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Integration of renewable energies into the grids
Workshop: Comparing the Brazilian and German Public Policies
Experiences on Renewable Energy Sources and Energy Efficiency,
19 to 21 March 2013
Univ. of Campinas, 19th March 2013
Holger Gassner
Head of Markets & Political Affairs / CR
RWE Innogy GmbH
Page 2 Holger Gassner , RWE Innogy GmbH – Univ. of Campinas 19th March 2013
3
2
4
Challenges in a system with high share of fluctuating generation
Options for the integration of renewable energies
Conclusions
Agenda
1 Renewable energies and development in Europe and Germany
Page 3 Holger Gassner , RWE Innogy GmbH – Univ. of Campinas 19th March 2013
RWE Innogy in the RWE Group:
RWE Group Structure by region and function
Germany
RWE
Deutschland
RWE Power
Netherlands/ Belgium
Essent
United Kingdom
RWE npower
Central Eastern and South
Eastern Europe
RWE East
Renewable
Energies
RWE Innogy
Upstream
Gas and Oil
RWE Dea
Trading/Gas
Midstream
RWE Supply
& Trading
RWE AG Amprion RWE Technology Internal Services
Region Function
Biomass Wind onshore Wind offshore Hydro New Applications
Page 4 Holger Gassner , RWE Innogy GmbH – Univ. of Campinas 19th March 2013
Biomasse Wind Onshore Wind Offshore Wasserkraft Neue
Technologien
RWE Innogy: Focus on wind, hydro and biomass while
also supporting new technologies
> Established in February 2008
> Bundling renewables activities and competencies
across RWE Group
> Focus on capacity growth in commercially mature
renewable technologies, i.e. wind, biomass and
hydro
> Research & Development and Venture Capital to
drive the development of emerging technologies,
e.g. solar, marine
> European focus: asset portfolio of 2.4 GW in
operation and 1.3 GW under construction mainly
located in United Kingdom, Germany,
Spain, Netherlands, Poland and Italy
GER
UK
Spain Portugal
France Switzerland
Czech
Republic
NL
BE
Poland
Italy
Neue Technologien
Wasser
Wind Onshore
Biomasse
Wind Offshore
Page 5 Holger Gassner , RWE Innogy GmbH – Univ. of Campinas 19th March 2013
3
2
4
Challenges in a system with high share of fluctuating generation
Options for the integration of renewable energies
Conclusions
Agenda
1 Renewable energies and development in Europe and Germany
Page 6 Holger Gassner , RWE Innogy GmbH – Univ. of Campinas 19th March 2013
Renewable energies – Comparison of single
technologies
Base load option Technology
Onshore
Hydro
Biomasse
Offshore
negative
positive
Economic
evaluation Technical risk Potential
PV
Solar Thermal
Biogas
Marine
* In combination with storage
*
Page 7 Holger Gassner , RWE Innogy GmbH – Univ. of Campinas 19th March 2013
Envisaged cost reductions reduce future
regulatory risks
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Large PV Northern Europe
Large PV Southern Europe
CSP Europe
Biomass ø
Offshore wind (3,200h)
Onshore wind (2,000h)
Source: Dii, 2011
Average LCOE1 (€/MWh)
1 LCOE = Levelised cost of energy incl. Devex and capex
EU newly installed power generating capacity per
year in MW and RES share (%)
Source: EWEA
PAGE 9 Holger Gassner , RWE Innogy GmbH – Univ. of Campinas 19th March 2013
The expansion of renewable energy needs to be
increased significantly
Renewable electricity generation from 1990 to 2050 (TWh)
Source: Data to 2010: BMU; Data for 2050: Energieszenarien EWI, GWS, Prognos * Other: BMU: Biogenic share of waste; EWI, GWS, Prognos: Biogenic waste, sewage and landfill gas
2050
24,5
113
41
6,4
39
5
Hydro
Wind energy
Biomass
Photovoltaics
Other*
Geothermal
20
11
2007
2005
2003
2001
1994
1990
1998
50
100
150
200
250
300
56,3
Wind Onshore
Wind Offshore
TW
h
285,2
> Targets for water, biomass, wind onshore and offshore are acceptable!
> Photovoltaics target is possible, but viewed critically because of the inefficiency and high cost!
> Assumed full load hours partially very ambitious!
Page 10 Holger Gassner , RWE Innogy GmbH – Univ. of Campinas 19th March 2013
3
2
4
Challenges in a system with high share of fluctuating generation
Options for the integration of renewable energies
Conclusions
Agenda
1 Renewable energies and development in Europe and Germany
~Gas
23 GW
Oil, pump
storage and
others
~23 GW
Must run
~50 GW
Coal
~ 23 GW Nuclear
~12 GW
Marginal costs [€/MWh]
Forecasted load
~80 GW
Lignite
~20 GW
Capacity [GW]
Lower market
price set by
marginal costs
of lignite plant
Scenario 2: Large portion of renewable capacity is producing power
Higher market
price set by
marginal costs
of coal plant
Scenario 1: Only a small portion of renewable capacity is producing power
Forecasted load
~80 GW
Due to their priority feed-in into the grid, renewables are
pushing conventional power plants out of the market
Nuclear
Lignite
~Gas
Coal Oil, pump
storage and
others
Page 11 Holger Gassner , RWE Innogy GmbH – Univ. of Campinas 19th March 2013
Page 12 Holger Gassner , RWE Innogy GmbH – Univ. of Campinas 19th March 2013
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Ability of conventional power plants to change
their load:
MW
Min
Maximum ~875 MW
Minimum ~260 MW
Gradient +/- 38 MW/Min
New CCGT power plants
Maximum ~600 MW
Minimum ~420 MW
Gradient +/- 8 MW/Min
Existing coal power
plants
Maximum ~800 MW
Minimum ~320 MW
Gradient +/- 26 MW/Min
New coal power plants
Maximum ~1260 MW
Minimum ~630 MW
Gradient +/- 63 MWMin
Nuclear power
EEG-Windenergie-Einspeisung in Deutschland im Januar 2009,
Tagesminima und Tagesmaxima der 1/4-Stunden-Leistungsprofile
Stand: 10.02.2009
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
20000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
Datum (Januar 2009)
Leistung in MW
%
Wind injections January 2009
All existing conventional power plants contribute to integrate
and balance the renewable generation
Utilisation of the Gersteinwerk gas-fired power plant
June - July 2009
Gersteinwerk Unit F (427 MW)
June 2009 July 2009
MW
Page 13 Holger Gassner , RWE Innogy GmbH – Univ. of Campinas 19th March 2013
Utilisation of the Gersteinwerk gas-fired power plant
June - July 2011
Gersteinwerk Unit F (427 MW)
June 2011 July 2011
MW
Page 14 Holger Gassner , RWE Innogy GmbH – Univ. of Campinas 19th March 2013
Storage capacity is one option to reduce load gradients
in the grid –potential for long-duration storage limited
Data Source: ISET
0
2.000
4.000
6.000
8.000
10.000
12.000
14.000
16.000
18.000
20.000
02.02. 03.02. 04.02. 05.02. 06.02. 07.02.
2009
Win
d P
ow
er
[MW
]
0
4.000
8.000
12.000
16.000
20.000
24.000
Jan Feb Mrz Apr Mai Jun Jul Aug Sep Okt Nov Dez
2008
Win
d P
ow
er
[MW
]
2008
I. Huge fluctuation margin,
temporal power surplus in the
future
II. Extremely
huge load
gradients
III. Long calms must be bridged
Total installed wind capacity: 24,817 MW (01/12/2009)
Pumped storage capacity available
in Germany to date Page 15 Holger Gassner , RWE Innogy GmbH – Univ. of Campinas 19th March 2013
Page 16 Holger Gassner , RWE Innogy GmbH – Univ. of Campinas 19th March 2013
3
2
4
Challenges in a system with high share of fluctuating generation
Options for the integration of renewable energies
Conclusions
Agenda
1 Renewable energies and development in Europe and Germany
Page 17 Holger Gassner , RWE Innogy GmbH – Univ. of Campinas 19th March 2013
Challenges and Solutions
Main challenges:
> Integration of fluctuating
generation from wind and solar.
> Ensure security of supply.
> Ensure economical
competitiveness of industry.
> Ensure payable energy for the
consumer.
Possible solutions:
> Grid extension
> Flexible generation with
conventional power plants
> Increase storage capacities
> Smart grids and demand side
management
> Be cost effective
Page 18 Holger Gassner , RWE Innogy GmbH – Univ. of Campinas 19th March 2013
Need for significant power grid amplification
Shut down NPP´s*
Grid amplification projects until 2015
according to dena I
Grid congestions expected to increase
Operating NPP´s*
German extra high voltage network
has grown dramatically with nuclear power phase-out!
2011
2011 2011
2011
2011 2011 2011
2011 2015
2017
2019
2021
2021
2021
2022
2022
2022
--
++
Offshore wind farms
Conventional
power plants
Shutdown of
NPP´s*
!
!
!
++
Future capacity budget Current capacity budget
*NPP: nuclear power plant
Page 19 Holger Gassner , RWE Innogy GmbH – Univ. of Campinas 19th March 2013
source: German TSOs: NEP 2012, Scenario B2022
> Network development plan (NEP)
developed by German TSOs shows
necessary expansion up to 8.200 km
up to 2022
> Resulting grid ensures a complete
integration of 115,6 GW RES in
Germany without congestions or
significant redispatch
> 2.100 km of new lines are HVDC
point-to-point connections for long
distance transport of energy
generated by northern wind parks
> Additionally, about 30 GVAr reactive
power compensation is needed for a
stable grid
> Overall estimated expansion costs
are about 27 mio. Euro up to 2022
German grid planning published in national
network development plan up to 2022 by TSO
Page 20 Holger Gassner , RWE Innogy GmbH – Univ. of Campinas 19th March 2013
Offshore-cable currently operational (red), under construction (yellow), under test by TSO (green), under test by
TSO/EWEA – recommendation (blue), suggested by EWEA for period up to 2020 (grey), suggested by EWEA for
period up to 2030 (orange)
In the long term a European regulatory framework is
needed
Source: EWEA 2009
Page 21 Holger Gassner , RWE Innogy GmbH – Univ. of Campinas 19th March 2013
> Back-up power plants with a total capacity
of approx. 270 GW are required to bridge
periods of calm air, etc.
> This is approx. 65% of the coal- and gas-
fired power plants installed in Europe today
> Short operating times lead to high costs
> Suitable economic incentives necessary
> With 80% renewable energy systems in
Europe, approx. 165 GW in transport
capacity are needed according to the ECF
> Focus on Pyrenees connection with 41 GW
Combination of "super grid" and back-up power plants
is the most cost-effective way of integrating renewables
Super grid Back-up power plants
Source: ECF, Imperial College, KEMA
+
New flexible conventional power plants can adjust
volatile feed-ins of renewables
The faster a power plant can run up or down its capacity, the more flexible it can be employed
Flexibility comparison of new conventional power
plants with old gas-/lignite-fired power stations,
respectively
MW
Max cap. ~ 1,000 MW
Min cap. ~ 500 MW
Max gradient +/- 30 MW/min
Minutes 30 5 10 15 20 25
1 In case of shut-down of one turbine
0
200
400
600
800
1,000 New lignite-fired power
plant
New gas-fired power plant
Max cap. ~875 MW
Min cap. ~260 MW1
Max gradient +/- 38 MW/min
Max cap. ~300 MW
Min cap. ~200 MW
Max gradient +/- 10 MW/min
Old lignite-fired power
station
Max cap. ~420 MW
Min cap. ~168 MW
Max gradient +/- 10 MW/min
Existing gas-fired power
station
Page 22 Holger Gassner , RWE Innogy GmbH – Univ. of Campinas 19th March 2013
Page 23 Holger Gassner , RWE Innogy GmbH – Univ. of Campinas 19th March 2013
There is a growing need of storing and discharging
electricity as and when required
Pumped storage power plant Atdorf
Use of storage potential in Norway ADELE - Adiabatic
compressed-air energy storage
E-mobility can play an important part
within future smart grids
Page 24 Holger Gassner , RWE Innogy GmbH – Univ. of Campinas 19th March 2013
The energy world of tomorrow is more connected and more decentralised
Electrical
Devices
Heating, Storage,
decentralised
generation
Combined Heat and
Power (CHP)
Wind
Conventional central electricity
generation
Public Charge
Stations
Smart
Meter
E-Mobility
Home-
automation
IT
Enabler Intelligent Tariffs • Pooling •
Reserve energy
EEG-Reserve
Stromhandel
Netzbetreiber
Intelligent Real Estates Intelligent Infrastructure
Renewable
Energies
Hydro
Biomass
Solar
Coal Gas Nuclear
Page 25 Holger Gassner , RWE Innogy GmbH – Univ. of Campinas 19th March 2013
„Smart Grids“ – The new energy world starts in the
distribution grid
1 Biogasanlage
2 Biogasspeicher als Stromspeicher
3 Blockheizwerk
4 Photovoltaikanlage
5 Moderne Spannungsregler
6 Windkraftanlage
„Smart Country“ (Eifel)
„Smart Operator“
(Rheinland-Pfalz u. Bayern)
> Dezentrale IKT-Lösung als
Antwort auf dezentrale
Energieerzeugung.
> Projekte mit bis zu 200
Haushalten in Kisselbach
und Wincheringen sowie
Schwabmünchen.
Hochtemperatur-Leiterseil (Hunsrück)
Electromobility can play an important part within a
future Smart Grid
Application possibilities and potentials are manifold
System service distribution
grid operator
Balancing energy Smart Home
Electric vehicle and
loading infrastructure
Large-scale
RES production
Decentralised production
and own consumption
Pooling
(virtual power plant)
Transmission grid Distribution grid
ICT systems data exchange of power needs and availability of power
Source: FTD, RWE
Page 26 Holger Gassner , RWE Innogy GmbH – Univ. of Campinas 19th March 2013
Page 27 Holger Gassner , RWE Innogy GmbH – Univ. of Campinas 19th March 2013
3
2
4
Challenges in a system with high share of fluctuating generation
Options for the integration of renewable energies
Conclusions
Agenda
1 Renewable energies and development in Europe and Germany
Page 28 Holger Gassner , RWE Innogy GmbH – Univ. of Campinas 19th March 2013 Source: European Commission EU renewable policy
The bigger and more coherent the market the better
for the integration of renewable energies – still work
on EU level to do
Page 29 Holger Gassner , RWE Innogy GmbH – Univ. of Campinas 19th March 2013
Conclusions
For successful integration of renewable energy sources the
remaining energy mix, the development of infrastructure and
public acceptance are as important as growth of renewables itself
Running an energy system with a high share of fluctuating
generation sources is quite a challenge but manageable if timing
and legal framework is set wisely
The share of renewables within the future energy mix will grow all
over the world. Policy on the European and German level has set
very ambitious growth targets for renewable energy sources
The different renewable energy technologies have to be
employed according to their respective strengths and
weaknesses as well as in a cost-effective manner
Large markets, grid extension, flexible generation technologies,
storage and demand side management together with smart grids
will shape the solutions
THANK YOU VERY MUCH
FOR YOUR ATTENTION.
Holger Gassner
Head of Markets and Political Affairs / CR
RWE Innogy GmbH
Gildehofstr. 1
45127 Essen
+49 (0) 201 12 14072
Page 31 Holger Gassner , RWE Innogy GmbH – Univ. of Campinas 19th March 2013
> For constructing 3,600 km of extra high voltage lines 12,000 masts have to be erected.
> Since 2005, the grid has been extended by approx. 35 km per year. Within the next nine years,
around 470 km per year have to be constructed.
DENA I + II Zusätzlicher Bedarf
nach DENA II
3.600
Verbleibender Bedarf
nach DENA I
760
Bisher realisiert
2005 2011 2015 2020
Grid extension according to DENA grid study I und II
time
Necessary grid extension (in km)
35 km / year 470 km / year
4,450
214* 636
3,600
* Source: BNetzA, Monitoring Report 2011
Nuclear phase out and further deployment of
renewable energies exacerbate regional grid
bottlenecks: 4,450 km new lines are needed
So far realised Residual demand
according to DENA I
Additional demand
according to DENA II
Page 32 Holger Gassner , RWE Innogy GmbH – Univ. of Campinas 19th March 2013
New Technologies
Hydro
Wind onshore
Biomass
Wind offshore
Activities of RWE Innogy in the European market for
renewable energies
GER
UK
Spain Portugal
France Switzerland
Czech
Republic
NL
BE
Poland
Italy
EU: steep increase in power supply from RES
Electricity supply from RES in EU (TWh)
TWh
RES share
in gross electricity
consumption (%) 11.6 13.0 14.2 13.6 12.7 12.6 15.1 14.2 16.4 13.6 19.9 18.3 13.6
Including biogas and RES share
of municipal waste
For pumped storage power plants
only generation from natural inflow
Gross electricity consumption =
gross electricity generation plus
import minus export
1
1
2
2
3
3
Source: BMU, ZSW, Eurostat, own illustration
Page 34 Holger Gassner , RWE Innogy GmbH – Univ. of Campinas 19th March 2013
The offshore challenge and RWE‘s approach: Cover the
entire project life cycle
Development Construction Operation &
Maintenance
Covering the entire project life cycle ensures that construction and
especially O&M requirements are already considered in earlier project
phases
Close collaboration between employees of all three project phases
also allows for lessons learned to be quickly adopted for future
projects
Page 35 Holger Gassner , RWE Innogy GmbH – Univ. of Campinas 19th March 2013
German Offshore - Wind Parks
> The energy concept of the federal government provides to build offshore wind farms by 2030 with 25 GW
of rated power and investment of € 75 billion
> Including the test wind farm Alpha Ventus, there are 26 wind farm projects (9,304 MW) in the North Sea
and four (1,136 MW) in the Baltic Sea in operation, under construction or approved
Source: VDI Nachrichten, BSH, September 2012
Installed capacity and energy supply from photovoltaic
installations in Germany
19,3
40
11,7
29
6,5
83
4,4
20
3,0
75
2,2
20
1,2
82
556
313
162
76
64
42
32
26
16
11
86321
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
22,000
24,000
26,000
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
[MW
p ]
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
22,000
24,000
26,000
[GW
h]
Electricity supply [GWh]
installed capacity [MWp]
Source: BMU-KI III 1 according to Working Group on Renewable Energy-Statistics (AGEE-Stat);
1 GWh = 1 Mill. kWh; 1 MW = 1 Mill. Watt; image: BMU / Bernd Müller; as at: July 2012; all figures provisional
2011: 25,039 MWp
Development of power supply and installed capacity
of PV assets in Germany
Reduction of primary energy
consumption by 50% until 2050
(baseline 2008)
Reduction of gross electricity
consumption by 25% until 2050
(baseline 2008)
Growing share of renewables of 80% in
gross electricity consumption by 2050
(to date 15%)
Growing share of renewables of 60% in
gross final energy consumption by 2050
Reduction of GHG by 80% - 95%
(baseline 1990)
The Energy Concept of the German Federal Government:
main objectives
Share of renewables in gross
final energy consumption
Share of electricity generation
from renewables in gross
electricity consumption Greenhouse gas emissions (100%=1990)
Primary energy consumption (100%= 2008)*
Electricity consumption (100%= 2008)*
* Concrete data only available for the years 2020 and 2050
More renewables, less emissions
%
0
20
40
60
80
100
2020 2030 2040 2050
18
30
45
60
35
50
65
80
- 50%
- 80%
bis - 95%
- 25%
The German electricity system is to be completely
re-structured by 2050
20%
RE
2050
Non-RE
generation
2050
Efficiency
gains until
2050 100%
German
generation
2050
Electricity
generation
2008
German
imports
2050
Electricity
demand
2050
= 80% of German
generation 2050
Source: Gross electricity generation according to 'Energieszenarien' (EWI, GWS, Prognos), table A I-7, scenario II A.
285.2 TWh RE
of 352.6 TWh
total generation
in Germany
92.3 TWh RE*
of 637.3 TWh
total generation
in Germany 14,5%
80% 56%
16%
40%
24%
20%
Triplication of RE generation
Bisection of electricity generation in Germany
* RE = renewable energy; RES = renewable energy sources
Extremely ambitious core aspects of the energy
scenarios
Page 39 Holger Gassner , RWE Innogy GmbH – Univ. of Campinas 19th March 2013
The capacity of the German North Sea grid is insufficient and
one of the main hurdles for offshore wind to be overcome
Page 40 Holger Gassner , RWE Innogy GmbH – Univ. of Campinas 19th March 2013
A necessary condition for the implementation of
ambitious offshore projects: grid connection in time!
Source: E.ON Netz
In Germany, an investor currently has to wait over 50 months for the grid connection of an offshore wind farm, and this well beyond the date when the final investment decision has been taken – an unacceptible situation!
Pursuant to EnWG1, the regional transmission system operator (TSO) is responsible for the grid connection of offshore wind farms
Grid connection in Germany
Advantage – grid connection has to be financed by the TSO
Disadvantages: Uncertainties in project planning with
respect to timely grid connection of wind farms
Higher complexity due to additional interfaces
Massive delays in grid connections
Development of grid connections pursuant to 'Positionspapier
der Bundesnetzagentur (BNetzA)'
1EnWG: German Energy Industry Act
German Federal Government: offshore liability regime
and introduction of offshore grid development plan
> The German Federal Government tries to tackle
current problems in offshore wind development by:
> Third Act Revising the Legislation Governing the
Energy Sector
> The major focus is on a system change towards a
consistent and efficient offshore grid expansion by
introducing a binding offshore grid development
plan.
– This shall improve coordination of grid
connections and offshore wind farms.
> In addition, a compensation regulation for the
construction and operation of grid connections to
offshore wind farms shall be introduced.
– A wind farm operator will have a damage claim
against the responsible power transmission grid
operator in cases of interruptions or delays of
the establishments of the grid connection of
offshore wind farms
> First evaluation:
> Regarding compensation rules in case of late grid
connection the Bill in general goes into the right
direction; but some further adjustments are crucial
for the offshore wind industry
> Regarding the general future system for grid
connection (system shift) there are some doubts if it
really comes to more investment security and
acceleration in the process
> Development of a future offshore grid development
plan and planned process lead to strong influence of
regulator (timing, compensation, etc)
> RWE Innogy will closely monitor the further steps
within the parliamentary procedure and prepare
further thorough assessment once the Bill will have
passed the legislative process