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Webinar: Explore patterns in space and time with the Visualization Tool. July 8 , 2014. Webinar Team. Phenology. The science of the seasons Blooms and buds Hibernation, migration, emergence Easy to observe. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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July
8, 2
014
Webinar:Explore patterns in space and
time with the Visualization Tool
Alyssa RosemartinAssistant Director & IT Coordinator
Erin PosthumusOutreach Associate
Theresa CrimminsPartnerships and Outreach Coordinator
Webinar Team
Phenology
The science of the seasons• Blooms and buds• Hibernation, migration,
emergence• Easy to observe
Photo credit: L. Barnett
…it is the study of the timing of recurring plant and animal life-cycle stages, or phenophases, and their relationship to environmental conditions.
UNDERSTAND HOW SPECIES AND LANDSCAPES ARE
RESPONDING TO CLIMATE CHANGE.
Primary goal• Create a standardized dataset
for use in multiple types of research.
Mission• Make phenology data, models
and related information available.
• Encourage people of all ages and backgrounds to observe and record phenology.
USA National Phenology Network
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Nature’s Notebookfor scientists,
naturalists, volunteers, land managers, park rangers, and YOU!
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L. R
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USA National Phenology Network
Poll
Observing change over time
I observed an unusual circumstance this spring on the foothill of Moscow Mountain, northern Idaho, elev. 3000‘.
I have been monitoring the arrival of hummers for many years here--they range in arrival from early to late April. Usually the Calliope is first, followed by the Rufous. Over the last few years, the Rufous have been either arriving at the same time or before the Calliope. This year the two were nearly simultaneous on Apr. 23. About a week later I spotted the Black Chinned--usually not often seen, and never before late June/July (followed in late summer by the Broadtailed).
Structuring observations
April 23, 2012
Models leaf budburst across the eastern U.S. under climate scenarios; by the end of the century, species like red maple will leaf out 17 days earlier.
Develops more precise models for changes in ecosystem function in Alaska, accounting for the phenology of individual species, rather than estimating an average day of year across species.
Cloned plants had a more consistent response to warming spring temperatures than natural populations
Publications
Species Phenophase Space Time Climate
Dimensions Represented
Poll
Questions – Map Interface
1. Where are most sites located? 2. Where is my site located?3. Where are people observing Trillium?4. Exploring the green wave, with spring
warming in 2014
Questions – Map Interface
1. Where are most sites located? 2. Where is my site located?
Questions – Map Interface
3. Where are people observing Trillium?
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Questions – Map Interface
4. Exploring the green wave, with spring warming in 2014
Questions – Graph Interface
1. Comparing across scales: How does red maple phenology compare across: individual tree, site, state and region?
2. Management: When do Siberian elm (invasive) and Cottonwood (native) fruit?
3. Species Interactions: 1. Monarch and milkweed2. White-winged doves and Saguaros
Questions – Graph Interface
1. Comparing across scales: How does red maple phenology compare across: individual tree, site, state and region?
Questions – Graph Interface
2. Management: When do Siberian elm (invasive) and Cottonwood (native) fruit?
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Erin
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Questions – Graph Interface
3. Species Interactions: Monarch and milkweed
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Don’t get tripped up!
1. Lots of sites with no data• Check plant and animal leaderboards, to see
which species have a good amount of data• On the tool, filter by species first
2. Species box – filters just limit species list, you can’t limit data by partner (yet)
3. Long loading time, especially with climate data
Other tricks
1. Multiple site selection is key for looking at regional patterns
2. Plot data, and then change location in the graph tool to compare regions or years
3. Use direct URL to share your findings: http://www.usanpn.org/files/viz/index.html
What places, species or phenophases would you like to explore?
Poll – more mapping or graphing?
What is this tool good for?
1. Seeing which species and locations are data-rich2. Finding potential patterns• for example, relationships between climate
and phenology3. Answering straightforward questions• for example, did my poppies flower earlier or
later this year than last year?
What is this tool NOT good for?
1. Conclusively showing a relationship between two species• Negative data is not completely taken into
account (yeses override no’s in the graph if both are present for day/site/species)
• Animals are more likely to be seen if people spent longer looking for them, this is not accounted for in the tool
• Statistical tests (comparison of means, correlations) not available
2. Conclusively showing a relationship between climate variables and phenology
Resources
1. Videos: http://www.usanpn.org/nn/connect/visualizations
2. Tutorial: https://www.usanpn.org/data/viz-tutorial
3. Training slides: https://www.usanpn.org/files/shared/files/VizToolTraining.pdf
Upcoming webinars:
Tuesday, September 2, 2014: Special for Local Phenology Leaders: Partner showcase: Learn how other groups are using Nature's Notebook
Tuesday, September 23, 2014 Gaining 100% confidence in intensity estimates
Mark your calendars…
www.usanpn.org/nn/connect/Webinars2014
Thank you!
Alyssa [email protected]
You’re invited to connect with USA-NPN…
• Join the phenology community of practice, for research, education or management.
• Use NPN protocols, tools or data to advance your mission.
• Sign up for our quarterly newsletter.
Questions – Graph Interface
1. White-winged doves and Saguaros
Questions – Graph Interface
Acorns on Valley Oaks
STATIC DEMO SLIDES
Comparing regionally
Precipitation: 1981-2010 Normals
Precipitation: 2010 Actuals
Precipitation: 2011 Actuals
Precipitation: 2012 Actuals
Selecting species to explore
Selecting species to explore
Click icon to add picture
Click icon to add picture
Comparing regionally
Comparing years for one species
Comparing individual plants in 2013
Comparing species in 2012
Leafing in quaking aspen (2010-12)
Comparing Trillium West to East (2012)
Siberian Elm and Cottonwood fruiting
Monarch and two milkweed species
Saguaro and White-winged Dove
Three years of Valley Oak phenology in So Cal
Comparing Trillium West to East (2012)