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Logistics Session Part 2 - Transportation
Henry L. (Rick) Wen Jr.VP Business Development & Public Affairs
OOCL (USA) Inc.
2006 AAFA International Sourcing, Customs & Logistics Integration Conference
Savannah, March 22-24, 2006
AgendaAgenda
Introduction to OOCL Record trade growth from Asia and China’s
impact upon US transportation infrastructure California Crisis-Shipping Landscape-How
cross industry collaboration improved results Affect on cost and infrastructure investment Future outlook and trends
Introducing OOCLIntroducing OOCL
Hong Kong’s largest container shipping company
Grand Alliance member Publicly traded and privately held 4M shipments & $4.7B in annual revenue China expert ISO certified and process driven Technology Innovation – IRIS 2 & CargoSmart Highest industry return on revenue in 2004 Green Flag Award environmental recognition
TRANS-PACIFIC TRANS-PACIFIC 18 million TEU18 million TEU
10.4 % Growth10.4 % Growth
ASIA-EUROPE ASIA-EUROPE 12.2 million TEU12.2 million TEU
10.9% Growth10.9% Growth
TRANS-ATLANTIC TRANS-ATLANTIC 5.4 million TEU5.4 million TEU
5.3% Growth5.3% Growth
INTRA-ASIA INTRA-ASIA 33 million TEU33 million TEU(including Australia, (including Australia,
Indian Subcontinent and Indian Subcontinent and Middle East)Middle East)
12 % Growth12 % Growth Source: Drewry Consultants, 2005
OTHER TRADESOTHER TRADES
North-South North-South 19.2 million TEU19.2 million TEU
Intra-RegionalIntra-Regional16.1 million TEU16.1 million TEU
World Container Flow 2005World Container Flow 2005
China’s Share of U.S. Import VolumeChina’s Share of U.S. Import Volume
China15%
Other85%
China26%
Other74%
Source: PIERS Trade Horizons
1995
2000
2005
China38%
Other62%
1995
2005
2000
Source: PIERS Trade Horizons
China’s Share of Trans-Pacific ImportsChina’s Share of Trans-Pacific Imports
China50%
Other50%
China31%
Other69%
China66%
Other34%
China’s apparel & footwear trendChina’s apparel & footwear trend
Growth RoW-US growth 20052003 2005 2002-05 2005 y/y - excluding China
Clothing 11.7% 26.6% 46.7% 71.9% -0.5%Footwear 84.1% 86.0% 3.4% 3.9% -4.1%Machinery 29.0% 37.4% 21.4% 15.6% 11.7%Electronics 48.2% 55.1% 12.7% 10.2% 4.5%Auto 6.7% 14.8% 41.3% -0.6% 4.1%Optronics 38.3% 50.3% 19.2% 9.2% -21.1%Furniture 64.6% 71.4% 17.4% 13.7% 4.2%Toys 86.7% 90.4% 6.1% 1.0% -3.4%Total 40.4% 45.9% 15.9% 11.5% 4.9%
China market share China-US growth p.a.
Source: US Census Bureau
Major Port Throughput Major Port Throughput
Source: Drewry Shipping Consultants Ltd (figures include empties and transshipment)
Major Port Throughput 1-3Q 2005(m Teus)
17.3 16.8
13.211.7
10.4
4.53.7 3.6 3.5 3.1 2.5
1.4
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
Singap
ore
Hong K
ong
Shanghai
Shenzh
en
LA/LB
Qingd
ao
Ningbo
New Y
ork/N
J
Tianjin
Guangzh
ou
Xiam
en
Savan
nah
2002 2003 2004 2005 02-05 2005 VS '04
Growth
LA/LB 10.63 11.84 13.10 14.85 11.7% 13.3%NY/NJ 3.75 4.07 4.48 4.80 8.6% 7.1%SEA/TAC 2.91 3.22 3.57 4.00 11.2% 12.0%OAK 1.71 1.92 2.04 2.08 9.3% 2.0%CHS 1.59 1.69 1.72 1.97 7.4% 14.5%SAV 1.33 1.52 1.66 1.90 12.6% 14.5%HOU 1.15 1.24 1.32 1.65 11.9% 25.0%
Volume Growth (m Teu)Volume Growth (m Teu)
Source: Ports (Dec est.)
Projected Growth (POLA/POLB)Projected Growth (POLA/POLB)
5.4
9.5 10.6 11.8
16.7
35
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
1995 2000 2002 2003 2010 2020
(in Million TEUs)
Source: Marine Exchange of Southern California
2004 California Crisis2004 California Crisis
West Coast problem was compounded by many issues: + Trade growth and inadequate customer forecasting+ Shortage of longshore labor and lower productivity of new hires+ Port congestion+ State and Federal regulations+ Intermodal equipment (railcar, locomotive) and crew shortages + Terminal crane capacity+ Rail volume capacity (ramp, on dock rail limits, trackage pinch point
at Cajon Pass)+ Strained truck capacity and limited trailer availability+ Chassis shortage+ Larger Mega Ships= Rising costs of doing business
2004 Labor Shortage2004 Labor Shortage
Vessel Gang Demand Worked vs Ordered (Day)
020406080
100120140160180200
OrderedWorked
Source: www.pmanet.org
No. of In-Service Cranes
Shipping LandscapeShipping Landscape New mega ships increase trade capacity
Global trade growth outpaces United States infrastructure, including port, railroad, trucking, terminal and warehouse.
Congestion & delays reduce effective vessel capacity
Panama Canal approaches 100% capacity
Supply chains become pro-longed and segmented West (intermodal) and East (all-water)
Cross-industry collaboration and synchronized activities improved shipment performance & efficiency after 2004 crisis Here’s how:
US Ports Lag International Productivity:
Throughput (Teu) per gross acre:East Coast /Gulf 4,100West Coast 4,600Major world ports 10,000 to 15,000
2006 Port Congestion: Beyond 20062006 Port Congestion: Beyond 2006
Port Terminal Capacity ConstraintPort Terminal Capacity Constraint
Million TEUSource: SSA
Port Terminal Capacity ConstraintPort Terminal Capacity Constraint
Million TEUSource: SSA
Cross Industry Collaboration: Cross Industry Collaboration: Ocean Carrier and Terminal ActionOcean Carrier and Terminal Action
More labor, high capacity cranes and terminal equipment (resources)
Convert from wheeled to grounded operations: increase terminal capacity (space)
Extend Terminal’s Hours of Service “Pier-Pass” appointment system to increase capacity (time) Implemented on July 23, 2005Over 30% of daily cargo moves during off-
peak1 Million container milestone December 2005
Cross Industry Collaboration: Cross Industry Collaboration: Ocean Carrier and Terminal ActionOcean Carrier and Terminal Action
Redeploy ships to East Coast and Pacific Northwest ports to balance port capacity: (asset utilization)
Reduce terminal free time from 5 to 4 days to accelerate goods movement (velocity)
Implement 1st receiving dates for exports to minimize terminal congestion (space)
Synchronize block stowage and promote on dock rail to improve intermodal rail performance and maximize terminal efficiency (congestion)
Develop off-dock Container Yards to relieve terminal congestion (overflow capacity)
Cargo InterestCargo Interest Order earlier and prepare to hold more inventory in
your pipeline
Move information up your supply chain (at origin) and available at least 24 hours prior vessel loading
Align your delivery schedules with changes in the international delivery process
Focus more on time definite vs. time to market and avoid “double dipping”
Use “cost of goods sold” profit model (20 cents a kilo vs. 6 dollars a kilo?) to build your supply chain
Value per kg of shipmentValue per kg of shipment
Source: US Census Bureau
China-US freight(US$/kg)2002 2004 2005
Clothing 14.4 12.4 11.5Footwear 7.2 7.6 8.2Machinery 6.6 7.8 8.1Electronics 7.0 7.3 7.8Auto 2.5 2.4 2.5Optronics 11.6 11.1 10.9Furniture 2.3 2.4 2.5Toys 4.8 4.7 5.2Total 5.2 5.4 5.8
Increased Cost of Liner ShippingIncreased Cost of Liner Shipping Bunker fuel and inland fuel Additional labor Terminal
Extended operation hours Wheeled to ground operation (expensive yard machinery) Terminal appointment system Storage charges have increased
Equipment Trade imbalance (import: export) increases empty repositioning Cost of equipment is up as steel costs doubled Carriers are building larger vessels but equipment supply lags
behind
Rail Trucking
TSA Revenue Index TrendingTSA Revenue Index Trending
Future Outlook & TrendsFuture Outlook & Trends
Intermodal rail service improves More “Hub and Spoke” shipments (inland distribution) Less West Coast transloading More East Coast distribution using trucks instead of rail Integration of international with domestic transportation
International intermodal outpaces domestic growth Railroads drive double stack intermodal Smaller and more frequent shipments favor container vs. trailer Cost and environmentally friendly for shipments >700 miles
Domestic infrastructure changes to accommodate international CPRR bans cross Canada intermodal trailers effective January
1st 2006 (others to follow) TTX converting 48’ car wells to 40’ wells New flatcar wells will be mostly 40’
Future Outlook and TrendsFuture Outlook and Trends
Economy of Scale & Asset Utilization More and larger container vessels More and larger consortia of carriers More mergers and Acquisitions Don’t put all your eggs in one basket
Liner shipping logistics plays a more strategic role in supply chain including domestic applications
Technology drives standardized efficiency, shipment visibility and Home Land Security applications
Moving towards a global economy