Kripalani IMS2007 Honolulu Keynote

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    IMS 2007IMS 2007, Honolulu, June 5, 2007, Honolulu, June 5, 2007

    Anil KripalaniAnil KripalaniSenior Vice President, QUALCOMM Inc.Senior Vice President, QUALCOMM Inc.

    [email protected]@qualcomm.com

    The Future of Mobile BroadbandThe Future of Mobile BroadbandEvolution, Performance & Economics

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    What Will The Future Bring?What Will The Future Bring?

    L I S T E N T O Y O U R F A V O R I T E B A N D T A K E A P H O T O S H O O T A M O V I E

    S E N D A V I D E O P L A Y 3 D G A M E S F I N D A R E S T A U R A N T

    ConvergenceConvergence Platform

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    Wireless Is Converging With Consumer ElectronicsWireless Is Converging With Consumer Electronics

    Wallet

    MP3 Player

    Game Console

    FM Radio

    PDAVoice

    Pager

    PC

    Bar Scanner

    CamcorderWalkie-TalkieTelevision

    Newspaper Rolodex

    Glucometer

    GPS Device

    Photo Album

    Camera

    AndHealthcare

    Devices

    In VehiclesFor Public

    Safety

    In Smart

    Buildings

    With In-builtSecurity

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    MovieScreen

    TVScreen

    PhonePhoneScreenScreen

    The 4The 4thth Screen In Our LivesScreen In Our Lives

    But some believe the mobile is the First Screenbecause it is the one thats always with you

    PCScreen

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    Over 57 Million Mobile Broadband Subscribers

    EV-DOHSDPA

    EV-DO + HSDPA

    Sources: CDMA Development Group (cdg.org), GSMA (gsmworld.com), GSA (gsacom.com) and Informa

    HSDPA

    147 operators committed to HSDPA in 67 countries

    100 commercially available networks in 54 countries50 suppliers launched over 209 HSDPA devices

    86 handsets, 39 data cards and 35 embedded notebooks

    HSDPA Mobile Broadband Data Rates:

    Most networks delivering avg of 0.6 1.5Mb/s

    Peak DL data rates of 3.6Mb/s, 7.2 Mb/s and 14.4 Mb/s

    EV-DO & EV-DOrA

    128 operators committed to DO & DOrA

    62 commercially available networks in 37 countries30+ vendors launched over 433 DO/DOrA devices

    55+ Million subscribers; 50 embedded notebooks

    DO &/DOrA Mobile Broadband Data Rates:

    DO Networks delivering DL data rates of 0.6 1 Mb/s

    DOrA Networks Peak Data Rates of 3.1/1.8 Mbps

    More Than 1 Billion People Have Access toMore Than 1 Billion People Have Access to

    160 3G Mobile Broadband Networks Today160 3G Mobile Broadband Networks Today

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    Convergence of Communication,Computing & CE Platforms

    Multi-mode Devices Connect

    to Various Access Networks

    Service Requirements,Availability, Cost

    Mobile Device EvolutionMobile Device EvolutionNetwork EvolutionNetwork Evolution

    All-IP Network For Fixed-Mobile

    Convergence (VoIP & data)

    Co-existence of Different Access

    Networks for Various Needs

    Coverage, Mobility, Capacity,QoS, Data Rates

    User Behaviors Trendfrom Wired to Wireless

    Same Rich IP Apps andServices in all

    Environments

    Ubiquitous &Consistent Experience

    Desired

    Service EvolutionService Evolution

    3G Broadband Wireless3G Broadband Wireless -- Focus on EvolutionFocus on Evolution

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    Network EvolutionNetwork EvolutionMultiple Air Interfaces supportedMultiple Air Interfaces supported

    with a common Allwith a common All--IP based core networkIP based core network

    Selection of access based on service requirements, availability, cost Full range of devices access the same content across different IP networks

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    Fixed Mobile Convergence Underway3G with Wi-Fi and IMS

    3G/WiFi

    DSL/CableInternet

    3G Cellular

    WiFi

    IMS/MMD Services

    VoIP, Presence, Video Telephony, Instant Messaging, Push to Talk, etc

    Voice Call Continuity, Data Call Continuity

    Caller-ID, Call Waiting, Multi-party Call

    Key optimizations for seamless WiFi 3G interworking

    System selection

    Robust handoff

    Power efficiency High quality VoIP

    Network EvolutionNetwork Evolution

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    Device EvolutionDevice Evolution

    Multimode devices supporting several air interfaces

    3GPP, 3GPP2, GPS, FLO/DVB-H, 802.11 CEs can have embedded WAN access

    Handset can act as WAN gateway to CEs (via 802.11,UWB, Bluetooth, NFC)

    Continued advances of device capabilities

    New class of computers -- Ultra Mobile PCs (UMPC)

    Mobile microprocessors

    Dual CPU - Up to 1 GHz

    Multimedia

    3D Graphics, camera, video, display, gaming, mp3players

    Large storage capacity for personal media library

    Video, pictures and music

    Integration at silicon level for lower cost, improved

    form factor and increased battery life

    MemoryMemory

    MPROCMPROC

    802.11, FLO802.11, FLO

    DSPDSPGPSGPS

    3D Graphics3D GraphicsVideoVideoAudioAudio

    ImagingImaging

    WCDMA,WCDMA,CDMA2000,CDMA2000,

    DSPDSP

    Ultra Mobile PC

    Convergence of Communication, Computing & CE Platforms

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    Dual CPUs400MHz - 1GHz

    QDSP-250MHz

    CPU 225-300MHz

    QDSP-90MHz

    CPU 150-225MHz

    QDSP-75MHz

    CPU 50-180MHz

    QDSP-75MHzuPROCESSOR/

    QDSP

    VGA[640 x 480]

    QVGA[320 x 240]

    QCIF+[176 x 220]

    QCIF[176 x 144]

    DISPLAY

    A-GPS ModeStandalone Mode

    Enhanced Navigation

    A-GPS Mode

    Standalone Mode

    Enhanced Navigation

    A-GPS Mode

    Standalone Mode

    Enhanced Navigation

    A-GPS Mode

    Standalone Mode

    Enhanced Navigation

    LOCATION(LBS)

    Hybrid, MS-Assisted,MS-Based, Standalone

    Bluetooth 2.0 EDR

    WLAN

    Mediacast

    Bluetooth 1.2

    WLAN

    Mediacast

    Bluetooth 1.1/1.2Bluetooth 1.1/1.2MEDIACAST &PERIPHERALS

    Record: 15 fps @ QCIF

    Playback: 15 fps @ QCIF

    Up to 3Mpixel

    50k Triangles/sec

    400k 3D pixels/sec

    CMX / MP3 / WMA / REAL /

    AAC+ / E-AAC+Surround Sound

    Multimedia Platform Convergence PlatformEnhanced

    Platform

    Value

    Platform

    Record: 30 fps @ VGA

    Playback: 30 fps @ VGA

    Record: 15 fps @ QVGA

    Playback: 30 fps @ QVGA

    Playback: 15 fps @QCIF

    VIDEO

    Record

    & Playback

    Up to 5MPixel

    225k Triangles/sec

    7M 3D pixels/sec

    CMX / MP3 / WMA / REAL /

    AAC+ / E-AAC+Surround & Positional Sound

    Up to 3Mpixel

    CMX / MP3 / AAC+

    Up to 8MPixelCAMERA

    4M Triangles/sec

    133M 3D pixels/sec

    3DGaming & 3D GUI

    CMX / MP3 / WMA / REAL /

    AAC+ / E-AAC+Surround & Positional SoundMUSIC

    *Specifics vary per chipset

    Version 6.06

    Device Evolution - Platforms Enabling Cost Effective Mobile MultimediaIntegration Yields Cost-effective Solutions at All Tiers

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    WLAN

    Bluetooth

    UWB

    Broadcast

    WLANWireless VoIP

    Audio Support

    Data Transfer

    Short HaulHigh Bandwidth/Data

    FLODVB-H

    ISDB-T

    Wireless Connectivity Technology

    NFCShort Range

    Mobile Payment

    Integration of Flexible Wireless ConnectivityIntegration of Flexible Wireless ConnectivityDevice EvolutionDevice Evolution

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    Service EvolutionService Evolution

    User Trends Shift from Wired to Wireless

    Increasing demand for videodemand for video at higher quality Users sharing content using wireless within asharing content using wireless within a

    traditional fixed environmenttraditional fixed environment e.g. the home

    PlacePlace--shifting of contentshifting of content, now accessible at

    all times with wireless Introduction of mobile realmobile real--time TVtime TV services

    via multicast technology

    Individuals becoming content creators

    Handsets now becoming media generationmedia generationand storageand storage devices

    Wireless connection to social networksWireless connection to social networks allows

    users to express themselves anytime,anywhere with anyone

    User Generated Content onUser Generated Content onSocial NetworksSocial Networks

    Same Rich IP Apps and Services in all Environments

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    Broadband Wireless Access TechnologiesBroadband Wireless Access Technologies

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 +1999

    Wide-Area

    MulticastTechnologies

    Local-Area Technologies

    EV-DO

    Platinum MulticastEV-DO

    GOLD

    WCDMA

    MBMS

    FLO/DVB-H

    CDMA CDMA/TDM OFDM OFDMA

    MobileWAN

    Technologies

    802.11 n (Full)802.11n802.11a/g802.11b

    LTE

    EV-DO

    REV BEV-DO

    REV AEV-DO

    REL 0CDMA2000

    1X

    UMB1

    Rev 0

    FLASH-OFDM

    Rev 1

    FLASH-OFDM (Pre- UMB)

    HSPA +

    Rel-7 (Ph 1) Rel-8 (Ph 2)Rel-5 (HSDPA)

    HSPA

    Rel-6 (HSUPA)Rel-99

    WCDMA

    1-UMB Ultra Mobile Broadband reviousl referred to as Rev C LBC

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    3GPP2 Continues to Evolve IP WWAN Technology3GPP2 Continues to Evolve IP WWAN Technology

    EV-DO Rev B = Multi-carrier Rev A, 5 MHz Carrier Bandwidth Bond Rev A channels together with software as VoIP capacity is added Improved peak, average and cell edge data rates

    DL 6-73 Mbps, UL 3.6-27 Mbps (2.5 MHz up to 20Mhz) Improved user experience (lower delays, consistent high data rates)

    Backward compatibility with legacy devices

    UMB = Deployments Utilizing 5 - 20 MHz Carrier Bandwidth Highly optimized mobile OFDMA solution, evolved from Flash-OFDM 291 Mbps DL & 68 Mbps UL peak data rate, network latency: ~16 msec Support for scalable, flat, IP-Network Architecture

    Proposed support for TDD and FDD

    More capacity with wider carrier bandwidth, advanced MIMO and

    SDMA support , lower latency and seamless mobilty Advanced antenna techniques, superior interference management,

    optimized reverse link, advanced QoS

    250 to 500 simultaneous VoIP users (in 5 to 10MHz) Multimode devices to provide seamless migration

    Coexistence of EV-DO Rev B and UMB

    Technology EvolutionTechnology Evolution

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    3GPP Air Interface Evolution for IP WWAN3GPP Air Interface Evolution for IP WWANCoexistence of HSPA+ and LTE

    HSPA+ = Upgrades to existing 5 MHz Carriers Increased Peak, Avg & Cell Edge Rates - DL: 14 - 42 Mbps, UL: 11 Mbps MIMO support, Higher order modulation (DL- 64QAM, UL- 16QAM) Enhanced capacity for real-time services (VoIP, Packet VT, PTT)

    Backward compatibility with legacy devices

    LTE = Deployments Utilizing 1.25 - 20 MHz Carrier Bandwidth OFDMA in DL and SC-FDMA in UL

    Flexible modes - FDD, TDD and FDD half duplex

    More capacity with wider carrier bandwidth, higher order MIMO andSDMA support, also Link Adaptation, HARQ

    Higher Avg & Peak Data Rates (wider carrier bandwidth, higher order

    MIMO) - DL: 278 Mbps, UL: 57 Mbps in 20 MHz Interoperability with 3G

    Multimode devices provide seamless migration* 64-QAM, 2 TX MIMO in DL and 16 QAM single TX stream in UL.

    Technology EvolutionTechnology Evolution

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    IEEE 802.16e Mobile WiMAX: A Perspective

    Commercial delivery of Mobile WiMAX performance claims now

    being watched Marketing claims have become unrealistic, unrealizable and loosely stated(upto 75 Mbps in 20 MHz @ upto 30 miles @ speeds upto 120 kmph!)

    Statements of 1/10th cost & 10x performance

    Business cases built on these claims may be suspect

    Mobile WiMAX performance is in question Lower Spectral Efficiency } Lower data throughput

    Weaker Link Budget : Needs more cell sites

    Higher Latencies : Poor VoIP capacity & data performance

    Further issues with affordable devices, ubiquitous coverage, differentiated

    mobile services, common global spectrum etc. will impact outcome

    Mobile WiMAX market opportunity is unclear

    Modest growth forecasts from Yankee Group (28M by 2011)

    Mobile WiMAX in infancy competing with mature 3G technologies

    Technology EvolutionTechnology Evolution

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    3G Air Interfaces Today - Summary

    DO and HSPA technologies are delivering mobilebroadband today

    Established strongly with major commercial investments

    Thriving on a robust 3G eco-system and economies of scale

    Proven high performance with a strong backward compatibilityframework

    Providing services with extensive range of devices

    Significant time-to-market advantage

    DO & HSDPA are logical mobile broadband choices to an operator today

    Technology EvolutionTechnology Evolution

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    UMB and LTEUMB and LTE -- Ahead of WiMAXAhead of WiMAX

    Highly optimized mobile OFDMA solutions with advanced antenna

    techniques

    MIMO, SDMA, beamforming, superior interference management, optimizedreverse link

    Built on platforms designed from the ground up for mobility

    UMB and LTE provide more advantages for mobility, capacity, VoIP and

    real-time application support with low latency

    Scalable IP network architecture and advanced QoS mechanisms

    Support for real time services and seamless handoffs

    Flexible bandwidth and modes Variable BW up to 20 MHz, Flexible modes -FDD, TDD and FDD half duplex

    Will support different spectrum bands including 2.5 & 3.5 GHz

    Multimode devices provide seamless migration

    3G is leading the mobilization of OFDMA & MIMO technologies

    Technology EvolutionTechnology Evolution

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    FLO Air Interface Technology: For Mobile TV Specifically designed for mobile reception of multicast content

    Power consumption, memory and form-factor optimized for mobile use

    High Efficiency

    Greater than 6 Mbps throughput in 6 MHz

    Modulation modes support data rates up to 11 Mbps

    Enables large number of channels of streaming content to be offered inone FLO RF channel

    Dramatically lower cost per bit compared to delivery over cellularnetworks

    Significantly greater coverage per tower than cellular/PCS networksMore efficient than competitive multicast technologies

    Higher power transmitters

    Fewer sites lower service delivery costs

    Standardized in July 2006 by TIA as TIA-1099

    Technology EvolutionTechnology Evolution

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    Economics: Handset ConsiderationsEconomics: Handset Considerations

    Scale has significant impact on device cost

    Volume accounts for cost difference between comparableWiMAX and 3G devices

    Most device costs are not air interface-specific

    Most non-modem components in 3G and WiMAX devices

    are the same

    As more functionality is added, costs of display,memory, processors dominate

    High-end devices require more expensive components;

    modem smaller share of overall cost

    Mobile WiMAX devices will need to roam on 3Gnetworks (multimode devices required)

    WiMAX modem will be additional cost on top ofthat required for 3G access

    All trademarks, names of other companies, logos, products and services may be the property of their respective owners

    Scale, Functionality Drive Device Costs

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    Cost of BTS Similar for Mobile Technologies Same network functions are needed for mobile technologies

    RF function

    Digital processing

    Backhaul interfaces

    Radio Network Controller (RNC) functions

    Digital cards are the only technology-specific parts in a BTS

    Remaining BTS costs independent of technology given comparableBTS type (e.g. macro, pico), power, channel bw

    Technology-dependent

    Similar for different air interfaces

    Costs

    Digital Cards

    RF Cards

    Rack

    Cables

    Power Amplifier

    Antenna

    BTS Components

    BTS digital card only 1-2% of overall network costs

    All trademarks, names of other companies, logos, products and services may be the property of their respective owners

    Economics: Network ConsiderationsEconomics: Network Considerations

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    Leveraging From 3G Device Partnerships400+ EV400+ EV--DO devices / 30 vendors; 200+ UMTS devices / 26 vendorsDO devices / 30 vendors; 200+ UMTS devices / 26 vendors

    Source: www.3Gtoday.com

    All trademarks, names of other companies, logos, products and services may be the property of their respective owners

    Samsung SCH-i830

    Windows Mobile 2003,WorldMode

    LG VX8500

    V-Cast - Streaming Video,3DGames, MP3 Player,

    MicroSD

    HP Compaq nc6400

    Embedded 1xEV-DOSamsung SCH-A990

    3.2 Megapixel Camera,TV Out

    Samsung V740

    14mm thin, 1.3MPCamera

    Motorola Q

    Windows Mobile 5Smartphone Edition

    Toshiba W41T4GB Hard Disk Drive

    Sierra WirelessAirCard

    USB EV-DO modem

    Kyocera

    Rx diversityLG KV3600

    Enhanced 3D GamingGraphics

    Casio W21CA

    2.6 inch WQVGA,2 MP Camera

    LG CU500

    HSDPA, BluetoothSony-Ericsson W900i

    MP3 Player, WalkmanAxesstel D800A

    EV-DO, RJ-11 VoiceCalls and FAX

    Axesstel MV420EV-DO, 80211 b/g &

    Ethernet Router,

    Fujitsu Lifebook Q2010EmbeddedHSDPA

    Samsung P920Video Conferencing,MP3, Bluetooth, USB

    Sharp 703SH

    Macromedia Flash,Bilingual menus

    Motorola E11203 Megapixel,

    Barcode Scanner

    NEC N902iS

    4 Megapixel, Camcorder,Barcode Scanner, GPS, MP3,

    removable miniSD

    Sanyo SA700iS2.2 QVGA, miniSD

    GPS, Video Conferencing

    ONDA N501HS

    WCDMA /HSDPA

    Franklin WirelessCDU-550

    USB Modem

    21 grams, EV-DO

    Subscriber EquipmentSubscriber Equipment

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    74 laptop models from 10 vendors provide either EV-DO or HSPA mobile broadband

    All trademarks, names of other companies, logos, products and services may be the property of their respective owners

    3G Offers Mobile Broadband TodaySubscriber EquipmentSubscriber Equipment

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    Pairing industryPairing industry--leading processing with proven wireless leadershipleading processing with proven wireless leadership

    Taking Consumer Electronics to the Next Level

    ConvergenceDual-Core

    Scorpion + ARM 9Up to 2370 MIPS*(1GHz)

    All the power of a laptop in your pocket

    Subscriber EquipmentSubscriber Equipment

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    The Advent of Mobile MultimediaAlways With You

    There is increasing

    demand formultimedia delivery

    to cell phones

    New ServicesNew Services

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    Subscription-based service (VZW today, AT&T by EOY)

    QVGA live streaming video, up to 30 frames per second Clipcasting network scheduled media

    Datacasting phone as lifestyle management device

    Interactive services for two-way exchange

    TheThe MediaFLOMediaFLO ServiceServiceNew ServicesNew Services

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    and One-To-ManyOne-To-One

    Always-on

    Virtually instantaneous

    Reducing latency is the driving factor

    Push-to-Talk ServicesPush-to-Talk Services

    VoIP-based, push-to-talk, walkie-talkie technology solutions

    New ServicesNew Services

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    Travel/Lodging

    Sports Amusement

    Weather Life/Safety

    Position Location ServicesPosition Location Services

    Gourmet/Town Guide Communication Traffic/Transportation

    Technology -Accuracy of

    5-50m helps

    gpsOnebased

    Car/Housing

    New ServicesNew Services

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    Mobile Commerce: For The End User

    Point of SalePurchasesCoupons &

    Promotions

    Manage LoyaltyPrograms

    Alerts & Notifications(e.g. Receipts, Overdraft

    Warning)

    Inquiries(e.g. Balance Check,

    Transaction History)

    Receive Funds

    (e.g. Direct Deposit)

    Send Money toFamily & Friends

    Remote Purchases(e.g. Amazon.com)

    Pay Bills & Top UpPhone

    New ServicesNew Services

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    Seamless access to applications and services in a car or truck

    70% of mobile originated phone calls occur in a car70% of mobile originated phone calls occur in a carInStat/MDR, March 2002

    Mobile TelematicsMobileMobile TelematicsTelematics

    Voice Calls

    Traffic Information

    Navigation

    Entertainment

    Security

    Emergency ServicesPersonalized Music Downloads

    News & Information Voice Portals

    Multicast Video Services

    New ServicesNew Services

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    Healthcare ICT - CardioNetCardioNet: Cardiac Monitoring ServiceEnabled by QUALCOMMs Wireless Network Management Services

    New ServicesNew Services

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    Public Safety CommunicationsPublic Safety Communications A Global PriorityA Global Priority

    Broadband interoperability using EVBroadband interoperability using EV--DO Rev A for first respondersDO Rev A for first responders

    USA Capital Region Using CDMA SystemsUSA Capital Region Using CDMA Systems

    First to use new 700 MHz public safety spectrum bandFirst to use new 700 MHz public safety spectrum band

    A global need for reliable priority based communicationsA global need for reliable priority based communications

    New ServicesNew Services

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    Tomorrows cell phone will entertain, amaze -and even make calls (Fortune Magazine, October 2006)

    Live TV Channels

    Live TV broadcasts

    Health and Fitness

    Monitor your heart rate

    Tagging

    Share your favoriterestaurant with friends

    Personal Identification

    Gain access to data

    Digital Wallet

    Mobile commerce

    Media Center

    Get connected with

    other in-home devices

    through Wi-Fi

    Source: Fortune / Samuel Velasco / 5W Infographics

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    35All trademarks, names of other companies, logos, products and services are the property of their respective owners

    KDDI EZ Chaku Uta Full Downloads

    Exceed 100 Million

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    !"#

    L I S T E N T O Y O U R F A V O R I T E S O N G T A K E A P H O T O S H O O T A H O M E M O V I E

    S E N D A V I D E O C L I P P L A Y 3 D G A M E S F I N D A R E S T A U R A N T

    W A T C H Y O U R T E A M S C O R E S E L L S T O C K P U R C H A S E A T R A I N T I C K E T

    ConvergenceConvergence Platform

    $%&'(

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    [email protected]

    QUALCOMM Proprietary6/5/2007 37

    Thank You