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Investor Presentation January 2018

January 2018 - Pemex Archivos... · 2018-02-09 · Extraction Assignment Asset Assignment that doesn’t belong to the cluster Cluster Reserves (MMboe) Oil Type Area (Km2) 1P 2P 3P

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Page 1: January 2018 - Pemex Archivos... · 2018-02-09 · Extraction Assignment Asset Assignment that doesn’t belong to the cluster Cluster Reserves (MMboe) Oil Type Area (Km2) 1P 2P 3P

Investor Presentation

January 2018

Page 2: January 2018 - Pemex Archivos... · 2018-02-09 · Extraction Assignment Asset Assignment that doesn’t belong to the cluster Cluster Reserves (MMboe) Oil Type Area (Km2) 1P 2P 3P

Content

A Snapshot of PEMEX

Upstream

Midstream & Downstream

Overall Financial Performance

Business Outlook

1

1

Page 3: January 2018 - Pemex Archivos... · 2018-02-09 · Extraction Assignment Asset Assignment that doesn’t belong to the cluster Cluster Reserves (MMboe) Oil Type Area (Km2) 1P 2P 3P

O&G: The Industry Moving the World• According to the IEA, by 2040, crude oil demand is expected to grow 6% up to 103

MMbd, while natural gas consumption increases by 50%

21 Btoe: billion tons of oil equivalent

2 Includes geothermal, solar, wind, heat and electricity trade.

Source : Key world energy statistics & World Energy Outlook 2017, International Energy Agency,

56%

11%

11%

22%

O&G

Coal

Biofuels and waste

Other

World energy

consumption 2015

100% = 9.4 Btoe1

2

9.4

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

10.0

O&G Coal Biofuels andwaste

Other Fuels 2015Total

Consumption

Btoe

Industry Transport Other uses Non-energy use

2

Page 4: January 2018 - Pemex Archivos... · 2018-02-09 · Extraction Assignment Asset Assignment that doesn’t belong to the cluster Cluster Reserves (MMboe) Oil Type Area (Km2) 1P 2P 3P

PEMEX: The Most Important Company in Mexico

3

8th Crude oil producer1

18th largest oil company1

152nd largest company3

170th most valuable brand4

Main producer of oil, gas and

refined products in Mexico

16th Refining company worldwide1

Holder of 95% of the country's 1P

reserves

Key player in hydrocarbons

logistics infrastructure

More than 17,000 km of pipelines

MXN 1.4 trillion annual revenues2

Largest Tax Contributor in Mexico

6 Refineries in Mexico and one in the

U.S.A.

9 Gas Processing Complexes

2 Petrochemical Complexes

74 Storage and distribution terminals

1,485 tank trucks

17 Ships with transportation capacity

of 4,618 Mb

1 Source: Petroleum Intelligence Weekly, Top 50 Rankings of the World’s

Oil Companies, November 2017

2 Last five years average (2012-2016)

3 Source: Fortune 500 ranking, 2017

4 Source: Brand Finance Global 500, 2017.

5 As of September 30, 2016, 11,710 retail service stations operated in

Mexico under the PEMEX brand.

258 Operating platforms

9,000 Wells

11,710 Service stations5

Page 5: January 2018 - Pemex Archivos... · 2018-02-09 · Extraction Assignment Asset Assignment that doesn’t belong to the cluster Cluster Reserves (MMboe) Oil Type Area (Km2) 1P 2P 3P

PEMEX’s Reserves1

4

Basin

ReservesProspective

Resources2

1P

(90%)

2P

(50%)

3P

(10%)Conv.

Non

Conv.

Southeastern 7.2 11.1 14.5 11.6

Tampico

Misantla1.0 3.4 6.0 3.3

Burgos 0.2 0.3 0.4 1.5

Veracruz 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6

Sabinas 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4

Deepwater 0.1 0.2 1.1 6.0

Total PEMEX 8.6 15.1 22.1 18.2 5.2

MMMboe (billion barrels of oil equivalent)

Exploration

Projects

Development and

Exploitation

Projects

Oil and Gas

Gas

Veracruz

Tampico-

Misantla

BurgosSabinas

Gulf of Mexico

Deep Sea

Exploration

Yucatan

Platform

Southeastern

PEMEX holds 95% of Mexico’s hydrocarbon reserves

1 As of January 1, 2017. Numbers may not total due to rounding.

2 Prospective resources assigned to PEMEX in Round Zero

Note : As of January 1, 2017. 1P includes discoveries, developments, revisions and delineations.3P replacement rate only considers new

discoveries. Reflects reserve replacements conducted by PEMEX.

Page 6: January 2018 - Pemex Archivos... · 2018-02-09 · Extraction Assignment Asset Assignment that doesn’t belong to the cluster Cluster Reserves (MMboe) Oil Type Area (Km2) 1P 2P 3P

2017 Achievements

5

• Trion farm-out with BHP Billiton

• Consortium formed by PEMEX, Chevron and

Inpex was awarded Block 3 North in deep waters

• Joint venture with Air Liquide for the supply of

hydrogen to the Tula refinery

• Migration without a partner of the fields Ek and

Balam in shallow waters

• PEMEX was awarded two blocks in shallow

waters through consortia with DEA and Ecopetrol

• PEMEX’s non-used capacity in the NW pipelines

was offered through the first Open Season and it

was awarded to Tesoro

• Improvement in fiscal regime for fields that were

non-profitable after taxes

• Cárdenas-Mora & Ogarrio are PEMEX’s first two

onshore farm-outs with Cheiron and DEA

Page 7: January 2018 - Pemex Archivos... · 2018-02-09 · Extraction Assignment Asset Assignment that doesn’t belong to the cluster Cluster Reserves (MMboe) Oil Type Area (Km2) 1P 2P 3P

Key Highlights as of September 2017

6

• Average production platform in line with the

annual target of 1,944 Mbd

• Accumulated net result increased by 107.2%

• Divestiture of stake in Los Ramones II Norte

gas pipeline

• Administrative, distribution, transportation and

sales expenditures remained stable

• Accumulated operating income totaled

MXN 174 billion (Jan – Sep 2017)

• Uninterrupted fuel supply throughout the

country despite hurricanes and earthquakes

• Implementation of crude oil hedging program

to protect PEMEX’s budget against falls in oil

prices

Page 8: January 2018 - Pemex Archivos... · 2018-02-09 · Extraction Assignment Asset Assignment that doesn’t belong to the cluster Cluster Reserves (MMboe) Oil Type Area (Km2) 1P 2P 3P

Content

A Snapshot of PEMEX

Upstream

Midstream & Downstream

Overall Financial Performance

Business Outlook

7

2

Page 9: January 2018 - Pemex Archivos... · 2018-02-09 · Extraction Assignment Asset Assignment that doesn’t belong to the cluster Cluster Reserves (MMboe) Oil Type Area (Km2) 1P 2P 3P

Upstream: Current Status and Challenges

88

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

1Q

17

2Q

17

3Q

17

MXN BnMbd

Other assets Ku-Maloob-Zaap Cantarell E&P Investment

Crude Oil Production

• PEMEX continues to be a main player in the O&G industry

• The challenge has been replacing Cantarell to stabilize and eventually increase production

1

-44%

+173%

1 Includes non-capitalized maintenance.

Source : PEMEX 2017

Page 10: January 2018 - Pemex Archivos... · 2018-02-09 · Extraction Assignment Asset Assignment that doesn’t belong to the cluster Cluster Reserves (MMboe) Oil Type Area (Km2) 1P 2P 3P

Industry Cost Leader

5.2 6.1 6.8 7.9 8.2 6.7 5.5

2.72.3

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Production cost before taxes Taxes and Duties

Production Costsa,b

(USD / boe)

2016 Benchmarking: Production Costs1

(USD / boe)

5.00

6.14

7.78

8.46

9.89

10.92

12.00

12.55

13.15

16.27

Statoil

Total S.A.

PEMEX

BP

Exxon Mobil

Royal Dutch / Shell

Connoco Phillips

Eni S.P.A.

Chevron-Texaco

Petrobras

9.47.8

• Exploitation strategies focused on shallow waters have allowed PEMEX to maintain very

competitive production costs, as compared to most of its peers

• Lower production costs provide greater flexibility, especially under lower crude oil price

scenarios

a) Figures in nominal values.

b) Source: 20-F Form (2016, 2014

& 2012).

1. Source: Annual Reports

and SEC Reports 2016.99

Page 11: January 2018 - Pemex Archivos... · 2018-02-09 · Extraction Assignment Asset Assignment that doesn’t belong to the cluster Cluster Reserves (MMboe) Oil Type Area (Km2) 1P 2P 3P

Upstream: New Production Frontiers

10

Deepwater Infrastructure1 Shale Potential2

1 Source: National Geographic

2 Source: CNH with information from North Dakota Department of Mineral Resources, Oklahoma Geological Survey, Texas Railroad

Commission, Bureau of Ocean Energy Management, Oil & Gas Journal

• Underinvestment and limited access to know-how has restricted intensive exploitation of

new complex frontiers

Page 12: January 2018 - Pemex Archivos... · 2018-02-09 · Extraction Assignment Asset Assignment that doesn’t belong to the cluster Cluster Reserves (MMboe) Oil Type Area (Km2) 1P 2P 3P

Upstream: Business Plan

• Concentrates on assignments that are profitable after taxes

Business Plan

Scenario

11

• Aggressive farm-out program

• Development of fields that are profitable for the country and which, under similar fiscal conditions than privates, are profitable for PEMEX after taxes

• Incremental income from farm-out production is shared between PEMEX and the Federal Government

Improved Scenario

11

• With profitability as its ultimate goal, the Business Plan contemplates increased production

and investment through different business schemes such as JVs and farm-outs to

maintain and gradually increase the production platform

2,6

01

2,5

77

2,5

33

2,5

48

2,5

22

2,4

29

2,2

67

2,1

54

1,9

44

1,9

51

1,9

82

2,0

17

2,1

41

19

5

25

7

26

7

31

6

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

200

9

201

0

201

1

201

2

201

3

201

4

201

5

201

6

201

7

201

8

201

9

202

0

202

1

Crude Oil Production1

Mbd

Improved(BusinessPlan)

PEMEXproduction

11111 Includes PEMEX’s production -estimations sent to the Ministry of Finance on September 2017- and others -as considered in the Business Plan

published in November 2016.

Page 13: January 2018 - Pemex Archivos... · 2018-02-09 · Extraction Assignment Asset Assignment that doesn’t belong to the cluster Cluster Reserves (MMboe) Oil Type Area (Km2) 1P 2P 3P

Upstream: Farm-outs at a glance

Farm-Out Trion Cárdenas-Mora Ogarrio Nobilis-Maximino Ayín-Batsil 7 clusters

WinnerBHP Billiton

(Australia)

Cheiron Holdings

Limited (Egypt)

DEA Deutsche

Erdoel AG

(Germany)

Will be part of a new bidding process

Initial payment 570 125 190 To be defined To be defined To be defined

Additional royalty value 4% 13% 13% To be defined To be defined To be defined

Cash tie-break payment

(MMUSD)624 41.5 213.9 To be defined To be defined To be defined

3P Reserves

(MMboe)485 93 54 502 359 392

Type of Hydrocarbon Light crude oil Light crude oil Light crude oil Light crude oil Heavy oil Medium Light oil

Type of Field Deep waters Onshore Onshore Deep waters Shallow waters Onshore

Type of Contract LicenseLicense &

Payment-In-Kind

License &

Payment-In-KindTo be defined To be defined To be defined

1212

7 clusters

Page 14: January 2018 - Pemex Archivos... · 2018-02-09 · Extraction Assignment Asset Assignment that doesn’t belong to the cluster Cluster Reserves (MMboe) Oil Type Area (Km2) 1P 2P 3P

Upstream: Recent Developments Trion & Block 3

Trion

Trion Blocks awarded in Round 1.4

Exploratus

Maximino

Great White

Matamoros

179 Km

28

Km

2

1

1

3

4

• BHP Billiton will invest up to 1.9 billion dollars

before PEMEX makes additional

contributions

• Joint operating agreement was signed on

March 3, 2017

• PEMEX expects to invest 600 million dollars

by the time initial production is achieved

Block 3

North

PEMEX’s Assignments

Trión Farm-Out

Round 1.4 Deep Waters

Oil and Gas Field

3D Seismic

Perdido Fold Belt – Block 3

• Joint Venture with Chevron and Inpex

• The contract considers 3,374 work units, equivalent

to 3.4 million dollars

• No wells were committed for this contract

• Contract was signed on February 28, 2017

13

Page 15: January 2018 - Pemex Archivos... · 2018-02-09 · Extraction Assignment Asset Assignment that doesn’t belong to the cluster Cluster Reserves (MMboe) Oil Type Area (Km2) 1P 2P 3P

Upstream: Upcoming DevelopmentsAdditional farm-outs

Nobilis-Maximino

• 3P Reserves: 502 MMboe

• Type of hydrocarbons: Light crude oil

• Water Depth: 3,000 meters (deep waters)

• Contract type: To be defined

• Will be part of a new bidding process to be

defined in 2018

• 3P Reserves: 359 MMboe

• Type of Hydrocarbons: Heavy crude oil

• Water Depth: 80 - 170 meters (shallow waters)

• Contract type: To be defined

• Will be part of a new bidding process in the first half

of 2018

14

Ayín-Batsil

Oil Fields

Round 1.4

Ayín-Batsil

Farm-out

Exploration

Blocks

Page 16: January 2018 - Pemex Archivos... · 2018-02-09 · Extraction Assignment Asset Assignment that doesn’t belong to the cluster Cluster Reserves (MMboe) Oil Type Area (Km2) 1P 2P 3P

Upstream: Upcoming Developments Seven Clusters

15

Gulf of Mexico

Cluster Cinco Presidentes

Cluster Bacal-Nelash

Cluster ArtesaCluster Lacamango

Cluster Juspi

Cluster Giraldas-Sunuapa

Oaxaca

Veracruz

Tabasco

Chiapas

Cluster

Bedel-Gasifero

Asset BN-03 Veracruz Asset BS-04 Cinco Presidentes Asset BS-01 Macuspana-MuspacExploration Cluster

Extraction Assignment

Asset

Assignment that doesn’t

belong to the cluster

Cluster

Reserves

(MMboe) Oil TypeArea

(Km2)1P 2P 3P

Juspí 26 37 114 Light 450

Bedel-Gasifero 90 111 119 Medium 1,165

Cinco Presidentes 29 40 41 Light 167

Giraldas-Sunuapa 69 71 71 Light 1,727

Bacal-Nelash 10 12 21 Light 117

Artesa 14 22 23 Light 890

Lacamango 3 3 3 Medium 16

15

Page 17: January 2018 - Pemex Archivos... · 2018-02-09 · Extraction Assignment Asset Assignment that doesn’t belong to the cluster Cluster Reserves (MMboe) Oil Type Area (Km2) 1P 2P 3P

PEMEX discovered the largest onshore reservoir in 15 years: Ixachi-1

16

• Result of great exploration efforts and investments over the last 30 years

• Original volume of 1,500 MMboe

• 3P Reserves of approximately 350 MMboe

• Wet gas & condensates reservoir located at 6,000-7,000 meters below sea level

• Closeness to existing infrastructure could benefit the project’s cost structure

• Expected initial production in 2020

1616

Page 18: January 2018 - Pemex Archivos... · 2018-02-09 · Extraction Assignment Asset Assignment that doesn’t belong to the cluster Cluster Reserves (MMboe) Oil Type Area (Km2) 1P 2P 3P

Content

A Snapshot of PEMEX

Upstream

Midstream & Downstream

Overall Financial Performance

Business Outlook

17

3

Page 19: January 2018 - Pemex Archivos... · 2018-02-09 · Extraction Assignment Asset Assignment that doesn’t belong to the cluster Cluster Reserves (MMboe) Oil Type Area (Km2) 1P 2P 3P

99

90

90

70

60

3

2

France

USA

China

Japan

South Africa

India

Mexico

Iran

Midstream: Investment Opportunities• Further gasoline storage capacity and pipelines are required in Mexico. The U.S. has 27

times more infrastructure to supply fuel and 45 times more storage terminals than Mexico

Gasoline Storage Days by Country1

2016

Pipelines in the United States2 and in Mexico3

2016

18181 Source: Strategy, PwC 2017

2 Source: http://pipeline101.com/where-are-pipelines-located

3 Source: EIA 2017

Page 20: January 2018 - Pemex Archivos... · 2018-02-09 · Extraction Assignment Asset Assignment that doesn’t belong to the cluster Cluster Reserves (MMboe) Oil Type Area (Km2) 1P 2P 3P

Infrastructure1

Capacity

6 Refineries in Mexico

and one in U.S.A.1,942 Mbpd2

9 Gas Processing

Centers5,912 MMcfd3

2 Petrochemical

Complexes 1,694 Tpa4

Downstream: Current Status and Challenges

10.1 11.2 12.7

26.331.9

0

10

20

30

40

50

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017*

Non-Scheduled Shutdowns Index%

International reference(goal)

19

1 From Pemex Industrial Transformation

2 Capacity in Mexico is 1,602 Mbd, Deer Park capacity is 340 Mbd.

3 Million cubic feet per day.

4 Tons per year

5

5 Average January – September

6 January – August 2016, as published in the

2017-2021 Business Plan

Hydrogen Supply63%

Equipment and

Processes20%

Repairment delays

3%

CFE3%

Service supply (steam, water,

electricity)11%

Main causes for non-scheduledshutdowns 20166

Page 21: January 2018 - Pemex Archivos... · 2018-02-09 · Extraction Assignment Asset Assignment that doesn’t belong to the cluster Cluster Reserves (MMboe) Oil Type Area (Km2) 1P 2P 3P

49.2

41.9

36.211

-108.9

29.4

-120

-80

-40

0

40

Impact of the Strategic Initiatives on the Financial Balance1 until 2025

(MXN billion in cash flow)

Midstream & Downstream: Business Plan

20

Financial

Balance

2025

(Equivalent to

-96.3 in 2017)

Partnerships

Safe and reliable

operations

Acknowledgment

and efficiency in

transportation

costs

Stolen

ProductResult

Business Plan scenario

PEMEX Industrial Transformation

• Partnerships in operation of auxiliary services

and revamps of refineries

• Operational discipline and reliability

• Timely attention to risk factors

• Cost efficiency and gradual acknowledgment

of opportunity costs in transportation prices

• Pipeline custody

• Illicit markets

PEMEX Logistics

• Open Season

• Focus on profitable

business lines

• Underinvestment and reduced access to know-how has limited intensive exploitation

of new complex frontiers to stabilize and increase production

1 The financial balance considers the result from subtracting total expenses (including financing costs) from total revenues.

Page 22: January 2018 - Pemex Archivos... · 2018-02-09 · Extraction Assignment Asset Assignment that doesn’t belong to the cluster Cluster Reserves (MMboe) Oil Type Area (Km2) 1P 2P 3P

Midstream & Downstream: Upcoming Developments

21

• The Mexican fuels market is moving towards an open, competitive and market-driven price

structure; all the country has liberalized fuel prices since November 30, 2017

It auctioned 20% of its

capacity in Baja California

and Sonora, and awarded

it to Tesoro1

Open Season: Pemex Logistics is offering

its non-used storage and distribution

capacity to third-parties, which will yield

additional revenues

Stage 1.2:

North Zone Border System

Winners will be announced on

March 14, 2018

Assigned capacity

1 At fees 10% above the minimum required

Next stage

Will be assigned during 2018

Page 23: January 2018 - Pemex Archivos... · 2018-02-09 · Extraction Assignment Asset Assignment that doesn’t belong to the cluster Cluster Reserves (MMboe) Oil Type Area (Km2) 1P 2P 3P

Content

A Snapshot of PEMEX

Upstream

Midstream & Downstream

Overall Financial Performance

Business Outlook

22

4

Page 24: January 2018 - Pemex Archivos... · 2018-02-09 · Extraction Assignment Asset Assignment that doesn’t belong to the cluster Cluster Reserves (MMboe) Oil Type Area (Km2) 1P 2P 3P

Financial Performance

-20,000

-10,000

0

10,000

20,0001

Q1

2

3Q

12

1Q

13

3Q

13

1Q

14

3Q

14

1Q

15

3Q

15

1Q

16

3Q

16

1Q

17

3Q

17

Operating IncomeUSD million

23

• Operating income as of the third quarter of 2017 averaged USD 3,163 million

• Debt’s maturity profile was extended to 7.5 years

Average Debt’s Maturity

Years

5.0

5.5

6.0

6.5

7.0

7.5

8.0

Dec-1

1

Ma

r-1

2

Jun

-12

Se

p-1

2

Dec-1

2

Ma

r-1

3

Jun

-13

Se

p-1

3

Dec-1

3

Ma

r-1

4

Jun

-14

Se

p-1

4

Dec-1

4

Ma

r-1

5

Jun

-15

Se

p-1

5

Dec-1

5

Ma

r-1

6

Jun

-16

Se

p-1

6

Dec-1

6

Ma

r-1

7

Jun

-17

Se

p-1

7

7.5

Page 25: January 2018 - Pemex Archivos... · 2018-02-09 · Extraction Assignment Asset Assignment that doesn’t belong to the cluster Cluster Reserves (MMboe) Oil Type Area (Km2) 1P 2P 3P

0

20

40

60

80

100

120Net Result and Mexican Crude Oil Mix Price

104 USD/b

43 USD/b

(450)

(370)

(290)

(210)

(130)

(50)

30

110

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

19

PEMEX Recorded a Positive Net Resultfrom January to September 2017

241 January – September average per year.

2 Financial information is reported under IFRS; Audited Quarterly Results, except 1Q17, 2Q17 and 3Q17 (preliminary)

Ne

t R

es

ult

1,

2

MX

N b

illio

n

Average: 63.5 USD/b

Me

xic

an

Cru

de

Oil

Mix

Pri

ce

1

US

D/b

Jan – Sep:

• Accumulated positive net result as of September 30, 2017 for the first time since 2012,

when the price of the Mexican Crude Oil Mix was 2.3 times higher

Page 26: January 2018 - Pemex Archivos... · 2018-02-09 · Extraction Assignment Asset Assignment that doesn’t belong to the cluster Cluster Reserves (MMboe) Oil Type Area (Km2) 1P 2P 3P

Net Indebtedness Trend

25

2018 debt ceiling:

MXN 144 billion (≈USD 8 billion)

2018 financial deficit:

MXN 79 billion (≈USD 4 billion)

• Any additional transaction throughout the year would be aimed to term-out

PEMEX’s maturity profile or substitute bank financing.

Net indebtedness for 2017 was

used to cover the financial

deficit. The objective for 2018 is

to limit net indebtedness to

the financial deficit, in line with

the Business Plan

132 147

102 94 79

91 48 138

5665

223

195

240

150 144

0

50

100

150

200

250

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Financial Deficit Available Debt Ceiling

Bill

ion P

esos

Note: All numbers in billion pesos; exchange rate: 18.4 pesos per dollar

Page 27: January 2018 - Pemex Archivos... · 2018-02-09 · Extraction Assignment Asset Assignment that doesn’t belong to the cluster Cluster Reserves (MMboe) Oil Type Area (Km2) 1P 2P 3P

PEMEX’s 2017 Financing Activities

26

− Reopening of two reference

bonds duein10and30 years at

5.75%and 6.90%, respectively.

3x oversubscribed.

− Repurchase of bonds totaling

USD 1,739 million due in 2018

and 2019, to improve the

amortization profile and

increase the average debt

maturity.

• February 2017 – EUR 4.25 billion in three tranches:

− EUR 1.75 billion at 2.500% due in August 2021

− EUR 1.25 billion at 3.750% due in February 2024

− EUR 1.25 billion at 4.875% due in February 2028

• November 2017:

− GBP 450 million at 3.750% due in 2025

2,840

4,694

8,210

-

1,567

173 8,037

-

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

2017 2018 2019

Liability Management – Repurchase TransactionUSD million, July 2017

Vencimientos Reducción en vencimientos Líneas RevolventesMaturities Amortization reduction Revolving credit

facilities

• July 2017 – liability management transaction:Liability Management – Repurchase Transaction

USD million, July 2017

Page 28: January 2018 - Pemex Archivos... · 2018-02-09 · Extraction Assignment Asset Assignment that doesn’t belong to the cluster Cluster Reserves (MMboe) Oil Type Area (Km2) 1P 2P 3P

27

Diversified Debt Structure

By Currency By Interest Rate By InstrumentBy Currency

Exposure

67%

14%

3%

1%

12%

1%

Dollar Euros

UDIS British Pounds

Yens Pesos

Swiss Francs

83%

17%

Fixed Floating

72%

12%

3%

5% 3% 2%

Int. Bonds

Cebures

ECAs

Int. Bank Loans

Domestic Bank Loans

Others

84%

1% 1%

14%

Dollar Yen

UDIS Pesos

• PEMEX’s portfolio strategy has prioritized the development of new sources of financing to

diversify its investor base and currencies

• To reduce external impacts, the company has chosen a hedging strategy that matches its

U.S. dollar-based income structure

Note: As of September 30, 2017. Sums may not total due to rounding.

Page 29: January 2018 - Pemex Archivos... · 2018-02-09 · Extraction Assignment Asset Assignment that doesn’t belong to the cluster Cluster Reserves (MMboe) Oil Type Area (Km2) 1P 2P 3P

Credit Rating Agencies recognize PEMEX’s strategic importance for Mexico

28

2017 PEMEX annual rating revisions highlight:

Key energy

supplier

Close linkage to

Mexican

Government &

fiscal relevance

Stable finances

Expectation of

improved

profitability

due to the

Energy Reform

Rating Agency Last Revision Global Scale Outlook National Scale

Fitch August 2017 BBB+ Stable AAA(mex)

S&P August 2017 BBB+ Stable mxAAA

Moody’s April 2017 Baa3 Negative Aa3.mx

R&I April 2017 BBB+ Stable N.A.

HR Ratings September 2017 HR A- (G) Stable HR AAA

Source: PEMEX. Full Rating Reports are available at http://www.pemex.com/en/investors/debt/Paginas/credit-ratings.aspx

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Markets respond positively to PEMEX’s strategy

29

• PEMEX’s efforts and business strategy have yielded tangible results, as shown

in the spread between PEMEX’s 10Y benchmark and U.S. Treasuries

Source: Bloomberg

250

270

290

310

330

350

370

390

410

430

450

Apr-16 Jul-16 Oct-16 Jan-17 May-17 Aug-17 Nov-17

Spread PEMEX vs US Treasury 10Y (basis points)

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Final Remarks

30

PEMEX has tackled short-term challenges with determination and today has stable finances

• Budget adjustment

• Strengthening of financial balance

• Renewed access to financial markets and active debt management

• Primary surplus in 2017

• Covered financial needs until 2018

• Hedge on crude oil prices to ensure budget stability

30

PEMEX has harnessed the Energy Reform’s historic opportunity with the implementation of

its Business Plan:

• The first farm-out in deep waters is already signed (Trion)

• First two onshore farm-outs (Ogarrio and Cárdenas-Mora)

• Alliances for non-PEMEX´s fields with major oil & gas companies

• Pemex Industrial Transformation first partnership for hydrogen supply

• Gasoline, diesel and natural gas price liberalization

• Pemex Logistics has successfully completed the first stage of the Open Season

With the Energy Reform in place and stable finances, PEMEX has the historic opportunity

to modernize itself and remain as Mexico’s flagship company

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Content

A Snapshot of PEMEX

Upstream

Midstream & Downstream

Overall Financial Performance

Business Outlook

31

5

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-149

-84-64

-1

43

-49 -36

-133-147

-102 -94-89

-200

-150

-100

-50

0

50

100

2012 2014 2016 2018 2020

Bill

ion

Pe

so

s

Business Plan Actual

Financial Outlook: Scenarios with Realistic Premises

32

Financial Balance

(MXN billion)

2017 marks an inflection point:

• Primary Surplus (first time since 2012): MXN 8.4 billion

• Attainable Production Platform: 1.944 MMbd

• Conservative Price Projection: USD 42 per barrel

Recently, PEMEX has exceeded its financial balance and production goals

32321 Source: Bloomberg (January 2018) and PEMEX.

55

68

64

6160

48

63

58

5553

42

48.5

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Price of Oil1

(USD per Barrel)

Brent Futures WTI Futures PEMEX Budget

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Investor Relations

(+52 55) 1944-9700

[email protected]

www.pemex.com/en/investors