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L. Rastae)er, M. Kuznetsova, D. Knipp, L. Kilcommons, A.Ridley, D. Weimer Joule Heating/Poynting Flux/ Model/Data Comparison. Very Preliminary Results h"p://ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov

Joule Heating/Poynting Flux/ Model/Data …GEM-CEDAR Challenge Challenge Workshop status Both CEDAR and GEM communities have recognized that due to the maturity and increasing complexity

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Page 1: Joule Heating/Poynting Flux/ Model/Data …GEM-CEDAR Challenge Challenge Workshop status Both CEDAR and GEM communities have recognized that due to the maturity and increasing complexity

L.  Rastae)er,  M.  Kuznetsova,  

D.  Knipp,  L.  Kilcommons,  

A.Ridley,  D.  Weimer  

Joule Heating/Poynting Flux/ Model/Data Comparison.

Very Preliminary Results

h"p://ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov  

Page 2: Joule Heating/Poynting Flux/ Model/Data …GEM-CEDAR Challenge Challenge Workshop status Both CEDAR and GEM communities have recognized that due to the maturity and increasing complexity
Page 3: Joule Heating/Poynting Flux/ Model/Data …GEM-CEDAR Challenge Challenge Workshop status Both CEDAR and GEM communities have recognized that due to the maturity and increasing complexity
Page 4: Joule Heating/Poynting Flux/ Model/Data …GEM-CEDAR Challenge Challenge Workshop status Both CEDAR and GEM communities have recognized that due to the maturity and increasing complexity

Time Series Plotting Tool

Page 5: Joule Heating/Poynting Flux/ Model/Data …GEM-CEDAR Challenge Challenge Workshop status Both CEDAR and GEM communities have recognized that due to the maturity and increasing complexity

Time Series Plotting Tool

Several orbits of DMSP during 2005.243 (Event 4 of GEM 2008)

Modeled Joule Heating

Poynting Flux Sz from DMSP

[mW/cm2]

Page 6: Joule Heating/Poynting Flux/ Model/Data …GEM-CEDAR Challenge Challenge Workshop status Both CEDAR and GEM communities have recognized that due to the maturity and increasing complexity

half-orbits

Weimer and SWMF often line up better with strongest fluxes

CTIPe shows correct magnitude

times of minima

Page 7: Joule Heating/Poynting Flux/ Model/Data …GEM-CEDAR Challenge Challenge Workshop status Both CEDAR and GEM communities have recognized that due to the maturity and increasing complexity

More half-orbits

Page 8: Joule Heating/Poynting Flux/ Model/Data …GEM-CEDAR Challenge Challenge Workshop status Both CEDAR and GEM communities have recognized that due to the maturity and increasing complexity

Analysis  of  a  single  half-­‐orbit  

Skill  scores:  

PredicCon  Efficiency  Log-­‐Spectral  Distance  

PredicCon  Yield  CorrelaCon  

Timing Error (here for CTIPe) To be added:

Page 9: Joule Heating/Poynting Flux/ Model/Data …GEM-CEDAR Challenge Challenge Workshop status Both CEDAR and GEM communities have recognized that due to the maturity and increasing complexity

Half-Orbit Averaged

-20

0

20

40

60

80

12 16 20 24 28 32hours

(-1) * DMSP 9_SWMF 1_WEIMER 1_CTIPE

CTIPe shows best average values Weimer and SWMF very similar to each other

Page 10: Joule Heating/Poynting Flux/ Model/Data …GEM-CEDAR Challenge Challenge Workshop status Both CEDAR and GEM communities have recognized that due to the maturity and increasing complexity

Conclusions  

•  First  model  results  look  promising  •  Need  to  compute  new  skill  scores:  

– Timing  errors  within  each  half-­‐orbit  

-­‐  …  

•  Need  more  model  submissions.  

•  Compute  Joule  HeaCng  from  exisCng  GEM-­‐CEDAR  runs.