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Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP, Brazil Ellis Gartner, Imperial College, UK Can be downloaded free at multiple sites. Just google

Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

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Page 1: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland

Vanderley John, USP, Brazil

Ellis Gartner, Imperial College, UK

Can be downloaded free at multiple sites.

Just google

Page 2: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

Cement Based Materials:

cannot be replaced by alternatives

0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000

Cementitious

Wood

Ceramic

Iron

Lime

Asphalt

Glass

Aluminium

Copper

Materials production (Mt/year)

Cementitious materials make up ~50%

of everything we produce.

In the light of this,

CO2 emissions of 5-10%

very good

Page 3: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

Concrete is an environmentally friendly material

Material MJ/kg kgCO2/kg

Cement 4.6 0.83

Concrete 0.95 0.13

Masonry 3.0 0.22

Wood 8.5 0.46

Wood: multilayer 15 0.81

Steel: Virgin 35 2.8

Steel: Recycled 9.5 0.43

Aluminium: virgin 218 11.46

Aluminium recycled 28.8 1.69

Glass fibre composites

100 8.1

Glass 15.7 0.85

ICE version 1.6a

Hammond G.P. and Jones C.I

2008 Proc Instn Civil Engineers

www.bath.ac.uk/mech-eng/sert/embodied/

Re

lative

en

erg

y, C

O2

Page 4: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

Growth in cement use in last 70 years

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

1950 1970 1990 2010

Po

pu

lati

on

(M

)

Mat

eri

als

Pro

du

ctio

n (

Mt)

Cement Crude Steel World Population

3x

34x

population

steel

cement

Page 5: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

Cement Business as usual

CO2 Emission

Based on A blueprint for a climate friendly cement industry. WWF-Lafarge 2008

2oC - RPC 2.6 –

450ppm

Page 6: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

Forecast growth

We need solutions for people in developing countries

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

2015 2025 2035 2045

Pro

du

ctio

n (

Mt)

OECD

China

India

Other

11 10

54

32

8

22

2637

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2015 2050

Page 7: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

How to meet this challenge sustainably

Solutions need to be:

◼Practical, usable by unskilled workers

◼Economically viable

Page 8: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

Paris

18 March 2015

Beijing

18 October

2015

Sao Paulo

4,5 April

2016

UNEP SBCI Working Group on Low-CO2 Eco-efficient Cement-based Materials

Report Launched November 2016,

also as Special Issue

Cement and Concrete Research

Page 9: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

IEA for CSI of WBCSD, 2009 road map

IEA = International Energy Agency

CSI = Cement Sustainability Initiative

WBCSD = World Business Council for

Sustainable Development

Target:

18% reduction

in cement sector

High demandLow demand

Page 10: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

Source Martin Schneider 14th ICCC Beijing

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

2020 2025 2030 long term

€/t

CO

2Carbon capture and storage: Cost estimates

oxy-fuel

process

post-

combustion

capture

su

cce

ssfu

l d

em

on

str

atio

n

pro

jects

CCS would

increase

cement costs

substantially

Not viable for

developing

countries

Page 11: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

The resources of the earth mean we do not have a lot of options!

11

Only 8 elements constitute >98% or the earth’s crustEven elements we regard as common are more than 1000 times LESS abundant that the elements found in cement – cost and geographical distributionThe composition of the Earth’s Crust limits the possible chemistriesBut the limited range mean we can explore all options

1/1000

Page 12: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

How cement works:

Cement grainwater hydrates

reaction with water increases solid volume,

joins grains together

Page 13: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

What about the different oxides

Na2O

K2O

Fe2O3

MgO

CaO

SiO2

Al2O3

Too soluble

Too low mobility in alkaline solutions

The most useful

Page 14: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

Al2O3CaO

Portland

Cement

14

Hydraulic minerals in the system CaO-SiO2-Al2O3

Calcium aluminate /calcium sulfo aluminate

SiO2

BUT, what sources of

minerals are there

which contain Al2O3 >>

SiO2 ?

Bauxite – localised,

under increasing

demand for Aluminium

production,

EXPENSIVE

Even if all current

bauxite production

diverted would still only

replace 10-15% of

current demand.

Less CaO > less CO2

Page 15: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

Portland based cement will continue to be dominant

◼ Incredible economy of scaleClinker very low cost

◼ Raw materials abundant nearly everywhere

◼ Easily to manipulate open time

◼ Robust

Page 16: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

Extending use of blended cements

16

Page 17: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

Evolution of Clinker substitution

17

2%4%

5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7%4%

4%

4% 4%5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%

1%

2%

3%3%

3%4% 4% 4%

4%4% 4% 4%

1%

2%

2%2%

2%2%

2% 2% 2%2% 2% 2%

4%

2%

1%1%

1%1%

1% 1% 1%1% 1% 1%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

1990 2000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Limestone

Slag

Fly ash

Puzzolana

Others

• Almost no progress in last 5 years

• Only 3 substitutes used in quantity

Clinker substitution most successful strategy to reduce CO2

Page 18: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

0 2000 4000 6000

Calcined Clay

Filler

Portland cement

Fly ash

Slag

Natural Pozzolan

Vegetable ashes

waste glass

silica fume

Mt/yr

Used Available

limestone

Page 19: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

▪ Blended with SCMs will be best solution for sustainable cements for foreseeable future

▪ Only material really potentially available in viable quantities is calcined clay.

▪ Blend containing combination of calcined clay and limestone are particularly interesting: EPFL led LC3 project supported by SDC. Started 2013

There is no magic solution

19

Page 20: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

What is LC3

LC3 is a family of cements,

the figure refers to

the clinker content

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

PC LC3-50

Co

mp

ress

ive

str

en

gth

(M

Pa)

1 day

7 days

28 days

90 days

• 50% less clinker

• 30% less CO2

• Similar strength

• Better chloride resistance

• ASR resistant

0

20

40

60

80

100

PC PPC30 LC3-50 LC3-65

Mas

s p

rop

ort

ion

(%

)

Gypsum

Limestone

Calcined clay

Clinker

Page 21: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

Why are such high levels of substitution possible

21

◼ Calcination of kaolinite at 700-850°C gives metakaolin: much more reactive than glassy SCMs

» Synergetic reaction of

Alumina in metakaolin

with limestone to give

space filling hydrates

OPC

205 10 15 25Position [ 2Q ]

CHMs

Strät .Strät . C4AF AFtAFtAFt AFtHcMc

MsHc

1d

28d

LC3-50

205 10 15 25

Position [ ]

CHMs

Strät.Strät. C4AF AFtAFtAFt AFtHcMc

MsHc

2Q

1d

28d

silicon

aluminium

Page 22: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

Comparison of calcined kaolinitic clay, slag and fly ash

Binary systems 70% clinker

Ternary systems, with limestone 50% clinker

Page 23: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

Availability of suitable clays, yellow and pink regions, and others

23

Page 24: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

Suitable clays presently stockpiled as waste

Page 25: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

LC3 has been produced and used in full scale trials in Cuba and India

A company in Latin America will start full scale production in March/April

Uses existing technologyRotary kiln Flash calcineretc

Page 26: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

Cuba: Industrial block manufacture plant

Page 27: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

Prefabrication plant Cuba

Page 28: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

House built at Santa Clara, Cuba with LC3

Page 29: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

India: Evaluation in building materials

Page 30: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

India: Industrial production

KJS Concrete Pvt. Ltd., Dadri

Page 31: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

India: Demonstration structure

Around 15 tonnes of CO2 saved

Compared to existing solutions

Page 32: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

Key Advantages

• Chloride resistance• ASR mitigation

Page 33: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

Chloride ingress ASTM

Apparent diffusion coeffs.

Page 34: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

Porosity characterization by MIP

◼ Significant refinement of porosity already at 3 days of hydration

LC3-50 (95%) 3d

Page 35: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

Very dense

microstructure

Strong pore refinement

Page 36: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

Alkali silica reaction

Chappex 2012

Impact of alumina on aggregates

No alumina

Alumina in solution

Page 37: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

Global cement production

Billion tons/year

Clinker factor, global

average

%

Global SCM volume

Billion tones/year

Global CO2

reduction

Million tones/year

2006 2.6 79 0.5

2050 (CSI study)

4.4 73 1.2 200

2050 (with LCC)

4.4 60 1.8 600

Global potential of LC3

∆ = 400 million

tonnes per yr

Can replace

whole of need for CCS

in low demand scenario

> whole of CO2

emissions

of France

Potential impact of LC3 technology

IEA study for

CSI of WBCSD

Page 38: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

One part of the chain

Reduce CO2

from clinker production

• Efficient plants

• Waste fuels

• Alternate raw

materials

Reduce clinker in cement

Reduce cement

in concrete

Reduce concrete

in building

More efficient (re)use of buildings

• SCMs• Aggregate grading

• Good admixtures

• Use filler

Page 39: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

By working throughout the

value chain CO2 emissions

can be reduced by 80%

compared to 1990, without

huge extra costs and using

existing knowledge and

codes

Page 40: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

Efficiency of binder use in concrete(29 countries)

0

5

10

15

20

0 20 40 60 80 100

Bin

de

r In

ten

sity

(kg

/m³.

MP

a)

Compressive Strength (MPa)

250kg/m³

DAMINELI, et al . Measuring the eco-efficiency of cement use.

Cement and Concrete Composites, 32, p. 555-562, 2010

Site mixing

Ready-mixed

industrial

Page 41: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

Materials wastage

Page 42: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

Materials wastage

Page 43: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

Materials wastage

Page 44: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

Industrialization as mitigation tool

◼ Promote industrialized use of cement

◼ Dry-mix mortar

◼ Industrialized concrete

◼ Concrete components

◼ Ban commercialization of bagged cement in large cities (ex. China)

◼ Mitigation potential: 15% reduction?

Page 45: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

High filler, advanced performancewater & binder minimization technology

Good rheology min water

ParticleDispersion

MinimumBinder

Particle packing

Page 46: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

Filler without dispersion:agglomeration may increase water demand

Page 47: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

Filler + Dispersion: Low water demand for given rheology

Typical cementLEAP cement + filler

Page 48: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

Low-Binder concrete formulations(29 countries)

0

5

10

15

20

0 20 40 60 80 100

Bin

de

r In

ten

sity

(kg

/m³.

MP

a)

Compressive Strength (MPa)

250kg/m³

CBI/KTH - Sweden; USP – Brazil; U Darmastad, U Karlsrhue, VDZ - Germany

Page 49: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

-200

0

200

400

600

800

1000

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

CO

2M

itig

atio

nP

ote

nti

al(M

t)

Market Share at 2050 (%)

Efficient concrete

Extending use of SCMs:Calcined Clayand limestone

2 solutions have large potential to reduce CO2

Page 50: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

-200

0

200

400

600

800

1000

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

CO

2M

itig

atio

nP

ote

nti

al(M

t)

Market Share at 2050 (%)

Geopolymer + Calcined clay

BYF

CCSC

Calcined Clayand limestone

Efficient concrete

CO2 mitigation potential of different technologies

Page 51: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

Concluding remarks

◼ Future cements will be based on Portland cement clinker with increasing levels of incorporation of SCMs

◼ Calcined clays are the only realistic option for extending the use SCMs

◼ Possible to obtain similar mechanical properties to OPC / CEM I with 50% clinker and clays with >40% kaolinite

◼ Calcined clays have very positive impact on:

◼ Chloride ingress

◼ ASR

◼ If we are serious about more sustainable concrete we need to use cements with lower CO2 emissions, e.g LC3 clinker/ calcined clay / limestone blends

◼ To go further we need to work through the whole value chain.

◼ Europe has an important role to play in facilitating uptake worldwide:standards and research

Page 52: Karen Scrivener, EPFL, Switzerland Vanderley John, USP ... · Global cement production Billion tons/year Clinker factor, global average % Global SCM volume Billion tones/year Global

THANK YOU!