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Yuki Sadamitsu
Director, Oil and Gas Division
Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry of Japan
Japan’s Energy Policy
2030(After energy
conservation measures)
2013(Actual result)
Energy demand
Final energy consumption
Heat, gasoline,
town gas, etc.75%
Electric power 25%
361 million kl
Thorough energy conservation50.3 million kL
13% lower than before the implementation of the energy
conservation measures
Electric power28%
Heat, gasoline,
town gas, etc.72%
Economic growth1.7%/year
326 million kl
Primary energy supply
2030
Coal25%
Natural gas18%
Petroleum30%
Renewable energy13 to 14%
Nuclear power10 to 11%
489 million kL
LPG 3%
Self-sufficiency
rate24.3%
* Values are approximate.
1. Energy demand and primary energy supply1. Energy demand and primary energy supply
1
K-SADAMITSU
2. Japan continues to be the largest LNG player despite itsdemand decrease
2. Japan continues to be the largest LNG player despite itsdemand decrease
1970 2010 2012 2030
Fossil Fuel 92% 82% 92% 76%
Others 8% 18% 8% 24%
1970 2010 2012 2030
Oil 70% 40% 44% 33%
Coal 21% 23% 23% 25%
Natural Gas 1% 19% 25% 18%
1970 2010 2012 2030
LNG 1 million ton 71 million ton 90 million ton 62 million ton
Ratio of Each Energy Source in Primary Energy Supply
2
(※Within 2015:Transition to new regulatory authority)
1streform
Legal Unbundling
【1st Step】Apr. 2015
【2nd Step】Apr. 2016
【3rd Step】Apr. 2020
2ndreform
3rdreform
Establishment of OCCTO*
Full Liberalization
of Retail Market
Transitional Period of Regulated Retail Tariff
Abolishment of Retail Tariff
Establishment of EMSC**
*The Organization for Cross‐regional Coordination of Transmission Operators
Sep.
**The Electricity Market Surveillance Committee
3. Electricity Market Reform Roadmap3. Electricity Market Reform Roadmap
3
K-SADAMITSU
4. Japanese energy system reform puts Japanese utilitiesunder competition
4. Japanese energy system reform puts Japanese utilitiesunder competition
OilCompanies
ElectricityCompanies
GasCompanies
Oil ProducingCountries
Gas ProducingCountries
OilUser
ElectricityUser
GasUser
Energy Companies
Procurement
OilCompanies
ElectricityCompanies
GasCompanies
Oil ProducingCountries
Gas ProducingCountries
ProcurementProcurement
Supply SupplySupply Supply
OilUser
ElectricityUser
GasUser
4
Japan has tried to mitigate supply disruption and secure stable supply by diversifying supply sources. In June 2014, Papua New Guinea became a new supplier.
Japan has a diversified portfolio with the largest supplier only accounting for 20% of total supply and the Middle East dependency at 30%.
(Canada)LNG Canada Project (2021‐, 13MTA) Pacific Northwest LNG Project (2019‐, 12MTA)
(U.S.A)Sabine Pass Project (2016‐, 18MTA) Freeport Project (2018‐, 13.9MTA) Cove Point Project (2017‐, 5.8MTA) Cameron Project (2018‐, 12MTA) (Australia)
Wheatstone LNG Project (2016‐, 8.9MTA)Ichthys LNG Project (2017‐, 8.9 MTA)Prelude FLNG Project (2017‐, 3.6MTA)
(Mozambique, Nigeria)Rovuma Area 1 (2019‐, 12MTA)Brass LNG Project (10 MTA)
(Southeast Asia)Abadi Project (7.5MTA)
5
2014LNG Import88.5 MTA
<production><under construction><planned>
Australia21%
Qatar18%
Malaysia17%
Russia10%
Indonesia7%
UAE6%
Nigeria5%
Brunei5%
Oman4% Others
7%
5. LNG Procurement Strategy – Diversification5. LNG Procurement Strategy – Diversification
K-SADAMITSU
Japan is dependent on the Middle East for its crude oil imports (83%). Russia is the largest oil supplier except the Middle East (8%).
6
USA
Mexico
Venezuela
Russia
11.3 days
18.4 days
From Venezuela39.2 days
24.2days
3days
18.5days
Australia
15days
Canada
6. Oil Procurement Strategy – Diversification6. Oil Procurement Strategy – Diversification
0.0%0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4.3%
8.6% 9.1%9.5%
9.8%9.5%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
10.0%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
0.7%0.7%
3.5%3.4%
4.4%
7.1%
4.2%4.6%
6.9%
8.2%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Russian shares in Japan’s total oil imports
Source:Natural Resources and Energy Statistics
Year Year
Source:MOF Trade Statistics
S1 startedoil exports
S2 started full‐year production
ESPO startedoil exports
In addition to oil imports from Sakhalin I (2005) and Sakhalin II (1999), the construction of ESPO (2009, 2012) has led to the increase of oil imports from Russia. Currently, Japan imports 8% of its oil from Russia.
Japan imports 10% of its LNG from Sakhalin II, which started LNG exports to Japan from March 2009.
Russian shares in Japan’s total LNG imports
S2 startedLNG exports
ESPO Phase IIStarted oil exports
7
7. Increased importance of Oil & LNG import from Russia7. Increased importance of Oil & LNG import from Russia
K-SADAMITSU
ESPO Phase I(Sep. 2009)
ESPO Phase II(Dec. 2012)
Gas Pipeline
Oil Pipeline
Sakhalin II
・Japanese Firms (Mitsui & Co. Ltd,
Mitsubishi Corporation)・Crude Oil exports to
Japan (since 1999)・LNG exports to Japan
(since 2009)
Sakhalin I
・Japanese Firm (SODECO)・Crude Oil exports to Japan
(since 2005)・Natural Gas undeveloped
INK-Zapad
・Japanese Firm (Itochu, INPEX, JOGMEC)
・Exploration
8
8. Russia and Japan cooperation projects 8. Russia and Japan cooperation projects
2. Shallow Methane Gas Hydrate1. Deep Methane Gas Hydrate1.Offshore Production Test- From March 12-18, 2013- World’s first offshore methane gas hydrate
production by the depressurization method- Total output: 120,000 cubic meters
Ave. daily output: 20,000 cubic meters
2.Cooperation with USA- Based on the Statement of Intent which singed
in 2008, JOGMEC of Japan and NETL of the USA singed MOU concerning Japan-U.S. Collaborationon Methane Hydrate research in Alaska on Nov. 6, 2014.
1.Evaluation of the resource reserves- Shallow methane gas hydrates mainly exists in
the Sea of Japan.- Evaluation of the resource reserve(2013-)- Conducted geological research in 2013 and
2014, discovered 971 potential areas with gas chimneys.
- Drilling survey of shallow methane hydrate in 2014
2.Current Status- Conducted detailed and wide-area geological
research and core sampling
Gas Chimney
Example of cross-sectiondiagram of the sea bed
Flare from offshoreproduction test
Core samples shallow methane
hydrate
9. Domestic resource development (Methane Gas Hydrate) 9. Domestic resource development (Methane Gas Hydrate)
9
K-SADAMITSU