Income Distribution and Poverty in the Philippines

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    INCOME DISTRIBUTION AND POVERTY IN THE PHILIPPINES

    Submitted To:

    Mrs. Eponine Contemprato

    Submitted By:

    Culajara, Lexi Rizzia T.

    De Leon, Cierylene E.

    Fabi, Rhacell C.

    Villenueva, Jeanne

    AC 202

    September 2011

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    T A B L E O F C O N T E N T S

    I. OBJECTIVES

    II. INTRODUCTION

    III. DISCUSSION

    a. Income Distribution

    b. The Lorenz Curve

    c. Gini Ratio and Income Mobility

    d. Poverty

    e. Income Distribution and Poverty in the Philippines

    IV. REFERENCES

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    O B J E C T I V E S

    Define Income Distribution

    Measure and Describe Income Inequality

    Define Poverty

    Examine Income Distribution and Poverty in the Philippines

    I N T R O D U C T I O N

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    The incidence of poverty in the Philippines was not unusually high in the early

    1970s, compared with a representative sample of Asian countries, but very slow

    subsequent progress in reducing the rate of poverty meant that by the early 1990s, the

    poverty rate was dramatically higher in the Philippines than in its neighbors. In addition,

    income distribution in the Philippines, as measured by the Gini coefficient (a ratio of

    income inequality, with 0 representing absolute equality and 1 representing absolute

    inequality), is extremely unequal. Moreover, the Gini coefficient barely changed during

    195794, varying only between 0.45 and 0.51. In 1994, the richest 20 percent of the

    population received 52 percent of the countrys total income, nearly 11 times the share

    of the poorest 20 percent. These figures had changed little since the 1980s and had

    even become slightly worse: in 1985, the richest 20 percent of the population received

    the same share of national income as in 1994 and their average income was about 10

    times that of the poorest 20 percent. The distribution of assets has also shown little

    improvement over the last few decades. Between 1960 and 1990, for example, the Ginicoefficient on landholding worsened slightly.

    Although an improvement in income distribution is often accompanied by a

    decrease in the poverty rate, the two are not necessarily linked. It is quite possible for

    poverty rates to fall even when the distribution of income becomes more unequal. In

    fact, while progress in fighting poverty in the Philippines has been slow by Asian

    standards, the countrys disappointing experience in improving income distribution is not

    unique in Asia. It suggests that decades of very slow growth, rather than inequality, may

    have been the most important cause of the persistence of poverty in the Philippines.

    Indeed, between 1970 and 1995, real GDP in the Philippines grew at an annual rate

    about half that of the other Asian countries and barely exceeded population growth.Poverty in the Philippines, as in most countries, tends to be associated with low

    education levels for heads of households and with large family size. Poor Filipinos are

    disproportionately employed in agriculture, fishing, and forestry: these occupations

    account for 62 percent of poor households, but for only about 40 percent of the

    employed labor force. The poor also seem to be disproportionately rural: 60 percent of

    the poor were living in rural areas in 1991, compared with 51 percent of the total

    Philippine population. Since 1960, the proportion of the population classified as urban

    has increased from about 30 percent to 50 percent, while the proportion of the poor

    living in urban areas has grown from 30 percent to 40 percent. Although these figures

    could be interpreted as suggesting that migration from rural to urban areas has led to a

    reduction in poverty rates, they reflect, in part, a statistical artifact: rapidly growing rural

    areas tend to be reclassified as urban, while slowly growing ones do not. In fact,

    between 1970 and 1990, poverty rates declined faster in areas that were initially

    classified as rural as in areas that were classified as urban.

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    WHAT IS INCOME?

    Before examining what distribution of income is, lets first study what falls under

    the category of income.

    Personal Income (PI) the flow of annual income received by households before

    payment of personal income taxes. Personal income includes wages and salaries,

    corporate dividends, rent, interest, Social Security benefits, welfare payments, and any

    other form of money income.

    In-kind Income non-money income. These are services provided by the government

    such as food stamps, education, medical aid, housing assistance, or any good service

    that can be consumed.

    WEALTH VS. INCOME

    Wealth refers to the market value of assets (such as houses and bank accounts)

    people own. Hence, wealth represents a stock ofpotential purchasing power; income

    statistics tell us only how this years flow of purchasing power (income) is being

    distributed.

    INCOME DISTRIBUTION

    The size of distribution of income tells us how large a share of total personal

    income is received by various households, grouped by income class. So long as goods

    and services need not be purchased in the marketplace, the distribution of money

    income isnt synonymous with the distribution of goods and services.

    A. Distribution by Income Category

    The households are grouped by income class lined up in order of income, with

    lowest-income recipients on top and highest-income recipients at the bottom.

    B. Distribution by Quintiles (Fifths)

    A second way to measure income inequality is to divide the total number of

    individuals, households, or families (two or more persons related by birth, marriage or

    adoption) into five numerically equal groups, or quintiles, and examine the percentage

    of total personal (before-tax) income received by each quintile.

    THE LORENZ CURVE

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    The Lorenz curve displays the quintile distribution of personal income. It is a

    graphical illustration of the size distribution.

    We plot the cumulative percentage of households on the horizontal axis and the

    percentage of income they obtain on the vertical axis. The diagonal line represents a

    perfectly equal distribution of income because each point along that line indicates that a

    particular percentage of households receive the same percentage of income. In other

    words, points representing 20% of all households receiving 20% of total income, 40%

    receiving 40%, 60% receiving 60%, and so on, all lie on the diagonal line.

    By plotting quintile data, we obtain a Lorenz curve. The gray area between the

    diagonal line and the Lorenz curve is determined by the extent that the Lorenz curve

    sags away from the diagonal and indicates the degree of income inequality. If the actual

    income distribution were perfectly equal, the Lorenz curve and the diagonal would

    coincide and the gray area would disappear. The farther the Lorenz curve sags away

    from the diagonal or the greater the area between the Lorenz curve and the diagonal,the more inequality exists.

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    GINI RATIO

    The visual summary of inequality the Lorenz curve provides is also expressed in

    a mathematical relationship. The ratio of the gray area in the previous image to the area

    of the triangle formed by the diagonal is called the Gini Coefficient. The higher the Ginicoefficient is, the greater the degree of inequality. In other words, the income inequality

    described by the Lorenz curve can be transformed into a Gini Ratio a numerical

    measure of the overall dispersion of income:

    (The Gini coefficient for complete income equality is zero and for complete inequality is 1.)

    INCOME MOBILITY

    Income mobility is the movement of individuals or households from one income

    quintile to another over time. This is an important point because evidence suggests

    considerable churning around in the distribution of income as time passes. For most

    income receivers, income starts at a relatively low level during youth, reaches a peak

    during middle age, and then declines. It follows that if all people receive exactly the

    same stream of income over their lifetimes, considerable income inequality would still

    exist in any specific year because of age differences. In any single year, the young and

    the old would receive low incomes while the middle-aged receive high incomes. In

    short, individual and family income mobility over time is significant; for many people,

    low income and high income are not permanent conditions. Also, the longer the time

    period considered the more equal the distribution of income becomes.

    THE ECONOMICS OF POVERTY

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    The broader issue of income distribution is the more specific issue of very low

    income, or poverty. A society with a high degree of income inequality can have a high,

    moderate, or low amount of poverty.

    DEFINITION OF POVERTY

    Poverty is a condition in which a person or a family does not have the means to

    satisfy basic needs for food, clothing, shelter, and transportation. The means include

    currently earned income, transfer payments, past savings, and property owned. The

    basic needs have many determinants, including family size and the health and age of its

    members. It relates current income to the minimal needs of a family and thresholds vary

    with family size.

    POVERTY LINE AND GAP

    Poverty line or poverty threshold is the estimated minimum level of income

    needed to secure the necessities of life. The poverty gap is the shortfall between actual

    income and the poverty threshold.

    POVERTY IN THE PHILIPPINES

    Resources are limited, but demands tend to be unlimited. One of the results of

    unwise use of resources is Poverty and even extreme cases like hunger and starvation.

    POVERTY is both more widespread and more persistent in the Philippines than in

    neighboring ASEAN countries. While the poverty rate has decreased in the Philippines

    over the past 25 years, the decline has been slower than in other ASEAN countries.

    Some of the blame for the Philippines slow progress in reducing the incidence of

    poverty can be attributed to past economic policies that retarded growth by

    discriminating against agriculture and discouraging investment in human capital. These

    policies, in turn, sustained powerful interest groups that blocked or delayed economic

    reform. The Philippines began to undertake political and economic reforms in the late

    1980s and early 1990s, however, and GDP growth has accelerated to about 5 percent a

    year since 1994. With faster growth, the percentage of Filipinos living below the povertyline is decreasing, but agricultural reform and increased investment in human capital

    would allow a more drastic reduction in the poverty rate.

    INCOME DISTRIBUTION AND POVERTY IN THE PHILIPPINES

    One of the goals of economics is the fair distribution of income.

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    The recently released 2009 poverty estimates and household survey (FIES)provide a much needed update on poverty, inequality and income dynamics in thePhilippines. The FIES reveals that in contrast with previous trends, household percapita incomes grew from 2006 to 2009 and that, remarkably, rural and poorerhouseholds strongly outperformed. However, despite this increase and a resilient

    economy poverty incidence continued to increase through 2009 though, someimprovements occurred in both the gap and severity of poverty. Therefore, poverty, andespecially poverty dynamics, in the Philippines remains worse than its neighbors.Spatially, poverty remains highly concentrated in rural areas and in terms of sectors,households that rely on agricultural income are significantly more likely to be poor thanother households. From 2006 to 2009, poverty in urban areas increased more rapidly,became more severe, and contributed more to the continuous increase in poverty.

    Across regions, 10 of the 17 administrative regions experienced an increase in povertyincidence.

    Household per capita incomes grew from 2006 to 2009; remarkably, rural

    and poorer households strongly outperformed (Table 3). The latest (2009) FamilyIncome and Expenditure Survey (FIES) reveals that overall household per capitaincome rose by 4.4 percent during the period 2006-2009. While modest, this is incontrast with the 3.4 percent decline in real incomes that took place during the 2003-2006 periods. Interestingly, rural areas significantly outperformed urban ones with a 7.2percent overall increase compared to 3.0 percent, respectively. Also remarkableandconsistent with the rural area outperformancewas that increases in per capita werestrongest for poorer households than richer ones.

    Table 3. Per capita incomes, 2003-2009 Figure 21. Overall Trends in Poverty, 2003-2009

    Per capita income Change2003 2006 2009 2003-06 2006-09(In 2000 peso) (percent)

    Philippines 27,046 26,133 27,295 -3.4 4.5Urban 37,687 35,924 37,018 -4.7 3.0Rural 16,788 16,615 17,805 -1.0 7.2Income GroupQ1 (Poorest) 6,207 6,174 6,715 -0.5 8.7Q2 10,993 10,628 11,285 -3.3 6.2Q3 17,110 16,459 17,263 -3.8 4.9

    Q4 27,881 26,926 27,882 -3.4 3.5Q5 (Richest) 73,043 70,481 73,335 -3.5 4.0

    Figure 21. Overall Trends in Poverty, 2003-2009

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    However, Despite a resilient economy and the general increase in

    household incomes, poverty incidence and headcount did not decline through2009. Since 2003, despite good average economic growth, the proportion of poorhouseholds in the totalpopulation has risen continuously. At the national level, povertyincidence increased by 1.5 percentage points between 2003 and 2006, and inchedfurther in 2009 (Figure 21). Given rapid population growth, rising poverty incidencetranslates in a large increase in the number ofhouseholds falling into poverty: about 2.4million people from 2003 to 2006 and another 1million during 2006 to 2009.

    Notwithstanding the stead rise in poverty incidence, some improvementsoccurred in the overall poverty gap and severity of poverty from 2006 to 2009.(Figure 21) The average income shortfall of the poor declined from 7.5 percent of the

    poverty line in 2006 to 7.2 percent in 2009. This has also translated into a slightimprovement in the overallseverity of poverty. These figures suggest that while growthin 2006-2009 benefitted those in the lower income groupspossibly thanks to thegrowing coverage of the 4Ps conditional cash transfer programit was not enough toprevent those just around the poverty line from fallinginto or staying out of poverty.

    The 2009 poverty estimates confirm that poverty, and especially povertydynamics, in the Philippines remains worse than its neighbors. Comparingcountries in the East Asia and Pacific region based on the international poverty line$1.25/day, the Philippines only rates better than Cambodia (Figure 22). Using the$2.00/day line, the Philippines is also better off than Vietnam. However, on both

    internationally-comparable measures, the Philippines fares lower than Malaysia,Thailand, and China. Chinas $1.25/day poverty had declined dramatically over twodecades to a third of what it was in 1993.

    Figure 22. Poverty in East Asia and Pacific

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    Poverty remains highly concentrated in rural areas. Although an equal shareof the population live in urban and rural areas, a disproportionate share of the poor arefound in rural areas. In 2003, close to 80 percent of poor Filipinos live in rural areas.While this proportion has decreased, 75 percent of poor households in the country arelocated in rural areas as of 2009. Poverty in rural areas is about twice as high as thenational average and more than three times that in urban areas (Table 4).

    Table 4. Poverty in Urban and Rural Areas, 2003-2009Area of residence

    Poverty Incidence Poverty Gap Poverty Severity2003 2006 2009 2003 2006 2009 2003 2006 2009

    (% of population) (% of poverty line) (% of poverty line)Urban 11.3 12.9 13.2 2.7 3.2 3.1 1 1.2 1.1Rural 38.1 39.5 39.4 11.6 11.7 11.2 4.8 4.7 4.4

    Across sectors, households that rely on agricultural income aresignificantly more likely to be poor than households working in other sectors . In2009, less than a quarter of the population derives most of their income fromagriculture. However, they account for half ofthe countrys poor. This share to the totalpoor population has declined since 2003 so that a growing number of poor households

    work in non-agricultural sectors. This is consistent with the finding that povertyincidence in urban areas is increasing more rapidly than in rural areaswhere agricultureis concentrated. The poverty gap and severity among agricultural households are atleast twice as high as the national average and at least four times as high as those whoare mainly dependent on non-agricultural incomes (Table 5).

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    Table 5. Poverty among Agricultural and Non-agricultural Households, 2003-2009

    Area of residence

    Poverty Incidence Poverty Gap Poverty Severity2003 2006 2009 2003 2006 2009 2003 2006 2009

    (% of population) (% of poverty line) (% of poverty line)Agricultural

    household

    54.6 57.1 56.8 17.7 18 17.1 7.7 7.6 7.1

    Non-agriculturalhousehold

    14.3 16 17.1 3.5 4 4.1 1.2 1.4 1.4

    The poorest households are found among those engaged inentrepreneurial activities in forestry and hunting (among non-wage earners). This isthe case regardless ofthe poverty measure used (incidence, gap, and severity). Threein four people who belong tohouseholds whose head derives his/her main employmentfrom forestry and hunting are poor.This is nearly four times as high as those who are

    earning entrepreneurial incomes from other activities. Households who belong in thissegment of the population earn only 75 percent of the income required to meet theirdaily food and non-food needs.

    From 2006 to 2009, poverty in urban areas increased more rapidly, becamemore severe, and contributed more to the continuous increase in poverty. Theshare of poorpeople living in urban areas rose faster between 2006 and 2009 than inrural areas. During thisperiod, poverty in urban areas contributed to the overall increasein poverty at the nationallevel. In addition, while the poverty gap and severity of poverty

    declined over the years in ruralareas, they worsened in urban areas (Table 4). Povertygap in urban areas widened to 3.1percent of the poverty line in 2009 from 2.7 percentin 2003 while it declined to 11.2 percentfrom 11.6 percent over the same period in ruralareas. These suggest that although poverty isconcentrated in rural areas, poverty inurban areas is worsening rapidly.

    Across the regions of the Philippines, ten of the seventeen administrativeregions experienced an increase in poverty incidence during 2006-2009 (Figure23). Of these,seven regions showed steady increases in poverty incidence since 2003.Caraga (Region 16),which posted the highest poverty incidence in 2009, also recordedthe highest increase in the share of poor population (5 percentage points) between

    2006 and 2009. Meanwhile, MIMAROPA (Region 4B) registered the biggest drop inpoverty incidence as the share of poor population declined from 40.7 percent to 35percent between 2006 and 2009.

    The poorest regions in the Philippines are concentrated in Mindanao(Figure 23). The top 3 poorest regions in 2009 were also the poorest three years earlier.

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    Two of these three are located in MindanaoCARAGA (Region 16) recorded thehighest proportion of poor population in 2009 and ARMM (Region 15) recorded thesecond highest proportion. Bicol (Region 5) in Luzon, which used to be the poorestregion in 2006, now ranks the third poorest. With the exception of Davao Region(Region 11), poverty incidence in all other regions in Mindanao is above one-third of the

    population. Mindanao accounts for less than a quarter of the total population of thePhilippines but holds about 40 percent of the countrys poor.

    The most economically active regions continue to have the leastcontribution to total poverty. NCR, Central Luzon (Region 3) and CALABARZON(Region 4A) together holdnearly 40 percent of the total population in the country, 50percent of national GDP, but onlyaccount for 15 percent of the total poor population.Poverty incidence in each of these regions isless than one-fifth of their total population.NCR, in particular, which holds about 13 percent of total population or close to 11.5million Filipinos contributes only 4.2 percent, equivalent to less than half a millionpeople, to the total number of poor people in the country in 2009.

    Figure 23. Poverty Incidence in the Regions, 2003-2009

    REFERENCES

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    Bradley R. Schiller (2006) The Micro Economy Today. New York: McGraw-Hill/Irwin.

    Campbell R. McConnell, Stanley L. Brue, & Sean M. Flynn (2009) ECONOMICS:

    Principles, Problems, and Policies (Eighteenth Edition). New York: McGraw-Hill/Irwin.

    http://www.econlib.org/library/Enc/DistributionofIncome.html

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gini_coefficient

    http://www.adb.org/Documents/Books/Poverty-in-the-Philippines/chap3.pdf

    http://www.adb.org/documents/books/poverty-in-the-philippines/chap6.pdf

    http://www.adb.org/documents/Books/Poverty-Philippines-Causes-Constraints-Opportunities/Poverty-Philippines-Causes-Constraints-Opportunities.pdf