John Groesbeck

Ryan Umina

Neil Mudjer

Dan Armgardt

Themes Politics

Social-Economic Impact

Future Damming and Implications

Uses of Dams Water Supply

Navigation

Hydropower

Stabilize Water Flow

Irrigation

Flood Prevention

Water Diversion

http://www.crem-ltd.com/renewables_hydro.html

Negative aspects of Dams Loss of Land

Loss of Biodiversity

Dam Failure

Agriculture

Fishing Stocks

Disease

http://www.thehindu.com/news/states/kerala/article46784.ece

World Commission on Dams Created in 1997 World Bank and World

Conservation Union

"dams have made an important and significant contribution to human development, and benefits derived from them have been considerable... in too many cases an unacceptable and often unnecessary price has been paid to secure those benefits, especially in social and environmental terms, by people displaced, by communities downstream, by taxpayers and by the natural environment."

http://networkingaction.net/2010/02/financial-crisis-as-a-large-system-change-challenge/

Politics of Damming Foreign

Water Quotas

Political Leverage

Private Economic (Odebrecht,

Eletrobras)

Domestic Water Needs

Power

Agriculture

Property Rights http://greeneconomygroup.wordpress.com/2011/02/01/belo-monte-17-billion-dollar-hydro-electric-project-gets-the-green-light/

Colorado River Compact Signed in 1922

Upper Basin: Colorado, Utah, Wyoming, New Mexico, and Arizona

Lower Basin: California, Arizona, and Nevada

1936 Hoover Dam

“California Problem”

http://coloradoindependent.com/4741/mccain-gaffe-on-water-rights-could-lose-colorado-voters

Amazon River Basin Dam Project -Belo Monte Dam (11,233

MW)

-Xingu River

10 Billion Dollars

Rio Madeira

Santo Antonio (3,120 MW) 2011

Jirau (3,300 MW) 2012

15 Billion Dollarshttp://connect.in.com/belo-monte/photos-1-1-1-b4667329172b5c4521f9cb6896e65065.html

Projection

We will provide a timeline of events that we, as well as many experts, believe may lead to the first “water war” in modern history.

1959

A second agreement is signed giving Egypt and Sudan nearly full reign over Nile River Waters.

1980

Then Egyptian President states, “The only matter that could take Egypt to war again is water.”

The Nile Water Agreement is signed giving Egypt the majority share of Nile waters.

1929

http://geography.howstuffworks.com/africa/the-nile-river.htm

Effects of Current Control Upstream countries unable to use Nile Waters as they

see fit.

Has led to years of economic oppression for most upstream countries.

May 14, 2010 Ethiopia, Uganda, Tanzania, and Rwanda sign an

agreement to change policy on the Nile River waters.

Kenya issues a supporting statement and signs agreement shortly after.

The agreement will later become known as the Entebbe treaty.

Ethiopia’s water resources minister says, “This agreement benefits all of us and harms none of us.”

The agreement gives Egypt, Sudan, Burundi, and the Democratic Republic of the Congo one year to join.

The treaty aims to change the control of Nile River waters.

June 27, 2010 Egyptian Minister of

Water Resources Mohamed Nasr el-Din Alam announces that Egypt, “understood” that the five upstream states had signed the agreement and that they will face legal and institutional repercussions. http://www.topnews.in/nile-basin-countries-discuss-nile-water-resources-

egypt-meeting-2193745

June 28, 2010 The Five East African countries announce their refusal

to go back on a deal signed in May.

Sudan announces that because of the Nile Basin Initiative, they can no longer cooperate with those countries for legal issues.

November 23, 2010 Meles Zenawi, the

Ethiopian Prime Minister tells Reuters that Egypt could not win a war with Ethiopia over the Nile.

The Prime Minister believes that the Egyptians are supporting rebel groups to destabilize the country.

The PM believes he can neutralize these groups by addressing the issues around which the rebel groups are mobilized.

http://nazret.com/blog/index.php/2009/08/13/ethiopia_s_resilient_prime_minister

Egypt’s Response

The Egyptian Prime Minster responds say that he is “amazed by the language used, and that they are not seeking war, nor will there be a war.”

http://womenslens.blogspot.com/2010_03_14_archive.html

January 25, 2011

Twitter Photo

February 11, 2011• Egyptian President, Hosni

Mubarak, resigns.

• Power is turned over to the Supreme Council of Egyptian Armed forces.

http://www.thegrio.com/opinion/will-egypts-protests-have-a-domino-effect-in-africa.php

March 1, 2011 Reuters reports Burundi has signed the Entebbe treaty.

Sudan and the Democratic Republic of Congo have not signed, but Kenya stated last year that Congo is expected to join.

Egypt’s Response Egyptian Water Resources and Irrigation Minister

states, “Egypt welcomes all cooperation with Nile Basin States on development projects, on condition that Egypt’s water shares are not harmed.”

March 20, 2011 UN-Water chair, Zafar Adeel, states

he is meeting with experts in Canada to discuss water and security.

Adeels says, “We think that water is an issue that would be a appropriate for the U.N. Security Council.”

He goes on to state, “stresses on water supplies due to global warming and a rising population --which is set to grow to 9 billion by 2050 from 7 billion in 2011 -- could heighten the risk of future conflicts.”

http://www.h2bidblog.com/prominent-personalities

March 30, 2011 Ethiopian Prime Minister announces that work on

“The Great Millennium Dam” will start soon.

The Dam will be the 10th largest in the world and will run 40 kilometers across the Sudanese Border.

March 31, 2011 Egyptian Irrigation Minster announces he is waiting

for the Ethiopian Government to reply to his request for technical and environmental studies of the Great Millennium Dam.

April 2, 2011 Prime Minister Meles Zanawi

lays the corner stone for the Millennium Dam Project.

Ethiopia responds to Egypt’s inquiry, “Any questions they have about the development of water have to come through the Cooperative Framework Agreement or the Entebbe Treaty. This is the spirit and purpose of the CFA and we will not deal with them unless it is through the CFA.”

http://www.ethioembassy.org.uk/

Egypt’s Response Egypt sends a 40-man delegation to Uganda in order

to gain support.

The delegation includes many top officials, including Presidential hopefuls.

The delegation fails.

April 24, 2011 Ethiopia announces it will not release requested

information to Egypt until they sign the new cooperative framework agreement and relinquish veto power of the Nile.

Furthermore, they will not allow Egypt to examine the dam project itself until a new agreement is signed.

May 14, 2011 According to the original agreement, this will be the

deadline for the remaining countries to sign the agreement.

Why Does it Matter?

In Review Pros/Cons of Dams

Social/Economic Implications

Politics of Dams

Colorado River Compact

Amazon River Dams

New Millennium Dam Case Study

Works Cited Arizona. Water Resources Research Center. College of Agriculture and Life Sciences. By Joe Gelt. University of Arizona. Web. 20 Apr. 2011.

<http://ag.arizona.edu/azwater/arroyo/101comm.html>.

Borzutzky, S., & Berger, D. (2010). Dammed If You Do, Dammed If You Don't: The Eisenhower Administration and the Aswan Dam. Middle East Journal, 64(1), 84-102.

Degeorges, A., & Reilly, B. K. (2007). Eco-Politics of Dams on the Gambia River. International Journal of Water Resources Development, 23(4), 641-657.

GROSS, T. L. (2008). IMPROVEMENT WITH IMPUNITY: DEVELOPMENT-INDUCED DISPLACEMENT AND THE GUIDING PRINCIPLE 6(2)(C) PROPORTIONALITY TEST APPLIED TO THE MEROWE DAM PROJECT IN SUDAN. American University International Law Review, 24(2), 377-406.

Dingwerth, K. (2005). The Democratic Legitimacy of Public-Private Rule Making: What Can We Learn from the World Commission on Dams?. Global Governance, 11(1)

Bijker, W. E. (2007). Dikes and Dams, Thick with Politics. ISIS: Journal of the History of Science in Society, 98(1), 109-123.

Jongerden, J. (2010). Dams and Politics in Turkey: Utilizing Water, Developing Conflict. Middle East Policy, 17(1), 137-143.

Lund, C. (2009). Recategorizing ‘Public’ and ‘Private’ Property in Ghana. Development & Change, 40(1), 131-148.

McCormick S. Damming the Amazon: Local Movements and Transnational Struggles Over Water. Society & Natural Resources [serial online]. January 2011;24(1):34-48. Available from: Academic Search Premier, Ipswich, MA. Accessed April 20, 2011.

Littlefield D. WATER AND THE WEST: The Colorado River Compact and the Politics of Water in the American West. California Legal History[serial online]. January 2010;5:428-430. Available from: America: History & Life, Ipswich, MA. Accessed April 20, 2011.

Works Cited "Ethiopia PM Warns of Nile War - Africa - Al Jazeera English." AJE - Al Jazeera English. 24 Nov. 2010.

Web. 24 Apr. 2011. <http://english.aljazeera.net/news/middleeast/2010/11/20101124152728280839.html>.

"E African Nations Firm on Nile Deal - Middle East - Al Jazeera English." AJE - Al Jazeera English. 28 June 2010. Web. 24 Apr. 2011. <http://english.aljazeera.net/news/middleeast/2010/06/201062871134786105.html>.

Nduwinmana, Patrick. "Burundi Joins Nile Basin Pact Opposed by Egypt | Reuters." Business & Financial News, Breaking US & International News | Reuters.com. 01 Mar. 2011. Web. 24 Apr. 2011. <http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/01/us-burundi-nile-idUSTRE72041320110301>.

Staff. "Egypt Stays Opposed to Ethiopia’s Grand Millennium Dam Project." Ethiopian News. Www.Ezega.com, 11 Apr. 2011. Web. 12 Apr. 2011. <http://www.ezega.com/News/NewsDetails.aspx?Page=heads&NewsID=2847>.

"Tensions Escalate over Amazon Mega Dam - Opinion - Al Jazeera English." AJE - Al Jazeera English. Web. 25 Apr. 2011. <http://english.aljazeera.net/indepth/opinion/2011/04/201145115820561110.html>.