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Leveraging National Marketing Information
Systems and the Regional Food Balance Sheet. Presentation by:
Janet Kalulu NgombaluMarketing information systems and Communications Manager - EAGC.
Presentation outline.• Introduction • About EAGC.• EAGC MIS work.• Regional Food Balance Sheet (RFBS)• Rationale• Role of MIS in Regional Food Balance
Sheet• Participation of National MIS’s in RFBS• Conclusion.
Introduction • Agribusiness marketing is currently
estimated at US $ 150 Million with projected growth.
• International agribusiness is positioning the Africa to feed the future.
• According to CAADP, investments in market access requires an initial investment of US $62 billion over some 10 to 15 years while operation and maintenance of these assets will require an additional US $37 billion.
Regional Markets• Africa is on the right path of intra-regional trade,
but lags behind other global regions. • •Exports from Africa increased significantly in the
last 8 years. • •Intra-regional trade within emerging Asia
increased 8 fold. • •Africa remains low and accounts for less than
10% of world total trade.• •IRT grown by 49 per cent in the last five years
(EAC)• •Increased investments in foreign direct
investment (FDI) almost tripled from $ 692 million (Sh913.4 billion) in 2002 to $ 1.7billion (Sh2.2 trillion) in 2007.
• •The trade is both informal and formal trade.
A REGION FREED FROM INDIGNITY OF HUNGER AND FOOD INSECURITY-
Overall GoalAlternative dispute resolution
mechanisms
Institutional framework for
regional grain trade promotion
Dialogue between public and
private stakeholders
A system for providing
timely , reliable and accurate
information
Stabilized Regional grain
market prices
Enhanced Market access by
small-scale grain producers
Well- functioning regional
grain supply chain
Alternative dispute resolution
mechanisms
Institutional framework for
regional grain trade promotion
Dialogue between public and
private stakeholders
A system for providing
timely , reliable and accurate
information
Stabilized Regional grain
market prices
Enhanced Market access by
small-scale grain producers
Well- functioning regional
grain supply chain
Structured Trading systemMarket Information SystemGrain Value chain stakeholders capacity buildingGrain trade and policy environment
REDUCING TRANSACTIONS
COSTS
REDUCING TRANSACTIONS
COSTS
EAGC Market Information
___________________________REGIONAL GRAIN TRADE MARKET INTELLINCE (RATIN)____
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RATIN Database
Data Collection tools
DATA INPUT/COLLECTION
Border points Internal Markets
Border/Market Monitors
Partners Databases WFP/FEWSNET/MAS/ACE/ZAMACE/ESOKO/MOA
Data Analysis Tools
DATA COLLATION
MARKET INTELLIGENCE PRODUCTS
PRODUCTS Weekly Commentaries Trade Flows Price Analysis (Graphical) Trade Trends and Forecasts Production Data Regional Food Balance Sheets. Interactive systems Important web links Sector Update
RATIN Users
USERS EAGC Members ( Producers,
Traders, Processors, Financial Institutions)
National Government Regional /Bilateral Organizations NGOs/Development Partners International Agencies
RATIN SYSTEM FLOW
FEEDBACK
FEEDBACK
The Regional Food Balance Sheet (RFBS)• It is a reflection of the food security picture
at a given time indicating availability, through production estimates and trade
• It has mostly been prepared by governments through respective Ministries of Agriculture, private sector, millers, traders and farmers
• EAGC is spearheading efforts for the regional balance sheet with EAC and partners
Rationale for RFBS Initiative anchored in the EAC Regional Food
Security Action PlanGreat potential for food surplus and trade in the
region This evidence/information is presently not
readily available hence ad-hoc policy decisions to protect national interests
Information on regionally available food stock to inform food security policy
Regional staple foods trade development – better prices, movement of foods from surplus to deficit region
Investments in agriculture as a result of predictable policies.
Regional Production vs Consumption and Tradeable Surplus for Select staple food products
(5,000,000)
-
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
25,000,000
Maize Wheat Rice Beans Millet Sorghum
MT
Total Production per year plus CarryOver Stock (MT)
Regional Consumption (MT)
Tradeable Surplus
The EAC Regional Food Balance Sheet - Template
Annex 1: ESTIMATED AVAILABILITY FOOD BALANCE SHEET – TEMPLATE
Country: Uganda Month ending 30TH August 2011
Maize Wheat Rice Beans Millet Sorghu
m
A. Domestic Supply
(1) Carry Over Stocks - as at 31st July (MT)
(2) Imports (projections for 2011)
• From Regional sources (EAC&COMESA/SADC)
• From Extra Regional sources
Total Imports
(3) Production (projections for 2011)
• Long rains
• Short Rains
Total Production per year
(4) Post harvest loss
(5) National Availability (MT) =
(1+2+3) – (4)
The EAC Regional Food Balance Sheet – Template (Cont’d)
Maize Wheat Rice Beans Millet Sorghu
m
B. Domestic Utilisation
(6) Exports (projected exports for August 2011
• Exports to EAC/COMESA/SADC
• Extra regional exports
Total Exports
(7) Seed (Projected allocation for seed)
(8) Feed (Projected allocation for feed)
(9) National Consumption (MT)
(10) Available stock by end August 2011 (MT) = 5 – (6 + 7+8+9)
Maize Wheat Rice Beans Millet Sorghum
(1) Carry Over Stocks – as at 31st March 2009 (MT) 854,085 5,077 41,709 93,060 10,154 84,238
- - - - - -
From Regional sources (EAC&COMESA) 408,300 15,000 8,000 12,000 4,703 16,500
From Extra Regional sources 129,060 859,996 257,532 14,190 36 4
Total Imports 604,677 880,088 279,055 38,390 4,757 29,783
(3) Production (projections for 2010)
Long rains 5,830,162 468,648 918,683 1,593,205 1,010,524 1,116,378
Short Rains 2,261,414 89,879 295,415 857,946 93,147 518,915
Total Production per year 8,091,576 558,527 1,214,098 2,451,151 1,103,671 1,635,293
(4) Post harvest loss 573,727 36,306 40,931 122,736 22,385 103,701
(5) Regional Availability (MT) = (1+2+3)-4 8,976,611 1,407,386 1,493,931 2,459,865 1,096,197 1,566,060
(6) Exports (projected exports for 2010 - - - - - -
• Exports to EAC/COMESA 126,828 5,378 25,382 37,364 - 14,524
• Extra regional exports - 2,000 4,000 61 - -
Total Exports 126,828 5,378 25,382 37,425 - 14,524
(7) Regional Consumption (MT) 7,980,077 1,344,055 1,355,102 2,010,240 962,486 1,460,509
(8) Available stock by end of As at 1st April 2010 (MT) = 5 – (6 + 7) 870,244 67,442 113,447 591,606 133,711 91,027
Table 1: Illustrative EAC Regional Food Balance Sheet As at 1st April 2010
Source: National Food Balance Sheet survey reports
National Institutional Framework – Roles and responsibilities
• Public: Ministries of Agriculture, Ministries of Trade, Ministries of Emergency programs, Central Bureau of Statistics organizations, National Food Reserve Agencies, Revenue Authorities, Central Banks, Ministries of Finance & Planning.
• Private: Farmer organizations, Traders Organizations, Millers Organizations, Warehouse operators, commodity exchanges, civil society, seed companies, animal feed organizations, development partners, FAO, FEWSNET, WFP and National MIS service providers.
National MIS initiatives and RFBS• Main driver of RFBS• Quality, Valid, Relevant and Timely data• Market Intelligence projections and analysis
reports • Warehouse stock tracking• Prediction of surplus and deficit areas.• Provide Market linkage and access.• Daily, weekly or regular monitoring of
information.• Harmonised regional data collection
methodology.• Export/import monitoring• Packaging and Dissemination to relevant users.• Coordination of National Committees.• Monthly updating of the balance sheets
ENDThanks
For More Information
Janet Kalulu Ngombalu
Harriet NabiryeEAGC Country Manager,
UgandaEmail:
[email protected]+254 772 457417