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Lecture No.19 Chapter 6 Contemporary Engineering Economics Copyright © 2010 Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition, © 2010

Lecture No.19 Chapter 6 Contemporary Engineering Economics Copyright © 2010 Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition, © 2010

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Page 1: Lecture No.19 Chapter 6 Contemporary Engineering Economics Copyright © 2010 Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition, © 2010

Lecture No.19Chapter 6

Contemporary Engineering EconomicsCopyright © 2010

Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5th edition, © 2010

Page 2: Lecture No.19 Chapter 6 Contemporary Engineering Economics Copyright © 2010 Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition, © 2010

Chapter Opening Story - Drinking Water from Ocean

Build a $300 million water-desalination plant in Carlsaba, CAProduce 50 million gallons of drinking water a daySupply about 100,000 homesCost the plant $1.10 in electricity per 1,000 gallons of water

At Issue: What would be the production cost per gallon of water from ocean?

Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5th edition © 2010

Page 3: Lecture No.19 Chapter 6 Contemporary Engineering Economics Copyright © 2010 Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition, © 2010

Annual Worth AnalysisPrinciple: Measure an investment worth on annual basisBenefits: By knowing the annual equivalent worth, we can:

Seek consistency of report formatDetermine the unit cost (or unit profit)Facilitate the unequal project life comparison

Annual Equivalent Conversion

Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5th edition © 2010

Page 4: Lecture No.19 Chapter 6 Contemporary Engineering Economics Copyright © 2010 Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition, © 2010

Fundamental Decision RulesSingle Project Evaluation: Comparing Mutually

Exclusive Alternatives:If AE(i) > 0, accept the investment.

If AE(i) = 0, remain indifferent to the investment

If AE(i) < 0, reject the investment

Service projects: select the alternative with the minimum annual equivalent cost (AEC).

Revenue projects: select the alternative with the maximum AE(i).

Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5th edition © 2010

Page 5: Lecture No.19 Chapter 6 Contemporary Engineering Economics Copyright © 2010 Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition, © 2010

Example 6.1 Economics of Installing A Feedwater Heater Install a 150MW unit:

Initial cost = $1,650,000Service life = 25 yearsSalvage value = 0Expected improvement in fuel efficiency = 1%Fuel cost = $0.05kWhLoad factor = 85%

Determine the annual worth for installing the unit at i = 12%.

If the fuel cost increases at the annual rate of 4%, what is AE(12%)?

Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5th edition © 2010

Page 6: Lecture No.19 Chapter 6 Contemporary Engineering Economics Copyright © 2010 Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition, © 2010

Ex. 6.1 Calculation of Annual Fuel SavingsRequired input power before adding the second unit:

Required input power after adding the second unit:

Reduction in energy consumption: $4,870kW

Annual operating hours:

Annual Fuel Savings

Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5th edition © 2010

:

.

150,000kW272,727kW

0.55

150,000kW267,857kW

0.56

Operating hours = (365)(24)(0.85) =7,446 hours/year

Page 7: Lecture No.19 Chapter 6 Contemporary Engineering Economics Copyright © 2010 Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition, © 2010

Ex. 6.1 Annual Worth Calculations (a) with constant fuel price:PW (12%) = -$1,650,000 + $1,813,101 (P/A, 12%, 25) = $12,570,403AE(12%) = $12,570,403 (A/P, 12%, 25) = $ 1,602,726

(b) with escalating fuel price:

Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5th edition © 2010

Page 8: Lecture No.19 Chapter 6 Contemporary Engineering Economics Copyright © 2010 Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition, © 2010

Ex. 6.2 Annual Equivalent Worth - Repeating Cash Flow Cycles

First Cycle

Repeating Cycles

Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5th edition © 2010

PW(12%) $1,000,000[($800,000 $100,000( ,12%,4)]( ,12%,4)

$1,000,000 $2,017,150.$1,017,150.

A G P A

AE 12% = $1,017,150 , 12%, 4

= $334,880.

A P

Page 9: Lecture No.19 Chapter 6 Contemporary Engineering Economics Copyright © 2010 Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition, © 2010

Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5th edition © 2010

Page 10: Lecture No.19 Chapter 6 Contemporary Engineering Economics Copyright © 2010 Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition, © 2010

Required AssumptionsThe service life of the selected alternative is required on a

continuous basis.Each alternative will be replaced by an identical asset that

has the same costs and performanceModel A:

Model B:

Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5th edition © 2010

PW 15% = $22,601

AEC 15% = $22,601 , 15%, 3

= $9,899.

A P

PW 15% = $25,562

AEC 15% = $25,562 , 15%, 4

= $8,954.

A P

Page 11: Lecture No.19 Chapter 6 Contemporary Engineering Economics Copyright © 2010 Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition, © 2010

Annual equivalent cost = Capital cost + Operating costs

Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5th edition, © 2010

Page 12: Lecture No.19 Chapter 6 Contemporary Engineering Economics Copyright © 2010 Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition, © 2010

Contemporary Engineering economics, 5th edition, © 2010

Annual Equivalent CostWhen only costs are

involved, the AE method is called the annual equivalent cost.

Revenues must cover two kinds of costs: Operating costs and capital costs.

Capital costs

Operating costs

+

Annu

al E

quiv

alen

t Cos

ts

Page 13: Lecture No.19 Chapter 6 Contemporary Engineering Economics Copyright © 2010 Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition, © 2010

Contemporary Engineering economics, 5th edition, © 2010

Capital (Ownership) CostsDef: Owning an equipment

is associated with two transactions—(1) its initial cost (I) and (2) its salvage value (S).

Capital costs: Taking these items into consideration, we calculate the capital costs as:

Page 14: Lecture No.19 Chapter 6 Contemporary Engineering Economics Copyright © 2010 Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition, © 2010

Contemporary Engineering economics, 5th edition, © 2010

SEGMENT BEST MODELS ASKING PRICE

PRICE AFTER 3 YEARS

Compact car Mini Cooper $19,800 $12,078

Midsize car Volkswagen Passat

$28,872 $15,013

Sports car Porsche 911 $87,500 $48,125

Near luxury car BMW 3 Series $39,257 $20,806

Luxury car Mercedes CLK $51,275 $30,765

Minivan Honda Odyssey

$26,876 $15,051

Subcompact SUV Honda CR-V $20,540 $10,681

Compact SUV Acura MDX $37,500 $21,375

Full size SUV Toyota Sequoia $37,842 $18,921

Compact truck Toyota Tacoma $21,200 $10,812

Full size truck Toyota Tundra $25,653 $13,083

Page 15: Lecture No.19 Chapter 6 Contemporary Engineering Economics Copyright © 2010 Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition, © 2010

Example - Capital Cost Calculation for Mini Cooper

Given: I = $19,800 N = 3 years S = $12,078 i = 6%

Find: CR(6%)

Capital recovery Cost

Contemporary Engineering economics, 5th edition, © 2010

Page 16: Lecture No.19 Chapter 6 Contemporary Engineering Economics Copyright © 2010 Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition, © 2010

Example 6.4 Required Annual Revenue to Justify an Investment

Given: I = $20,000 S = $4,000 N = 5 years i = 10%

Find: See if an annual revenue of $5,000 is large enough to cover both the capital and operating costs

Cost of Owning & Operating

Contemporary Engineering economics, 5th edition, © 2010

.

Page 17: Lecture No.19 Chapter 6 Contemporary Engineering Economics Copyright © 2010 Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition, © 2010

Ex. 6.4 Solution:Need additional revenue in the amount of $120.76 to justify the Investment

Contemporary Engineering economics, 5th edition, © 2010