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KBC Bank & Insurance Group
Company presentation Spring 2004
Website: www.kbc.com
Ticker codes: KBC BB (Bloomberg) KBKBT BR (Reuters)
B:KB (Datastream)
ISIN code: BE0003565737
2
Table of contents
1. Company profile
2. Strategy overview
3. Financial highlights
4. Additional information
Company profile
4
Considerable scale in Euroland
Note: DJ Euro Stoxx Banks constituents as of 31 Jan 2004
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
BN
P P
BS
CH
DB
BB
VA
AB
N A SG
CA
SA
UC
IIn
tesa
Dex
iaS
PI
KB
CA
IBB
P E
span
Bo
Irela
ndH
VB
Alm
anij
Com
mer
zM
edio
ban
Aus
tria
MP
SE
rste
BC
PN
at G
reec
eC
apita
lia
Pd
Ver
ona
Eur
oban
kF
ideu
ram
Alp
haLa
voro
Pop
Uni
teA
ngl.
Irish
Ant
onve
neta
Nat
exis
Dep
faB
ES
Sab
adel
lB
Lom
b.
Giant cap
Large cap
Mid cap
Number 12 in Euroland
bank ranking
KBC is a top-20 financial service provider in the Euro-zone with a market cap of ± 14 bn
5
Successful core businesses
Top bancassurer in Belgium : 3rd bank (market share: ± 22%) 1st asset manager (± 31% in funds) 3rd retail insurer (± 13% Life, ± 8% PC)
Successful expansion in the 5 most advanced countries in ‘Emerging Europe’ : Growth market of ± 65 m inhabitants ± 3.4 bn capital invested Prominent position in banking
Focused activities in corporate and investment banking. As investments in CEE progressed, CIB activities have been scaled down.
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Retail (B) CEE CIB
Share in allocated capital
(excl. goodwill and group items)
KEY FIGURES :
Total assets : ± 226 bn
Net profit ‘03 : 1.12 bn
ROE ’03 : 12.7 %
Headcount : ± 50 000
Customers : ± 12 m
Credit rating : AA-, AA3, A+
6
Banking Insurance
Allocated capital
Slovakia:Market share: 6% (no 4)
Czech Republic:Market share: 18% (no 1)Total assets: 18.3 bnProfit/ROAC ‘03: 143 m / 17%
Hungary:Market share: 11% (no 2)Total assets: 5.5 bnProfit/ROAC ‘03: 13 m / 8% (20%)
Poland:Market share: 6% (no 7)Total assets: 4.8 bnProfit ‘03: -295 m
Slovenia:Minority interest (34%)Market share: 43% (no 1)Profit ‘03: 10 m
Czech Republic:Life M share: 9% (no 4)Non-life M share: 4% (no 6)Assets/Profit ‘03: 0.5 bn/-1.6 m
Slovakia:Life M share: 4% (no 8)Non-life M share: 2% (no 6)Assets/Profit ‘03: 50 m/-0.3 m
Hungary:Life M share: 2% (no 13)Non-life M share: 4% (no 6)Assets/Profit ‘03:79 m/0.3 m
Poland:Life M share: 5% (no 5)Non-life M share: 14% (no 2)Assets/Profit ‘03: 0.8 bn/-1,9 m
Slovenia:Startup life business
Prominent player in CEE
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Note: profit contribution to KBC Group result after minorities.
7
Building a 2nd home in CEE
Minority in CSOB
Insurance
Majority in CSOB Bank
& CSOB Insurance
Take-over of IPB banking
Take-over of IPB
Insurance& majority in ERGO
Minority in K&H Bank & creation of
Argosz Non-life &
K&H Life
Majority in K&H Bank
Merger of K&H/
ABNAmro Magyar
Minority in Kredyt Bank
Majority in Agropolisa
Minority in WARTA
Majority in Kredyt Bank Majority in
WARTA
Minority in NLB Bank
Creation of NLB Life
1999 20012000 2002 2003< 1999
Czech/
Hungary
Poland
Slovenia
Slovak
8
+ IPB
Track record in CEE-3, bankingKBC
ParticipationTotal assets
Czech
Hungary
Poland
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003ROAC2003
90%
59%
81%
18.3 bn
5.5 bn
4.8 bn
+ABN Amro
- 13 m- 91m - 385 m
27 m 23 m- 10 m
1 m
15 m 50 m159 m
191 m169 m
Note : Profit contribution to KBC Group results, before minorities.
17%
8%/20%
Neg
-2 m
Profit contribution
365m of loan book clean-up
50 m one-off results
33 m fraudcharge '03
Turnaround to come through
Strong operating
performance
Strong operating
performance
Slovak
9
Group revenue profile
7%
50%
4%
7%
13%
19% Commission income
Technicaland investment income, insurance
Other
Yield income(Interest ÷nd),banking
Trading income
Capital gains on disposals, banking
10
Balanced credit portfolio
3.0%1.0%
15.9%
3.0%
10.0%
5.0% 4.0% 3.0% 3.0%1.1% 1.0%
13.0%
17.0%20.0%
Indiv
iduals
Finance
Servic
esTra
de
Real esta
te
Constru
ction
Electri
city
Sovere
igns
Autom
otive
Food
Aviatio
n
Teleco
m
Shippin
gOth
er
CEE.17 bn
Other3 bn
W. Eur23 bn
Note : credit portfolio as of 31 Dec 03, incl. corporate bonds and loans to banks, excl. reverse repos.
US6 bn
Retail
CEE
Corporate
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Dec 00 Dec 01 Dec 02 Dec 03
Sector breakdown
Geographical breakdown Breakdown by area of activity
Belgium, retail38 bn
Belgium, corporate15 bn
11
Performing asset manager
11%
16%
12%
47%
6%
5% 3%
Assets under management (bn EUR) Breakdown of retail funds
Equity, Belgium
Bonds & MM,
Belgium
Mixed, Belgium
Capital-guaranteed, Belgium
Funds of funds, Belgium
Market share, retail funds
Belgium : 31% Czech Republic : 19% Slovak Republic : 6% Hungary : 8%
Belgium:87%
CEE: 5%
42
14
17
9
40
14
17
9
45
15
19
11
2001 2002 2003
Institutional, group assets Institutional, third-party assets Retail, private assets Retail, funds
Retail
Corporate
89 bn81 bn82 bn
Retail CEE
Unit-linked, Belgium
12
Long-term shareholdership
Cera Holding& Almancora
Other stable shareholders
MRBB
Almanij
StockMarket
Gevaert Private equity
KBC Bank & Insurance
KBLPrivate bank
± 17%± 16%± 37%
± 78%
100%
± 67%
± 29%
± 31%
Almanij is an investment company(of which KBC is ± 75% of the assets) committed to supporting KBC in the long run
Core holders include the Ceragroup (co-operative investment company), a farmers’ association (MRBB) and a syndicate of industrialist families. KBC/Almanij is a major asset for all of them.
Institutionals Belgium
28%
Retail Belgium
29%
Institutionals UK9%
Institutionals Continental
Europe13%
Institutionals North
America20%
Institutionals Rest of the
world1%
Free float (October 2003)
13
Steadily growing dividend
Board of Directors’ policy to maintain a steadily growing dividend
Gross dividend up every year over the past 5 years (at a CAGR of 9%)
Average payout : 40-45%(usually cash). Payout may be raised to keep dividend stable in case of temporary drop in profit
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
EPS 2.69 3.26 3.90 3.39 3.42 3.68
DPS 1.09 1.23 1.42 1.48 1.52 1.64
Payout 41% 38% 36% 44% 44% 45%
Yield 1.8% 2.1% 3.1% 3.6% 4.2% 4.9%
Note: yield = gross DPS versus average share price.Figures 2000 excl. value gain on CCF
2.69
3.26
3.90
3.39 3.423.68
1.42 1.48 1.52 1.641.23
1.09
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
EPS DPS
14
Undemanding valuation
2000 2001 2002 2003
Closing price 46.1 37.7 30.4 37.0
EPS 3.90 3.39 3.42 3.68
P/E (based on closing) 11.8 11.1 8.9 10.1
Net Asset Value 35.2 33.8 31.6 33.8
P/NAV 1.3 1.1 1.0 1.1
Key figures
Analyst forecasts (27 feb 2004)
EPS 2004 consensus 4.12EPS 2005 consensus
4.58P/E (average 2 years)
10.7Share price at 27-Feb: 46.34
Recommendations
Positive : 14Neutral : 9Negative : 3
Note: N° of shares outstanding as of 31 Dec. 2003, of which 7 m not dividend-entitled for 2003 : 310.7 mFigures 2000 excl. value gain on CCF
15
SWOT analysis
Strengths
Prominent market positions in home markets, both Belgium and CEE
Geographical/business diversification
Unique bancassurance concept
Performing asset manager and non-life insurance division
Good profitability track record and very sound solvency levels
Stable core shareholders (long term)
Opportunities
Revenue growth and barely tapped cost cutting potential in CEE
Availability of excess capital
Weaknesses
Still high cost/income ratio, banking
Cost-reduction management is rather difficult in Belgium
Volatility related to level of gearing to equity markets
CEE: still a somewhat higher risk zone(although steadily converging)
Lack of stability and scale in Poland(work in progress)
Threats
Consolidation wave in Europe, if any
Strategy overview
17
Group strategy
Key objectives :
1. Cross selling (bancassurance) in Belgium
2. Reducing banking costs in Belgium
3. Strengthening the second home market in CEE
KBC is a bancassurer focusing on local clients (individuals and SME)
in Belgium and selected countries in (Central) Europe
18
Strategy and earnings drivers
Achieved to date :
Premium income boosted :
Life premiums more than doubled from 1.1 bn in ’98 to 2.4 in ’03 (81% sold via bank outlets)
Bank distribution of non-life products
growing faster (+ 33%) than distribution via traditional channels (+5%)
Going forward :
Tap growth potential, though not to the detriment of technical performance :
For SMEs (<10% market share in insurance vs > 20% in banking)
For non-life insurance (10% via bank channel vs 81% in life)
Key objective 1 :Cross selling (bancassurance) in Belgium
19
Strategy and earnings drivers
Achieved to date :
Merger synergies :
Integrated IT-infrastructure
Branch mergers (-41%)
Headcount objective reached (-12%)
Going forward :
Further cost reduction:
Reduce product complexity in retail(action plan consisting of 364 items)
Out-/co-sourcing of processing and back-office functions (within the group and with third-parties)
Rationalisation of head office space and other non-FTE expenses
Key objective 2 :Reducing banking costs in Belgium
20
Strategy and earnings drivers
Achieved to date :
Expansion in 5 target countries :
Prominent franchises
Renewed IT-infrastructure
Bancassurance models set up
Strengthened of internalgovernance model/central management structure
Going forward :
Performance enhancement : Sales of banking, insurance, AM
products (deposits/ GDP at 45%-80% and premium/cap < 20 % of EU avg)
Business reorganization in CR (HQ) and Poland 10-15% FTE downsizing
Cross border cost-sharing (payments systems, IT procurement, etc.)
If opportunities arise, acquisitions in Poland (banking) and Hungary (insurance)
Key objective 3 :Developing a second home market in CEE
21
Note: combined ratio excl. re-insurance
Cost/income ratio, banking 58%
Combined ratio, non-life insurance 95%
Tier-1, banking 8%
Solvency, insurance 200%
EPS growth (4y CAGR) 10%
ROE, group 16%
ROAC
Retail in Belgium 16%
Central and Eastern Europe 17%
Corporates 12%
Markets 18%
Demanding financial objectives
Minimumtargets for 2005
FY ’03 financial highlights
23
Content
Question time
Performance 2003, overview
Performance, banking Performance, insurance
24
Group result : up 8 % year-on-year
Full-year results 2003
355
230
159
278316
280
152
287 304 300256 259
1 119
1 0341 022
1Q 01 2Q 01 3Q 01 4Q 01 FY 01 1Q 02 2Q 02 3Q 02 4Q 02 FY 02 1Q 03 2Q 03 3Q 03 Q4 03 FY 03
Q avg‘01-’03
+ 8%
In m EUR
+ 1%
25
698 708858
360 348
275
FY 01 FY 02 FY 03
Banking Insurance
1 022 1 034
Net profit
ROE banking : 11.3 %
ROE insurance : 17.4 %
ROE Group: 12.7 %
1 119
Performance 2003
+8%+1%
Banking : strong year-on-year performance Insurance : pressure on investment income, though high level of return
in m EUR
26
Earnings growth peer group
2000 2001 2002 2003
KBC
DJ ES Banks
DJ ES Insurance
KBC Insurance
KBC Banking
Note : estimate 2003 DJ ES Banks at 20 Feb. 2004 by KBC
Compared to the sector, earnings remained at a high level
Earnings level2000 = 100
27
Performance 2003
Overall : Change yoy pre-tax
Positive impact : (m EUR)Strong income trend for all basic banking activities (spread, commission) +232Strong premium growth, insurance +330Strong technical result, non-life +59Good cost control, banking +56Less impairments on equity portfolios, banking +238
Negative impact : Higher loan-loss provisions - 211Less gains on (‘free’) bonds, banking -148Less favourable trading results -135Less investment income, insurance -54
Net profit : +85
28
Performance 2003
Areas of activity :
Robust performance in Belgium Further improving level of costs in banking (-5%)
Strong commission (+22%) and premium income (+8%) and interest spread slightly increasing (2.01% versus 1.97% in ‘02)
Low level of loan loss ratio (24 bp) and non-life claims ratio (59%)
Satisfactory operating performance in most CEE markets ROAC for banking in Czech (CR) / Slovak republics (SR) : 17% ROAC for banking in Hungary : 8% (20% excl. K&H Equities case)
Improving performance for insurance operations (still limited scale)
Higher profit of corporates (+19%) and markets (+35%)
… but still disappointing performance of banking business in Poland (high loan loss provisions: 365 m)
Note : ROAC = return on allocated capital
29
Growing dividend
2.69
3.26
3.90
3.39 3.423.68
1.091.23
1.42 1.48 1.52 1.64
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Net profit per share Gross dividend per share
EUR
Dividend per share : up 7.9% year-on-yearLast 5 years : every year growing dividend (CAGR : 8.5%)
30
Business highlights 2003 Enhancing efficiency
in Belgium
Strengthening the position in CEE
Further downscaling of less-strategic areas
Finalizing the merger
Product complexity reduction program
Pooling of back offices and co-sourcing of transaction processing
Stronger governance model and controlling
Intensified cross-border initiatives in such areas as e.g. card technology
Restructuring program in Poland
Majority stake in WARTA (Poland)
Successful start of bancassurance in Slovenia
Sale of retail activities in the Netherlands, broker-related consumer lending in Belgium, non-strategic operations in CEE (Ukraine, Lithuania)
31
Performance 2003, overview
Performance, banking
Content
Performance, insurance
Question time
32
Banking, income development Interest income : + 5% organically
(margin : 1.67% 1.73%)
Commission income : 12% organic growth (i.a. success of cap-guaranteed funds)
Lower trading income due to i.e. lower FX income and MtM of equity derivatives
Lower realized capital gains (250 m), mainly on the ‘free’ bond portfolio
Lower dividends, ‘other income’ on a par with 2002 (strong leasing revenue)
2 5413 046 3 118
1 057
1 0901 251
610
615480
275
250495
605 557
398
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
6 000
FY01 FY02 FY03
Interest CommissionTrading Realized capital gainsOther
Total income -1%organically
- 37%
+ 2%
- 22%
+15%
Excluding capital gains, income + 1%
4 977
5 6555 756
33
Growth in banking assetsCustomer deposits (bn EUR)
Customer loans (bn EUR)
121 123128
1015 5
2001 2002 2003
Customer deposits Repos
Note : mortgage growth adjusted for currency depreciations
64 62 59
21 23 252 13 6
2001 2002 2003
Corporate Private Repos
Customer deposits : up 5% (excl. repos)
Shift to demand deposits Shift to life products and mutual funds
Customer loans : organically flat (excl. repos)
Strong organic mortgage growth : Belgium : + 10% C/SR : + 36% Hungary : + 69% Poland : + 24%
Corporate book (excl. repos) down 3 bn EUR, reflecting :
currency depreciations (2.4bn) build down of ‘old book’ (IPB) in CR
(1.7 bn) & in the Netherlands (0.4bn) write-downs in Poland (0.3 bn)
34
Banking, expense development Belgium :
Expenditures : - 5% (- 105 m) Headcount reduction :
target of 1 650 FTE (-12%) achieved
Central and Eastern Europe : Expenditures : - 1% (-12 m) Headcount reduction :
CR (HQ) : 54% of target of 1 000 FTE (-27%) achieved
Poland : 28% of target of 1000/1200 FTE (-15%) achieved
Other : Expenditures : + 14% (+60 m)
2 197
724 1 006
2 3022 398
1 018
491431389
FY 01 FY 02 FY 03
Belgium CEE Other
Cost/Income ratio: 65%(65% for FY 02)
3 5103 751 3 695
2001: KB only 4Q01
Ytd expenses (m EUR)
Continuing cost control
-1%
35
Cost control in Belgium
Merger completed, full extent of cost savings in bottom-line as of 1H 04
Lower cost/income ratio ahead, thanks to : Income growth Co-sourcing of transaction processing and pooling
of back-office activities within the group and with third-parties
Monitoring of real-estate-related and other non-FTE-costs
Reduction in product complexity in retail
Although Belgium is a ‘mature’ market, further growth and improvement in performance can be expected
36
Reducing product complexity
Planned Realized Example : To do Example :
Paymentservices 59 24% No of types of credit
cards from 8 to 4 76% No of transactionsforms from 34 to 5
Investmentproducts 129 40%
No of types of savings accounts from 8 to 1
60% Reduction in highly complex orders
Home, carand travelservices
45 38%No add’l floating rates for consumer loans
62%No of types of mortgages from 50 to 15
Services tocompanies 131 40%
Reduction in interest rate formulas for cash facilities
60%
Integrating 15 types of insurance policies in more comprehensive policies
TOTAL 364 37% 63%
Note : situation as of Feb-2004
Implementation running or further enquiry required
37
Banking, loan provisions
Customerloan book
Gross loans
Dec. 03
Lossratio
FY 03
Lossratio
FY 02
Belgium 49.9 bn 0.24% 0.29%
Hungary 3.8 bn 0.32% 0.34%
CR / SR 6.0 bn 0.34% -0.62%
Poland 3.8 bn 8.68% 4.20%
International 29.4 bn 0.48% 0.70%
Total 92.9 bn 0.71% 0.55%
Loan loss provisions (m EUR)
Loan loss ratio : 0.71%(0.55% for FY 02)
156 144 117
23153
403142
168
156
FY 01 FY 02 FY 03
Belgium CEE Other
Note : Loan loss = specific provisions to average gross outstanding loans
Intensive clean-up of loan portfolio in Poland
Loan loss ratio excl. Poland : 0.35%
676
321
465
38
Note: Profit contribution excl. retail asset management and excl. retail insurance.Loan loss ratio on risk-weighted assets
70
225
41
2001 2002 2003
Retail banking in Belgium
2%4%12%
42% 37%
27%
2001 2002 2003
banking insurance
Return on allocated capital
14% 13%
x5
16%
FY profit, banking: 225 m, ROAC : up to 12% from 2%
Income growth : + 10% (strong commission and rebound in interest)
Cost reduction : - 7%
Provisions remain low (21 bp)
Marketing headlines 2004 :
New customer acquisition Bancassurance Wealth management
2003 has seen a strong turnaround in Belgian retail on the back of robust commission income and cost savings
Profit contribution after minorities
39
Banking performance in CEE
CR & SR : ROAC target of 17 % achieved in spite of pressure on margins (and fewer one-offs), thanks to commission income and modest expense growth
Hungary : income and volume growth more than set off pressure on margin, but adverse impact of K&H Equities loss (pre-tax impact: 20 m)
Poland : difficult economic conditions and high loan provisions due to thorough credit review (pre-tax impact 277m)
Notes : profit contribution excl. minority interests. Change (%) adjusted for currency effect. Allocated capital: 7% on RWA + non-amortized goodwill.
CEE2nd home
In m EUR FY 03 % Chg ROAC 03
CR / SR 143 +0 % 17%
Hungary 13 -13% (+97%) 8% (20%)
Poland -295 - -
Slovenia 10 - -
Contribution of banking operations to KBC Group profit
Satisfactory performance in Czech Republic, Slovakia and Hungary (even further improvement expected). Polish turnaround being implemented
40
CEE banking, share of group wallet
35%28%
43% 35%
16% 27%
27%
19%
-17%
36% 28%17%
33%
12% 17% 14% 13%
55%
39%
23%
Risk-weighted assets Allocated capital Gross operatingincome
Net operating income
Belgian retail (incl. AM) CEE Corporates Market activities
Impact of paid
goodwill
Improved cost structure
under way
Heavy credit risk charge
in Poland in 2003
Value-added products andcommission
income to grow
Note : banking business lines , excluding group centerFY03 earnings
Pre-taxresult
41
Restructuring in Poland Capital base strengthened (265 m in 2 steps)
Risk sensitivity greatly reduced Credit risk policies redefined and credit decision authority reduced ‘Historic’ loan book cleaned up Risk control and risk management improved
Cost base to be further reduced Centralizing back offices, strengthening HR and performance measurement Reducing headcount (driven by new central IT system) by 1000/1200 FTE,
real estate expenses (15-20 %) and other tangible costs (5-10%) by ‘04 Disinvesting non-strategic activities (Ukraine, Lithuania, PKB, Pension Fund,…)
Market position to be improved on the retail market Thorough customer segmentation in the nationwide network Intensified transfer of product knowhow (AM, retail lending, bancassurance,…) Acceleration of bancassurance efforts with WARTA Insurance
Profound restructuring plan being implemented
Central Europe2nd home market
42
Central Europe2nd home market
Loan provisioning level in Poland
12.6%
17.6%19.1%
23.9% 24.7%
28.5%
5.1%
8.5%
11.8%
14.6% 14.8%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
BZ WBK BRE BPH Mill Pekao KB
Non performing loansNPLs covered by provisions (specific and general)
Adequately provisioned compared to peer group
Sources: companies’ financial reports and presentations (consolidated basis)
43
Improving economic indicators
Outlook :
Economic growth is picking up
Corporate tax reduction (to 19% in ’04)
Credit demand is accelerating, notably mortgages/consumer lending
Shift from deposits to funds (off-balance) is likely, compensating further margin pressure
7.0%
5.0%
4.0% 4.0%
1.0% 1.0%
3.9%4.4%
5.0%
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003e 2004e 2005e
PolandGDP growth (y/y)
44
Situation as of Dec 2002 : the network model
CEE, governance model - 2002
CEE Group companies
Co-ordination UnitCEE Insurance (2)
Business co-ordinators (12)
KBC expats(31)
Co-ordination UnitCEE Banking (1)
Moreover : audit and market and credit risk managment centralized (for credit risk in Poland only from end of 2002)
ExecutiveCommittee
ManagementCommittee CEE (5)
Initiating and followup of :• Transfer of knowhow• Shared business projects
45
CEE, governance model - 2003
ExecutiveCommittee
ManagementCommittee CEE (6)
General ManagerCEE (1)
Controlling UnitCEE (5)
Steering committees Co-ordination UnitCEE (8)
Business co-ordinators(22) & task forces CEE
Performance monitoring
CEE Group companies
KBC expats(44)
Day-to-daymanagement
Steering of business projects
Initiating and followup of :• Transfer of knowhow• Business projects• Uniform methodology
Key elements :because of increased importance of 2nd
home market :• Increased management involvement• Intensified follow-up
Renewed model,situation as ofDec. 2003
46
Profit contribution (in m EUR)
91116 116
2001 2002 2003
Asset Management division FY profit : 116 m (stable) :
income pressure (market context) compensated by lower costs and taxes
AUM : + 10% Retail assets : 10%
including retail funds : + 11% of which : ± 5% net inflow
Institutional (3rd party): + 6% Group assets : + 18%
Note: As of 2004, in financial reporting, incorporated in retail / corporate area
Assets under management (in bn EUR)
82 8189
Retail
Corporate
42
14
17
9
40
14
17
9
45
15
19
11
2001 2002 2003
Institutional, group assets Institutional, third-party assets Retail, private assets Retail, funds
Belgium :87 %
Central Europe : 5 %
+10%
47
FY profit : 220 m, + 7%
Cost decrease (- 6%) due to strict cost control, especially in Belgium / Western Europe
Strong income growth in leasing, Ireland, diamond sector but no repeat of 2002 one-off revenues. As a balance, income down 2%
Lower provisions for problem loans, i.a. in traditional banking in the US
Corporate banking division
Profit contribution corporate banking (in m EUR, excl. minorities)
214 220206
FY 01 FY 02 FY 03
+7% 6490
643
12 128
-26
96 111
FY 02 FY 03
Belgium W. Europe USASE Asia Other
Details on corporate activities(m EUR)
48
Financial markets division
FY profit : 125 m (+ 35%)
Money and capital markets : strong performance (+ 43%)
Equity trading : substantial loss situation reversed
Derivatives :satisfactory result but negative MtM for long derivatives
Profit contribution market activities (excl. minorities):
Details on market activities :
125
4693
FY 01 FY 02 FY 03
9681
115
-34
0
-46
46
10
-12
Fixed income Equity Derivatives
FY 01 FY 02 FY 03
m EUR
m EUR
Note: including trading-, interest and commission incomefrom market activities,excluding trading income in CEE and related to treasury and investment book
+35%
49
Faster asset growth in line with expected 'faster' GDP growth :
Full year impact of deposit rate cut in Belgium (if competition / capital market levels allow rates to be stable) and positive impact from higher interest rates/steeper yield curve
Asset Management driven by ‘private pension building’ and expansion in CEE
Expected higher contribution from equity subsidiaries
Cost control : In Belgium : full impact of merger synergies + sustained cost discipline In CEE : efficiency programs in progress Cost sensitivity in all divisions
Strong decrease in loan loss levels : Towards a 'normalized' level in Poland (versus 365 in 2003)
Going forward, 2004
2004 Real growth GDP Inflation 10y-yield
Belgium
CEE
0.9% 1.8%
2.5 / 4% 3.5 / 4.5%
1.3% 1%
Diverse
4.1% 4.5%
Diverse
50
Performance 2003, overview
Performance, banking
Content
Performance, insurance
Question time
51
459
1 275
1 676
1 229
971
762
FY 01 FY 02 FY 03
Interest-guaranteed Unit-linked
Underwriting result, life
FY 03 :5%
CEE
Premiums ytd 8%
organic growth
FY 03 :95%
Belgium
Very strong growth (bancassurance-driven)and shift to non-linked products
Guaranteed rate (10y) in Belgium :• 1H 03 : 3.25%• 2H 03 : 2.75%
Net premium income
Total FY 01:1 689
Total FY 02:2 246
Total FY 03:2 438
52
69% 72%65%
34% 33%31%
FY 01 FY 02 FY 03
Claims ratio Expense ratio
Underwriting result, non-life
Verylow level
Combined ratioPremiums
+15% organically 104% 105%
96%
608 637 678
3387
120179
186
249
FY 01 FY 02 FY 03
Belgium CEE R/I
821910
1 048
Very sound business, partly driven by upward trend in rates and by strong risk and cost discipline
Net premium income
53
Cross selling, bancassurance
34,5%35,2%
37,5%
39,1% 40,0%
2000 2001 2002 2003 Target
Clients with both banking and insurance productssold by KBC (Belgium)
Cross selling 2003, Belgium :
Mortgage / fire insurance : 50%
Mortgage / death cover : 67%
Consumer loan / death cover : 66%
Cross selling continues
54
Insurance, investment income
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
5.5%
6.0%
6.5%
7.0%
1Q01
2Q01
3Q01
4Q01
1Q02
2Q02
3Q02
4Q02
1Q03
2Q03
3Q03
4Q03
Interest income, bonds10 y EUR T-bonds
FY 02 FY 03
Interest, dividend,rent 449 455 +1%
Capital gains on shares 198 138 -30%
Total 647 593 -8%
Investment return in FY 03down to 5.9% from 7.2 %
Suffering from low investment yields
Note: capital gains on shares: 5.30 % on portfolio value (incl. write-back from provision for financial risk at 45 m in ‘03), excl. value adjustments for unit-linked products. Planned recurring value gains on shares in 2004 : 4.75 % on market value of portfolio.
55
Insurance in CEE, overview
Premium2003
Premiumgrowth
Profit contribution
2002
Profitcontribution
2003
Czech Republic 165 +9% -12.1 -1.6
Hungary 67 +40% 1.7 0.3
Slovak Republic 22 - - -0.3
Poland 440 - -6.2 -1.9
Slovenia 10 - - -0.8
Startup in 2003 : retail market share from zero to ± 4%
Acquired at the end of 2002
Note : premium growth adjusted for changes in currency value. Profit contribution to KBC result after minorities.
Bancassurance models now set up in all target countries,but looking for more significant scale
Majority since end of 2003
56
Insurance in CEE, Poland WARTA
Market position : Market share, non-life :
13 % (no 2) Nation-wide coverage Customers : ± 1.5 m Workforce : ± 4 000 FTE Premium income 2003 :
330 m EUR non-life 110 m EUR life
Individual : 65% of premium income
Leading product : motor insurance
KBC’s footprint : 2000 : First stake (40%) 2003 : Majority stake (51%) 2004 : Clear control (75%)
Strategic focus : Optimization of agency sales network Intensifiying bancassurance with KB Stronger expansion to small-sized
enterprises Centralization of back-office activities
and sustained cost discipline
Majority in WARTA (Poland), important leverage of scale for KBC’s insurance activities in CEE
Poland
57
Insurance, non-recurring items
In m EUR FY 02 FY 03
Non-recurring result :
Value adjustments, shares - 299 - 96
Non-recurring gains on securities +113 +122
Other (write-back from egalization reserve in ’03 and other) +38 + 79
Transfer from (to) provision for fin. risks +157 -140
Total non-recurring result 9 -35
Note: provision for financial risks, balance at 31 Dec. 2003 : 93 m EUR
Non-recurring income offset by value adjustments and allocation to the provision for financial risks
58
Going forward, 2004 Full consolidation of WARTA Insurance (premium line impact : 435 m)
Organic premium growth : sustained high single-digit growth, driven by Successful bancassurance model Consumer trend for ‘private pension building’ (life)
Sustained good technical results (though '03 was ‘very’ good)
Mitigated pressure on investment income
Impairments on equity portfolio 2004 :
In m EUR Market levelDec 2003 + 5% + 10% + 15%
Expected impairments 190 170 150 130
Available provision for fin. risks 93 93 93 93
Potential impact on P/L 97 77 57 37
Available non-realized value gains 115 175 240 300
Note : Available non-realized value gains in excess of 'normal' level of value gains of ±125 m(at 4.75% of market value of portfolio)
Additional information
60
Year-to-date results,detailed overview
m EUR FY 02 FY 03 % Organic %
Gross operating income 6 593 6 498 -1 % -1% - banking 5 756 5 655 -2% -1% - insurance 852 847 -1% -1%Administrative expenses - 4 212 -4 202 0% 0% - banking - 3 751 -3 695 -1% -1% - insurance -457 -499 9% 7%Operating result 2 381 2 297 -4% -2% - banking 2 005 1 961 -2% -1% - insurance 396 348 -12% -12%Loan loss provisions
Value adjust., non-recurring, extraordinary and other results
- 465
- 205
- 676
20
Pre-tax profit 1 711 1 641 - 4% - 4%
Taxes - 511 - 442
Minority interests - 166 - 80
Net profit 1 034 1 119 8% 8%
61
Impact on gross operating
income
NLB Bank
Equitymethod
Q3 Q4
2003
Ergo Insurance
Krefima Bank
Full consolidation
Deconsolidation(previously full consolidation)
Full consolidationas of 1Q04
( previously equity method)
2004
Warta Insurance
Q1 Q2 Q1 Q2
+0.1%
+0.1%
-0.4%
Limited net impact of changes in consolidation in 2003
Main changes in scope of consolidation
62
Group, key performance ratios
Dec 01 Dec 02 Dec 03
Cost / income, banking 70.5% 65.2% 65.3%
Combined ratio, insurance 99.9% 101.4% 94.8%
Solvency (Tier 1), banking 8.8% 8.8% 9.5%
Solvency, insurance 504% 320% 316%
Return on equity 13.2% 12.7% 12.7%
Growth in EPS (y-o-y) -13% +1% +8%
Notes: combined ratio: excluding reinsurance. Solvency insurance: including unrealized gains.
63
Areas of activity, profit contribution
Note :Profit contribution excluding minority interests. Profit growth in CEE after adjustments for currency effects.
Activity Profit % ROAC Headlines
Retail, Belgium 453 m 25% 16%
- Strong commission and premium income- Cost reduction in banking (- 7% y-o-y)- Low loan losses (21 bp/RWA) and low combined ratio non-life (93%)
Central Europe : - banking, CR/SR - banking, Hungary - banking, Poland
-148 m143 m
13 m-295 m
= 0%13%
-
17%8/20%
-
- Strong commissions in CR (but margin pressure and fewer one-offs)- Strong income growth in Hungary (but fraud provision charge of 33m)- High loan losses in Poland (365m)- Improvement in insurance (though limited scale)
Asset management 116 m = - - AUM up 10% vs Dec 02
Corporate services 230 m 19% 11%
- Successful cost control and significant lower loan losses- Less one-off income (CLOs) - Reinsurance out of the red
Market activities 125 m 35% 11%- Fixed income: very strong - Equities: modest but cost-cutting successful - Derivatives: satfisfactory (suffered from MtM)
Strong rebound in Belgium. Substantial adverse impact of Poland
64
1.80%
1.85%
1.90%
1.95%
2.00%
2.05%
2.10%
2.15%
1Q01
2Q01
3Q01
4Q 01
1Q02
2Q02
3Q02
4Q02
1Q03
2Q03
3Q03
4Q03
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
5.5%
Interest margin, Belgium (left)10 y EUR T-bonds (right)
Interest spreads in BelgiumInterest margin, banking Spread on new loans
0.0%
0.2%
0.4%
0.6%
0.8%
1.0%
1.2%
1.4%
1.6%
1.8%
Investment credit, Belgian SME loan book
Corporate bond A-rating
Going forward, increasing market rates could fuel top-line growth
65
Merger completed in Belgium
Realization of merger synergies(% of objective)
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
IT-integrationReduction of branchesHeadcount reduction
66
Credit portfolio : cyclical sectors
% of total portfolio Dec '01 Dec '02 Dec '03 EUR bn Chg 03-02
Real estate 5% 5% 5% 7.2 -6%
Electricity & water 6% 4% 4% 4.6 -24%
Aviation 1% 1% 1% 1.5 -7%
Shipping 1% 1% 1% 1.4 -7%
Telecom 2% 2% 1% 1.4 -37%
Hotel & restaurant 1% 1% 1% 1.2 -16%
IT 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6 8%
Media 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.5 -16%
67
Low Interest rate risk covered by
provisions (4% ref. rate)
Premium growth 2002
Life portfolio
Life reserves, Belgium (non-linked)
Rate 4.75% 3.75% 3.25% 2.75% Other Total
Traditional 14% - 8% - - 22%
Universal 28% 23% 22% 2% 3% 78%
Note : Universal life: flexible premium payments with 10-year interest rate guarantee on current premiums and without guarantee for future premiums
Premium growth 1H2003
Premium growth 2H2003
Asset-backing allowing hedging
of Interest rate risk
68
Sound business, even in low-interest-rate environment
Profitability dynamics, life (non-linked)
Reserve (1st yr) 100
Return on investment4.83 %
Allocated capital9.25
Investment income, reserves
4.83
Investmentincome, capital
0.45
Investment income5.27
Guaranteed rate2.75
Profit BT2.52X
X
+ -
Simplified example :
ROAC20%
Tax0.68
Investment mix :
75% Treasury bonds Return : 4.20%
(Example) 20% Shares 6.70%
5% Real estate 6.70%
4.83%Return on allocated capital
Note : reserve for year n = 100 x 1.048 ^n
ROAC Year1 Year 2 Year3 Year n
Rate at 2.75 % 20% 21 % 23%
Rate at 3.25 % 16 % 17 % 19%
-
69
Low combined ratio, significant leverage on return
Profitability dynamics, non-life
Reserve ratio200
Return on investment5.45%
Allocated capital40
Investment income,reserves
10.9
Investment income,capital
2.2
Premium100
Combined ratio-95.0
Investment income+13.1
Profit BT18.1
Tax- 3.7
ROAC36%
X
X
+ +
-
Investment mix :
50% Treasury bonds Return : 4.20%
(Example) 45% Shares 6.70%5% Real estate 6.70%
5.45%
Combined ratio 105 % 100% 95%
ROAC 16 % 26 % 36 %
-
Simplified example :
Return on allocated capital
70
Czech & Slovak republics - CSOB
Market position :• Inhabitants : 15 m• Market share : 18% / 6 %• Customers : ± 3.2 m• Branches : 281 (+3400 POS)• Workforce : ± 10 400 FTE
KBC’s footprint :
• 1999 : Majority (privatization)
• 2000 : Take-over of IPB Bank Current stake : 90% Investment : ± 1.4bn (± 2.3 xBV)
Financial track record :
m EUR, IAS ‘99 ‘00 ‘01 ‘02 ‘ 03
Net profit 78 134 175 214 196
RWA : 6.8 bn (7% of KBC’s banking operations)
• Allocated equity : 1.0 bn (13% of KBC banking)
Gross margin
Cost/income
Loan loss
Pretax margin
Ratio 10.0% 71% 34bp 2.5%
Share in KBC banking total
12% 13% 6% 13%
Margins on RWA
Profit contribution 2003 :
Sustained satisfactory results(though positive impact of exceptionals mainly in ‘01-’02)
Note: participation including increase from 85% to 90% in 2004
71
Hungary - K&H Bank
Market position :• Inhabitants : 10 m• Market share : 11%• Customers : ± 0.7 m• Branches : 155• Workforce : ± 3 800 FTE
KBC’s footprint :
• 1997 : Reference stake (32%)
• 2000 : Full ownership (100%)
• 2001 : Merger ABN Amro Magyar
Current stake : 59% Investment : 0.3 bn (1.3 x BV)
Financial track record :
m EUR, IAS ‘99 ‘00 ‘01 ‘02 ‘ 03
Net profit - 32 10 15 46 36
RWA : 3.8 bn (4% of KBC’s banking operations)
• Allocated equity : 0.3 bn (4% of KBC banking)
Gross margin
Cost/income
Loan loss
Pretax margin
Ratio 8.2% 78% 32bp 1.6% /0.8%
Share in KBC banking total
6% 7% 2% 2% /5%
Margins on RWA
Profit contribution 2003 :
Turnaround proven to be successful.K&H Equities loss in '03.
Stand-alone incl. minorities
72
Poland - Kredyt Bank
Market position :• Inhabitants : 38 m• Market share : 6%• Customers : ± 0.8 m• Branches : 359• Workforce : ± 9 600 FTE
KBC’s footprint :
• 1997 : First stake (5%)
• 1999 : Reference shareholder (49%)
• 2001 : Full ownership (56%)
• 2002 : Full control (76%)
Current stake : 85% * Investment : 0.8 bn (c.2x est BV)
Financial track record :
m EUR, IAS ‘99 ‘00 ‘01 ‘02 ‘ 03
Net profit 28 39 -9 -108 -353
RWA : 4.4 bn (5% of KBC’s banking operations)
Allocated equity : 0.4 bn (5% of KBC banking)
Gross margin
Cost/income
Loan loss
Pretax margin
Ratio 7.8% 87% 9% Neg
Share in KBC total
6% 8% 54% Neg
Margins on RWA
Profit contribution 2003 :
Stand-alone, incl. minoritiesThorough clean-up of loan book since '02 (late in the cycle)
In-depth restructing plan being implemented.Turnaround to come
Note: investments including capital increase of 4Q03 and 1Q04
73
CEE, credit ratings upgrade in 2003
Update Country rating Company rating Outlook
CSOB (CR) Jan. 2001 BBB+ BBB+ Stable
Sept. 2003 A- A- Stable
K & H (Hungary) Oct. 2000 BBB+ BBB+ Stable
July 2003 A- A- Stable
KB (Poland) Oct. 1999 BBB+ BBB+ Stable
Sept. 2003 BBB+ BBB+ Stable
NLB (Slovenia) Feb. 1997 BBB+ BBB+ Stable
Sept. 2003 A+ A- stable
Fitch credit ratings
74
KBC in CEEStrengths Prominent market positions with
nationwide branch networks
Geographical diversification
Satisfying results to date in most markets, except banking in Poland
Common shared optimism on rebound of economic cycle in ’04 and long-term market growth in general
As of May 2004 : all CEE affiliates (5 countries) operating in the EU
Successful bancassurance and asset management concept at group level (knowhow is being transfered)
Excess capital at group level with stable core shareholders (long term)
Weaknesses Still high cost/income ratios
(work in progress)
Converging business margins
CEE still a higher risk zone(allthough tempered by EU entry)
Still unsatisfactory stability and scale in Poland (work in progress)
Central Europe2nd home market
Reconfirmed confidence in our strategy fundamentals
75
Economic outlook
Real GDP growth Inflation (CPI) 10-y interest rate
03e 04e 05e 03e 04e 05e Feb 04 Feb 05e
EUROzone 0.5% 1.8% 2.4% 2.1% 1.7% 1.6% 4.1% 4.8%
Czech Republic 3.2% 3.9% 4.0% 0.1% 3.2% 2.6% 4.8% 5.6%
Slovak Republic 3.9% 4.3% 4.8% 8.6% 7.8% 4.5% 5.2% 5.5%
Hungary 2.7% 3.1% 3.8% 4.7% 7.2% 4.4% 8.6% 8.2%
Poland 3.9% 4.4% 4.2% 0.8% 2.5% 2.0% 6.8% 6.7%
Source: KBC Asset Management, March 2004
76
bonds
shares
Real estate &
other
Value adjustments, equity portfolio
Significant value adjustments in ‘02 and in 1Q 03 (offset by non-recurring result)
-88-202
36
-31
-299
-96
Adjustments, insurance book Adjustments, banking book
Investment portfolio banking
Investment portfolio insurance2 791(26%)
638(6%)
7 461(69%)
(book value in m EUR, at 31 Dec. 2003)
bonds
shares1 202(3%)
42 093(97%)
Value adjustments, equity portfolio
FY 01 FY 02FY 03
Note: portfolio insurance excl. unit-linked investment.
77
Unrealized gains
In m EUR Dec 02 Dec 03 %
Bankingbook 1 742 1 437 - 18%
Bonds 1 630 1 236
Shares 113 201
Insurancebook 82 324 + 294%
Bonds 497 328
Shares - 516 - 92
Real estate 101 86
Reduced losses on equity portfolio, driven by upward trend of stock markets
Note: balance of gains and losses. Shares including participating interests.
78
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
FY 01 FY 02 FY 03
Legal Buffer Excess
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
10000
FY 01 FY 02 FY 03
Legal Buffer Excess
Solvency
8.8% 8.8%9.5%
504%
320%316%
Banking business
(Tier 1)
Insurance business
(Solvency margin)
581 m
581 m
676 m
1 458 m
3 793 m
3 793 m
In m EUR In m EUR
Solid solvency in both banking and insurance allowing further investments if needed
(no double gearing and no DAC)
79
Basle II regulation Quantitative impact study (QIS 3) – 1st half 2003 :
required capital compared with current required capital level :
Approach Credit risk Total risk Standardized 95% 105% IRB Foundation 76% 87% IRB Advanced 74% 85%
Positive impact from the lower weight of retail/SME portfolio
But : for the time being, uncertainty prevails regarding risk classification in the CEE portfolio and on the changes emanating from the Jan-04 Basle Committee meeting
Basle II may free up some capital
80
EU directive : 1Q03 Regulation: 3Q04 Application : 1Q05
Requirements Impact for KBC
Group solvency
No double gearing
Appropriate leverage
Minimum group solvency level
OK
OK
OK
Groupgovernance
'fit and proper‘ organization
Appropriate financial and risk procedures
Reporting and supervision on risk concentrations and intragroup transactions
Already anticipated :
Integrated Executive level
New Group CFRO function
Centralized group risk department
No material financial impact to be expected
Financial conglomerate regulation
81
Outstanding convertible bonds
In 2003, a mandatory convertible bond reached maturity :(coupon 12.2% in ’03) creating ± 6.8 m new KBCN shares (not dividend-entitled for 2003)
Outstanding convertible bonds : Convertible bond 2005 :
417 m EUR (coupon 2.50%), maturing Dec. 2005, optionally convertible in 5.2 m shares (± 80 EUR/ share) of which ± 2 m held by KBC
Mandatory convertible bond 2008 : 186 m EUR (coupon 3.50%), maturing 2008, to be converted in 2.7 m shares (± 69 EUR/share)
No relevant dilutive instruments in the coming 4 years
82
Contact information
Investor Relations Office :
Luc CoolNele Kindt
Tel. : +32 2 429 49 16 E-mail : [email protected]
Visit www.kbc.com for the latest update on our company :
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