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Overview of
J a n e t W i j n g a a r d
G A P R I M AV E R A , N o v e m b e r 2 0 1 6 , D e B i l t
IMPREXImproving predictions and management of hydrological extremes
Funded under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme of the European Union
Grant Agreement No 641811
2
Horizon 2020 call: Water cycle under future climate
IMPREX
Some facts
• Running 4 years (ends 30 September 2019)
• 8 million Euro funded by EU (Horizon 2020 programme)• 8 million Euro funded by EU (Horizon 2020 programme)
• 64 Deliverables, 27 Milestones
• Results/generated data: Open source
• 23 partners, 9 countries
Funded under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme of the European Union
Grant Agreement No 641811
Partners
Funded under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme of the European Union
Grant Agreement No 641811
4
Topics of interest
Based on first paper on IMPREX
Funded under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme of the European Union
Grant Agreement No 641811
Europeanregion
Current skill
User NeedsDroughts & Agriculture
Water transport
Hydropower
Weather & Climate Services
River Basin
Country
Hydropower
Flood damage
Hydropower
Water utilities
Economy
Agriculture
Hazards
Funded under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme of the European Union
Grant Agreement No 641811
Minute Day Week Season 1yr 10yrs 100yrs
Singlereservoir,
City
UnpredictableHazards
Characteristics IMPREX
• Weather events in a climate context• Reliability of forecasts/projections and• Reliability of forecasts/projections and
application oriented research• Strong User/Stakeholder interaction; co-creation• Team, combining different expertise
• forecasting/climate modelling• sectoral experts & SMEs
Funded under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme of the European Union
Grant Agreement No 641811
• sectoral experts & SMEs• outreach & dissemination
: P
roje
ct m
an
ag
em
en
tWP2: Stakeholder survey and case study definition
WP3: Improved
meteorological
predictability and
climate scenarios
WP4: Improved
predictability of
hydrological extremes
WP5: New concepts for
impacts and risk
assessment
Scie
ntific a
nd
Se
rvice
s Ad
viso
ry B
oa
rd
WP
1:
Pro
ject
ma
na
ge
me
nt
WP6: Sectoral impact surveys
WP7:
Flood
damage
WP8:
Hydro
power
WP11:
Droughts &
Agriculture
WP12:
Water
economy
WP10:
Urban
Water
WP9:
Transport
WP13: Sectoral Integration and Climate Services
Scie
ntific a
nd
Se
rvice
s Ad
viso
ry B
oa
rd
Funded under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme of the European Union
Grant Agreement No 641811
WP14: Outreach and Dissemination
WP13: Sectoral Integration and Climate Services
Scie
ntific a
nd
Se
rvice
s Ad
viso
ry B
oa
rd
Topics of interest
Based on first article published
Funded under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme of the European Union
Grant Agreement No 641811
Case studies
Applications in different sectors
Funded under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme of the European Union
Grant Agreement No 641811
10
Case study Central EU rivers
• Fresh water management (drought)
Rhine
(drought)
• Flooding
• Transport
Funded under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme of the European Union
Grant Agreement No 641811
11
Stakeholder Transport
Skipper on an inland waterway craft in the Rhine River in charge of the safe execution of the transport
Issues are:
• Decide on the maximum load to be carried
• Determine if lightering is necessary
What is needed:
• real-time information on the measured water-levels along the route.
Issues are:
Funded under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme of the European Union
Grant Agreement No 641811
12
water-levels along the route.
• short-term (several days ahead) forecast information on water levels, discharge, but also floods & river ice.
• Uncertainty information
Stakeholder Transport
How to support the skipper, but also other stakeholders in the inland waterway transport
Next steps:
• Ten day forecast for relevant parameters
• Semi operational: monthly and seasonal forecast
• Hindcasting: to show added value
• Workshops/training stakeholders (uncertainty)
Ongoing process:
Next steps:
Funded under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme of the European Union
Grant Agreement No 641811
13
Ongoing process:
• Stakeholder feedback<-> tailoring system
Impact of IMPREX
New tools and applications lead to
• More efficient management in water sectorswater sectors
• Underpin adaptation strategies• Pan European periodic
risk outlook
Funded under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme of the European Union
Grant Agreement No 641811
&
• Case studies• Modelling (high resolution)• …………………………..
Funded under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme of the European Union
Grant Agreement No 641811
Segura case study – Drought and Agriculture
IssueWater scarcity; Extremely high inter-annual variability
Main stakeholders’ needs
Farmers association
City Irrigators: Basin authority� a seasonal flow forecasting system
Main stakeholders’ needs
Funded under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme of the European Union
Grant Agreement No 641811
MissingHigh resolution climate projections
Benefits
• Scientific community: better understanding • Scientific community: better understanding models; applicable to other regions
• Water sectors: earlier and better management/measures
• Politics: underpinned guidelines• Society in general: less economic loss due to
Funded under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme of the European Union
Grant Agreement No 641811
• Society in general: less economic loss due to hydrological extremes
Acknowledgement
IMPREX is a research project supported by the European Commission under the Horizon 2020
Framework Programme
Grant Agreement No 641811
Duration: 01/10/15 – 01/10/19Duration: 01/10/15 – 01/10/19
www.imprex.eu
Bart van den [email protected]