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Investing in Extractives
(Oil & Gas)
Talking points by
Dr Emmanuel Ibe KachikwuHonourable Minister of State – Petroleum Resources
Federal Republic of Nigeria
Delivered by Engr. Suleiman, Rabiu
Group Executive Director/Senior Tech. Advisor to Hon.
Minister of State, Petroleum Resources
At the
UK – Nigeria Trade & Investment Forum 2018
Central London
April 17, 2018
Contents
Introduction
Current Initiatives
Investment Opportunities
Concluding Remarks
1
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▪ 4 international airports and major seaports in Lagos, Calabar and Bonny Island
▪ 3,798 km of railwaytracks and 168,000km road network
▪ Land borders with Benin, Cameroon, Chad & Niger and a natural hub for the region
5’45” Cairo
5’40”Johannesburg
5’ Dakar
5’20” Addis Abba
3’05’ Tunis
198.7 TcfGas reserves
36.7 Billion Oil+ Condensate
Reserves
Advanced TechVast untapped
opportunities in 3D, 4D etc.
N31.6 Trillion Nominal GDP as
@Q4 2017
1.92%YoY GDP growth rate @ Q4 2017
31220Retail Outlets
285 fields For 44 Oil producing
companies
91.32%Contribution of
Non Oil Sector to the GDP
$47 BnForeign Reserve
Introduction - Nigeria is strategically located in Africa
Source: National Bureau of Statistics, Q4 2017 data
DPR - Nigeria Oil and Gas Industry Annual Report,
ENCOURAGING, PROMOTING AND COORDINATING INVESTMENTS IN NIGERIA, NIPC presentation to Deloitte Nigeria economic outlook, 2018
198 MillionPopulation with a large,
flexible skilled and unskilled workforce
2
Stabilize the
Macroeconomic
environment
Nigeria’s Economic Recovery & Growth Plan (2017- 2020)
Align Monetary,
Trade & Fiscal
Policies
Accelerate
non oil Revenue
generation
Drastically
cut costs
Privatize
selected public
enterprises
/assets
Achieve Agriculture and
Food Security
Improve Transportation
Infrastructure
Drive Industrialisation
focusing on SMEs
Deliver on
Agricultural
Transformation
Ensure Energy Sufficiency
in power and petroleum
products
Urgently increase oil
production
Boost local Refining
for self sufficiency
Expand power
sector Infrastructure
President Buhari has set out the tough choices we have to make as a nation …
Deliver targeted high
priority Transport
projects
Enable private
sector financing of
Infrastructure
Improve Ease of
doing business
Accelerate the
Implementation of
National Industrial
Revolution plan
ERGP Focus ‘Labs’ are currently ongoing to address priority issues and potential solutions, also
integrate key recommendations into a consolidated high quality implementation program
3
Oil & Gas (Extractive) Industry Roadmap - Initiatives
The ‘7 Big Wins’ being implemented will enable a stabilized Oil & Gas landscape with improved transparency and efficiency and stable business environment
The Nigeria Oil & Gas Roadmap
▪ Review and gazette policies and regulations; National Oil Policy. National Gas Policy, Fiscal Reform Policy and pass the Petroleum Industry Reform Bill
▪ Improve the Business Environment by removing barriers to entry and drive investments in upstream, midstream and downstream
▪ Accelerate gas revolution by developing infrastructure, promoting domestic utilisation of LPG and CNG, commercialising gas flares and increasing gas to power
▪ Increase Refineries Local Production capacity through private sector led revamp of existing refineries and enabling new greenfield and modular refineries
▪ Improve Niger Delta Security across environment, infrastructure, capacity building and economic empowerment
▪ Increase Transparency and Efficiency in the Sector by building capacity, enabling the use of IT and automation and entrenching performance management
▪ Improve Stakeholder Management and International Coordination by managing relationships, international relations and bilateral coordination
Key Focus Areas
A Programme Management Office is in place that tracks implementation and escalates issues for resolution
4
Progress made on Reforms
Business Environment
& Investment Drive
Niger Delta Security &
Environment
Transparency &
Efficiency
Gas RevolutionNew Policies &
Regulations
Refineries & Local
Production Capacity
Stakeholder
Management &
International
Coordination
• National Oil Policy approved by
FEC and gazetted
• National Gas Policy approved by
FEC and gazetted
• Developed National Petroleum
Fiscal Policy and syndicated with
stakeholders
• Legislative activities ongoing on
the Petroleum Industry
Governance, Host Community,
Administrative and Fiscal Bills
• Improved fiscal terms
• Cost based incentives to
production based incentives.
• Clear delineation between
upstream, midstream and
downstream operations
• Inclusion of Cost control tax
inversion penalty and lower
Hydrocarbon tax to improve
savings index.
• Nigeria Gas Flare
Commercialization
Programme launched and in
progress.
• Domestic LPG Penetration
program ongoing
• Major backbone pipeline
infrastructure projects
ongoing - Ajaokuta – Kaduna
– Kano pipeline (AKK),
Escravos – Lagos, Odidi –
Warri, OB3
• Private sector led revamp of
existing Refineries being pursued
• Audit of existing refinery licenses
and revised guidelines new
greenfield/modular refineries
• Identified 10Nos licensed projects
that can break ground for
acceleration
• Export of crude oil from Republic
of Niger to Nigeria initiative is
gaining momentum
• Key Stakeholder
engagements in the Niger
Delta with positive impacts
on crude production ramp to
~2mmbpd in Apr 2017 from
1.1mmbpd in Aug 2016
• Developed first ever Niger
Delta Development compact
(Strategic Implementation
Work Plan for development
in the Niger Delta)
• Negotiated cashcall arears
and emplaced a new self
sustaining framework - All
2017 JV calls paid in 2017
• Established monthly
reporting of Key
Performance Indicator (KPI)
dashboard for all MPR
agencies
• Contracting cycle being
streamlined to 6 months
• Crude oil tracking in view
• Rallied OPEC and
Non-OPEC members
and ensured the
stabilization of the
global oil market
• Obtained exemption
from OPEC and non
OPEC production
freeze
• Driving ongoing APPA
reforms – Nigeria
appointed as chair
5
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8
▪ Nigeria is committed to eliminate the practice of gas flaring; has ratified the 2015 Paris Climate Accords (COP 21) and endorsed the Global Gas Flaring Reduction Partnership (GGFR) 2030.
▪ As such, the Federal Government launched a new Gas Flare Commercialisation Programmein December, 2016 as a high priority strategy for the Government in achieving the national mandate for flare-out by 2020.
▪ The Gas Flare Commercialisation Programmelays out a framework for Government to license gas that would otherwise have been flared to technically credible and financially sound 3rd party private sector players.
Nigerian Gas Flare Commercialization Program – Initiatives
Expected Wins and Potential Impact
Investment Opportunities in Oil & Gas
$13-17bn
▪ Marginal field program
and licensing rounds
▪ Development of upstream
gas fields with a total of
~37.4 TCF
▪ NPDC funding
▪ Nigerian Gas Flare
Commercialization program
▪ Gas Revolution Industrial
Park at Ogidigben FTZ
▪ Gas to power, fertilizer,
petrochemicals etc.
$14-17bn
▪ Rehabilitation/upgrade of
the 3 refineries
▪ Licensing & Establishment
of greenfield/ Modular
Refineries
▪ Collocating a refinery
within existing refineries
▪ Construction of pipeline
from Republic of Niger and
new refinery in Northern
Nigeria
$3.5-7.0Bn ▪ Revamp of LPG and
building of new CNG
plants across the country
▪ Pipeline and storage tank
construction
▪ New depots, jetties,
terminals
$0.7-1bn
$3-3.9bn
▪ Equipment Leasing (rigs,
FPSOs)
▪ Fabrication and
construction
▪ R&D partnerships
▪ Infrastructure security
The Nigeria Oil & Gas Industry offers investment opportunities of over $50Bn
9
In summary…..
▪ The Federal Government of Nigeria has launched
a National Economic Recovery and Growth Plan
(ERGP) for the next 4 years
▪ This is anchored on the Nigeria Oil and Gas
Roadmap, among other sectoral roadmaps
▪ This roadmap presents exciting opportunity for
financial and strategic partnerships in excess of
$50 Bn
10
11
Current Status
(Backbone
Infrastructure)
ON-GOING:
1. OB3 (Obiafu/Obrikon – Oben) is a 130KM by 48’’ Pipeline. Overall EPC progress is 85.32%. Target Completion date is 31st July 2018. (2 bcfd pipeline capacity)
2. ELPS (Escravos–Lagos Pipeline System) 2 ( 342 KM 36’’ Pipeline). Overall EPC Progress is 96%. Target Completion date is end of 2nd Quarter 2018. (1.1 bcfd pipeline capacity)
3. AKK (Abuja-Kaduna-Kano Segment) 614KM by 40’’ Pipeline). Secured FEC approval to commence EPC.
4. Odidi Warri Gas Pipeline Expansion Project(30Km by 40’’ Pipeline)
5. 7 Critical Gas Development Project(7CGDP): This will develop Gas Resources and
processing facilities that will inject about 3 bcfd of gas by 2020 to domestic
market(Gas Volumes will come incrementally). ANOH CPF (Assa North Ohaji South
Central Processing Facility): Has two streams each of 300mmscfd
capacity.(Award/Tendering ongoing; Seplat and Shell are progressing this CPF
development). First Gas for ANOH is expected by Q4 2019.
PLANNED
1. Obigbo to Ajaokuta : 36’’ by 406KM Pipeline
2. Early Gas (QIT to OB/OB ; 36’’by 219KM Pipeline. Cawthorne Channel to OBOB Pipeline ; 20’’ by 130KM)
3. EWOGGS (East - West Offshore Gas Gathering System); 2 Nos. 38’’ by 530KM Pipeline
4. ELPS – Ibadan – Ilorin - Jebba (EIIJ) Gas Pipeline Project
Infrastructural Projects – Planned and On-going