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11th International Conference on Applications of
Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering
ICASP 11 ProgramA
ug
us
t 1
- 4
, 2
011
, E
TH
Zu
ric
h, S
wit
ze
rla
nd
Conference summary 3
Acknowledgement 3
Conference organization 4
Overall schedule 7
Schedule 2. August 8
Schedule 3. August 11
Schedule 4. August 14
Social program 17
Other meetings 17
The CERRA Students Recognition Award 17
Instruction for chairpersons 17
Instruction for speakers 18
Conference information 18
Overview ETH main building 19
Floor plan D 20
Floor plan E 21
Floor plan F 22
Table of contents
3
Conference summary
The International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering (ICASP), one
of the two major conferences on statistics, reliability, probability and risk in engineering, is realized through
the International Civil Engineering Risk and Reliability Association (CERRA).
CERRA has been formed for the purpose of promoting professional analysis of risk and reliability asso-
ciated with civil engineering systems, see also http://www.ce.berkeley.edu/~cerra/. The principal activity of
CERRA is the sponsoring and overseeing of the organization of the ICASP conferences. These confe-
rences have been and will be held about every four years.
The first ICASP conference took place in Hong Kong in 1971 and the latest in Tokyo in 2007. The confe-
rences address all relevant aspects of safety and reliability of civil engineering systems, including probabili-
stic structural engineering, soil mechanics, and risk analysis. The emphasis is on applications as well as on
theory.
Acknowledgement
We wish to thank the following organizations and companies for their support.
Nonfinancial support
Bundesamt für Strassen ASTRAOffice fédéral des routes OFROUUfficio federale delle strade USTRAUffizi federal da vias UVIASFederal Roads Office FEDRO
Schweizerische EidgenossenschaftConfédération suisseConfederazione SvizzeraConfederaziun svizra
Swiss Confederation
Bundesamt für Strassen ASTRA
Federal roads office FEDRO
Walt + Galmarini AG
BKW FMB Energie AG
Det Norske Veritas AS
Swiss Federal Institute for Forest,
Snow and Landscape Research WSL
Swiss Society for Earthquake Engineering
and Structural Dynamics SGEB
Global Risk Forum GRF Davos
The International Federation for
Structural Concrete (fib)
Official carrier
Swiss International Air Lines
Financial support
Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule Zürich
Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich
Institut für Baustatik und Konstruktion
Institute of Structural Engineering
International Civil Engineering
Risk and Reliability Association
Technical University of Denmark
Department of Civil Engineering
4
Conference organization
CERRA (2007-2011)
Jun Kanda, President (Japan)
Michael H. Faber, Chairman (Denmark)
Robert Melchers (Australia)
Samer Madanat (USA)
Armen Der Kiureghian (USA)
Lucia Faravelli (Italy)
Terje Haukaas (Canada)
Marc Maes (Canada)
Kok-Kwang Phoon (Singapore)
John D. Sorensen (Denmark)
Bruno Sudret (France)
Wilson Tang (Hong Kong)
Committees
Organizing committee
Michael H. Faber DTU, Denmark
Jochen Köhler ETH Zurich, Switzerland
Kazuyoshi Nishijima DTU, Denmark
Ton Vrouwenvelder TU-Delft, the Netherlands
Eugen Brühwiler EPFL, Switzerland
Daniel Straub TUM, Germany
John D. Sørensen Aalborg University, Denmark
Co implementation team
Annette Walzer ETH Zurich, Switzerland
Roberto Pascolo ETH Zurich, Switzerland
Margaretha Neuhaus ETH Zurich, Switzerland
5
Scientific committee
Agarwal, J., University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
Ammann, W., Global Risk Forum, Davos, Switzerland
Ang, A. H-S., University of California, Irvine, USA
Augusti, G., University La Sapienza, Rome, Italy
Baker, J. W., Stanford University, Stanford, USA
Bazant, Z. P., Northwestern University, Evanston, USA
Bazzurro, P., Air-Worldwide, USA
Beck, J. L., California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, USA
Beer, M., National University of Singapore, Singapore
Bergman, L. A., University of Illinois, Urbana, USA
Biondini, F., Technical University of Milan, Milan, Italy
Breysse, D., University Bordeaux, Talence, France
Bründl, M., WSL, Davos, Switzerland
Bucher, C., Vienna University of Technology, Vienna, Austria
Casas, J. R., Technical University of Catalonia, Barcelona, Spain
Casciati, F., University of Pavia, Pavia, Italy
Chen, J., Tongji University, Shanghai, China
Chryssanthopoulos, M. K., University of Surrey, Guildford, United Kingdom
Ciampoli, M., University La Sapienza, Rome, Italy
Conte, J. P., University of California, San Diego, USA
Corotis, R. , University of Colorado, Boulder, USA
Cremona, C., LCPC, Paris, France
Dagang, L., Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin, China
De Leon, D., Autonomous University of Mexico State, Toluca, Mexico
Deodatis, G., Columbia University, New York, USA
Der Kiurerghian, A., University of California, Berkeley, USA
Ditlevsen, O., Technical University of Denmark, Lyngby, Denmark
Dongping, F., Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
Duenas-Osorio, L., Rice University, Houston, USA
Ellingwood, B., Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, USA
Enright, M. P., Southwest Research Institute, San Antonio, USA
Estes, A. C., California Polytechnic State University, San Luis Obispo, CA, USA
Esteva Maraboto, L., Autonomous University of Mexico State, Toluca, Mexico
Faravelli, L., University of Pavia, Pavia, Italy
Fontana, M., Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Zurich, Switzerland
Frangopol, D. M., Lehigh University, Bethlehem, USA
Friis Hansen, P., Det Norske Veritas AS, Høvik, Norway
Furuta, H., Kansai University, Osaka, Japan
Ghanem, R., University of Southern California, Los Angeles, USA
Ghosn, M., City University of New York, New York, USA
Gioffrè, M., University of Perugia, Perugia, Italy
Goyet, J., Bureau Veritas, Paris, France
Graubner, C-A., Technische Universität Darmstadt, Darmstadt, Germany
Grigoriu, M. D., Cornell University, Ithaca, USA
Guedes Soares, C., Technical University of Lisbon, Lisbon, Portugal
Haldar, A., University of Arizona, Tucson, USA
Hasofer, A. M., University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
Haukaas, T., University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada
Heinimann, H.-R., Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Zurich, Switzerland
Heredia Zavoni, E., Instituto Mexicano del Petróleo, Mexico, Mexico
Holicky, M., Klokner Institute, Prague, Czech Republic
Hong, H., University of Western Ontario, Ontario, Canada
Huang, B., Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan, China
Hurni, L., Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Zurich, Switzerland
Huyse, L., Southwest Research Institute, San Antonio, USA
Jacob, B., Laboratoire Central des Ponts et Chaussées, Paris, France
Jendo, S., Polish Academy of Sciences, Warszawa, Poland
Kanda, J., University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
Kareem, A., University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, USA
Kiremidjian, A. S., Stanford University, Stanford, USA
Koh, C. G., National University of Singapore, Singapore
Koike, T., Tokyo City University, Tokyo, Japan
Laue, J., Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Zurich, Switzerland
Leira, B. J., Norwegian University of Science and Technology,Trondheim, Norway
Lemaire, M., Institut Francais de Mecanique Avancee, Aubiere, France
Li, J., Tongji University, Shanghai, China
Lind, N. C., University of Waterloo, Waterloo , Canada
Liu, X., Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
Loh, C. H., National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan
Lu, Z. H., Kanagawa University, Yokohama, Japan
Madanat , S., University of California, Berkley, USA
Maes, M. A., University of Calgary, Calgary, Canada
Mahadevan, S., Vanderbilt University, Nashville, USA
Mazzolani, F., University of Naples, Naples, Italy
Melchers, R., University of Newcastle, Newcastle, Australia
Merz, B., Helmholtz Centre Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany
Moan, T., Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway
Mori, Y., Nagoya University, Nagoya, Japan
Muzeau, J.-P., Polytech Clermont-Ferrand, Aubiere, France
Naess, A., Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway
Nathwani, J., University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Canada
Nielsen, S. R. K., Aalborg University, Aalborg, Denmark
Nowak, A. S., University of Nebraska, Lincoln, USA
Ohtori, Y., Central Research Institute of Electric Power Industry, Abiko, Japan
Pandey, M., University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Canada
Papadrakakis, M., National Technical University of Athens, Athens, Greece
Phoon, K. K., National University of Singapore, Singapore
Rackwitz, R., Technische Universität München, München, Germany
Rahhal, M. E., Saint-Joseph University , Beirut, Lebanon
Raphael , W., Saint-Joseph University, Beirut, Lebanon
Reid, S., University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia
Rhyner, J., WSL Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research SLF, Davos, Switzerland
Rosowsky, D. V., Texas A&M University, Texas, USA
Rossetto, T., University College London, London, UK
Schueller, G., University of Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria
Siegrist, M., Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Zurich, Switzerland
Sobczyk, K., Polish Academie of Sciences, Warsaw, Poland
Song, J., University of Illinois, Urbana, USA
Spanos, P., Rice University, Houston, USA
Spencer, B. F., University of Illinois, Urbana, USA
Stewart, M. G., University of Newcastle, Newcastle, Australia
Sudret, B., Phimeca Engineering, Paris, France
Taerwe, L., Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium
Takada, T., University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
Tang, W. H., Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong
Thelandersson, S., Lund University, Lund, Sweden
Thoft-Christensen, P., Aalborg University, Aalborg, Denmark
Tong, Q. S., National University of Singapore, Singapore
Val, D. V., Heriot-Watt University, Edinburgh, UK
Walker, G., Aon Re Asia Pacific, Australia
Winterstein, S., Stanford University, Stanford, USA
Yamazaki, F., Chiba University, Chiba, Japan
Yucemen, M. S., Middle East Technical University, Ankara, Turkey
Zhao, G. F., Dalian University of Technology, Dalian, China
Zhao, Y., Kanagawa University, Yokohama, Japan
6
7
Overall schedule
MondayAugust 1
TuesdayAugust 2
WednesdayAugust 3
ThursdayAugust 4
FridayAugust 5
RegistrationEntrance hall of the ETH main building
8:00 - 13:30
RegistrationEntrance hall of the ETH main building
8:30 - 10:30
RegistrationEntrance hall of the ETH main building
8:30 - 10:30
ExcursionETH Main buildingShuttle bus station
(one floor lower than main entrance south)
9:00KeynoteHG F30
9:20 - 10:10
KeynoteHG F30
9:00 - 10:00
KeynoteHG F30
9:00 - 10:00
Coffee Break10:10 - 10:30
Coffee Break10:00 - 10:30
Coffee Break10:00 - 10:30
Sessions/Minisymposia10:30 - 12:00
Sessions/Minisymposia10:30 - 12:00
Sessions/Minisymposia10:30 - 12:00
Lunch Break12:00 - 13:30
Lunch Break12:00 - 13:30
Lunch Break12:00 - 13:30
Sessions/Minisymposia13:30 - 15:00
Sessions/Minisymposia13:30 - 15:00
Sessions/Minisymposia13:30 - 15:00
Coffee Break15:00 - 15:30
Coffee Break15:00 - 15:30
Coffee Break15:00 - 15:30
Sessions/Minisymposia15:30 - 17:00
Sessions/Minisymposia15:30 - 17:00
Sessions/Minisymposia15:30 - 17:00
CERRAGeneral meeting
18:00HG F30
BanquetReception 18:00
Dinner 19:00Lake Side
RegistrationEntrance hall of the ETH main building
18:30 - 20:30
Welcome ReceptionRoof terrasse in the ETH main building
19:00 - 22:00
Opening ceremonyHG F30
9:00 - 9:20
Closure17:30- 17:45
HG F30
August 1Monday
August 2
Entrance hall of the Registration
uesdayTAugust 1Monday
August 4
Entrance hall of the Registration
Entrance hall of the Registration
ThursdayAugust 3ednesdayW
August 5
Entrance hall of the Registration
FridayAugust 4Thursday
9:20 - 10:10HG F30Keynote
8:00 - 13:30ETH main building
9:00 - 9:20HG F30
Opening ceremony
9:00 - 10:00HG F30Keynote
9:00 - 10:00HG F30Keynote
8:30 - 10:30ETH main building
8:30 - 10:30ETH main building
9:00 - 10:00HG F30Keynote 9:00
main entrance south)(one floor lower than Shuttle bus stationETH Main building
Excursion
8:30 - 10:30ETH main building
13:30 - 15:00Sessions/Minisymposia
12:00 - 13:30Lunch Break
10:30 - 12:00Sessions/Minisymposia
10:10 - 10:30fee BreakCofffee Break ffee Breakffee Break
13:30 - 15:00Sessions/Minisymposia
13:30 - 15:00Sessions/Minisymposia
12:00 - 13:30Lunch Break
12:00 - 13:30Lunch Break
10:30 - 12:00Sessions/Minisymposia
10:30 - 12:00Sessions/Minisymposia
10:00 - 10:30fee Cof
10:00 - 10:30fee BreakCof
13:30 - 15:00Sessions/Minisymposia
12:00 - 13:30Lunch Break
10:30 - 12:00Sessions/Minisymposia
10:00 - 10:30fee Break
18:30 - 20:30ETH main buildingEntrance hall of the
Registration
ffee Break
18:30 - 20:30ETH main buildingEntrance hall of the
Registration
HG F3018:00
General meetingCERRA
15:30 - 17:00Sessions/Minisymposia
15:00 - 15:30fee BreakCof ffee Break
Lake SideDinner 19:00
Reception 18:00Banquet
15:30 - 17:00Sessions/Minisymposia
15:30 - 17:00Sessions/Minisymposia
15:00 - 15:30fee Cof
15:00 - 15:30fee BreakCofffee Break
HG F3017:30- 17:45
Closure
15:30 - 17:00Sessions/Minisymposia
15:00 - 15:30fee Break
HG F3017:30- 17:45
Closure
19:00 - 22:00ETH main buildingRoof terrasse in the
elcome ReceptionW
19:00 - 22:00ETH main buildingRoof terrasse in the
elcome Reception
8
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tions
in g
eom
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J.W
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n
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o ve
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urle
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ar
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chm
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ann
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ta, G
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tsM
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1055
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iels
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Gar
rè, B
.J. L
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guye
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. Am
dahl
1022
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ffect
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akra
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odel
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E.-S
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.W. L
ee
1004
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in, M
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1007
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C s
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atsu
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m
ultip
le s
yste
m re
liabi
lity
desi
gn s
olut
ions
for
deci
sion
mak
ing
E. Z
io, R
. Baz
zo,
G. S
ansa
vini
1016
5-R
elia
bilit
y as
sess
men
t via
di
ffere
ntia
l evo
lutio
nS
. Cas
ciat
i
1042
4-P
roba
bilis
tic
met
hods
for p
erfo
rman
ce
base
d se
rvic
e lif
e ev
alua
tion
of w
oode
n co
mpo
nent
sS
. The
land
erss
on, T
. Isa
ksso
n,M
. Häg
lund
, E. F
rühw
ald
1043
8-H
iera
rchi
cal
mod
elin
g of
stru
ctur
altim
ber m
ater
ial p
rope
rties
by m
eans
of b
ayes
ian
prob
abili
stic
net
wor
ksM
. Deu
blei
n, M
.Sch
loss
er,
M.H
. Fab
er
1005
6-E
volu
tion
of
prob
abili
stic
ana
lysi
s of
tim
ber s
truct
ures
from
se
cond
-mom
ent r
elia
bilit
ym
etho
ds to
frag
ility
an
alys
isD
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osow
sky
1036
3-P
erfo
rman
ce o
f tim
ber b
uild
ings
in
Ear
thqu
akes
F. L
am, M
. Li,
R.O
. Fos
chi,
S. N
akaj
ima,
T. N
akag
awa
1044
0-A
new
app
roac
h to
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nsid
er m
oist
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indu
ced
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r by
load
com
bina
ti-on
M. H
äglu
nd, F
. Car
lsso
n
1013
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rinci
pal
com
pone
nt a
naly
sis
and
Leas
t ang
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spec
tral s
toch
astic
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teel
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t ana
lysi
sG
. Bla
tman
, B. S
udre
t
1009
1-A
num
eric
al
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paris
on o
f krig
ing-
base
d se
quen
tial
stra
tegi
es fo
r est
imat
ing
a pr
obab
ility
of
failu
reL.
Li,
J. B
ect,
E. V
azqu
ez
1009
5-S
ensi
tivity
and
re
liabi
lity
anal
ysis
of a
gl
obe
valv
e us
ing
an
adap
tive
spar
sepo
lyno
mia
l cha
os
expa
nsio
nM
. Ber
veill
er, G
. Bla
tman
1010
0-U
se o
f HD
MR
m
etam
odel
for s
eism
ic
fragi
lity
anal
ysis
I. Ze
ntne
r, E
. Bor
gono
vo,
S. T
aran
tola
1012
7-M
etam
odel
-bas
ed
impo
rtanc
e sa
mpl
ing
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the
sim
ulat
ion
of ra
re
even
tsV.
Dub
ourg
, F. D
ehee
ger,
B. S
udre
t
1051
0-P
ropo
rtion
ality
of
inte
rven
tions
to re
stor
e st
ruct
ural
saf
ety
of
exis
ting
brid
ges
E. B
rühw
iler,
M. T
reac
y
1012
3-A
new
tim
e-re
vers
al im
agin
g m
etho
d fo
r act
ive
Lam
b w
ave
dam
age
mon
itorin
gof
com
posi
te s
truct
ures
S. Y
an, N
.Z. Z
hao,
B. H
e
1016
9-P
roba
bilis
tic
conc
ept f
or th
e va
lidat
ion
of th
e ef
fect
iven
ess
of
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term
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res
agai
nst
early
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ckin
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ctur
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. Kra
uß
1029
8-R
elia
bilit
y ev
alua
tion
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ntai
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imax
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e
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ugu
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ay M
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agsh
ip: C
r
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ugu
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011,
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form
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Futu
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agsh
ip: C
r
echn
olog
ies
ve
Info
rmat
ion
T
Te
e, D
irk
Hel
bing
, ETH
Zur
ich
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olog
ies
for
a Su
stai
nabl
e Fu
tur
Au
dim
ax, H
G F
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Dir
k H
elbi
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TH Z
uric
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dim
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G F
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dim
ax, H
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Au
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G F
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Roo
m
ang
ilson
T Ta
WWi
Ji
e Le
,co
-Cha
irs:
prob
abili
ty (1
)st
atis
tics
and ,
Unc
erta
inty
GS
_111
aylo
rR
J M
urna
ne C
E T
Ta
cata
stro
phe
risk
loss
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r sen
sitiv
ity a
naly
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1004
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obus
t sim
ulat
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HG
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1
ff
HG
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2
Mat
thia
s S
chub
ert
co-C
hairs
:
Dec
isio
n A
naly
sis
Fran
ck S
choe
fs,
rouw
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lderr
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TTo
co-C
hairs
:
ling
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ngin
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g (1
)-Pr
obab
ilist
ic m
ode
GS
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aylo
r
cata
stro
phe
risk
loss
esfo
r sen
sitiv
ity a
naly
sis
of
1004
2-R
obus
t sim
ulat
ion
HG
D7.
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inve
stm
ents
and
life
safe
tyde
cisi
ons
on g
loba
l hea
lth10
548-
Sup
porti
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ition
al s
imul
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ient
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es: A
n ra
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t mul
tiple
10
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Cha
ract
eriz
atio
n of
HG
D7.
1
Arm
en D
er K
iure
ghia
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anie
l Stra
ub,
co-C
hairs
:
risk
anal
ysis
for e
ngin
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g B
ayes
ian
netw
orks
Mat
thia
s S
chub
ert
Nie
ls L
ind,
co-C
hairs
:
Dec
isio
n A
naly
sis
GS
_113
MS
_114
HG
D7.
2
turb
ines
usi
ng B
ayes
ian
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re
na
nce
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f
ff
oper
atio
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aint
e10
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ents
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loba
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548-
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porti
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D7.
2
co-C
hairs
:
and
optim
izat
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(1)
relia
bilit
y as
sess
men
t co
mpu
ting
met
hods
in
Fuzz
y an
alys
is a
nd s
oft
Eug
ene
O‘B
rian
Col
in C
apra
ni,
co-C
hairs
:
load
ing
(1)
Brid
ge tr
affic
Arm
en D
er K
iure
ghia
nD
anie
l Stra
ub,
risk
anal
ysis
for e
ngin
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ayes
ian
netw
orks
M
S_1
15
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E33
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inco
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info
rmat
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brid
ges
asse
ssm
ent o
f hig
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liabi
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d10
205-
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ces
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usi
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oper
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aint
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Ris
k-ba
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2
Joch
en K
öhle
rC
hair:
in s
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ture
s(1)
beha
viou
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imbe
r m
odel
ling
of th
e Pr
obab
ilist
ic
Mic
hael
Bee
rJa
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we
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kert,
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hairs
:
and
optim
izat
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(1)
relia
bilit
y as
sess
men
t co
mpu
ting
met
hods
in
Fuzz
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alys
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nd s
oft
MS
_116
MS
_117
HG
D5.
2
by m
eans
of b
ayes
ian
timbe
r mat
eria
l pro
perti
esm
odel
ing
of s
truct
ural
1043
8-H
iera
rchi
cal
M. S
tein
, M. B
eer
inco
nsis
tent
info
rmat
ion
quan
tific
atio
n of
10
045-
Bay
esia
n
HG
D5.
2
Bru
no S
udre
tC
hair:
(1)
and
relia
bilit
y an
alys
is
prop
agat
ion,
sen
sitiv
ity
mod
els
for u
ncer
tain
ty
Met
amod
els/
sur
roga
te
,en
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ler
r,
in s
truc
ture
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beha
viou
r of t
imbe
r m
odel
ling
of th
e Pr
obab
ilist
ic
MS
_117
MS
_118
HG
E1.
1
stra
tegi
es fo
r est
imat
ing
a ba
sed
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entia
l -
com
paris
on o
f krig
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num
eric
al
1009
1-AA
by m
eans
of b
ayes
ian
timbe
r mat
eria
l pro
perti
esm
odel
ing
of s
truct
ural
1043
8-H
iera
rchi
cal
HG
E1.
2
Seb
astia
n Th
öns
Bru
ce E
lling
woo
d,co
-Cha
irs:
App
licat
ions
(1)
GS
_119
exis
ting
brid
ges
stru
ctur
al s
afet
y of
in
terv
entio
ns to
rest
ore
1051
0-P
ropo
rtion
ality
of
, Z. H
u. J
agge
r
r,
TT.
aylo
rR
.J. M
urna
ne, C
.E. T
Ta
. Pan
gS
.M.H
. Shi
razi
, W
W.
wal
lslig
ht-fr
ame
woo
d sh
ear
alea
toric
unc
erta
inty
in
16-P
ropa
gatio
n of
10
1
rr,
M. S
ánch
ez-S
ilva,
M.H
. Fab
erE
. Vprin
cipl
e fo
r ris
km
argi
nal l
ife s
avin
g co
sts
for t
he a
pplic
atio
n of
the
1055
6-D
efin
ing
guid
elin
es
E. V
inve
stm
ents
S. H
urle
baus
. Gar
doni
,H
. Sha
rma,
P
P.
colli
sion
colu
mn
subj
ect t
o ve
hicl
e re
info
rced
con
cret
e fra
gilit
y es
timat
es fo
r ca
paci
ty m
odel
s an
d ba
sed
prob
abili
stic
-10
023-
Per
form
ance
And
rade
, Q. C
hen
J.E
. A
. Sei
fried
,,
. Bak
er
r, J.
WW.
tions
in g
eom
echa
nics
-pr
oced
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and
appl
ica
cond
ition
al s
imul
atio
n
light
-fram
e w
ood
shea
r al
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ric u
ncer
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ty in
16
-Pro
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tion
of
Sch
erba
umFF.
N
.M. K
uehn
, C. R
igge
lsen
,
haza
rd a
naly
sis
prob
abili
stic
sei
smic
B
ayes
ian
netw
orks
for
1009
0-O
n th
e us
e of
J.J.
Nie
lsen
, J.D
. Sør
ense
n
netw
orks
turb
ines
usi
ng B
ayes
ian
M. S
ánch
ez-S
ilva,
M.H
. Fab
erirg
uez-
Rod
rigue
z,E
. Virg
uez-
Rod
rigue
z,K
. Fis
cher
regu
latio
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inci
ple
for r
isk
mar
gina
l life
sav
ing
cost
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r the
app
licat
ion
of th
e10
556-
Def
inin
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idel
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irgue
z-R
odrig
uez
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.H. F
aber
r,
inve
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ents
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gniti
on w
ith fe
atur
e
asse
ssm
ent o
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bs
oshi
daYYo
O. fic
flow
mod
elth
e tra
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br
idge
gird
er b
ased
on
relia
bilit
y an
alys
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f anu
mbe
r gen
erat
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and
adi
strib
utio
n by
rand
omliv
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ad p
roba
bilit
yis
ualiz
atio
n of
1021
6-V
. Pak
rash
i, V V
. A
. O’C
onno
r
r,
brid
ges
N.M
. Kue
hn, C
. Rig
gels
en,
haza
rd a
naly
sis
prob
abili
stic
sei
smic
B
ayes
ian
netw
orks
for
1009
0-O
n th
e us
e of
J.J.
Nie
lsen
, J.D
. Sør
ense
n
turb
ines
usi
ng B
ayes
ian
. Ros
oD
.VV. an
alys
ism
etho
ds to
frag
ility
se
cond
-mom
ent r
elia
bilit
ytim
ber s
truct
ures
from
pr
obab
ilist
ic a
naly
sis
of
1005
6-E
volu
tion
of
M.H
. Fab
erM
. Deu
blei
n, M
.Sch
loss
er
prob
abili
stic
net
wor
ksby
mea
ns o
f bay
esia
n
H. H
atto
ri. N
omur
a,YY.
K
. Nak
atsu
, A
dach
i,.
H. F
urut
a, W
W
.
sele
ctio
nre
cogn
ition
with
feat
ure
usin
g fu
zzy
patte
rn
asse
ssm
ent o
f RC
sla
bs
1007
5-D
amag
e
M. S
tein
, M. B
eer
, G. B
latm
anM
. Ber
veill
er
r,
expa
nsio
npo
lyno
mia
l cha
os
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tive
spar
segl
obe
valv
e us
ing
an
relia
bilit
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alys
is o
f a
1009
5-S
ensi
tivity
and
azqu
ezL.
Li,
J. B
ect,
E. V
Va
of fa
ilure
prob
abili
ty
stra
tegi
es fo
r est
imat
ing
a
. Ros
owsk
y
anal
ysis
met
hods
to fr
agili
ty
seco
nd-m
omen
t rel
iabi
lity
timbe
r stru
ctur
es fr
om
prob
abili
stic
ana
lysi
s of
10
056-
Evo
lutio
n of
M.H
. Fab
er
M.S
chlo
sser
r,
prob
abili
stic
net
wor
ksby
mea
ns o
f bay
esia
n
an, N
.Z. Z
hao,
B. H
eYYa
S.
of c
ompo
site
stru
ctur
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ave
dam
age
mon
itorin
gm
etho
d fo
r act
ive
Lam
b tim
e-re
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al im
agin
g n
ew
1012
3-AA
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yM
. T Tr
,E
. Brü
hwile
r
r,
exis
ting
brid
ges
prob
abili
stic
sim
ulat
ion
1017
5-C
orre
latio
n in
. Kou
delk
aPP.
fine-
grai
ned
soils
varia
bilit
y of
san
dy a
nd
1012
8-S
hear
stre
ngth
And
ers,
K. N
ishi
jima
A. na
tura
l haz
ards
in th
e fa
ce o
f em
ergi
ngtim
e de
cisi
on o
ptim
izat
ion
pric
ing
algo
rithm
to re
al10
558-
Ada
ptio
n of
opt
ion
Ear
thqu
ake,
200
9ap
plic
atio
n to
Laf
ter-
shoc
ks: A
nst
ruct
ures
sub
ject
ed to
relia
bilit
y as
sess
men
t of
1047
8-P
ost-e
arth
quak
e
H. S
chm
idt,
M. H
eim
ann
high
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e bu
ildin
gsU
HP
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lend
er c
olum
ns in
m
odel
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of H
SC
and
10
072-
Pro
babi
listic
H. S
chm
idt,
M. H
eim
ann
wei
ghts
trend
of i
ncre
asin
g ve
hicl
e D
IN 1
055–
3 to
the
curr
ent
park
load
s ac
cord
ing
to
1007
1-A
dapt
ion
of c
ar
prob
abili
stic
sim
ulat
ion
varia
bilit
y of
san
dy a
nd
1012
8-S
hear
stre
ngth
B
ayes
ian
netw
ork
mod
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curr
ence
: Aw
ildfir
e an
d po
pula
tion
dens
ity o
n co
nditi
ons,
geo
grap
hy
fect
of w
e
1022
5-E
fff
Am
dahl
.-H. N
guye
n, J
. TT.
L.
Gar
rè, B
.J. L
eira
,
Bay
esia
n ne
twor
ksev
ents
by
mea
ns o
f as
sess
men
t of s
trand
ing
1016
6-D
amag
e
And
ers,
K. N
ishi
jima
natu
ral h
azar
dsin
the
face
of e
mer
ging
time
deci
sion
opt
imiz
atio
npr
icin
g al
gorit
hm to
real
1055
8-A
dapt
ion
of o
ptio
n
Ear
thqu
ake,
200
9’A
quila
appl
icat
ion
to L
afte
r-sh
ocks
: An
stru
ctur
es s
ubje
cted
tore
liabi
lity
asse
ssm
ent o
f10
478-
Pos
t-ear
thqu
ake
mul
tiple
sys
tem
relia
bilit
y
. Lee
S.WW
. E
.-S. H
wan
g, H
.-M. K
oh,
span
brid
ges
live
load
mod
el fo
r lon
g10
410-
Dev
elop
men
t of
Bay
esia
n ne
twor
k m
odel
occu
rren
ce: A
and
popu
latio
n de
nsity
on
cond
ition
s, g
eogr
aphy
fe
ct o
f wea
ther
Am
dahl
L. G
arrè
, B.J
. Lei
ra,
Bay
esia
n ne
twor
ksev
ents
by
mea
ns o
f as
sess
men
t of s
trand
ing
1016
6-D
amag
e
on
timbe
r by
load
com
bina
tiin
duce
d ei
gen-
stre
ss in
co
nsid
er m
oist
ure
new
a
10
440-
AA
S. N
akaj
ima,
T
T.
. Lam
, M. L
i, R
FF.
Ear
thqu
akes
timbe
r bui
ldin
gs in
10
363-
Per
form
ance
of
S. C
asci
ati
fere
ntia
l evo
lutio
ndi
fff
asse
ssm
ent v
ia
1016
5-R
elia
bilit
y
G. S
ansa
vini
E. Z
io, R
. Baz
zo,
deci
sion
mak
ing
desi
gn s
olut
ions
for
mul
tiple
sys
tem
relia
bilit
y 10
164-
Clu
ster
ing
of
. D
ehee
ger
r,
. Dub
ourg
, F
F.
VV.
even
tsth
e si
mul
atio
n of
rare
im
porta
nce
sam
plin
g fo
r 10
127-
Met
amod
el-b
ased
aran
tola
S. T T
a, E. B
orgo
novo
,I.
Zent
ner
r,
fragi
lity
anal
ysis
met
amod
el fo
r sei
smic
10
100-
Use
of H
DM
R
-tim
ber b
y lo
ad c
ombi
nati
indu
ced
eige
n-st
ress
in
cons
ider
moi
stur
e n
ew a
ppro
ach
to
. Nak
agaw
a. L
am, M
. Li,
R.O
. Fos
chi,
Ear
thqu
akes
timbe
r bui
ldin
gs in
10
363-
Per
form
ance
of
ff
. Zho
u, S
. Zha
ngWW
.
corr
osio
n cr
acki
ng d
efec
tsco
ntai
ning
stre
ss
eval
uatio
n of
pip
elin
es
1029
8-R
elia
bilit
y
M. K
rauß
stru
ctur
esm
assi
ve c
oncr
ete
early
-age
cra
ckin
g in
co
unte
rmea
sure
s ag
ains
tfe
ctiv
enes
s of
of
the
efco
ncep
t for
the
valid
atio
n 10
169-
Pro
babi
listic
. Iat
anI.FF
.
clas
sific
atio
nof
fuzz
y pa
ttern
w
ith m
oder
n ap
plic
atio
ns
inte
llige
nce
tech
ique
s 10
462-
Com
puta
tiona
l
with
mod
ern
appl
icat
ions
in
telli
genc
e te
chiq
ues
1046
2-C
ompu
tatio
nal
A. P
rota
, G. M
anfre
di. J
aFF.
Ear
thqu
ake,
200
9
. Enr
ight
, R.C
. McC
lung
M.PP
.
anom
aly
type
sm
ater
ials
with
mul
tiple
m
argi
nal d
ensi
ties
of
1010
1-E
stim
atin
g
. Pap
akos
ta, D
. St
PP.
D. S
traub
A. D
er K
iure
ghia
n,. B
ensi
, M
.TT.
influ
ence
dia
gram
sde
cisi
on-m
akin
g us
ing
1044
2-P
ost-e
arth
quak
e
A. P
rota
, G. M
anfre
diA
spro
ne,
, D.
la
yer
r,
Ear
thqu
ake,
200
9
. Pap
akos
ta, D
. Stra
ub
A. D
er K
iure
ghia
n,
influ
ence
dia
gram
sde
cisi
on-m
akin
g us
ing
1044
2-P
ost-e
arth
quak
e
M. H
äglu
nd, F
M. H
äglu
nd, E
. Frü
hwal
dS
. The
land
erss
on, T
com
pone
nts
eval
uatio
n of
woo
den
base
d se
rvic
e lif
e m
etho
ds fo
r per
form
ance
10
424-
Pro
babi
listic
B. S
udre
t
G. B
latm
an, B
. Sud
ret
elem
ent a
naly
sis
spec
tral s
toch
astic
fini
teLe
ast a
ngle
regr
essi
on in
co
mpo
nent
ana
lysi
s an
d 10
132-
Prin
cipa
l
. Car
lsso
n
F
F.
M. H
äglu
nd, E
. Frü
hwal
d. I
saks
son,
n,
T
T.
com
pone
nts
eval
uatio
n of
woo
den
base
d se
rvic
e lif
e m
etho
ds fo
r per
form
ance
10
424-
Pro
babi
listic
9
02. A
ugu
st 2
011,
Tu
esd
ay A
fter
noo
n, 1
2.00
- 15
.00
13.3
0
MS
_128
GS
_121
MS
_127
MS
_126
MS
_125
MS
_124
MS
_123
GS
_122
GS
_129
Roo
m 1
Unc
erta
inty
, st
atis
tics
and
prob
abili
ty (2
)co
-Cha
irs: M
arc
Mae
s,Te
rje H
auka
as
Prob
abili
stic
m
odel
ing
in
engi
neer
ing
(2)
co-C
hairs
: Mau
ricio
San
chez
,C
eles
te B
arna
rdo
Mod
el s
elec
tion,
ag
greg
atio
n an
d te
stin
g fo
r pro
babi
li-st
ic s
eism
ic h
azar
d as
sess
men
t (1)
Cha
ir: F
rank
Sch
erba
um
Prob
abili
stic
ca
libra
tion
of c
odes
(1)
Cha
ir: M
ilan
Hol
ický
Brid
ge tr
affic
load
ing
(2)
co-C
hairs
: Col
lin C
apra
ni,
Eug
ene
O‘B
rien
Fuzz
y an
alys
is a
nd s
oft
com
putin
g m
etho
ds in
re
liabi
lity
asse
ssm
ent
and
optim
izat
ion
(2)
co-C
hairs
: Jan
-Uw
e S
icke
rt,M
icha
el B
eer
Prob
abili
stic
m
odel
ling
of th
e be
havi
our o
f tim
ber
in s
truc
ture
s (2
)C
hair:
Sve
n Th
elan
ders
son
Met
amod
els/
surr
ogat
e m
odel
s fo
r un
cert
aint
y pr
opag
a-tio
n, s
ensi
tivity
and
re
liabi
lity
anal
ysis
(2
)C
hair:
Bru
no S
udre
t
App
licat
ions
(2)
co-C
hairs
: Ber
nt L
eira
,M
icha
el E
nrig
ht
1047
2-R
elia
bilit
y an
alys
is
of a
brit
tle fr
actu
re d
ue to
cr
ack
inst
abili
ty u
sing
se
quen
tial
Mon
te C
arlo
sim
ulat
ion
L.E
. Gar
cian
o, I.
Yos
hida
14.4
2
14.2
4
14.0
6
13.4
8
1017
4-Id
entif
icat
ion
of th
e fil
amen
t stre
ss tr
ansf
er
leng
th in
mul
tifila
men
t ya
rns
usin
g fib
er b
undl
e m
odel
and
cha
in-o
f-bu
ndle
s m
odel
R. R
ypl,
R. C
hudo
ba,
1040
1-S
trong
law
of l
arge
nu
mbe
rs o
n th
e K
ôpka
D
-pos
ets
1055
4-P
ropa
gatio
n of
va
riabi
lity
in ra
ilway
dy
nam
ics
sim
ulat
ions
G
. Per
rin, C
. Fun
fsch
illin
g,
B. S
udre
t
1028
8-R
elia
bilit
y-ba
sed
stoc
hast
ic c
ontro
l for
st
ruct
ures
usi
ng
mag
neto
rheo
logi
cal
dam
pers
J. L
i, Z.
Mei
, J.B
. Che
n
1053
5-D
ynam
ic re
spon
se
varia
bilit
y of
a s
mal
l spa
n br
idge
for h
igh
spee
d ra
il tra
ffic
J. R
ocha
, A.A
. Hen
rique
s,R
. Cal
çada
1052
5-Li
fe-c
ycle
as
sess
men
t and
un
certa
inty
in m
odel
ling:
In
trodu
ctio
n of
a p
ossi
ble
“aid
” ind
exE
. Gar
avag
lia
1053
4-M
echa
nica
l ch
arac
teris
atio
n of
la
cust
rine
clay
by
inte
rpre
ting
spat
ial
varia
bilit
y in
CP
TU
mea
sure
men
tsG
. Ves
sia,
F. C
asin
i,S
. Spr
ingm
an
1007
9-P
roba
bilis
tic
fatig
ue d
esig
n of
co
mpo
site
mat
eria
l for
w
ind
turb
ine
blad
esH
.S. T
oft,
J.D
. Sør
ense
n
1011
8-Fr
agili
ty e
stim
ates
fo
r the
fabe
la b
ridge
in
Mex
ico
inco
rpor
atin
g vi
brat
ion
field
dat
aV.
Bis
adi,
M. H
ead,
P.
Gar
doni
, S. H
urle
baus
, D
. De
Leon
Esc
o-be
do
1012
1-P
roba
bilis
tic
dem
and
mod
el b
ased
on
the
virtu
al w
ork
met
hod
and
fragi
lity
estim
ates
for
offs
hore
win
d tu
rbin
e su
ppor
t stru
ctur
esM
. Mar
dfek
ri, P
. Gar
doni
,J.
M. R
oess
et10
143-
Pro
babi
lity-
base
d m
odel
ing
of c
hlor
ide-
indu
ced
corr
osio
n in
co
ncre
te s
truct
ures
incl
udin
g pa
ram
eter
s co
rrel
atio
nZ.
Lou
nis,
B. S
aass
ouh,
J. Z
hang
15.0
0
1013
0-Le
arni
ng
aggr
egat
ions
of
grou
nd-m
otio
n m
odel
s us
ing
data
C. R
igge
lsen
, N. G
iann
iotis
,F.
Sch
erba
um
1014
8-Th
e co
llabo
rato
ry
for t
he s
tudy
of
earth
quak
e pr
edic
tabi
lity:
P
ersp
ectiv
es o
n ev
alua
tion
and
test
ing
for
seis
mic
haz
ard
D. S
chor
lem
mer
, D
.D. J
acks
on,
J.D
. Zec
har,
T.H
. Jor
dan
1017
0-M
odel
sel
ectio
n an
d un
certa
inty
in
earth
quak
e ha
zard
an
alys
isI.G
. Mai
n, M
. Nay
lor,
J. G
reen
houg
h, S
. Tou
ati,
A.F
. Bel
l, J.
McC
losk
ey
1017
2-B
enef
its o
f the
use
of
pre
cario
usly
bal
ance
d ro
cks
and
othe
r fra
gile
ge
olog
ical
feat
ures
for
test
ing
the
pred
ictio
ns o
f pr
obab
ilist
ic s
eism
ic
haza
rd a
naly
sis
J.G
. And
erso
n, J
.N. B
rune
, M
. Pur
vanc
e, G
. Bia
si,
R. A
noos
hehp
oor
1006
8-C
onve
ntio
nal
prob
abili
stic
mod
els
for
calib
ratio
n of
cod
esM
. Hol
icky
, M. S
ykor
a
1006
9-C
ompa
rison
of
load
com
bina
tion
mod
els
for p
roba
bilis
tic
calib
ratio
nsM
. Syk
ora,
M. H
olic
ky
1018
0-C
alib
ratio
n of
pa
rtial
fact
ors
for d
esig
n of
con
cret
e st
ruct
ures
J. M
arko
vá, M
. Hol
ický
1033
1-R
e-ca
libra
tion
of
stee
l ten
sion
mem
bers
de
sign
crit
eria
in A
AS
HTO
LR
FD b
ridge
des
ign
code
M. M
ohse
ni, T
.R. N
orto
n
1050
3-In
-situ
dyn
amic
be
havi
or o
f a ra
ilway
br
idge
gird
er u
nder
fa
tigue
cau
sing
traffi
c lo
adin
gA
. Her
wig
, E. B
rühw
iler
1054
0-M
odel
ling
of
high
way
brid
ge tr
affic
lo
adin
g: S
ome
rece
nt
adva
nces
B. E
nrig
ht, C
.C. C
apra
ni,
E.J
. OB
rien
1054
7-Tr
uck
load
m
odel
ing
and
brid
ge c
ode
calib
ratio
nG
. Fu,
J. Y
ou
1017
1-S
ensi
tivity
m
easu
res
for f
uzzy
nu
mbe
rs b
ased
on
Arti
ficia
l neu
ral n
etw
orks
S. P
anni
er, W
. Gra
f
1023
5-A
met
hod
for t
he
verif
ied
solu
tion
of fi
nite
el
emen
t mod
els
with
un
certa
in n
ode
loca
tions
A.P
. Sm
ith, J
. Gar
loff,
H
. Wer
kle
1052
6-A
n ap
proa
ch o
n so
undi
ngs
for g
eote
chni
-ca
l site
inve
stig
atio
nD
. Bou
mez
eran
e,S
. Bel
kace
mi,
B. Z
lend
er
1022
1-P
roba
bilis
tic
robu
stne
ss a
naly
sis
of
timbe
r stru
ctur
es -
resu
lts
from
EU
CO
ST
Act
ion
E55
:WG
3P.
H. K
irkeg
aard
, J.
D.S
øren
sen
1040
2-M
odel
ling
of
unce
rtain
ties
of ti
mbe
r st
ruct
ures
due
to g
row
th
inho
mog
enei
ties
C. J
enke
l, R
. Lan
g,
M. K
alis
ke
1051
7-S
truct
ural
tim
ber
deta
iling
A. J
oris
sen
1056
2-M
ultis
cale
va
riabi
lity
of s
tiffn
ess
prop
ertie
s of
tim
ber
boar
dsG
. Fin
k, J
. Koh
ler
1075
1-C
ompa
rativ
e ris
kas
sess
men
t of s
econ
dary
stru
ctur
es in
wid
e-sp
antim
ber s
truct
ures
S. M
iragl
ia, P
. Die
tsch
,D
. Stra
ub
1035
8-A
Krig
ing
impr
ovem
ent o
f the
mon
te
carlo
sim
ulat
ion:
AK
-MC
S
met
hod
B. E
char
d, N
. Gay
ton,
M
. Lem
aire
1037
4-D
istri
butio
n-ba
sed
glob
al s
ensi
tivity
ana
lysi
s in
cas
e of
cor
rela
ted
inpu
t pa
ram
eter
s us
ing
poly
nom
ial c
haos
ex
pans
ions
Y. C
anio
u, B
. Sud
ret
1037
6-R
elia
bilit
y-ba
sed
desi
gn o
ptim
izat
ion
of a
n im
perfe
ct s
ubm
arin
e pr
essu
re h
ull
V. D
ubou
rg,
J.-M
. Bou
rinet
, B. S
udre
t,M
. Caz
ugue
l
1014
7-S
cena
rio-b
ased
se
ism
ic lo
ss e
stim
atio
n fo
r con
cret
e bu
ildin
gs in
th
e ce
ntra
l US
J. B
ai, M
. Hue
ste,
P.
Gar
doni
1017
3-A
pplic
atio
n of
the
Mon
te-C
arlo
met
hod
to
dete
rmin
e th
e tim
e re
quire
d fo
r con
stru
ctio
npr
ojec
ts—
Influ
ence
of
rang
es a
nd c
orre
latio
ns
on p
roba
bilit
y di
strib
utio
nC
. Hof
stad
ler
1028
1-A
dvan
ces
in
prob
abili
ty d
ensi
ty
evol
utio
n an
alys
is o
f no
nlin
ear s
toch
astic
sy
stem
sJ.
Li,
J.B
. Che
n, W
.L. S
un
1027
6-P
roba
bilit
y de
nsity
ev
olut
ion
met
hod
and
poly
nom
ial c
haos
ex
pans
ion
for n
onlin
ear
rand
om v
ibra
tion
anal
ysis
Y.B
. Pen
g, J
. Li,
J.B
. Che
n
12.0
0 - 1
3.30
Lu
nch
1005
1-M
etam
odel
ing
ofai
rcra
ft in
frare
d si
gnat
ure
disp
ersi
onS
. Lef
ebvr
e, A
. Rob
lin,
G. D
uran
d
HG
D1.
1H
G E
1.1
HG
D5.
2H
G D
3.2
HG
E33
.1H
G D
7.2
HG
D7.
1H
G D
1.2
HG
E1.
2R
oom
Roo
m
02. A
ugu
st 2
011,
Tu
esd
ay A
fter
noo
n, 1
2
GS
_121
HG
D1.
1
HG
D1.
2
02. A
ugu
st 2
011,
Tu
esd
ay A
fter
noo
n, 1
2
GS
_122
HG
D7.
1
HG
D7.
1
.00
- 15.
0002
. Au
gust
201
1, T
ues
day
Aft
ern
oon
, 12
MS
_123
MS
_124
HG
D7.
2
HG
D7.
2
MS
_125
HG
E33
.1
HG
D3.
2
MS
_126
MS
_127
HG
D5.
2
HG
D5.
2
MS
_127
MS
_128
HG
E1.
1
HG
E1.
2
GS
_129
erje
Hau
kaas
TTe
Mar
c M
aes,
co-C
hairs
:
prob
abili
ty (2
)st
atis
tics
and ,
Unc
erta
inty
E. G
arav
aglia
“aid
” ind
exIn
trodu
ctio
n of
a p
ossi
ble
unce
rtain
ty in
mod
ellin
g:
asse
ssm
ent a
nd
1052
5-Li
fe-c
ycle
Cha
ir:
asse
ssm
ent (
1)st
ic s
eism
ic h
azar
d te
stin
g fo
r pro
babi
liag
greg
atio
n an
d M
odel
sel
ectio
n,
Cel
este
Bar
nard
oM
auric
io S
anch
ez,
co-C
hairs
:
engi
neer
ing
(2)
mod
elin
g in
Pr
obab
ilist
ic
FC
. Rig
gels
en, N
. Gia
nnio
tis,
grou
nd-m
otio
n m
odel
s ag
greg
atio
ns o
f 10
130-
Lear
ning
oft,
J.D
. Sør
ense
nH
.S. T T
o
win
d tu
rbin
e bl
ades
com
posi
te m
ater
ial f
or
fatig
ue d
esig
n of
10
079-
Pro
babi
listic
Intro
duct
ion
of a
pos
sibl
e un
certa
inty
in m
odel
ling:
Mila
n H
olic
kC
hair:
(1)
calib
ratio
n of
cod
esPr
obab
ilist
ic
Fran
k S
cher
baum
Cha
ir:
asse
ssm
ent (
1)st
ic s
eism
ic h
azar
d -te
stin
g fo
r pro
babi
liag
greg
atio
n an
d M
odel
sel
ectio
n,
, M. S
ykM
. Hol
icky
y,
calib
ratio
n of
cod
espr
obab
ilist
ic m
odel
s fo
r 10
068-
Con
vent
iona
l
. Sch
erba
umFF.
C
. Rig
gels
en, N
. Gia
nnio
tis,
usin
g da
tagr
ound
-mot
ion
mod
els
aggr
egat
ions
of
1013
0-Le
arni
ng
ff
co-C
hairs
:
and
optim
izat
ion
(2)
relia
bilit
y as
sess
men
t co
mpu
ting
met
hods
in
Fuzz
y an
alys
is a
nd s
oft
Eug
ene
O‘B
rien
Col
lin C
apra
ni,
co-C
hairs
: (2)
Brid
ge tr
affic
load
ing
ý
ck
ký
calib
ratio
n of
cod
esPr
obab
ilist
ic
Arti
ficia
l neu
ral n
etw
orks
A. H
erw
ig, E
. Brü
hwile
r
fic lo
adin
gtra
ffa
tigue
cau
sing
brid
ge g
irder
und
er
beha
vior
of a
railw
ay
1050
3-In
-situ
dyn
amic
, M. S
ykor
a
calib
ratio
n of
cod
espr
obab
ilist
ic m
odel
s fo
r 10
068-
Con
vent
iona
l
Sve
n Th
elan
ders
son
Cha
ir:
in s
truc
ture
s (2
)be
havi
our o
f tim
ber
mod
ellin
g of
the
Prob
abili
stic
Mic
hael
Bee
rJa
n-U
we
Sic
kert,
co-C
hairs
:
and
optim
izat
ion
(2)
relia
bilit
y as
sess
men
t co
mpu
ting
met
hods
in
Fuzz
y an
alys
is a
nd s
oft
.H. K
irke
PP.
Act
ion
E55
:WG
3fro
m E
U C
OS
Ttim
ber s
truct
ures
- re
sults
ro
bust
ness
ana
lysi
s of
10
221-
Pro
babi
listic
. Gra
f, W W
. S
. Pan
nier
r,
Arti
ficia
l neu
ral n
etw
orks
num
bers
bas
ed o
n m
easu
res
for f
uzzy
10
171-
Sen
sitiv
ity
Bru
no S
udre
tC
hair:
(2)
relia
bilit
y an
alys
is
tion,
sen
sitiv
ity a
nd -
unce
rtai
nty
prop
aga
surr
ogat
e m
odel
s fo
r M
etam
odel
s/
Sve
n Th
elan
ders
son
in s
truc
ture
s (2
)be
havi
our o
f tim
ber
mod
ellin
g of
the
Prob
abili
stic
M. L
emai
reB
. Ech
ard,
N. G
ayto
n,
met
hod
sim
ulat
ion:
AK
-MC
S
carlo
im
prov
emen
t of t
he m
onte
K
rigin
g 10
358-
AA
.H. K
irkeg
aard
,
Act
ion
E55
:WG
3fro
m E
U C
OS
Ttim
ber s
truct
ures
- re
sults
ro
bust
ness
ana
lysi
s of
10
221-
Pro
babi
listic
Mic
hael
Enr
ight
Ber
nt L
eira
,co
-Cha
irs:
App
licat
ions
(2)
. Gar
doni
PP.
J. B
ai, M
. Hue
ste,
the
cent
ral U
Sfo
r con
cret
e bu
ildin
gs in
se
ism
ic lo
ss e
stim
atio
n 10
147-
Sce
nario
-bas
ed
ff
S. S
prin
gman
. Cas
ini,
essi
a, F F
. G
. V Ve
mea
sure
men
tsva
riabi
lity
in C
PTU
in
terp
retin
g sp
atia
l la
cust
rine
clay
by
char
acte
risat
ion
of
1053
4-M
echa
nica
l
A.A
. Hen
rique
s,J.
Roc
ha,
fictra
fbr
idge
for h
igh
spee
d ra
il va
riabi
lity
of a
sm
all s
pan
1053
5-D
ynam
ic re
spon
se
ff
I.G. M
ain,
M. N
aylo
r
earth
quak
e ha
zard
an
d un
certa
inty
in
1017
0-M
odel
sel
ectio
n J.
D. Z
echa
rD
.D. J
acks
on,
D. S
chor
lem
mer
seis
mic
haz
ard
eval
uatio
n an
d te
stin
g fo
r P
ersp
ectiv
es o
n ea
rthqu
ake
pred
icta
bilit
y:
for t
he s
tudy
of
1014
8-Th
e co
llabo
rato
ry
fsho
re w
ind
turb
ine
ofan
d fra
gilit
y es
timat
es fo
r th
e vi
rtual
wor
k m
etho
d de
man
d m
odel
bas
ed o
n 10
121-
Pro
babi
listic
D. D
e Le
on E
sco-
bedo
. Gar
doni
, S. H
urle
baus
, PP.
. Bis
adi,
M. H
ead,
VV.
vibr
atio
n fie
ld d
ata
Mex
ico
inco
rpor
atin
g fo
r the
fabe
la b
ridge
in
18-F
ragi
lity
estim
ates
10
1
brid
ge fo
r hig
h sp
eed
rail
varia
bilit
y of
a s
mal
l spa
n 10
535-
Dyn
amic
resp
onse
J. M
arko
vá, M
. Hol
ický
of c
oncr
ete
stru
ctur
espa
rtial
fact
ors
for d
esig
n 10
180-
Cal
ibra
tion
of
M. S
ykor
a, M
. Hol
icky
calib
ratio
nsfo
r pro
babi
listic
lo
ad c
ombi
natio
n m
odel
s 10
069-
Com
paris
on o
f
I.G. M
ain,
M. N
aylo
r
anal
ysis
earth
quak
e ha
zard
an
d un
certa
inty
in
1017
0-M
odel
sel
ectio
n .H
. Jor
dan
, T T.
Z
echa
r
r, D
.D. J
acks
on, ,
. Sch
orle
mm
er
r,
seis
mic
haz
ard
eval
uatio
n an
d te
stin
g fo
r P
ersp
ectiv
es o
n ea
rthqu
ake
pred
icta
bilit
y:
for t
he s
tudy
of
1014
8-Th
e co
llabo
rato
ry
ff
S. B
elka
cem
i, B
. Zle
nder
soun
ding
s fo
r geo
tech
ni10
526-
An
appr
oach
on
unce
rtain
nod
e lo
catio
ns
verif
ied
solu
tion
of fi
nite
10
235-
A
ouYYoG
. Fu,
J.
calib
ratio
nm
odel
ing
and
brid
ge c
ode
ruck
load
10
547-
T
E.J
. OB
rien
B. E
nrig
ht, C
.C. C
apra
ni,
adva
nces
load
ing:
Som
e re
cent
fic
hi
ghw
ay b
ridge
traf
1054
0-M
odel
ling
of
J. M
arko
vá, M
. Hol
ický
of c
oncr
ete
stru
ctur
espa
rtial
fact
ors
for d
esig
n 10
180-
Cal
ibra
tion
of
M. S
ykor
a, M
. Hol
icky
for p
roba
bilis
tic
load
com
bina
tion
mod
els
1006
9-C
ompa
rison
of
A. J
oris
sen
deta
iling
1051
7-S
truct
ural
tim
ber
M. K
alis
keC
. Jen
kel,
R. L
ang,
inho
mog
enei
ties
stru
ctur
es d
ue to
gro
wth
un
certa
intie
s of
tim
ber
1040
2-M
odel
ling
of
J.D
.Sør
ense
n
S. B
elka
cem
i, B
. Zle
nder
D. B
oum
ezer
ane,
cal s
ite in
vest
igat
ion
-so
undi
ngs
for g
eote
chni
1052
6-A
n ap
proa
ch o
n
Sith
J G
lff
A
PP
unce
rtain
nod
e lo
catio
nsel
emen
t mod
els
with
ve
rifie
d so
lutio
n of
fini
te
met
hod
for t
he
0235
-AA
Db
VVpres
sure
hul
lim
perfe
ct s
ubm
arin
e de
sign
opt
imiz
atio
n of
an
1037
6-R
elia
bilit
y-ba
sed
. Can
iou,
B. S
udre
tYY.
expa
nsio
nspo
lyno
mia
l cha
os
para
met
ers
usin
g in
cas
e of
cor
rela
ted
inpu
t gl
obal
sen
sitiv
ity a
naly
sis
1037
4-D
istri
butio
n-ba
sed
A. J
oris
sen
deta
iling
1051
7-S
truct
ural
tim
ber
M. K
alis
keC
. Jen
kel,
R. L
ang,
inho
mog
enei
ties
stru
ctur
es d
ue to
gro
wth
un
certa
intie
s of
tim
ber
1040
2-M
odel
ling
of
J.D
.Sør
ense
n
syst
ems
nonl
inea
r sto
chas
tic
evol
utio
n an
alys
is o
f pr
obab
ility
den
sity
10
281-
Adv
ance
s in
C. H
ofst
adle
r
on p
roba
bilit
y di
strib
utio
nra
nges
and
cor
rela
tions
pr
ojec
ts—
Influ
ence
of
requ
ired
for c
onst
ruct
ion
dete
rmin
e th
e tim
e M
onte
-Car
lo m
etho
d to
10
173-
App
licat
ion
of th
e
oshi
daYYo
L.E
. Gar
cian
o, I.
Mon
te C
arlo
sim
ulat
ion
sequ
entia
lcr
ack
inst
abili
ty u
sing
of
a b
rittle
frac
ture
due
to
1047
2-R
elia
bilit
y an
alys
is
R. C
alça
daA
.A. H
enriq
ues,
J. R
ocha
,
oshi
da
Mon
te C
arlo
sim
ulat
ion
crac
k in
stab
ility
usi
ng
of a
brit
tle fr
actu
re d
ue to
10
472-
Rel
iabi
lity
anal
ysis
R. A
noos
hehp
oor
M. P
urva
nce,
G. B
iasi
,A
nder
son,
J.N
. Bru
ne,
J.G
. haza
rd a
naly
sis
prob
abili
stic
sei
smic
te
stin
g th
e pr
edic
tions
of
geol
ogic
al fe
atur
es fo
r ro
cks
and
othe
r fra
gile
of
pre
cario
usly
bal
ance
d 10
172-
Ben
efits
of t
he u
se
. B
A
.FF.
J. G
reen
houg
h, S
. TI.G
. Mai
n, M
. Nay
lor
J. Z
hang
Z. L
ouni
s, B
. Saa
ssou
h,
corr
elat
ion
incl
udin
g pa
ram
eter
s co
ncre
te s
truct
ures
indu
ced
corr
osio
n in
-m
odel
ing
of c
hlor
ide
1014
3-P
roba
bilit
y-ba
sed
J.M
. Roe
sset
. Gar
doni
,M
. Mar
dfek
ri, P
P
.
supp
ort s
truct
ures
fsho
re w
ind
turb
ine
offf
A
.A. H
enriq
ues,
1017
4-Id
entif
icat
ion
of th
e
.R. N
M. M
ohse
ni, T
T
.
LRFD
brid
ge d
esig
n co
deA
AS
HT
desi
gn c
riter
ia in
st
eel t
ensi
on m
embe
rs
1033
1-R
e-ca
libra
tion
of
R. A
noos
hehp
oor
M. P
urva
nce,
G. B
iasi
,A
nder
son,
J.N
. Bru
ne,
haza
rd a
naly
sis
prob
abili
stic
sei
smic
te
stin
g th
e pr
edic
tions
of
geol
ogic
al fe
atur
es fo
r ro
cks
and
othe
r fra
gile
of
pre
cario
usly
bal
ance
d 10
172-
Ben
efits
of t
he u
se
. Bel
l, J.
McC
losk
eyou
ati,
en
houg
h, S
. T
T
o
, M
ain,
M. N
aylo
r
r,
.R. N
orto
n
LRFD
brid
ge d
esig
n co
deO
AA
SH
Tst
eel t
ensi
on m
embe
rs
1033
1-R
e-ca
libra
tion
of
num
bers
on
the
Kôp
ka
1040
1-S
trong
law
of l
arge
1075
1-C
ompa
rativ
e ris
k
G. F
ink,
J. K
ohle
r
boar
dspr
oper
ties
of ti
mbe
r va
riabi
lity
of s
tif10
562-
Mul
tisca
le
erkl
eH
. W We
. Sm
ith, J
. Gar
loff,
A
.PP.
D-p
oset
snu
mbe
rs o
n th
e K
ôpka
10
401-
Stro
ng la
w o
f lar
ge
M. C
azug
uel
J.-M
. Bou
rinet
, B. S
udre
t,. D
ubou
rg,
VV.
1075
1-C
ompa
rativ
e ris
k
G. F
ink,
J. K
ohle
r
boar
dspr
oper
ties
of ti
mbe
r fn
ess
f s
tif
ff
10
562-
Mul
tisca
le
B. S
udre
tG
. Per
rin, C
. Fun
fsch
illin
g,
dyna
mic
s si
mul
atio
nsva
riabi
lity
in ra
ilway
10
554-
Pro
paga
tion
of
1005
1-M
etam
odel
ing
of
J.B
. Che
n.B
. Pen
g, J
. Li,
YY.
rand
om v
ibra
tion
anal
ysis
expa
nsio
n fo
r non
linea
rpo
lyno
mia
l cha
os
evol
utio
n m
etho
d an
d 10
276-
Pro
babi
lity
dens
ity
.L. S
unJ.
Li,
J.B
. Che
n, W
W
.
syst
ems
1028
8-R
elia
bilit
y-ba
sed
R. R
ypl,
R. C
hudo
ba,
bund
les
mod
el-
mod
el a
nd c
hain
-of
yarn
s us
ing
fiber
bun
dle
leng
th in
mul
tifila
men
t fil
amen
t stre
ss tr
ansf
er
D. S
traub
S. M
iragl
ia, P
timbe
r stru
ctur
esst
ruct
ures
in w
ide-
span
asse
ssm
ent o
f sec
onda
ry10
751-
Com
para
tive
risk
D. S
traub D
iets
ch,
P
P
.
timbe
r stru
ctur
esst
ruct
ures
in w
ide-
span
asse
ssm
ent o
f sec
onda
ry
G. D
uran
dA
. Rob
lin,
S. L
efeb
vre,
disp
ersi
onai
rcra
ft in
frare
d si
gnat
ure
1005
1-M
etam
odel
ing
of
J. L
i, Z.
Mei
, J.B
. Che
n
dam
pers
mag
neto
rheo
logi
cal
stru
ctur
es u
sing
st
ocha
stic
con
trol f
or
1028
8-R
elia
bilit
y-ba
sed
02. A
ugu
st 2
011,
Tu
esd
ay A
fter
noo
n, 1
5.00
- 17
.00
15.3
0
MS
_138
MS
_131
MS
_137
MS
_136
MS
_135
MS
_134
MS
_133
GS
_132
GS
_139
Roo
m 1
Ris
k-ba
sed
asse
ss-
men
t of c
limat
e ch
ange
ada
ptat
ion
stra
tegi
es fo
r in
fras
truc
ture
co-C
hairs
: Mar
k S
tew
art,
Yue
Li, D
imitr
i Val
Prob
abili
stic
m
odel
ing
in
engi
neer
ing
(3)
co-C
hairs
: Rob
ert M
elch
ers,
Mar
cello
Cia
mpo
li
Mod
el s
elec
tion,
ag
greg
atio
n an
d te
stin
g fo
r pro
babi
li-st
ic s
eism
ic h
azar
d as
sess
men
t (2)
Cha
ir: F
rank
Sch
erba
um
Prob
abili
stic
ca
libra
tion
of c
odes
(2)
Cha
ir: M
ilan
Hol
ický
Mul
tiple
haz
ards
risk
as
sess
men
t and
m
itiga
tion
co-C
hairs
: Yu
e Li
,Jo
hn v
an d
e Li
ndt
Fuzz
y an
alys
is a
nd s
oft
com
putin
g m
etho
ds in
re
liabi
lity
asse
ssm
ent
and
optim
izat
ion
(3)
co-C
hairs
: Jan
-Uw
e S
icke
rt,M
icha
el B
eer
Mod
ellin
g fo
r Ris
k M
anag
emen
t in
Con
stru
ctio
n Pr
ojec
tsco
-Cha
irs: D
enys
Bre
ysse
, H
erbe
rt E
inst
ein
Prob
abili
stic
m
etho
ds in
hyd
raul
ic
and
spat
ial s
truc
tura
l an
alys
isC
hair:
Bin
Hua
ng
App
licat
ions
(3)
co-C
hairs
: Pao
lo G
ardo
ni,
Pal
le T
hoft-
Chr
iste
nsen
16.4
2
16.2
4
16.0
6
15.4
8
1038
5-N
on-p
aram
etric
ba
yesi
an u
pdat
ing
with
in
the
asse
ssm
ent o
f re
liabi
lity
for o
ffsho
re w
ind
turb
ine
supp
ort s
truct
ures
J.G
. Ran
gel-R
amíre
z,
J.D
. Sør
ense
n
17.0
0
1030
4-Q
uant
ifica
tion
of
epis
tem
ic u
ncer
tain
ties
in
prob
abili
stic
sei
smic
ha
zard
ana
lysi
sF.
Sch
erba
um, N
. Kue
hn,
M.O
hrnb
erge
r, C
. Rig
gels
en,
N. G
iann
iotis
1009
3-C
alcu
latio
n of
pa
rtial
saf
ety
fact
ors
T.T.
Pou
tane
n
1042
3-A
pplic
atio
n of
co
krig
ing
met
hod
to
stru
ctur
al re
liabi
lity
prob
lem
sW
. Zha
o, W
. Wan
g
1047
7-A
ccep
tanc
e cr
iteria
fo
r the
spa
tial v
aria
bilit
y of
e
conc
rete
cov
er d
epth
in
a S
wis
s tu
nnel
V. M
alio
ka, S
. Mat
sch,
M
.H. F
aber
1013
1-Fo
reca
st a
naly
sis
of tr
affic
flow
thro
ugh
urba
n ro
ad tu
nnel
bas
ed
on a
rtific
ial
inte
llige
nt m
etho
dL.
Zho
ng, J
. Wu,
H. X
ia
15.0
0 - 1
5.30
Cof
fee
Bre
ak
1003
0-D
eter
iora
tion
of
conc
rete
stru
ctur
es in
A
ustra
lia u
nder
cha
ngin
g en
viro
nmen
tM
.G. S
tew
art,
X. W
ang,
M
. Ngu
yen
1020
6-P
roba
bilis
tic-
base
d as
sess
men
t of t
he
impa
cts
of c
limat
e ch
ange
on
hur
rican
e lo
ss a
nd
adap
tatio
n st
rate
gies
S.O
. Bja
rnad
ottir
, Y. L
i, M
.G. S
tew
art
1039
6-C
onsi
dera
tions
for
prob
abili
stic
ass
essm
ent
of th
e ef
fect
of g
loba
l w
arm
ing
on d
urab
ility
of c
orro
ding
RC
st
ruct
ures
E. B
astid
as-A
rteag
a,F.
Sch
oefs
, M.G
. Ste
war
t
1042
9-D
evel
opm
ent o
f ad
aptiv
e flo
od ri
sk
man
agem
ent s
trate
gies
un
der u
ncer
tain
tyH
. Har
vey,
J.W
. Hal
l
1051
2-P
roba
bilis
tic
asse
ssm
ent o
f cla
y ea
rthfil
l dam
s su
bjec
t to
varia
ble
prec
ipita
tion
M-C
. Pre
zios
i, T.
Mic
ic
1023
8-P
roba
bilis
tic
win
d-bo
rne
debr
is
traje
ctor
y m
odel
for
build
ing
enve
lope
impa
ct
risk
asse
ssm
ent
M. G
rays
on, W
. Pan
g,S
. Sch
iff10
268-
Rel
iabi
lity
estim
atio
n of
det
erio
rate
d R
C-s
truct
ures
con
side
ring
vario
us o
bser
vatio
n da
taI.
Yosh
ida,
M. A
kiya
ma
1030
7-A
Bay
esia
n fra
mew
ork
to p
redi
ct
defo
rmat
ions
dur
ing
supp
orte
d ex
cava
tions
ba
sedo
n a
sem
i-em
piric
al
met
hod
J.-K
. Par
k, P
. Gar
doni
, G
. Bis
cont
in
1032
2-E
ffect
s of
st
ruct
ural
un
certa
inty
/var
iabi
lity
on
the
linea
r and
yie
ldin
g re
spon
se o
f a s
hear
fra
me
C.R
. Wha
rton,
T.L
. Atta
rd,
A. C
haud
hary
, M.P
. Mig
nole
t
1023
0-A
sses
sing
re
liabi
lity
and
skill
of
earth
quak
e fo
reca
stin
g m
odel
s in
Ital
yW
. Mar
zocc
hi
1029
1-O
n th
e us
e of
ob
serv
atio
ns fo
r co
nstra
inin
g pr
obab
ilist
ic
seis
mic
haz
ard
estim
ates
- b
riefre
view
of e
xist
ing
met
hods
C. B
eauv
al
1040
0-R
elia
bilit
y ba
sis
for
adop
ting
Eur
ocod
es a
s S
outh
Afri
can
stan
dard
sJ.
V. R
etie
f, C
. Bar
nard
o,
M. D
ithin
de
1075
8-R
elia
bilit
y-ba
sed
desi
gn/c
alib
ratio
n us
ing
enha
nced
Mon
te C
arlo
A. N
aess
, M.A
. Mae
s,
M.R
. Dan
n
1019
5-D
ecis
ion-
mak
ing
for c
ivil
infra
stru
ctur
e ex
pose
d to
lo
w-p
roba
bilit
y,
high
-con
sequ
ence
ha
zard
s: T
he ro
le o
f ris
k-av
ersi
onE
.J. C
ha, B
.R. E
lling
woo
d
1019
1-E
stim
atio
n of
da
mag
e lo
ss d
ue to
hu
rric
ane
win
d an
d in
duce
d su
rge
Y. L
i, S
.O. B
jarn
adot
tir,
A. A
huja
, J.W
. van
de
Lind
t,T.
Dao
1019
2-M
etho
dolo
gica
l an
d pr
obab
ilist
ic is
sues
in
mul
ti-ha
zard
eng
inee
ring
desi
gnE
. Sim
iu, F
.A. P
otra
, D
. Dut
hinh
, D. B
aner
jee
1045
6-O
n pr
edic
tive
dens
ities
in fu
zzy
Bay
esia
n in
fere
nce
R. V
iertl
1037
5-R
obus
tnes
s ba
sed
desi
gn o
f stru
ctur
es u
nder
co
nsid
erat
ion
of
gene
raliz
ed u
ncer
tain
ty
mod
els
J.-U
. Sic
kert,
S. P
anni
er, W
. G
raf,
M. K
alis
ke
1052
8-C
ost a
nd ti
me
corr
elat
ions
in li
near
in
frast
ruct
ure
cons
truct
ion
Y. M
oret
, H.H
. Ein
stei
n
1053
3-G
erm
a, a
nat
iona
l re
sear
ch p
roje
ct:
Mul
tifac
tor r
isk
cont
rol
and
man
agem
ent i
n co
mpl
ex c
ivil
engi
neer
ing
proj
ects
D. M
oran
d, P
. Per
ret,
L. D
emile
cam
ps, A
. Mac
hu
1057
3-M
odel
ing
met
hodo
logy
of t
he ri
sk
brea
kdow
n st
ruct
ure
for
proj
ect r
isk
man
agem
ent
in c
onst
ruct
ion
R. M
ehdi
zade
h, D
. Bre
ysse
, M
. Cha
plai
n
1037
0-N
on-o
rthog
onal
po
lyno
mia
l exp
ansi
on
base
d ap
proa
ch fo
r st
ruct
ural
relia
bilit
y an
alys
isB
. Hua
ng, C
. Zha
ng
1041
9-A
pplic
atio
n of
the
sam
plin
g th
eory
and
m
etho
ds in
rand
om
decr
emen
t tec
hniq
ueW
. Shi
, Z. L
i, H
. Wu,
Y. L
in
1043
9-R
ando
mne
ss o
f ch
lorid
e io
n co
ncen
tratio
n in
exi
stin
g co
ncre
te u
nder
tid
al e
nviro
nmen
tJ.
Zha
ng, H
. Zhe
ng, L
. Wan
g,
J. Z
hou,
J. W
ang
1025
4-R
ando
m re
spon
se
of c
hain
stru
ctur
e w
ith
para
met
er u
ncer
tain
ties
B.G
. Liu
, Y. P
an, Y
. Nin
g,
Z. S
hen
1025
5-A
Bay
esia
n ac
oust
ic e
mis
sion
sou
rce
loca
tion
algo
rithm
: E
xten
ded
mod
elT.
Sch
umac
her,
D. S
traub
1010
9-S
truct
ural
relia
bilit
y cr
iteria
in re
latio
n to
on
-line
con
trol s
chem
esB
.J. L
eira
1026
6-P
roba
bilis
tic
anom
aly
dete
ctio
n in
st
ruct
ural
mon
itorin
g da
ta
usin
g a
rele
vanc
e ve
ctor
m
achi
neT.
Sai
to
1104
7-A
sses
smen
t of
fatig
ue c
rack
gro
wth
by
cohe
sive
zon
e el
emen
tsP.
Bea
urep
aire
, G
.I. S
chuë
ller
1058
5-H
ow in
tegr
ated
sh
ould
risk
man
agem
ent
and
qual
ity m
anag
emen
t be
?B
. Mun
ier,
L. D
ehou
ck
1082
0-R
elia
bilit
y-ba
sed
desi
gn re
com
men
datio
ns
for F
RP
-rei
nfor
ced
conc
rete
bea
ms
S.E
.C. R
ibei
ro, S
.M.C
. Din
iz
1005
9-H
azar
d-le
vel
spec
ific
hurr
ican
e ev
ent
char
acte
rizat
ion
Y. W
ang,
D.V
. Ros
owsk
y
HG
D1.
1H
G E
1.1
HG
D5.
2H
G D
3.2
HG
E33
.1H
G D
7.2
HG
D7.
1H
G D
1.2
HG
E1.
2R
oom
Roo
m
02. A
ugu
st 2
011,
Tu
esd
ay A
fter
noo
n, 1
5
Ris
k-ba
sed
asse
ssM
S_1
31
HG
D1.
1
HG
D1.
2
02. A
ugu
st 2
011,
Tu
esd
ay A
fter
noo
n, 1
5
Mod
el s
elec
tion,
Pr
obab
ilist
ic
GS
_132
HG
D7.
1
HG
D7.
1
.00
- 17.
0002
. Au
gust
201
1, T
ues
day
Aft
ern
oon
, 15
Prob
abili
stic
M
odel
sel
ectio
n,
MS
_133
MS
_134
HG
D7.
2
HG
D7.
2
Fuzz
y an
alys
is a
nd s
oft
Mul
tiple
haz
ards
risk
Pr
obab
ilist
ic
MS
_135
HG
E33
.1
HG
D3.
2
Mod
ellin
g fo
r Ris
k Fu
zzy
anal
ysis
and
sof
t
MS
_136
MS
_137
HG
D5.
2
HG
D5.
2
Prob
abili
stic
M
odel
ling
for R
isk
MS
_137
MS
_138
HG
E1.
1
HG
E1.
2
App
licat
ions
(3)
GS
_139
alD
imitr
i V Va
ue L
i, YYu
M
ark
Ste
war
t,co
-Cha
irs:
infr
astr
uctu
rest
rate
gies
for
chan
ge a
dapt
atio
n m
ent o
f clim
ate
Ris
k-ba
sed
asse
ss
M. N
guye
nan
g,
M.G
. Ste
war
t, X
. W
W
a
envi
ronm
ent
Aus
tralia
und
er c
hang
ing
conc
rete
stru
ctur
es in
10
030-
Det
erio
ratio
n of
C
hair:
asse
ssm
ent (
2)st
ic s
eism
ic h
azar
d te
stin
g fo
r pro
babi
liag
greg
atio
n an
d M
odel
sel
ectio
n,
Mar
cello
Cia
mpo
liR
ober
t Mel
cher
s,co
-Cha
irs:
engi
neer
ing
(3)
mod
elin
g in
Pr
obab
ilist
ic
chan
ge a
dapt
atio
n -R
isk-
base
d as
sess
mod
els
in It
aly
earth
quak
e fo
reca
stin
g re
liabi
lity
and
skill
of
1023
0-A
sses
sing
S. S
chiff. P
ang,
M. G
rays
on, W
W
.
risk
asse
ssm
ent
build
ing
enve
lope
impa
ct
traje
ctor
y m
odel
for
win
d-bo
rne
debr
is
1023
8-P
roba
bilis
tic
Aus
tralia
und
er c
hang
ing
conc
rete
stru
ctur
es in
10
030-
Det
erio
ratio
n of
M
ilan
Hol
ick
Cha
ir:
(2)
calib
ratio
n of
cod
esPr
obab
ilist
ic
Fran
k S
cher
baum
Cha
ir:
asse
ssm
ent (
2)st
ic s
eism
ic h
azar
d -te
stin
g fo
r pro
babi
liag
greg
atio
n an
d M
odel
sel
ectio
n,
M. D
ithin
de. R
etie
f, C
. Bar
n
J.VV.
stan
dard
sS
outh
Afri
can
adop
ting
Eur
ocod
es a
s 10
400-
Rel
iabi
lity
basi
s fo
r
. Mar
zocc
hiWW
.
mod
els
in It
aly
earth
quak
e fo
reca
stin
g re
liabi
lity
and
skill
of
1023
0-A
sses
sing
co
-Cha
irs:
and
optim
izat
ion
(3)
relia
bilit
y as
sess
men
t co
mpu
ting
met
hods
in
Fuzz
y an
alys
is a
nd s
oft
John
van
de
Lind
tue
Li,
YYu
co-C
hairs
:
miti
gatio
nas
sess
men
t and
M
ultip
le h
azar
ds ri
sk
ý
ck
ký
calib
ratio
n of
cod
esPr
obab
ilist
ic
Dao
TT. v
an d
e Li
ndt,
Ahu
ja, J
.W
W.
A.
, . L
i, S
.O. B
jarn
adot
tir
r, YY.
indu
ced
surg
ehu
rric
ane
win
d an
d da
mag
e lo
ss d
ue to
10
191-
Est
imat
ion
of
. Ret
ief,
C. B
arna
rdo,
stan
dard
sad
optin
g E
uroc
odes
as
1040
0-R
elia
bilit
y ba
sis
for
H
erbe
rt E
inst
ein
Den
ys B
reys
se,
co-C
hairs
:
Proj
ects
Con
stru
ctio
n M
anag
emen
t in
Mod
ellin
g fo
r Ris
k
Mic
hael
Bee
rJa
n-U
we
Sic
kert,
co-C
hairs
:
and
optim
izat
ion
(3)
relia
bilit
y as
sess
men
t co
mpu
ting
met
hods
in
Fuzz
y an
alys
is a
nd s
oft
M.H
. Fab
er. M
alio
ka, S
VV.
a S
wis
s tu
nnel
e co
ncre
te c
over
dep
th in
fo
r the
spa
tial v
aria
bilit
y of
10
477-
Acc
epta
nce
crite
ria
iertl
R. V V
i
Bay
esia
n in
fere
nce
dens
ities
in fu
zzy
1045
6-O
n pr
edic
tive
ff
Bin
Hua
ngC
hair:
anal
ysis
and
spat
ial s
truc
tura
l m
etho
ds in
hyd
raul
ic
Prob
abili
stic
Her
bert
Ein
stei
nD
enys
Bre
ysse
,
Proj
ects
Con
stru
ctio
n M
anag
emen
t in
Mod
ellin
g fo
r Ris
k
L. Z
hong
, J. W
u, H
. Xia
inte
llige
nt m
etho
don
arti
ficia
lur
ban
road
tunn
el b
ased
fic
flow
thro
ugh
of tr
af10
131-
Fore
cast
ana
lysi
s
M.H
. Fab
er. M
alio
ka, S
. Mat
sch,
a S
wis
s tu
nnel
e co
ncre
te c
over
dep
th in
fo
r the
spa
tial v
aria
bilit
y of
10
477-
Acc
epta
nce
crite
ria
Pal
le T
hoft-
Chr
iste
nsen
Pao
lo G
ardo
ni,
co-C
hairs
:
App
licat
ions
(3)
Z. S
hen
Nin
g,
YY.
. P
an,
YY.
B
.G. L
iu,
para
met
er u
ncer
tain
ties
of c
hain
stru
ctur
e w
ith
1025
4-R
ando
m re
spon
se
ff
stru
ctur
esof
cor
rodi
ng R
C
war
min
g on
dur
abili
tyfe
ct o
f glo
bal
of th
e ef
prob
abili
stic
ass
essm
ent
1039
6-C
onsi
dera
tions
for
M.G
. Ste
war
t. L
i, YY.
, S
.O. B
jarn
adot
tir
r,
adap
tatio
n st
rate
gies
on h
urric
ane
loss
and
im
pact
s of
clim
ate
chan
ge
base
d as
sess
men
t of t
he
-10
206-
Pro
babi
listic
M.O
hrnb
erge
r. S
ch
FF.
haza
rd a
naly
sis
prob
abili
stic
sei
smic
ep
iste
mic
unc
erta
intie
s in
10
304-
Qua
ntifi
catio
n of
- brie
frevi
ew o
f exi
stin
g se
ism
ic h
azar
d es
timat
es
cons
train
ing
prob
abili
stic
ob
serv
atio
ns fo
r 10
291-
On
the
use
of
met
hod
base
don
a se
mi-e
mpi
rical
su
ppor
ted
exca
vatio
ns
defo
rmat
ions
dur
ing
fram
ewor
k to
pre
dict
B
ayes
ian
1030
7-AA
M. A
kiya
ma
oshi
da,
YYo
I.
vario
us o
bser
vatio
n da
taR
C-s
truct
ures
con
side
ring
estim
atio
n of
det
erio
rate
d 10
268-
Rel
iabi
lity
S. S
chiff
war
min
g on
dur
abili
ty
prob
abili
stic
ass
essm
ent
1039
6-C
onsi
dera
tions
for
on h
urric
ane
loss
and
im
pact
s of
clim
ate
chan
ge
base
d as
sess
men
t of t
he
. Pou
tane
n.TT
. TT.
parti
al s
afet
y fa
ctor
s10
093-
Cal
cula
tion
of
, C. R
igge
lsen
, be
rgerr
,
. S
cher
baum
, N. K
uehn
,
haza
rd a
naly
sis
prob
abili
stic
sei
smic
ep
iste
mic
unc
erta
intie
s in
10
304-
Qua
ntifi
catio
n of
M.R
. Dan
nA
. Nae
ss, M
.A. M
aes,
enha
nced
Mon
te C
arlo
desi
gn/c
alib
ratio
n us
ing
1075
8-R
elia
bilit
y-ba
sed
C. B
eauv
al
met
hods
- brie
frevi
ew o
f exi
stin
g se
ism
ic h
azar
d es
timat
es
cons
train
ing
prob
abili
stic
ob
serv
atio
ns fo
r 10
291-
On
the
use
of
parti
al s
afet
y fa
ctor
s10
093-
Cal
cula
tion
of
J.-U
. Sic
kert,
S. P
anni
er
gene
raliz
ed u
ncer
tain
ty
desi
gn o
f stru
ctur
es u
nder
10
375-
Rob
ustn
ess
base
d
D. D
uthi
nh, D
. Ban
erje
e.A
. Pot
ra,
E. S
imiu
, F
F.
desi
gnm
ulti-
haza
rd e
ngin
eerin
g an
d pr
obab
ilist
ic is
sues
in
1019
2-M
etho
dolo
gica
l . D
aoTT.
The
role
of
haza
rds:
hi
gh-c
onse
quen
ce
, lo
w-p
roba
bilit
yex
pose
d to
fo
r civ
il in
frast
ruct
ure
1019
5-D
ecis
ion-
mak
ing
A. N
aess
, M.A
. Mae
s,
enha
nced
Mon
te C
arlo
desi
gn/c
alib
ratio
n us
ing
1075
8-R
elia
bilit
y-ba
sed
ang
. W Wa
. Zha
o, W
W
. WW
.
prob
lem
sst
ruct
ural
relia
bilit
y co
krig
ing
met
hod
to
1042
3-A
pplic
atio
n of
proj
ects
com
plex
civ
il en
gine
erin
g an
d m
anag
emen
t in
Mul
tifac
tor r
isk
cont
rol
rese
arch
pro
ject
: 10
533-
Ger
ma,
a n
atio
nal
. Mor
et, H
.H
YY.
infra
stru
ctur
e co
nstru
ctio
nco
rrel
atio
ns in
line
ar
1052
8-C
ost a
nd ti
me
Gra
f, M
. Kal
iske
. , W W
. -U
. Sic
kert,
S. P
anni
er
r,
mod
els
gene
raliz
ed u
ncer
tain
ty
cons
ider
atio
n of
de
sign
of s
truct
ures
und
er
1037
5-R
obus
tnes
s ba
sed
. Lin
YY.
. Shi
, Z. L
i, H
. Wu,
WW
.
decr
emen
t tec
hniq
uem
etho
ds in
rand
om
sam
plin
g th
eory
and
10
419-
App
licat
ion
of th
e
B. H
uang
, C. Z
hang
anal
ysis
stru
ctur
al re
liabi
lity
base
d ap
proa
ch fo
r po
lyno
mia
l exp
ansi
on
1037
0-N
on-o
rthog
onal
proj
ects
com
plex
civ
il en
gine
erin
g an
d m
anag
emen
t in
Mul
tifac
tor r
isk
cont
rol
rese
arch
pro
ject
: 10
533-
Ger
ma,
a n
atio
nal
. Mor
et, H
.H. E
inst
ein
infra
stru
ctur
e co
nstru
ctio
nco
rrel
atio
ns in
line
ar
1052
8-C
ost a
nd ti
me
B.J
. Lei
ra
on-li
ne c
ontro
l sch
emes
crite
ria in
rela
tion
to
1010
9-S
truct
ural
relia
bilit
y
, D. S
traub
. Sch
umac
her
r,
TT.
Ext
ende
d m
odel
loca
tion
algo
rithm
: ac
oust
ic e
mis
sion
sou
rce
Bay
esia
n 10
255-
AA
varia
ble
prec
ipita
tion
earth
fill d
ams
subj
ect t
o as
sess
men
t of c
lay
1051
2-P
roba
bilis
tic
. Hal
l, J
.W
W.
H. H
arve
y
y,
unde
r unc
erta
inty
man
agem
ent s
trate
gies
ad
aptiv
e flo
od ri
sk
1042
9-D
evel
opm
ent o
f
. Sch
oefs
, M.G
. Ste
war
tFF.
E
. Bas
tidas
-Arte
aga,
fsho
re w
ind
relia
bilit
y fo
r of
ff
th
e as
sess
men
t of
baye
sian
upd
atin
g w
ithin
10
385-
Non
-par
amet
ric
. Mig
nole
t, M
.P
P.
A. C
haud
hary
y,
A
ttard
, .L
. C
.R. W
harto
n, T
T
.
fram
ere
spon
se o
f a s
hear
th
e lin
ear a
nd y
ield
ing
unce
rtain
ty/v
aria
bilit
y on
st
ruct
ural
fe
cts
of
1032
2-E
fff
G. B
isco
ntin
Gar
doni
, J.
-K. P
ark,
P
P.
earth
fill d
ams
subj
ect t
o
man
agem
ent s
trate
gies
1042
9-D
evel
opm
ent o
f
. Sch
oefs
, M.G
. Ste
war
t
N. G
iann
iotis
E.J
. Cha
, B.R
. Elli
ngw
ood
risk-
aver
sion
M. C
hapl
ain
R. M
ehdi
zade
h, D
. Bre
ysse
,
in c
onst
ruct
ion
proj
ect r
isk
man
agem
ent
brea
kdow
n st
ruct
ure
for
met
hodo
logy
of t
he ri
sk
1057
3-M
odel
ing
L. D
emile
cam
ps,
D. M
oran
d, P
be?
and
qual
ity m
anag
emen
t sh
ould
risk
man
agem
ent
1058
5-H
ow in
tegr
ated
ang
J. Z
hou,
J. W
Wa
ang,
J.
Zha
ng, H
. Zhe
ng, L
. W
W
a
tidal
env
ironm
ent
in e
xist
ing
conc
rete
und
er
chlo
ride
ion
conc
entra
tion
1043
9-R
ando
mne
ss o
f
M. C
hapl
ain
R. M
ehdi
zade
h, D
. Bre
ysse
,
in c
onst
ruct
ion
proj
ect r
isk
man
agem
ent
brea
kdow
n st
ruct
ure
for
met
hodo
logy
of t
he ri
sk
1057
3-M
odel
ing
A. M
achu
L. D
emile
cam
ps, . P
erre
t,
P
P.
be?
and
qual
ity m
anag
emen
t sh
ould
risk
man
agem
ent
1058
5-H
ow in
tegr
ated
cohe
sive
zon
e el
emen
tsfa
tigue
cra
ck g
row
th b
y 10
47-A
sses
smen
t of
1
. Sai
toTT.
mac
hine
usin
g a
rele
vanc
e ve
ctor
st
ruct
ural
mon
itorin
g da
ta
anom
aly
dete
ctio
n in
10
266-
Pro
babi
listic
. Mic
icM
-C. P
rezi
osi,
T
T.
varia
ble
prec
ipita
tion
J.D
. Sør
ense
nJ.
G. R
ange
l-Ram
írez,
turb
ine
supp
ort s
truct
ures
fsho
re w
ind
relia
bilit
y fo
r of
ff
. Ros
owsk
yan
g, D
.V
V.
. W Wa
YY.
char
acte
rizat
ion
spec
ific
hurr
ican
e ev
ent
1005
9-H
azar
d-le
vel
, L.
B. M
unie
r
r,
be?
, L. D
ehou
ck
be?
G.I.
Sch
uëlle
r. B
eaur
epai
re,
PP.
S.E
.C. R
ibei
ro, S
.M.C
. Din
iz
conc
rete
bea
ms
for F
RP
-rei
nfor
ced
desi
gn re
com
men
datio
ns
1082
0-R
elia
bilit
y-ba
sed
10
03. A
ugu
st 2
011,
Wed
nes
day
Mor
nin
g, 9
.00
- 12.
00
10.0
0 - 1
0.30
10.3
0
9.00
- 10
.00
Key
not
e R
isk
Base
d A
dapt
atio
n to
Clim
ate
Cha
nge,
Kje
ll Er
ikss
on, D
et N
orsk
e Ve
rita
s A
S
Cof
fee
Bre
ak
MS
_218
GS
_211
MS
_217
MS
_216
MS
_215
MS
_214
MS
_213
GS
_212
GS
_219
Au
dim
ax, H
G F
30
Prob
abili
stic
sei
smic
ha
zard
ana
lysi
s (1
)co
-Cha
irs: A
rmen
Der
Kiu
regh
ian,
Jack
Bak
er
Prob
abili
stic
m
odel
ing
in
engi
neer
ing
(4)
co-C
hairs
: Dav
id D
e Le
on,
Mat
thia
s S
chub
ert
Unc
erta
inty
and
im
prec
isio
n in
ge
otec
hnic
al a
nd
stru
ctur
al
engi
neer
ing
(1)
Cha
ir: M
icha
el B
eer
Prob
abili
stic
m
etho
ds fo
r the
as
sess
men
t of
exis
ting
conc
rete
st
ruct
ures
(1)
co-C
hairs
: Rob
by C
aspe
ele,
Mila
n H
olic
ký
Mai
nten
ance
and
sa
fety
of a
ging
In
fras
truc
ture
(1)
co-C
hairs
: Dan
M. F
rang
opol
,B
ruce
Elli
ngw
ood
Perf
orm
ance
-Bas
ed
desi
gn fo
r str
uctu
res
subj
ect t
o na
tura
l haz
ard
(1)
co-C
hairs
: Mar
cello
Cia
mpo
li,Fr
ance
sco
Pet
rini
Ris
k an
d re
liabi
lity
anal
ysis
for
inte
rdep
ende
nt
infr
astr
uctu
re
syst
ems
(1)
Cha
ir: S
eth
Gui
kem
a
Ris
k as
sess
men
t and
de
cisi
on s
uppo
rt
syst
ems
for i
nter
de-
pend
ent l
ifelin
e in
fras
truc
ture
s (1
)co
-Cha
irs: T
akes
hi K
oike
,M
asak
atsu
Miy
ajim
a
Ris
k as
sess
men
t (1)
co-C
hairs
: Dav
id R
osow
sky,
Mal
ioka
Vas
iliki
11.4
2
11.2
4
11.0
6
10.4
8
1081
7-S
ize
effe
ct o
n pr
obab
ility
dis
tribu
tion
of
fatig
ue li
fetim
e of
qu
asib
rittle
stru
ctur
es
1006
7-Ta
rget
relia
bilit
y le
vels
for a
sses
smen
t of
exis
ting
stru
ctur
esM
. Syk
ora,
M. H
olic
ky,
J. M
arko
va
1033
2-A
Fram
ewor
k fo
r pe
rform
ance
-bas
ed
desi
gn a
nd a
sses
smen
t of
build
ings
sub
ject
ed to
ex
trem
e sn
ow lo
ads
A.B
. Lie
l, K
.A. J
acks
on,
J.M
. Gei
s
1019
4-E
ffect
s of
un
certa
inty
on
the
seis
mic
co
llaps
e ris
k of
ligh
t-fra
me
woo
d bu
ildin
gsY.
-J. Y
in, Y
. Li
1007
8-P
roba
bilis
tic
desi
gn o
f sup
plem
enta
l da
mpe
rs fo
r ba
se-is
olat
ed b
ridge
sA
.A. T
afla
nidi
s
1008
6-P
roba
bilis
tic
seis
mic
haz
ard
anal
ysis
in
corp
orat
ing
basi
n am
plifi
catio
n fo
r sha
llow
crus
tal E
arth
quak
esT.
Itoi
, T. T
akad
a
1036
6-D
evel
opm
ent o
fse
ism
ic m
argi
n-ris
kdi
agra
mM
. Nak
ajim
a, Y
. Oht
ori,
K. H
irata
1050
7-S
oftw
are
for
mul
ti-m
odel
relia
bilit
y an
alys
isM
. Mah
suli,
T. H
auka
as
1051
8-P
roba
bilis
tic
mod
elin
g of
veh
icle
im
pact
as
acci
dent
al
actio
nC
.U. K
unz
1052
9-B
ench
mar
k of
ra
ndom
fiel
ds s
imul
atio
n m
etho
ds a
nd li
nks
with
id
entif
icat
ion
met
hods
X.H
. Dan
g, B
. Sud
ret,
M. B
erve
iller
1001
0-E
rror
pro
nene
ss in
co
nstru
ctio
nF.
Kno
ll
1001
6-Th
e ro
le o
f un
certa
inty
in th
e po
litic
al
proc
ess
for r
isk
inve
stm
ent d
ecis
ions
H. B
onst
rom
, R. C
orot
is,
K. P
orte
r
1004
6-U
ncer
tain
tyan
alys
is in
geo
tech
nica
len
gine
erin
g - a
com
para
tive
stud
y of
sele
cted
app
roac
hes
M. B
eer,
Y. Z
hang
, S.T
. Que
k,K
.K. P
hoon
1013
9-D
ebris
flow
impa
ctun
certa
inty
mod
elin
g w
ithG
rey
num
bers
D. P
rosk
e
1004
0-C
orro
sion
-cra
ck
path
bas
ed p
roba
bilis
tic
mod
el to
pre
dict
the
dura
bilit
y be
havi
or o
f RC
co
mpo
nent
sW
.L. J
in, X
.Z. W
ang
1005
5-R
ando
m fi
elds
for
the
mod
elin
g of
de
terio
rate
d st
ruct
ures
D.L
. Alla
ix, V
.I. C
arbo
ne,
G. M
anci
ni
1006
0-S
emi-p
roba
bilis
tic
mod
els
for t
he a
sses
s-m
ent o
f exi
stin
g co
ncre
te
stru
ctur
esP.
Tan
ner,
C. L
ara,
M. P
rieto
1011
0-R
elia
bilit
y an
alys
is
of p
rest
ress
ed c
oncr
ete
brid
ges
loca
ted
in a
m
arin
e en
viro
nmen
tM
. Aki
yam
a, D
.M. F
rang
opol
, I.
Yosh
ida
1011
3-O
ptim
izat
ion
of
asse
ssm
ent s
trate
gies
for
agin
g br
idge
sA
.D. O
rces
i, D
.M. F
rang
opol
1019
6-Im
prov
ed b
ridge
ca
paci
ty ra
ting
met
hods
ba
sed
on s
yste
m
relia
bilit
y as
sess
men
tN
. Wan
g, B
.R.E
lling
woo
d,A
.-H. Z
urei
ck
1026
2-R
elia
bilit
y as
sess
men
t and
life
pr
edic
tion
for s
ervi
ceab
ili-
ty o
f con
cret
e br
idge
sD
-G L
u, W
Jia
ng,
X-P
Fan
, Y-X
Yan
g
1015
6-P
roba
bilis
tic
haza
rd m
odel
of i
nela
stic
re
spon
se o
f SD
OF
syst
em b
ased
on
equi
vale
ntlin
eariz
atio
n te
chni
que
Y. M
ori,
S. K
ojim
a,
K. I
buki
1034
0-P
erfo
rman
ce-
base
d de
sign
of
stru
ctur
es u
nder
Aeo
lian
Haz
ard
M. C
iam
poli,
F. P
etrin
i
1020
1-P
roba
bilis
tic a
nd
Det
erm
inis
tic S
oil
Stru
ctur
e In
tera
ctio
n (S
SI)
anal
ysis
A. H
ashe
mi,
T. E
lkho
raib
i, F.
Ost
adan
1033
0-S
eism
ic d
amag
e as
sess
men
t of c
urve
d br
idge
s us
ing
fragi
lity
anal
ysis
M. M
ohse
ni, T
.R. N
orto
n
1003
3-S
eism
ic ri
sk a
nd
hier
arch
y im
porta
nce
of
inte
rdep
ende
nt li
felin
es.
Met
hodo
logy
and
im
porta
nt is
sues
M.N
. Ale
xoud
i, K
.G. K
akde
ry,
K.D
. Piti
laki
s
1043
7-M
odel
ing
casc
adin
g fa
ilure
s in
‘s
yste
ms
of s
yste
ms’
with
un
certa
in b
ehav
ior
E. Z
io, G
. San
savi
ni
1034
4-M
odel
ing
of
rest
orat
ion
proc
ess
asso
ciat
ed w
ith li
felin
e sy
stem
s an
d th
e in
terd
epen
denc
y du
e to
a
seis
mic
dis
aste
rG
. Sho
ji, A
. Toy
ota
1043
2-A
new
mod
elin
g ap
proa
ch fo
r res
olvi
ng C
I in
terd
epen
denc
y is
sues
C. N
an, W
. Krö
ger
1025
3-O
ptim
um in
terfa
ce
topo
logi
es b
etw
een
urba
n in
frast
ruct
ure
syst
ems
M. O
uyan
g, L
. Due
ñas-
Oso
rio,
X. M
in
1028
3-R
isk
asse
ssm
ent
of s
hutd
own
of w
ater
pu
rific
atio
n pl
ant c
ause
d by
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nank
ai-n
anka
iea
rthqu
akes
tsun
ami
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eM
. Nak
ai, M
. Miy
ajim
a
1033
3-D
isas
ter
rest
orat
ion
supp
ort
tech
nolo
gies
for e
lect
ric
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er d
istri
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n eq
uipm
ent
Y. S
hum
uta,
T. T
odou
, K.
Mas
ukaw
a, T
. Ish
ikaw
a
1058
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thic
al c
onsi
dera
ti-on
for a
ppro
pria
te
stru
ctur
al s
afet
yJ.
Kan
da, D
.G. E
lms
1015
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isk
asse
ssm
ent
and
mai
nten
ance
of
exis
ting
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line
s w
ith a
ne
w s
ubsi
diar
y sy
stem
un
der s
eism
ic a
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dete
riora
ting
envi
ron-
men
tsT.
Imai
, T. K
oike
1010
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uild
ing
owne
rs’
requ
irem
ent f
or s
eism
ic
risk
com
mun
icat
ion
durin
g st
ruct
ural
des
ign
K. H
irata
, T. I
shik
awa
1018
3-A
sses
smen
t of r
isk
to li
fe s
afet
y in
fire
co
mpa
rtmen
ts u
sing
an
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tive
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onse
su
rface
met
hodo
logy
C. A
lbre
cht,
D. H
osse
r
1011
7-G
loba
l flo
od ri
sk
asse
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ent o
f maj
or p
ort
citie
sN
. Lin
d, M
. Pan
dey,
J.
Nat
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i
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Jack
Bak
erA
rmen
Der
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regh
ian,
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hairs
:
haza
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sis
(1)
Prob
abili
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sei
smic
G
S_2
11
base
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ated
brid
ges
dam
pers
for
desi
gn o
f sup
plem
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l 10
078-
Pro
babi
listic
Cha
ir:
engi
neer
ing
(1)
stru
ctur
al
geot
echn
ical
and
im
prec
isio
n in
U
ncer
tain
ty a
nd
Mat
thia
s S
chub
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hairs
: Dav
id D
e Le
on,
engi
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mod
elin
g in
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ilist
ic
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en D
er K
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Prob
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smic
G
S_2
12
cons
truct
ion
1001
0-E
rror
pro
nene
ss in
. Hau
kaas
M. M
ahsu
li, T
T
.
anal
ysis
mul
ti-m
odel
relia
bilit
y 10
507-
Sof
twar
e fo
r
base
-isol
ated
brid
ges
desi
gn o
f sup
plem
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l
ýM
ilan
Hol
ick
Rob
by C
aspe
ele,
co-C
hairs
:
stru
ctur
es (1
)ex
istin
g co
ncre
te
asse
ssm
ent o
f m
etho
ds fo
r the
Pr
obab
ilist
ic
Mic
hael
Bee
rC
hair:
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neer
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(1)
stru
ctur
al
geot
echn
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and
im
prec
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n in
U
ncer
tain
ty a
nd
MS
_213
MS
_214
.I. C
arb
A
llaix
, V V.
D.L
.
dete
riora
ted
stru
ctur
esth
e m
odel
ing
of
1005
5-R
ando
m fi
elds
for
. Kno
llFF.
cons
truct
ion
1001
0-E
rror
pro
nene
ss in
co-C
hairs
: Mar
cello
Cia
mpo
li,na
tura
l haz
ard
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desi
gn fo
r str
uctu
res
Perf
orm
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-Bas
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Bru
ce E
lling
woo
dD
an M
. Fra
ngop
ol,
co-C
hairs
:
Infr
astr
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re (1
)sa
fety
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ging
M
aint
enan
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Rob
by C
aspe
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stru
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)ex
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asse
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ent o
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etho
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Pr
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MS
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haza
rd m
odel
of i
nela
stic
mar
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envi
ronm
ent
brid
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loca
ted
in a
of
pre
stre
ssed
con
cret
e 10
-Rel
iabi
lity
anal
ysis
10
1
.I. C
arbo
ne,
dete
riora
ted
stru
ctur
esth
e m
odel
ing
of
1005
5-R
ando
m fi
elds
for
Set
h G
uike
ma
Cha
ir:
syst
ems
(1)
infr
astr
uctu
re
inte
rdep
ende
nt
anal
ysis
for
Ris
k an
d re
liabi
lity
Fran
cesc
o P
etrin
ico
-Cha
irs: M
arce
llo C
iam
poli,
natu
ral h
azar
d (1
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bjec
t to
desi
gn fo
r str
uctu
res
Perf
orm
ance
-Bas
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MS
_216
MS
_217
unce
rtain
beh
avio
r‘s
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casc
adin
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ilure
s in
10
437-
Mod
elin
g
syst
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ased
on
resp
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DO
F ha
zard
mod
el o
f ine
last
ic
1015
6-P
roba
bilis
tic
Mas
akat
su M
iyaj
ima
akes
hi K
oike
,co
-Cha
irs: T T
a
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pend
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ifelin
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syst
ems
for i
nter
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uppo
rt
Ris
k as
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men
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h G
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syst
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infr
astr
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re
inte
rdep
ende
nt
anal
ysis
for
Ris
k an
d re
liabi
lity
MS
_217
MS
_218
M. O
uyan
g, L
. Due
ñas-
Oso
rio,
infra
stru
ctur
e sy
stem
sto
polo
gies
bet
wee
n ur
ban
1025
3-O
ptim
um in
terfa
ce
unce
rtain
beh
avio
r with
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ms
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casc
adin
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ilure
s in
10
437-
Mod
elin
g
asili
ki
Mal
ioka
V Va
co
-Cha
irs: D
avid
Ros
owsk
y
y,
Ris
k as
sess
men
t (1)
GS
_219
stru
ctur
al d
esig
nris
k co
mm
unic
atio
n du
ring
requ
irem
ent f
or s
eism
ic
1010
2-B
uild
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rs’
1036
6-D
evel
opm
ent o
f
akad
a. T T
a. I
toi,
T
T.
TT.
crus
tal E
arth
quak
esam
plifi
catio
n fo
r sha
llow
inco
rpor
atin
g ba
sin
seis
mic
haz
ard
anal
ysis
10
086-
Pro
babi
listic
afla
nidi
sA
.A. T T
a
1004
6-U
ncer
tain
ty
H. B
onst
rom
, R. C
orot
is,
inve
stm
ent d
ecis
ions
proc
ess
for r
isk
unce
rtain
ty in
the
polit
ical
10
016-
The
role
of
1052
9-B
ench
mar
k of
C.U
. Kun
z
actio
nim
pact
as
acci
dent
al
mod
elin
g of
veh
icle
10
518-
Pro
babi
listic
M. M
ahsu
li, T
1036
6-D
evel
opm
ent o
f
ampl
ifica
tion
for s
hallo
w
seis
mic
haz
ard
anal
ysis
, C. L
ara,
M
anne
rr,
. T Ta
PP.
stru
ctur
esm
ent o
f exi
stin
g co
ncre
te
mod
els
for t
he a
sses
s10
060-
Sem
i-pro
babi
listic
G. M
anci
niA
llaix
, V
1004
6-U
ncer
tain
ty
K. P
orte
rH
. Bon
stro
m, R
. Cor
otis
,
inve
stm
ent d
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ions
proc
ess
for r
isk
unce
rtain
ty in
the
polit
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10
016-
The
role
of
arge
t rel
ia
1006
7TTa
1020
1-P
roba
bilis
tic a
nd
stru
ctur
es
1034
0-P
erfo
rman
ce
linea
rizat
ion
tech
niqu
e
1019
6-Im
prov
ed b
ridge
D.M
. Fra
ngop
olA
.D. O
rces
i,
agin
g br
idge
sas
sess
men
t stra
tegi
es fo
r 13
-Opt
imiz
atio
n of
10
1
oshi
daYYo
I. A
kiya
ma,
D.M
. Fra
ngop
ol,
M.
, C. L
ara,
M. P
rieto
men
t of e
xist
ing
conc
rete
-
mod
els
for t
he a
sses
s10
060-
Sem
i-pro
babi
listic
.I. C
arbo
ne,
arge
t rel
iabi
lity
1043
2A
A. T
G. S
hoji,
seis
mic
dis
aste
rin
terd
epen
denc
y du
e to
a
syst
ems
and
the
asso
ciat
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ith li
felin
e re
stor
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n pr
oces
s 10
344-
Mod
elin
g of
E. Z
io, G
. San
savi
ni
1020
1-P
roba
bilis
tic a
nd
. Pet
rini
M. C
iam
poli,
F
F.
Haz
ard
unde
r Aeo
lian
stru
ctur
es
base
d de
sign
of
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340-
Per
form
ance
K. I
buki
. Mor
i, S
. Koj
ima,
YY.
linea
rizat
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tech
niqu
eeq
uiva
lent
1033
3-D
isas
ter
M. N
akai
, M. M
iyaj
ima
surg
eea
rthqu
akes
tsun
ami
ohna
nkai
-nan
kai
by T T
opu
rific
atio
n pl
ant c
ause
d of
shu
tdow
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wat
er
1028
3-R
isk
asse
ssm
ent
X. M
inM
. Ouy
ang,
L. D
ueña
s-O
sorio
,
new
mod
elin
g
oyot
a. T T
o
seis
mic
dis
aste
rin
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epen
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e to
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syst
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and
the
asso
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felin
e re
stor
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n pr
oces
s 10
344-
Mod
elin
g of
E. Z
io, G
. San
savi
ni
J. N
athw
ani
, N
. Lin
d, M
. Pan
dey
y,
citie
sas
sess
men
t of m
ajor
por
t 17
-Glo
bal f
lood
risk
10
1
1018
3-A
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isk
. Ish
ikaw
aK
. Hira
ta, T
T
.
K. H
irata. O
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M
. Nak
ajim
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diag
ram
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mic
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risk
1036
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opm
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Gre
y nu
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certa
inty
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elin
g w
ith10
139-
Deb
ris fl
ow im
pact
, M
. Bee
r
r,
sele
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roac
hes
com
para
tive
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engi
neer
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alys
is in
geo
tech
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l10
046-
Unc
erta
inty
M. B
erve
iller
X.H
. Dan
g, B
. Sud
ret,
iden
tific
atio
n m
etho
dsm
etho
ds a
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nks
with
ra
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imul
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529-
Ben
chm
ark
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6-D
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fatig
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fetim
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on
1081
7-S
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aL
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W
W
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com
pone
nts
dura
bilit
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havi
or o
f RC
m
odel
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e pa
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ased
pro
babi
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10
040-
Cor
rosi
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rack
D. P
rosk
e
Gre
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mbe
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inty
mod
elin
g w
ith10
139-
Deb
ris fl
ow im
pact
K.K
. Pho
on. Q
uek,
. Zha
ng, S
.T
T.
YY.
sele
cted
app
roac
hes
com
para
tive
stud
y of
engi
neer
ing
- aan
alys
is in
geo
tech
nica
l10
046-
Unc
erta
inty
J. M
arko
vaM
. Syk
ora,
M. H
olic
ky
exis
ting
stru
ctur
esle
vels
for a
sses
smen
t of
arge
t rel
ia
1006
7-TTa
M. M
ohse
ni, T
brid
ges
usin
g fra
gilit
y as
sess
men
t of c
urve
d 10
330-
Sei
smic
dam
age
A. H
ashe
mi,
T
Stru
ctur
e In
tera
ctio
n (S
SI)
1020
1-P
roba
bilis
tic a
nd
ang
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aFa
n Y Y
-
X-PD-G
Lu,
W J
iang
,
ty o
f con
cret
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idge
s-
pred
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n fo
r ser
vice
abili
asse
ssm
ent a
nd li
fe
1026
2-R
elia
bilit
y
A.-H
. Zur
eick
ang,
B.R
.Elli
ngw
ood,
N. W W
a
relia
bilit
y as
sess
men
tba
sed
on s
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m
capa
city
ratin
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etho
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1019
6-Im
prov
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ridge
ang
com
pone
nts
dura
bilit
y be
havi
or o
f RC
m
odel
to p
redi
ct th
e pa
th b
ased
pro
babi
listic
10
040-
Cor
rosi
on-c
rack
,
icky
y,
exis
ting
stru
ctur
esle
vels
for a
sses
smen
t of
arge
t rel
iabi
lity
. C
. Nan
, W
W.
inte
rdep
ende
ncy
issu
esap
proa
ch fo
r res
olvi
ng C
I n
ew
10
432-
A
Ale
xoud
i, K
.G. K
akde
ryM
.N. im
porta
nt is
sues
Met
hodo
logy
and
in
terd
epen
dent
life
lines
. hi
erar
chy
impo
rtanc
e of
10
033-
Sei
smic
risk
and
.R. N
orto
nM
. Moh
seni
, T
T.
anal
ysis
brid
ges
usin
g fra
gilit
y as
sess
men
t of c
urve
d 10
330-
Sei
smic
dam
age
. Ost
adan
FF.
Elk
hora
ibi,
A. H
ashe
mi,
T
T.
anal
ysis
Stru
ctur
e In
tera
ctio
n (S
SI)
Det
erm
inis
tic S
oil
1020
1-P
roba
bilis
tic a
nd
J. K
anda
, D.G
. Elm
s
stru
ctur
al s
afet
yon
for a
ppro
pria
te
-10
581-
Eth
ical
con
side
rati
. Ish
ikaw
aM
asuk
awa,
T T.
odou
, K.
. T To
. Shu
mut
a, T
T
. YY.
equi
pmen
tpo
wer
dis
tribu
tion
tech
nolo
gies
for e
lect
ric
rest
orat
ion
supp
ort
1033
3-D
isas
ter
. Krö
ger
inte
rdep
ende
ncy
issu
esap
proa
ch fo
r res
olvi
ng C
I n
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odel
ing
Ale
xoud
i, K
.G. K
akde
ry
impo
rtant
issu
esM
etho
dolo
gy a
nd
inte
rdep
ende
nt li
felin
es.
hier
arch
y im
porta
nce
of
1003
3-S
eism
ic ri
sk a
nd
Alb
rech
t, D
. Hos
ser
C.
surfa
ce m
etho
dolo
gyad
aptiv
e re
spon
se
com
partm
ents
usi
ng a
n to
life
saf
ety
in fi
re
1018
3-A
sses
smen
t of r
isk
Li. in
, Y Y.
YYi
.-J.
YY.
woo
d bu
ildin
gsco
llaps
e ris
k of
ligh
t-fra
me
unce
rtain
ty o
n th
e se
ism
ic
fect
s of
10
194-
Efff
a.L
. Jin
, X.Z
. W
W
aWW
.
ang
X Y Y
aFa
n, Y Y
X
-Pan
g
build
ings
sub
ject
ed to
de
sign
and
ass
essm
ent o
f
1033
2-A
K.D
. Piti
laki
sA
lexo
udi,
K.G
. Kak
dery
M.N
.
J.M
. Gei
sA
.B. L
iel,
K.A
. Jac
kson
,
extre
me
snow
load
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ildin
gs s
ubje
cted
to
desi
gn a
nd a
sses
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rman
ce-b
ased
F
ram
ewor
k fo
r 03
32-AA
. Koi
ke. I
mai
, T
T.
TT.
men
ts-
dete
riora
ting
envi
ron
unde
r sei
smic
and
ne
w s
ubsi
diar
y sy
stem
ex
istin
g tru
nk li
nes
with
a
and
mai
nten
ance
of
1015
4-R
isk
asse
ssm
ent
K.D
. Piti
laki
s,
K.G
. Kak
dery
y,
11
03. A
ugu
st 2
011,
Wed
nes
day
Aft
ern
oon
, 12.
00 -
15.0
0
13.3
0
MS
_228
GS
_221
MS
_227
MS
_226
MS
_225
MS
_224
MS
_223
GS
_222
GS
_229
Roo
m 1
Prob
abili
stic
sei
smic
ha
zard
ana
lysi
s (2
)co
-Cha
irs: R
oss
Cor
otis
,D
anie
l Stra
ub
Stru
ctur
al re
liabi
lity
(1)
co-C
hairs
: Mila
n H
olic
ký,
Joha
n R
etie
f
Unc
erta
inty
and
im
prec
isio
n in
ge
otec
hnic
al a
nd
stru
ctur
al
engi
neer
ing
(2)
Cha
ir: M
icha
el B
eer
Prob
abili
stic
m
etho
ds fo
r the
as
sess
men
t of
exis
ting
conc
rete
st
ruct
ures
(2)
co-C
hairs
: Rob
by C
aspe
ele,
Mila
n H
olic
ký
Mai
nten
ance
and
sa
fety
of a
ging
in
fras
truc
ture
(2)
co-C
hairs
: Dan
M. F
rang
opol
,M
itsuy
oshi
Aki
yam
a
Perf
orm
ance
-bas
ed
desi
gn fo
r str
uctu
res
subj
ect t
o na
tura
l haz
ard
(2)
co-C
hairs
: Mar
cello
Cia
mpo
li,Fr
ance
sco
Pet
rini
Ris
k an
d re
liabi
lity
anal
ysis
for
inte
rdep
ende
nt
infr
astr
uctu
re s
yste
ms
(2)
Cha
ir: L
eona
rdo
Due
ñas-
Oso
rio
Ris
k as
sess
men
t and
de
cisi
on s
uppo
rt
syst
ems
for i
nter
de-
pend
ent l
ifelin
e in
fras
truc
ture
s (2
)co
-Cha
irs: T
akes
hi K
oike
,M
asak
atsu
Miy
ajim
a
Ris
k as
sess
men
t (2)
co-C
hairs
: Jat
in N
athw
ani,
Jim
Hal
l
14.4
2
14.2
4
14.0
6
13.4
8
15.0
0
12.0
0 - 1
3.30
Lu
nch
1016
7-C
ompa
rativ
e st
udy
of s
afet
y fo
rmat
s fo
r no
nlin
ear f
inite
ele
men
t an
alys
is o
f con
cret
e st
ruct
ures
H. S
chlu
ne, M
. Plo
s,
K. G
yllto
ft
1054
4-M
etho
dolo
gy a
ndre
sults
of a
nuc
lear
pow
erpl
ant s
eism
ic p
roba
bilis
ticsa
fety
ass
essm
ent
M. R
ichn
er, S
. Tin
ic,
D. P
rosk
e, M
. Rav
indr
a,R
. Cam
pbel
l, F.
Bei
gi,
A. A
sfur
a
1015
1-R
edun
danc
yef
fect
s on
sei
smic
relia
bilit
y of
ste
el fr
ame
stru
ctur
esQ
. Li,
Q. Z
hang
, J. F
an,
C. Z
hang
1046
0-R
egre
ssio
n m
odel
s fo
r pre
dict
ing
the
prob
abili
ty o
f nea
r-fa
ult
earth
quak
e gr
ound
mot
ion
puls
es, a
nd th
eir p
erio
dS
.K. S
hahi
, J.W
. Bak
er
1005
8-P
erfo
rman
ce-
base
d di
rect
dis
plac
e-m
ent d
esig
n of
en
gine
ered
tim
ber
build
ing
in s
eism
ic
regi
ons
Y. W
ang,
D.V
. Ros
owsk
y,
W.C
. Pan
g
1002
5-Va
rianc
e re
duci
ng
capa
city
of c
oncr
ete
conf
orm
ity c
ontro
l in
stru
ctur
al re
liabi
lity
anal
ysis
und
er p
aram
eter
un
certa
intie
sR
. Cas
peel
e, L
. Tae
rwe
1009
6-C
orro
sion
effe
cts
onto
the
safe
ty o
f ste
el
shee
t pile
wal
ls in
mar
ine
envi
ronm
ent
P. O
sório
, C. O
denb
reit,
M
. Gre
ger,
T. V
rouw
enve
lder
1012
5-R
obus
tnes
s an
alys
is o
f stru
ctur
al
syst
ems
cons
ider
ing
acci
dent
al a
ctio
nsN
. Kag
ho, A
. Orc
esi,
C. C
rem
ona
1012
6-A
coup
ling
baye
sian
/relia
bilit
y ap
proa
ch fo
r rob
ust
upda
ting
appl
icat
ions
B. R
icha
rd, L
. Ade
laie
, A
. Orc
ési,
C. C
rem
ona
1009
9-E
valu
atio
n an
d im
plic
atio
ns o
f soi
l va
riabi
lity
in tu
nnel
ing
M. H
uber
, P.A
. Ver
mee
r, C
. Moo
rman
n
1012
9-R
isks
of a
naly
ses
with
late
ral e
arth
pre
ssur
e lo
adP.
Kou
delk
a
1006
1-U
ncer
tain
ty
corr
elat
ion
in s
truct
ural
pe
rform
ance
ass
essm
ent
J.-A
. Gou
let,
I.F.C
. Sm
ith
1022
0-S
eism
ic re
spon
se
eval
uatio
ns o
f gro
und
pave
men
t sys
tem
with
un
certa
inty
K. N
agaf
uchi
, K. K
awan
o,Y.
Kim
ura
1022
6-R
esol
utio
n an
d un
certa
inty
ana
lysi
s in
B
ayes
ian
FE m
odel
up
datin
g ap
plie
d to
the
dam
age
asse
ssm
ent i
n a
rein
forc
ed c
oncr
ete
beam
E. S
imoe
n, E
. Rey
nder
s,
G. L
omba
ert,
G. D
e R
oeck
1036
5-M
onito
ring
and
influ
ence
line
s ba
sed
perfo
rman
ce in
dica
tors
A. S
traus
s, R
. Wen
dner
, K
. Ber
gmei
ster
, D
.M. F
rang
opol
1044
7-Jo
intle
ss b
ridge
s –
perfo
rman
ce a
sses
smen
t of
soi
l-stru
ctur
e in
tera
ctio
nR
. Wen
dner
, A. S
traus
s,
K. B
ergm
eist
er
1045
4-A
sem
i-pro
babi
listic
sa
fety
-che
ckin
g fo
rmat
for
seis
mic
ass
essm
ent
of e
xist
ing
RC
bui
ldin
gsF.
Jal
ayer
, L. E
lefa
nte,
I.
Ierv
olin
o, G
. Man
fredi
1050
5-S
toch
astic
pro
cess
de
terio
ratio
n m
odel
ling
for a
dapt
ive
insp
ectio
nsA
. Oha
di, T
. Mic
ic
1037
9-U
sing
info
rmat
ion
crite
ria to
cla
ssify
dam
age
stat
es fo
r stru
ctur
al h
ealth
m
onito
ring
H. N
oh, A
.C. C
heun
g,
A.S
. Kire
mid
jian
1053
0-A
Bay
esia
n ap
proa
ch to
the
asse
ssm
ent o
f fra
ctur
e to
ughn
ess
of re
acto
r co
mpo
nent
sM
.D. P
ande
y, M
. Wan
g
1053
9-A
num
eric
al s
tudy
of
mai
nten
ance
stra
tegy
fo
r con
cret
e st
ruct
ures
in
mar
ine
envi
ronm
ent
K.F
. Tee
, C.Q
. Li
1055
1-S
truct
ure
lifec
ycle
as
a n
on-s
tatio
nary
ra
ndom
pro
cess
G. F
u, D
. Dev
araj
1019
8-P
roba
bilis
tic
asse
ssm
ent o
f di
spro
porti
onat
e co
llaps
e po
tent
ial o
f ste
el m
omen
t re
sist
ing
fram
esG
. Xu,
B.R
. Elli
ngw
ood
1034
1-Li
fe-c
ycle
sei
smic
re
pair
cost
ass
essm
ent
and
sens
itivi
ty a
naly
sis
A.A
. Taf
lani
dis
1044
6-A
met
hod
for
prob
abili
stic
sei
smic
de
sign
of R
C s
truct
ures
P. F
ranc
hin,
P.E
. Pin
to
1072
1-A
stat
istic
al
anal
ysis
of s
teel
trus
s te
mpe
ratu
re d
ata
reco
rded
dur
ing
fire
resi
stan
ce te
sts
D.K
. Ban
erje
e, E
. Sim
iu,
J.L.
Gro
ss, R
. Kac
ker
1026
0-M
odel
s of
in
terd
epen
denc
e pr
opag
atio
n fo
r the
fra
gilit
y as
sess
men
t of
urba
n ne
twor
ksI.
Her
nand
ez-F
ajar
do,
L. D
ueña
s-O
sorio
1044
4-O
n ro
bust
de
cisi
on-m
akin
g in
in
terd
epen
dent
eco
nom
ic
and
infra
stru
ctur
e sy
stem
sR
. Pan
t, K
. Bar
ker
1045
1-B
road
enin
g th
e di
scou
rse
on in
frast
ruc-
ture
inte
rdep
ende
nce
by
mod
elin
g th
e “E
colo
gy”
of in
frast
ruct
ure
syst
ems
S. L
aRoc
ca,
S.D
. Gui
kem
a, J
. Col
e,
E. S
ande
rson
1070
5-G
eogr
aphi
cal
vuln
erab
ility
ana
lysi
s of
in
terd
epen
dent
crit
ical
in
frast
ruct
ures
J. J
ohan
sson
, H. H
asse
l
1002
9-S
eism
ic ri
sk a
nd
hier
arch
y im
porta
nce
of
inte
rdep
ende
nt li
felin
es
and
infra
stru
ctur
es w
ithin
port
faci
litie
s. A
pplic
atio
n in
The
ssal
onik
i’s P
ort
(Gre
ece)
K.G
. Kak
deri,
M.N
. Ale
xoud
i, K
.D. P
itila
kis
1020
9-A
fuzz
y co
mpa
rativ
e m
odel
for i
nteg
rate
d ris
k ra
nkin
g an
d m
itiga
tion
prio
ritiz
atio
n of
infra
stru
ctu-
res;
par
t 1: M
etho
dolo
gyM
.B. J
avan
barg
, C. S
caw
thor
n,
J. K
iyon
o, B
. Sha
hbod
aghk
han,
S
. Tak
ada
1021
0-A
fuzz
y co
mpa
rati-
ve m
odel
for i
nteg
rate
d ris
k ra
nkin
g an
d m
itiga
tion
prio
ritiz
atio
n of
in
frast
ruct
ures
; pa
rt 2:
App
licat
ion
J. K
iyon
o, M
.B. J
avan
barg
, S
. Tak
ada,
C. S
caw
thor
n,
M. K
obay
a-sh
i
1025
2-A
ques
tionn
aire
su
rvey
to c
usto
mer
s on
w
illin
gnes
s to
pay
for
earth
quak
e co
unte
rmea
-su
res
of w
ater
sup
ply
syst
em b
y us
ing
risk
com
mun
icat
ion
Y. T
anig
uchi
, M. M
iyaj
ima
1019
9-E
stim
atio
n of
risk
fo
r des
ign
of s
truct
ures
ex
pose
d to
com
bine
d ef
fect
s of
hur
rican
e w
ind
spee
d an
d st
orm
sur
ge
haza
rds
L.T.
Pha
n, E
. Sim
iu
1035
3-R
isk
asse
ssm
ent
for r
oad
tunn
els
in
Ger
man
y –
Dev
elop
men
t an
d ap
plic
atio
n of
qu
antit
ativ
e m
etho
dsI.F
. Hei
mbe
cher
, B. K
ohl
1045
6-R
isk
asse
ssm
ent
for t
he h
azar
d sc
enar
io
“bra
king
act
ion
on d
oubl
e tra
ck ra
ilway
brid
ges”
C. F
erm
aud,
F. S
teng
er,
V. M
alio
ka, M
. Sch
enke
l
1050
6-R
egio
nal r
isk
by
relia
bilit
y an
alys
isM
. Mah
suli,
T. H
auka
as
1055
7-A
prob
abili
stic
fra
mew
ork
for g
ener
ic fi
re
risk
asse
ssm
ent a
nd
risk-
base
d de
cisi
on
mak
ing
in b
uild
ings
G.D
. San
ctis
, K. F
isch
er,
J. K
ohle
r, M
. Fon
tana
, M
.H. F
aber
HG
D1.
1H
G E
1.1
HG
D5.
2H
G D
3.2
HG
E33
.1H
G D
7.2
HG
D7.
1H
G D
1.2
HG
E1.
2R
oom
Roo
m
Wed
nes
day
03
. Au
gust
201
1,
Prob
abili
stic
sei
smic
G
S_2
21
HG
D1.
1H
G D
1.2
Aft
ern
oon
, 12.
00 -
15.0
0W
edn
esd
ay
Unc
erta
inty
and
St
ruct
ural
relia
bilit
y Pr
obab
ilist
ic s
eism
ic
GS
_222
HG
D7.
1H
G D
7.1
Aft
ern
oon
, 12.
00 -
15.0
0
Prob
abili
stic
U
ncer
tain
ty a
nd
MS
_223
MS
_224
HG
D7.
2H
G D
7.2
Perf
orm
ance
-bas
ed
Mai
nten
ance
and
Pr
obab
ilist
ic
MS
_225
HG
E33
.1H
G D
3.2
Ris
k an
d re
liabi
lity
Perf
orm
ance
-bas
ed
MS
_226
MS
_227
HG
D5.
2H
G D
5.2
Ris
k as
sess
men
t and
R
isk
and
relia
bilit
y M
S_2
27M
S_2
28
HG
E1.
1H
G E
1.2
Ris
k as
sess
men
t (2)
GS
_229
Dan
iel S
traub
co-C
hairs
: Ros
s C
orot
is,
haza
rd a
naly
sis
(2)
Prob
abili
stic
sei
smic
. Bei
gi,
R. C
ampb
ell,
F
F.
D. P
rosk
e, M
. Rav
indr
a,in
ic,
, S. T
T
iM
. Ric
hner
r,
safe
ty a
sses
smen
tpl
ant s
eism
ic p
roba
bilis
ticre
sults
of a
nuc
lear
pow
er10
544-
Met
hodo
logy
and
Cha
ir:
engi
neer
ing
(2)
stru
ctur
al
geot
echn
ical
and
im
prec
isio
n in
U
ncer
tain
ty a
nd
Joha
n R
etie
fý,
co-C
hairs
: Mila
n H
olic
k
ký
(1)
Stru
ctur
al re
liabi
lity
haza
rd a
naly
sis
(2)
Prob
abili
stic
sei
smic
M. H
uber
varia
bilit
y in
tunn
elin
gim
plic
atio
ns o
f soi
l 10
099-
Eva
luat
ion
and
aerw
eR
Cas
peel
e L
T
T
a
unce
rtain
ties
anal
ysis
und
er p
aram
eter
st
ruct
ural
relia
bilit
y co
nfor
mity
con
trol i
n ca
paci
ty o
f con
cret
e ar
ianc
e re
duci
ng
1002
5-Va
plan
t sei
smic
pro
babi
listic
resu
lts o
f a n
ucle
ar p
ower
1054
4-M
etho
dolo
gy a
nd
ýM
ilan
Hol
ick
Rob
by C
aspe
ele,
co-C
hairs
:
stru
ctur
es (2
)ex
istin
g co
ncre
te
asse
ssm
ent o
f m
etho
ds fo
r the
Pr
obab
ilist
ic
Mic
hael
Bee
rC
hair:
engi
neer
ing
(2)
stru
ctur
al
geot
echn
ical
and
im
prec
isio
n in
U
ncer
tain
ty a
nd
D.M
. Fra
ngop
olK
. Ber
gmei
steren
A. S
traus
s, R
. W
W
e
perfo
rman
ce in
dica
tors
influ
ence
line
s ba
sed
1036
5-M
onito
ring
and
C. M
oorm
ann
, er
mee
rr, A
. V Ve
, P P.
uber
r,
varia
bilit
y in
tunn
elin
gim
plic
atio
ns o
f soi
l 10
099-
Eva
luat
ion
and
co-C
hairs
: Mar
cello
Cia
mpo
li,
natu
ral h
azar
d (2
)
desi
gn fo
r str
uctu
res
Perf
orm
ance
-bas
ed
Mits
uyos
hi A
kiya
ma
Dan
M. F
rang
opol
,co
-Cha
irs:
infr
astr
uctu
re (2
)sa
fety
of a
ging
M
aint
enan
ce a
nd
Rob
by C
aspe
ele,
stru
ctur
es (2
)ex
istin
g co
ncre
te
asse
ssm
ent o
f m
etho
ds fo
r the
Pr
obab
ilist
ic
pote
ntia
l of s
teel
mom
ent
disp
ropo
rtion
ate
colla
pse
A.S
. Kire
mid
jian
A.C
. Che
ung,
H
. Noh
,
mon
itorin
gst
ates
for s
truct
ural
hea
lth
crite
ria to
cla
ssify
dam
age
1037
9-U
sing
info
rmat
ion
D.M
. Fra
ngop
ol,
r
r, ,
ndne
rr,
perfo
rman
ce in
dica
tors
influ
ence
line
s ba
sed
1036
5-M
onito
ring
and
Leon
ardo
Due
ñas-
Oso
rioC
hair:
(2)
infr
astr
uctu
re s
yste
ms
inte
rdep
ende
nt
anal
ysis
for
Ris
k an
d re
liabi
lity
Fran
cesc
o P
etrin
ico
-Cha
irs: M
arce
llo C
iam
poli,
natu
ral h
azar
d (2
)su
bjec
t to
desi
gn fo
r str
uctu
res
Perf
orm
ance
-bas
ed
L. D
ueña
s-O
sorio
I. H
erna
ndez
-Faj
ardo
,
urba
n ne
twor
ksfra
gilit
y as
sess
men
t of
prop
agat
ion
for t
he
inte
rdep
ende
nce
1026
0-M
odel
s of
G. X
u, B
.R. E
lling
woo
d
resi
stin
g fra
mes
pote
ntia
l of s
teel
mom
ent
disp
ropo
rtion
ate
colla
pse
asse
ssm
ent o
f 10
198-
Pro
babi
listic
Mas
akat
su M
iyaj
ima
akes
hi K
oike
,co
-Cha
irs: T T
a
infr
astr
uctu
res
(2)
pend
ent l
ifelin
e -
syst
ems
for i
nter
dede
cisi
on s
uppo
rt
Ris
k as
sess
men
t and
Leon
ardo
Due
ñas-
Oso
rio
infr
astr
uctu
re s
yste
ms
inte
rdep
ende
nt
anal
ysis
for
Ris
k an
d re
liabi
lity
J. K
iyon
o, B
. Sha
hbod
aghk
han,
M
.B. J
avan
barg
, C. S
caw
thor
n,
res;
par
t 1: M
etho
dolo
gy-
prio
ritiz
atio
n of
infra
stru
ctu
rank
ing
and
miti
gatio
n m
odel
for i
nteg
rate
d ris
k fu
zzy
com
para
tive
1020
9-AA
L. D
ueña
s-O
sorio
I. H
erna
ndez
-Faj
ardo
,
urba
n ne
twor
ksfra
gilit
y as
sess
men
t of
prop
agat
ion
for t
he
inte
rdep
ende
nce
1026
0-M
odel
s of
Jim
Hal
lco
-Cha
irs: J
atin
Nat
hwan
i,
Ris
k as
sess
men
t (2)
Pha
n E
Sim
iuL
TT
haza
rds
spee
d an
d st
orm
sur
ge
fect
s of
hur
rican
e w
ind
efff
expo
sed
to c
ombi
ned
for d
esig
n of
stru
ctur
es
1019
9-E
stim
atio
n of
risk
-
fuzz
y co
mpa
rativ
e
mod
els
for p
redi
ctin
g th
e 10
460-
Reg
ress
ion
C. Z
hang
Q. L
i, Q
. Zha
ng, J
. Fan
,
stru
ctur
esre
liabi
lity
of s
teel
fram
efe
cts
on s
eism
iceff
f
10
151-
Red
unda
ncy
A. A
sfur
a. Bei
gi,
R. C
ampb
ell,
F
F.
corr
elat
ion
in s
truct
ural
10
061-
Unc
erta
inty
with
late
ral e
arth
pre
ssur
e 10
129-
Ris
ks o
f ana
lyse
s
anal
ysis
of s
truct
ural
10
125-
Rob
ustn
ess
rouw
enve
lder
. V Vr
TT.
, M
. Gre
ger
r,
. Osó
rio, C
. Ode
nbre
it,
PP.
envi
ronm
ent
shee
t pile
wal
ls in
mar
ine
onto
the
safe
ty o
f ste
el
fect
s 10
096-
Cor
rosi
on e
f
ff
aerw
eR
. Cas
peel
e, L
. T
T
a
mod
els
for p
redi
ctin
g th
e
relia
bilit
y of
ste
el fr
ame
dete
riora
tion
mod
ellin
g 10
505-
Sto
chas
tic p
roce
ss
K. B
ergm
eist
erA
. Stra
uss,
,
endn
err,
R. W W
einte
ract
ion
of s
oil-s
truct
ure
perfo
rman
ce a
sses
smen
t 10
447-
Join
tless
brid
ges
–
corr
elat
ion
in s
truct
ural
10
061-
Unc
erta
inty
Kou
delk
aPP.
load
with
late
ral e
arth
pre
ssur
e 10
129-
Ris
ks o
f ana
lyse
s
and
sens
itivi
ty a
naly
sis
repa
ir co
st a
sses
smen
t 10
341-
Life
-cyc
le s
eism
ic
of m
aint
enan
ce s
trate
gy
num
eric
al s
tudy
10
539-
AA
ang
, M. W
W
aM
.D. P
ande
y
y,
com
pone
nts
toug
hnes
s of
reac
tor
asse
ssm
ent o
f fra
ctur
e ap
proa
ch to
the
Bay
esia
n 10
530-
AA
dete
riora
tion
mod
ellin
g 10
505-
Sto
chas
tic p
roce
ss
K. B
ergm
eist
erA
. Stra
uss,
of s
oil-s
truct
ure
perfo
rman
ce a
sses
smen
t 10
447-
Join
tless
brid
ges
–
disc
ours
e on
infra
stru
c10
451-
Bro
aden
ing
the
R. P
ant,
K. B
arke
r
syst
ems
and
infra
stru
ctur
e in
terd
epen
dent
eco
nom
ic
deci
sion
-mak
ing
in
1044
4-O
n ro
bust
L. D
ueña
s-O
sorio
prob
abili
stic
sei
smic
m
etho
d fo
r 10
446-
AA
afla
nidi
sA
.A. T T
a
and
sens
itivi
ty a
naly
sis
repa
ir co
st a
sses
smen
t 10
341-
Life
-cyc
le s
eism
ic
surv
ey to
cus
tom
ers
on
que
stio
nnai
re
1025
2-AA
M. K
obay
a-sh
iak
ada,
C. S
caw
thor
n,
S. T T
a
J. K
iyon
o, M
.B. J
avan
barg
,
2: A
pplic
atio
npa
rt infra
stru
ctur
es;
miti
gatio
n pr
iorit
izat
ion
of
risk
rank
ing
and
ve m
odel
for i
nteg
rate
d -
fuzz
y co
mpa
rati
1021
0-AA
akad
aS
. T Ta
J. K
iyon
o, B
. Sha
hbod
aghk
han,
-di
scou
rse
on in
frast
ruc
1045
1-B
road
enin
g th
e
R. P
ant,
K. B
arke
r
syst
ems
and
infra
stru
ctur
e in
terd
epen
dent
eco
nom
ic
deci
sion
-mak
ing
in
1044
4-O
n ro
bust
L. D
ueña
s-O
sorio
for t
he h
azar
d sc
enar
io
1045
6-R
isk
asse
ssm
ent
, B. K
ohl
. Hei
mbe
cher
r,
I.FF
.
quan
titat
ive
met
hods
and
appl
icat
ion
of
Ger
man
y –
Dev
elop
men
t fo
r roa
d tu
nnel
s in
10
353-
Ris
k as
sess
men
t
. Pha
n, E
. Sim
iuL.
TT.
J. K
iyon
o, B
. Sha
hbod
aghk
han,
Rk
DV
V
W WYY
regi
ons
build
ing
in s
eism
ic
engi
neer
ed ti
mbe
r m
ent d
esig
n of
-
base
d di
rect
dis
plac
e-10
058-
Per
form
ance
. Bak
erS
.K. S
hahi
, J.W
W.
puls
es, a
nd th
eir p
erio
dea
rthqu
ake
grou
ndm
otio
n pr
obab
ility
of n
ear-
faul
t
K. N
agaf
uchi
, K. K
awan
o,
pave
men
t sys
tem
with
ev
alua
tions
of g
roun
d 10
220-
Sei
smic
resp
onse
J.-A
. Gou
let,
I.F
perfo
rman
ce a
sses
smen
t
A. O
rcés
i, C
. Cre
mon
aA
dela
ie,
B. R
icha
rd, L
.
upda
ting
appl
icat
ions
appr
oach
for r
obus
t ba
yesi
an/re
liabi
lity
cou
plin
g 10
126-
AA
C. C
rem
ona
A. O
rces
i, N
. Kag
ho,
acci
dent
al a
ctio
nssy
stem
s co
nsid
erin
g
-
puls
es, a
nd th
eir p
erio
dea
rthqu
ake
grou
ndm
otio
n pr
obab
ility
of n
ear-
faul
t . M
icA
. Oha
di, T
T
.
for a
dapt
ive
insp
ectio
ns
I. Ie
rvol
ino,
G. M
anfre
di, L
. Ele
fa
. Jal
ayer
r,
FF.
of e
xist
ing
RC
bui
ldin
gsse
ism
ic a
sses
smen
tsa
fety
-che
ckin
g fo
rmat
for
sem
i-pro
ba
1045
4-AA
. Kim
ura
YY.
K. N
agaf
uchi
, K. K
awan
o,
unce
rtain
typa
vem
ent s
yste
m w
ith
eval
uatio
ns o
f gro
und
1022
0-S
eism
ic re
spon
se
.C. S
mith
Gou
let,
I.F
F.
perfo
rman
ce a
sses
smen
t
D.K
. Ban
erje
e, E
. Sim
iu,
anal
ysis
of s
teel
trus
s
desi
gn o
f RC
stru
ctur
es
G. F
u, D
. Dev
araj
rand
om p
roce
ssas
a n
on-s
tatio
nary
10
551-
Stru
ctur
e lif
ecyc
le
ee, C
.Q. L
i. T T
e
K
.FF.
mar
ine
envi
ronm
ent
for c
oncr
ete
stru
ctur
es in
. M
icic
for a
dapt
ive
insp
ectio
ns
I. Ie
rvol
ino,
G. M
anfre
di, L
. Ele
fant
e,
of e
xist
ing
RC
bui
ldin
gsse
ism
ic a
sses
smen
tsa
fety
-che
ckin
g fo
rmat
for
sem
i-pro
babi
listic
J. J
ohan
sson
, H. H
asse
l
infra
stru
ctur
esin
terd
epen
dent
crit
ical
vu
lner
abili
ty a
naly
sis
of
1070
5-G
eogr
aphi
cal
E. S
ande
rson
S.D
. Gui
kem
a, J
. Col
e,
S. L
aRoc
ca,
of in
frast
ruct
ure
syst
ems
mod
elin
g th
e “E
colo
gy”
ture
inte
rdep
ende
nce
by
J.L.
Gro
ss, R
. Kac
ker
D.K
. Ban
erje
e, E
. Sim
iu,
resi
stan
ce te
sts
reco
rded
dur
ing
fire
tem
pera
ture
dat
a an
alys
is o
f ste
el tr
uss
sta
tistic
al
1072
1-AA
.E. P
into
. Fra
nchi
n, P
P
.
PP.
desi
gn o
f RC
stru
ctur
es
anig
uchi
, M. M
iyaj
ima
. T Ta
YY.
com
mun
icat
ion
syst
em b
y us
ing
risk
sure
s of
wat
er s
uppl
y -
earth
quak
e co
unte
rmea
will
ingn
ess
to p
ay fo
r
(Gre
ece)
Por
t s
in T
hess
alon
iki’
faci
litie
s. A
pplic
atio
n po
rt an
d in
frast
ruct
ures
with
inin
terd
epen
dent
life
lines
hi
erar
chy
impo
rtanc
e of
10
029-
Sei
smic
risk
and
J. J
ohan
sson
, H. H
asse
l
infra
stru
ctur
esin
terd
epen
dent
crit
ical
vu
lner
abili
ty a
naly
sis
of
1070
5-G
eogr
aphi
cal
E. S
ande
rson
S.D
. Gui
kem
a, J
. Col
e,
S. L
aRoc
ca,
of in
frast
ruct
ure
syst
ems
mod
elin
g th
e “E
colo
gy”
ture
inte
rdep
ende
nce
by
. Hau
kaas
M. M
ahsu
li, T
T
.
relia
bilit
y an
alys
is10
506-
Reg
iona
l ris
k by
. Mal
ioka
, M. S
chen
kel
VV.
, . S
teng
er
r, C
. Fer
mau
d, F
F
.
track
railw
ay b
ridge
s”“b
raki
ng a
ctio
n on
dou
ble
.C. P
ang
WW.
. Ros
owsk
y
y,
ang,
D.V
V.
. W W
a
YY.
E. S
imoe
n, E
. Rey
nder
s,
rein
forc
ed c
oncr
ete
beam
dam
age
asse
ssm
ent i
n a
upda
ting
appl
ied
to th
e B
ayes
ian
FE m
odel
un
certa
inty
ana
lysi
s in
10
226-
Res
olut
ion
and
,
y
y,
K. G
yllto
ftH
. Sch
lune
, M. P
los,
stru
ctur
esan
alys
is o
f con
cret
e no
nlin
ear f
inite
ele
men
t of
saf
ety
form
ats
for
1016
7-C
ompa
rativ
e st
udy
G. D
e R
oeck
G. L
omba
ert,
E. S
imoe
n, E
. Rey
nder
s,
rein
forc
ed c
oncr
ete
beam
dam
age
asse
ssm
ent i
n a
upda
ting
appl
ied
to th
e B
ayes
ian
FE m
odel
un
certa
inty
ana
lysi
s in
10
226-
Res
olut
ion
and
J.L.
Gro
ss, R
. Kac
ker
K.D
. Piti
laki
sAle
xoud
i, K
.G. K
akde
ri, M
.N.
(Gre
ece)
M.H
. Fab
er, M
. Fon
tana
, J.
Koh
ler
r,
,
G.D
. San
ctis
, K. F
isch
er
r,
mak
ing
in b
uild
ings
risk-
base
d de
cisi
on
risk
asse
ssm
ent a
nd
fram
ewor
k fo
r gen
eric
fire
p
roba
bilis
tic
1055
7-AA
12
03. A
ugu
st 2
011,
Wed
nes
day
Aft
ern
oon
, 15.
00 -
17.0
0
Roo
m 1
15.0
0 - 1
5.30
Cof
fee
Bre
ak
15.3
0
GS
_238
GS
_231
MS
_237
MS
_236
MS
_235
MS
_234
MS
_233
GS
_232
Prob
abili
stic
sei
smic
ha
zard
ana
lysi
s (3
)co
-Cha
irs: M
arku
s P
etsc
hach
er,
Leon
ardo
Due
ñas-
Oso
rio
Stru
ctur
al re
liabi
lity
(2)
co-C
hairs
: Luc
Tae
rwe,
Jana
Mar
kova
Unc
erta
inty
and
im
prec
isio
n in
ge
otec
hnic
al a
nd
stru
ctur
al
engi
neer
ing
(3)
Cha
ir: M
icha
el B
eer
Prob
abili
stic
m
etho
ds fo
r the
as
sess
men
t of
exis
ting
conc
rete
st
ruct
ures
(3)
co-C
hairs
: Rob
by C
aspe
ele,
Mila
n H
olic
ký
Rel
iabi
lity
of m
arin
e en
ergy
con
vert
ers
co-C
hairs
: Dim
itri V
al,
John
D. S
øren
sen
Prog
ress
es a
nd
chal
leng
es in
pr
obab
ilist
ic
mod
elin
g of
trop
ical
st
orm
risk
sC
hair:
Kaz
uyos
hi N
ishi
jima
Soci
al p
ersp
ectiv
es
for h
azar
ds d
ecis
ion
Cha
ir: R
oss
Cor
otis
Life
-cyc
le a
naly
sis
co-C
hairs
: Ala
n J.
O‘C
onno
r,Ya
suhi
ro M
ori
16.4
2
16.2
4
16.0
6
15.4
8
17.0
0
1042
6-In
fluen
ce o
f m
ater
ial s
treng
th
scat
terin
g on
the
duct
ile
resp
onse
of s
teel
st
ruct
ures
M. G
ünde
l, B
. Hof
fmei
ster
, M
. Fel
dman
n
1043
5-A
resp
onse
sp
ectru
m b
ased
sto
chas
tic
appr
oach
to e
stim
ate
the
peak
resp
onse
of
stru
ctur
es s
ubje
ct to
se
ism
ic p
ound
ing
A. G
iara
lis, P
.D. S
pano
s
1045
7-O
n th
e sc
hem
ati-
zatio
n of
des
ign
resp
onse
sp
ectra
as
a st
ocha
stic
m
odel
S. S
ilves
tri, G
. Gas
parin
i, T.
Tro
mbe
tti
1045
8-A
new
pro
cedu
re
for p
roba
bilis
tic s
eism
ic
haza
rd a
naly
sis
G. G
aspa
rini,
S. S
ilves
tri,
T. T
rom
betti
1072
2-Ve
ctor
-val
ued
prob
abili
stic
sei
smic
ha
zard
ana
lysi
s of
co
rrel
ated
gro
und
mot
ion
para
met
ers
P. B
azzu
rro,
J. P
ark
1017
8-P
roba
bilis
tic
anal
ysis
of i
ced
stru
ctur
esJ.
Mar
ková
1018
2-P
roba
bilis
tic
dura
bilit
y as
sess
men
t of
pow
er-p
rodu
cing
faci
litie
sM
. Hol
ický
, J. M
arko
vá
1021
9-U
ncer
tain
ty e
ffect
s on
dyn
amic
resp
onse
ev
alua
tions
of w
ind
ener
gy o
ffsho
re p
latfo
rmK
. Kaw
ano,
Y. K
imur
a,
K. N
agaf
uchi
, T. T
akah
ashi
1022
7-S
eism
ic ri
sk
asse
ssm
ent o
f bu
ildin
g-el
evat
or s
yste
ms
base
d on
sim
ulat
ed
grou
nd m
otio
nco
nsid
erin
g lo
ng p
erio
d co
mpo
nent
s an
d ph
ase
char
acte
ristic
sM
. Koh
iyam
a, T
. Kita
1048
8-S
truct
ural
relia
bilit
y an
alys
is o
f ste
el
shee
t-pile
sea
wal
ls
subj
ecte
d to
cor
rosi
onin
har
bour
env
ironm
ent
J. B
oéro
, H. Y
áñez
-God
oy,
B. C
apra
, F. S
choe
fs
1023
3-A
n ex
tens
ion
of
limit
stat
e fu
nctio
ns b
y pa
ram
eter
ized
pro
babi
lity
mea
sure
sT.
Fet
z
1026
7-O
n th
e op
timal
sc
alin
g of
the
mod
ified
m
etro
polis
-has
tings
al
gorit
hmK
.M. Z
uev,
J.L
. Bec
k,
L.S
. Kat
afyg
iotis
1030
9-N
on-s
peci
ficity
m
odel
ing
of c
oncr
ete
crac
king
stre
ngth
usi
ng
poss
ibili
ty th
eory
J.J.
Kim
, M.M
. Red
a Ta
ha,
T.J.
Ros
s
1033
5-Li
kelih
ood-
base
d re
pres
enta
tion
of
impr
ecis
ion
due
to s
pars
e po
int d
ata
and/
or in
terv
al
data
S. S
anka
rara
man
, S
. Mah
adev
an
1036
9-R
espo
nse
boun
ds
for s
truct
ures
with
inte
rval
st
iffne
ssN
. Im
pollo
nia,
S. Z
ito,
G. M
usco
lino,
F. S
aitta
1052
2-D
evel
opm
ent a
nd
impl
emen
tatio
n of
a
sem
i-pro
babi
listic
pr
oced
ure
for t
he
asse
ssm
ent o
f the
futu
re
cond
ition
of e
xist
ing
conc
rete
stru
ctur
esJ.
Gul
iker
s
1070
7-S
tatis
tical
mod
els
for t
he m
ater
ial
para
met
ers
of d
amag
ed
conc
rete
brid
ges
R. L
enne
r, M
. Keu
ser,
T. B
ram
l
1102
8-S
afet
y as
sess
men
t of
exi
stin
g co
ncre
te s
lab
brid
ges
for s
hear
cap
acity
R.D
.J.M
. Ste
enbe
rgen
, A
. de
Boe
r, C
. van
der
Vee
n
1018
6-R
elia
bilit
y of
tida
l st
ream
turb
ine
blad
esD
.V. V
al, L
. Che
rnin
1018
7-R
elia
bilit
y of
pow
er
train
com
pone
nts
in ti
dal
stre
am tu
rbin
esD
.V. V
al, C
. Ilie
v
1040
3-R
elia
bilit
y m
etho
dolo
gy fo
r ev
alua
ting
tidal
stre
am
devi
ces
T.M
. Del
orm
, P.J
. Tav
ner
1044
8-P
roba
bilis
tic
desi
gn o
f wav
e en
ergy
de
vice
sJ.
D. S
øren
sen,
J.
P. K
ofoe
d, C
.B. F
erre
ira
1005
7-H
urric
ane
haza
rd
char
acte
rizat
ion
for
perfo
rman
ce-b
ased
de
sign
D.V
. Ros
owsk
y, Y
. Wan
g,
K.H
. Lee
1013
6-Tr
opic
al c
yclo
ne
retu
rn p
erio
ds:
Com
paris
on o
f a
stoc
hast
ic tr
ack
mod
el
with
an
extre
me
valu
e an
alys
is o
f his
toric
dat
aJ.
Kle
inn,
T.M
. Hal
l
1027
2-Fu
ture
typh
oon
proj
ectio
n us
ing
stoc
hast
ic ty
phoo
n m
odel
un
der g
loba
l clim
ate
chan
geT.
Yas
uda,
S. N
akaj
o,
N. M
ori,
H. M
ase,
Y.
Hay
ashi
, S. K
unito
mi
1047
4-C
halle
nges
in
deve
lopi
ng th
e flo
rida
publ
ic h
urric
ane
loss
m
odel
for p
erso
nal
resi
dent
ial a
nd
com
mer
cial
resi
dent
ial
stru
ctur
esG
.L. P
ita, J
.-P. P
inel
li,
T. J
ohns
on, K
. Gur
ley,
J.
Wee
kes,
S. H
amid
1054
9-Is
sues
of
epis
tem
ic u
ncer
tain
ty
treat
men
t in
deci
sion
an
alys
is fo
r tro
pica
l cy
clon
e ris
k m
anag
emen
tM
. Gra
f, K
. Nis
hijim
a
1014
5-M
akin
g th
e ca
se
for r
esili
ence
inve
stm
ents
E. S
evill
e, J
. Var
go,
J. S
teve
nson
, A
. Ste
phen
son
1024
5-R
ebui
ldin
g L’
Aqu
ila fo
llow
ing
the
2009
Ear
thqu
ake:
P
riorit
ies
and
pers
pect
ives
A.B
. Lie
l, R
.B. C
orot
is,
J. S
utto
n, G
. Cam
ata,
E
. Spa
cone
, R. H
oltz
man
1032
4-Th
e fu
nctio
n of
re
gula
tions
and
in
cent
ives
for s
ocie
tal
safe
tyA
. Len
tz, I
.B. K
roon
1041
6-P
oliti
cal p
itfal
ls in
ha
zard
s pl
anni
ngR
. Cor
otis
1012
0-O
ptim
al n
ext
insp
ectio
n tim
e fo
r br
idge
s ba
sed
on
corr
osio
n de
terio
ratio
nD
. De
León
, C. G
onzá
lez-
Pér
ez, V
. Bis
adi,
P. G
ardo
ni,
M. H
ead,
S. H
urle
baus
1024
1-P
roba
bilis
tic
estim
atio
n of
sei
smic
fra
gilit
y pa
ram
eter
s fo
r de
terio
rate
d re
info
rced
co
ncre
te b
ridge
sA
. Alip
our,
B. S
hafe
i, M
. Shi
nozu
ka
1035
9-P
roba
bilis
tic
brid
ge n
etw
ork
life-
cycl
e co
nnec
tivity
ass
essm
ent
and
optim
izat
ion
P. B
occh
ini,
D.M
. Fra
ngop
ol
1019
3-Li
fe-c
ycle
ana
lysi
s of
em
bodi
ed e
nerg
y fo
r ag
ing
brid
ges
subj
ect t
o se
ism
ic h
azar
dJ.
Gho
sh, C
. Tap
ia,
J.E
. Pad
gett
HG
D1.
1H
G E
1.1
HG
D5.
2H
G D
3.2
HG
E33
.1H
G D
7.2
HG
D7.
1H
G D
1.2
HG
E1.
2R
oom
1039
1-S
yste
m re
liabi
lity
anal
ysis
of f
atig
ue-in
duce
d,
casc
adin
g fa
ilure
s us
ing
criti
cal f
ailu
re s
eque
nces
id
entif
ied
by s
elec
tive
sear
chin
g te
chni
que
N. K
urtz
, J. S
ong,
S.-Y
. Ok,
D.-S
. Kim
1048
4-A
sses
smen
t of
hurr
ican
e ris
k an
d es
timat
es o
f ins
ured
lo
sses
usi
ng c
atas
troph
e m
odel
ing
S.S
. Ham
id, J
.-P. P
inel
li,S
.-C. C
hen,
K. G
urle
y
Roo
m
03. A
ugu
st 2
011,
Wed
nes
day
Aft
ern
oon
,
haza
rd a
naly
sis
(3)
Prob
abili
stic
sei
smic
G
S_2
31
HG
D1.
1
HG
D1.
2
03. A
ugu
st 2
011,
Wed
nes
day
Aft
ern
oon
,
impr
ecis
ion
in
Unc
erta
inty
and
(2
)St
ruct
ural
relia
bilit
y ha
zard
ana
lysi
s (3
)Pr
obab
ilist
ic s
eism
ic
GS
_232
HG
D7.
1
HG
D7.
1
15.
00 -
17.0
003
. Au
gust
201
1, W
edn
esd
ay A
fter
noo
n,
met
hods
for t
he
Prob
abili
stic
im
prec
isio
n in
U
ncer
tain
ty a
nd
MS
_233
MS
_234
HG
D7.
2
HG
D7.
2
ener
gy c
onve
rter
sR
elia
bilit
y of
mar
ine
met
hods
for t
he
Prob
abili
stic
M
S_2
35
HG
E33
.1
HG
D3.
2
for h
azar
ds d
ecis
ion
Soci
al p
ersp
ectiv
es
chal
leng
es in
Pr
ogre
sses
and
M
S_2
36M
S_2
37
HG
D5.
2
HG
D5.
2
Ala
n J.
O‘C
onno
rco
-Cha
irs:
Life
-cyc
le a
naly
sis
for h
azar
ds d
ecis
ion
Soci
al p
ersp
ectiv
es
MS
_237
GS
_238
HG
E1.
1
HG
E1.
2
Due
ñas-
Oso
rioLe
onar
do
co-C
hairs
: Mar
kus
Pet
scha
ch
haza
rd a
naly
sis
(3)
.D. S
pano
sA
. Gia
ralis
, P
P.
seis
mic
pou
ndin
gst
ruct
ures
sub
ject
to
peak
resp
onse
of
appr
oach
to e
stim
ate
the
spec
trum
bas
ed s
toch
astic
re
spon
se
1043
5-AA
Cha
ir:
engi
neer
ing
(3)
stru
ctur
al
geot
echn
ical
and
im
prec
isio
n in
Jana
Mar
kovaae
rwe,
co-C
hairs
: Luc
T
Ta
(2)
,
he
r
r,
haza
rd a
naly
sis
(3)
para
met
eriz
ed p
roba
bilit
y lim
it st
ate
func
tions
by
1023
3-A
n ex
tens
ion
of
J. M
arko
vá
anal
ysis
of i
ced
stru
ctur
es10
178-
Pro
babi
listic
appr
oach
to e
stim
ate
the
spec
trum
bas
ed s
toch
astic
ýM
ilan
Hol
ick
Rob
by C
aspe
ele,
co-C
hairs
:
stru
ctur
es (3
)ex
istin
g co
ncre
te
asse
ssm
ent o
f m
etho
ds fo
r the
Mic
hael
Bee
rC
hair:
engi
neer
ing
(3)
stru
ctur
al
geot
echn
ical
and
im
prec
isio
n in
J. G
ulik
ers
conc
rete
stru
ctur
esco
nditi
on o
f exi
stin
g as
sess
men
t of t
he fu
ture
pr
oced
ure
for t
he
sem
i-pro
babi
listic
im
plem
enta
tion
of a
10
522-
Dev
elop
men
t and
. Fet
zTT.
mea
sure
spa
ram
eter
ized
pro
babi
lity
limit
stat
e fu
nctio
ns b
y 10
233-
An
exte
nsio
n of
Cha
ir:
mod
elin
g of
trop
ical
Jo
hn D
. Sør
ense
nal,
co-C
hairs
: Dim
itri V
V
a
ener
gy c
onve
rter
s
Rob
by C
aspe
ele,
stru
ctur
es (3
)ex
istin
g co
ncre
te
asse
ssm
ent o
f m
etho
ds fo
r the
D.V
1005
7-H
urric
ane
haza
rd
al, L
. Che
rnin
. V Va
D.VV
.
stre
am tu
rbin
e bl
ades
1018
6-R
elia
bilit
y of
tida
l
conc
rete
stru
ctur
esco
nditi
on o
f exi
stin
g as
sess
men
t of t
he fu
ture
pr
oced
ure
for t
he
sem
i-pro
babi
listic
im
plem
enta
tion
of a
10
522-
Dev
elop
men
t and
Ros
s C
orot
isC
hair:
for h
azar
ds d
ecis
ion
Kaz
uyos
hi N
ishi
jima
Cha
ir: st
orm
risk
sm
odel
ing
of tr
opic
al
prob
abili
stic
ch
alle
nges
in
A. S
teph
enso
nJ.
Ste
vens
on,
E. S
evill
e, J
. V
for r
esili
ence
inve
stm
ents
1014
5-M
akin
g th
e ca
se
K.H
. Lee
ang,
. W W
a
YY.
, . R
osow
sky
y,
D
.VV.
desi
gnpe
rform
ance
-bas
ed
char
acte
rizat
ion
for
1005
7-H
urric
ane
haza
rd
asuh
iro M
ori
YYa
,A
lan
J. O
‘Con
nor
r,co
-Cha
irs:
Ros
s C
orot
is
for h
azar
ds d
ecis
ion
M. H
ead,
S. H
urle
baus
Gar
doni
, . B
isad
i, P
P
.
Pér
ez, V V
.
-D
. De
León
, C. G
onzá
lez
corr
osio
n de
terio
ratio
nbr
idge
s ba
sed
on
insp
ectio
n tim
e fo
r 10
120-
Opt
imal
nex
t
A. S
teph
enso
nar
go,
J
. V
V
a
for r
esili
ence
inve
stm
ents
1014
5-M
akin
g th
e ca
se
ro
mbe
tti. T T
rTT.
G
. Gas
parin
i, S
. Silv
estri
,
haza
rd a
naly
sis
for p
roba
bilis
tic s
eism
ic
new
pro
cedu
r
1045
8-AA
rom
betti
. T Tr
TT.
S. S
ilves
tri, G
. Gas
parin
i,
mod
elsp
ectra
as
a st
ocha
stic
za
tion
of d
esig
n re
spon
se
1045
7-O
n th
e sc
hem
ati
ff
ff
S. S
anka
rara
man
,
poin
t dat
a an
d/or
inte
rval
im
prec
isio
n du
e to
spa
rse
repr
esen
tatio
n of
10
335-
Like
lihoo
d-ba
sed
L.S
. Kat
afyg
iotis
K.M
. Zue
v
met
ropo
lis-h
astin
gs
scal
ing
of th
e m
odifi
ed
1026
7-O
n th
e op
timal
akah
ashi
T Ta
K N
agaf
uchi
T
T. K
imur
a,
YY.
K
. Kaw
ano,
fsho
re p
latfo
rmen
ergy
of
eval
uatio
ns o
f win
d on
dyn
amic
resp
onse
fe
cts
1021
9-U
ncer
tain
ty e
f
M. H
olic
ký, J
. Mar
ková
pow
er-p
rodu
cing
faci
litie
sdu
rabi
lity
asse
ssm
ent o
f 10
182-
Pro
babi
listic
G. G
aspa
rini,
S. S
ilves
tri,
for p
roba
bilis
tic s
eism
ic
new
pro
cedu
re
S. S
ilves
tri, G
. Gas
parin
i,
spec
tra a
s a
stoc
hast
ic
zatio
n of
des
ign
resp
onse
-
1045
7-O
n th
e sc
hem
ati
ee
nC
. van
der
V
V
e, A
. de
Boe
r
r,
R.D
.J.M
. Ste
enbe
rgen
,
brid
ges
for s
hear
cap
acity
of e
xist
ing
conc
rete
sla
b 10
28-S
afet
y as
sess
men
t 1
. Bra
ml
TT. , M
. Keu
R. L
enne
r
r,
conc
rete
brid
ges
para
met
ers
of d
amag
ed
for t
he m
ater
ial
1070
7-S
tatis
tical
mod
els
J. G
ulik
ers
S. S
anka
rara
man
,
data
poin
t dat
a an
d/or
inte
rval
im
prec
isio
n du
e to
spa
rse
repr
esen
tatio
n of
10
335-
Like
lihoo
d-ba
sed
L.S
. Kat
afyg
iotis
, J.L
. Bec
k,
M. Z
uev
v,
algo
rithm
met
ropo
lis-h
astin
gs
scal
ing
of th
e m
odifi
ed
1026
7-O
n th
e op
timal
stoc
hast
ic ty
phoo
n m
odel
1027
2-Fu
ture
typh
oon
anal
ysis
of h
isto
ric d
ata
with
an
extre
me
valu
e st
ocha
stic
trac
k m
odel
1013
6-T
avne
r.J
. T Ta
.M. D
elor
m, P
P
.
TT.
devi
ces
eval
uatin
g tid
al s
tream
m
etho
dolo
gy fo
r 10
403-
Rel
iabi
lity
al, C
. Ilie
v. V V
a
D
.VV.
stre
am tu
rbin
estra
in c
ompo
nent
s in
tida
l 10
187-
Rel
iabi
lity
of p
ower
een
R.D
.J.M
. Ste
enbe
rgen
,
brid
ges
for s
hear
cap
acity
of e
xist
ing
conc
rete
sla
b 10
28-S
afet
y as
sess
men
t
,
us
er
r,
conc
rete
brid
ges
para
met
ers
of d
amag
ed
for t
he m
ater
ial
1070
7-S
tatis
tical
mod
els
A
. Len
tz, I
.B. K
roon
safe
tyin
cent
ives
for s
ocie
tal
regu
latio
ns a
nd
1032
4-Th
e fu
nctio
n of
E
. Spa
cone
, R. H
oltz
man
J. S
utto
n, G
. Cam
ata,
A
.B. L
iel,
R.B
. Cor
otis
,
pers
pect
ives
Prio
ritie
s an
d 20
09 E
arth
quak
e:
’Aqu
ila fo
llow
ing
the
L10
245-
Reb
uild
ing
asud
a S
Nak
ajo
YYa
T
chan
geun
der g
loba
l clim
ate
stoc
hast
ic ty
phoo
n m
odel
pr
ojec
tion
usin
g 10
272-
Futu
re ty
phoo
n
.M. H
all
J. K
lein
n, T
T
.
anal
ysis
of h
isto
ric d
ata
with
an
extre
me
valu
e st
ocha
stic
trac
k m
odel
C
ompa
rison
of a
re
turn
per
iods
: ro
pica
l cyc
lone
10
136-
T
J.
E. P
adge
ttapia
, J.
Gho
sh, C
. T
T
a
seis
mic
haz
ard
agin
g br
idge
s su
bjec
t to
of e
mbo
died
ene
rgy
for
1019
3-Li
fe-c
ycle
ana
lysi
s
D.M
. Fra
ngop
ol. B
occh
ini,
PP.
and
optim
izat
ion
conn
ectiv
ity a
sses
smen
t br
idge
net
wor
k lif
e-cy
cle
1035
9-P
roba
bilis
tic
A. L
entz
, I.B
. Kro
on
safe
tyin
cent
ives
for s
ocie
tal
regu
latio
ns a
nd
1032
4-Th
e fu
nctio
n of
E
. Spa
cone
, R. H
oltz
man
J. S
utto
n, G
. Cam
ata,
A
.B. L
iel,
R.B
. Cor
otis
,
pers
pect
ives
Prio
ritie
s an
d 20
09 E
arth
quak
e:
’Aqu
ila fo
llow
ing
the
1024
5-R
ebui
ldin
g
. Baz
zurr
o, J
. Par
kPP.
para
met
ers
corr
elat
ed g
roun
d m
otio
n ha
zard
ana
lysi
s of
pr
obab
ilist
ic s
eism
ic
ecto
r-va
lued
10
722-
V
mat
eria
l stre
ngth
10
426-
Influ
ence
of
G. M
usco
lino,
FN
. Im
pollo
nia,
S. Z
ito,
for s
truct
ures
with
inte
rval
10
369-
Res
pons
e bo
unds
S. M
ahad
evan
S. S
anka
rara
man
,
mod
elin
g of
con
cret
e 10
309-
Non
-spe
cific
ity
anal
ysis
of s
teel
10
488-
Stru
ctur
al re
liabi
lity
. Kita
M. K
ohiy
ama,
T
T.
char
acte
ristic
sco
mpo
nent
s an
d ph
ase
cons
ider
ing
long
per
iod
grou
nd m
otio
nba
sed
on s
imul
ated
bu
ildin
g-el
evat
or s
yste
ms
asse
ssm
ent o
f 10
227-
Sei
smic
risk
akah
ashi
. T Ta
K. N
agaf
uchi
, T
T.
corr
elat
ed g
roun
d m
otio
n
ff
. Sai
tta M
usco
lino,
F
F.
N. I
mpo
lloni
a, S
. Zito
,
fnes
sst
iffo
r stru
ctur
es w
ith in
terv
al
1036
9-R
espo
nse
boun
ds
S. M
ahad
evan
S. S
anka
rara
man
,
mod
elin
g of
con
cret
e 10
309-
Non
-spe
cific
ity
epis
tem
ic u
ncer
tain
ty
com
mer
cial
resi
dent
ial
deve
lopi
ng th
e flo
rida
. Kof
oed,
C.B
. Fer
reira
J.PP.
J.
D. S
øren
sen,
devi
ces
desi
gn o
f wav
e en
ergy
10
448-
Pro
babi
listic
R. C
orot
is
haza
rds
plan
ning
1041
6-P
oliti
cal p
itfal
ls in
epis
tem
ic u
ncer
tain
ty
1054
9-Is
sues
of
eeke
s, S
. Ham
idJ.
W We
. J
ohns
on, K
. Gur
ley
y,
TT.
. Pin
elli,
G
.L. P
ita, J
.-P
P.
stru
ctur
esco
mm
erci
al re
side
ntia
l re
side
ntia
l and
m
odel
for p
erso
nal
publ
ic h
urric
ane
loss
de
velo
ping
the
florid
a 10
474-
Cha
lleng
es in
. H
ayas
hi, S
. Kun
itom
iYY.
N
. Mor
i, H
. Mas
e,
asud
a, S
. Nak
ajo,
YYa
. TT.
J.
E. P
adge
tt
M. S
hino
zuka
, B. S
hafe
i, A
lipou
rr,
A
. conc
rete
brid
ges
dete
riora
ted
rein
forc
ed
fragi
lity
para
met
ers
for
estim
atio
n of
sei
smic
10
241-
Pro
babi
listic
R. C
orot
is
haza
rds
plan
ning
1041
6-P
oliti
cal p
itfal
ls in
M. F
eldm
ann
M. G
ünde
l, B
. Hof
fmei
ster
stru
ctur
esre
spon
se o
f ste
el
scat
terin
g on
the
duct
ile
. Ok,
D.-S
. Kim
S.-YY
.
N
. Kur
tz, J
. Son
g,se
arch
ing
tech
niqu
eid
entif
ied
by s
elec
tive
criti
cal f
ailu
re s
eque
nces
ca
scad
ing
failu
res
usin
g an
alys
is o
f fat
igue
-indu
ced,
10
391-
Sys
tem
relia
bilit
y
J.J.
Kim
, M.M
. Red
a T
poss
ibili
ty th
eory
crac
king
stre
ngth
usi
ng
. Sch
oefs
B. C
apra
, F
F.
, Y
áñez
-God
oyy,
J. B
oéro
, H.
in h
arbo
ur e
nviro
nmen
tsu
bjec
ted
to c
orro
sion
shee
t-pile
sea
wal
ls
,
r
r,
scat
terin
g on
the
duct
ile
.J. R
oss
TT.
aha,
m, M
.M. R
eda
T
Ta
poss
ibili
ty th
eory
crac
king
stre
ngth
usi
ng
S.S
. Ham
id, J
.-P
loss
es u
sing
cat
astro
phe
1048
4-
cycl
one
risk
man
agem
ent
treat
men
t in
deci
sion
S.-C
. Che
n, K
. Gur
ley
. Pin
elli,
S.S
. Ham
id, J
.-P
P.
mod
elin
glo
sses
usi
ng c
atas
troph
e es
timat
es o
f ins
ured
hu
rric
ane
risk
and
Ass
essm
ent o
f 10
484-
M. G
raf,
K. N
ishi
jima
cycl
one
risk
man
agem
ent
anal
ysis
for t
ropi
cal
treat
men
t in
deci
sion
ep
iste
mic
unc
erta
inty
13
04. A
ugu
st 2
011,
Th
urs
day
Mor
nin
g, 9
.00
- 12.
00
10.0
0 - 1
0.30
10.3
0
9.00
- 10
.00
Key
not
e Be
yond
the
expe
cted
lim
its o
f exp
erts
– E
ast J
apan
Ear
thqu
ake
Dis
aste
r, Ju
n K
anda
, Uni
vers
ity o
f Tok
yo
Cof
fee
Bre
ak
GS
_318
GS
_311
GS
_317
GS
_316
MS
_315
MS
_314
MS
_313
GS
_312
MS
_319
Au
dim
ax, H
G F
30
Stru
ctur
al re
liabi
lity
(3)
co-C
hairs
: Mic
hael
Gho
sn,
Joch
en K
öhle
r
Rel
iabi
lity
met
hods
(1
)co
-Cha
irs:
San
kara
n M
ahad
evan
,A
lbre
cht L
entz
Unc
erta
inty
and
im
prec
isio
n in
ge
otec
hnic
al a
nd
stru
ctur
al
engi
neer
ing
(4)
Cha
ir: M
icha
el B
eer
Spat
ial p
roba
bilis
tic
mod
elin
g of
de
terio
ratio
n an
d in
spec
tion
(1)
co-C
hairs
: Dan
iel S
traub
,M
ark
G. S
tew
art
The
trea
tmen
t of
unce
rtai
ntie
s in
la
rge-
scal
e st
ocha
s-tic
sys
tem
s (1
)C
hair:
Geo
rge
Ste
fano
u
Nat
ural
haz
ards
m
odel
ing
co-C
hairs
: Jo
hn D
alsg
aard
Sør
ense
n,K
azuy
oshi
Nis
hijim
a
Stat
istic
al in
vest
iga-
tions
and
pro
babi
lis-
tic m
odel
ing
(1)
co-C
hairs
: Arv
id N
aess
,M
ario
s C
hrys
sant
hopo
ulus
App
licat
ions
(4)
co-C
hairs
: Dim
itri V
al,
Ele
ni C
hatz
i
Prob
abili
stic
mod
els
and
met
hods
for r
isk
asse
ssm
ent o
f lif
elin
e ne
twor
ks a
nd
deci
sion
sup
port
(1)
Cha
ir: J
unho
Son
g
11.4
2
11.2
4
11.0
6
10.4
8
12.0
0
1026
4- R
elia
bilit
y-ba
sed
desi
gn o
ptim
izat
ion
via
a co
ncur
rent
pro
cess
K.W
. Lia
o
1027
3-E
ffici
ent m
etho
d fo
r the
pro
babi
lity
asse
ssm
ent o
f elli
psoi
dal
limit
stat
e su
rface
S.D
. Kod
uru
1029
4-M
odel
ing
stru
ctur
al d
egra
datio
n of
R
C b
ridge
col
umns
su
bjec
ted
to c
umul
ativ
e se
ism
ic d
amag
e an
d th
eir
fragi
lity
estim
ates
R. K
umar
, P. G
ardo
ni
1031
1-C
alib
ratio
n of
re
liabi
lity-
base
d lo
ad
ratin
g m
etho
d fo
r New
Yo
rk s
tate
M. G
hosn
, B. S
ivak
umar
, F.
Mia
o
1035
2-S
truct
ural
relia
bilit
y in
the
fire
situ
atio
n, th
e ef
fect
of a
ctiv
e fir
e sa
fety
J.-B
. Sch
leic
h
1022
9-E
stim
atio
n of
fa
ilure
rate
s of
cru
de
prod
uct p
ipel
ines
A
.W. D
awot
ola,
P.
H.A
.J.M
van
Gel
der,
J.J.
Cha
rima,
J.K
Vrij
ling
1024
2-R
elia
bilit
y an
alys
is
with
pro
babi
listic
inte
rval
va
riabl
esK
. Zam
an, M
. McD
onal
d,
S. R
anga
vajh
ala,
S
. Mah
adev
an
1030
1-D
orm
ant r
elia
bilit
y an
alys
is fo
r dam
spi
llway
sM
. Kal
anta
rnia
, L. C
houi
nard
, S
. Fol
tz
1055
9-O
n th
e ut
iliza
tion
of m
onito
ring
data
in a
n ul
timat
e lim
it st
ate
relia
bilit
y an
alys
isS
. Thö
ns, M
.H. F
aber
, W
. Rüc
ker
1038
7-S
toch
astic
opt
imal
st
ruct
ural
con
trol
K. M
arti
1051
4-R
isk
acce
ptan
ce
crite
ria b
ased
on
unce
rtain
est
imat
es o
f st
ruct
ural
failu
re
prob
abili
ties
S.G
. Rei
d
1051
9-In
terv
al fi
nite
el
emen
ts fo
r non
linea
r m
ater
ial p
robl
ems
M.V
. Ram
a R
ao, R
.L. M
ulle
n,
R.L
. Muh
anna
1056
0-R
elia
bilit
y-ba
sed
desi
gn fo
r ste
el d
rive-
in
rack
s un
der f
orkl
ift tr
uck
impa
ctH
. Zha
ng, B
.P. G
ilber
t, K
.J.R
. Ras
mus
sen
1056
1-R
elia
bilit
y an
alys
is
of s
teel
sca
ffold
sho
ring
stru
ctur
esH
. Zha
ng, K
.J.R
. Ras
mus
sen,
B
.R. E
lling
woo
d
1049
7-O
ptim
izat
ion
of
insp
ectio
n an
d m
onito
ring
of s
truct
ures
in c
ase
of
spat
ial f
ield
s of
de
terio
ratio
n/pr
oper
ties
F. S
choe
fs, T
.V. T
ran,
E
. Bas
tidas
-Arte
aga
1003
1-R
epai
r effi
cien
cy
and
life-
cycl
e co
st o
f RC
B
ridge
dec
k m
aint
enan
ce
subj
ecte
d to
spa
tially
va
riabl
e co
rros
ion
dam
age
J.A
. Mul
lard
,M
.G. S
tew
art
1004
8-A
unifi
ed
prob
abili
stic
trea
tmen
t for
in
-line
insp
ectio
n w
ith
resp
ect t
o de
tect
abili
ty,
repo
rtabi
lity,
fals
e ca
ll po
tent
ial a
nd d
epth
siz
ing
M.A
. Mae
s, M
.R. D
ann
1004
9-S
patia
l hie
rarc
hi-
cal P
OD
mod
el fo
r in-
line
insp
ectio
n da
taM
.R. D
ann,
M.A
. Mae
s
1030
3-S
eism
ic re
liabi
lity
of fr
ame
stru
ctur
es w
ith
non-
Gau
ssia
n sy
stem
pr
oper
ties
G. S
tefa
nou,
M. F
ragi
adak
is
1031
3-P
ile s
ettle
men
t an
alys
is o
n sp
atia
lly
rand
om s
oil
G. S
tefa
nou,
G. P
ittos
,M
. Pap
adra
kaki
s
1037
7-A
resp
onse
su
rface
met
hod
for
nonl
inea
r sto
chas
tic
dyna
mic
ana
lysi
sU
. Alib
rand
i
1039
0-E
stim
atin
g se
ism
ic
perfo
rman
ce u
ncer
tain
ty
usin
g ID
A w
ith p
rogr
essi
-ve
acc
eler
ogra
m-w
ise
latin
hyp
ercu
be s
ampl
ing
D. V
amva
tsik
os
1008
5-A
com
preh
ensi
ve
appr
oach
for o
nlin
e fa
st
hurr
ican
e-ris
k pr
edic
tion
A.A
. Taf
lani
dis,
A
.B. K
enne
dy, J
.J. W
este
rink,
M
. Hop
e, S
. Tan
aka,
J. S
mith
, K
.F. C
heun
g
1024
4-O
ptim
al s
eism
ic
desi
gn o
f ste
el s
truct
ures
us
ing
appr
oxim
ate
met
hods
A. Z
acha
rena
ki,
M. F
ragi
adak
is,
M. P
apad
raka
kis
1024
8-D
evel
opm
ent a
nd
calib
ratio
n of
cen
tral
pres
sure
dec
ay m
odel
s fo
r hur
rican
e si
mul
atio
nF.
Liu
, W. P
ang
1095
4-R
elia
bilit
y an
alys
is
of th
e S
wis
s av
alan
che
war
ning
sys
tem
M. B
ründ
l, B
. Hei
l
1011
4-S
tatis
tical
ana
lysi
s of
mec
hani
cal p
rope
rties
of
pre
stre
ssin
g st
rand
sL.
Jac
into
, M. P
ipa,
L.
O. S
anto
s, L
.C. N
eves
1015
0-P
roba
bilis
tic m
odel
fo
r dam
age
accu
mul
atio
n in
con
cret
e tu
nnel
lini
ng
and
its a
pplic
atio
n to
op
timal
repa
ir st
rate
gyH
. Tan
aka,
O. M
aruy
ama,
A
. Sut
oh
1015
2-A
pplic
atio
n of
ex
trem
e va
lue
theo
ry to
di
scrim
inat
e be
twee
n fa
ilure
mod
esR
.E. M
elch
ers
1027
8-D
evel
opm
ent o
f st
ate-
base
d M
arko
vian
tra
nsiti
on p
roba
bilit
ies
for
brid
ge c
ondi
tion
estim
atio
nT.
M. R
eale
, A.J
. O’C
onno
r
1058
4-S
imul
atin
g tw
o-ph
ase
mic
rost
ruct
u-re
s us
ing
leve
l-cut
filte
red
pois
son
field
s an
d ge
netic
al
gorit
hms
K. T
efer
ra, E
.N. C
hatz
i
1070
3-Va
rianc
e re
duct
ion
Mon
te C
arlo
met
hods
for
win
d tu
rbin
es
M.T
. Sic
hani
, S.R
.K. N
iels
en,
P. T
hoft-
Chr
iste
nsen
1070
4-A
com
puta
tiona
l st
udy
of th
e bu
ffere
d fa
ilure
pro
babi
lity
in
relia
bilit
y-ba
sed
desi
gn
optim
izat
ion
H.G
. Bas
ova,
R
.T. R
ocka
fella
r, J.
O. R
oyse
t
1070
6-A
dvan
ced
mod
elin
g an
d si
mul
atio
n to
ols:
Fro
m s
urro
gate
s to
co
pula
sM
. McC
ullo
ugh,
A
. Kar
eem
, D.K
. Kw
on,
L. W
ang
1102
9-A
grou
nd m
otio
n re
cord
sel
ectio
n pr
oced
ure
utili
zing
a
vect
or-v
alue
d in
tens
ity
mea
sure
for o
ptim
ized
incr
emen
tal
dyna
mic
ana
lysi
sA
.I. T
heop
hilo
u,M
.K. C
hrys
sant
hopo
ulos
1006
3-C
lust
erin
g m
etho
ds fo
r ris
k as
sess
men
t of
infra
stru
ctur
e ne
twor
k sy
stem
sC
. Góm
ez, M
. Sán
chez
-Silv
a,
L. D
ueña
s–O
sorio
1007
6-R
egio
nal
asse
ssm
ent o
f hur
rican
e ris
k to
Hou
ston
brid
ge
infra
stru
ctur
eN
. Ata
ei, C
.D. A
rnol
d,
J.E
. Pad
gett
1015
8-Vu
lner
abili
ty o
f the
S
wis
s el
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röge
r
1016
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valu
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1995
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G. S
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S
. Nag
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1024
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Cra
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mon
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arti
stru
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L. J
acin
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Ele
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acin
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hair:
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men
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and
met
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mod
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MS
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stru
ctur
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twor
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men
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met
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for r
isk
1006
3-C
lust
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. Gar
doni
, P P.
R. K
umar
r,
fragi
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mic
dam
age
and
thei
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bjec
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umul
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C b
ridge
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prob
abili
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in e
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ased
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S. M
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K
. Zam
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. McD
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pro
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Rel
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anal
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rijlin
gJ.
J. C
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and
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egra
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ff
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war
tJ.
A. M
ulla
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dam
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patia
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ased
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244-
Opt
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S. T
A.B
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apad
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tefa
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rand
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oil
anal
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on
spat
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Pile
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prop
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dete
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prop
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A. S
utoh
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H. T T
a
optim
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pair
stra
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and
its a
pplic
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in
con
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lini
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for d
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1015
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roba
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odel
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tos,
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esL.
Jac
into
, M. P
ipa,
M. P
apad
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M. F
ragi
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A. Z
acha
rena
ki,
met
hods
usin
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prox
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sign
of s
teel
stru
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1024
4-O
ptim
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ic
. Che
ung
K.FF
. an
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J. S
mith
, H
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S. T
Ta
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J.J
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We
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nedy
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A. S
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Stru
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anal
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aes
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odel
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natu
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etho
d
B.R
. Elli
ngw
ood
H. Z
hang
, K.J
.R. R
asm
usse
n,
stru
ctur
esfo
ld s
horin
g
el s
caf
ff
10
561-
Rel
iabi
lity
anal
ysis
K.J
.R. R
asm
usse
n
amva
tsik
osD
. V Va
A.J
. O’C
onno
r.M
. Rea
le,
TT.
M.K
. Chr
yssa
ntho
poul
osA
.I. T
heop
hilo
u,
dyna
mic
ana
lysi
sfo
r opt
imiz
ed in
crem
enta
l m
easu
reve
ctor
-val
ued
inte
nsity
pr
oced
ure
utili
zing
a
reco
rd s
elec
tion
gro
und
mot
ion
1029
-AA
1
ang
L. W W
aA
. Kar
eem
, D.K
. Kw
on,
A.J
. O’C
onno
r
L. D
ueña
s-O
sorio
B.J
. Goo
dno,
K
. Lee
lard
char
oen,
J.I.
Cra
ig,
catio
n sy
stem
s-
anal
ysis
of t
elec
omm
uni
1024
3-S
eism
ic fr
agili
ty
S. N
agat
aG
. Sho
ji, S
. Nab
a,
1995
Kob
e ea
rthqu
ake
14
04. A
ugu
st 2
011,
Th
urs
day
Aft
ern
oon
, 12.
00 -
15.0
0
13.3
0
GS
_328
GS
_321
GS
_327
MS
_326
MS
_325
MS
_324
MS
_323
GS
_322
MS
_329
Roo
m 1
Stru
ctur
al re
liabi
lity
(4)
co-C
hairs
: Tsu
yosh
i Tak
ada,
Jean
-Mar
c B
ourin
et
Rel
iabi
lity
met
hods
(2
)co
-Cha
irs: P
eter
Tan
ner,
Joch
en K
öhle
r
Rob
ustn
ess
of
stru
ctur
es (1
)co
-Cha
irs: H
arikr
ishna
Nar
asim
han,
Ton
Vrou
wen
veld
er
Spat
ial p
roba
bilis
tic
mod
elin
g of
de
terio
ratio
n an
d in
spec
tion
(2)
co-C
hairs
: Dan
iel S
traub
,M
ark
G. S
tew
art
The
trea
tmen
t of
unce
rtai
ntie
s in
la
rge-
scal
e st
ocha
s-tic
sys
tem
s (2
)C
hair:
Geo
rge
Deo
datis
Rec
ent a
dvan
ces
in
geot
echn
ical
risk
an
d re
liabi
lity
(1)
Cha
ir: Y
u W
ang
Stat
istic
al in
vest
iga-
tions
and
pro
babi
lis-
tic m
odel
ing
(2)
co-C
hairs
: Rob
ert M
elch
ers,
Sar
a C
asci
ati
App
licat
ions
(5)
co-C
hairs
: Stu
art R
eid,
Bru
no S
udre
t
Prob
abili
stic
mod
els
and
met
hods
for r
isk
asse
ssm
ent o
f life
line
netw
orks
and
de
cisi
on s
uppo
rt (2
)C
hair:
Leo
nard
o D
ueña
s-O
sorio
14.4
2
14.2
4
14.0
6
13.4
8
15.0
0
12.0
0 - 1
3.30
Lu
nch
1026
3-S
eism
ic fr
agili
ty o
f R
C b
ridge
s us
ing
the
data
obt
aine
d fro
m
nond
estru
ctiv
e te
stin
gQ
. Hua
ng, P
. Gar
doni
, S
. Hur
leba
us
1038
3-U
se o
f BW
IM d
ata
for b
ridge
ass
essm
ent
M. P
etsc
hach
er
1039
3-H
arm
onic
w
avel
et-b
ased
sta
tistic
al
linea
rizat
ion
of th
e bo
uc-w
en h
yste
retic
m
odel
P.D
. Spa
nos,
I.A
. Kou
giou
mtz
oglo
u,A
. Gia
ralis
1041
1-R
elia
bilit
y an
alys
is
of s
tress
es in
pre
stre
ssed
co
ncre
te g
irder
und
er
serv
ice
live
load
E.-S
. Hw
ang,
I.-R
. Pai
k,
S.H
. Ngu
yen
1032
3-Fr
agili
ty a
naly
sis
for s
enso
r fau
lt de
tect
ion
of s
mar
t stru
ctur
esY.
Kim
, J. B
ai
1050
1-Id
entif
icat
ion
of
rand
om v
aria
bles
via
M
arko
v ch
ain
Mon
te
Car
lo: B
enef
its o
n re
liabi
lity
anal
ysis
F. L
anat
a, F
. Sch
oefs
1039
2-R
isk
quan
tific
atio
n of
fatig
ue-in
duce
d se
quen
tial f
ailu
res
by
bran
ch-a
nd-b
ound
m
etho
d em
ploy
ing
syst
em re
liabi
lity
boun
dsY.
-J. L
ee, J
. Son
g
1047
0-R
elia
bilit
y an
alys
is
of c
orro
ding
RC
mem
bers
us
ing
adap
tive
resp
onse
su
rface
met
hod
A.N
. Kal
lias,
M.I.
Raf
iq
1016
8-U
ncer
tain
and
un
avoi
dabl
e - r
elia
bilit
y es
timat
ion
in w
ave
and
tidal
ene
rgy
syst
ems
J. F
linn,
C.B
. Fer
reira
1032
7-P
ost e
arth
quak
e br
idge
dam
age
asse
ssm
ent c
oupl
ing
field
da
ta a
nd re
liabi
lity
tool
M. T
orbo
l, R
. Bag
haei
, J.
Kan
g, M
. Fen
g
1056
4-R
obus
tnes
s of
st
ruct
ures
- a
repo
rt on
a
join
t Eur
opea
n pr
ojec
tM
.H. F
aber
, A
.C.W
.M. V
rouw
enve
lder
, J.
D. S
oren
sen,
M
.K. C
hrys
sant
hopo
ulos
, H
. Nar
asim
han
1047
1-A
thre
at
inde
pend
ent a
ppro
ach
to
eval
uatin
g th
e ro
bust
ness
of
stru
ctur
esS
.M. M
arja
nish
vili
1054
5-Fr
agili
ty c
urve
of
stee
l con
tain
men
t fai
lure
du
e to
hyd
roge
n de
flagr
atio
nD
. Pro
ske,
M. R
ichn
er
1050
0-P
rogr
essi
ve
colla
pse
in m
ulti-
stor
ey
stee
l fra
mes
: The
effe
ct o
f va
ryin
g co
lum
n sp
acin
gV.
Jan
ssen
s, D
.W. O
’Dw
yer
1050
2-A
chie
ving
ro
bust
ness
and
miti
gatin
g ris
k of
dis
prop
ortio
nate
co
llaps
e in
bui
ldin
gB
.R. E
lling
woo
d
1017
6-Th
e pe
rform
ance
of
sam
plin
g in
spec
tions
fo
r loc
aliz
ed d
eter
iora
tion
proc
ess
S.P
. Kun
iew
ski,
J.A
.M. v
an d
er W
eide
1020
3-In
fluen
ce o
f in
clud
ing
spat
ial
varia
bilit
y m
odel
ling
on
who
le li
fe m
anag
emen
t of
conc
rete
stru
ctur
esA
.J. O
’Con
nor
1022
4-R
elia
bilit
y up
datin
g w
ith in
spec
tion
and
mon
itorin
g da
ta in
de
terio
ratin
gre
info
rced
con
cret
e sl
abs
D. S
traub
1040
8-Th
e us
e of
ho
mot
opy
WH
EP
algo
rithm
for s
olvi
ng
stoc
hast
ic d
iffer
entia
l eq
uatio
nsM
.A. E
l-Taw
il
1043
6-E
ffici
ent s
ensi
tivity
an
alys
is o
f com
plex
en
gine
erin
g pr
oble
ms
T. M
ost
1044
9-S
imul
atio
n of
st
rong
ly n
on-G
auss
ian
stoc
hast
ic v
ecto
r pr
oces
ses
usin
g tra
nsla
tion
proc
ess
theo
ryM
.D. S
hiel
ds, G
. Deo
datis
1015
3-S
toch
astic
E
last
ic-P
last
ic F
inite
E
lem
ent M
etho
d fo
r P
erfo
rman
ce R
isk
Sim
ulat
ions
B. J
erem
ic,
K. S
ett
1003
8-M
etho
ds fo
r in
corp
orat
ing
a va
riety
of
site
resp
onse
est
imat
es
into
sei
smic
haz
ard
map
sE
.M. T
hom
pson
,L.
G. B
aise
1006
6-R
elia
bilit
y-ba
sed
desi
gn o
f sha
llow
fo
unda
tions
in c
ohes
ion-
less
soi
ls u
nder
co
mpr
essi
on lo
adin
g:
Ulti
mat
e lim
it st
ate
S.O
. Akb
as, F
.H. K
ulha
wy
1012
2-E
ffect
of s
patia
l va
riabi
lity
on re
liabi
lity
eval
uatio
n of
an
earth
sl
ope
Y. W
ang,
Z.J
. Cao
, S.K
. Au
1032
1-P
roba
bilis
tic
char
acte
ristic
s of
stri
p fo
otin
g be
arin
g ca
paci
ty
eval
uate
d by
rand
om
finite
ele
men
t met
hod
D.V
. Grif
fiths
, G.A
. Fen
ton
1021
1-E
valu
atio
n of
re
liabi
litie
s of
dril
led
shaf
ts u
sing
bi-d
irect
iona
l pi
le lo
ad te
st re
sults
J.H
. Par
k, D
. Kim
, K. K
wak
, J.
H. L
ee, M
. Chu
ng
1015
9-A
mod
el fo
r the
fa
ilure
pro
babi
lity
of
com
pone
nts
of e
lect
rical
su
bsta
tions
und
er s
eism
ic
load
M. R
asch
ke
1015
5-A
stud
y of
the
stoc
hast
ic p
rope
rties
of
auto
-cor
rela
tion
coef
ficie
nts
for
mic
rotre
mor
dat
asi
mul
tane
ousl
y ob
serv
ed
at tw
o si
tes
H. M
orik
awa,
K. I
iyam
a,
M. O
hori
1042
8-A
Bay
esia
n ap
proa
ch to
ana
lysi
ng
stru
ctur
al u
ncer
tain
ties
in
flood
inun
datio
n m
odel
sL.
Man
ning
, J.W
. Hal
l
1057
4-A
CE
R fu
nctio
n pl
ots
as a
dia
gnos
tic to
ol
for e
xtre
me
valu
e pr
edic
tion
A. N
aess
, O. G
aida
i
1032
8-R
elia
bilit
y le
vel o
f st
ruct
ures
des
igne
d ac
cord
ing
to th
e de
sign
co
des
of th
e re
publ
ic o
f B
elar
usD
z. M
arko
uski
, V. T
ur
1013
7-C
lass
ifica
tion
and
mor
al e
valu
atio
n of
un
certa
intie
s in
en
gine
erin
g m
odel
ing
C. M
urph
y,
Cha
rles
E. H
arris
, Jr.
1005
0-Q
uant
itativ
e sa
fety
go
als–
bene
fits
and
limits
H.-P
. Ber
g, M
. Kra
uß
1013
8-E
valu
atin
g th
e so
urce
of t
he ri
sks
asso
ciat
ed w
ith n
atur
al
even
tsP.
Gar
doni
, C. M
urph
y
1025
1-R
ecur
sive
re
liabi
lity
asse
ssm
ent o
f ra
dial
life
line
syst
ems
with
co
rrel
ated
com
pone
nt fa
ilure
sJ.
Roj
o, L
. Due
ñas-
Oso
rio
1040
4-P
ost-d
isas
ter
dam
age
dete
ctio
n fo
r pi
pelin
e ne
twor
ks b
y m
atrix
-bas
ed s
yste
m
relia
bilit
y an
alys
isW
.-H. K
ang,
J. S
ong
1040
9-E
ffici
ent
iden
tific
atio
n of
crit
ical
di
sjoi
nt c
ut s
ets
and
link
sets
for n
etw
ork
relia
bilit
y an
alys
isH
.-W. L
im, J
. Son
g
1044
3-S
eism
ic ri
sk
asse
ssm
ent o
f sp
atia
lly-d
istri
bute
d sy
stem
s us
ing
grou
nd-
mot
ion
mod
els
fitte
d co
nsid
erin
g sp
atia
l co
rrel
atio
nN
. Jay
aram
, J.W
. Bak
er
1057
5-A
FOR
M-b
ased
an
alys
is o
f life
line
netw
orks
usi
ng a
m
ultiv
aria
te s
eism
ic
inte
nsity
mod
elM
. Mill
er, J
. Bak
er, H
.-W. L
im,
J. S
ong,
N. J
ayar
am
1029
3-S
toch
astc
re
spon
ses
of N
avie
r S
toke
s eq
uatio
ns
com
pute
d w
ith
dyna
mic
ally
orth
ogon
al
field
equ
atio
nsT.
P. S
apsi
s,P.
F.J.
Ler
mus
iaux
HG
D1.
1H
G E
1.1
HG
D5.
2H
G D
3.2
HG
E33
.1H
G D
7.2
HG
D7.
1H
G D
1.2
HG
E1.
2R
oom
Roo
m
04. A
ugu
st 2
011,
Th
urs
day
Aft
ern
oon
, 1
GS
_321
HG
D1.
1
HG
D1.
2
04. A
ugu
st 2
011,
Th
urs
day
Aft
ern
oon
, 1
GS
_322
HG
D7.
1
HG
D7.
1
2.00
- 15
.00
04. A
ugu
st 2
011,
Th
urs
day
Aft
ern
oon
, 1
MS
_323
MS
_324
HG
D7.
2
HG
D7.
2
MS
_325
HG
E33
.1
HG
D3.
2
MS
_326
GS
_327
HG
D5.
2
HG
D5.
2
GS
_327
GS
_328
HG
E1.
1
HG
E1.
2
MS
_329
Jean
-Mar
c B
ourin
etakad
suyo
shi T T
aTTs
co
-Cha
irs:
(4)
Stru
ctur
al re
liabi
lity
S. H
urle
baus
. Gar
doni
, Q
. Hua
ng, P
P
.
nond
estru
ctiv
e te
stin
gda
ta o
btai
ned
from
R
C b
ridge
s us
ing
the
1026
3-S
eism
ic fr
agili
ty o
f
on
TTo
co-C
hairs
:
stru
ctur
es (1
)R
obus
tnes
s of
Joch
en K
öhle
r,
anne
rr,P
eter
T Ta
co-C
hairs
: (2)
Rel
iabi
lity
met
hods
akad
a,
Stru
ctur
al re
liabi
lity
M.K
. Chr
yssa
ntho
poul
os,
J.D
. Sor
ense
n,
A.C
.W
join
t Eur
opea
n pr
ojec
tst
ruct
ures
- a
repo
rt on
a
1056
4-R
obus
tnes
s of
. Sch
oefs
. Lan
ata,
F
F.
FF.
relia
bilit
y an
alys
isC
arlo
: Ben
efits
on
Mar
kov
chai
n M
onte
ra
ndom
var
iabl
es v
ia
1050
1-Id
entif
icat
ion
of
nond
estru
ctiv
e te
stin
g
RC
brid
ges
usin
g th
e 10
263-
Sei
smic
frag
ility
of
Mar
k G
. Ste
war
tD
anie
l Stra
ub,
co-C
hairs
:
insp
ectio
n (2
)de
terio
ratio
n an
d m
odel
ing
of
Spat
ial p
roba
bilis
tic
rouw
enve
lder
n V V
rH
arikr
ishna
Nar
asim
han,
stru
ctur
es (1
)R
obus
tnes
s of
eJ.
A.M
. van
der
W
W
e. K
unie
wsk
i S
.PP.
proc
ess
for l
ocal
ized
det
erio
ratio
n of
sam
plin
g in
spec
tions
10
176-
The
perfo
rman
ce
M.K
. Chr
yssa
ntho
poul
os,
J.D
. Sor
ense
n,
, ro
uwen
veld
err,
.M. V V
rWW
.
, M
.H. F
aber
r,
join
t Eur
opea
n pr
ojec
tst
ruct
ures
- a
repo
rt on
a
1056
4-R
obus
tnes
s of
geot
echn
ical
risk
R
ecen
t adv
ance
s in
Geo
rge
Deo
datis
Cha
ir:
tic s
yste
ms
(2)
-la
rge-
scal
e st
ocha
sun
cert
aint
ies
in
The
trea
tmen
t of
Mar
k G
. Ste
war
tD
anie
l Stra
ub,
insp
ectio
n (2
)de
terio
ratio
n an
d m
odel
ing
of
Spat
ial p
roba
bilis
tic
into
sei
smic
haz
ard
map
ssi
te re
spon
se e
stim
ates
in
corp
orat
ing
a va
riety
of
awil
M.A
. El-T
Ta
equa
tionsfe
rent
ial
stoc
hast
ic d
if
ff
algo
rithm
for s
olvi
ng
hom
otop
y W
HE
P10
408-
The
use
of
eide
. Kun
iew
ski,
for l
ocal
ized
det
erio
ratio
n of
sam
plin
g in
spec
tions
10
176-
The
perfo
rman
ce
Sar
a C
asci
ati
Rob
ert M
elch
ers,
co-C
hairs
:
tic m
odel
ing
(2)
tions
and
pro
babi
lisSt
atis
tical
inve
stig
a
ang
u W W
aYYu
C
hair:
and
relia
bilit
y (1
)ge
otec
hnic
al ri
sk
Rec
ent a
dvan
ces
in
M. R
asch
ke
load
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L.G
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hom
pson
,
into
sei
smic
haz
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map
ssi
te re
spon
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stim
ates
in
corp
orat
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a va
riety
of
1003
8-M
etho
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Bru
no S
udre
tS
tuar
t Rei
d,co
-Cha
irs:
App
licat
ions
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Sar
a C
asci
ati
Rob
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elch
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tic m
odel
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(2)
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nd p
roba
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atis
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inve
stig
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z. M
arko
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, V
V.
Bel
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acco
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8-R
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M. R
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load
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nent
s of
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failu
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roba
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m
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for t
he
Oso
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Leon
ardo
Due
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Cha
ir:
deci
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sup
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netw
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as
sess
men
t of l
ifelin
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d m
etho
ds fo
r ris
k Pr
obab
ilist
ic m
odel
s
J. R
ojo,
L. D
ueña
s-O
sorio
com
pone
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sco
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s w
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1038
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545-
Frag
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S.M
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of s
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A
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,
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mem
bers
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470-
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ysis
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ee, J
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gYY.
syst
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ata
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ta in
w
ith in
spec
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and
1022
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bilit
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A.J
. O’C
onno
r
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Frag
ility
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of s
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eval
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ing
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1043
6-E
f
mon
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ta in
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1022
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A.J
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1-P
roba
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ang,
Z.J
. Cao
, S.K
. . W W
a
Y.
W
slop
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of a
n ea
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B M
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050-
Qua
ntita
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safe
ty
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harle
s E
. Har
ris, J
r
C. M
urph
y
y,
engi
neer
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mod
elin
gun
certa
intie
s in
m
oral
eva
luat
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of
1013
7-C
lass
ifica
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and
stru
ctur
al u
ncer
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ties
in
appr
oach
to a
naly
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B
ayes
ian
M. O
hori
H. M
orik
awa,
K. I
iyam
a,
at tw
o si
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ulta
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icro
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ata
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rope
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cut
set
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entif
icat
ion
of c
ritic
al
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1040
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fff
.-H. K
ang,
J. S
ong
WW.
relia
bilit
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alys
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atrix
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ed s
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m
pipe
line
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orks
by
dam
age
dete
ctio
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r 10
404-
Pos
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aste
r
S.H
. Ngu
yen
E.-S
. Hw
ang,
I.-R
. Pai
k,
serv
ice
live
load
conc
rete
gird
er u
nder
of
stre
sses
in p
rest
ress
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1-R
elia
bilit
y an
alys
is
1041
A. G
iara
lis
I.A. K
ougi
oum
tzog
lou,
.D. S
pano
s,
PP.
mod
elbo
uc-w
en h
yste
retic
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eariz
atio
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the
. Jan
s
VV.
vary
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colu
mn
spac
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l fra
mes
: co
llaps
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mul
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10
500-
Pro
gres
sive
D. P
rosk
e, M
. Ric
hner
defla
grat
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due
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ydro
gen
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linn,
C.B
. Fer
reira
tidal
ene
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syst
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estim
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wav
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d un
avoi
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elia
bilit
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168-
Unc
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lias,
M.I.
Raf
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surfa
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etho
dus
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elia
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ff
D. S
traub
rein
forc
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oncr
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slab
sde
terio
ratin
gm
onito
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data
in
. O’D
wye
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ssen
s, D
.W
W
.
vary
ing
colu
mn
spac
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fect
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The
efst
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ram
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colla
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in m
ulti-
stor
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1050
0-P
rogr
essi
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D. P
rosk
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. Ric
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gen
J.H
. Par
k, D
. Kim
, K. K
wak
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shaf
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sing
bi-d
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lem
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by ra
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fo
otin
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arin
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paci
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K. S
ett
B. J
erem
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Sim
ulat
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Per
form
ance
Ris
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etho
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r E
last
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last
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inite
10
153-
Sto
chas
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M.D
. Shi
elds
, G. D
eoda
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trans
latio
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proc
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s us
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stoc
hast
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rein
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oncr
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slab
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gm
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ring
data
in
A. N
aess
, O. G
aida
i
pred
ictio
n fo
r ext
rem
e va
lue
plot
s as
a d
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ostic
tool
10
574-
AC
ER
func
tion
L. M
anni
ng, J
.W
flood
inun
datio
n m
odel
sst
ruct
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unc
erta
intie
s in
J.H
. Lee
, M. C
hung
J.H
. Par
k, D
. Kim
, K. K
wak
,
pile
load
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afts
usi
ng b
i-dire
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nal
relia
bilit
ies
of d
rille
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Eva
luat
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of
1021. G
riffit
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.A. F
ento
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finite
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eval
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rand
om
foot
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bear
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capa
city
. Gar
doni
, C. M
urph
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even
tsas
soci
ated
with
nat
ural
so
urce
of t
he ri
sks
1013
8-E
valu
atin
g th
e
. Ber
g, M
. Kra
ußH
.-PP.
A. N
aess
, O. G
aida
i
pred
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n fo
r ext
rem
e va
lue
plot
s as
a d
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ostic
tool
10
574-
AC
ER
func
tion
. Hal
l
J.W
W.
flood
inun
datio
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odel
sst
ruct
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unc
erta
intie
s in
. Bak
erN
. Jay
aram
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W.
corr
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ion
cons
ider
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spat
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mot
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mod
els
fitte
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stem
s us
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grou
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atia
lly-d
istri
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sess
men
t of
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3-S
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ic ri
sk
. Lim
, J. S
ong
H.-WW
.
anal
ysis
sets
for n
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relia
bilit
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sjoi
nt c
ut s
ets
and
link
. Kim
, J. B
aiYY.
of s
mar
t stru
ctur
esfo
r sen
sor f
ault
dete
ctio
n 10
323-
Frag
ility
ana
lysi
s
B.R
. Elli
ngw
ood
colla
pse
in b
uild
ing
risk
of d
ispr
opor
tiona
te
robu
stne
ss a
nd m
itiga
ting
1050
2-A
chie
ving
J. K
ang,
M. F
eng
orbo
l, R
. Bag
haei
, M
. T To
data
and
relia
bilit
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olas
sess
men
t cou
plin
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ld
brid
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amag
e 10
327-
Pos
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thqu
ake
for s
enso
r fau
lt de
tect
ion
1032
3-Fr
agili
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naly
sis
B.R
. Elli
ngw
ood
colla
pse
in b
uild
ing
risk
of d
ispr
opor
tiona
te
robu
stne
ss a
nd m
itiga
ting
1050
2-A
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.J. L
erm
usia
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PP.
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sis,
.PP.
TT.
field
equ
atio
nsdy
nam
ical
ly o
rthog
onal
co
mpu
ted
with
S
toke
s eq
uatio
ns
resp
onse
s of
Nav
ier
1029
3-S
toch
astc
S.O
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com
pres
sion
load
ing:
foun
datio
ns in
coh
esio
n
1006
6-R
elia
bilit
y-ba
sed
.H. K
ulha
wy
Akb
as, F F
.
S.O
.
Ulti
mat
e lim
it st
ate
com
pres
sion
load
ing:
le
ss s
oils
und
er
-fo
unda
tions
in c
ohes
ion
desi
gn o
f sha
llow
10
066-
Rel
iabi
lity-
base
d
J. S
ong,
N. J
ayar
am. L
im,
, H.-W
W
.
, J. B
aker
r, M
. Mill
er
r,
inte
nsity
mod
elm
ultiv
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te s
eism
ic
netw
orks
usi
ng a
an
alys
is o
f life
line
FO
RM
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ed
1057
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N. J
ayar
am, J
.W
15
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ugu
st 2
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Th
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day
Aft
ern
oon
, 15.
00 -
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Stoc
hast
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odel
s an
d si
mul
atio
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ea
rthq
uake
gro
und
mot
ions
co-C
hairs
: Arm
en D
er K
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ghia
n,S
anaz
Rez
aeia
n
App
licat
ions
and
ne
w d
evel
opm
ents
of
syst
em re
liabi
lity
asse
ssm
ent (
theo
ry)
Cha
ir: J
ie L
i
Rob
ustn
ess
of
stru
ctur
es (2
)co
-Cha
irs: M
icha
el H
. Fab
er,
John
D. S
øren
sen
Spat
ial p
roba
bilis
tic
mod
elin
g of
det
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rati-
on a
nd in
spec
tion
(3)
co-C
hairs
: Dan
iel S
traub
,M
ark
G. S
tew
art
Rec
ent a
dvan
ces
in
geot
echn
ical
risk
an
d re
liabi
lity
(2)
Cha
ir: Y
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ang
Stat
istic
al in
vest
iga-
tions
and
pro
babi
lis-
tic m
odel
ing
(3)
co-C
hairs
: Jia
nbin
g C
hen,
Mic
hael
Bee
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App
licat
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(6)
co-C
hairs
: Ann
e K
irem
idjia
n,S
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Mad
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16.4
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5.30
Cof
fee
Bre
ak
1008
3-S
eism
ic ri
sk
sens
itivi
ty a
naly
sis
focu
sing
on
stoc
hast
ic
grou
nd m
otio
n m
odel
ing
A.A
. Taf
lani
dis,
C. V
ette
r
1010
8-S
imul
atio
n of
se
ism
ic g
roun
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otio
n tim
e hi
stor
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from
dat
a us
ing
a no
n G
auss
ian
stoc
hast
ic m
odel
I. Ze
ntne
r, F.
Poi
rion,
P.
Cac
ciol
a
1011
5-S
toch
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mod
el
for e
arth
quak
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ound
m
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wav
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pa
cket
sY.
Yam
amot
o, J
.W. B
aker
1020
4-S
imul
atio
n of
no
n-st
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diff
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tial
supp
ort m
otio
ns
acco
untin
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r var
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so
il co
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ons
K. K
onak
li,
A. D
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iure
ghia
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1024
7-S
toch
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si
mul
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nea
r-fa
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grou
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ns fo
r sp
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arth
quak
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hara
cter
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sM
. Dab
aghi
, S. R
ezae
ian,
A
. Der
Kiu
regh
ian
1024
6-A
recu
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com
posi
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algo
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fo
r rel
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lity
eval
uatio
n of
bi
nary
sys
tem
W. L
iu, J
. Li
1028
0-G
loba
l rel
iabi
lity
of
larg
e no
nlin
ear s
truct
ures
J.B
. Che
n, J
. Li,
J. X
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1041
5-S
truct
ural
relia
bilit
y an
alys
is s
olve
d th
roug
h a
SV
M-b
ased
resp
onse
su
rface
U. A
libra
ndi,
G. R
icci
ardi
1050
4-P
roba
bilit
y ba
sed
asse
ssm
ent o
f brid
ge
expo
sed
to e
xtra
ordi
nary
ci
rcum
stan
ces
I. B
jörn
sson
, S
. The
land
erss
on,
K. P
eter
sen
1051
6-R
obus
t flo
od
defe
nces
in a
cha
ngin
g en
viro
nmen
tH
.G. V
oortm
an,
M. V
eend
orp
1053
1-E
xper
imen
tal a
nd
com
puta
tiona
l ass
ess-
men
t of r
obus
tnes
s of
st
eel a
nd re
info
rced
conc
rete
fram
ed b
uild
ings
J.A
. Mai
n, Y
. Bao
, F.
Sad
ek, H
.S. L
ew10
490-
Ris
k an
d ro
bust
ness
of r
oad
tunn
els
D. D
iam
antid
is, M
. Hol
icky
1057
2-S
eism
ic d
amag
e pr
obab
ilitie
s fo
r se
gmen
ted
burie
d pi
pelin
esS
. Top
rak,
E. N
acar
oglu
, A
.C. K
oc
1008
8-A
relia
bilit
y-ba
sed
mea
sure
of r
obus
tnes
s fo
r con
cret
e st
ruct
ures
su
bjec
ted
to c
orro
sion
E.S
. Cav
aco,
L.A
.C. N
eves
, J.
R. C
asas
1034
8-S
patia
l det
erio
rati-
on m
odel
upd
atin
g of
ag
ing
RC
stru
ctur
es
base
d on
insp
ectio
n in
form
atio
nK
.G. P
apak
onst
antin
ou,
M. S
hino
zuka
1036
4-S
tatis
tical
ana
lysi
s of
the
surfa
ces
of
corr
oded
mild
ste
el p
late
sR
.E. M
elch
ers,
M. A
ham
med
, R
. Jef
frey,
G. S
imun
dic
1048
0-R
ando
m fi
eld
mod
ellin
g of
spa
tial
varia
bilit
y in
FR
P co
mpo
site
mat
eria
lsS
. Srir
amul
a,
M.K
. Chr
yssa
ntho
poul
os
1002
4-S
patia
l var
iabi
lity
of p
oten
tial f
ield
s in
re
info
rced
con
cret
e st
ruct
ures
S. K
essl
er, C
. Geh
len,
D
. Stra
ub, M
. Hub
er
1029
2-D
evel
opm
ent o
f a
com
pute
r-ba
sed
eval
uatio
n sy
stem
for s
oil
para
met
ers
in th
e re
liabi
lity
desi
gn m
etho
dY.
Wat
abe,
M. T
anak
a,
T. N
ishi
oka,
I. N
ozak
i
1016
2-O
n ris
k-ba
sed
geot
echn
ical
site
in
vest
igat
ion
of fl
ood
defe
nses
T. S
chw
ecke
ndie
k,
P.H
.A.J
.M. v
an G
elde
r, E
.O.F
. Cal
le
1038
6-S
patia
l dis
tribu
tions
of
stre
ngth
of a
n em
bank
men
t bas
ed o
n sy
nthe
sis
of s
ound
ing
test
s an
d su
rface
wav
e m
etho
dS
. Nis
him
ura,
Y. T
akay
ama,
K
. Fuj
isaw
a, M
. Suz
uki,
A. M
urak
ami
1045
9-E
valu
atin
g m
odel
un
certa
inty
of a
C
PT-
base
d m
odel
for
Ear
thqu
ake-
indu
ced
soil
lique
fact
ion
Y.F.
Lee
, Y.Y
. Chi
, C.H
. Jua
ng
1049
9-S
tatis
tical
ana
lysi
s of
ND
T re
sults
for
anal
ysin
g th
e ef
ficie
ncy
of
repa
ir te
chni
ques
of
wha
rves
: The
MA
RE
O
proj
ect
F. B
enm
eddo
ur, G
. Vill
ain,
X
. Dér
ober
t, O
. Abr
aham
, F.
Sch
oefs
, M. P
errin
, S
. Bon
net,
M. C
hoin
ska
relia
bilit
y m
odel
ing
and
impr
ovem
ent o
f N
DT-
tool
s fo
r Ris
k B
ased
Insp
ectio
n (R
BI):
A
pplic
atio
n to
cor
rode
d st
ruct
ures
F. S
choe
fs, J
. Boé
ro
1029
0-Fl
uctu
atio
n an
alys
is o
f sto
chas
tic
phys
ical
sys
tem
s ba
sed
on p
roba
bilit
y de
nsity
ev
olut
ion
met
hod
W.L
. Sun
, J. L
i, J.
B. C
hen
1029
7-Th
e us
e of
qu
asi-s
ymm
etric
poi
nt
met
hod
in p
roba
bilit
y de
nsity
evo
lutio
n m
etho
dJ.
Xu,
J.B
. Che
n, J
. Li
1006
5-R
elia
bilit
y-ba
sed
optim
izat
ion
of
mai
nten
ance
and
repa
ir fo
r a s
yste
m o
f brid
ges
C.-A
. Rob
elin
, S.M
. Mad
anat
1007
0-S
yste
m-le
vel
optim
izat
ion
of
mai
nten
ance
and
re
plac
emen
t dec
isio
nsfo
r roa
d ne
twor
ksA
. Med
ury,
S.M
. Mad
anat
1007
3-P
roba
bilit
y-ba
sed
relia
bilit
y as
sess
men
t for
re
al-ti
me
hybr
id
sim
ulat
ion
C. C
hen,
W. P
ong
1075
2-P
roba
bilis
tic
estim
ates
of s
cena
rio lo
ss
thro
ugh
a tw
o-st
age
Mon
te C
arlo
app
roac
hI.
Ioan
nou,
M
.K. C
hrys
sant
hopo
ulos
HG
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3.2
HG
E33
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2R
oom
17.3
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7.45
Clo
sure
Au
dim
ax, H
G F
30
Roo
m
Th
urs
day
Aft
ern
oon
04. A
ugu
st 2
011,
Stoc
hast
ic m
odel
s an
d M
S_3
31
HG
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1
HG
D1.
2
Th
urs
day
Aft
ern
oon
Rob
ustn
ess
of
App
licat
ions
and
St
ocha
stic
mod
els
and
MS
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1
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1
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00 -
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ay A
fter
noo
n
Spat
ial p
roba
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Rob
ustn
ess
of
MS
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MS
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2
HG
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2
Rec
ent a
dvan
ces
in
Spat
ial p
roba
bilis
tic
HG
E33
.1
HG
D3.
2
Stat
istic
al in
vest
iga
Rec
ent a
dvan
ces
in
MS
_336
GS
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HG
D5.
2
HG
D5.
2
App
licat
ions
(6)
-St
atis
tical
inve
stig
aG
S_3
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1
HG
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2
San
az R
ezae
ian
Arm
en D
er K
iure
ghia
n,co
-Cha
irs:
mot
ions
eart
hqua
ke g
roun
d si
mul
atio
n of
ette
raf
lani
dis,
C. V
V
eA
.A. T T
a
grou
nd m
otio
n m
odel
ing
focu
sing
on
stoc
hast
ic
sens
itivi
ty a
naly
sis
1008
3-S
eism
ic ri
sk
John
D.
co-C
hairs
:
stru
ctur
es (2
)R
obus
tnes
s of
Jie
LiC
hair:
asse
ssm
ent (
theo
ry)
syst
em re
liabi
lity
new
dev
elop
men
ts o
f A
pplic
atio
ns a
nd
Arm
en D
er K
iure
ghia
n,
S. T
hela
nder
sson
,
circ
umst
ance
sex
pose
d to
ext
raor
dina
ry
asse
ssm
ent o
f brid
ge
1050
4-P
roba
bilit
y ba
sed
. Liu
, J. L
iWW
.
bina
ry s
yste
mfo
r rel
iabi
lity
eval
uatio
n of
de
com
posi
tion
algo
rithm
re
curs
ive
1024
6-A
ette
r
grou
nd m
otio
n m
odel
ing
focu
sing
on
stoc
hast
ic
Mar
k G
. Ste
war
tD
anie
l Stra
ub,
co-C
hairs
:
on a
nd in
spec
tion
(3)
mod
elin
g of
det
erio
rati
Spat
ial p
roba
bilis
tic
Sør
ense
nJo
hn D
. ,
Mic
hael
H. F
aber
r,co
-Cha
irs:
stru
ctur
es (2
)R
obus
tnes
s of
M. S
hino
zuka
K.G
. Pap
akon
stan
tinou
,
info
rmat
ion
base
d on
insp
ectio
n ag
ing
RC
stru
ctur
es
on m
odel
upd
atin
g of
10
348-
Spa
tial d
eter
iora
ti
K. P
eter
sen
S. T
hela
nder
sson
, I.
Bjö
rnss
on,
circ
umst
ance
sex
pose
d to
ext
raor
dina
ry
asse
ssm
ent o
f brid
ge
1050
4-P
roba
bilit
y ba
sed
geot
echn
ical
risk
R
ecen
t adv
ance
s in
Mar
k G
. Ste
war
tD
anie
l Stra
ub,
on a
nd in
spec
tion
(3)-
mod
elin
g of
det
erio
rati
Spat
ial p
roba
bilis
tic
relia
bilit
y de
sign
met
hod
eval
uatio
n sy
stem
for s
oil
1029
2-D
evel
opm
ent o
f a
K.G
. Pap
akon
stan
tinou
,
base
d on
insp
ectio
n ag
ing
RC
stru
ctur
es
on m
odel
upd
atin
g of
-10
348-
Spa
tial d
eter
iora
ti
Mic
hael
Bee
rJi
anbi
ng C
hen,
co-C
hairs
:
tic m
odel
ing
(3)
tions
and
pro
babi
lisSt
atis
tical
inve
stig
a
ang
u W W
aYYu
C
hair:
and
relia
bilit
y (2
)ge
otec
hnic
al ri
sk
Rec
ent a
dvan
ces
in
S. B
onne
t, M
. Cho
insk
a. S
choe
fs, M
FF.
X
. Dér
ober
t, O
. . B
enm
eddo
urFF.
pr
ojec
tw
harv
es: T
he
repa
ir te
chni
ques
of
anal
ysin
g th
e ef
res
of N
DT
T
1049
9-S
tatis
tical
ana
lysi
s
. Nis
hiok
a, I.
Noz
aki
TT.
anak
a,
atab
e, M
. T
Ta
. W W
a
YY.
relia
bilit
y de
sign
met
hod
para
met
ers
in th
e ev
alua
tion
syst
em fo
r soi
l co
mpu
ter-
base
d 10
292-
Dev
elop
men
t of a
ff
Sam
er M
adan
atA
nne
Kire
mid
jian,
co-C
hairs
:
App
licat
ions
(6)
Mic
hael
Bee
rJi
anbi
ng C
hen,
tic m
odel
ing
(3)
-tio
ns a
nd p
roba
bilis
Stat
istic
al in
vest
iga
M.K
. Chr
yssa
ntho
poul
osI.
Ioan
nou,
Mon
te C
arlo
app
roac
hth
roug
h a
two-
stag
e es
timat
es o
f sce
nario
loss
10
752-
Pro
babi
listic
S. B
onne
t, M
. Cho
insk
a. S
choe
fs, M
. Per
rin,
Abr
aham
, X
. Dér
ober
t, O
. ill
ain,
, G
. V
Vi
r
r,
proj
ectM
AR
EO
w
harv
es: T
he
repa
ir te
chni
ques
of
ficie
ncy
of
e
f re
sults
for
1049
9-S
tatis
tical
ana
lysi
s
. Bak
eram
amot
o, J
.W
W.
YYa
. YY.
pack
ets
mot
ion
usin
g w
avel
et
for e
arth
quak
e gr
ound
15
-Sto
chas
tic m
odel
10
1
. Cac
ciol
aPP.
. P
oirio
n,
, F F.
I.
Zent
ner
r,
stoc
hast
ic m
odel
usin
g a
non
Gau
ssia
n tim
e hi
stor
ies
from
dat
a se
ism
ic g
roun
d m
otio
n 10
108-
Sim
ulat
ion
of
conc
rete
fram
ed b
uild
ings
stee
l and
rein
forc
edm
ent o
f rob
ustn
ess
of
com
puta
tiona
l ass
ess
1053
1-E
xper
imen
tal a
nd
H.G
. V
envi
ronm
ent
defe
nces
in a
cha
ngin
g 10
516-
Rob
ust f
lood
Alib
rand
i, G
. Ric
ciar
diU
.
surfa
ceS
VM
-bas
ed re
spon
se
anal
ysis
sol
ved
thro
ugh
a 10
415-
Stru
ctur
al re
liabi
lity
J.B
. Che
n, J
. Li,
J. X
u
larg
e no
nlin
ear s
truct
ures
1028
0-G
loba
l rel
iabi
lity
of
. Bak
er
mot
ion
usin
g w
avel
et
for e
arth
quak
e gr
ound
15
-Sto
chas
tic m
odel
usin
g a
non
Gau
ssia
n tim
e hi
stor
ies
from
dat
a se
ism
ic g
roun
d m
otio
n
S. S
riram
ula,
com
posi
te m
ater
ials
varia
bilit
y in
FR
Pm
odel
ling
of s
patia
l 10
480-
Ran
dom
fiel
d
, G. S
imu
R. J
effre
y
y,
A
ham
med
, R
.E. M
elch
ers,
M.
corr
oded
mild
ste
el p
late
sof
the
surfa
ces
of
1036
4-S
tatis
tical
ana
lysi
s
conc
rete
fram
ed b
uild
ings
stee
l and
rein
forc
edm
ent o
f rob
ustn
ess
of -
com
puta
tiona
l ass
ess
1053
1-E
xper
imen
tal a
nd
eend
orp
M. V V
eoortm
an,
H.G
. V Vo
envi
ronm
ent
defe
nces
in a
cha
ngin
g 10
516-
Rob
ust f
lood
and
surfa
ce w
ave
met
hod
synt
hesi
s of
sou
ndin
g te
sts
emba
nkm
ent b
ased
on
1038
6-S
patia
l dis
tribu
tions
1016
2-O
n ris
k-ba
sed
com
posi
te m
ater
ials
varia
bilit
y in
FR
Pm
odel
ling
of s
patia
l 10
480-
Ran
dom
fiel
d
, G. S
imun
dic
Aha
mm
ed,
corr
oded
mild
ste
el p
late
sof
the
surfa
ces
of
1036
4-S
tatis
tical
ana
lysi
s
evol
utio
n m
etho
don
pro
babi
lity
dens
ity
phys
ical
sys
tem
s ba
sed
anal
ysis
of s
toch
astic
10
290-
Fluc
tuat
ion
. Sch
oefs
,
FF.
stru
ctur
esA
pplic
atio
n to
cor
rode
d In
spec
tion
(RB
I):
-tool
s fo
r Ris
k B
ased
ND
Tim
prov
emen
t of
relia
bilit
y m
odel
ing
and
S. B
onne
t, M
. Cho
insk
a
akay
ama
T T
a
YYS
. Nis
him
ura,
an
d su
rface
wav
e m
etho
dsy
nthe
sis
of s
ound
ing
test
s em
bank
men
t bas
ed o
n of
stre
ngth
of a
n 10
386-
Spa
tial d
istri
butio
ns
. Cal
leE
.O.FF
. ,
.H.A
.J.M
. van
Gel
der
r, PP.
Sch
wec
kend
iek,
TT.
defe
nses
inve
stig
atio
n of
floo
d ge
otec
hnic
al s
ite
1016
2-O
n ris
k-ba
sed
for r
oad
netw
orks
repl
acem
ent d
ecis
ions
mai
nten
ance
and
op
timiz
atio
n of
10
070-
Sys
tem
-leve
l
C.-A
. Rob
elin
, S.M
. Mad
anat
for a
sys
tem
of b
ridge
sm
aint
enan
ce a
nd re
pair
optim
izat
ion
of
1006
5-R
elia
bilit
y-ba
sed
evol
utio
n m
etho
don
pro
babi
lity
dens
ity
phys
ical
sys
tem
s ba
sed
anal
ysis
of s
toch
astic
10
290-
Fluc
tuat
ion
. Sch
oefs
, J. B
oéro
stru
ctur
esA
pplic
atio
n to
cor
rode
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tion
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I):
-tool
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r Ris
k B
ased
impr
ovem
ent o
f re
liabi
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mod
elin
g an
d
S. B
onne
t, M
. Cho
insk
a
ff
and
site
cha
ract
eris
tics
spec
ified
ear
thqu
ake
grou
nd m
otio
ns fo
r si
mul
atio
n of
nea
r-fa
ult
1024
7-S
toch
astic
A. D
er K
iure
ghia
nK
. Kon
akli,
soil
cond
ition
sac
coun
ting
for v
aryi
ng
supp
ort m
otio
ns
fere
nt
non-
stat
iona
ry d
if10
204-
Sim
ulat
ion
of
segm
ente
d bu
ried
prob
abili
ties
for
1057
2-S
eism
ic d
amag
e
D. D
iam
antid
is, M
. Hol
icky
robu
stne
ss o
f roa
d 10
490-
Ris
k an
d . S
FF.
J.A
. Mai
n,
and
site
cha
ract
eris
tics
sim
ulat
ion
of n
ear-
faul
t
acco
untin
g fo
r var
ying
fere
ntia
l
D. S
traub
, M. H
uber
, C. G
eh
S. K
essl
er
r,
stru
ctur
esre
info
rced
con
cret
e of
pot
entia
l fie
lds
in
1002
4-S
patia
l var
iabi
lity
M.K
. Chr
yssa
ntho
poul
os
pipe
lines
segm
ente
d bu
ried
prob
abili
ties
for
1057
2-S
eism
ic d
amag
e
D. D
iam
antid
is, M
. Hol
icky
tunn
els
robu
stne
ss o
f roa
d 10
490-
Ris
k an
d . S
adek
, H.S
. Lew
. Bao
, YY.
J.A
. Mai
n,
.FYY.Ear
thqu
ake-
indu
ced
soil
CP
T
1045
9-E
valu
atin
g m
odel
D. S
traub
, M. H
uber
, C. G
ehle
n,
rein
forc
ed c
oncr
ete
of p
oten
tial f
ield
s in
10
024-
Spa
tial v
aria
bilit
y
M.K
. Chr
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16
Social program
Opening reception:
August 1, ETH main building Roof terrasse, 19:00–22:00 (Floor J)
Banquet:
August 3, Restaurant „Lake Side“, Bellerivestrasse 170, 8008 Zürich, www.lake-side.ch.
18:00 Reception with Swiss alphorn music
19:00 Dinner
Excursion:
August 5, Lake Lucerne, 9:00 Shuttle bus station ETH main building south.
Please ask at the registration desk for more information.
Other meetings
CERRA Board meeting
August 2, Alumni Pavillon, 12:00-13:30
CERRA General meeting
August 2, Audimax HG F30, 18:00-19:00
The CERRA Students Recognition Award
At ICASP 11, CERRA will introduce the new CERRA Student Recognition Award. The award will
be given in recognition of scientific contributions and personal merits of student researchers and
may, besides a certificate, include financial support in the form of free conference attendance and
a travel grant.
The CERRA jury has decided to give the award to the following Students:
• Mahalia Miller, Stanford University
• Eun Jeong Cha, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta
• Young Joo Lee, University of Illinois
Instruction for chairpersons
Session chairs are responsible for
• Introducing the speakers
• Moderating the question period
• Enforcing time limitations
The time allocated for each oral presentation is as follows:
15 min. + 3 min. for short questions and answers
17
Instruction for speakers
Speaker room HG F 33.1
The Speaker Room in HG F 33.1 will be open during the following hours:
Monday, August 1 closed
Tuesday, August 2 08:00h – 17:30h
Wednesday, August 3 08:30h – 17:30h
Thursday, August 4 08:30h – 17:30h
There will be a public accessible computer and printer.
Hotline
During the conference there will be a helpline with number +41 77 4916 444 (Conference secreta-
riat).
Emergency
Emergency call internally ETH: ETH phone 888, mobile +41 44 342 11 88.
Conference information
Registration
Registration desk in the entrance hall of ETH main building
Monday August 1: 18:30–20:30
Tuesday August 2: 8:00 – 13:30
Wednesday August 3: 8:30 – 10:30
Thursday August 4: 8:30 – 10:30
Message board
A message board will be located near the registration desk.
Refreshments and food
Will be served during the breaks on floor D.
Lunch
With your registration package you receive lunch bons for the menu in the mensa „Polyterrasse“.
Internet access
- Switch on your Wireless Network on the notebook
- Connect to WLAN “public”, not “ETH”
- Start a browser, you will be redirected to https://enter.ethz.ch
- Username: icasp11
- Password: ETH2011
Conference secretariat office HG F 33.5
Wardrobe HG F 33.2
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19
Overview ETH main building
20
Floor plan D
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Floor plan E
22
Floor plan F
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Contact Information
Web Page: www.icasp11.ethz.ch Correspondence: Annette Walzer ICASP 11 Conference Secretary Institute of Structural Engineering (IBK) Wolfgang-Pauli-Str. 15 CH-8093 Zurich Switzerland
Phone: +41 44 633 23 47 E-Mail: [email protected]