IPv6- Wiring the cities

BonusTechnology Forecasting

Ethernet everywhere

lasse lindblad

Dissident

Lasse.L.Lindblad@Telia.Se + 46 8 7131857

- The Dissident´s view

T elco guy

T r a dit iona listI S P

5

Revolution

I n lab

High E nd

St andard

L ow E ndN ow

T echnology G ener a t ion

Price/Performanceratio

F ind t he M oore´s law eqv for relevant t echnologiesC onst ruct t he enabling fabric

Draw t he “Technology M ap” - forwards

A wa y t o under st a nd, a nd ma ke use of t het echnology development

M pa/sKpa/s G pa/s

A cess C UL A N ´s 10 M E 10 0 M E 10 0 0 M E

28 ,8 56

9 ,6 1 - 3 M bs

2-10 M bs

2-10 M bs 40 M bs

10 0 M bs

10 0 M bs

E n a b l i n g F a b r i c

C ableR adioFiber

Network PowerDW DM & F iber

E t c . .

E t c . .

Pol it ics M arket

Technology

3 0 % 50 %50 %6 0 %

>2

“M ono-Cult ure” - Win9 8

12-18 % 40 %

1

P lat forms

Household penet rat ion: P CI nternet

C ommunicat ing C P U ´s

S ca ndina via n per spect ive

90 94 98

2000

Year0

50010001500

Gbps

Bandwith ExplosionChapter 1. Transatlantic capacity

19 9 7 19 9 8 19 9 9 2 0 0 0

I n L ab

H igh E nd

Standard

L ow E nd

1 9 9 7 1 9 9 8 1 9 9 9 2 0 0 0

I n L ab

H i g h E n d

S t an da rd

L o w E n d

NC

19 9 7 19 9 8 19 9 9 2 0 0 0

I n L ab

High End

St andard

L ow E nd

F i n d i n g m i s s i n gp a r t s

F inding t he dirt in t he pipes,what went wrong, where, . . .

Ipv6

Are we ( Telco´s) using the opportunity - facing the technology and bandwith explosion ?

Not really!

Stuck with to ambitious plans, creating servicesthinking for the customer ( stupid customers - dont know what they want). Thinking out ways to enhance the legacy, instead of using the new opportunities.

RFI,Requirements,Standards, RFP,

Platforms,Meetings…….

• Signalling Protocol, Management platforms Quality of service, User Interface, Service platforms,Equal access, Intelligent Network Multiservice architecture, Service Level agrements, More Meetings and papers

Bandwith?On-line?

Q oSSomet hing t o negot iat eand choose

Why do everyone do the same thing ?

Disruptive Vs. Sustaining

Why all great Firms - Fail!

ATM Experiences

THE - ”Stuff” between services and infrastructure

IP closer to the media

Some network layers are not mandatory.Less equipment, management and people

TCP/UDP

IP

ATM

SONET

Fiber Fiber

TCP/UDP

IP

Ethernet

Redundancy & overhead !!

Every layer is partly redundantEvery layer adds overheadEvery layer need expertiseEvery layer needs management

Move a 100 mbyte user data file!Amount of data on the fiber ????

TCP/UDP

IP

ATM

SONET

Fiber

Ethernet

“Keep it simple”

An infrastructure providershould just produce

”IP-power” asefficient as possible

Reduce cost by up to a factor 10for each reduced layer

We (Telco) are not in control !

> 50 milion Ethernet

< 200 thousand ATM

1997

We don’t provide the services -

Services are provided everywhere

Market have chosen EthernetEthernet

What do you want?(Same Price)

100Mbit/s IP-Plug 56Kbit Modem

Access Network

Last Mile problem

First mile opportunity

Building the World´s Fastest Metropolitan IP Network

1997

2000

Condominium Bågen, Stockholm

IP-Plug

261 apptsca 40-60% ‘takerate’

App 200$ entrance fee25$/month ´flat rate

And now EverywhereRest of sweden during year 2000

100Mbit Switched Ethernet

Inet42

XR

XR

XR

XR

XR

XR

XR

XR

XR

XR

XR

XRXR

XR

XR

XR XR

.. Just off the shelf technology . .

So .. Anyone can repeat it !

IP-Plug

IP Addresser•IPv4 will not be enough•The Solution is NOT - NAT•The solution is IPv6

PunchlinesComplicated networks dont work for massmarketsUse the Technology ExplosionDont bundle services with network connectivityAnyone can do it .

Thank You for Your attention