J 5331%20sunday%20times%20april%202014%20report

Sunday Times /Behaviour & Attitudes April 2014 Opinion Poll 6th – 16th April, 2014

Prepared for

Prepared by Ian McShane

J.5531

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Technical Appendix

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Technical Appendix

● The results of this opinion poll are based upon a representative sample of 931 eligible Irish voters aged 18 years +.

● As such, the results can be deemed to be accurate to within plus or minus 3.3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level.

● Fieldwork was conducted over the period 6 – 16th April, 2014 with interviewing carried out at the Behaviour & Attitudes Computer Aided Telephone Interviewing (CATI) Unit at Milltown House in Dublin.

● Interviewing was conducted across all 43 constituencies in the country with households selected for interview by way of Random Digit Dialling (RDD).

● The sample is split across RDD landline numbers and RDD mobile telephone numbers, so as to ensure that individuals living in landline only households, mobile only households, and households with both a landline and mobile telephone are represented in their correct proportions.

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Technical Appendix

● The subsequent survey results are weighted to reflect the known demographic profile of Irish adults, utilising the most recently published census population estimates from the Central Statistics Office (CSO).

● Party support levels are subsequently realigned in accordance with a technical adjustment factor, designed to smooth the effects of extreme highs and lows in support levels for individual parties as measured at a single point in time, and taking variable election day turnout levels into account.

● All aspects of the survey, including the Party Support adjustment factor, are implemented in accordance with the technical and ethical guidelines set down by the Association of Irish Market Research Organisations (AIMRO) and the European Society of Opinion & Market Research (ESOMAR).

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Charted Summary

6

Sunday Times/Behaviour & Attitudes Government and Party Leader Satisfaction Levels

12th Feb

2011 (f/w: 31st Jan – 12th Feb,

2011)

24th Aug, 2011 (f/w : 16th

– 24th Aug,

2011)

2nd Oct, 2011 (f/w : 20th Sept – 2nd Oct,

2011)

18th Oct, 2011 (f/w : 16th

– 18th Oct,

2011)

12th Dec. 2011 (f/w : 7th-12th Dec,

2011)

20th Feb

2012 (f/w : 15th

– 20th Feb.

2012)

17th Apr, 2012 (f/w : 11th

– 17th Apr.

2012)

23rd May 2012 (f/w: 18th

– 23rd May,

2012)

9th Sept. 2012 (f/w: 4th -9th Sept

2012)

13th Nov 2012 (f/w: 1st- 13th Nov

2012)

21st Jan

2013 (f/w: 15th – 21st Jan.

2013)

26th Mar

2013 (f/w: 11th -26th Mar.

2013)

24th Jun

2013 (f/w: 11th – 24th June

2013)

17th Sept 2013 (f/w 10th Sept

– 17th Sept

2013)

15th Dec

2013 (f/w 3rd – 15th Dec

2013)

19th Feb

2014 (f/w: 11th – 19th Feb

2014)

16th Apr

2014 (f/w: 6th – 16th Apr

2014)

The Government

5% 42% 34% 36% 26% 26% 29% 31% 24% 26% 22% 25% 24% 24% 35% 31% 28%

Micheál Martin

43% 40% 31% 36% 40% 33% 34% 41% 34% 42% 48% 44% 43% 37% 43% 43% 45%

Enda Kenny

40% 62% 51% 58% 44% 41% 47% 42% 38% 41% 39% 39% 37% 34%

44% 41% 40%

Eamon Gilmore

55% 52% 43% 46% 35% 34% 37% 32% 34% 29% 26% 29% 26% 26% 32% 31% 37%

Gerry Adams

40% 48% 50% 50% 48% 46% 43% 42% 39% 40% 43% 45% 43% 41% 33% 39% 48%

Eamon Ryan

- 34% 30% 30% 30% 25% 29% 29% 27% 27% 30% 29% 30% 30% 30% 31% 33%

Q.2 Q.3

Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the manner in which the Government is running the country? Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way (…..) is doing his job as (…….)?

7

Sunday Times/Behaviour & Attitudes Core Party Support Levels

12th Feb. 2011 (f/w: 31st

Jan – 12th Feb,

2011)

24th Aug, 2011 (f/w: 16th – 24th Aug,

2011)

2nd Oct, 2011 (f/w: 20th Sept – 2nd Oct,

2011)

18th Oct, 2011 (f/w: 16th – 18th Oct,

2011)

12th Dec. 2011 (f/w :

7th-12th Dec,

2011)

20th Feb. 2012 (f/w: 15th – 20th Feb.

2012)

17th Apr, 2012 (f/w: 11th – 17th Apr.

2012)

23rd May 2012 (f/w: 18th – 23rd May,

2012)


2012)


2012)

21st Jan

2013 (f/w: 15th – 21st

Jan. 2013)

26th Mar

2013 (f/w: 11th -26th Mar.

2013)

24th Jun

2013 (f/w: 11th – 24th June

2013)

17th Sept 2013 (f/w 10th Sept

– 17th Sept

2013)

15th Dec

2013 (f/w 3rd – 15th Dec

2013)

19th Feb

2014 (f/w: 11th – 19th Feb

2014)

16th Apr

2014 (f/w: 6th – 16th Apr

2014)

Fianna Fáil 11% 12% 11% 11% 15% 11% 12% 12% 12% 16% 19% 19% 19% 15% 19% 16% 17%

Fine Gael 26% 35% 26% 27% 22% 23% 22% 24% 23% 23% 17% 19% 19% 19% 21% 22% 18%

Labour 17% 9% 10% 11% 8% 7% 7% 8% 8% 7% 7% 4% 5% 6% 5% 5% 6%

Sinn Féin 10% 10% 12% 14% 15% 18% 14% 17% 13% 12% 13% 13% 13% 14% 11% 16% 16%

Green Party 1% 2% 3% 1% 1% 1% 3% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 3% 2%

Independents/ Others

10% 10% 10% 9% 12% 11% 12% 10% 12% 11% 9% 15% 12% 14% 13% 14% 18%

Undecided 25% 22% 28% 27% 27% 30% 30% 28% 30% 29% 33% 27% 29% 30% 28% 24% 24%

Q.7 If there was a General Election tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would you give your first preference vote?

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Sunday Times/Behaviour & Attitudes Party Support Levels (Excluding Undecideds - Unadjusted)

12th Feb, 2011 (f/w: 31st

Jan – 12th Feb,

2011)

General

Election

Result 25th Feb

24th Aug, 2011 (f/w: 16th – 24th Aug,

2011)

2nd Oct, 2011 (f/w: 20th

Sept – 2nd Oct,

2011)

18th Oct, 2011 (f/w: 16th – 18th Oct,

2011)

12th Dec. 2011 (f/w: 7th-12th Dec,

2011)

20th Feb, 2012 (f/w: 15th – 20th Feb.

2012)

17th Apr, 2012 (f/w: 11th – 17th Apr.

2012)

23rd May 2012 (f/w: 18th – 23rd May,

2012)

9th Sept. 2012 (f/w: 4th -9th

Sept 2012)

13th Nov 2012 (f/w: 1st- 13th

Nov2012)

21st Jan

2013 (f/w: 15th – 21stJa

n. 2013)

26th Mar

2013 (f/w: 11th -26th Mar.

2013)

24th Jun

2013 (f/w: 11th – 24th June

2013)

17th Sept 2013 (f/w 10th

Sept – 17th Sept

2013)

15th Dec

2013 (f/w 3rd – 15th Dec

2013)

19th Feb

2014 (f/w: 11th – 19th Feb

2014)

16th Apr

2014 (f/w: 6th – 16th Apr

2014)

Fianna Fáil 15% 17% 15% 15% 15% 20% 16% 17% 17% 18% 23% 28% 27% 27% 21% 27% 21% 22%

Fine Gael 34% 36% 44% 36% 37% 30% 32% 32% 33% 33% 32% 26% 26% 26% 27% 29% 28% 23%

Labour 23% 19% 12% 14% 15% 11% 10% 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 6% 7% 8% 7% 7% 7%

Sinn Féin 14% 10% 13% 17% 19% 21% 25% 20% 23% 19% 17% 20% 17% 19% 20% 15% 21% 21%

Green Party 2% 2% 2% 4% 1% 3% 2% 5% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 3% 4% 3%

Independent/ Others 14% 16% 12% 13% 13% 15% 15% 17% 14% 17% 16% 14% 21% 17% 20% 19% 18% 23%


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Party Support Adjustment Factor: Technical Note

● Predicting election results on the basis of poll data is not an exact science. All the evidence shows that support for individual parties can swing dramatically in the period between elections- very often outside the bounds of historic election results.

● What to do in these circumstances? Most polling companies in Britain and Ireland publish their raw survey results as an index of fluctuations in the emotional mood of voters. They also build in an adjustment based on a number of factors. Where we have reports of how people voted in the last general election as well as how they intend to vote in the next one we can use these data to model the likely level of swing from the last election results.

● We then add back in the forecasts of voters who have not voted last time or do not answer that particular question.

● Finally we take into account each individuals stated likelihood of voting in a forthcoming General Election.

● This is the basis of the adjusted voting forecast in Behaviour & Attitudes polls.

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Party Support Levels (Excluding Undecided - Adjusted)

● Adjusted figures based on:

All who state they would definitely vote

Weighting of those respondents who give a definite answer as to who they would vote for in a general election and who they voted for in the last election, in line with the result of the last election.

Making no adjustment to stated voting intention of those who do not indicate how they voted in last election.

2nd Oct, 2011 (f/w: 20th

Sept – 2nd Oct,

2011)

18th Oct, 2011 (f/w: 16th

– 18th Oct,

2011)

12th Dec. 2011 (f/w: 7th-12th Dec,

2011)

20th Feb, 2012 (f/w: 15th

– 20th Feb.

2012)

17th Apr, 2012 (f/w: 11th

– 17th Apr.

2012)

23rd May 2012 (f/w: 18th

– 23rd May,

2012)


2012)


2012)

21st Jan

2013 (f/w: 15th

– 21stJan.

2013)

26th Mar

2013 (f/w: 11th -26th Mar.

2013)

24th Jun

2013 (f/w: 11th – 24th June

2013)

17th Sept 2013 (f/w 10th

Sept – 17th Sept

2013)

15th Dec

2013 (f/w 3rd – 15th Dec

2013)

19th Feb

2014 (f/w: 11th – 19th Feb

2014)

16th Apr

2014 (f/w: 6th – 16th Apr

2014)

Fianna Fáil 16% 14% 18% 16% 15% 16% 16% 22% 24% 23% 24% 21% 21% 19% 20%

Fine Gael 34% 35% 29% 33% 33% 33% 31% 30% 26% 27% 27% 25% 30% 30% 21%

Labour 16% 16% 12% 13% 14% 14% 14% 12% 11% 7% 7% 11% 11% 9% 9%

Sinn Féin 14% 17% 19% 20% 16% 17% 18% 14% 19% 15% 16% 18% 15% 18% 20%

Green Party 3% 1% 3% 2% 5% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4%

Independents/ Others 17% 16% 18% 16% 18% 18% 19% 19% 18% 25% 23% 23% 21% 21% 26%


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Cultural Activity Participation Rates All Adults 18 yrs+ - 972

Q.8

When was the last time, if ever, you participated in each of the following events – within the last month, the last 3 months, the last six months, the last year or longer ago?

Activities participated in

Went to the theatre

Went to a circus

Went to a music

concert/gig

Went to the cinema

Went to an art

exhibition

Went to a recital/

classical music performance

Went to a performance of ballet or

opera

Went to a book

reading

Read a book yourself for

pleasure

Went to an open-air

arts event or festival

Within last month

12% 2% 15% 30% 10% 5% 1% 4% 59% 8%

Within last 3 months

14% 2% 13% 21% 6% 4% 3% 3% 12% 8%


12% 3% 15% 11% 7% 9% 4% 5% 6% 13%


15% 10% 18% 9% 13% 8% 5% 3% 6% 24%

Longer ago 33% 71% 31% 27% 30% 28% 26% 21% 11% 28%

Ever 86% 89% 91% 98% 66% 54% 40% 36% 93% 82%

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Past Three Month Cultural Activity Participation Rates x Demographics Base: All Adults 18 yrs+ - 972

Total

Gender Age Class Region Area Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ ABC1 C2DE F Dublin Leins

ter Munste

r Conn/ Ulster

Urban Rural

Base: 972 472 500 299 362 311 446 476 50 276 260 261 175 655 315 % % % % % % % % % % % % % % %

ANY 87 83 90 88 88 84 92 83 81 91 88 84 83 88 84 Went to the theatre

26 22 30 28 20 32 30 24 22 28 30 25 20 27 24

Went to a circus 5 5 4 9 4 0 3 7 1 8 6 2 2 6 2

Went to a music concert/gig

28 29 26 32 26 24 34 23 24 34 30 22 22 31 22

Went to the cinema

51 51 50 69 51 28 62 45 28 55 56 50 37 56 41

Went to an art exhibition

16 17 15 16 15 17 24 12 - 26 13 11 11 20 10

Went to a recital/ classical music performance

9 10 8 8 7 13 11 8 4 15 9 5 7 13 4

Went to a performance of ballet or opera

5 4 5 7 3 3 5 5 2 8 4 3 3 5 5

Went to a book reading

7 6 7 6 8 5 7 6 2 7 8 4 8 7 6

Read a book yourself for pleasure

70 64 77 67 73 71 76 67 58 75 69 67 70 72 67

Went to an open-air arts event or festival

16 19 13 22 14 12 22 13 11 21 20 12 12 17 15

None 13 17 10 12 12 16 8 17 19 9 12 16 17 12 16

Q.8


13

Past Three Month Cultural Activity Participation Rates x Demographics

Base: : All Adults 18 yrs+ - 972

Total

Party Support Fianna

Fail Fine Gael Labour Green

Party Sinn Fein Indep/

Others Would not/DK

Base: 972 165 179 59 20 123 176 250 % % % % % % % %

ANY 87 91 87 94 94 80 91 83

Went to the theatre 26 38 27 33 32 14 29 21

Went to a circus 5 8 3 5 - 8 1 4


28 27 31 39 46 25 28 22

Went to the cinema 51 55 52 72 87 44 42 48


16 15 12 31 52 15 14 15


9 10 8 15 24 10 9 7


5 7 4 7 14 1 4 4

Went to a book reading 7 4 3 11 27 8 8 5


70 68 67 86 86 62 79 68


16 16 13 29 52 16 18 12

None 13 9 13 6 6 20 9 17

Q.8


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Commentary

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Sunday Times/Behaviour & Attitudes Opinion Poll Series

Background

In our commentary for last February’s Poll, it was noted that Fine Gael and Labour would have been quite pleased with their respective levels of support. Indeed, while Government satisfaction levels had dropped 4 percentage points since the previous Poll in December, Fine Gael support was rock solid at 30%, and in fact was significantly higher than the party had achieved in the Sunday Times/Behaviour & Attitudes series throughout all of 2013.

Labour was, in the meantime, continuing to tread water at in or around 10% support, albeit slipping into single digits between the end of 2013 and beginning of 2014.

It was further noted that this credible level of support for Government parties had prevailed against the backdrop of most Irish voters claiming that they had yet to see the benefits of any economic recovery in their own pockets.

Since then, Fine Gael in particular has had to weather some stormy waters, and the signs are that its standing with the public has slipped considerably just as it prepares to enter May’s Local and European election campaigns.

At a surface level, it could be surmised that Fine Gael support has been damaged due to a public backlash against the forced resignation of Garda Commissioner Martin Callinan by Enda Kenny so as to save his Minister for Justice Alan Shatter.

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Background

In reality, the average citizen is not particularly exercised by the ins and outs of the Callinan/Shatter saga. Rather, he/she has been appalled at the spectacle of the Taoiseach and his senior advisors expending valuable time and energy protecting its own short term interests at a time when the economy is about to turn a corner.

Furthermore, despite a series of recently published positive economic forecasts, the evidence on the ground would suggest to the average voter that household budgets will remain tight for at least the rest of 2014. Midway through interviewing for this survey, for example, a leaked report suggested that HSE savings targeted under the Haddington Road Agreement would fall short by €200 million. It was suggested in newspaper reports that households would soon be faced with a €100 per annum standing water charge, before usage levels are even taken into account.

Meanwhile, the resignation in controversial circumstances of long time senior Fine Gael Strategist Frank Flannery from the Board of Rehab will have done nothing to assuage ongoing public outrage at the perceived existence of a cosseted “golden circle” of individuals in Irish society who have continued to thrive as the majority flounder.

All in all, therefore, the mood music leading up to today’s Poll was ominous from a Fine Gael perspective, and it is perhaps no surprise that its ratings have reached their lowest level ever in the Sunday Times/Behaviour & Attitudes Opinion Poll series

17


Party Support and Leader Satisfaction Levels

In our last Poll eight weeks ago Government satisfaction stood at 31%, a level which was higher than its average rating throughout all of 2012 and 2013. Today, that figure has slipped to 28%, with the greatest decreases evident amongst females, individuals 55 years and over, and those resident outside Dublin and its hinterland.

The most notable shift in party leader satisfaction is Eamon Gilmore as Tánaiste who has witnessed a six percentage point bounce since the last Poll. This improvement in the Labour Leader’s standing is most pronounced amongst those aged 18-54 years, and those from a white collar and professional working background. The Tánaiste will, however, still be disappointed to note that a bare majority (51%) of Labour Party supporters express satisfaction with his performance in Government.

The other big winner at a personal level is Gerry Adams as leader of Sinn Fein, whose personal satisfaction rating now sits at 48%, near to the all time high of 50% registered during September/October 2011.

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The real news from today’s Poll is, however, the remarkable decline in support for Fine Gael.

Indeed the Party has dropped a phenomenal nine percentage points since the beginning of 2014, one of the most severe drops in party support ever witnessed in a national opinion poll series.

Based upon these figures, if there was a general election in the near future, Fine Gael would stand to lose as many as a third of its Dáil seats, and most likely find itself consigned to the opposition benches.

Having said that, it is worth noting that the single greatest beneficiary of Fine Gael’s loss in support has been the Independents bloc, although all parties have gained to a certain degree, if only insignificantly.

The swing away from Fine Gael and towards Independents, would, however, suggest that we are witnessing what may be a large protest vote in the forthcoming local and European elections, whereby the electorate sends the majority Government party a clear message – put an end to the era of governance through austerity, or pay the price at the 2016 General Election!

Fine Gael’s fall from grace, however temporary it may be, has been particularly severe in the Greater Dublin Area, as well as amongst female voters, and the more politically engaged 35 years+ voter.

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Another fascinating feature of the poll is the fact that, for the first time ever, we have three political parties attracting practically identical levels of support, i.e. Fine Gael, Fianna Fáil and Sinn Féin all at 20% or so.

It has become a cliché to point out that Dublin represents the cockpit of any Irish general election. It is nevertheless true that failure to perform in the Capital sets a party at a serious numerical disadvantage, by simple virtue of the fact that approaching a third of all Dail seats are at stake in the region.

In February’s Poll, we saw that Independent candidates represented the single strongest bloc in the Dublin region at 27% support, followed closely by Fine Gael at 26%. Sinn Féin, meanwhile, held a 7 percentage point lead over Fianna Fáil in the capital (17% and 10% respectively), with Labour at 13% and the Green Party at a still respectable 8%.

Analysis of Today’s Poll at a national level masks some interesting shifts in opinion in the Dublin area. Thus, while support for Independent candidates increases from 21% to 29% nationwide, the greatest beneficiaries of the drop in Fine Gael support in the capital have been Fianna Fáil (moving from 10% - 17% support) and Sinn Féin (up from 17% to 23%).

Indeed, Sinn Féin now stands as the most popular party in Dublin, out-stripping its nearest party rival Fianna Fáil by six percentage points.

20


Cultural activity participation

Finally, respondents in today’s Poll were asked when, if ever, they last participated in a series of cultural events, ranging from attending a classical music recital to visiting a circus.

Perhaps not surprisingly, reading a book for pleasure emerges as the most heavily indulged cultural pastime, with in or around 2.5 million Irish adults claiming to have done so at least once over the last three months.

Almost two million people (equating to 51% of the total population) claim to have gone to the cinema since the beginning of 2014, with around one million attending a theatre performance and going to a music gig over the same time period. As many people (around 150,000 individuals) went to a circus as attended a ballet or opera performance since January, with a surprisingly high number of people (16% of all adults) claiming to have visited an art exhibition during that time.

Some interesting differences between socio demographic groupings emerge in relation to participation in such activities.

For example, females are more likely than males to read for pleasure, and to go to the theatre.

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Cultural activity participation

With regard to age, some predictable patterns emerge. For example, those aged 18 – 34 years are significantly more likely than their older counterparts to attend live music gigs, open air festivals, and indeed to visit the cinema. The over 55’s, on the other hand, emerge as more regular theatre goers, and are also more likely than the average individual to go to classical music recitals.

As a general rule of thumb, people from a white collar working background are more inclined to attend cultural events than are all others. The survey results would also suggest that access to such activities is an issue in rural areas, with urban based respondents more regular attendees at a whole ranges of arts and culture events around the country.

Tabular Data

April TeleBar 2014 Sunday Times/Behaviour & Attitudes Opinion Poll

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Page 1Table 1

Q1 Are you eligible to vote in Irish General Elections, or not?

All Irish Adults 18+ Total Gender Age Class Region Area

Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ ABC1 C2DE F Dublin Leinster Munster Conn/Ulster

Urban Rural

Total 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 990 873 957 620 2,104 1,336

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 990 873 957 620 2,104 1,336

UNWTD 972 472 500 299 362 311 446 476 50 276 260 261 175 655 315

Yes, eligible 3,306 1,620 1,686 1,089 1,221 997 1,334 1,722 250 919 862 923 602 1,981 1,325

96% 96% 96% 93% 96% 100% 97% 95% 98% 93% 99% 96% 97% 94% 99%

No – not eligible 125 61 64 76 47 3 42 78 5 70 9 32 14 114 11

4% 4% 4% 6% 4% 0% 3% 4% 2% 7% 1% 3% 2% 5% 1%

Don’t know (DO NOT READ OUT)

9 4 5 7 1 - 4 5 - 1 2 1 4 9 -

0% 0% 0% 1% 0% - 0% 0% - 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% -


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Page 2Table 1

Q1 Are you eligible to vote in Irish General Elections, or not?

All Irish Adults 18+ Total Party Support Likelihood Constituency

Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Labour Green Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would definitely vote

Would probablyvote

Might/might not

Would not Vote

5 Seats 4 Seats 3 Seats

Total 3,440 567 590 184 77 534 613 874 2,815 2,334 481 290 319 1,129 1,242 1,069

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 567 590 184 77 534 613 874 2,815 2,334 481 290 319 1,129 1,242 1,069

UNWTD 972 165 179 59 20 123 176 250 802 680 122 66 97 313 350 309

Yes, eligible 3,306 562 584 183 77 519 588 794 2,790 2,317 473 263 249 1,103 1,186 1,017

96% 99% 99% 99% 100% 97% 96% 91% 99% 99% 98% 91% 78% 98% 95% 95%

No – not eligible 125 4 7 1 - 15 25 73 24 17 6 23 66 20 55 51

4% 1% 1% 1% - 3% 4% 8% 1% 1% 1% 8% 21% 2% 4% 5%

Don’t know (DO NOT READ OUT)

9 1 - - - - - 7 1 - 1 4 4 6 1 1

0% 0% - - - - - 1% 0% - 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0%


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Page 3Table 2

Q2 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the manner in which the Government is running the country?

All Irish Voters Total Gender Age Class Region Area


Urban Rural

Total 3,306 1,620 1,686 1,089 1,221 997 1,334 1,722 250 919 862 923 602 1,981 1,325

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,306 1,620 1,686 1,089 1,221 997 1,334 1,722 250 919 862 923 602 1,981 1,325

UNWTD 931 455 476 274 348 309 429 453 49 259 254 248 170 618 313

Satisfied 915 538 377 304 375 236 483 360 72 229 254 275 157 521 394

28% 33% 22% 28% 31% 24% 36% 21% 29% 25% 29% 30% 26% 26% 30%

Dissatisfied 2,238 1,028 1,210 716 810 712 778 1,298 162 647 591 577 423 1,377 862

68% 63% 72% 66% 66% 71% 58% 75% 65% 70% 69% 62% 70% 69% 65%

No opinion 152 54 99 69 35 49 73 64 15 42 16 71 23 83 69

5% 3% 6% 6% 3% 5% 5% 4% 6% 5% 2% 8% 4% 4% 5%


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Page 4Table 2

Q2 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the manner in which the Government is running the country?

All Irish Voters Total Party Support Likelihood Constituency

Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Labour Green Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/Others

Would not/DK

Would vote


Would probablyvote

Might/might not

Would not Vote


Total 3,306 562 584 183 77 519 588 794 2,790 2,317 473 263 249 1,103 1,186 1,017

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,306 562 584 183 77 519 588 794 2,790 2,317 473 263 249 1,103 1,186 1,017

UNWTD 931 161 177 58 20 119 167 229 794 675 119 57 77 304 332 295

Satisfied 915 139 380 69 19 55 96 157 845 706 140 30 39 316 315 284

28% 25% 65% 38% 25% 11% 16% 20% 30% 30% 29% 12% 16% 29% 27% 28%

Dissatisfied 2,238 418 176 107 58 463 469 547 1,883 1,566 317 174 178 759 784 696

68% 74% 30% 59% 75% 89% 80% 69% 68% 68% 67% 66% 71% 69% 66% 68%

No opinion 152 4 28 6 - 2 22 90 61 45 16 59 33 28 87 38

5% 1% 5% 4% - 0% 4% 11% 2% 2% 3% 22% 13% 3% 7% 4%


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Page 5Table 3

Q3 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Kenny is doing his job as Taoiseach?



Urban Rural

Total 3,306 1,620 1,686 1,089 1,221 997 1,334 1,722 250 919 862 923 602 1,981 1,325

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,306 1,620 1,686 1,089 1,221 997 1,334 1,722 250 919 862 923 602 1,981 1,325

UNWTD 931 455 476 274 348 309 429 453 49 259 254 248 170 618 313

Satisfied 1,337 666 671 413 528 397 691 543 103 284 398 413 243 703 634

40% 41% 40% 38% 43% 40% 52% 32% 41% 31% 46% 45% 40% 35% 48%

Dissatisfied 1,828 902 926 604 645 579 597 1,092 140 583 432 479 333 1,163 665

55% 56% 55% 55% 53% 58% 45% 63% 56% 64% 50% 52% 55% 59% 50%

No opinion 141 52 89 71 48 21 46 87 7 52 32 31 27 115 25

4% 3% 5% 7% 4% 2% 3% 5% 3% 6% 4% 3% 4% 6% 2%


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Page 6Table 3

Q3 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Kenny is doing his job as Taoiseach?


Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Labour Green Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/Others

Would not/DK

Would vote


Would probablyvote

Might/might not

Would not Vote


Total 3,306 562 584 183 77 519 588 794 2,790 2,317 473 263 249 1,103 1,186 1,017

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,306 562 584 183 77 519 588 794 2,790 2,317 473 263 249 1,103 1,186 1,017

UNWTD 931 161 177 58 20 119 167 229 794 675 119 57 77 304 332 295

Satisfied 1,337 230 465 101 24 77 169 272 1,213 1,000 214 93 30 449 492 396

40% 41% 80% 55% 31% 15% 29% 34% 43% 43% 45% 36% 12% 41% 42% 39%

Dissatisfied 1,828 326 113 74 53 429 414 419 1,522 1,282 239 132 171 614 630 584

55% 58% 19% 41% 69% 83% 70% 53% 55% 55% 51% 50% 69% 56% 53% 57%

No opinion 141 6 6 8 - 13 5 102 55 35 20 38 48 40 63 38

4% 1% 1% 5% - 3% 1% 13% 2% 1% 4% 14% 19% 4% 5% 4%


J5531

Page 7Table 4

Q4 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Gilmore is doing his job as Tanaiste?



Urban Rural

Total 3,306 1,620 1,686 1,089 1,221 997 1,334 1,722 250 919 862 923 602 1,981 1,325

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,306 1,620 1,686 1,089 1,221 997 1,334 1,722 250 919 862 923 602 1,981 1,325

UNWTD 931 455 476 274 348 309 429 453 49 259 254 248 170 618 313

Satisfied 1,217 564 652 417 428 372 601 542 73 262 327 394 234 615 602

37% 35% 39% 38% 35% 37% 45% 31% 29% 29% 38% 43% 39% 31% 45%

Dissatisfied 1,840 941 899 559 697 584 655 1,038 147 577 463 461 339 1,166 674

56% 58% 53% 51% 57% 59% 49% 60% 59% 63% 54% 50% 56% 59% 51%

No opinion 250 115 134 113 96 41 78 142 30 79 72 68 29 200 49

8% 7% 8% 10% 8% 4% 6% 8% 12% 9% 8% 7% 5% 10% 4%


J5531

Page 8Table 4

Q4 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Gilmore is doing his job as Tanaiste?


Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Labour Green Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/Others

Would not/DK

Would vote


Would probablyvote

Might/might not

Would not Vote


Total 3,306 562 584 183 77 519 588 794 2,790 2,317 473 263 249 1,103 1,186 1,017

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,306 562 584 183 77 519 588 794 2,790 2,317 473 263 249 1,103 1,186 1,017

UNWTD 931 161 177 58 20 119 167 229 794 675 119 57 77 304 332 295

Satisfied 1,217 227 363 93 28 114 156 235 1,059 849 210 117 41 392 436 389

37% 40% 62% 51% 36% 22% 27% 30% 38% 37% 44% 45% 16% 36% 37% 38%

Dissatisfied 1,840 320 194 78 49 365 401 434 1,593 1,367 226 102 141 633 657 550

56% 57% 33% 42% 64% 70% 68% 55% 57% 59% 48% 39% 57% 57% 55% 54%

No opinion 250 14 27 12 - 41 31 124 139 102 37 43 67 78 93 78

8% 3% 5% 7% - 8% 5% 16% 5% 4% 8% 16% 27% 7% 8% 8%


J5531

Page 9Table 5

Q5 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Martin is doing his job as leader of Fianna Fail?



Urban Rural

Total 3,306 1,620 1,686 1,089 1,221 997 1,334 1,722 250 919 862 923 602 1,981 1,325

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,306 1,620 1,686 1,089 1,221 997 1,334 1,722 250 919 862 923 602 1,981 1,325

UNWTD 931 455 476 274 348 309 429 453 49 259 254 248 170 618 313

Satisfied 1,501 785 717 464 521 517 597 751 153 352 384 452 314 846 655

45% 48% 43% 43% 43% 52% 45% 44% 61% 38% 45% 49% 52% 43% 49%

Dissatisfied 1,459 711 748 473 598 387 624 760 75 463 376 372 247 913 546

44% 44% 44% 43% 49% 39% 47% 44% 30% 50% 44% 40% 41% 46% 41%

No opinion 346 125 221 151 102 93 113 211 22 103 102 99 42 222 124

10% 8% 13% 14% 8% 9% 8% 12% 9% 11% 12% 11% 7% 11% 9%


J5531

Page 10Table 5

Q5 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Martin is doing his job as leader of Fianna Fail?


Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Labour Green Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/Others

Would not/DK

Would vote


Would probablyvote

Might/might not

Would not Vote


Total 3,306 562 584 183 77 519 588 794 2,790 2,317 473 263 249 1,103 1,186 1,017

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,306 562 584 183 77 519 588 794 2,790 2,317 473 263 249 1,103 1,186 1,017

UNWTD 931 161 177 58 20 119 167 229 794 675 119 57 77 304 332 295

Satisfied 1,501 435 294 70 22 166 221 293 1,377 1,153 224 85 37 506 494 501

45% 77% 50% 38% 28% 32% 38% 37% 49% 50% 47% 32% 15% 46% 42% 49%

Dissatisfied 1,459 111 272 93 49 296 328 310 1,194 1,013 181 110 153 522 548 389

44% 20% 47% 51% 64% 57% 56% 39% 43% 44% 38% 42% 61% 47% 46% 38%

No opinion 346 16 18 20 6 57 39 191 219 151 68 67 59 74 144 128

10% 3% 3% 11% 8% 11% 7% 24% 8% 7% 14% 26% 24% 7% 12% 13%


J5531

Page 11Table 6

Q6 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Adams is doing his job as leader of Sinn Fein?



Urban Rural

Total 3,306 1,620 1,686 1,089 1,221 997 1,334 1,722 250 919 862 923 602 1,981 1,325

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,306 1,620 1,686 1,089 1,221 997 1,334 1,722 250 919 862 923 602 1,981 1,325

UNWTD 931 455 476 274 348 309 429 453 49 259 254 248 170 618 313

Satisfied 1,601 872 729 567 631 404 618 840 143 422 406 444 329 995 606

48% 54% 43% 52% 52% 41% 46% 49% 57% 46% 47% 48% 55% 50% 46%

Dissatisfied 1,295 610 685 399 456 440 566 653 76 383 353 342 217 770 525

39% 38% 41% 37% 37% 44% 42% 38% 31% 42% 41% 37% 36% 39% 40%

No opinion 410 138 272 123 134 153 151 229 31 114 103 137 57 216 195

12% 9% 16% 11% 11% 15% 11% 13% 12% 12% 12% 15% 9% 11% 15%


J5531

Page 12Table 6

Q6 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Adams is doing his job as leader of Sinn Fein?


Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Labour Green Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/Others

Would not/DK

Would vote


Would probablyvote

Might/might not

Would not Vote


Total 3,306 562 584 183 77 519 588 794 2,790 2,317 473 263 249 1,103 1,186 1,017

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,306 562 584 183 77 519 588 794 2,790 2,317 473 263 249 1,103 1,186 1,017

UNWTD 931 161 177 58 20 119 167 229 794 675 119 57 77 304 332 295

Satisfied 1,601 281 234 87 22 450 275 252 1,433 1,192 241 103 65 515 587 499

48% 50% 40% 47% 29% 87% 47% 32% 51% 51% 51% 39% 26% 47% 49% 49%

Dissatisfied 1,295 233 276 69 50 58 258 350 1,076 931 145 89 126 465 451 380

39% 42% 47% 38% 64% 11% 44% 44% 39% 40% 31% 34% 50% 42% 38% 37%

No opinion 410 47 74 27 5 11 55 191 281 194 87 70 59 124 148 138

12% 8% 13% 15% 7% 2% 9% 24% 10% 8% 18% 27% 23% 11% 13% 14%


J5531

Page 13Table 7

Q7 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Ryan is doing his job as leader of The Green Party?



Urban Rural

Total 3,306 1,620 1,686 1,089 1,221 997 1,334 1,722 250 919 862 923 602 1,981 1,325

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,306 1,620 1,686 1,089 1,221 997 1,334 1,722 250 919 862 923 602 1,981 1,325

UNWTD 931 455 476 274 348 309 429 453 49 259 254 248 170 618 313

Satisfied 1,095 512 582 420 392 283 492 519 84 292 281 270 252 672 423

33% 32% 35% 39% 32% 28% 37% 30% 34% 32% 33% 29% 42% 34% 32%

Dissatisfied 1,393 736 656 405 554 433 537 741 115 395 378 371 249 855 538

42% 45% 39% 37% 45% 43% 40% 43% 46% 43% 44% 40% 41% 43% 41%

No opinion 819 371 447 263 275 281 305 462 51 232 204 282 102 455 364

25% 23% 27% 24% 23% 28% 23% 27% 20% 25% 24% 31% 17% 23% 27%


J5531

Page 14Table 7

Q7 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Ryan is doing his job as leader of The Green Party?


Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Labour Green Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/Others

Would not/DK

Would vote


Would probablyvote

Might/might not

Would not Vote


Total 3,306 562 584 183 77 519 588 794 2,790 2,317 473 263 249 1,103 1,186 1,017

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,306 562 584 183 77 519 588 794 2,790 2,317 473 263 249 1,103 1,186 1,017

UNWTD 931 161 177 58 20 119 167 229 794 675 119 57 77 304 332 295

Satisfied 1,095 305 188 98 49 125 150 179 945 790 155 90 58 418 382 295

33% 54% 32% 54% 64% 24% 25% 23% 34% 34% 33% 34% 23% 38% 32% 29%

Dissatisfied 1,393 186 233 59 27 308 274 306 1,195 1,016 179 67 128 453 489 451

42% 33% 40% 32% 34% 59% 47% 39% 43% 44% 38% 26% 51% 41% 41% 44%

No opinion 819 70 163 26 1 86 164 308 650 511 139 105 63 232 315 272

25% 12% 28% 14% 1% 17% 28% 39% 23% 22% 29% 40% 25% 21% 27% 27%


J5531

Page 15Table 8

Q8 If there was a General Election tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would you give your first preference vote?



Urban Rural

Total 3,306 1,620 1,686 1,089 1,221 997 1,334 1,722 250 919 862 923 602 1,981 1,325

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,306 1,620 1,686 1,089 1,221 997 1,334 1,722 250 919 862 923 602 1,981 1,325

UNWTD 931 455 476 274 348 309 429 453 49 259 254 248 170 618 313

Fianna Fail 562 320 241 175 200 187 214 281 66 113 194 179 76 263 299

17% 20% 14% 16% 16% 19% 16% 16% 27% 12% 23% 19% 13% 13% 23%

Fine Gael 584 289 295 176 237 170 299 227 58 112 138 215 119 284 300

18% 18% 17% 16% 19% 17% 22% 13% 23% 12% 16% 23% 20% 14% 23%

Labour 183 85 98 77 63 44 117 66 - 86 32 31 35 158 25

6% 5% 6% 7% 5% 4% 9% 4% - 9% 4% 3% 6% 8% 2%

Green Party 77 38 39 44 32 1 45 32 - 23 21 28 4 61 16

2% 2% 2% 4% 3% 0% 3% 2% - 3% 2% 3% 1% 3% 1%

Sinn Fein 519 282 237 195 219 105 121 367 31 171 139 108 101 378 141

16% 17% 14% 18% 18% 11% 9% 21% 12% 19% 16% 12% 17% 19% 11%

Independent/Other 588 309 279 140 201 247 222 327 39 189 131 143 124 349 239

18% 19% 17% 13% 17% 25% 17% 19% 16% 21% 15% 15% 21% 18% 18%

Don’t know 601 221 380 222 205 174 268 287 46 163 159 179 101 354 248

18% 14% 23% 20% 17% 17% 20% 17% 18% 18% 18% 19% 17% 18% 19%

Would not vote 192 76 116 59 64 68 48 134 10 61 47 41 43 135 57

6% 5% 7% 5% 5% 7% 4% 8% 4% 7% 5% 4% 7% 7% 4%


J5531

Page 16Table 8



Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Labour Green Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/Others

Would not/DK

Would vote


Would probablyvote

Might/might not

Would not Vote


Total 3,306 562 584 183 77 519 588 794 2,790 2,317 473 263 249 1,103 1,186 1,017

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,306 562 584 183 77 519 588 794 2,790 2,317 473 263 249 1,103 1,186 1,017

UNWTD 931 161 177 58 20 119 167 229 794 675 119 57 77 304 332 295

Fianna Fail 562 562 - - - - - - 521 446 75 29 11 189 200 173

17% 100% - - - - - - 19% 19% 16% 11% 4% 17% 17% 17%

Fine Gael 584 - 584 - - - - - 531 464 67 47 6 181 219 184

18% - 100% - - - - - 19% 20% 14% 18% 3% 16% 18% 18%

Labour 183 - - 183 - - - - 182 148 34 1 - 75 73 36

6% - - 100% - - - - 7% 6% 7% 0% - 7% 6% 4%

Green Party 77 - - - 77 - - - 76 71 5 - - 34 17 25

2% - - - 100% - - - 3% 3% 1% - - 3% 1% 2%

Sinn Fein 519 - - - - 519 - - 451 380 71 47 22 156 208 155

16% - - - - 100% - - 16% 16% 15% 18% 9% 14% 18% 15%

Independent/Other 588 - - - - - 588 - 551 508 43 30 7 206 184 198

18% - - - - - 100% - 20% 22% 9% 11% 3% 19% 15% 19%

Don’t know 601 - - - - - - 601 451 291 160 76 72 195 205 201

18% - - - - - - 76% 16% 13% 34% 29% 29% 18% 17% 20%

Would not vote 192 - - - - - - 192 28 10 18 33 131 67 80 46

6% - - - - - - 24% 1% 0% 4% 12% 52% 6% 7% 5%


J5531

Page 17Table 9


All Irish VotersAll voters excluding undecided

Total Gender Age Class Region Area


Urban Rural

Total 2,513 1,323 1,189 807 951 754 1,018 1,301 194 694 656 704 458 1,493 1,020

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 2,513 1,323 1,189 807 951 754 1,018 1,301 194 694 656 704 458 1,493 1,020

UNWTD 702 364 338 199 265 238 333 333 36 197 195 180 130 463 239

Fianna Fail 562 320 241 175 200 187 214 281 66 113 194 179 76 263 299

22% 24% 20% 22% 21% 25% 21% 22% 34% 16% 30% 25% 16% 18% 29%

Fine Gael 584 289 295 176 237 170 299 227 58 112 138 215 119 284 300

23% 22% 25% 22% 25% 23% 29% 17% 30% 16% 21% 31% 26% 19% 29%

Labour 183 85 98 77 63 44 117 66 - 86 32 31 35 158 25

7% 6% 8% 9% 7% 6% 11% 5% - 12% 5% 4% 8% 11% 2%

Green Party 77 38 39 44 32 1 45 32 - 23 21 28 4 61 16

3% 3% 3% 5% 3% 0% 4% 2% - 3% 3% 4% 1% 4% 2%

Sinn Fein 519 282 237 195 219 105 121 367 31 171 139 108 101 378 141

21% 21% 20% 24% 23% 14% 12% 28% 16% 25% 21% 15% 22% 25% 14%


23% 23% 23% 17% 21% 33% 22% 25% 20% 27% 20% 20% 27% 23% 23%


J5531

Page 18Table 9


All Irish VotersAll voters excluding undecided

Total Party Support Likelihood Constituency

Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Labour Green Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/Others

Would vote


Would probablyvote

Might/might not

Would not Vote


Total 2,513 562 584 183 77 519 588 2,311 2,016 295 154 46 841 901 771

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 2,513 562 584 183 77 519 588 2,311 2,016 295 154 46 841 901 771

UNWTD 702 161 177 58 20 119 167 658 577 81 29 14 229 249 224

Fianna Fail 562 562 - - - - - 521 446 75 29 11 189 200 173

22% 100% - - - - - 23% 22% 25% 19% 24% 22% 22% 22%

Fine Gael 584 - 584 - - - - 531 464 67 47 6 181 219 184

23% - 100% - - - - 23% 23% 23% 31% 14% 22% 24% 24%

Labour 183 - - 183 - - - 182 148 34 1 - 75 73 36

7% - - 100% - - - 8% 7% 12% 1% - 9% 8% 5%

Green Party 77 - - - 77 - - 76 71 5 - - 34 17 25

3% - - - 100% - - 3% 4% 2% - - 4% 2% 3%

Sinn Fein 519 - - - - 519 - 451 380 71 47 22 156 208 155

21% - - - - 100% - 19% 19% 24% 30% 47% 19% 23% 20%

Independent/Other 588 - - - - - 588 551 508 43 30 7 206 184 198

23% - - - - - 100% 24% 25% 15% 19% 15% 25% 20% 26%


J5531

Page 19Table 10

Adjusted Party Support : Q8 If there was a General Election tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would you give your first preference vote?

All voters excluding undecidedWill definitely vote



Urban Rural

Total 1,894 1,044 850 543 739 612 746 1,002 146 557 468 494 376 1,156 739

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 1,894 1,044 850 543 739 612 746 1,002 146 557 468 494 376 1,156 739

UNWTD 577 310 267 131 232 214 276 271 30 163 160 140 114 383 194

Fianna Fail 384 235 149 109 132 143 137 196 52 92 120 111 61 191 193

20% 23% 18% 20% 18% 23% 18% 20% 35% 17% 26% 23% 16% 17% 26%

Fine Gael 400 219 181 116 180 104 209 143 48 80 101 127 92 200 200

21% 21% 21% 21% 24% 17% 28% 14% 33% 14% 22% 26% 24% 17% 27%

Labour 166 84 82 59 57 50 98 68 - 68 27 31 40 145 21

9% 8% 10% 11% 8% 8% 13% 7% - 12% 6% 6% 11% 13% 3%

Green Party 76 33 44 42 34 - 50 27 - 27 22 24 4 63 14

4% 3% 5% 8% 5% - 7% 3% - 5% 5% 5% 1% 5% 2%

Sinn Fein 370 208 163 107 161 102 75 263 32 129 79 84 79 258 112

20% 20% 19% 20% 22% 17% 10% 26% 22% 23% 17% 17% 21% 22% 15%


26% 25% 27% 20% 24% 35% 24% 30% 10% 29% 25% 24% 27% 26% 27%


J5531

Page 20Table 10

Adjusted Party Support : Q8 If there was a General Election tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would you give your first preference vote?

All voters excluding undecidedWill definitely vote


Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Labour Green Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/Others

Would vote



Total 1,894 384 400 166 76 370 497 1,894 1,894 632 666 596

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 1,894 384 400 166 76 370 497 1,894 1,894 632 666 596

UNWTD 577 130 152 49 18 82 146 577 577 191 198 188

Fianna Fail 384 384 - - - - - 384 384 119 153 112

20% 100% - - - - - 20% 20% 19% 23% 19%

Fine Gael 400 - 400 - - - - 400 400 132 118 150

21% - 100% - - - - 21% 21% 21% 18% 25%

Labour 166 - - 166 - - - 166 166 75 56 35

9% - - 100% - - - 9% 9% 12% 8% 6%

Green Party 76 - - - 76 - - 76 76 37 19 21

4% - - - 100% - - 4% 4% 6% 3% 3%

Sinn Fein 370 - - - - 370 - 370 370 91 176 103

20% - - - - 100% - 20% 20% 14% 26% 17%

Independent/Other 497 - - - - - 497 497 497 179 143 175

26% - - - - - 100% 26% 26% 28% 21% 29%


J5531

Page 21Table 11

Q.8 When was the last time, if ever, you participated in each of the following events – within the last month, the last 3 months, the last six months, the last year or longer ago?

All Irish Adults 18+ PollQ8aLNew

Went tothe

theatre

Went toa circus

Went toa musicconcert/gig

Went tothe

cinema

Went toan art exhibition

Went to arecital/ classical music

performance

Went to aperformance of ballet or opera

Went toa book reading

Read a book

yourself for

pleasure


Total 3,440 3,440 3,440 3,440 3,440 3,440 3,440 3,440 3,440 3,440

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 3,440 3,440 3,440 3,440 3,440 3,440 3,440 3,440 3,440

UNWTD 972 972 972 972 972 972 972 972 972 972

- Past 3 months 897 164 948 1,739 548 315 162 224 2,417 564

26% 5% 28% 51% 16% 9% 5% 7% 70% 16%

- Past 6 months 1,325 275 1,453 2,126 805 618 283 389 2,630 1,024

39% 8% 42% 62% 23% 18% 8% 11% 76% 30%

- Past 12 months 1,824 607 2,070 2,426 1,247 909 469 504 2,833 1,856

53% 18% 60% 71% 36% 26% 14% 15% 82% 54%

- Ever 2,961 3,062 3,125 3,385 2,285 1,847 1,382 1,236 3,195 2,825

86% 89% 91% 98% 66% 54% 40% 36% 93% 82%

Within the last month 417 83 512 1,019 334 188 48 132 2,021 281

12% 2% 15% 30% 10% 5% 1% 4% 59% 8%

Within the last 3 months

480 81 437 720 214 127 114 92 396 283

14% 2% 13% 21% 6% 4% 3% 3% 12% 8%


429 111 505 387 257 303 121 165 213 460

12% 3% 15% 11% 7% 9% 4% 5% 6% 13%


499 331 618 300 441 291 185 115 203 832

15% 10% 18% 9% 13% 8% 5% 3% 6% 24%


J5531

Page 22Table 11

Q.8 When was the last time, if ever, you participated in each of the following events – within the last month, the last 3 months, the last six months, the last year or longer ago?

All Irish Adults 18+ PollQ8aLNew

Went tothe

theatre

Went toa circus

Went toa musicconcert/gig

Went tothe

cinema

Went toan art exhibition

Went to arecital/ classical music

performance

Went to aperformance of ballet or opera

Went toa book reading

Read a book

yourself for

pleasure


Total 3,440 3,440 3,440 3,440 3,440 3,440 3,440 3,440 3,440 3,440

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 3,440 3,440 3,440 3,440 3,440 3,440 3,440 3,440 3,440

UNWTD 972 972 972 972 972 972 972 972 972 972

Longer ago 1,137 2,455 1,054 959 1,038 938 913 732 362 968

33% 71% 31% 28% 30% 27% 27% 21% 11% 28%

Never 475 375 311 55 1,148 1,590 2,054 2,203 241 611

14% 11% 9% 2% 33% 46% 60% 64% 7% 18%

Don't Know 4 3 4 - 7 3 4 1 3 4

0% 0% 0% - 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%


J5531

Page 23Table 12

All past 3 months



Urban Rural

Total 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 990 873 957 620 2,104 1,336

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 990 873 957 620 2,104 1,336

UNWTD 972 472 500 299 362 311 446 476 50 276 260 261 175 655 315

ANY 2,984 1,404 1,579 1,026 1,120 838 1,275 1,502 206 901 765 801 517 1,858 1,126

87% 83% 90% 88% 88% 84% 92% 83% 81% 91% 88% 84% 83% 88% 84%

Went to the theatre 897 369 527 323 250 323 413 428 56 277 260 239 121 573 324

26% 22% 30% 28% 20% 32% 30% 24% 22% 28% 30% 25% 20% 27% 24%

Went to a circus 164 87 77 110 50 4 39 122 3 78 49 23 14 134 30

5% 5% 4% 9% 4% 0% 3% 7% 1% 8% 6% 2% 2% 6% 2%


948 484 464 372 335 241 466 420 62 341 260 213 134 651 297

28% 29% 26% 32% 26% 24% 34% 23% 24% 34% 30% 22% 22% 31% 22%

Went to the cinema 1,739 861 877 809 652 278 861 806 72 549 487 475 228 1,188 551

51% 51% 50% 69% 51% 28% 62% 45% 28% 55% 56% 50% 37% 56% 41%


548 288 261 193 187 168 329 219 - 261 114 105 69 420 128

16% 17% 15% 16% 15% 17% 24% 12% - 26% 13% 11% 11% 20% 10%


315 173 142 99 89 127 156 149 10 147 75 48 45 267 48

9% 10% 8% 8% 7% 13% 11% 8% 4% 15% 9% 5% 7% 13% 4%


162 69 93 86 44 33 72 84 5 77 37 32 16 97 65

5% 4% 5% 7% 3% 3% 5% 5% 2% 8% 4% 3% 3% 5% 5%


J5531

Page 24Table 12

All past 3 months



Urban Rural

Total 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 990 873 957 620 2,104 1,336

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 990 873 957 620 2,104 1,336

UNWTD 972 472 500 299 362 311 446 476 50 276 260 261 175 655 315


224 109 115 71 105 48 101 117 6 69 68 38 49 149 75

7% 6% 7% 6% 8% 5% 7% 6% 2% 7% 8% 4% 8% 7% 6%


2,417 1,075 1,343 782 923 711 1,055 1,214 148 747 601 637 432 1,518 900

70% 64% 77% 67% 73% 71% 76% 67% 58% 75% 69% 67% 70% 72% 67%


564 328 236 263 182 120 301 235 28 209 170 112 73 362 203

16% 19% 13% 22% 14% 12% 22% 13% 11% 21% 20% 12% 12% 17% 15%

None 456 281 175 145 149 162 104 303 49 89 109 156 103 246 210

13% 17% 10% 12% 12% 16% 8% 17% 19% 9% 12% 16% 17% 12% 16%


J5531

Page 25Table 12

All past 3 months


Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Labour Green Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/Others

Would not/DK

Would vote


Would probablyvote

Might/might not

Would not Vote


Total 3,440 567 590 184 77 534 613 874 2,815 2,334 481 290 319 1,129 1,242 1,069

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 567 590 184 77 534 613 874 2,815 2,334 481 290 319 1,129 1,242 1,069

UNWTD 972 165 179 59 20 123 176 250 802 680 122 66 97 313 350 309

ANY 2,984 515 514 173 73 429 556 724 2,484 2,082 402 201 282 967 1,060 957

87% 91% 87% 94% 94% 80% 91% 83% 88% 89% 84% 69% 89% 86% 85% 89%

Went to the theatre 897 213 158 61 25 77 179 184 756 676 80 71 63 233 353 310

26% 38% 27% 33% 32% 14% 29% 21% 27% 29% 17% 24% 20% 21% 28% 29%

Went to a circus 164 48 18 10 - 45 7 36 123 99 24 17 24 55 74 36

5% 8% 3% 5% - 8% 1% 4% 4% 4% 5% 6% 8% 5% 6% 3%


948 152 186 71 36 135 172 196 806 691 114 69 64 297 373 279

28% 27% 31% 39% 46% 25% 28% 22% 29% 30% 24% 24% 20% 26% 30% 26%

Went to the cinema 1,739 315 310 132 67 237 254 424 1,391 1,153 238 138 198 560 663 516

51% 55% 52% 72% 87% 44% 42% 48% 49% 49% 50% 48% 62% 50% 53% 48%


548 85 70 58 40 79 87 130 467 419 48 21 54 177 211 161

16% 15% 12% 31% 52% 15% 14% 15% 17% 18% 10% 7% 17% 16% 17% 15%


315 54 47 27 19 52 56 60 283 241 42 22 9 78 116 121

9% 10% 8% 15% 24% 10% 9% 7% 10% 10% 9% 8% 3% 7% 9% 11%


162 41 26 13 11 6 26 38 122 100 22 18 22 48 70 43

5% 7% 4% 7% 14% 1% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 6% 7% 4% 6% 4%


J5531

Page 26Table 12

All past 3 months


Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Labour Green Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/Others

Would not/DK

Would vote


Would probablyvote

Might/might not

Would not Vote


Total 3,440 567 590 184 77 534 613 874 2,815 2,334 481 290 319 1,129 1,242 1,069

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 567 590 184 77 534 613 874 2,815 2,334 481 290 319 1,129 1,242 1,069

UNWTD 972 165 179 59 20 123 176 250 802 680 122 66 97 313 350 309


224 25 19 19 21 43 49 48 160 134 25 28 27 89 83 51

7% 4% 3% 11% 27% 8% 8% 5% 6% 6% 5% 10% 8% 8% 7% 5%


2,417 386 397 159 66 329 483 597 2,038 1,750 288 148 216 799 858 760

70% 68% 67% 86% 86% 62% 79% 68% 72% 75% 60% 51% 68% 71% 69% 71%


564 92 79 53 40 84 109 108 504 468 37 22 35 215 209 140

16% 16% 13% 29% 52% 16% 18% 12% 18% 20% 8% 7% 11% 19% 17% 13%

None 456 52 77 11 5 105 56 150 331 252 79 88 36 162 182 113

13% 9% 13% 6% 6% 20% 9% 17% 12% 11% 16% 31% 11% 14% 15% 11%


J5531

Page 27Table 13

All past 6 months



Urban Rural

Total 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 990 873 957 620 2,104 1,336

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 990 873 957 620 2,104 1,336

UNWTD 972 472 500 299 362 311 446 476 50 276 260 261 175 655 315

ANY 3,227 1,530 1,697 1,134 1,189 904 1,325 1,671 231 959 828 873 567 2,006 1,221

94% 91% 97% 97% 94% 90% 96% 93% 90% 97% 95% 91% 91% 95% 91%

Went to the theatre 1,325 539 787 474 412 439 629 629 68 457 315 331 222 884 441

39% 32% 45% 40% 32% 44% 46% 35% 27% 46% 36% 35% 36% 42% 33%

Went to a circus 275 132 143 147 119 9 97 169 10 109 88 48 31 198 77

8% 8% 8% 13% 9% 1% 7% 9% 4% 11% 10% 5% 5% 9% 6%


1,453 693 760 607 508 337 703 644 105 516 365 351 220 1,013 440

42% 41% 43% 52% 40% 34% 51% 36% 41% 52% 42% 37% 35% 48% 33%

Went to the cinema 2,126 1,027 1,099 975 776 374 968 1,060 98 627 602 581 316 1,418 708

62% 61% 63% 83% 61% 37% 70% 59% 38% 63% 69% 61% 51% 67% 53%


805 395 411 296 276 233 450 341 15 344 179 171 112 594 211

23% 23% 23% 25% 22% 23% 33% 19% 6% 35% 20% 18% 18% 28% 16%


618 296 322 195 188 235 294 294 31 261 152 102 103 447 171

18% 18% 18% 17% 15% 24% 21% 16% 12% 26% 17% 11% 17% 21% 13%


283 95 189 114 83 87 122 136 26 95 75 79 35 164 120

8% 6% 11% 10% 7% 9% 9% 8% 10% 10% 9% 8% 6% 8% 9%


J5531

Page 28Table 13

All past 6 months



Urban Rural

Total 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 990 873 957 620 2,104 1,336

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 990 873 957 620 2,104 1,336

UNWTD 972 472 500 299 362 311 446 476 50 276 260 261 175 655 315


389 176 213 125 162 101 158 207 23 108 95 91 95 257 132

11% 10% 12% 11% 13% 10% 11% 11% 9% 11% 11% 9% 15% 12% 10%


2,630 1,188 1,442 869 1,006 756 1,151 1,320 159 800 645 705 480 1,639 992

76% 71% 82% 74% 79% 76% 83% 73% 62% 81% 74% 74% 77% 78% 74%


1,024 509 515 397 404 223 530 412 81 293 261 284 186 643 381

30% 30% 29% 34% 32% 22% 38% 23% 32% 30% 30% 30% 30% 31% 28%

None 213 155 58 38 80 95 54 134 25 30 45 84 53 98 115

6% 9% 3% 3% 6% 10% 4% 7% 10% 3% 5% 9% 9% 5% 9%


J5531

Page 29Table 13

All past 6 months


Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Labour Green Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/Others

Would not/DK

Would vote


Would probablyvote

Might/might not

Would not Vote


Total 3,440 567 590 184 77 534 613 874 2,815 2,334 481 290 319 1,129 1,242 1,069

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 567 590 184 77 534 613 874 2,815 2,334 481 290 319 1,129 1,242 1,069

UNWTD 972 165 179 59 20 123 176 250 802 680 122 66 97 313 350 309

ANY 3,227 535 541 177 77 512 588 798 2,666 2,236 429 245 300 1,065 1,151 1,011

94% 94% 92% 96% 100% 96% 96% 91% 95% 96% 89% 85% 94% 94% 93% 95%

Went to the theatre 1,325 278 220 96 34 138 285 275 1,126 999 127 89 104 394 511 419

39% 49% 37% 52% 44% 26% 46% 31% 40% 43% 26% 31% 33% 35% 41% 39%

Went to a circus 275 80 29 13 7 52 21 73 218 163 55 27 30 100 122 53

8% 14% 5% 7% 9% 10% 3% 8% 8% 7% 11% 9% 9% 9% 10% 5%


1,453 241 267 110 57 212 250 317 1,209 1,004 205 133 101 481 566 406

42% 43% 45% 60% 74% 40% 41% 36% 43% 43% 43% 46% 32% 43% 46% 38%


62% 66% 61% 83% 91% 65% 51% 58% 60% 60% 59% 67% 72% 61% 64% 60%


805 114 141 89 51 103 130 178 700 628 73 33 65 277 294 235

23% 20% 24% 48% 66% 19% 21% 20% 25% 27% 15% 11% 20% 25% 24% 22%


618 126 107 46 19 82 86 151 525 460 64 61 33 210 218 190

18% 22% 18% 25% 24% 15% 14% 17% 19% 20% 13% 21% 10% 19% 18% 18%


283 92 46 28 14 20 33 50 228 197 30 22 34 97 95 91

8% 16% 8% 15% 19% 4% 5% 6% 8% 8% 6% 8% 11% 9% 8% 8%


J5531

Page 30Table 13

All past 6 months


Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Labour Green Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/Others

Would not/DK

Would vote


Would probablyvote

Might/might not

Would not Vote


Total 3,440 567 590 184 77 534 613 874 2,815 2,334 481 290 319 1,129 1,242 1,069

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 567 590 184 77 534 613 874 2,815 2,334 481 290 319 1,129 1,242 1,069

UNWTD 972 165 179 59 20 123 176 250 802 680 122 66 97 313 350 309


389 36 30 30 41 72 103 77 295 268 27 54 29 142 124 123

11% 6% 5% 16% 53% 13% 17% 9% 10% 11% 6% 18% 9% 13% 10% 11%


2,630 430 442 162 73 363 509 650 2,214 1,886 328 171 231 887 905 838

76% 76% 75% 88% 95% 68% 83% 74% 79% 81% 68% 59% 72% 79% 73% 78%


1,024 163 179 69 53 183 174 203 908 788 120 42 65 399 349 276

30% 29% 30% 37% 69% 34% 28% 23% 32% 34% 25% 14% 20% 35% 28% 26%

None 213 32 50 8 - 22 25 76 149 98 52 44 19 64 90 59

6% 6% 8% 4% - 4% 4% 9% 5% 4% 11% 15% 6% 6% 7% 5%


J5531

Page 31Table 14

All past 12 months



Urban Rural

Total 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 990 873 957 620 2,104 1,336

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 990 873 957 620 2,104 1,336

UNWTD 972 472 500 299 362 311 446 476 50 276 260 261 175 655 315

ANY 3,351 1,596 1,755 1,151 1,230 970 1,376 1,734 240 961 858 920 612 2,042 1,308

97% 95% 100% 98% 97% 97% 100% 96% 94% 97% 98% 96% 99% 97% 98%

Went to the theatre 1,824 779 1,045 638 589 597 875 831 119 606 440 502 278 1,217 608

53% 46% 60% 54% 46% 60% 63% 46% 47% 61% 50% 52% 45% 58% 45%

Went to a circus 607 286 321 309 238 60 197 391 19 207 167 145 87 421 186

18% 17% 18% 26% 19% 6% 14% 22% 7% 21% 19% 15% 14% 20% 14%


2,070 980 1,090 826 748 496 998 956 117 685 488 554 343 1,360 711

60% 58% 62% 71% 59% 50% 72% 53% 46% 69% 56% 58% 55% 65% 53%

Went to the cinema 2,426 1,188 1,238 1,055 892 479 1,100 1,195 131 704 658 650 414 1,570 856

71% 70% 71% 90% 70% 48% 80% 66% 51% 71% 75% 68% 67% 75% 64%


1,247 572 674 453 453 341 656 528 62 438 313 298 197 840 407

36% 34% 38% 39% 36% 34% 48% 29% 24% 44% 36% 31% 32% 40% 30%


909 381 528 307 309 293 447 402 59 358 181 211 159 660 249

26% 23% 30% 26% 24% 29% 32% 22% 23% 36% 21% 22% 26% 31% 19%


469 187 282 166 153 149 208 223 38 177 105 125 62 281 188

14% 11% 16% 14% 12% 15% 15% 12% 15% 18% 12% 13% 10% 13% 14%


J5531

Page 32Table 14

All past 12 months



Urban Rural

Total 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 990 873 957 620 2,104 1,336

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 990 873 957 620 2,104 1,336

UNWTD 972 472 500 299 362 311 446 476 50 276 260 261 175 655 315


504 243 261 152 193 160 194 263 47 161 116 113 113 342 162

15% 14% 15% 13% 15% 16% 14% 15% 18% 16% 13% 12% 18% 16% 12%


2,833 1,292 1,541 965 1,083 786 1,209 1,439 185 853 694 747 540 1,749 1,084

82% 77% 88% 82% 85% 79% 88% 80% 72% 86% 79% 78% 87% 83% 81%


1,856 913 944 654 785 418 900 810 146 509 494 509 345 1,158 698

54% 54% 54% 56% 62% 42% 65% 45% 57% 51% 57% 53% 56% 55% 52%

None 89 89 - 20 39 30 3 71 15 29 16 37 8 62 28

3% 5% - 2% 3% 3% 0% 4% 6% 3% 2% 4% 1% 3% 2%


J5531

Page 33Table 14

All past 12 months


Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Labour Green Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/Others

Would not/DK

Would vote


Would probablyvote

Might/might not

Would not Vote


Total 3,440 567 590 184 77 534 613 874 2,815 2,334 481 290 319 1,129 1,242 1,069

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 567 590 184 77 534 613 874 2,815 2,334 481 290 319 1,129 1,242 1,069

UNWTD 972 165 179 59 20 123 176 250 802 680 122 66 97 313 350 309

ANY 3,351 556 589 184 77 519 596 829 2,747 2,297 450 280 307 1,114 1,200 1,038

97% 98% 100% 100% 100% 97% 97% 95% 98% 98% 94% 97% 96% 99% 97% 97%

Went to the theatre 1,824 344 310 130 61 220 326 434 1,571 1,378 194 107 134 584 705 535

53% 61% 53% 70% 79% 41% 53% 50% 56% 59% 40% 37% 42% 52% 57% 50%

Went to a circus 607 112 61 14 21 160 86 152 496 381 116 60 50 199 259 149

18% 20% 10% 8% 28% 30% 14% 17% 18% 16% 24% 21% 16% 18% 21% 14%


2,070 317 389 129 71 325 361 477 1,676 1,382 293 198 183 654 813 603

60% 56% 66% 70% 93% 61% 59% 55% 60% 59% 61% 68% 57% 58% 66% 56%


71% 72% 68% 88% 100% 80% 60% 66% 70% 71% 67% 68% 76% 70% 72% 69%


1,247 205 233 108 60 126 245 269 1,078 958 121 72 86 400 444 402

36% 36% 39% 59% 78% 24% 40% 31% 38% 41% 25% 25% 27% 35% 36% 38%


909 168 171 80 45 106 116 222 761 656 104 77 67 310 320 279

26% 30% 29% 43% 58% 20% 19% 25% 27% 28% 22% 27% 21% 27% 26% 26%


469 126 71 33 28 44 52 115 392 329 63 25 53 175 163 131

14% 22% 12% 18% 37% 8% 8% 13% 14% 14% 13% 8% 17% 16% 13% 12%


J5531

Page 34Table 14

All past 12 months


Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Labour Green Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/Others

Would not/DK

Would vote


Would probablyvote

Might/might not

Would not Vote


Total 3,440 567 590 184 77 534 613 874 2,815 2,334 481 290 319 1,129 1,242 1,069

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 567 590 184 77 534 613 874 2,815 2,334 481 290 319 1,129 1,242 1,069

UNWTD 972 165 179 59 20 123 176 250 802 680 122 66 97 313 350 309


504 49 43 31 45 114 109 113 395 356 38 63 34 175 177 151

15% 9% 7% 17% 58% 21% 18% 13% 14% 15% 8% 22% 11% 15% 14% 14%


2,833 459 508 163 74 387 529 713 2,380 2,012 368 194 243 950 987 896

82% 81% 86% 88% 97% 73% 86% 82% 85% 86% 76% 67% 76% 84% 79% 84%


1,856 303 297 124 62 273 361 437 1,582 1,386 196 101 160 644 635 578

54% 53% 50% 67% 80% 51% 59% 50% 56% 59% 41% 35% 50% 57% 51% 54%

None 89 11 1 - - 15 17 45 68 37 30 10 12 15 42 32

3% 2% 0% - - 3% 3% 5% 2% 2% 6% 3% 4% 1% 3% 3%


J5531

Page 35Table 15

Q11 How likely would you be to vote if there was a General Election tomorrow?



Urban Rural

Total 3,306 1,620 1,686 1,089 1,221 997 1,334 1,722 250 919 862 923 602 1,981 1,325

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,306 1,620 1,686 1,089 1,221 997 1,334 1,722 250 919 862 923 602 1,981 1,325

UNWTD 931 455 476 274 348 309 429 453 49 259 254 248 170 618 313

Would definitely vote 2,317 1,226 1,091 657 874 786 936 1,197 184 642 609 604 463 1,370 947

70% 76% 65% 60% 72% 79% 70% 69% 74% 70% 71% 65% 77% 69% 71%

Would probably vote 473 223 251 200 195 78 235 219 19 136 104 163 71 301 172

14% 14% 15% 18% 16% 8% 18% 13% 8% 15% 12% 18% 12% 15% 13%

Might/might not vote 263 64 198 125 73 65 77 147 39 56 81 93 32 145 118

8% 4% 12% 11% 6% 7% 6% 9% 15% 6% 9% 10% 5% 7% 9%

Would probably not vote

122 47 75 70 39 13 52 68 2 44 32 36 10 85 37

4% 3% 4% 6% 3% 1% 4% 4% 1% 5% 4% 4% 2% 4% 3%

Would definitely not vote

127 59 68 36 40 51 33 90 4 38 34 28 27 78 50

4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 5% 2% 5% 2% 4% 4% 3% 5% 4% 4%

Don’t know 5 2 2 1 - 4 1 1 2 2 2 - - 2 2

0% 0% 0% 0% - 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% - - 0% 0%

Mean 4.43 4.55 4.32 4.26 4.49 4.55 4.49 4.37 4.52 4.42 4.42 4.38 4.55 4.42 4.46

Minimum 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00

Maximum 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00


J5531

Page 36Table 15

Q11 How likely would you be to vote if there was a General Election tomorrow?


Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Labour Green Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/Others

Would not/DK

Would vote


Would probablyvote

Might/might not

Would not Vote


Total 3,306 562 584 183 77 519 588 794 2,790 2,317 473 263 249 1,103 1,186 1,017

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,306 562 584 183 77 519 588 794 2,790 2,317 473 263 249 1,103 1,186 1,017

UNWTD 931 161 177 58 20 119 167 229 794 675 119 57 77 304 332 295

Would definitely vote 2,317 446 464 148 71 380 508 301 2,317 2,317 - - - 802 780 735

70% 79% 79% 81% 92% 73% 86% 38% 83% 100% - - - 73% 66% 72%

Would probably vote 473 75 67 34 5 71 43 178 473 - 473 - - 113 203 158

14% 13% 11% 19% 6% 14% 7% 22% 17% - 100% - - 10% 17% 15%

Might/might not vote 263 29 47 1 - 47 30 109 - - - 263 - 98 105 59

8% 5% 8% 1% - 9% 5% 14% - - - 100% - 9% 9% 6%

Would probably not vote

122 9 - - - 15 5 92 - - - - 122 39 54 29

4% 2% - - - 3% 1% 12% - - - - 49% 4% 5% 3%

Would definitely not vote

127 2 6 - - 6 2 111 - - - - 127 51 43 33

4% 0% 1% - - 1% 0% 14% - - - - 51% 5% 4% 3%

Don’t know 5 - - - 1 - - 3 - - - - - - 1 3

0% - - - 2% - - 0% - - - - - - 0% 0%

Mean 4.43 4.70 4.68 4.80 4.94 4.54 4.79 3.59 4.83 5.00 4.00 3.00 1.49 4.43 4.37 4.51

Minimum 1.00 1.00 1.00 3.00 4.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 4.00 5.00 4.00 3.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00

Maximum 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 4.00 3.00 2.00 5.00 5.00 5.00


J5531

Page 37Table 16

Q12 And finally, to which party or independent candidate did you give your first preference vote in last February’s General Election?



Urban Rural

Total 3,306 1,620 1,686 1,089 1,221 997 1,334 1,722 250 919 862 923 602 1,981 1,325

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,306 1,620 1,686 1,089 1,221 997 1,334 1,722 250 919 862 923 602 1,981 1,325

UNWTD 931 455 476 274 348 309 429 453 49 259 254 248 170 618 313

Fianna Fail 515 266 250 138 192 185 167 274 74 67 193 174 80 225 290

16% 16% 15% 13% 16% 19% 13% 16% 30% 7% 22% 19% 13% 11% 22%

Fine Gael 1,082 563 519 282 403 398 530 445 107 199 293 338 252 506 576

33% 35% 31% 26% 33% 40% 40% 26% 43% 22% 34% 37% 42% 26% 43%

Labour 376 168 208 83 149 145 167 200 8 190 61 77 47 324 52

11% 10% 12% 8% 12% 15% 13% 12% 3% 21% 7% 8% 8% 16% 4%

Green Party 21 10 11 10 7 4 10 12 - 11 8 2 1 19 2

1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% - 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0%

Sinn Fein 207 132 75 93 67 47 51 151 6 79 49 43 36 169 38

6% 8% 4% 9% 5% 5% 4% 9% 2% 9% 6% 5% 6% 9% 3%


10% 11% 9% 7% 13% 9% 9% 11% 6% 9% 9% 8% 15% 8% 12%

Don’t know 393 134 260 144 142 108 162 206 25 123 103 104 64 279 114

12% 8% 15% 13% 12% 11% 12% 12% 10% 13% 12% 11% 11% 14% 9%

Did not vote 388 175 213 259 104 24 126 247 15 168 81 107 32 296 91

12% 11% 13% 24% 9% 2% 9% 14% 6% 18% 9% 12% 5% 15% 7%


J5531

Page 38Table 16



Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Labour Green Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/Others

Would not/DK

Would vote


Would probablyvote

Might/might not

Would not Vote


Total 3,306 562 584 183 77 519 588 794 2,790 2,317 473 263 249 1,103 1,186 1,017

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,306 562 584 183 77 519 588 794 2,790 2,317 473 263 249 1,103 1,186 1,017

UNWTD 931 161 177 58 20 119 167 229 794 675 119 57 77 304 332 295

Fianna Fail 515 348 14 3 6 29 30 85 488 386 102 18 9 196 171 148

16% 62% 2% 1% 8% 6% 5% 11% 18% 17% 22% 7% 4% 18% 14% 15%

Fine Gael 1,082 75 496 15 24 84 164 225 946 799 147 73 61 395 346 342

33% 13% 85% 8% 31% 16% 28% 28% 34% 34% 31% 28% 24% 36% 29% 34%

Labour 376 31 29 129 6 32 93 57 357 315 42 11 9 121 159 96

11% 5% 5% 70% 8% 6% 16% 7% 13% 14% 9% 4% 4% 11% 13% 9%

Green Party 21 2 - 2 12 1 3 2 20 20 - - - 12 9 -

1% 0% - 1% 16% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% - - - 1% 1% -

Sinn Fein 207 4 2 - 12 173 5 11 193 186 7 4 9 44 81 82

6% 1% 0% - 15% 33% 1% 1% 7% 8% 2% 2% 4% 4% 7% 8%

Independent/Other 323 16 11 3 7 35 226 24 311 307 4 6 6 95 72 156

10% 3% 2% 2% 10% 7% 38% 3% 11% 13% 1% 2% 3% 9% 6% 15%

Don’t know 393 31 12 17 4 106 37 185 301 214 87 73 19 142 138 113

12% 6% 2% 9% 6% 20% 6% 23% 11% 9% 18% 28% 8% 13% 12% 11%

Did not vote 388 54 21 15 5 59 29 205 174 90 84 78 135 99 209 80

12% 10% 4% 8% 6% 11% 5% 26% 6% 4% 18% 30% 54% 9% 18% 8%


J5531

Page 39Table 17


All Irish VotersAll Voters Excluding did not vote (Last Gen Election)



Urban Rural

Total 2,525 1,311 1,214 686 974 865 1,046 1,269 210 627 678 713 507 1,405 1,120

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 2,525 1,311 1,214 686 974 865 1,046 1,269 210 627 678 713 507 1,405 1,120

UNWTD 722 374 348 170 283 269 337 342 43 190 195 193 144 463 259

Fianna Fail 515 266 250 138 192 185 167 274 74 67 193 174 80 225 290

20% 20% 21% 20% 20% 21% 16% 22% 35% 11% 28% 24% 16% 16% 26%

Fine Gael 1,082 563 519 282 403 398 530 445 107 199 293 338 252 506 576

43% 43% 43% 41% 41% 46% 51% 35% 51% 32% 43% 47% 50% 36% 51%

Labour 376 168 208 83 149 145 167 200 8 190 61 77 47 324 52

15% 13% 17% 12% 15% 17% 16% 16% 4% 30% 9% 11% 9% 23% 5%

Green Party 21 10 11 10 7 4 10 12 - 11 8 2 1 19 2

1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% - 2% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0%

Sinn Fein 207 132 75 93 67 47 51 151 6 79 49 43 36 169 38

8% 10% 6% 14% 7% 5% 5% 12% 3% 13% 7% 6% 7% 12% 3%


13% 13% 12% 12% 16% 10% 12% 15% 7% 13% 11% 11% 18% 12% 14%


J5531

Page 40Table 17


All Irish VotersAll Voters Excluding did not vote (Last Gen Election)


Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Labour Green Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/Others

Would not/DK

Would vote


Would probablyvote

Might/might not

Would not Vote


Total 2,525 476 551 152 68 354 521 403 2,315 2,013 302 111 95 862 839 824

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 2,525 476 551 152 68 354 521 403 2,315 2,013 302 111 95 862 839 824

UNWTD 722 140 164 49 18 86 147 118 670 597 73 23 27 240 251 231

Fianna Fail 515 348 14 3 6 29 30 85 488 386 102 18 9 196 171 148

20% 73% 3% 2% 9% 8% 6% 21% 21% 19% 34% 16% 10% 23% 20% 18%

Fine Gael 1,082 75 496 15 24 84 164 225 946 799 147 73 61 395 346 342

43% 16% 90% 10% 35% 24% 32% 56% 41% 40% 49% 66% 64% 46% 41% 41%

Labour 376 31 29 129 6 32 93 57 357 315 42 11 9 121 159 96

15% 6% 5% 85% 9% 9% 18% 14% 15% 16% 14% 10% 9% 14% 19% 12%

Green Party 21 2 - 2 12 1 3 2 20 20 - - - 12 9 -

1% 0% - 1% 18% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% - - - 1% 1% -

Sinn Fein 207 4 2 - 12 173 5 11 193 186 7 4 9 44 81 82

8% 1% 0% - 17% 49% 1% 3% 8% 9% 2% 4% 10% 5% 10% 10%

Independent/Other 323 16 11 3 7 35 226 24 311 307 4 6 6 95 72 156

13% 3% 2% 2% 11% 10% 43% 6% 13% 15% 1% 5% 7% 11% 9% 19%


J5531

Page 41Table 18

Analysis of Sample



Urban Rural

Total 3,306 1,620 1,686 1,089 1,221 997 1,334 1,722 250 919 862 923 602 1,981 1,325

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,306 1,620 1,686 1,089 1,221 997 1,334 1,722 250 919 862 923 602 1,981 1,325

UNWTD 931 455 476 274 348 309 429 453 49 259 254 248 170 618 313

Male 1,620 1,620 - 560 601 459 629 871 121 443 493 418 266 1,014 606

49% 100% - 51% 49% 46% 47% 51% 48% 48% 57% 45% 44% 51% 46%

Female 1,686 - 1,686 528 620 538 705 851 130 475 369 505 336 967 718

51% - 100% 49% 51% 54% 53% 49% 52% 52% 43% 55% 56% 49% 54%


J5531

Page 42Table 18

Analysis of Sample


Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Labour Green Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/Others

Would not/DK

Would vote


Would probablyvote

Might/might not

Would not Vote


Total 3,306 562 584 183 77 519 588 794 2,790 2,317 473 263 249 1,103 1,186 1,017

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,306 562 584 183 77 519 588 794 2,790 2,317 473 263 249 1,103 1,186 1,017

UNWTD 931 161 177 58 20 119 167 229 794 675 119 57 77 304 332 295

Male 1,620 320 289 85 38 282 309 297 1,448 1,226 223 64 106 559 545 517

49% 57% 49% 47% 50% 54% 53% 37% 52% 53% 47% 24% 42% 51% 46% 51%

Female 1,686 241 295 98 39 237 279 497 1,342 1,091 251 198 144 545 641 501

51% 43% 51% 53% 50% 46% 47% 63% 48% 47% 53% 76% 58% 49% 54% 49%


J5531

Page 43Table 19

Analysis of Sample



Urban Rural

Total 3,306 1,620 1,686 1,089 1,221 997 1,334 1,722 250 919 862 923 602 1,981 1,325

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,306 1,620 1,686 1,089 1,221 997 1,334 1,722 250 919 862 923 602 1,981 1,325

UNWTD 931 455 476 274 348 309 429 453 49 259 254 248 170 618 313

18-34 1,089 560 528 1,089 - - 513 544 31 354 276 286 173 718 370

33% 35% 31% 100% - - 38% 32% 12% 39% 32% 31% 29% 36% 28%

35-54 1,221 601 620 - 1,221 - 555 554 112 292 358 340 231 733 488

37% 37% 37% - 100% - 42% 32% 45% 32% 42% 37% 38% 37% 37%

55+ 997 459 538 - - 997 266 624 107 273 228 298 199 530 467

30% 28% 32% - - 100% 20% 36% 43% 30% 26% 32% 33% 27% 35%


J5531

Page 44Table 19

Analysis of Sample


Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Labour Green Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/Others

Would not/DK

Would vote


Would probablyvote

Might/might not

Would not Vote


Total 3,306 562 584 183 77 519 588 794 2,790 2,317 473 263 249 1,103 1,186 1,017

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,306 562 584 183 77 519 588 794 2,790 2,317 473 263 249 1,103 1,186 1,017

UNWTD 931 161 177 58 20 119 167 229 794 675 119 57 77 304 332 295

18-34 1,089 175 176 77 44 195 140 281 857 657 200 125 106 344 462 282

33% 31% 30% 42% 57% 38% 24% 35% 31% 28% 42% 48% 43% 31% 39% 28%

35-54 1,221 200 237 63 32 219 201 270 1,069 874 195 73 79 431 396 394

37% 36% 41% 34% 41% 42% 34% 34% 38% 38% 41% 28% 32% 39% 33% 39%

55+ 997 187 170 44 1 105 247 243 864 786 78 65 64 328 328 341

30% 33% 29% 24% 2% 20% 42% 31% 31% 34% 16% 25% 26% 30% 28% 34%


J5531

Page 45Table 20

Analysis of Sample



Urban Rural

Total 3,306 1,620 1,686 1,089 1,221 997 1,334 1,722 250 919 862 923 602 1,981 1,325

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,306 1,620 1,686 1,089 1,221 997 1,334 1,722 250 919 862 923 602 1,981 1,325

UNWTD 931 455 476 274 348 309 429 453 49 259 254 248 170 618 313

ABC1 1,334 629 705 513 555 266 1,334 - - 432 314 354 233 828 506

40% 39% 42% 47% 45% 27% 100% - - 47% 36% 38% 39% 42% 38%

C2DE 1,722 871 851 544 554 624 - 1,722 - 487 481 452 302 1,126 596

52% 54% 50% 50% 45% 63% - 100% - 53% 56% 49% 50% 57% 45%

F 250 121 130 31 112 107 - - 250 - 66 117 67 27 223

8% 7% 8% 3% 9% 11% - - 100% - 8% 13% 11% 1% 17%


J5531

Page 46Table 20

Analysis of Sample


Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Labour Green Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/Others

Would not/DK

Would vote


Would probablyvote

Might/might not

Would not Vote


Total 3,306 562 584 183 77 519 588 794 2,790 2,317 473 263 249 1,103 1,186 1,017

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,306 562 584 183 77 519 588 794 2,790 2,317 473 263 249 1,103 1,186 1,017

UNWTD 931 161 177 58 20 119 167 229 794 675 119 57 77 304 332 295

ABC1 1,334 214 299 117 45 121 222 316 1,171 936 235 77 85 393 557 384

40% 38% 51% 64% 58% 23% 38% 40% 42% 40% 50% 29% 34% 36% 47% 38%

C2DE 1,722 281 227 66 32 367 327 422 1,416 1,197 219 147 158 627 581 513

52% 50% 39% 36% 42% 71% 56% 53% 51% 52% 46% 56% 63% 57% 49% 50%

F 250 66 58 - - 31 39 56 203 184 19 39 6 83 48 120

8% 12% 10% - - 6% 7% 7% 7% 8% 4% 15% 3% 8% 4% 12%


J5531

Page 47Table 21

Analysis of Sample



Urban Rural

Total 3,306 1,620 1,686 1,089 1,221 997 1,334 1,722 250 919 862 923 602 1,981 1,325

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,306 1,620 1,686 1,089 1,221 997 1,334 1,722 250 919 862 923 602 1,981 1,325

UNWTD 931 455 476 274 348 309 429 453 49 259 254 248 170 618 313

Dublin 919 443 475 354 292 273 432 487 - 919 - - - 919 -

28% 27% 28% 33% 24% 27% 32% 28% - 100% - - - 46% -

Lein-ster 862 493 369 276 358 228 314 481 66 - 862 - - 391 471

26% 30% 22% 25% 29% 23% 24% 28% 27% - 100% - - 20% 36%

Mun-ster 923 418 505 286 340 298 354 452 117 - - 923 - 428 496

28% 26% 30% 26% 28% 30% 27% 26% 47% - - 100% - 22% 37%

Conn/Ulster 602 266 336 173 231 199 233 302 67 - - - 602 244 358

18% 16% 20% 16% 19% 20% 17% 18% 27% - - - 100% 12% 27%


J5531

Page 48Table 21

Analysis of Sample


Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Labour Green Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/Others

Would not/DK

Would vote


Would probablyvote

Might/might not

Would not Vote


Total 3,306 562 584 183 77 519 588 794 2,790 2,317 473 263 249 1,103 1,186 1,017

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,306 562 584 183 77 519 588 794 2,790 2,317 473 263 249 1,103 1,186 1,017

UNWTD 931 161 177 58 20 119 167 229 794 675 119 57 77 304 332 295

Dublin 919 113 112 86 23 171 189 224 778 642 136 56 82 193 565 161

28% 20% 19% 47% 30% 33% 32% 28% 28% 28% 29% 21% 33% 17% 48% 16%

Lein-ster 862 194 138 32 21 139 131 206 712 609 104 81 66 502 167 193

26% 35% 24% 17% 28% 27% 22% 26% 26% 26% 22% 31% 27% 46% 14% 19%

Mun-ster 923 179 215 31 28 108 143 220 766 604 163 93 64 109 376 438

28% 32% 37% 17% 37% 21% 24% 28% 27% 26% 34% 35% 26% 10% 32% 43%

Conn/Ulster 602 76 119 35 4 101 124 144 533 463 71 32 37 299 78 226

18% 13% 20% 19% 5% 19% 21% 18% 19% 20% 15% 12% 15% 27% 7% 22%


J5531

Page 49Table 22

Analysis of Sample



Urban Rural

Total 3,306 1,620 1,686 1,089 1,221 997 1,334 1,722 250 919 862 923 602 1,981 1,325

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,306 1,620 1,686 1,089 1,221 997 1,334 1,722 250 919 862 923 602 1,981 1,325

UNWTD 931 455 476 274 348 309 429 453 49 259 254 248 170 618 313

Urban 1,981 1,014 967 718 733 530 828 1,126 27 919 391 428 244 1,981 -

60% 63% 57% 66% 60% 53% 62% 65% 11% 100% 45% 46% 41% 100% -

Rural 1,325 606 718 370 488 467 506 596 223 - 471 496 358 - 1,325

40% 37% 43% 34% 40% 47% 38% 35% 89% - 55% 54% 59% - 100%


J5531

Page 50Table 22

Analysis of Sample


Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Labour Green Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/Others

Would not/DK

Would vote


Would probablyvote

Might/might not

Would not Vote


Total 3,306 562 584 183 77 519 588 794 2,790 2,317 473 263 249 1,103 1,186 1,017

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,306 562 584 183 77 519 588 794 2,790 2,317 473 263 249 1,103 1,186 1,017

UNWTD 931 161 177 58 20 119 167 229 794 675 119 57 77 304 332 295

Urban 1,981 263 284 158 61 378 349 488 1,671 1,370 301 145 163 642 849 490

60% 47% 49% 86% 80% 73% 59% 62% 60% 59% 64% 55% 65% 58% 72% 48%

Rural 1,325 299 300 25 16 141 239 305 1,119 947 172 118 86 461 337 527

40% 53% 51% 14% 20% 27% 41% 38% 40% 41% 36% 45% 35% 42% 28% 52%


J5531

Page 51Table 23

Analysis of Sample



Urban Rural

Total 3,306 1,620 1,686 1,089 1,221 997 1,334 1,722 250 919 862 923 602 1,981 1,325

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,306 1,620 1,686 1,089 1,221 997 1,334 1,722 250 919 862 923 602 1,981 1,325

UNWTD 931 455 476 274 348 309 429 453 49 259 254 248 170 618 313

Fianna Fail 562 320 241 175 200 187 214 281 66 113 194 179 76 263 299

17% 20% 14% 16% 16% 19% 16% 16% 27% 12% 23% 19% 13% 13% 23%

Fine Gael 584 289 295 176 237 170 299 227 58 112 138 215 119 284 300

18% 18% 17% 16% 19% 17% 22% 13% 23% 12% 16% 23% 20% 14% 23%

Labour 183 85 98 77 63 44 117 66 - 86 32 31 35 158 25

6% 5% 6% 7% 5% 4% 9% 4% - 9% 4% 3% 6% 8% 2%

Green Party 77 38 39 44 32 1 45 32 - 23 21 28 4 61 16

2% 2% 2% 4% 3% 0% 3% 2% - 3% 2% 3% 1% 3% 1%

Sinn Fein 519 282 237 195 219 105 121 367 31 171 139 108 101 378 141

16% 17% 14% 18% 18% 11% 9% 21% 12% 19% 16% 12% 17% 19% 11%

Independent/Others 588 309 279 140 201 247 222 327 39 189 131 143 124 349 239

18% 19% 17% 13% 17% 25% 17% 19% 16% 21% 15% 15% 21% 18% 18%

Would not/Don't Know

794 297 497 281 270 243 316 422 56 224 206 220 144 488 305

24% 18% 29% 26% 22% 24% 24% 24% 22% 24% 24% 24% 24% 25% 23%


J5531

Page 52Table 23

Analysis of Sample


Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Labour Green Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/Others

Would not/DK

Would vote


Would probablyvote

Might/might not

Would not Vote


Total 3,306 562 584 183 77 519 588 794 2,790 2,317 473 263 249 1,103 1,186 1,017

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,306 562 584 183 77 519 588 794 2,790 2,317 473 263 249 1,103 1,186 1,017

UNWTD 931 161 177 58 20 119 167 229 794 675 119 57 77 304 332 295

Fianna Fail 562 562 - - - - - - 521 446 75 29 11 189 200 173

17% 100% - - - - - - 19% 19% 16% 11% 4% 17% 17% 17%

Fine Gael 584 - 584 - - - - - 531 464 67 47 6 181 219 184

18% - 100% - - - - - 19% 20% 14% 18% 3% 16% 18% 18%

Labour 183 - - 183 - - - - 182 148 34 1 - 75 73 36

6% - - 100% - - - - 7% 6% 7% 0% - 7% 6% 4%

Green Party 77 - - - 77 - - - 76 71 5 - - 34 17 25

2% - - - 100% - - - 3% 3% 1% - - 3% 1% 2%

Sinn Fein 519 - - - - 519 - - 451 380 71 47 22 156 208 155

16% - - - - 100% - - 16% 16% 15% 18% 9% 14% 18% 15%

Independent/Others 588 - - - - - 588 - 551 508 43 30 7 206 184 198

18% - - - - - 100% - 20% 22% 9% 11% 3% 19% 15% 19%


794 - - - - - - 794 479 301 178 109 203 262 285 246

24% - - - - - - 100% 17% 13% 38% 41% 81% 24% 24% 24%


J5531

Page 53Table 24

Analysis of Sample



Urban Rural

Total 3,306 1,620 1,686 1,089 1,221 997 1,334 1,722 250 919 862 923 602 1,981 1,325

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,306 1,620 1,686 1,089 1,221 997 1,334 1,722 250 919 862 923 602 1,981 1,325

UNWTD 931 455 476 274 348 309 429 453 49 259 254 248 170 618 313

Would vote 2,790 1,448 1,342 857 1,069 864 1,171 1,416 203 778 712 766 533 1,671 1,119

84% 90% 80% 79% 88% 87% 88% 82% 82% 85% 83% 83% 88% 84% 85%

Might/might not 263 64 198 125 73 65 77 147 39 56 81 93 32 145 118

8% 4% 12% 11% 6% 7% 6% 9% 16% 6% 9% 10% 5% 7% 9%

Would not Vote 249 106 144 106 79 64 85 158 6 82 66 64 37 163 86

8% 7% 9% 10% 6% 6% 6% 9% 3% 9% 8% 7% 6% 8% 7%

Mean 4.43 4.55 4.32 4.26 4.49 4.55 4.49 4.37 4.52 4.42 4.42 4.38 4.55 4.42 4.46

Minimum 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00

Maximum 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00


J5531

Page 54Table 24

Analysis of Sample


Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Labour Green Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/Others

Would not/DK

Would vote


Would probablyvote

Might/might not

Would not Vote


Total 3,306 562 584 183 77 519 588 794 2,790 2,317 473 263 249 1,103 1,186 1,017

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,306 562 584 183 77 519 588 794 2,790 2,317 473 263 249 1,103 1,186 1,017

UNWTD 931 161 177 58 20 119 167 229 794 675 119 57 77 304 332 295

Would vote 2,790 521 531 182 76 451 551 479 2,790 2,317 473 - - 915 983 893

84% 93% 91% 99% 100% 87% 94% 61% 100% 100% 100% - - 83% 83% 88%

Might/might not 263 29 47 1 - 47 30 109 - - - 263 - 98 105 59

8% 5% 8% 1% - 9% 5% 14% - - - 100% - 9% 9% 6%

Would not Vote 249 11 6 - - 22 7 203 - - - - 249 90 97 62

8% 2% 1% - - 4% 1% 26% - - - - 100% 8% 8% 6%

Mean 4.43 4.70 4.68 4.80 4.94 4.54 4.79 3.59 4.83 5.00 4.00 3.00 1.49 4.43 4.37 4.51

Minimum 1.00 1.00 1.00 3.00 4.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 4.00 5.00 4.00 3.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00

Maximum 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 4.00 3.00 2.00 5.00 5.00 5.00


J5531

Page 55Table 25

Analysis of Sample



Urban Rural

Total 3,306 1,620 1,686 1,089 1,221 997 1,334 1,722 250 919 862 923 602 1,981 1,325

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,306 1,620 1,686 1,089 1,221 997 1,334 1,722 250 919 862 923 602 1,981 1,325

UNWTD 931 455 476 274 348 309 429 453 49 259 254 248 170 618 313

Single 1,079 626 454 668 272 139 439 580 61 359 286 309 126 752 327

33% 39% 27% 61% 22% 14% 33% 34% 24% 39% 33% 34% 21% 38% 25%

Married 1,637 718 919 242 719 675 630 829 178 371 409 469 388 816 820

50% 44% 55% 22% 59% 68% 47% 48% 71% 40% 47% 51% 64% 41% 62%

Co-habiting 308 165 143 174 128 6 194 113 - 119 82 70 36 229 78

9% 10% 8% 16% 11% 1% 15% 7% - 13% 10% 8% 6% 12% 6%

Widowed 152 45 107 - 23 128 30 116 6 30 42 43 36 83 69

5% 3% 6% - 2% 13% 2% 7% 3% 3% 5% 5% 6% 4% 5%

Divorced/seperated 124 66 58 4 73 47 41 77 5 40 41 31 11 94 30

4% 4% 3% 0% 6% 5% 3% 4% 2% 4% 5% 3% 2% 5% 2%

Refused 7 1 6 - 6 1 - 7 - - 1 - 6 7 -

0% 0% 0% - 0% 0% - 0% - - 0% - 1% 0% -


J5531

Page 56Table 25

Analysis of Sample


Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Labour Green Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/Others

Would not/DK

Would vote


Would probablyvote

Might/might not

Would not Vote


Total 3,306 562 584 183 77 519 588 794 2,790 2,317 473 263 249 1,103 1,186 1,017

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,306 562 584 183 77 519 588 794 2,790 2,317 473 263 249 1,103 1,186 1,017

UNWTD 931 161 177 58 20 119 167 229 794 675 119 57 77 304 332 295

Single 1,079 193 177 51 47 203 120 290 872 682 190 95 111 334 464 280

33% 34% 30% 28% 61% 39% 20% 36% 31% 29% 40% 36% 45% 30% 39% 28%

Married 1,637 276 314 83 19 243 375 328 1,452 1,259 193 112 69 565 512 559

50% 49% 54% 45% 24% 47% 64% 41% 52% 54% 41% 43% 28% 51% 43% 55%

Co-habiting 308 46 61 33 12 36 37 83 229 180 49 38 40 102 149 57

9% 8% 10% 18% 15% 7% 6% 10% 8% 8% 10% 15% 16% 9% 13% 6%

Widowed 152 28 24 9 - 15 22 53 143 110 33 1 7 50 38 64

5% 5% 4% 5% - 3% 4% 7% 5% 5% 7% 1% 3% 5% 3% 6%

Divorced/seperated 124 19 8 7 - 23 28 39 88 79 9 15 21 46 21 57

4% 3% 1% 4% - 5% 5% 5% 3% 3% 2% 6% 8% 4% 2% 6%

Refused 7 - - - - - 6 1 6 6 - - 1 6 1 -

0% - - - - - 1% 0% 0% 0% - - 0% 1% 0% -


J5531

Page 57Table 26

Analysis of Sample



Urban Rural

Total 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 990 873 957 620 2,104 1,336

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 990 873 957 620 2,104 1,336

UNWTD 972 472 500 299 362 311 446 476 50 276 260 261 175 655 315

Male 1,685 1,685 - 598 628 459 645 919 121 486 493 429 278 1,079 606

49% 100% - 51% 49% 46% 47% 51% 47% 49% 56% 45% 45% 51% 45%

Female 1,755 - 1,755 573 642 540 734 886 135 504 381 528 342 1,025 730

51% - 100% 49% 51% 54% 53% 49% 53% 51% 44% 55% 55% 49% 55%


J5531

Page 58Table 26

Analysis of Sample


Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Labour Green Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/Others

Would not/DK

Would vote


Would probablyvote

Might/might not

Would not Vote


Total 3,440 567 590 184 77 534 613 874 2,815 2,334 481 290 319 1,129 1,242 1,069

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 567 590 184 77 534 613 874 2,815 2,334 481 290 319 1,129 1,242 1,069

UNWTD 972 165 179 59 20 123 176 250 802 680 122 66 97 313 350 309

Male 1,685 323 291 85 38 290 323 335 1,452 1,229 223 71 149 570 579 536

49% 57% 49% 46% 50% 54% 53% 38% 52% 53% 46% 25% 47% 51% 47% 50%

Female 1,755 245 300 99 39 245 289 539 1,363 1,106 257 218 169 558 663 534

51% 43% 51% 54% 50% 46% 47% 62% 48% 47% 54% 75% 53% 49% 53% 50%


J5531

Page 59Table 27

Analysis of Sample



Urban Rural

Total 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 990 873 957 620 2,104 1,336

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 990 873 957 620 2,104 1,336

UNWTD 972 472 500 299 362 311 446 476 50 276 260 261 175 655 315

18-34 1,171 598 573 1,171 - - 543 592 37 388 284 311 188 796 375

34% 36% 33% 100% - - 39% 33% 14% 39% 33% 32% 30% 38% 28%

35-54 1,269 628 642 - 1,269 - 571 586 112 329 359 348 233 776 494

37% 37% 37% - 100% - 41% 32% 44% 33% 41% 36% 38% 37% 37%

55+ 999 459 540 - - 999 266 626 107 273 230 298 199 532 467

29% 27% 31% - - 100% 19% 35% 42% 28% 26% 31% 32% 25% 35%


J5531

Page 60Table 27

Analysis of Sample


Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Labour Green Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/Others

Would not/DK

Would vote


Would probablyvote

Might/might not

Would not Vote


Total 3,440 567 590 184 77 534 613 874 2,815 2,334 481 290 319 1,129 1,242 1,069

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 567 590 184 77 534 613 874 2,815 2,334 481 290 319 1,129 1,242 1,069

UNWTD 972 165 179 59 20 123 176 250 802 680 122 66 97 313 350 309

18-34 1,171 181 176 78 44 210 153 329 871 664 206 145 146 362 501 308

34% 32% 30% 42% 57% 39% 25% 38% 31% 28% 43% 50% 46% 32% 40% 29%

35-54 1,269 200 244 63 32 219 210 303 1,078 881 197 79 108 436 413 420

37% 35% 41% 34% 41% 41% 34% 35% 38% 38% 41% 27% 34% 39% 33% 39%

55+ 999 187 170 44 1 105 249 243 867 789 78 65 64 330 328 341

29% 33% 29% 24% 2% 20% 41% 28% 31% 34% 16% 22% 20% 29% 26% 32%


J5531

Page 61Table 28

Analysis of Sample



Urban Rural

Total 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 990 873 957 620 2,104 1,336

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 990 873 957 620 2,104 1,336

UNWTD 972 472 500 299 362 311 446 476 50 276 260 261 175 655 315

ABC1 1,380 645 734 543 571 266 1,380 - - 456 321 364 239 874 506

40% 38% 42% 46% 45% 27% 100% - - 46% 37% 38% 39% 42% 38%

C2DE 1,805 919 886 592 586 626 - 1,805 - 534 486 471 314 1,203 602

52% 55% 50% 51% 46% 63% - 100% - 54% 56% 49% 51% 57% 45%

F 256 121 135 37 112 107 - - 256 - 66 122 67 27 228

7% 7% 8% 3% 9% 11% - - 100% - 8% 13% 11% 1% 17%


J5531

Page 62Table 28

Analysis of Sample


Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Labour Green Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/Others

Would not/DK

Would vote


Would probablyvote

Might/might not

Would not Vote


Total 3,440 567 590 184 77 534 613 874 2,815 2,334 481 290 319 1,129 1,242 1,069

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 567 590 184 77 534 613 874 2,815 2,334 481 290 319 1,129 1,242 1,069

UNWTD 972 165 179 59 20 123 176 250 802 680 122 66 97 313 350 309

ABC1 1,380 218 306 118 45 130 225 337 1,187 951 236 81 108 405 573 402

40% 38% 52% 64% 58% 24% 37% 39% 42% 41% 49% 28% 34% 36% 46% 38%

C2DE 1,805 282 227 66 32 373 343 481 1,420 1,199 220 170 205 641 621 543

52% 50% 38% 36% 42% 70% 56% 55% 50% 51% 46% 59% 64% 57% 50% 51%

F 256 66 58 - - 31 44 56 209 184 24 39 6 83 48 125

7% 12% 10% - - 6% 7% 6% 7% 8% 5% 13% 2% 7% 4% 12%


J5531

Page 63Table 29

Analysis of Sample



Urban Rural

Total 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 990 873 957 620 2,104 1,336

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 990 873 957 620 2,104 1,336

UNWTD 972 472 500 299 362 311 446 476 50 276 260 261 175 655 315

Dublin 990 486 504 388 329 273 456 534 - 990 - - - 990 -

29% 29% 29% 33% 26% 27% 33% 30% - 100% - - - 47% -

Lein-ster 873 493 381 284 359 230 321 486 66 - 873 - - 402 471

25% 29% 22% 24% 28% 23% 23% 27% 26% - 100% - - 19% 35%

Mun-ster 957 429 528 311 348 298 364 471 122 - - 957 - 450 507

28% 25% 30% 27% 27% 30% 26% 26% 48% - - 100% - 21% 38%

Conn/Ulster 620 278 342 188 233 199 239 314 67 - - - 620 262 358

18% 16% 20% 16% 18% 20% 17% 17% 26% - - - 100% 12% 27%


J5531

Page 64Table 29

Analysis of Sample


Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Labour Green Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/Others

Would not/DK

Would vote


Would probablyvote

Might/might not

Would not Vote


Total 3,440 567 590 184 77 534 613 874 2,815 2,334 481 290 319 1,129 1,242 1,069

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 567 590 184 77 534 613 874 2,815 2,334 481 290 319 1,129 1,242 1,069

UNWTD 972 165 179 59 20 123 176 250 802 680 122 66 97 313 350 309

Dublin 990 115 117 87 23 171 200 278 791 653 138 70 123 204 605 181

29% 20% 20% 47% 30% 32% 33% 32% 28% 28% 29% 24% 39% 18% 49% 17%

Lein-ster 873 194 138 32 21 143 134 211 718 615 104 81 72 510 167 196

25% 34% 23% 17% 28% 27% 22% 24% 26% 26% 22% 28% 23% 45% 13% 18%

Mun-ster 957 183 217 31 28 108 155 235 773 604 169 95 81 109 391 457

28% 32% 37% 17% 37% 20% 25% 27% 27% 26% 35% 33% 25% 10% 31% 43%

Conn/Ulster 620 76 119 35 4 112 124 150 533 463 71 44 43 305 79 236

18% 13% 20% 19% 5% 21% 20% 17% 19% 20% 15% 15% 13% 27% 6% 22%


J5531

Page 65Table 30

Analysis of Sample



Urban Rural

Total 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 990 873 957 620 2,104 1,336

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 990 873 957 620 2,104 1,336

UNWTD 970 472 498 299 361 310 446 474 50 276 259 260 175 655 315

Urban 2,104 1,079 1,025 796 776 532 874 1,203 27 990 402 450 262 2,104 -

61% 64% 58% 68% 61% 53% 63% 67% 11% 100% 46% 47% 42% 100% -

Rural 1,336 606 730 375 494 467 506 602 228 - 471 507 358 - 1,336

39% 36% 42% 32% 39% 47% 37% 33% 89% - 54% 53% 58% - 100%


J5531

Page 66Table 30

Analysis of Sample


Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Labour Green Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/Others

Would not/DK

Would vote


Would probablyvote

Might/might not

Would not Vote


Total 3,440 567 590 184 77 534 613 874 2,815 2,334 481 290 319 1,129 1,242 1,069

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 567 590 184 77 534 613 874 2,815 2,334 481 290 319 1,129 1,242 1,069

UNWTD 970 165 179 59 20 123 176 248 802 680 122 65 96 313 349 308

Urban 2,104 269 290 159 61 393 368 563 1,691 1,387 304 172 227 667 905 532

61% 47% 49% 86% 80% 74% 60% 64% 60% 59% 63% 59% 71% 59% 73% 50%

Rural 1,336 299 300 25 16 141 244 311 1,124 947 177 118 92 461 337 538

39% 53% 51% 14% 20% 26% 40% 36% 40% 41% 37% 41% 29% 41% 27% 50%


J5531

Page 67Table 31

Analysis of Sample



Urban Rural

Total 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 990 873 957 620 2,104 1,336

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 990 873 957 620 2,104 1,336

UNWTD 972 472 500 299 362 311 446 476 50 276 260 261 175 655 315

Fianna Fail 567 323 245 181 200 187 218 282 66 115 194 183 76 269 299

16% 19% 14% 15% 16% 19% 16% 16% 26% 12% 22% 19% 12% 13% 22%

Fine Gael 590 291 300 176 244 170 306 227 58 117 138 217 119 290 300

17% 17% 17% 15% 19% 17% 22% 13% 23% 12% 16% 23% 19% 14% 22%

Labour 184 85 99 78 63 44 118 66 - 87 32 31 35 159 25

5% 5% 6% 7% 5% 4% 9% 4% - 9% 4% 3% 6% 8% 2%

Green Party 77 38 39 44 32 1 45 32 - 23 21 28 4 61 16

2% 2% 2% 4% 2% 0% 3% 2% - 2% 2% 3% 1% 3% 1%

Sinn Fein 534 290 245 210 219 105 130 373 31 171 143 108 112 393 141

16% 17% 14% 18% 17% 11% 9% 21% 12% 17% 16% 11% 18% 19% 11%

Independent/Others 613 323 289 153 210 249 225 343 44 200 134 155 124 368 244

18% 19% 16% 13% 17% 25% 16% 19% 17% 20% 15% 16% 20% 18% 18%


874 335 539 329 303 243 337 481 56 278 211 235 150 563 311

25% 20% 31% 28% 24% 24% 24% 27% 22% 28% 24% 25% 24% 27% 23%


J5531

Page 68Table 31

Analysis of Sample


Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Labour Green Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/Others

Would not/DK

Would vote


Would probablyvote

Might/might not

Would not Vote


Total 3,440 567 590 184 77 534 613 874 2,815 2,334 481 290 319 1,129 1,242 1,069

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 567 590 184 77 534 613 874 2,815 2,334 481 290 319 1,129 1,242 1,069

UNWTD 972 165 179 59 20 123 176 250 802 680 122 66 97 313 350 309

Fianna Fail 567 567 - - - - - - 522 446 76 31 14 191 202 175

16% 100% - - - - - - 19% 19% 16% 11% 4% 17% 16% 16%

Fine Gael 590 - 590 - - - - - 531 464 67 52 8 181 225 184

17% - 100% - - - - - 19% 20% 14% 18% 3% 16% 18% 17%

Labour 184 - - 184 - - - - 183 149 34 1 - 75 74 36

5% - - 100% - - - - 7% 6% 7% 0% - 7% 6% 3%

Green Party 77 - - - 77 - - - 76 71 5 - - 34 17 25

2% - - - 100% - - - 3% 3% 1% - - 3% 1% 2%

Sinn Fein 534 - - - - 534 - - 454 383 71 52 28 159 210 165

16% - - - - 100% - - 16% 16% 15% 18% 9% 14% 17% 15%

Independent/Others 613 - - - - - 613 - 559 511 48 30 19 212 195 205

18% - - - - - 100% - 20% 22% 10% 10% 6% 19% 16% 19%


874 - - - - - - 874 491 311 180 124 249 276 318 279

25% - - - - - - 100% 17% 13% 37% 43% 78% 24% 26% 26%


J5531

Page 69Table 32

Analysis of Sample



Urban Rural

Total 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 990 873 957 620 2,104 1,336

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 990 873 957 620 2,104 1,336

UNWTD 972 472 500 299 362 311 446 476 50 276 260 261 175 655 315

Would vote 2,815 1,452 1,363 871 1,078 867 1,187 1,420 209 791 718 773 533 1,691 1,124

82% 87% 78% 75% 85% 87% 86% 79% 82% 80% 82% 81% 86% 81% 84%

Might/might not 290 71 218 145 79 65 81 170 39 70 81 95 44 172 118

8% 4% 12% 13% 6% 7% 6% 9% 15% 7% 9% 10% 7% 8% 9%

Would not Vote 319 149 169 146 108 64 108 205 6 123 72 81 43 227 92

9% 9% 10% 13% 9% 6% 8% 11% 2% 13% 8% 9% 7% 11% 7%

Mean 4.36 4.46 4.27 4.15 4.41 4.55 4.44 4.28 4.51 4.28 4.41 4.33 4.48 4.31 4.44

Minimum 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00

Maximum 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00


J5531

Page 70Table 32

Analysis of Sample


Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Labour Green Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/Others

Would not/DK

Would vote


Would probablyvote

Might/might not

Would not Vote


Total 3,440 567 590 184 77 534 613 874 2,815 2,334 481 290 319 1,129 1,242 1,069

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 567 590 184 77 534 613 874 2,815 2,334 481 290 319 1,129 1,242 1,069

UNWTD 972 165 179 59 20 123 176 250 802 680 122 66 97 313 350 309

Would vote 2,815 522 531 183 76 454 559 491 2,815 2,334 481 - - 924 985 906

82% 92% 90% 99% 100% 85% 92% 57% 100% 100% 100% - - 82% 80% 85%

Might/might not 290 31 52 1 - 52 30 124 - - - 290 - 106 121 63

8% 5% 9% 1% - 10% 5% 14% - - - 100% - 9% 10% 6%

Would not Vote 319 14 8 - - 28 19 249 - - - - 319 99 122 97

9% 2% 1% - - 5% 3% 29% - - - - 100% 9% 10% 9%

Mean 4.36 4.68 4.66 4.80 4.94 4.49 4.71 3.48 4.83 5.00 4.00 3.00 1.47 4.40 4.30 4.40

Minimum 1.00 1.00 1.00 3.00 4.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 4.00 5.00 4.00 3.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00

Maximum 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 4.00 3.00 2.00 5.00 5.00 5.00


J5531

Page 71Table 33

Analysis of Sample



Urban Rural

Total 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 990 873 957 620 2,104 1,336

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 990 873 957 620 2,104 1,336

UNWTD 972 472 500 299 362 311 446 476 50 276 260 261 175 655 315

Single 1,154 666 488 733 282 139 459 630 66 389 292 330 143 822 332

34% 40% 28% 63% 22% 14% 33% 35% 26% 39% 33% 34% 23% 39% 25%

Married 1,682 742 939 255 751 675 650 853 178 408 410 476 388 861 820

49% 44% 54% 22% 59% 68% 47% 47% 70% 41% 47% 50% 63% 41% 61%

Co-habiting 314 165 149 177 128 8 198 116 - 121 87 70 36 235 78

9% 10% 8% 15% 10% 1% 14% 6% - 12% 10% 7% 6% 11% 6%

Widowed 152 45 107 - 23 128 30 116 6 30 42 43 36 83 69

4% 3% 6% - 2% 13% 2% 6% 3% 3% 5% 5% 6% 4% 5%

Divorced/seperated 132 66 66 6 78 47 43 83 5 42 41 37 11 96 36

4% 4% 4% 1% 6% 5% 3% 5% 2% 4% 5% 4% 2% 5% 3%

Refused 7 1 6 - 6 1 - 7 - - 1 - 6 7 -

0% 0% 0% - 0% 0% - 0% - - 0% - 1% 0% -


J5531

Page 72Table 33

Analysis of Sample


Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Labour Green Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/Others

Would not/DK

Would vote


Would probablyvote

Might/might not

Would not Vote


Total 3,440 567 590 184 77 534 613 874 2,815 2,334 481 290 319 1,129 1,242 1,069

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 567 590 184 77 534 613 874 2,815 2,334 481 290 319 1,129 1,242 1,069

UNWTD 972 165 179 59 20 123 176 250 802 680 122 66 97 313 350 309

Single 1,154 198 177 51 47 218 137 327 885 689 196 118 147 352 496 307

34% 35% 30% 28% 61% 41% 22% 37% 31% 30% 41% 41% 46% 31% 40% 29%

Married 1,682 276 320 84 19 243 380 360 1,462 1,268 194 117 90 569 535 578

49% 49% 54% 46% 24% 45% 62% 41% 52% 54% 40% 40% 28% 50% 43% 54%

Co-habiting 314 46 61 33 12 36 40 86 232 183 49 38 44 107 149 58

9% 8% 10% 18% 15% 7% 7% 10% 8% 8% 10% 13% 14% 9% 12% 5%

Widowed 152 28 24 9 - 15 22 53 143 110 33 1 7 50 38 64

4% 5% 4% 5% - 3% 4% 6% 5% 5% 7% 0% 2% 4% 3% 6%

Divorced/seperated 132 19 8 7 - 23 28 47 88 79 9 15 29 46 23 62

4% 3% 1% 4% - 4% 5% 5% 3% 3% 2% 5% 9% 4% 2% 6%

Refused 7 - - - - - 6 1 6 6 - - 1 6 1 -

0% - - - - - 1% 0% 0% 0% - - 0% 1% 0% -

1

The Questionnaire

BEHAVIOUR & ATTITUDES POLL QUESTIONNAIRE –

April 2014

Good Morning/afternoon/evening my name is ………………… (Name) and I am calling from

Behaviour and Attitudes, the independent market research company based in Dublin.

We are currently conducting a study on a number of issues. The study will take less than

10 minutes to complete.

The interview will be conducted in accordance with Market Research Society guidelines - all

results will be shown in aggregate form and for quality control purposes this call may be

monitored by a supervisor.

ASK ALL ADULTS 18YRS+

Q.1 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the manner in which the

Government is running the country?

Satisfied 1

Dissatisfied 2

No opinion 3

Q.2 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Kenny is doing his

job as Taoiseach?

Satisfied 1

Dissatisfied 2

No opinion 3

Q.3 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Gilmore is doing his

job as Tanaiste?

Satisfied 1

Dissatisfied 2

No opinion 3

Q.4 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Martin is doing his

job as leader of Fianna Fail?

Satisfied 1

Dissatisfied 2

No opinion 3

J.5365

Q.5 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Adams is doing his

job as leader of Sinn Fein?

Satisfied 1

Dissatisfied 2

No opinion 3

Q.6 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Ryan is doing his job

as leader of The Green Party?

Satisfied 1

Dissatisfied 2

No opinion 3

Q.7 If there was a General Election tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate

would you give your first preference vote? DO NOT READ OUT

Fianna Fail 1

Fine Gael 2

Labour Party 3

Green Party 4

Workers Party 5

Sinn Fein 6

Independent 7

Other specify _________________ 8

Don’t know 9

Would not vote 10

Q.8 When was the last time, if ever, you participated in each of the following events –

within the last month, the last 3 months, the last six months, the last year or longer

ago?

READ OUT AND

ROTATE ORDER

Within

the last

month

Within

the last

3

months

Within

the last

6

months

Within the

last 12

months

Longer

ago

Never

Went to the theatre 1 2 3 4 5 6

Went to a circus 1 2 3 4 5 6

Went to a music

concert/gig 1 2 3 4 5 6

Went to the cinema 1 2 3 4 5 6

Went to an art

exhibition 1 2 3 4 5 6

Went to a recital/

classical music

performance

1 2 3 4 5 6

Went to a performance

of ballet or opera 1 2 3 4 5 6

Went to a book reading 1 2 3 4 5 6

Read a book yourself

for pleasure 1 2 3 4 5 6

Went to an open-air

arts event or festival 1 2 3 4 5 6

Q.10 How likely would you be to vote if there was a General Election tomorrow? PROBE

TO APPROPRIATE CODE

Would definitely vote 1

Would probably vote 2

Might/might not vote 3

Would probably not vote 4

Would definitely not vote 5

Don’t know 6

Q.11 And to which party or independent candidate did you give your first preference vote

in the last General Election? DO NOT READ OUT

Fianna Fail 1

Fine Gael 2

Labour 3

Green Party 4

Workers Party 5

Sinn Fein 6

Independent 7

Other specify _________________ 8

Don’t know 9

Did not vote 10

Q.12 Are you eligible to vote in Irish General Elections, or not?

Yes, eligible 1

No – not eligible 2

Don’t know 3

Q.13 And are you an Irish citizen, or not?

Yes 1

No 2

Don’t know 3

Documents

J 5331%20sunday%20times%20april%202014%20report