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All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. Visit www.ListSothebysRealty.com | 1
to last year at this time, and months’ supply was up 12.5% to 13.7 months.
Sales of single-family homes priced from $3 to $5 million were up 57.1% over the same quarter in 2014, and months’ supply of inventory rose 35.3% to 25.1 months.
Two single-family homes sold in the $5 million-plus price range in the third quarter, including one home located at Diamond Head which sold for $5.65 million in June and one home in Kailua’s Beachside neighborhood on the Windward side of Oahu which sold for $6.875 million in August.
Closed sales were down 33.3 percent – the difference between two sales andthree sales – but months’ supply of inventory was down just 0.2% to 38.5 months.
Before we get to the luxury condo market, here’s what’s happening in Oahu’s overall market:
Sales of single-family homes in September increased by 3.5% compared to September 2014, while condominium sales increased by 15.7%. The median price paid for single-family homes increased by 7.6% to $730,000, while the median price for condominiums increased by 5.5% to $366,000.
The luxury condo market was pretty close to last year at this time as a whole. Sales in the $800 thousand to $1 million range were up 41.2% compared to the same quarter last year, and months’ supply of inventory was down 21.1%, going from 10.8 to 8.5 months.
3RD QUARTER 2015
CONTINUED ON PAGE 3
Aloha and welcome to The Quarterly Luxury Market Report from LIST Sotheby’s International Realty, where we take a closer look at the most recent real estate activity here on Oahu.
Our report breaks the Oahu luxury home market into four single-family home and two condominium price segments.
Single-family home sales for Q3 2015 priced from $1 to $2 million increased 33.6% compared to Q3 2014, with 179 homes sold. The median sales price in this segment was down a minor 1.6%, and months’ supply landed at 7.2 months.
There were 32 single-family home sales in the $2 to $3 million range, up by 39.1%. The median price for this segment increased 10.5% compared
FOREIGN INVESTMENT
2014 # $
JAPAN 47 $63,383,000
KOREA 5 $8,050,000
CHINA 4 $5,312,566
HONG KONG 4 $5,045,600
CANADA 3 $4,079,000
2015 # $
JAPAN 23 $31,700,000
CHINA 3 $3,795,000
CANADA 3 $3,593,750
HONG KONG 2 $2,778,725
THAILAND 1 $1,600,000
2014 # $
JAPAN 38 $113,876,299
SINGAPORE 7 $45,290,355
CHINA 4 $17,238,890
AUSTRALIA 4 $14,498,800
HONG KONG 1 $2,350,000
2013 # $
JAPAN 28 $39,859,700
HONG KONG 4 $5,320,000
CHINA 3 $5,120,000
CANADA 2 $2,601,708
SINGAPORE 2 $2,460,000
2013 # $
JAPAN 21 $56,616,300
HONG KONG 4 $9,575,000
AUSTRALIA 2 $8,450,000
SINGAPORE 1 $3,300,000
BRAZIL 1 $3,000,000
2012 # $
JAPAN 27 $37,331,600
CANADA 6 $7,320,000
CHINA 3 $4,101,125
KOREA 3 $3,785,000
$1 - $2 MILLION
$2 MILLION +
Source: Title Guaranty Hawaii
2015 # $
JAPAN 11 $34,765,000
SINGAPORE 1 $3,250,000
CANADA 1 $2,683,750
HONG KONG 1 $2,200,000
2012 # $
JAPAN 16 $52,713,800
CANADA 3 $9,134,200
TAIWAN 2 $8,038,005
AUSTRALIA 2 $4,850,000
L U X U RY M A R K E T R E P O RT
THROUGH AUGUST 2015
All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. Visit www.ListSothebysRealty.com | 2
SALES ACTIVITY
Metric Year $1 - 2Million
$2 - 3Million
$3 - 5Million
$5Million +
$800,000 -$1 Million
$1Million +
CLOSED SALES
2010 306 40 23 10 70 110
2011 320 39 28 9 75 113
2012 348 64 34 10 85 117
2013 471 64 32 14 120 150
2014 496 100 46 16 164 182
2015 YTD 471 61 31 13 152 129
MEDIAN SALES PRICE(in millions)
2010 $1.25 $2.45 $3.60 $6.95 $0.88 $1.63
2011 $1.25 $2.35 $3.40 $6.10 $0.90 $1.55
2012 $1.26 $2.25 $3.51 $6.73 $0.90 $1.35
2013 $1.28 $2.35 $3.48 $9.00 $0.88 $1.31
2014 $1.26 $2.30 $3.86 $6.40 $0.88 $1.43
2015 YTD $1.27 $2.30 $3.50 $7.40 $0.89 $1.31
MONTHS SUPPLYOF INVENTORY
2010 8.5 19.5 21.0 29.6 11.0 13.1
2011 8.4 19.1 18.6 37.6 10.3 15.7
2012 4.2 9.3 15.2 20.0 7.1 9.2
2013 7.0 14.8 20.2 21.0 7.7 14.2
2014 6.4 9.1 17.5 33.2 7.6 13.8
2015 YTD 7.2 13.7 25.1 38.5 8.5 18.1
SINGLE-FAMILY CONDO
SINGLE FAMILY & CONDO
CONDOMINIUM
HISTORICAL GRAPH
HISTORICAL GRAPH
$1 Million + Q3 2006 Q3 2009 Q3 2012 Q3 2015
Closed Sales
Median Sales Price
Months Supply of Inventory
$1 Million + Q3 2006 Q3 2009 Q3 2012 Q3 2015
Closed Sales
Median Sales Price
Months Supply of Inventory
All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. Visit www.ListSothebysRealty.com | 3
Q3 2015 sales for condos priced at $1 million and higher were down 13% compared to last year at this time. There were 40 closed sales in this price range, down from 46 sales during Q3 2014.
Months’ supply of inventory was up 33.9%, going from 13.5 to 18.1 months. Note: Not all of Oahu’s newer condominium projects are tracked via HiCentral MLS, the source of our market data.
Remember that every home and situation is unique. For specific guidance
with your current or future home, visit listsothebysrealty.com.
That’s the Oahu Quarterly Luxury Market Report for this quarter, check back soon for the latest.
Neighborhoods 2015 Median Sales Price (YTD)
2014 Median Sales Price
2013 Median Sales Price
2012 Median Sales Price
2011 Median Sales Price
2010 Median Sales Price
Aina Haina Beach $1,395,000 $2,700,000 $900,000 - $2,000,000 $3,350,000
Beachside $2,217,500 $1,922,500 $1,807,500 $1,615,000 $1,687,500 $1,712,500
Black Point $3,350,000 $1,800,000 $6,200,000 $2,400,000 $2,210,000 $3,375,000
Diamond Head $2,485,000 $2,288,888 $2,200,000 $2,150,000 $2,062,500 $2,075,000
Dowsett $927,000 $1,333,000 $1,015,000 $977,500 $1,155,000 $950,000
Hawaii Loa Ridge $2,100,000 $2,540,000 $1,946,500 $1,781,000 $1,590,000 $1,633,750
Hillcrest $1,148,500 $974,500 $1,200,000 $917,875 $980,000 $904,000
Kahala Area $2,539,000 $2,200,000 $1,940,000 $1,925,000 $1,790,000 $1,600,000
Kamehame Ridge $1,180,000 $830,000 $1,268,888 $1,250,000 $1,000,300 $1,115,000
Koko Kai $2,007,500 $2,520,000 $1,990,000 $2,200,000 $1,701,250 $2,700,000
Lanikai $1,950,000 $2,745,750 $1,665,000 $1,525,000 $1,295,000 $1,682,500
Makiki Heights $1,350,000 $1,590,000 $1,125,000 $1,078,578 $1,875,000 $927,500
Manoa Area $1,175,000 $999,000 $1,150,000 $999,999 $975,000 $950,000
Manoa-Woodlawn $1,140,000 $1,126,500 $1,049,500 $949,000 $815,000 $899,500
Maunalani Heights $1,100,000 $981,500 $1,150,000 $950,000 $1,425,000 $1,088,000
Napali Haweo $1,650,000 $1,660,000 $1,670,000 $1,900,000 $1,407,500 $1,321,500
Niu Beach $3,420,000 $2,408,000 $4,050,000 $1,850,000 $2,400,000 $1,840,000
Pacific Heights $1,062,000 $1,330,750 $752,500 $950,000 $720,000 $1,146,100
Paiko Lagoon $1,300,000 $2,400,000 $1,050,000 $2,270,000 $3,150,000 $2,500,000
Portlock $2,973,150 - $2,875,000 $3,100,000 $3,175,000 $2,183,500
Puupanini $1,200,000 $1,299,000 $872,000 $970,000 $1,162,500 $1,100,000
Tantalus $1,700,000 $1,050,000 $1,108,000 $770,000 $1,200,000 -
Triangle $1,435,000 $1,225,000 $1,215,000 $1,059,500 $919,500 $925,000
Waialae Golf Course $2,410,000 $2,125,000 $3,350,000 $1,530,000 $4,650,000 $2,300,000
Waialae Iki $1,630,000 $1,625,000 $1,487,500 $1,294,375 $1,250,000 $1,300,000
Waialae Nui Ridge $1,552,000 $1,248,888 $1,220,000 $1,040,000 $940,000 $925,000
Wailupe Area $1,770,000 $2,200,000 $1,775,000 $1,900,000 $1,350,000 $1,530,000
OAHU LUXURY NEIGHBORHOOD DETAIL THROUGH THIRD QUARTER 2015
CONTINUED FROM PAGE 1
dash = no sales in the time period
To learn more about the Oahu luxury real estate market visit: www.ListSothebysRealty.com 日本語 www.ListHawaii-mls.com.
All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. Visit www.ListSothebysRealty.com | 4
CLOSED SALES
SINGLE FAMILY CONDOMINIUM
$1 - $2 MILLION $800 THOUSAND - $1 MILLION
$1 MILLION +$3 - $5 MILLION
$2 - $3 MILLION
$5 MILLION +
LIST Sotheby’s International Realty4211 Waialae Avenue, Suite 100 | Honolulu, HI 96816(808) 735-2411
ARTFULLY UNITING EXTRAORDINARY HOMES WITH EXTRAORDINARY LIVES®
306 320 348
471 496 471
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 YTD
+5.3%+35.3%+8.7%+4.6% -5.0%
40 39
64 64
100
61
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 YTD
+56.3%0.0%+64.1%-2.5% -39.0%
2328
34 32
46
31
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 YTD
+43.8%-5.9%+21.4%+21.7% -32.6%
109
10
1416
13
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 YTD
+14.3%+40.0%+11.1%-10.0% -18.8%
70 75 85
120
164152
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 YTD
+36.7%+41.2%+13.3%+7.1% -7.3%
110 113 117
150
182
129
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 YTD
+21.3%+28.2%+3.5%+2.7% -29.1%