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Looking for a Sustainable Future LCANZ Conference, Wellington, 24 March 2010 Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy (CES) Professor Roland Clift Centre for Environmental Strategy University of Surrey President of the International Society for Industrial Ecology

Looking for a Sustainable Future...2010/04/01  · Looking for a Sustainable Future LCANZ Conference, Wellington, 24 March 2010 Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy

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Page 1: Looking for a Sustainable Future...2010/04/01  · Looking for a Sustainable Future LCANZ Conference, Wellington, 24 March 2010 Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy

Looking for a Sustainable FutureLCANZ Conference, Wellington, 24 March 2010

Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy (CES)

Professor Roland Clift

Centre for Environmental Strategy

University of Surrey

President of the International Society for Industrial Ecology

Page 2: Looking for a Sustainable Future...2010/04/01  · Looking for a Sustainable Future LCANZ Conference, Wellington, 24 March 2010 Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy

TIM JACKSON

“Sustainability is the art of living well within the ecological limits of a

Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy (CES)

within the ecological limits of a finite planet.”

Page 3: Looking for a Sustainable Future...2010/04/01  · Looking for a Sustainable Future LCANZ Conference, Wellington, 24 March 2010 Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy

EFFICIENCY

-The traditional domain of engineering

-Activities constrained by :

-scientific laws including thermodynamics

Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy (CES)

EFFICIENCY

thermodynamics

-technological ingenuity

-efficiency within the existing economic system

Page 4: Looking for a Sustainable Future...2010/04/01  · Looking for a Sustainable Future LCANZ Conference, Wellington, 24 March 2010 Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy

ENVIRONMENT

ENVIRONMENT

-Resource availability

-Capacity to

-Constraints imposed by the planet:

Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy (CES)

EFFICIENCY

-Capacity to absorb emissions, the “excrescences of consumption”

Page 5: Looking for a Sustainable Future...2010/04/01  · Looking for a Sustainable Future LCANZ Conference, Wellington, 24 March 2010 Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy

EQUITY

ENVIRONMENT

Ensuring a better quality of life for everyone, now and for generations to come

Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy (CES)

EQUITYEFFICIENCY

Page 6: Looking for a Sustainable Future...2010/04/01  · Looking for a Sustainable Future LCANZ Conference, Wellington, 24 March 2010 Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy

SUSTAINABILITY AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT

ENVIRONMENT

Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy (CES)

EQUITYEFFICIENCY

X

Page 7: Looking for a Sustainable Future...2010/04/01  · Looking for a Sustainable Future LCANZ Conference, Wellington, 24 March 2010 Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy

THE FOUR E’S: Sustainable development is an ethical concept, like “justice”

ENVIRONMENT

Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy (CES)

EQUITYEFFICIENCY

Page 8: Looking for a Sustainable Future...2010/04/01  · Looking for a Sustainable Future LCANZ Conference, Wellington, 24 March 2010 Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy

E

E E

SUN SUN

WASTE

HUMANSOCIETYFOOD

etc.GOODS

&SERVICES

THE HUMAN ECONOMY

Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy (CES)

WASTE

AGRICULTURE INDUSTRY

DISPERSEDEMISSIONS

NON-RENEWABLE RESOURCES

Page 9: Looking for a Sustainable Future...2010/04/01  · Looking for a Sustainable Future LCANZ Conference, Wellington, 24 March 2010 Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy

A SIMPLE SUPPLY CHAIN

Material and

Manufacturing Distribution Use

Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy (CES)

Material and Energy

Extraction

Waste Management

EARTH

Page 10: Looking for a Sustainable Future...2010/04/01  · Looking for a Sustainable Future LCANZ Conference, Wellington, 24 March 2010 Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy

ACCUMULATION OF ECONOMIC VALUE AND ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT ALONG THE SUPPLY CHAIN –MANUFACTURED PRODUCTS

ENVIRONMENTALIMPACT

4

23

Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy (CES)

1: Resource extraction2: Processing & Refining3: Manufacturing4: Retail and distribution

1

0ADDED VALUE or

CONTRIBUTION TOGDP

Page 11: Looking for a Sustainable Future...2010/04/01  · Looking for a Sustainable Future LCANZ Conference, Wellington, 24 March 2010 Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy

FIRST USE VS. RECOVERY AND RECYCLING

ENVIRONMENTALIMPACT

A4

23

Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy (CES)

1

0

5

6

ADDED VALUE orCONTRIBUTION TO

GDP

7 B

1: Resource extraction2. Processing & Refining3: Manufacturing4: Retail and distribution5: Recovery6: Dismantling7: Remanufacturing

Page 12: Looking for a Sustainable Future...2010/04/01  · Looking for a Sustainable Future LCANZ Conference, Wellington, 24 March 2010 Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy

ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS OF CONCERN

1. GREENHOUSE GASES- “carbon leakage”- Should accounts be on a production basis or a

consumption basis?

2. LAND USE- Land is a constrained resource- Central issue in debate over biofuels

Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy (CES)

- Central issue in debate over biofuels

3. WATER- “Virtual” or “embodied” water in products- Concern over water-intensive products from water-stressed

areas.

4. SCARCE MATERIALS- Rare metals- Land

Nos. 2, 3 & 4 require consequential analysis…

Page 13: Looking for a Sustainable Future...2010/04/01  · Looking for a Sustainable Future LCANZ Conference, Wellington, 24 March 2010 Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy

Methodological Issues 1:Attributional vs Consequential

Are we concerned with

- describing the supply chain and the associated impacts and risks?or

Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy (CES)

or- Asking “what if we produce this product rather than any

other”?

Scale matters : total or marginal?

If comparative, comparing what with what?

Page 14: Looking for a Sustainable Future...2010/04/01  · Looking for a Sustainable Future LCANZ Conference, Wellington, 24 March 2010 Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy

The Attributional vs Consequential decision conventionally affects Inventory Analysis (e.g. biofuels)

but

Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy (CES)

but

for scarce abiotic resources it is also an impact issue

Page 15: Looking for a Sustainable Future...2010/04/01  · Looking for a Sustainable Future LCANZ Conference, Wellington, 24 March 2010 Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy

Assessing resource depletion

We need to distinguish between

A. Relatively abundant metals ; e.g. Fe, Al and “localised” metals; e.g. PGM

Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy (CES)

and “localised” metals; e.g. PGM

B. Mined metals; e.g.Fe, Al and “co-products” or “hitch-hikers”

Where are In, Te…………..?

Page 16: Looking for a Sustainable Future...2010/04/01  · Looking for a Sustainable Future LCANZ Conference, Wellington, 24 March 2010 Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy

Methodological Issues 2:

Is LCA

- an expert tool to guide technology management?

Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy (CES)

management?

- an approach to structuring information to inform participatory deliberation?

Page 17: Looking for a Sustainable Future...2010/04/01  · Looking for a Sustainable Future LCANZ Conference, Wellington, 24 March 2010 Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy

THE PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT PROCESS

Phase 0: Phase 1: Phase 2: Ph ase 3: Phase 4: Phase 5Idea Feasibility Proof of Concept Scale-up Pre- Commercial Commercial

Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy (CES)

Page 18: Looking for a Sustainable Future...2010/04/01  · Looking for a Sustainable Future LCANZ Conference, Wellington, 24 March 2010 Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy

THE PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT PROCESS

Phase 0: Phase 1: Phase 2: P hase 3: Phase 4: Phase 5Idea Feasibility Proof of Concept Scale-up Pre- Commercial Commercial

Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy (CES)

1. Conventional use of DFE: detailed design

Page 19: Looking for a Sustainable Future...2010/04/01  · Looking for a Sustainable Future LCANZ Conference, Wellington, 24 March 2010 Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy

THE PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT PROCESS

Phase 0: Phase 1: Phase 2: Ph ase 3: Phase 4: Phase 5Idea Feasibility Proof of Concept Scale-up Pre- Commercial Commercial

Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy (CES)

2. Strategic use of LCA

Page 20: Looking for a Sustainable Future...2010/04/01  · Looking for a Sustainable Future LCANZ Conference, Wellington, 24 March 2010 Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy

If we are serious about deliberative decision making, then we must stop thinking of LCA as an expert tool

Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy (CES)

- which probably means not using the conventional “mid-points”……

Page 21: Looking for a Sustainable Future...2010/04/01  · Looking for a Sustainable Future LCANZ Conference, Wellington, 24 March 2010 Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy

E

E E

SUN SUN

WASTE

HUMANSOCIETYFOOD

etc.GOODS

&SERVICES

THE HUMAN ECONOMY

Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy (CES)

WASTE

AGRICULTURE INDUSTRY

DISPERSEDEMISSIONS

NON-RENEWABLE RESOURCES

Page 22: Looking for a Sustainable Future...2010/04/01  · Looking for a Sustainable Future LCANZ Conference, Wellington, 24 March 2010 Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy

RESOURCE

Process

Manufacture 1

Extract

“METABOLISED”USE OF A MATERIAL

Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy (CES)

WASTE

USE 3etc.

Re-useWASTE

USE 3etc.

Re-processCascade

Re-use

RecycleUSE 1 Manufacture 2

USE 2 Re-process

Re-process

Page 23: Looking for a Sustainable Future...2010/04/01  · Looking for a Sustainable Future LCANZ Conference, Wellington, 24 March 2010 Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy

Resource

Extraction &Processing

PolymerisationBlending &

FormingUse

INDUSTRIAL ECOLOGY FOR PLASTICS

Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy (CES)

Processing Forming

Disposal

Fuel

Energy Recovery

Chemical Recycling & Pyrolysis

Depolymerisation

M echanical Recycling

Re-Use

Page 24: Looking for a Sustainable Future...2010/04/01  · Looking for a Sustainable Future LCANZ Conference, Wellington, 24 March 2010 Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy

“METABOLISED” USE OF A MANUFACTURED PRODUCT

Use

Undifferentiated

scrapUser

Usedhardware

Manufacturer Service

Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy (CES)

Components

Refurbishment& upgrading

Assembly

Disassembly

Materialsproduction

hardware

Waste

AlternativeMaterials

Material uses

Scrap material

Feedstock

ManufacturerSupplier

Componentmanufacture

Page 25: Looking for a Sustainable Future...2010/04/01  · Looking for a Sustainable Future LCANZ Conference, Wellington, 24 March 2010 Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy

EXAMPLES OF SOCIAL IMPACTS OF CONCERN

1. LABOUR CONDITIONS

- No child labour- Freedom of association

2. GENDER

- Equality of opportunity

Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy (CES)

- Equality of opportunity- Equity of power

3. EDUCATION

- Opportunity- Social mobility

4. HEALTH

Page 26: Looking for a Sustainable Future...2010/04/01  · Looking for a Sustainable Future LCANZ Conference, Wellington, 24 March 2010 Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy

Where does this point?

A redefinition of quality or luxury…

EQUITY includes:

– Equity along the supply chain– Equity of access to “environmental services”

Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy (CES)

– Equity of access to “environmental services” between affluent and poor

This requires consumption in affluent societies to have low environmental impact per dollar spent and to provide social and economic benefits along the supply chain:

The “Fair Trade” principle and beyond…

Page 27: Looking for a Sustainable Future...2010/04/01  · Looking for a Sustainable Future LCANZ Conference, Wellington, 24 March 2010 Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy

Gucci is good for the earthand

Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy (CES)

andAngels wear Prada

Page 28: Looking for a Sustainable Future...2010/04/01  · Looking for a Sustainable Future LCANZ Conference, Wellington, 24 March 2010 Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy

BUT WHAT HAPPENS TO THE WASTE?

Prof Roland Clift, Centre for Environmental Strategy (CES)