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US Budget Picture – What Changed?
From 2001 to 2013, all figures adjusted for inflation and population growth.
Spending Revenue05
10152025303540
Percentage Growth Since 2001
US Budget OutlookRepublicans and Democrats will continue to make
last minute compromises.
Spending is starting to increase again ($65 billion this year).Sequester was working, so it is over.
Democrats will push for more tax revenues, but probably won’t get much if any.
We will continue with deficits that are 2-3 times what used to be the historical record.
Minimum Wage
1967
1970
1973
1976
1979
1982
1985
1988
1991
1994
1997
2000
2003
2006
2009
2012
$0.00$1.00$2.00$3.00$4.00$5.00$6.00$7.00$8.00
Immigration ReformIt looks like something will happen this year
in Congress.
Republicans are proposing citizenship for those brought as kids, legalization for adults.
President Obama will agree.
If the more extreme on both sides do not block it, looks like a deal will be done.Ag better get a seat at the table if they want
to be included.
Debt CeilingDebt limit is reached tomorrow.
Treasury can cook the books for 1-3 months.
Republicans cannot decide what do ask for in exchange Keystone XL Pipeline, border security,
repatriated profits ???
Likely solution is a minor concession to get a deal.
Obamacare Problems Still Developing Website still cannot communicate well with insurance
cos.
Website security still lacking.
Insurance Bailout looms if the sign-ups are too old & sick.
People are starting to discover issues with doctors, co-pays, etc.
This will still be problem for Democrats for at least this year.
Georgia Budget OutlookRevenues for FY14 are +5.1% so far, exceeding
the 4.6% needed for budget.
December was up 3.8%, but trend is confused by change in car tag tax.
AES and CES continue to try to hang on to small gains in budgeted funds, essentially enough to offset some of the increased costs of employee benefits.
University as a whole doing better in budget.
Georgia Economic OutlookGeorgia appears to be finally growing faster than the
US average again (after 5 years of slower growth).
Georgia economy should grow at 3+% in 2014
Personal and disposable income are both growing, so consumer spending should increase in the 3-4% range
Georgia is continuing to outperform right now at landing big new job gains (Engineered Floors, State Farm, GM, AT&T, Toyom Hostess Brands, Tyson Foods).