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Journey Towards a Knowledge-Based Economy
TAQNIA’s Role in Enabling Technology Innovation in Saudi Arabia
Corporate Presentation
Riyadh, November 2012
i. Imperative of a Knowledge-Based Economy for Saudi Arabia
ii. TAQNIA Overview
iii. TAQNIA Opportunities
1
1990-1995
Initiation of Diversification
1995-2000
Privatization
2000-2005
Regional Development
2005-2010
Human Development
Regional economic development
Private sector investments in
different regions
Efficient infrastructure in rural areas
Information centers in different
regions
Develop human resources
Reduce disparities in living
conditions and economic activities
among regions
Decentralize administration
Increasing foreign and national
investment
Further economic diversification
Private sector investment in
agriculture and light manufacturing;
Financial sector reform and the
establishment of the stock market
Enhanced government efficiency in
social and economic services
Growing emphasis on privatization
Economic efficiency in both public
and private sectors
5th 8th 6th 7th
x Development Plan
Saudi Arabia’s socio-economic trajectory has advanced
876837836
802786762722
686637636633
604608591576558556553553528484
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
2.8%
3.8%
2.6% 2.9%
KSA National Development Plans Highlights
Note: World Bank real GDP figures used; SAMA states 2010 real GDP figure at SR 865 Bn
Source: World Bank; SAMA, Booz & Company analysis
2
KSA Real GDP (SR Billions; 1990-2010)
However, the economy is still highly concentrated in favor of oil
Note: World Bank real GDP figures used; SAMA states 2011 KSA current GDP at USD 572 Bn
Source: World Bank, SAMA, Crude Oil Quotes, IMF, Euromonitor, Booz & Company analysis
KSA Economy Oil Dependency
577
451
377
476
385357316
250215189183188
927848
965457443426291821
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
KSA Current GDP vs. World Crude Oil Prices (2000-2011)
47%65%
90%
10%
GCC
35%
KSA Large Resource
Rich Economies
53%
Non-Oil
Oil
KSA GDP Split (in %) (2011)
3
Highlights
KSA economy is highly dependent on the oil, gas,
and petrochemical industries
– KSA GDP is directly correlated to world crude
oil prices, as price fluctuations shape GDP
peaks and dips
– 53% of GDP is reaped from oil and its
derivatives, implying KSA economy is less
diversified than counterparts
World Crude Oil Prices - USD per Barrel
KSA Current GDP - USD Billion
KSA Oil vs. Non-Oil Exports (2000-2011)
91%
9%
2009
88%
2005
91% 91%
9%
2010
87%
13% 12%
2008 2007
90%
10%
2006
89%
11%
2001
87%
13%
2000
92%
8% 9%
2004
90%
10%
2003
88%
12%
2002
Oil Non-Oil
4
Saudi Arabia has prioritized knowledge economy as growth driver
Source: Ministry of Economy and Planning, KSA, Booz & Company analysis
KSA 9th Development Plan Objectives (2010 – 2015)
Bu
ild
a K
no
wle
dg
e-B
as
ed
Ec
on
om
y
Div
ers
ify t
he
Ec
on
om
y
Rais
e the s
tandard
of liv
ing
De
ve
lop
SM
E S
ec
tor
Enhance h
um
an d
evelo
pm
ent
Achie
ve b
ala
nced d
evelo
pm
ent am
ong
regio
ns o
f th
e K
ingdom
Ac
hie
ve
Su
sta
ina
ble
Ec
on
om
ic D
eve
lop
me
nt
Develo
p t
he h
oly
pla
ces
Safe
guard
Isla
mic
valu
es
Enhance the r
ole
of th
e p
rivate
secto
r
Ensure
rational utiliz
ation o
f natu
ral
resourc
es
Continue s
ocio
-econom
ic a
nd institu
tional
refo
rm
Str
ength
en e
conom
ic inte
gra
tion w
ith G
CC
countr
ies
1 2 3 4 5 9 10 11 12 6 7 8 13
To diversify the economic base
horizontally and vertically, expand the
absorptive and productive capacities
of the national economy and enhance
competitiveness
To move towards a knowledge-
based economy and consolidate
the basis of an information
society
To develop the sector of SMEs
to increase its contribution to
GDP, and create frameworks for
nurturing and organizing it
De
ve
lop
me
nt
Pil
lars
5
NSTIP1) is the key thrust in joining Knowledge-Based economies
1) National Science and Technology Innovation Policy
Source: KACST
KSA National Science and Technology Innovation Policy
Establish infrastructure
for Science and
Technology Innovation
(STI)
– Development of national ecosystem
– BADIR program
– Technology Innovation Centres
Become a leading
nation in STI, and
gain a regional stature
in this field
Become a leading
country in STI, and
gain an Asia-wide
stature in this field
2025
2020
2015
2010
1st 5-Year Plan 2nd 5-Year Plan 4th 5-Year Plan
Transform KSA into a
knowledge-based
economy
3rd 5-Year Plan
Saudi Arabia
Qatar
Lebanon Israel
Middle East
Asia
Global
Status
6
Innovation-led development starts from abundance of resources
Path to Knowledge-Based Economy
Source: Booz & Company analysis
Key Driver of
Economic Growth
Abundance in Natural Resources
Relative Abundance of Financial
Capital or Labor (Human Capital)
Accumulation of Production
Factors: Financial and Human
Capital
New Technologies and
Innovation Potential
Reso
urc
e
- B
ased
Eco
no
my
Facto
r-B
ased
Eco
no
my
Kn
ow
led
ge
-
Based
Eco
no
my
Description
Growth is primarily driven by natural resources that are extracted, yielding countries
with a starting point for economic growth and development
Growth is primarily driven by an accumulation of both human and financial capital
Production is based on already existing products and services with higher value
added due to a more complex production process
Growth is primarily driven by new technologies and ideas
Production is based on innovative products and services that are developed
through an addition to or modification in the value chain
Financial Capital: Growth is primarily driven by the relative abundance and comparative advantage in financial capital
Human Capital: Growth is primarily driven by the relative abundance and comparative advantage in human capital
+
7
Technology development is a priority for Saudi youth
KSA Readiness for a Technology Leapfrog
1) 10 percent/ points increase in digitization
Source: Booz & Company Ideation Center, Booz & Company analysis
~30-50% of GCC population is under the age of 25
57% of GCC youth follow technology topics regularly,
outpacing topics such as games, sports and politics
67% want their country to be known as a
technologically advanced nation
+60% believe that governments should create
employment should promote entrepreneurship
40% of MENA population are active online and in
social networks
KSA has the highest percentage globally of YouTube
users in total internet population
+60% of GCC users have at least 1 smartphone or
laptop
KSA still stands at the “Starting Gate” or in the early
stages of empowering women economically (Third
Billion rank 123 out of 128 countries analysed)
Gross impact on GDP from increasing women
employment ranges from 3% (in Sweden) to 56% (in
Egypt)
57% of university graduates in KSA are women
Digitization has clear impact on several pivotal areas in
societies:
– Economic advancement
(e.g. +0.6% GDP per Capita1))
– Societal well-being
(e.g. -0.84% unemployment rate1))
– Government effectiveness
(e.g. 1.17 points corruption perception index1))
Youth Aspirations Digital Adoption
Women Empowerment Digitization Impact
Country/ Agency Mandate Commercialization/ Development Entity Impact on Innovation – Patents
Growth
A*Star established to spearhead
specialized R&D initiatives and
commercialize selected R&D
projects
TEMASEK founded to manage
national investments
Governing body for all public
and private
Responsible for technology
talent development, R&D, and
commercialization (in
coordination with KIAT)
Conduct research and support
R&D activities
Propose national science plans
to Supreme Council
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006
+39%
Best Practices Commercialization/ Developments Efforts
0
200
400
600
1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006
+35%
0
200
400
600
1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006
+30%
8
Best practices set up dedicated agencies to “push” innovation
Launch of
Technology Dev.
Program
Launch of
Technology Dev.
Program
Tubitak to manage R&D
and innovation state
support
1) Korea Institute for Advancement of Technology
Source: OECD, World Bank, Booz & Company analysis
R&D Focus
Development
R&D Focus
R&D Focus +
Development
9
The agencies support the transition towards a knowledge economy
Selected Countries’ Path to Knowledge-Based Economy
Note: The discovery of Norway’s oil reserves in 1969 did not push the economy back to natural resource-base, but rather expedited its progress towards a balanced factor-based economy
Source: OECD online database, International Innovation Index 2009, Booz & Company analysis
Resource-Based Economy Factor-Based Economy
Driven by Relative Abundance
in Financial Capital
New Technologies and
Innovation Potential Driven by Relative Abundance
in Natural Resources
Driven by Accumulation
of Financial and Human Capital
Driven by Relative Abundance in Labor (Human Capital)
Knowledge-Based Economy
KSA
(until the 1990s)
China
(until the 1960s)
Norway
(until the 1960s)
Sweden
(until the 1960s)
South Korea
(until the 1960s)
Singapore
(until the 1960s)
(late 1980s - today)
(1960s - 1970s)
(1960s - late 1970s)
(1960s - 1970s)
(1960s - late 1980s)
(1990s - today)
(1980s - today)
(1990s - today)
(late 1990s - today)
Not ordered by
ranking
(1960s - 1970s)
(1970s - 1990s)
(1970s - 1980s)
(late 1970s - late 1990s)
(1970s - 1980s)
(1980s - today)
Taiwan
(until the 1950s)
(1950s - 1970s) (1970s - 1980s) (1980s - today)
10
To accelerate, Saudi Arabia must tackle commercialization gap
A mature science, technology and innovation ecosystem and
institutional brings together the technology know-how, investment
and market need to commercialize high potential technologies
Gap
Commercialization Chasm
Research and Development Production and Dissemination Education Economic
Output
Source: Booz & Company analysis
NSTIP ensured the setup of the key building blocks for innovation
Education
Lobbies & Entrepreneurial
Organizations
Incu
bati
on
Regulatory
Framework
R&D
Co
mm
erc
ializati
on
Infr
astr
uctu
re
Financial
Institutions
Med
ia &
Cu
ltu
re
STI
Ecosystem
Regulatory Framework
Development of National
Science and Technology
Innovation Policy
R&D
USD 271 Million (0.05% of
GDP) spent in 2010 - expected
to rise to 2% in 2024 to fund 11
priorities of KACST
Commercialization
Setup of TAQNIA in 2011 to
commercialize strategic outputs
of research and transfer
international know-how
Education
Over last decade, Government
consistently allocated 25% of
the national budget to
education
Financial Institutions/ Micro-SME
Finance
Saudi Venture Capital Investments
Company to invest SR 375 Million in
nascent SMEs
Incubation
15+ technology incubators set
up in Saudi Arabia
400 new technology jobs
created by BADIR program
Infrastructure
80% household broadband
coverage and extensive
deployment of FTTH and VDSL
networks
Government Programs
11th easiest place to do
business worldwide as
ranked by the World Bank
Lobbies & Entr. Organizations
Setup of Saudi Business
Incubator Network and SIRB
Angel Investors Network
Media & Culture
Entrepreneurship awareness
initiatives – Entrepreneur
Magazine, StartupArabia,
ArabCrunch, Wamda, etc.
Source: World Bank, KACST, KSA Ministry of Education, International Telecommunication Union, Booz & Company analysis
Focus of document
11
NON-EXHAUSTIVE
i. Imperative of a Knowledge-Based Economy for Saudi Arabia
ii. TAQNIA Overview
iii. TAQNIA Opportunities
12
TAQNIA was setup based on a Royal resolution
TAQNIA Setup
Source: TAQNIA, Booz & Company analysis
Established by a Royal Resolution No. (M/ 47) dated
20/7/1432 Hijra, based on Council of Ministers
Resolution No. (217) dated 18/7/1432 Hijra
“TAQNIA will fill the gap that currently exists within the STI
ecosystem in Saudi Arabia. By establishing TAQNIA, the Saudi
Government hopes to build a number of companies based on
solid industrial bases, creating a knowledge society and real
Saudi-based technologies”
Prince Turki bin Saud Al Saud
TAQNIA Chairman
13
TAQNIA governance follows Public Investment Fund guidelines
14
TAQNIA Governance
TAQNIA Board of Directors
His Highness Prince Dr. Turki bin Saud Al Saud
TAQNIA Chairman and representative of King Abdulaziz
City for Science and Technology (KACST)
Mr. Abdullah bin Ibrahim Al Iyadi
TAQNIA Vice Chairman and representative
of the General Investment Fund (GIF)
Dr. Mohammad bin Abdulaziz Al Ohali
Representative of the Ministry of Higher Education
Mr. Ibrahim bin Abdulaziz Al Hinaishil
General Manager of Saudi Credit and Savings Bank
Mr. Khalid bin Hamad Al Juraifani
Representative of Saudi Aramco
Mr. Fahad bin Abdulaziz Al Shuraihi
Representative of Saudi Basic Industries Corporation
(SABIC)
Mr. Abdullah bin Hassan Al Abdulqadir
Representative of the private sector
TAQNIA Key Governing Bodies
Top Management
Selection
Committee
Audit
Committee
Operational
Committee
Investment
Committee
Technology
Board
Committee
Source: TAQNIA, Booz & Company analysis
15
TAQNIA’s vision to support the economy is clear
TAQNIA Vision and Mission Statements
“To drive accelerated diversification of the Kingdom’s economy through knowledge-based
industries thereby creating value-adding jobs, and to help create an innovative ecosystem in
the Kingdom”
“TAQNIA will achieve its vision by investing in local and global technologies and actively
engage in the development and growth of those technologies into economically sustainable
enterprises”
TAQNIA Vision
TAQNIA Mission
Source: TAQNIA, Booz & Company analysis
16
TAQNIA aims to achieve three strategic objectives
TAQNIA Role in Science and Technology Innovation Ecosystem Strategic Objectives
Commercialize Saudi
Innovation to Create
Global Impact
Transfer Strategic
Technologies into the
Kingdom
Create Balanced
Growth Portfolio of
Investments
Support Sustainable
Growth of GDP
Diversify the
Economy
Create New, High-
Quality Jobs
Bridge Commercialization Chasm Transfer International Know-How
Source: TAQNIA, Booz & Company analysis
Attractive Sectors Requiring Significant Government Support/ Financing
17
TAQNIA plays a specific role in the STI1) ecosystem
Education
Lobbies & Entrepreneurial
Organizations
Inc
ub
ati
on
Regulatory
Framework
R&D
Co
mm
erc
iali
zati
on
Infr
astr
uctu
re
Financial
Institutions
Med
ia &
Cu
ltu
re
STI
Ecosystem
TAQNIA
Primary Role
TAQNIA
Secondary Role
TAQNIA Role in Science and Technology Innovation Ecosystem Focus Areas and Key Interfaces
R&D Centers Government Bodies
International
Organizations
Financial Institutions
Private Sector
Entrepreneurial
Organizations
PIF
NON-EXHAUSTIVE
1) Science and Technology Innovation
Source: Booz & Company analysis
Attractive Sectors Requiring Significant Government Support/ Financing
18
TAQNIA will achieve its objectives through three main entities
Commercialize
Saudi Innovation
to Create Global
Impact
Transfer Strategic
Technologies
into the Kingdom
Create Balanced
Growth Portfolio
of Investments
TAQNIA
Industries
TAQNIA
Investments
TAQNIA
Services
Define and fund new
and/or mature
corporations in specific
technology sectors
ensuring sustainable
economic benefits
Invest internationally
with aim of transferring
technologies to KSA
Invest nationally in seed
and early stage
ventures
Provide professional
services related to
commercialization and
utilization of R&D
centers in Saudi Arabia
Bridge Commercialization Chasm Transfer International Know-How
Support Sustainable
Growth of GDP
Diversify the
Economy Create New, High-Quality
Jobs
1 2 3
R&D stream
from KACST
technology
priorities
Funding to
commercialize
R&D into viable
companies and
invest
internationally to
transfer
technology
know-how
PIF1)
1) Public Investment Fund - TAQNIA is a Public Investment Fund company
Source: TAQNIA, Booz & Company analysis
TAQNIA
19
TAQNIA Industries will setup promising technology companies
TAQNIA Industries
TAQNIA Industries
Define and fund new and sustainable corporations in a range of technology sectors that can employ large number of
Saudi nationals and create tangible direct and/or indirect economic benefits to the Kingdom
Saudi-Based
R&D
High-Potential
Technology Sectors
Funding Management
Support
KACST R&D in technology
priorities
Saudi university R&D in
technology sectors
Provide funding for the setup
of large joint venture
corporations that operate in
high-technology segments
(i.e solar industry)
With the support of PIF and
private sector
Provide management and
administrative support for the
setup of the new corporation
until it reaches self-
sustainability
With the support of TAQNIA
Services
Technology sectors where
Kingdom has a competitive
advantage and/ or is
strategic
Source: TAQNIA, Booz & Company analysis
20
TAQNIA Industries will operate within specific sectors
Source: EPIA, SEIA, ISPRE, DesalData, Delta Partners analysis, Booz & Company analysis
Description Priority Sectors Rationale
TAQNIA Industries – Strategic Sectors
Sp
ectr
um
of
Str
ate
gic
Secto
rs
Self-Reliance
Leadership
Increase self-
reliance and
control in sectors
that constitute a
large part of
national
investments
Grow and lead in
sectors which KSA
has some form of
competitive
advantage
Material Science
Energy and
Environment
Water Technology
Military, Security and
Defense
ICT
Highly strategic sector in which KSA already leads through companies like
SABIC, leveraging KSA’s oil & gas resources
Globally important and expanding sector due to rising prices of energy, with a
forecasted size of SAR 198 billion by 2015
KSA has great potential due to its weather conditions
High potential sector with a rising demand in the region
KSA is already one of the leading investors in sector-related activities and
technologies
Critical sector to KSA, reaching SAR 52 billion, equivalent to 9% of total
government expenditure in 2011
Biggest share of government spend SAR 181 billion (21% of total government
expenditure) in 2011. Initiative will address growing focus on security and
sovereignty
Fulfill digitization requirements across all sectors in KSA to enable
competitiveness and growth
Life Science and Health
TAQNIA Industries
National Industrial Strategy is a key input for TAQNIA Industries
Source: National Industrial Strategy, Booz & Company analysis
National Industrial Strategy
Increase industry sector’s
contribution to
Increase industrial value add by
Increase technology based exports
from 30% to
Increase Saudi industrial labor force
from 15% to
20%
of GDP
3x
60%
30%
Improve macro-
economic policies
Launch industrial
complexes and
clusters
Expand SME
community
Enact industrial
innovation strategies
Develop human
resources and
industrial skill set
Enhance industry-
enabling
infrastructure
Select new wave of
industry verticals
Create governance
mechanisms for NIS
1 5
2 6
3 7
4 8
2020 Goals Strategic Axis
21
TAQNIA Industries
22
TAQNIA Investments will invest within and outside Saudi Arabia
TAQNIA Investments
Participate in the Kingdom’s seed and early stage VC funding community to
invest in start-ups and SMEs in the technology sectors defined by NSTIP
Strategic investors include Government, PIF, and public and private
financial institutions
USD 500 Mn
Saudi-registered Venture Capital to invest and manage a portfolio of national and international technology companies to transfer technologies
to the Kingdom while generating profitable returns
TAQNIA Investment Capital
National
Investments
International
Investments
National Investments
TAQNIA Investment Objectives
International Investments
Internationally invest in innovative and/ or disruptive technologies with the
aim of transferring knowledge to the Kingdom
Direct investments in foreign technology companies will
– Employ Saudi nationals for fixed minimum periods
– Assume obligations to create full-time jobs in the Kingdom through
establishment of Saudi-based subsidiary
Strategic investors including private sector, PIF, and public and private
financial institutions
TAQNIA Investments
Source: TAQNIA, Booz & Company analysis
TAQNIA Investments is currently building its skill set
TAQNIA Investments
Research (Invention)
Big Idea (Innovation)
Prototype (Entrepreneurship)
Product (Business Model)
Cashflow (Management)
M&A/ IPO (Business Model)
Primary Scope of Deal Flow Screening and Investment Activity
Direct and trusted relations with a
broad range of targeted
organizations, investors and
professional advisors
Proactive approach to sourcing
deals in key sectors and regions of
interest to the fund
Ability to spot teams that can help
in building a good business
Effective Sourcing
Efficient screening of deal flow and
get to “no” efficiently
Maintains a strong advisory network
with direct access to deep domain
expertise
Effective Due Diligence
Structures win-win-win deals
(Founders-Seed Investor-VC)
Strong co-investment network
Proper Funding
Rigorous commitment to spending
regular and structured time with
portfolio companies
Proactive problem resolution skills
Maintains deep networks for
building out teams, product-market
strategies and business model
development
Effective Portfolio Management
23
TAQNIA Investments
Source: Booz & Company analysis
24
TAQNIA Services will provide specific support services
Management Services Commercialization Support
Activity Details
Investment -
Finance
Identify and analyze commercialization prospects
Conduct valuation assessments, develop business
cases, negotiate and structure deals,
Legal
Provide legal consultation during patent applications,
license agreements and venture exits through IPOs and
acquisitions
Technical
Assessment
Assess the strategic soundness of potential
commercialization opportunities
Assess the technical merit of the proposals/ prototypes
for IP protection
Advisory -
Consultancy
Advise KACST programs in commercialization strategy
Provide consultations in start-up formation and on-going
mentorship to the entrepreneurs
Marketing -
Network
Increase awareness of entrepreneurship
Network with industrial sector and other parties for
possible partnerships
Strategy -
Business
Developmnet
Ensure investment alignment with long term vision and
mission
Routinely monitor performance
Service Details
Planning
Develop strategic objectives and related initiatives for
different KACST programs
Develop KPIs, targets and milestones
Develop forecasts
Management
Manage day-to-day program activities
Track KPIs and initiatives progress
Provide regular reports to the KACST management
Public Relations Manage public relations for topics related to innovation,
innovation funding, entrepreneurship
Shared Services
Provide shared services in
– Procurement and logistics
– Accounting
– IT (web hosting for clients etc.)
Recruiting
Recruit international experts for short term projects
through TICo without going for elaborate contracting
process
Training
Conduct basic training courses in
– Safety
– Management etc.
TAQNIA Services
TAQNIA Services
Source: Booz & Company analysis
Professional services organization that will provide a range of services to commercialize R&D outputs
TAQNIA efforts will be coordinated to maximize synergies
TAQNIA Focus Areas Development and Investment Mandate
Priority Sector I
Sub-Sector I
Sub-Sector II
Priority Sector II
Sub-Sector I
Sub-Sector II
Priority Sector III
Sub-Sector I
Sub-Sector II
EXAMPLE
25
TAQNIA
Development Priorities Investment Priorities
Benefits
Maximum synergies for both TAQNIA entities
Faster development and knowledge transfer
Maximum impact on Saudi Arabia economy
Synergies
Kn
ow
led
ge In
teg
rati
on
TAQNIA Industries
Drive the development
activities of TAQNIA
Industries in the setup of new
industries
TAQNIA Investments
Drive majority of investments
activities of TAQNIA
Investments internationally
and nationally
Knowledge transfer to
KSA to maximize
impact
Source: Booz & Company analysis
Focus Priorities
TAQNIA Services
Drive the commercialization
activities of TAQNIA Services
to feed the wider technology
focus in KSA
Synergies
Execu
tion
Inte
gra
tio
n
26
TAQNIA will pursue a value-adding role
TAQNIA Positioning
Low
High
Low High
Financer
Facilitator
Developer Fin
an
cia
l
Att
racti
ve
ne
ss
Complexity of Development
TAQNIA leaves development to
private sector, but provides
financing to offset low financial
attractiveness
TAQNIA leaves sector to be
developed by private sector and
could just play a role in raising
awareness
TAQNIA leaves financing,
execution and operation to
private sector but provides
development support and
access to technologies
TAQNIA actively drives
development, financing and
operations of underlying sectors
Private Sector
Potential JVs with
private sector
Limited
involvement
Direct
involvement
Potential JVs with
private sector
Source: Booz & Company analysis
TAQNIA
27
TAQNIA will manage the push and pull of development ideas
Development Opportunities Selection
Government
Entities
R&D Centers
Entrepreneurial
Organizations
Private Sector
National
Strategies
Investment
Opportunities
International
Technology
Centers
Prioritized Development/ Investment Opportunities
TAQNIA
Development
Framework
TAQNIA
Development
Framework
Source: Booz & Company analysis
28
Through its mandate, TAQNIA will aim to diversify the economy
Saudi Arabia GDP Breakdown (in % Contribution)
As a key player of Saudi Arabia’s Knowledge-Based
economy, TAQNIA will contribute to the growth and
diversification of the economy
KSA Economic Growth Outlook
47%
55%
35%
KSA 2020
TAQNIA X-Factor
KSA 2012
53%
Oil
Non-Oil
Technology
CONCEPTUAL
889851814779750722697683657
+4%
2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012
Saudi Arabia GDP Forecast (in USD Bn) (2011-2020)
GDP per
Capita
(USD) 21,196 24,428
+15%
Note: IMF WEO estimates start after 2011
Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database (October 2012); Booz & Company analysis
29
TAQNIA X-Factor supports diversification in high-growth sectors
All Sectors Sector Assessment
Dimensions
Prioritized Sectors
Satellites
Defense
Electricity and
Water
Biotech
Robotics
Economic
Attractiveness
Risk
Profile
Competitive
Dynamics
Strategic
Relevance
1
2
3
4
5
ILLUSTRATIVE
Aeronautics
Satellites
Defense
Radars
Electricity and Water
Communications Systems
Security
Solar
Membranes
MEMS
Nuclear Isotopes
N2 (Waste)
Wind Energy
Materials
Lighting
GIS
Biotech
Automotive
Geosciences
Environment
Robotics
Tools and Parts
Strategic Relevance
Alignment to National Plans
KACST R&D Priorities
Alignment to TAQNIA Objectives
Leadership Potential
Strategic Relevance
Sector Growth Potential
Job Creation Potential
Sector Profitability
Economic Stimulation
Competitive Dynamics
Global Competitive Intensity
Regional Competitive Intensity
Local Market Status
Risk Profile
Economic Risk
Operational Risk
Geo-Political Risk
Sector Assessment
Dimensions
Source: Booz & Company analysis
TAQNIA Sectors Prioritization and Assessment
30
TAQNIA is finalizing its strategy and building its core capabilities
Immediate Action Plan
Internal Capability Build-Up
Continue build-up of internal capabilities along TAQNIA Industries, Investments and Services
STI Ecosystem Alignment
Continue aligning STI ecosystem and its key stakeholders to cement TAQNIA’s national mandate
Detailed Strategy
Finalization
Finalize the detailing of
TAQNIA strategy and
secure approval from
Board of Directors
Operating Model
Setup
Finalize the setup of
TAQNIA’s operating model
to ensure streamlined and
efficient operations
1 2
Technology Sectors
Prioritization
Finalize prioritization of technology
sectors to focus on – priority
sectors to act as mandate for all
TAQNIA activities
3
Oct‘12 Nov’12 Dec’12 Jan’13 Feb’13 Mar’13 Apr’13
a
b
Source: Booz & Company analysis
i. Imperative of a Knowledge-Based Economy for Saudi Arabia
ii. TAQNIA Overview
iii. TAQNIA Opportunities
31
Opportunities are assessed for their value-add to the economy
32
TAQNIA Sectors Assessment
Strategic Relevance
How aligned is the sector to
Saudi Arabia’s strategic priorities
and national development plans?
Scoring Correlation
Alignment to National Plans
KACST R&D Priorities
Alignment to TAQNIA
Objectives
Leadership Potential
Sco
re
Str
ate
gic
Rele
van
ce
+
–
+
–
Economic Attractiveness
To what extent are the sector’s
economics viable and beneficial
to Saudi Arabia?
Scoring Correlation
Sector Growth Potential
Job Creation Potential
Sector Profitability
Economic Stimulation of
other Sectors
Sco
re
Eco
no
mic
Att
racti
ven
ess
+
–
+
–
Competitive Dynamics
To what extent can Saudi Arabia
develop a strong positioning in
the sector’s competitive
landscape?
Scoring Correlation
Global Competitive Intensity
Regional Competitive
Intensity
Local Market Status
Sco
re
Co
mp
eti
tiv
e D
yn
am
ics
+
–
+
–
Risk Profile
What are the risks (operational,
economic, geo-political)
associated with the investment
opportunity?
Scoring Correlation
Economic Risk
Operational Risk
Geo-Political Risk
Sco
re
Ris
k P
rofi
le
+
–
+
–
Source: Booz & Company analysis
33
Power demand is growing at a fast rate
Energy & Environment Sector Overview
6%
2020
464
2011
268
Electricity Demand - TWh
55 103 Capacity (GW)
SR Bn Cumulative
Investments
2017 in Figures
390
Power Generation
Projects 34
New
Substations 25
SEC
SWCC
Large
Co.
I(W)PPs
K.A.CARE
Marafiq
Sole Power
Provider
Water
Desalination
Aramco
Sabic
Independent
Projects
Nuclear and
Renewables
Independent
Utilities
Provider
Oil Production
87%
13%
Other
KSA Power
SR 100 Bn
Opportunity
Cost
Challenge Opportunity
Alternative Energy
Fossil-Based
2030 Proposed
Power Mix
55%
45%
Passing of electricity law in 2005 providing
support for ECRA to liberalize the market, with
emphasis on competition and private sector
participation
Private sector participation in generation – 7 privately owned / operated power plants – 3 under construction
On-going unbundling of SEC, with creating of
Transco
Facts and Figures Ecosystem and Key Players
Achievements Opportunities and Challenges
Source: Booz & Company analysis
34
TAQNIA could seek to support the development of local industry
Energy & Environment Trends
Trend Global Trends KSA Trends
1 Generation
Fossil fuels to remain the main
source at 80% of demand by
2030
Higher growth rates for wind,
solar, and biofuels
– 20% renewables target share
of energy usage in EU by 2030
– Potentially 33% Solar power
share worldwide after 2060
Solar cell and module
manufacturing moving to China
55% of generation mix earmarked
by K.A.CARE as alternative
power by 2030
– 41 GW solar (PV and CSP)
– 22 GW nuclear
– 7 GW wind
SR ~820 Bn in capital
investments in generation by
2030
Strong drive to develop local
industry and know-how
2
Transmission
and
Distribution
Proliferation of renewable energy
and impact on transmission
Smart meters shifting from
deployment to applications (80%
of Europe will benefit from smart
metering by 2020
Potentially substantial smart grid
investments (SR ~60 Bn) in order
to integrate intermittent renewable
sources into the national grid and
manage peak demand growth
TAQNIA Takeaways
Opportunities to support
investments to develop
local content in solar
upstream and downstream
Potential to develop smart
grid technology
applications to integrate
renewables into the
national grid and manage
customer demand
(batteries, smart meters)
Source: IAEA, ExxonMobil, PikeResearch, The Brattle Group, Harris Williams, Booz & Company analysis
Water Technology Sector Overview
KSA relies on desalinated water and lags in wastewater coverage
35
Facts and Figures Ecosystem and Key Players
Achievements Opportunities and Challenges
Saudi Arabia is the largest producer of desalinated
water in the world
Commercialization of TSE through NWC – New tertiary
plants
Development of patents in desalination technology
Advanced solar desalination plant co-developed by Aramco and
IBM
State-of-the-art water technology research centers and facilities
Increased spending & investment requirements in
water and wastewater
Aim to provide 100% wastewater coverage by 2020
Promotion of conservation and re-use of treated water
Research and development in desalination to reduce costs
and ensure environmental sustainability
Limited cost recovery from water and wastewater tariffs (revenues
cover about 10 percent of capital and operational costs)
Limited local industry
7% annual water demand growth driven by population and GDP
growth
Desalination capacity growth estimated at 8% annually (2012-2016)
while wastewater treatment network coverage growth is around 4%
annually (2012-2032)
High agriculture usage of water (over 80% due to food
security and landscaping)
Investment in water infrastructure amounts to around
USD 6 Bn/ year, corresponding to 1.4% of GDP, or
USD 200/ capita/ year – among the highest worldwide
Utility players – MoWE, NWC, SWCC, Marafiq, IWPPs
Research in water studie – SWCC, KACST, KAUST, KAU, KFUPM
Water technology providers mostly large global companies
Desalination technology providers – ABB, McIlvane,
Veolia, GE Water
Wastewater treatment technology providers –
Aecom, Parkson
Source: Booz & Company analysis
Desalination and wastewater technologies are relevant to TAQNIA
36
Trend Trend Overview Key Indicators
1
Increasing
reliance of
seawater
desalination
High water demand growth
Reduced reliance on
groundwater resources 8%
growth in
capacity
2
Increase in
wastewater reuse
and treatment
NWC commitment to ramp up
and monetize waste water re-
use
Increase in wastewater
treatment capacity to meet
100% coverage targets
Around 15%
annual growth in
reused
wastewater
3 Resource
management
Increased re-use of water for
non-potable uses
Re-allocating water resources
effectively and optimizing
resources
Over 80% water
used for
agriculture
4
Research and
investment in
cost reduction
and conservation
Development of water
research centers and
institutions
Development of solar-
powered desalination plants
Over SR 8 Bn
budget for
national research
center
Localization of the desalination and
wastewater industry
Development of water conservation
technologies
Support for R&D and
commercialization of patents
Development of local water reuse
market
Innovation in desalination and
wastewater technologies
Source: Booz & Company analysis
Water Technology National Trends TAQNIA Takeaways