Llano Estacado Regional Water Planning Group

(“Region O”)

Public Hearing To Receive Comments Regarding Initially Prepared

2016 Llano Estacado Regional Water Plan

June 18, 2015 7:00 p.m.

International Cultural Center Auditorium 601 Indiana Ave, Lubbock TX

Public Hearing Agenda

1. Call To Order & Welcome by LERWPG Chairman H. P. Brown Jr. 2. Introductory Statements. 3. Overview of Initially Prepared Llano Estacado Regional

Water Plan by Amy Ewing and Beth Salvas with Daniel B. Stephens & Associates.

4. Public comments concerning proposed amendments. (Please limit remarks to five (5) minutes, if possible.)

5. Adjourn.

Notice of Public Hearing This public hearing is being held in accordance with

Title 31, Part 10, Chapter 357, Subchapter B, Rule §357.21 of the Texas Administrative Code.

30-Day Advance Notice of this public hearing was:

Posted May 6 with the Texas Secretary of State, Lubbock County Courthouse, HPWD office, and on HPWD/LERWPG websites.

Mailed to County Clerks and County Judges in the LERWPG region on May 11.

Published in the Sunday, May 17 legal notice section of the

Amarillo Globe-News and the Lubbock Avalanche-Journal, two newspapers with general circulation in the region.

Notice of Public Hearing

Mayors of municipalities in the region with a population of 1,000 or more and/or a county seat.

County judges of the counties in the region.

Each special or general law district or river authority with

surface water management responsibilities. Each retail public utility that serves any part of the region. Surface water rights holders for those with diversions in

the region.

30-Day Advance Notice of this public hearing was provided on May 11 to:

Notice of Public Hearing

Each county clerk’s office within the LERWPG region.

The primary public library in each county.

High Plains Underground Water Conservation District office (2930 Avenue Q, Lubbock). The LERWPG web site (www.llanoplan.org).

The HPWD web site (www.hpwd.org).

Copies of the Initially Prepared Plan were available for public inspection 30 days in advance of this hearing at:

Notice of Public Hearing

Provided to media within the 22-county LERWPG region via a news release. (May 11, 2015)

Provided to the public via articles published in the May 8 and June 12 electronic versions of The Cross Section, newsletter of the High Plains Underground Water Conservation District . (1,725 recipients each issue)

Provided to the public via an article published in the May 2015 print version of The Cross Section, newsletter of the High Plains Underground Water Conservation District No. 1.

(686 recipients)

Notice of the public hearing was also:

Notice of Public Hearing

Tonight’s public hearing is to receive oral and/or written comments regarding the content of the Initially Prepared 2011 Llano Estacado Regional Water Plan. No action will be taken tonight regarding approval of the plan. Deadline of December 1, 2015 for submitting final version of the Llano Estacado Regional Water Management Plan to the Texas Water Development Board in Austin.

Overview of the 2016 Initially Prepared Plan Llano Estacado Planning Region (Region O)

LERWPG Technical Consultants

Amy Ewing, P.G. and Beth Salvas, P.G. Daniel B. Stephens & Associates, Inc.

Regional Water Plan Purpose • Regional water plans completed every 5 years.

– Evaluate the available water resources. – Project demands during drought of record.

• Plans address the needs of all water user groups. – Municipal, irrigation, livestock, manufacturing,

mining, and steam-electric power.

• The State compiles information from the 16 regional water plans into the State Water Plan.

2016 Regional Water Plan Contents • Executive Summary • Chapter 1 - Description • Chapter 2 - Demand • Chapter 3 - Water

Availability and Supply • Chapter 4 - Water Needs • Chapter 5 - Water

Management Strategies

• Chapter 6 - Impacts • Chapter 7 - Drought • Chapter 8 - Unique Sites • Chapter 9 - Financing • Chapter 10 - Public

Participation • Chapter 11 -

Implementation

Planning Region

Map

21 Counties

Total Water Use by Sector in Planning Region 2003 to 2012 Average

3,787,711 acre-feet per year

95.3

2.2%

1.4%

0.7%0.2%0.1%

Irrigation

Municipal

Livestock

Steam-Electric

Manufacturing

Mining

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

900,00019

00

1910

1920

1930

1940

1950

1960

1970

1980

1990

2000

2010

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

Popu

latio

n

Decade

Region O Population 1900 to 2070

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

3,000,000

3,500,000

4,000,000

2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070

Wat

er D

eman

d (a

c-ft/

yr)

Decade

Region O Water Demand Projections

Water User Groups (WUGs) • Municipal

– 71 municipalities and county-other

• Irrigation • Livestock • Industrial

– Manufacturing – Mining – Steam-electric power

Projected Water Demand • Municipal demand

– Calculated by multiplying per capita use, minus anticipated conservation savings, by the projected population.

– County population projections were provided by the TWDB, and were allocated to the cities and rural areas.

– Municipal demand is projected to increase by 40% by 2070.

Projected Water Demand • Irrigation demand

– Largest regional demand – Accounts for 95% of demand projections in 2020 – Projected to decline between 2020 and 2070

• Declining water levels • New regulations • Improvements in water conservation technology

– Accounts for 92% of demand projections in 2070

Projected Water Demand • Livestock demand

– All 21 counties in the region have livestock demands.

– Deaf Smith County accounts for 32% of the total livestock demand.

– Projected demand to increase by 30% by 2070.

Projected Water Demand • Industrial demand

– Manufacturing • 14 counties in the region have manufacturing activity. • Projected demand to increase by 26% by 2070.

– Mining • 15 counties in the region have mining activity. • Projected demand to decrease by 42% by 2070.

– Steam-electric power • 4 counties in the region generate steam-electric power. • Projected demand to increase 127% by 2070.

Region O Projected Water Demand in 2020 and 2070 by WUG Type

94.8%

2.6%

0.4%0.7%0.4%

1.0%

91.5%

4.1%

0.6%

1.8%

0.3%1.6%

2020 2070 Total Water Demand

3,710,638 acre-feet per year Total Water Demand

3,210,784 acre-feet per year

– Reuse (direct) – Groundwater

• Dockum • Edwards-Trinity (High Plains) • Ogallala • Other aquifer • Seymour

– CRMWA (purchased)

– Surface water

• Run of river – Brazos, Red

• Reservoir – Lake Alan Henry – Mackenzie Reservoir – White River Reservoir

• Livestock local supply – Brazos, Canadian,

Colorado, Red

LERWPG Water Sources

92.3%

3.4%

0.5%1.4%0.6%0.4%1.4%

81.6%

5.9%

1.3%3.7%2.1%0.1%5.3%

Existing Water Supplies by WUG Type as a Percentage of Total in 2020 and 2070

2020 2070 Total Existing Water Supply

2,112,906 acre-feet per year Total Existing Water Supply 891,445 acre-feet per year

Identified Water Needs or Surplus • Water needs calculated as the difference

between projected demand and available water supply for each WUG

(Need) or Surplus = Existing Water Supply - Water Demand

Positive value is a surplus Negative value is a water need

First Tier Water Needs by Water User Group Category

2020 and 2070

94.8%

3.2%

1.0%0.2%0.4%0.5%

5.2%

96.8%

1.1%

0.8%

0.2%0.6%

0.4%

3.2%

2020 2070 Total Water Needs

1,807,696 acre-feet per year Total Water Needs

2,382,845 acre-feet per year

Municipal WUGs with Needs - 2020 • Abernathy • Bovina • Brownfield • Denver City • Dimmitt • Earth • Farwell • Hale Center • Hereford

• Idalou • Lamesa • Levelland • Lubbock • Meadow • Morton • Muleshoe • Petersburg • Plains

• Seminole • Shallowater • Silverton • Slaton • Sundown • Tahoka • Tulia

Municipal WUGs with Needs - 2070 • Abernathy • Bovina • Brownfield • Denver City • Dimmitt • Earth • Farwell • Friona • Hart

• Hereford • Idalou • Lamesa • Levelland • Lockney • Lorenzo • Lubbock • Matador • Meadow

• Morton • Muleshoe • O’Donnell • Petersburg • Plains • Seagraves • Seminole • Shallowater • Silverton

• Slaton • Sudan • Sundown • Tahoka • Tulia • Wolfforth

Non-Municipal WUG Needs • Irrigation - Needs in 19 of the 21 counties.

• Livestock - Needs in 19 of the 21 counties.

• Manufacturing - Needs in 11 of the 14 counties.

• Mining - Needs in 14 of the 15 counties.

• Steam-electric - Needs in all 4 counties.

Water Management Strategies • Water management strategies (WMS) were

evaluated based on yield, reliability, cost, environmental impacts, and implementation issues.

• WMS are being recommended to meet the identified needs.

• The IPP includes the implementation decade, and estimates for the cost and yield of each recommended strategy.

Water Management Strategies • To be eligible for State funding, projects

must be included as recommended WMS in the adopted regional water plan, with an associated capital cost.

• Example types of WMS projects: – Conservation and reuse, desalination, building

new pipelines, developing reservoirs and well fields, and purchasing water rights.

Recommended WMS • Municipal water conservation

– Recommended for: • WUGs that have a population of greater than 2,000

people • Are a CRMWA member • Will require a 40 percent or greater reduction in per

capita use to reach the Task Force recommended per capita use of 140 gpcd regardless of needs, or

• Specifically mentioned a municipal WMS in the WUG survey (e.g., Floydada and Sudan)

Recommended WMS • Municipal water conservation

• Abernathy • Brownfield • Denver City • Dimmitt • Farwell • Floydada • Friona • Hale Center

• Hereford • Idalou • Lamesa • Levelland • Lubbock • Matador • Morton

• Muleshoe • O’Donnell • Petersburg • Plains • Ransom Canyon • Seagraves • Seminole

• Shallowater • Slaton • Sudan • Sundown • Tahoka • Tulia • Wolfforth

Recommended WMS • Agricultural water conservation

– Recommended for all 21 counties in the region.

• Local groundwater development – Potentially feasible for municipal, agricultural, and

livestock WUGs. – Recommended for 14 municipal WUGs, based on

the WUG survey responses.

• Water reuse – Recommended for Farwell and Wolfforth, based

on the WUG survey responses.

Recommended WMS • City of Lubbock

– Recommended 16 strategies, including municipal water conservation and brush management.

– 14 additional projects were evaluated in the City’s 2013 Strategic Water Supply Plan and include reuse, surface water, and groundwater projects.

Recommended WMS • CRMWA

– Recommended strategies match what is being presented in the Region A water plan.

– The IPP recommends 3 WMS: • Conjunctive management of surface water (Lake

Meredith) and groundwater. • Expanded groundwater development with additional

transmission. • Brush management. • ASR projects to be added for the final plan.

Recommended WMS • South Garza Water Supply

– Recommended a strategy for expanding the existing infrastructure to supply additional areas around Lake Alan Henry.

Tasks Underway • The TWDB is performing an analysis of the

potential socioeconomic impacts of not meeting needs.

• Surveys to be conducted: • Level of implementation regarding 2011 plan WMS. • How proposed 2016 WMS will be financed.

• Findings will be summarized in the final 2016 LERWPG regional water plan.

Key Findings & Recommendations • The region’s agricultural production is of great

economic benefit locally and statewide. • Water needs in this region are distinctly different

from those in other parts of the state. • WUGs need to expand existing water supply sources

and/or build new water supply projects. • Recommend ongoing dedication of funding for

projects so that future generations of west Texans will have reliable, affordable, and sufficient water supplies.

Questions?

Public Comment We now invite public comment on the Initially Prepared Plan.

Please be sure you have turned in a completed registration card if you wish to speak.

Please step forward when your name is called.

Please identify yourself for the record.

Please limit remarks to five (5) minutes.

If a point has already been made, we ask that you not repeat it again.

These comments will be considered at the next regular meeting of the

Llano Estacado Regional Water Planning Group.

Written comments about the draft IPP will be accepted until

5:00 p.m., Monday, August 17, 2015.

They should be sent to: Jason Coleman

High Plains Water District 2930 Avenue Q, Lubbock TX 79411-2499.

We Appreciate Your Comments And Participation

In Tonight’s Public Hearing!

Visit the “Region O” web site for more information!

www.llanoplan.org

The Public Hearing Is Adjourned

We appreciate your attendance!