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HSA, Dropouts, Graduation and AYP. Report to the Board of Education October 25 , 2011. High School Assessments. Class of 2011 How they met requirements. Special Education Certificates Passed all four Combined score Bridge Waiver. Class of 2011 How they met requirements. Completers. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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HSA, Dropouts, Graduation and AYPReport to the Board of EducationOctober 25, 2011
HIGH SCHOOL ASSESSMENTS
Class of 2011How they met requirements
Special Education Certificates Passed all four Combined score Bridge Waiver
Class of 2011How they met requirements
SpEd Certificates - 722
Graduates Entering Prior to 2005 - 226
Completers Non-Completers
Passed 4 -42,938
Combined Score – 9360
Bridge - 5350
Waiver - 133
Not Met-HSA Only 0
Not Met-Other 3063Dropouts
1821
Total Completers - 59,377
Total - 4220
June 2011 63,605
Sept. 2010 60,555
Enrollment
Non-Grads without HSA
requirement - 1157
Total Diplomas - 58,753
Non-Grads: A Closer Look
Total Non-Grads: 4220 Working toward Special Ed Certificates: 1103 Entered prior to 2005 (no HSA requirement): 54
Breakdown for Non-Grads Responsible for HSA Requirement
HSALOCAL Met Not MetMet 8 0Not Met 2340 715
Who Dropped Out During Senior Year?
Group 2010 2011Numbe
rRate Numbe
rRate
All Students 1386 2.1% 1821 2.7%
ELL 37 3.5% 48 5.1%Special Ed 234 3.4% 314 4.5%FARMs 414 2.3% 570 3.1%
Class of 2009 thru 2011How they met requirements
2009 2010 20110%
10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
Not Met-HSANot Met-OtherWaiverBridgeCombined ScorePassed 4No Requirement
Class of 2011 SubgroupsHow they met requirements
All StudentsAmer. Ind.
Afr. Amer.White
0%20%40%60%80%
100%
No Requirement Passed 4 Combined ScoreBridge Waiver Not Met-OtherNot Met-HSA
Class of 2011 Services GroupsHow they met requirements
All Stu-
dents
Special Ed ELL FARMs0%
20%40%60%80%
100%
No Requirement Passed 4 Combined ScoreBridge Waiver Not Met-OtherNot Met-HSA
Class of 2011: 133 Waivers
1 2 3 40
50100150200250
Number of Tests Waived
Alg. Bio. Eng. Gov.0
50100150200250300350
Tests Waived
2009 2010 2011
Waivers by SubgroupClass of 2010 Class of 2011Number Percent
of Group Number Percent of Group
All Students
303 100.0 133 100.0
Special Education 69 1.2 43 0.9FARMs 182 1.0 73 0.5ELL 110 11.8 17 2.2
First Time Taker Pass Rates
Algebra Biology English Government0
102030405060708090
100
200920102011
First Time Pass Rate Data by Subgroup - 2011
Algebra Biology English Government
All Students 71.7 74.9 72.4 78.4
Hispanic 60.3 67.8 60.3 71.8American Indian
72.4 73.3 70.5 80.2
Asian 89.5 91.6 84.8 90.0African American
50.2 56.3 57.7 64.9
Hawaiian/Pacific Islander 56.4 81.1 75.9 80.0
White 86.5 88.4 84.0 88.5Two or More Races 82.6 85.7 82.4 87.0
First Time Pass Rate Data by Services Group - 2011
Algebra
Biology English Government
All Students
71.7 84.57 72.4 78.4
Special Education 32.2 40.4 30.3 43.4
FARMs 53.5 58.7 54.9 64.0ELL 37.9 45.0 23.8 45.1
Changes for 2012 Elimination of government
requirement New combined score is 1208 Students who took government
previously can use their score to help them meet requirements.
Graduation
Graduation Rate
“Leaver Rate” No longer used for accountability Counts all graduates, not just
those who graduate in 4 years Does not follow a Grade 9 cohort Only measure with trends
Graduation Rate Trend (Leaver)
2007 2008 2009 2010 20117072747678808284868890
Changes for 2011 Implementation of cohort
graduation rate for AYP “On-time” graduates Report 4 and 5-year rate for each
cohort Requires “lagged” rate (using
Class of 2010)
20
Definition : Four-Year Adjusted Cohort Rate
The number of students who graduate in four years with a regular high school diploma divided by the number of students who form the adjusted cohort for that graduating class.
• Follows a cohort, or a group of students, who begin as first-time ninth graders in a particular school year.
• For high schools that start after grade nine, the cohort is calculated based on the earliest high school grade.
Cohort Graduation Rate Data
Rate 2010 Cohort 2011 Cohort
4 Year 81.97 N/A5 Year 84.57 N/A
2010 Cohort Graduation Rate Data by Subgroup
2010 Cohort4 Year Rate 5-Year Rate
All Students 81.97 84.57Hispanic 73.44 78.15American Indian 75.93 78.01Asian 93.04 94.56African American 74.02 77.87Hawaiian/Pacific Islander 90.24 95.12
White 88.27 89.65Two or More Races 93.42 94.73
2010 Cohort Graduation Rate Data by Services Group
2010 Cohort4 Year Rate
5-Year Rate
All Students 81.97 84.57
Special Education 54.75 60.93
FARMs 74.11 80.25ELL 56.98 66.64
Dropouts
Dropouts-Event Rate Trend
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
00.5
11.5
22.5
33.5
44.5
5
Difference Between Current and Cohort Drop Out RatesAnnual Event Rate Does not require an
LDS (1 year of data) Reflects all drop outs
across grades 9-12 in a given school year
Reports every “event” of drop out: students can be counted twice
A drop out can also count as a graduate
Adjusted Cohort Rate Requires an LDS (4
years of data) Reflects cumulative
drop outs across a 4 and 5 –year period from a cohort group entering Grade 9 at the same time
Students are only counted once (final status)
Other New Features Cohort drop out rate includes as
drop outs– Students who do not continue from
the end of one school year to the beginning of the next (cross summer)
– Any student classified as a transfer who cannot be verified as enrolled somewhere else
– Non-graduates at the end of Year 4 who do not re-enroll in Year 5.
Cohort Drop Out Rate Data
Rate 2010 Cohort 2011 Cohort
Through beginning of Year 5 11.93 N/A
Cohort Drop Out Rates by Subgroup
2010 Cohort 2011 Cohort
(four years, into Year 5) (four years only)
All Students 11.93 8.13Hispanic 16.51 12.95American Indian 19.09 17.93Asian 4.21 2.14African American 16.38 9.88Hawaiian/Pacific Islander
4.88 3.85
White 8.70 6.542 or More 2.56 4.08
Cohort Drop Out Rates by Subgroup
2010 Cohort 2011 Cohort(four years,
including summer in Year 5)
(four years only)
All Students 11.93 8.13
Special Education
21.74 16.19
FARMs 13.66 10.31ELL 24.29 19.59
2011 High School Adequate Yearly Progress
What is “AYP”
Adequate Yearly Progress – sufficient progress toward the goal of 100% proficient by 2014
Determination of school success based on No Child Left Behind
Uses MSA results and graduation rate
Schools must meet a yearly target (AMO)
Must meet target for each of 10 subgroups
AYP “Cells” ChartGroup Reading Mathematics Graduatio
n%
ProficientParticipatio
n%
ProficientParticipatio
nAll StudentsHispanicAmer. Ind.AsianAfrican Amer.HawaiianWhite2 or MoreFARMsELLSpecial Ed.
Challenges to Achieving AYP Target rises each year:
AMOs
Year Reading Mathematics2007 52.2 38.62011 79.5 73.72012 86.3 82.42013 93.2 91.22014 100.0 100.0
Challenges to Achieving AYP (cont.)
Confidence interval shrinks each year
All subgroups must achieve targets– Subgroups with 5 students or more
counted– This year we have 10 subgroups
instead of the 8 we have had in the past
Students receiving special services
USDE projected in March that 80 percent of schools would fail to make AYP
School Improvement Categories
STAGESPATHWAYS
Comprehensive
NeedsPathway
FocusedNeeds
Pathway
DevelopingStage
Failing:-All students
or-3+ subgroups
Failing:-1 to 2 subgroups
PriorityStage
School Improvement Categories
STAGESPATHWAYS
Comprehensive Needs
Pathway
FocusedNeeds
Pathway
DevelopingStage
Schools enter after not
achieving AYP two times
Schools enter after not
achieving AYP two times
PriorityStage
Schools enter when AYP failed
fifth time
Schools enter when AYP failed
fifth time
High Schools in Improvement
STAGESPATHWAYS
Comprehensive Needs
Pathway
FocusedNeeds
Pathway
DevelopingStage
2009: 7 schools2010: 5 schools
2011: 37 schools
2009: 8 schools2010: 5 schools
2011: 19 schools
PriorityStage
2009: 13 schools2010: 19 schools2011: 21 schools
2009: 15 schools2010: 5 schools2011: 2 schools
AYP Results- 2011 High Schools
3 schools exited school improvement
79 schools are in school improvement – 41 more than in 2010
44 schools missed AYP for the first time
Special education subgroups account for 39 percent of schools not meeting AYP because of only one subgroup.
Schools in Improvement All Schools
STAGESPATHWAYS
Comprehensive Needs
Pathway
FocusedNeeds
Pathway
DevelopingStage
2009: 47 schools2010: 85 schools2011: 179 schools
2009: 45 schools2010: 27 schools2011: 45 schools
PriorityStage
2009: 85 schools2010: 85 schools2011: 96 schools
2009: 23 schools2010: 7 schools2011: 6 schools
AYP Breakdown – 2011 All Schools
AYP Category Number Percent *Met AYP 760 55.2 In School Improvement 14 1.0 Exit School Improvement 11 0.8
Not Met AYP 616 44.8 Local Attention 299 21.7 School Improvement 326 23.7
Total 1376* Percentage is of total number of schools
AYP Results- 2011 All Schools
Of 1376 schools, 760 (55%) met AYP
11 schools exited school improvement
123 more schools are in school improvement now than in 2010
HSA and Graduation
Questions and Discussion
