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Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima Eric P. Loewen, Ph.D. President American Nuclear Society Renaissance or Reconsideration? Nuclear Power Post- Fukushima November 16, 2011 Wisconsin Public Utility Institute

Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima · Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima Eric P. Loewen, Ph.D. President American Nuclear Society Renaissance or

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Page 1: Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima · Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima Eric P. Loewen, Ph.D. President American Nuclear Society Renaissance or

Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima

Eric P. Loewen, Ph.D.

President American Nuclear Society

Renaissance or Reconsideration? Nuclear Power Post-Fukushima

November 16, 2011

Wisconsin

Public

Utility

Institute

Page 2: Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima · Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima Eric P. Loewen, Ph.D. President American Nuclear Society Renaissance or

American Nuclear Society

Page 3: Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima · Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima Eric P. Loewen, Ph.D. President American Nuclear Society Renaissance or

Future of Nuclear Energy

Page 4: Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima · Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima Eric P. Loewen, Ph.D. President American Nuclear Society Renaissance or

American Nuclear Society Special Technical Committee

Page 5: Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima · Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima Eric P. Loewen, Ph.D. President American Nuclear Society Renaissance or

Yamadamachi, March 11, 2011

Associated Press

Page 6: Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima · Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima Eric P. Loewen, Ph.D. President American Nuclear Society Renaissance or

media

Page 7: Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima · Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima Eric P. Loewen, Ph.D. President American Nuclear Society Renaissance or

Island of Stability

Page 8: Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima · Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima Eric P. Loewen, Ph.D. President American Nuclear Society Renaissance or

Island of Stability

Page 9: Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima · Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima Eric P. Loewen, Ph.D. President American Nuclear Society Renaissance or
Page 10: Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima · Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima Eric P. Loewen, Ph.D. President American Nuclear Society Renaissance or

Nuclear power plant sites

Page 11: Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima · Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima Eric P. Loewen, Ph.D. President American Nuclear Society Renaissance or

In the study of the atomic nucleus…

Page 12: Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima · Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima Eric P. Loewen, Ph.D. President American Nuclear Society Renaissance or

Marie Curie

Page 13: Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima · Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima Eric P. Loewen, Ph.D. President American Nuclear Society Renaissance or

March 10, 2011

Page 14: Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima · Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima Eric P. Loewen, Ph.D. President American Nuclear Society Renaissance or

U.S. Documents

Page 15: Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima · Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima Eric P. Loewen, Ph.D. President American Nuclear Society Renaissance or

WASH-740, published 1957

Page 16: Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima · Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima Eric P. Loewen, Ph.D. President American Nuclear Society Renaissance or

Chernobyl, May 1986

Page 17: Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima · Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima Eric P. Loewen, Ph.D. President American Nuclear Society Renaissance or

Fatalities

Pro

bab

ilit

y

Page 18: Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima · Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima Eric P. Loewen, Ph.D. President American Nuclear Society Renaissance or

Professor Rasmussen

WASH-1400, published 1975

Page 19: Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima · Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima Eric P. Loewen, Ph.D. President American Nuclear Society Renaissance or

NUREG-1150, Published 1990

Page 20: Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima · Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima Eric P. Loewen, Ph.D. President American Nuclear Society Renaissance or

NRC Guidance for Use of NUREG-1150:

Page 21: Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima · Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima Eric P. Loewen, Ph.D. President American Nuclear Society Renaissance or

Table 2: NUREG-1150 Key Plant Attributes

Attribute Surry (Ch3) Peach Bottom (Ch4)

Sequoyah (Ch5)

Grand Gulf (Ch6)

Zion (Ch7)

Plant type PWR (3 loop) BWR 4 PWR (4 loop) BWR-6 PWR (4 loop)

Battery time

2 hrs 10 – 12 hrs 2 hrs 12 hrs (not given)

Mean core damage frequency per reactor year

3 E-5 3 E-6 4 E-5 3 E-6

2 E-4

Range of time to core damage

5 min to 8 hours

15 min to 13 hours

Not provided 20 min to 12 hours

Not provided

Maximum early fatalities

1,000 3

3,000 30 10,000

Page 22: Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima · Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima Eric P. Loewen, Ph.D. President American Nuclear Society Renaissance or

Stability to Go Forward?

Page 23: Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima · Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima Eric P. Loewen, Ph.D. President American Nuclear Society Renaissance or

The major lesson we learn from this event is water

Page 24: Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima · Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima Eric P. Loewen, Ph.D. President American Nuclear Society Renaissance or
Page 25: Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima · Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima Eric P. Loewen, Ph.D. President American Nuclear Society Renaissance or

Courage to Go Forward

Page 26: Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima · Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima Eric P. Loewen, Ph.D. President American Nuclear Society Renaissance or
Page 27: Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima · Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima Eric P. Loewen, Ph.D. President American Nuclear Society Renaissance or

Fukushima-Daiichi, April 2011

Page 28: Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima · Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima Eric P. Loewen, Ph.D. President American Nuclear Society Renaissance or

All societies need stable, abundant energy

Page 29: Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima · Islands of Stability: Nuclear Power After Fukushima Eric P. Loewen, Ph.D. President American Nuclear Society Renaissance or