fleitmann D, McCulloch M, Mudelsee M, Vuille M, McClanahan T, Cole J, Eggins S (2006) African soile erosion recorded in a 300 year old coral colony from Kenya. Eos, Transactions of the American Geophysical Union 87:PP43A-1206 (AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, USA, December 2006).

C62 Fleitmann D, Burns SJ, Mudelsee M, Bradley RS, Kramers J, Matter A (2006) A widespread climatic anomaly at around 9.200 years before present. Eos, Transactions of the American Geophysical Union 87:PP41C-04 (AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, USA, December 2006).

C61 Mudelsee M (2006) Error bounds in extreme weather analyses. DKKV and ARL Workshop Changes of Vulnerability and Climate, Hannover, Germany, November 2006. [Text (Abstract, PDF)] [Text (PPT)]

C60 Mudelsee M (2006) Bootstrap time series analysis: Some examples from the carbonate archive. 1st Daphne Workshop, Innsbruck, Austria, November 2006.

C59 Mudelsee M (2006) Trend analyses on selected records from the EPICA ice core. EPICA Science Meeting, Il Giocco, Italy, October 2006.

C58 Mudelsee M, Tetzlaff G (2006) Hochwasser und Niederschlag in Deutschland: Die Notwendigkeit von Langfristbeobachtungen unter räumlicher Hochauflösung. 7. Deutsche Klimatagung, Munich, Germany, October 2006. [Text (Abstract, PDF)]

C57 Mudelsee M, Tetzlaff G (2006) Extreme floods and precipitation events in Germany: A long-term perspective. EMS Annual Meeting Abstracts 3:00464 (6th Annual Meeting of the European Meteorological Society, 6th European Conference on Applied Climatology, Ljubljana, Slovenia, September 2006).

C56 Mudelsee M, Deutsch M, Börngen M, Tetzlaff G (2006) Towards quantified uncertainty in flood risk analysis: Statistics and History. Geophysical Research Abstracts 8:03176 (EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, April 2006). [Text (Abstract, PDF)]

C55 Mudelsee M, Fleitmann D, Henderson GM (2006) ITCZ migration and monsoon extremes estimation from Holocene speleothem records. Geophysical Research Abstracts 8:03138 (EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, April 2006). [Text (Abstract, PDF)]

C54 Fleitmann D, Burns SJ, Mangini A, Meibom A, Mudelsee M, Kramers J, Bradley RS, Tüysüz O, Jercinovic MJ, Matter A (2006) Strengths and weaknesses of speleothem-based climate reconstructions—examples from Oman, Yemen, Saudi Arabia and Turkey. Geophysical Research Abstracts 8:04843 (EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, April 2006). [Text (Abstract, PDF)]

C53 Mudelsee M (2005) The bootstrap approach to analyse trends and extremes in hydrological time series. Keynote Lecture, Workshop New Developments in Trend and Extreme Value Analysis of Hydrometeorological Time Series, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany, December 2005. [Text (PPT)]

C52 Fleitmann D, Burns SJ, Mangini A, Mudelsee M, Neff U, Kramers J, Matter A (2005) Holocene ITCZ and Indian Monsoon dynamics recorded in stalagmites from Oman and Yemen (Socotra). Eos, Transactions of the American Geophysical Union 86:PP41C-05 (AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, USA, December 2005).

C51 Mudelsee M (2005) Extreme weather events: Introduction. Intercon 2005, Session of the German Meteorological Society, Hamburg, Germany, September 2005.

C50 Mudelsee M (2005) Weather extremes and global change: Estimating time-dependent climate risk. Geophysical Research Abstracts 7:07949 (EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, April 2005). [Text (Abstract, PDF)]

C49 Mudelsee M, Raymo ME (2005) Quantifying the Northern Hemisphere Glaciation. Geophysical Research Abstracts 7:06300 (EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, April 2005). [Text (Abstract, PDF)]

C48 Mangini A, Fleitmann D, Neff U, Burns SJ, Mudelsee M, Kramers J, Matter A (2004) Holocene Sun–monsoon linkage recorded in stalagmites from Oman. Eos, Transactions of the American Geophysical Union 85:U42A-07 (AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, USA, December 2004).

C47 Mudelsee M, Börngen M, Tetzlaff G (2004) The Weikinn documentary database and floods of rivers Elbe and Oder over the past 500 years. First Leipzig Mini Conference on River Floods: The Historical Dimension, Leipzig, Germany, October 2004.

C46 Tetzlaff G, Mudelsee M (2004) Welcome and introduction. First Leipzig Mini Conference on River Floods: The Historical Dimension, Leipzig, Germany, October 2004.

C45 Neubauer J, Rohrbeck F, Mudelsee M (2004) Occurrence of major windstorms in the North Sea region over the past decades to centuries. Risk Prediction Initiative Research Update 2004, Hamilton, Bermuda, September 2004.

C44 Mudelsee M (2004) Milankovitch theory and time series analysis. Keynote Lecture, Milutin Milankovitch Anniversary Symposium: Paleoclimate and the Earth Climate System, Belgrade, Serbia, August–September 2004. [Text (PPT)]

C43 Fleitmann D, Burns SJ, Mudelsee M, Mangini A, Neff U, Kramers J, Matter A (2004) Summer monsoon rainfall variability recorded in stalagmites from Oman and Yemen. International Workshop Indian Monsoon and Climate Variability During Holocene, Bangalore, India, May 2004.

C42 Mudelsee M (2004) Bootstrap time series analysis, or how accurately can we quantify climatic changes? Invited poster, DFG/AAAS Research Conference “Earth, Fire, Water, Air and Life — Changing Earth and its Impact on Human Habitats,” Washington, USA, April 2004.

C41 Fleitmann D, Burns SJ, Mudelsee M, Neff U, Kramers J, Mangini A, Matter A (2003) Holocene ITCZ migration recorded in stalagmites from Oman (southern Arabia). Eos, Transactions AGU 84:F873 (AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, USA, December 2003).

C40 Mudelsee M (2003) Trends in the occurrence of extreme events: An example from the North Sea. Risk Prediction Initiative Research Update 2003, Hamilton, Bermuda, October 2003. [Text (PPT)]

C39 Mudelsee M, Börngen M, Tetzlaff G (2003) Extreme Hochwasser in Zentraleuropa seit AD 1000. Invited talk, 54. Deutscher Geographentag, Bern, Switzerland, October 2003. [Text (PPT)]

C38 Tetzlaff G, Mudelsee M, Börngen M (2003) The August 2002 flood in central Europe: Lessons learned? IUGG, Sapporo, Japan, July 2003.

C37 Holzkämper S, Mangini A, Spötl C, Mudelsee M (2003) Last interglacial warm phases derived by high Alpine speleothems. DEKLIM-EEM Workshop Climate at the Very End of a Warm Stage, Heidelberg, Germany, March 2003.

C36 Holzkämper S, Mangini A, Spötl C, Mudelsee M (2003) Last interglacial warm phases derived by high Alpine speleothems. Climate Changes—the Karst Record III, Montpellier, France, May 2003.

C35 Mangini A, Niggemann S, Mudelsee M, Würth G, Richter D (2003) Sub-Milankovitch cycles in Holocene stalagmites from Sauerland. Geophysical Research Abstracts 5:09438 (EGS–AGU–EUG Joint Assembly, Nice, France, April 2003). [Text (Abstract, PDF)]

C34 Mudelsee M (2003) Significance of correlation between two time series: A block bootstrap approach applied to Eemian stalagmite records. DEKLIM-EEM Workshop Climate at the Very End of a Warm Stage, Heidelberg, Germany, March 2003.

C33 Mudelsee M, Börngen M, Tetzlaff G (2003) Trends in the occurrence of extreme floods in central Europe since A.D. 1000. Geophysical Research Abstracts 5:09922 (EGS–AGU–EUG Joint Assembly, Nice, France, April 2003). [Text (PPT)]

C32 Tetzlaff G, Börngen M, Raabe A, Mudelsee M (2003) Meteorological-hydrological conditions of the Elbe flood in August 2002 in relation to those of the Main flood in July 1342 Geophysical Research Abstracts 5:10085 (EGS–AGU–EUG Joint Assembly, Nice, France, April 2003). [Text (Abstract, PDF)]

C31 Burns SJ, Fleitmann D, Mudelsee M, Kramers J, Matter A, Al-Subary A-K (2002) A speleothem record of changes in tropical convection in the Indian Ocean during the last glacial period. The Hadley Circulation: Present, Past and Future, Honolulu, USA, November 2002.

C30 Burns SJ, Fleitmann D, Kramers J, Matter A, Mudelsee M, Al-Subary A (2002) A speleothem record of changes in tropical convection in the Indian Ocean during the last glacial period. Eos, Transactions

AGU 83:F880–F881 (AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, USA, December 2002). C29 Fleitmann D, Burns SJ, Mudelsee M, Neff U, Kramers J, Mangini A, Matter A (2002) ITCZ migration

during the Holocene recorded in speleothems from Southern Oman (Arabian peninsula). The Hadley Circulation: Present, Past and Future, Honolulu, USA, November 2002.

C28 Fleitmann D, Burns SJ, Mudelsee M, Kramers J, Neff U, Mangini A, Matter A (2002) Climate reconstruction from speleothems in southern Arabia. ESF-HOLIVAR Workshop Combining Climate Proxies, Lammi, Finland, April 2002

C27 Fleitmann D, Burns SJ, Mudelsee M, Neff U, Kramers J, Mangini A, Matter A (2002) Holocene ITCZ migration recorded in stalagmites from Southern Oman. Eos, Transactions AGU 83:F907 (AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, USA, December 2002).

C26 Fleitmann D, Burns SJ, Mudelsee M, Neff U, Matter A, Mangini A (2001) Early- to late-Holocene Indian Ocean monsoon variability recorded in stalagmites from Southern Oman. PAGES–PEPIII: Past Climate Variability Through Europe and Africa, Aix-en-Provence, France, August 2001.

C25 Fleitmann D, Burns SJ, Neff U, Mudelsee M, Matter A, Mangini A (2001) Early- to late-Holocene Indian Ocean monsoon variability recorded in stalagmites from Southern Oman. EURESCO Conference Achieving climate predictability using paleoclimate data, Castelvecchio Pascoli, Italy, November 2001.

C24 Mudelsee M, Börngen M, Tetzlaff G (2001) Hochwasserkatastrophen der Oder — Variabilität der Häufigkeit in den letzten 650 Jahren. Zweites Forum Katastrophenvorsorge Extreme Naturereignisse — Folgen, Vorsorge, Werkzeuge, Leipzig, Germany, September 2001.

C23 Niggemann S, Mangini A, Mudelsee M, Richter DK, Wurth G (2001) Sub-Milankovitch-Zyklen in einem holozänen Stalagmiten der Attahöhle bei Attendorn (Sauerland). Sediment, Jena, Germany, June 2001.

C22 Burns S, Neff U, Mudelsee M, Fleitmann D, Mangini A, Matter A (2000) Evidence for solar forcing of the Indian Ocean monsoon in a high-resolution speleothem record from Oman. 10th V. M. Goldschmidt Conference, Oxford, United Kingdom, September 2000.

C21 Fleitmann D, Burns SJ, Neff U, Mudelsee M, Matter A, Mangini A (2000) A 750-year annual-resolution record of monsoon variability from stalagmites in Southern Oman. Swiss Global Change Day, Bern, Switzerland, April 2000.

C20 Fleitmann D, Burns SJ, Neff U, Mudelsee M, Matter A, Mangini A (2000) A 780-year annual-resolution record of monsoon variability from stalagmites in Southern Oman. Climate Changes—the Karst Record II, Cracow, Poland, August 2000.

C19 Fleitmann D, Burns SJ, Neff U, Mudelsee M, Matter A, Mangini A (2000) The last 800 years of Indian Ocean monsoon variability recorded in stalagmites from southern Oman. Eos, Transactions AGU 81(48):F596–F597 (AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, USA, December 2000).

C18 Neff U, Burns SJ, Mangini A, Mudelsee M, Matter A (2000) Evidence for solar forcing of the Indian Ocean monsoon in a high-resolution record of a stalagmite from Oman. 78. Annual Meeting DMG, Heidelberg, Germany, September 2000.

C17 Neff U, Mangini A, Burns SJ, Fleitmann D, Matter A, Mudelsee M (2000) A high-resolution oxygen isotope record of a stalagmite from the Oman reveals a common driving mechanism for the Indian Ocean Monsoon and atmospheric Δ14C. Climate Changes—the Karst Record II, Cracow, Poland, August 2000.

C16 Neff U, Mangini A, Burns S, Fleitmann D, Matter A, Mudelsee M (2000) A high-resolution record of a stalagmite from Oman reveals a common driving mechanism for the Indian Ocean Monsoon and atmospheric Δ14C. 5. Deutsche Klimatagung, Hamburg, Germany, October 2000.

C15 Neff U, Mangini A, Burns S, Fleitmann D, Matter A, Mudelsee M (2000) Evidence for solar forcing of the Indian Ocean monsoon in a high-resolution speleothem record from Oman. Eos, Transactions AGU 81(48):F625 (AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, USA, December 2000).

C14 Mudelsee M (1999) Ramp function regression—a tool for quantifying gradual changes in the mean. Royal Statistical Society Annual Conference, Warwick, United Kingdom, July 1999.

C13 Burns SJ, Matter A, Mangini A, Mudelsee M (1998) The history of the monsoon in southern Arabia: Results based on stable isotopes and U/Th dating of speleothems. 8th V. M. Goldschmidt Conference, Toulouse, France, September 1998.

C12 Mudelsee M (1998) A “ramp function” model for the mid-19th to mid-20th century temperature increase. The Second International Climate and History Conference, Norwich, United Kingdom, September 1998.

C11 Mudelsee M (1998) How red is the climate spectrum? 6th International Conference on Paleoceanography, Lisbon, Portugal, August 1998.

C10 Mudelsee M, Schulz M (1995) Quantitative analysis of the Mid-Pleistocene Climate Transition shows evidence for non-synchronous behavior in the time and frequency domain. 5th International Conference on Paleoceanography, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada, October 1995.

C9 Mudelsee M, Stattegger K (1993) Is there shown a climatic attractor by deep-sea record ODP 659? First International Symposium on Fractals and Dynamic Systems in Geoscience, Gelnhausen, Germany, April 1993.

C8 Mudelsee M, Stattegger K (1993) ODP 659: No climatic attractor. Silver Anniversary Meeting of the International Association for Mathematical Geology, Prague, Czech Republic, October 1993.

C7 Schulz M, Mudelsee M, Wolf-Welling TCW (1993) Fractal analyses of climate proxies from sedimentary deep-sea records. First International Symposium on Fractals and Dynamic Systems in Geoscience, Gelnhausen, Germany, April 1993.

C6 Schulz M, Mudelsee M, Wolf-Welling TCW (1993) Fractal analyses of climate proxies from sedimentary deep-sea records. Silver Anniversary Meeting of the International Association for Mathematical Geology, Prague, Czech Republic, October 1993.

C5 Tiedemann R, Mudelsee M, Sarnthein M, Stattegger K (1992) Astronomic tuning of high-resolution benthic 18O records from ODP-Sites 658 and 659 for the last 5 million years vs. nonlinear climate dynamics. Fourth International Conference on Paleoceanography, Kiel, Germany, September 1992.

C4 Barabas M, Bach A, Mudelsee M, Mangini A (1990) General properties of the paramagnetic centre at g = 2.0006 in carbonates. Sixth Specialist Seminar on TL and ESR Dating, Clermond-Ferrand, France, July 1990.

C3 Barabas M, Mudelsee M, Walther R, Mangini A (1990) Dose-response and thermal behaviour of the ESR signal at g = 2.0006 in carbonates. Sixth Specialist Seminar on TL and ESR Dating, Clermond-Ferrand, France, July 1990.

C2 Mudelsee M, Barabas M, Mangini A (1990) ESR dating of the Quaternary deep-sea sediment core RC 17-177. Sixth Specialist Seminar on TL and ESR Dating, Clermond-Ferrand, France, July 1990.

C1 Barabas M, Bach A, Mudelsee M, Mangini A (1988) Influence of the Mg-content on ESR-signals in synthetic calcium carbonate. Fifth Specialist Seminar on TL and ESR Dating, Munich, Germany, July 1988.

Publications—Other O101 Polanco-Mart¡nez JM, Korpela M, Mudelsee M (2018) Package BINCOR: Estimate the Correlation

Between Two Irregular Climate Time Series. CRAN Project, 19 pp. O100 Bunn A, Korpela M, Biondi F, Campelo F, Mérian P, Qeadan F, Zang C, Buras A, Cecile J, Mudelsee

M, Schulz M, Pucha-Cofrep D, Wernicke J (2018) Package dplR: Dendrochronology Program Library in R. CRAN Project, 132 pp.

O99 Wilhelm B, Ballestero Cánovas JA, Ahlborn M, Baker V, Benito G, Francus P, Glaser R, Kahle M, Mudelsee M, Peña JC, Schulte L, St. George S, Swierczynski T (2017) PAGES Floods Working Group: For an improvement of our flood knowledge through paleodata. Past Global Changes, Bern, 15 pp.

O98 Mudelsee M (2017) Trends, rhythms and events. Hominin Sites and Paleolakes Drilling Project, Third Chew Bahir Project Workshop, University of Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany, June 2017.

O97 Mudelsee M, Bermejo MA (2017) Optimal heavy tail estimation, Part I: Order selection. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics Discussions. [https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-2017-25]

O96 Mudelsee M (2016) Climate Change and Climate Risk. Invited Seminar Talk, Max Planck Institute for Chemistry, Mainz, Germany, November 2016.

O95 Mudelsee M, Lohmann G (2015) Climate sensitivity during and between interglacials. In: Schulz M, Paul A (Eds.) Integrated Analysis of Interglacial Climate Dynamics (INTERDYNAMIC). Springer, Cham, 19–23.

O94 Mudelsee M (2014) Climate Time Series Analysis: Paleoclimate. Invited lecture, European Research Course on Atmosphere, Grenoble, France, January 2014.

O93 Mudelsee M (2014) Climate Time Series Analysis: Recent Climate Changes. Invited lecture, European Research Course on Atmospheres, Grenoble, France, January 2014.

O92 Masson-Delmotte V, Schulz M, Abe-Ouchi A, Beer J, Ganopolski A, González Rouco JF, Jansen E, Lambeck K, Luterbacher J, Naish T, Osborn T, Otto-Bliesner B, Quinn T, Ramesh R, Rojas M, Shao X, Timmermann A (2013) Information from paleoclimate archives. In: Stocker TF, Qin D, Plattner G-K, Tignor MMB, Allen SK, Boschung J, Nauels A, Xia Y, Bex V, Midgley PM (Ed.) Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Working Group I Contribution to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 383–464. [Mudelsee M, Contributing Author]

O91 Mudelsee M (2013) Climate Change Compendium. Deliverable T19, Marie Curie Initial Training Network GATEWAYS: Multi-level Assessment of Ocean–Climate Dynamics: A Gateway to Interdisciplinary Training and Analysis, 13 pp.

O90 Berkelhammer M, Sinha A, Mudelsee M, Cheng H, Yoshimura K, Biswas J (2013) On the low frequency component of the ENSO–Indian Monsoon relationship; a paired proxy perspective. Climate of the Past Discussions 9:3103–3123.

O89 Mudelsee M (2013) Unsicherheiten unseres Wissens über vergangene hydrologische Extremereignisse. BfG-Veranstaltungen 1/2013:41–45.

O88 Mudelsee M (2013) Book Review: I.J. Fairchild, A. Baker, Speleothem Science: From Process to Past Environments. Wiley-Blackwell, Chichester (2012) [432 pp., cloth, ISBN: 978-1-4051-9620-8]. Computers and Geosciences. 57:11–12.

O87 Mudelsee M (2013) Climate Time Series Analysis: Paleoclimate. Invited lecture, European Research Course on Atmosphere, Grenoble, France, January 2013.

O86 Mudelsee M (2013) Climate Time Series Analysis: Recent Climate Changes. Invited lecture, European Research Course on Atmospheres, Grenoble, France, January 2013.

O85 Mudelsee M (2012) Unsicherheiten unseres Wissens über vergangene und künftige meteorologische Extremereignisse. Kolloquium, Deutsche Meteorologische Gesellschaft, Zweigverein Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany, November 2012.

O84 Mudelsee M (2012) Interactive comment on “Multi-periodic climate dynamics: Spectral analysis of long-term instrumental and proxy temperature records” by H.-J. Lüdecke et al. Climate of the Past Discussions 8:C1870–C1873.

O83 Mudelsee M (2012) Interactive comment on “Multi-periodic climate dynamics: Spectral analysis of long-term instrumental and proxy temperature records” by H.-J. Lüdecke et al. Climate of the Past Discussions 8:C1605–C1610.

O82 Mudelsee M, Fohlmeister J, Scholz D (2012) Interactive comment on “Effects of dating errors on nonparametric trend analyses of speleothem time series” by M. Mudelsee et al. Climate of the Past Discussions 8:C1471.

O81 Mudelsee M, Fohlmeister J, Scholz D (2012) Interactive comment on “Effects of dating errors on nonparametric trend analyses of speleothem time series” by M. Mudelsee et al. Climate of the Past Discussions 8:C1445.

O80 Mudelsee M, Fohlmeister J, Scholz D (2012) Interactive comment on “Effects of dating errors on nonparametric trend analyses of speleothem time series” by M. Mudelsee et al. Climate of the Past Discussions 8:C938–C939.

O79 Mudelsee M (2012) Climate Time Series Analysis: Classical Statistical and Bootstrap Methods. 1st Summer School, “LINC” Marie Curie Inital Training Network. Palma de Mallorca, Spain, September 2012.

O78 Mudelsee M (2012) Paleoproxies: The Effects of Timescale Errors. Invited Lunch Talk, Paleoproxy Seminar, Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research, Bremerhaven, Germany, August 2012.

O77 Mudelsee M (2012) Interactive comment on “Automated ice-core layer-counting with strong univariate signals” by J. J. Wheatley et al. Climate of the Past Discussions 8:C814–C821.

O76 Mudelsee M (2012) Fragen an Manfred Mudelsee. Web interview, Prima Klima, 4 July 2012 O75 Mudelsee M, Fohlmeister J, Scholz D (2012) Interactive comment on ”Effects of dating errors on

nonparametric trend analyses of speleothem time series” by M. Mudelsee et al. Climate of the Past Discussions 8:C729–C734.

O74 Mudelsee M, Fohlmeister J, Scholz D (2012) Interactive comment on ``Effects of dating errors on nonparametric trend analyses of speleothem time series'' by M. Mudelsee et al. Climate of the Past Discussions 8:C644–C645.

O73 Mudelsee M, Fohlmeister J, Scholz D (2012) Effects of dating errors on nonparametric trend analyses of speleothem time series. Climate of the Past Discussions 8:1973–2005. [data(zip)]

O72 Fohlmeister J, Schröder-Ritzrau A, Scholz D, Spötl C, Riechelmann DFC, Mudelsee M, Wackerbarth A, Gerdes A, Riechelmann S, Immenhauser A, Richter DK, Mangini A (2012) Bunker cave stalagmites: An archive for central European Holocene climate variability. Climate of the Past Discussions 8:1687–1720.

O71 Scholz D, Frisia S, Borsato A, Spötl C, Fohlmeister J, Mudelsee M, Miorandi R, Mangini A (2012) Holocene climate variability in north-eastern Italy: Potential influence of the NAO and solar activity recorded by speleothem data. Climate of the Past Discussions 8:909–952.

O70 Mudelsee M (2012) Climate Time Series Analysis: Paleoclimate. Invited lecture, European Research Course on Atmospheres (20th Anniversary), Grenoble, France, January 2012.

O69 Mudelsee M (2012) Climate Time Series Analysis: Recent Climate Changes. Invited lecture, European Research Course on Atmospheres (20th Anniversary), Grenoble, France, January 2012.

O68 Mudelsee M (2011) Hochwasserrisiko: Persönliche Anmerkungen. Invited blog discussion, Klimazwiebel, December 2011.

O67 Mudelsee M (2011) Hochwasserrisiko: Persönliche Anmerkungen. Invited website contribution, Zentralanstalt für Meteorologie und Geodynamik, Vienna, Austria, 14 December 2011.

O66 Mudelsee M, Börngen M, Deutsch M (2011) Hochwasser: Rekonstruktion von Hochwasserrisiko. Invited website contribution, Zentralanstalt für Meteorologie und Geodynamik, Vienna, Austria, 14 December 2011.

O65 Mudelsee M, Deutsch M (2011) Hochwasser: Das Risiko von Eishochwassern nimmt ab. Invited website contribution, Zentralanstalt für Meteorologie und Geodynamik, Vienna, Austria, 14 December 2011.

O64 Fleitmann D, Bradley RS, Burns SJ, Mudelsee M, Cheng H, Edwards LR, Mangini A, Matter A (2011) Megadroughts at the dawn of Islam recorded in a stalagmite from northern Oman. Mineralogical Magazine 75:853.

O63 Mudelsee M (2011) Statistische Verfahren in der Klima- und Klimafolgenforschung: Wie ändern sich die Extreme? Discussion Seminar “Klimaimpulse”. Climate Service Center, Hamburg, Germany, December 2011.

O62 Mudelsee M, Bickert T, Lohmann G (2011) Regional cooling and glaciation steps during the Cenozoic. Evaluation DFG Research Group FOR 1070 Understanding Cenozoic Climate Cooling. Bremen, Germany, October 2011.

O61 Mudelsee M (2011) Interactive comment on “Low-frequency variability of European runoff” by L. Gudmundsson et al. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions 8:C428–C431.

O60 Mudelsee M (2010) Interactive comment on “Sub-millennial climate variability during MIS 11 revealed by high resolution EPICA Dome C isotopic data – a comparison with the Holocene” by K. Pol. et al. Climate of the Past Discussions 6:C1080–C1082.

O59 Mudelsee M, Chirila D, Deutschländer T, Döring C, Haerter J, Hagemann S, Hoffmann H, Jacob D, Krahé P, Lohmann G, Moseley C, Nilson E, Panferov O, Rath T, Tinz B (2010) Climate Model Bias Correction und die Deutsche Anpassungsstrategie. Mitteilungen Deutsche Meteorologische Gesellschaft 3:2–7.

O58 Mudelsee M (2010) Interactive comment on “A ~400 ka supra-Milankovitch cycle in the Na, Mg, Pb, Ni, and Co records of a ferromanganese crust from the Vityaz fracture zone, central Indian ridge” by R. Banerjee et al. Climate of the Past Discussions 6:C411.

O57 Mudelsee M (2009) Statistical data analysis: time series. Kick-off meeting “GATEWAYS”. Barcelona, Spain, November 2009.

O56 Mudelsee M (2009) Assessing Risks of Climate Change: Methods and Perspectives. Seminar talk, Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Switzerland, October 2009.

O55 Braun H, Ditlevsen P, Kurths J, Mudelsee M (2009) Limitations of red noise in analysing Dansgaard–Oeschger events. Climate of the Past Discussions 5:1803–1818.

O54 Mudelsee M (2009) Regionale Klimaprojektionen. Kick-off Meeting “Climate Impact on Lower Saxony, Germany (KLIFF)”. Hannover, Germany, June 2009.

O53 Mudelsee M (2008) Vorhersagbarkeit im hydrologischen System. BfG-Veranstaltungen 4/2008:24–34. O52 Mudelsee M, Fleitmann D, Scholz D, Röthlisberger R, Wolff EW (2008) Climate spectrum estimation,

aliasing and timescale errors: Algorithms and application to stalagmite and ice core records. Daphne II Evaluation. Heidelberg, Germany, November 2008.

O51 Mudelsee M (2008) Climate time series analysis: A focus on extreme events. Talk, US Forest Service, Northern Research Station, East Lansing, USA, October 2008.

O50 Mudelsee M (2008) Time series analysis: A casual trip from the Pliocene to the present climate. Talk, Department of Geography, Michigan State University at East Lansing, USA, October 2008.

O49 Röthlisberger R, Mudelsee M, Bigler M, de Angelis M, Fischer H, Hansson M, Lambert F, Masson-Delmotte V, Sime L, Udisti R, Wolff EW (2008) The southern hemisphere at glacial terminations: Insights from the Dome C ice core. Climate of the Past Discussions 4:761–789.

O48 Mudelsee M, Girardin MP (2008) Risk prediction of Canadian wildfires PAGES News 16:28–30. [Text (PDF)] [Supplementary Information 1/1 (XLS)]

O47 Kürbis K, Mudelsee M, Tetzlaff G, Brázdil R (2008) Trends in extremes of temperature, dew point and precipitation from long instrumental records from central Europe. In: Raabe A (Ed.) Scientific Reports, No. 42, Institute of Meteorology, University of Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany, 1–16.

O46 Mudelsee M (2007) Fehlergrenzen von Extremwerten des Wetters. In: Tetzlaff G, Karl H, Overpeck G (Eds.) Wandel von Vulnerabilität und Klima: Müssen unsere Vorsorgewerkzeuge angepasst werden? Deutsches Komitee Katastrophenvorsorge e. V., Bonn, 107–116. [Text (PDF)]

O45 Mudelsee M (2007) Time series analysis: A casual trip from the Pliocene to the present climate. Seminar talk, AWI Bremerhaven, Germany, November 2007. [Text (PPT)]

O44 Mudelsee M (2007) Sedimente erzählen über Hurrikane: Wie Geologen, Historiker und Statistiker jahrhundertealte Wetterextreme entschüsseln. Scinexx. [http://scinexx.de, 7 September 2007] [Text (PDF)]

O43 Mudelsee M (2007) RAMPFIT: A short tutorial. Seminar talk, British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, United Kingdom, June 2007.

O42 Mudelsee M (2007) Time series analysis: A casual trip from the Pliocene to the present climate. Seminar talk, GFZ Potsdam, Germany, May 2007.

O41 Mudelsee M (2007) The Hurst effect and spatial aggregation. Research seminar talk, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Konstanz, Konstanz, Germany, May 2007.

O40 Mudelsee M (2007) Climate risk analysis. Research seminar talk, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Konstanz, Konstanz, Germany, May 2007.

O39 Mudelsee M (2006) Climate risk analysis. Research seminar talk, Institute of Econometrics and Economical Statistics, University of Münster, Münster, Germany, December 2006.

O38 Mudelsee M (2006) Interactive comment on “Identification of the accretion rate for annually resolved archives” by F. De Ridder et al. Biogeosciences Discussions 3:S124–S128.

O37 Mudelsee M (2006) Interactive comment on “Ice-driven CO2 feedack on ice volume” by W.F. Ruddiman. Climate of the Past Discussions 2:S35–S42.

O36 Mudelsee M (2005) A new, absolutely dated geomagnetic polarity timescale for the Late Pliocene to Early Pleistocene. In: Berger A, Ercegovac M, Mesinger F (Eds.) Proceedings, Milutin Milankovitch Anniversary Symposium: Paleoclimate and the Earth Climate System, Serbian Academy of Sciences and Arts, Belgrade, 145–149.

O35 Mudelsee M (2005) Analysis of trends, cycles and extremes in Holocene monsoon records. Seminar talk, Institute of Meteorology, University of Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany, November 2005.

O34 Mudelsee M (2005) Analysis of trends, cycles and extremes in Holocene monsoon records. Seminar talk, Department of Earth Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom, November 2005.

O33 Mudelsee M (2004) Predicting atmospheric CO2 content, 414 to 738 kyr before the present. Contribution to: Kull C et al. (2004) The EPICA Challenge (2): Predicting CO2 over 800,000 years. Eos, Transactions of the American Geophysical Union 85:U31A-0002 (AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, USA, December 2004).

O32 Mudelsee M (2004) Trend, spectral and correlation analyses. Seminar talk, Heidelberg Academy of

Sciences, Heidelberg, Germany, November 2004. O31 Mudelsee M (2004) Dynamics of the Glaciation of the Northern Hemisphere in the Pliocene. Seminar talk,

Geographical Institute, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland, November 2004. O30 Mudelsee M (2004) Dynamics of the Pliocene Northern Hemisphere Glaciation. Seminar talk, Research

Center Ocean Margins, University of Bremen, Bremen, Germany, October 2004. O29 Mudelsee M (2004) Trends in the risk of extreme events: Floods during the past centuries. Seminar talk,

Institute for Atmosphere Physics, DLR, Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany, July 2004. [Text (PPT)] O28 Mudelsee M (2004) Trends in the risk of extreme events: Floods during the past centuries. Seminar talk,

Meteorological Institute, Free University Berlin, Berlin, Germany, July 2004. O27 Mudelsee M (2004) Dynamics of the Pliocene Northern Hemisphere Glaciation. Seminar talk, Department

of Earth Sciences, Boston University, Boston, USA, June 2004. O26 Mudelsee M, Börngen M, Tetzlaff G, Grünewald U (2004) Discussion of “Editorial—Searching for

change in hydrological data,” by Kundzewicz Z. Hydrological Sciences Journal 49:527. [Text (PDF)] O25 Grünewald U, Mudelsee M, Tetzlaff G, Börngen M (2004) Erwiderung zum “Leserbrief zum

Kurzbeitrag ‘No upward trends in the occurrence of extreme floods in central Europe’ im Hydrobrief 22, Seite 3–4,” by Bronstert A et al. Hydrobrief 24:3–4. [Text (PDF)]

O24 Mudelsee M (2004) Trends in the occurrence of extreme floods in central Europe. Seminar talk, Department of Earth Sciences, Boston University, Boston, USA, February 2004.

O23 Tetzlaff G, Börngen M, Mudelsee M, Raabe A (2003) Comparison of maximum precipitation estimates with runoff depths for the 1342 and 2002 central European flood events. In: Blöschl G, Franks S, Kumagai M, Musiake K, Rosbjerg D (Eds.) Water Resources Systems—Hydrological Risk, Management and Development. IAHS Press, Wallingford, 59–64.

O22 Mudelsee M (2003) Quantifying Dansgaard–Oeschger transitions in NGRIP ion, conductivity and dust time series using ramp function regression: Part 1. Internal Report, Institute of Meteorology, University of Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany, 54 pp.

O21 Börngen M, Tetzlaff G, Mudelsee M (2002) Zu den Niederschlags- und Abflussverhältnissen in Europa im Jahr 1816, dem “Jahr ohne Sommer”. In: Raabe A, Arnold K (Eds.) Scientific Reports, No. 26, Institute of Meteorology, Institute for Tropospheric Research, University of Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany, 73–80.

O20 Fleitmann D, Burns SJ, Mudelsee M, Neff U, Kramers J, Mangini A, Matter A (2002) Holocene variability in the Indian Ocean monsoon: A stalagmite-based, high-resolution oxygen isotope record from southern Oman. PAGES News 10:7–8.

O19 Mudelsee M (2002) Bootstrap confidence intervals—a statistical tool for experiments in agronomoy and biology. Seminar talk, Institute for Agronomy and Crop Science, University Halle–Wittenberg, Germany, April 2002. [Text (PDF)]

O18 Mudelsee M (2002) XTREND: A computer program for estimating trends in the occurrence rate of extreme weather and climate events. In: Raabe A, Arnold K (Eds.) Scientific Reports, No. 26, Institute of Meteorology, Institute for Tropospheric Research, University of Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany, 149–195.

O17 Mudelsee M, Börngen M, Tetzlaff G, Feck-Yao W (2002) Towards predicting catastrophic flood events: an analysis of historical data of rivers Elbe and Oder. In: Tetzlaff G, Trautmann T, Radtke KS (Eds.) Zweites Forum Katastrophenvorsorge Extreme Naturereignisse — Folgen, Vorsorge, Werkzeuge. DKKV, Bonn, 103–111. [Text (PDF)]

O16 Tetzlaff G, Börngen M, Mudelsee M, Raabe A (2002) Is there a method to estimate maximum values? In: Schmitz GH (Ed.) Water Resources and Environment Research ICWRER 2002. Vol. 1, Forum für Abfallwirtschaft und Altlasten e. V., Pirna, 280–284.

O15 Mudelsee M (2001) The leads and lags of CO2. Seminar talk, Geological Institute, University of Bern, Switzerland, February 2001. [Text (zipped PDF)]

O14 Mudelsee M (2001) Statistical Analysis in Climate Research, by von Storch H, Zwiers FW: Book Review. Computers and Geosciences 27:371–373. [Text (PDF)]

O13 Mudelsee M, Börngen M, Tetzlaff G (2001) On the estimation of trends in the frequency of extreme weather and climate events. In: Raabe A, Arnold K (Eds.) Meteorologische Arbeiten aus Leipzig (VI), Institute of Meteorology, Institute for Tropospheric Research, University of Leipzig, Leipzig,

Germany, 78–88. O12 Mudelsee M (2000) Ramp function regression—quantification of temperature trends. In: Raabe A,

Arnold K (Eds.) Meteorologische Arbeiten aus Leipzig (V), Institute of Meteorology, Institute for Tropospheric Research, University of Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany, 148–162.

O11 Mudelsee M (1999) On an interesting statistical problem imposed by an ice core. Institute of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Kent, Canterbury, IMS Technical Report UKC/IMS/99/21, Canterbury, United Kingdom, 12 pp. [Text (PS)]

O10 Mudelsee M (1999) Rampenregression: Quantifizieren von Klimaübergängen. Seminar talk, Institute of Environmental Physics, University of Heidelberg, Germany, November 1999.

O9 Mudelsee M (1999) RAMPFIT—a Fortran 77 program for ramp function regression. Institute of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Kent, Canterbury, IMS Technical Report UKC/IMS/99/10, Canterbury, United Kingdom, 63 pp. [Text (PDF)]

O8 Burns SJ, Matter A, Mangini A, Mudelsee M (1998) The history of the monsoon in southern Arabia: Results based on stable isotopes and U/Th dating of speleothems. Mineralogical Magazine 62A:261–262.

O7 Mudelsee M (1998) Investigating a new estimator of the serial correlation coefficient. Institute of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Kent, Canterbury, IMS Technical Report UKC/IMS/98/15, Canterbury, United Kingdom, 22 pp. [Text (PDF)]

O6 Mudelsee M (1997) Entwicklung neuer statistischer Analysemethoden für Zeitreihen mariner, stabiler Isotopen: die Evolution des globalen Plio-/Pleistozänen Klimas. In: Bericht Nr. 2 des Graduiertenkollegs Dynamik globaler Kreisläufe im System Erde, University of Kiel, Germany, 157–160.

O5 Mudelsee M (1995) Development of new statistical methods for analysing time series of marine stable isotopes: evolution of global Plio-/Pleistocene climate. Doctoral Thesis, University of Kiel, Germany, 153 pp. [published as B1]

O4 Mudelsee M (1994) Indications for Plio-/Pleistocene global climate modeling by selected methods of time-series analysis. EU-MAST Advanced Course on Paleoceanography, University of Bremen, Germany, September 1994.

O3 Mudelsee M (1994) Sedimentkerne, Eisbohrkerne und Zeitreihenanalyse — neue Ansätze zur Modellierung des Paläoklimas. In: Bericht Nr.1 des Graduiertenkollegs Dynamik globaler Kreisläufe im System Erde, University of Kiel, Germany, 243–261.

O2 Mudelsee M (1990) ESR-Datierung karbonathaltiger, quartärer Tiefseesedimente. Diploma Thesis, University of Heidelberg, Germany, 73 pp.

O1 Mudelsee M, Barabas M, Mangini A (1990) ESR Datierung eines Tiefsee-Sedimentkernes. Nachrichten Deutsche Geologische Gesellschaft 43:143.

Invited Lectures and Papers (Selection) 2016 Type: Invited Keynote

Event: PAGES Flood Working Group's Cross-Community Workshop on Past Flood Variability (MSH-Alpes University, Grenoble, France, 06/2016)

2014 Type: Invited Lectures (2x) Event: European Research Course on Atmospheres (Université Joseph Fourier de Grenoble, Grenoble, France, 01/2014)

2013 Type: Invited Lectures (2x) Event: European Research Course on Atmospheres (Université Joseph Fourier de Grenoble, Grenoble, France, 01/2013)

2012 Type: Invited Presentation Event: Session NG22A, Nonlinear Geophysics Section, AGU Fall Meeting, (San Francisco, USA, 12/2012)

2012 Type: Invited Lecture Event: Kolloquium Wissen was war ... – Rückblick auf hydrologische Extremereignisse (Federal Institute of Hydrology, Koblenz, Germany, 10/2012)

2012 Type: Invited Lectures (2x) Event: European Research Course on Atmospheres (20th Anniversary) (Université Joseph Fourier de Grenoble, Grenoble, France, 01/2012)

2012 Type: Invited Presentation

Event: The International Environmetrics Society Conference 2012 (University of Hyderabad, Hyderabad, India, 01/2012)

2011 Type: Invited Lecture Event: Discussion Seminar “Klimaimpulse” (Climate Service Center, Hamburg, Germany, 12/2011)

2010 Type: Invited Lecture Event: 3rd KLIMZUG–CSC Meeting on “Statistical Methods for Analysing Climate Model and Impact Model Data” (Climate Service Center, Hamburg, Germany, 12/2010)

2010 Type: Invited Lecture Event: Seventh Autumn Symposium Research Training Group “Statistical Modelling” (Department of Statistics, Technical University Dortmund, Germany, 11/2010)

2010 Type: Invited Lecture Event: International Workshop “Recent Achievements in the Study of Extreme Events” (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany and Max Planck Institute for the Physics of Complex Systems, Dresden, Germany, 09/2010)

2008 Type: Invited Keynote Lecture Event: 1st International Workshop on Data Analysis and Modelling in Earth Sciences (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research and University of Potsdam, Germany, 09/2008)

2008 Type: Invited Presentation Event: Federal Institute of Hydrology Conference Seasonal Predictability in Meteorology and Hydrology (Koblenz, Germany, 06/2008)

2006 Type: Invited Presentation Event: DKKV and ARL Workshop Changes of Vulnerability and Climate (Hannover, Germany, 11/2006)

2005 Type: Invited Keynote Lecture Event: Workshop New Developments in Trend and Extreme Value Analysis of Hydrometeorological Time Series (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany, 12/2005)

2004 Type: Invited Keynote Lecture Event: Milutin Milankovitch 125th Anniversary Symposium Paleoclimate and the Earth Climate System (Serbian Academy of Sciences and Arts, Belgrade, Serbia, 09/2004)

2004 Type: Invited Poster Contribution Event: DFG/AAAS Research Conference Earth, Fire, Water, Air and Life — Changing Earth and its Impact on Human Habitat (Washington, USA, 04/2004)

Software Development Code available at www.manfredmudelsee.com where marked. 13 Title: Package BINCOR [Code]

Purpose: Estimate the Correlation Between Two Irregular Climate Time Series Languages: R

12 Title: Package dplR [Code] Purpose: Dendrochronology Program Library in R Languages: R

11 Title: CalizaTM [Demo Code] Purpose: Nonstationary Risk Analysis Languages: Fortran 90

10 Title: [Exceedance Product software programs] [Code] Purpose: Calculation of exceedance product with bootstrap confidence levels [paper P45] [developed by K. Kürbis, University of Leipzig, Germany] Languages: Fortran 90

9 Title: BREAKFIT [Code] Purpose: Quantification of climate transitions using nonlinear regression (one change-point) Languages: Fortran 90

8 Title: REDFITMC2 Purpose: Adaptation of REDFIT spectrum estimation program [Software 2] to take into account timescale uncertainties Languages: Fortran 90

7 Title: 2SAMPLES [Code] Purpose: Robust quantification of treatment effects in paired/unpaired experiments Languages: Fortran 90, Gnuplot

6 Title: CLIM-X-DETECT [Code] Purpose: Robust detection of extremes in climate time series Languages: Fortran 90, Gnuplot

5 Title: PearsonT [Code] Purpose: Correlation estimation in serially dependent paleoclimatic time series Languages: Fortran 90, Gnuplot

4 Title: XTREND Purpose: Occurrence rate estimation for extreme events in climate time series Languages: Fortran 90, Gnuplot

3 Title: TAUEST [Code] Purpose: Persistence estimation in unevenly spaced paleoclimatic time series Languages: FORTRAN 77, Gnuplot

2 Title: REDFIT [Code] Purpose: Frequency analysis and red-noise estimation in unevenly spaced paleoclimatic time series [developed with M. Schulz, University of Bremen, Germany] Language: Fortran 90

1 Title: RAMPFIT [Code] Purpose: Quantification of climate transitions using nonlinear regression (two change-points) Languages: FORTRAN 77, Gnuplot

Professional Associations American Geophysical Union, 2000–2015 European Geosciences Union, since 2005 European Geosciences Union, Division on Hydrological Sciences, Sub-Division on Precipitation and Climate,

Committee Member, since 2007 Geological Society of America, 2000–2011 International Association for Mathematical Geosciences, since 1994 Mathematics and Climate Research Network, 2015–2017 NaturwissenschaftlerInnen-Initiative für Frieden und Zukunftsfähigkeit, 1990–1997 PAGES, since 1997 PAGES Flood Working Group, since 2015 Past Earth Network, 2015–2018 Royal Statistical Society, 1998–2017

Referee Biogeosciences Chemical Geology Climate Dynamics Climate of the Past Climate Research Computers and Geosciences Earth and Planetary Science Letters Environmental Modelling and Software Environmental Research Letters European Physical Journal Series B European Physical Journal Special Topics Europhysics Letters Geology

Geophysical Research Letters Global and Planetary Change Holocene Hydrological Sciences Journal Hydrology and Earth System Sciences International Journal of Wildland Fire Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology Journal of Arid Land Journal of Flood Risk Management Journal of Geophysical Research – Atmospheres Journal of Hydrology Journal of Hydrometeorology Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B Mathematical Geology Meteorologische Zeitschrift Nature Nature Climate Change Nature Communications Nature Geoscience Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics Paleoceanography Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Quaternary Research Quaternary Science Reviews Remote Sensing Science Sedimentary Geology Sedimentology Surveys in Geophysics Theoretical and Applied Climatology Water Resources Research Canadian School of Public Service Catholic University of Louvain, Belgium Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft, Germany European Commission European Science Foundation Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change National Science Foundation, Poland National Science Foundation, USA Oxford University Press, UK Research Promotion Foundation, Cyprus Serbian Academy of Sciences and Arts Springer International Publishing University of California, Riverside, USA University of California, San Diego, USA