How the Survey was Conducted

Nature of the Sample: NBC News/Marist Poll of 1,020 Arizona Adults This survey of 1,020 adults was conducted July 14th through July 22nd, 2020 by The Marist Poll sponsored in partnership with NBC News. Adults 18 years of age and older residing in the state were contacted on landline or mobile numbers and interviewed by telephone using live interviewers. Survey questions were available in English or Spanish. Mobile telephone numbers were randomly selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges from throughout the state from Dynata. The exchanges were selected to ensure that each region was represented in proportion to its population. Mobile phones are treated as individual devices. After validation of age, personal ownership, and non-business-use of the mobile phone, interviews are typically conducted with the person answering the phone. To increase coverage, this mobile sample was supplemented by respondents reached through random dialing of landline phone numbers. Within each landline household, a single respondent is selected through a random selection process to increase the representativeness of traditionally under-covered survey populations. The samples were then combined and balanced to reflect the 2017 American Community Survey 5-year estimates for age, gender, income, race, and region. Results are statistically significant within ±3.7 percentage points. There are 826 registered voters. The results for this subset are statistically significant within ±4.1 percentage points. Tables include results for subgroups with a minimum sample size of 100 unweighted completed interviews as to only display crosstabs with an acceptable sampling error. It should be noted that although you may not see results listed for a certain group, it does not mean interviews were not completed with those individuals. It simply means the sample size is too small to report. The error margin was adjusted for sample weights and increases for cross-tabulations.

AZ Adults AZ Registered VotersColumn % Column %

100%81% 100%

Party Registration Democrat n/a 34%Republican n/a 36%

Other n/a 30%Party Identification Democrat n/a 26%

Republican n/a 31%Independent n/a 40%

Other n/a 4%Party Identification Strong Democrats n/a 16%

Soft Democrats n/a 26%Just Independents n/a 9%

Soft Republicans n/a 21%Strong Republicans n/a 23%

Other n/a 4%Party ID and Gender Democrat men n/a 8%

Democrat women n/a 17%Republican men n/a 17%

Republican women n/a 14%Independent men n/a 21%

Independent women n/a 19%Other party men and women n/a 4%

Gender Men 49% 48%Women 51% 52%

Age Under 45 46% 43%45 or older 54% 57%

Age 18 to 29 22% 19%30 to 44 24% 23%45 to 59 24% 25%

60 or older 29% 33%Generation Gen Z/Millennials (18-39) 36% 33%

Gen X (40-55) 26% 24%Baby Boomers (56-74) 24% 26%

Silent-Greatest (Over 74) 14% 16%Race/Ethnicity White 57% 63%

Black 4% 4%Latino 25% 21%Other 14% 12%

Region Maricopa County (Phoenix) 60% 60%Pima County (Tucson) 15% 16%

Rest of State 25% 24%Household Income Less than $50,000 46% 42%

$50,000 or more 54% 58%Education Not college graduate 65% 62%

College graduate 35% 38%Education by Race White - Not College Graduate 33% 35%

White - College Graduate 24% 27%Non-White - Not College Graduate 32% 26%

Non-White - College Graduate 10% 11%Education - Race - Gender Men - White - Not College Graduate 16% 17%

Men - White - College Graduate 12% 14%Men - Non-White - Not College Graduate 16% 12%

Men - Non-White - College Graduate 5% 5%Women - White - Not College Graduate 17% 18%

Women - White - College Graduate 12% 13%

Women - Non-White - Not College Graduate 17% 14%Women - Non-White - College Graduate 6% 7%

Area Description Big city 44% 43%Small city 15% 14%Suburban 18% 20%

Small town 13% 13%Rural 10% 10%

Area Description - Gender Small city/Suburban Men 16% 16%Other area Men 33% 32%

Small city/Suburban Women 18% 18%Other area Women 34% 34%

16% 18%Interview Type Landline 31% 33%

Cell Phone 69% 67%

Arizona Nature of the Sample

NBC News/Marist Poll Arizona Adults. Interviews conducted July 14th through July 22nd, 2020, n=1020 MOE +/- 3.7 percentage points. Arizona Registered Voters: n=826 MOE +/- 4.1 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

AZ AdultsAZ Registered Voters

White Evangelical Christians

Approve Disapprove Vol: UnsureRow % Row % Row %

41% 53% 6%

44% 52% 4%Joe Biden 2% 95% 2%Donald Trump 94% 3% 3%Democrat 4% 92% 3%Republican 88% 11% 1%Independent 37% 58% 5%Strong Democrats 2% 96% 2%Soft Democrats 10% 87% 3%Soft Republicans 78% 19% 4%Strong Republicans 93% 7% 1%Democrat men 5% 91% 4%Democrat women 4% 93% 3%Republican men 88% 11% 1%Republican women 88% 12% 0%Independent men 43% 53% 4%Independent women 30% 64% 6%Maricopa County (Phoenix) 39% 56% 4%Pima County (Tucson) 36% 51% 13%Rest of State 48% 46% 6%White 48% 48% 4%Latino 27% 62% 12%Less than $50,000 35% 56% 9%$50,000 or more 45% 52% 3%Not college graduate 42% 50% 7%College graduate 38% 59% 3%White - Not College Graduate 53% 42% 5%White - College Graduate 41% 57% 2%Men - White - Not College Graduate 58% 39% 3%

Men - White - College Graduate 45% 54% 2%

Women - White - Not College Graduate

48% 46% 6%

Women - White - College Graduate 36% 60% 3%

Under 45 32% 61% 7%45 or older 49% 46% 5%Gen Z/Millennials (18-39) 31% 62% 7%Gen X (40-55) 43% 52% 5%Baby Boomers (56-74) 49% 45% 6%Silent-Greatest (Over 74) 51% 45% 4%Men 47% 46% 6%Women 35% 59% 6%

67% 28% 5%Big city 36% 57% 6%Small city 41% 48% 12%Suburban 37% 62% 0%Small town/Rural 57% 39% 4%

42% 51% 7%

36% 60% 4%

Area Description

Small city/Suburban Men

Small city/Suburban Women

NBC News/Marist Poll Arizona Adults. Interviews conducted July 14th through July 22nd, 2020, n=1020 MOE +/- 3.7 percentage points.^Arizona Registered Voters: n=826 MOE +/- 4.1 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

Gender - Race - Education

Age

Generation

Gender

White Evangelical Christians

Region

Race/Ethnicity

Household Income

Education

Race and Education

AZ Registered Voters

Candidate Support

Party Identification^

Party Identification^

Party ID and Gender^

TRUDP105. NBC News/Marist Poll Arizona Tables July 14th through July 22nd, 2020

AZ AdultsDo you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as

president?

AZ Adults

1

Strongly approve Approve Disapprove Strongly disapprove UnsureRow % Row % Row % Row % Row %

26% 15% 13% 40% 6%

29% 15% 11% 41% 4%Joe Biden 1% 2% 17% 78% 2%Donald Trump 65% 29% 3% 0% 3%Democrat 2% 3% 11% 82% 3%Republican 69% 19% 4% 7% 1%Independent 18% 19% 16% 42% 5%Strong Democrats 1% 1% 8% 88% 2%Soft Democrats 2% 8% 19% 68% 3%Soft Republicans 41% 36% 12% 7% 4%Strong Republicans 81% 12% 1% 5% 1%Democrat men 2% 3% 11% 80% 4%Democrat women 1% 2% 11% 82% 3%Republican men 66% 22% 3% 8% 1%Republican women 72% 16% 5% 6% 0%Independent men 21% 22% 15% 37% 4%Independent women 15% 16% 16% 48% 6%Maricopa County (Phoenix) 25% 15% 12% 44% 4%Pima County (Tucson) 28% 8% 9% 42% 13%Rest of State 30% 18% 16% 30% 6%White 33% 15% 10% 38% 4%Latino 12% 15% 18% 43% 12%Less than $50,000 20% 14% 15% 41% 9%$50,000 or more 30% 16% 11% 42% 3%Not college graduate 26% 16% 15% 35% 7%College graduate 27% 11% 8% 51% 3%White - Not College Graduate 35% 17% 11% 31% 5%White - College Graduate 30% 11% 8% 49% 2%Men - White - Not College Graduate 38% 20% 13% 26% 3%

Men - White - College Graduate 36% 9% 9% 45% 2%

Women - White - Not College Graduate

33% 15% 10% 36% 6%

Women - White - College Graduate 24% 12% 8% 53% 3%

Under 45 14% 18% 18% 43% 7%45 or older 37% 12% 8% 38% 5%Gen Z/Millennials (18-39) 10% 21% 19% 43% 7%Gen X (40-55) 29% 14% 13% 39% 5%Baby Boomers (56-74) 39% 10% 7% 38% 6%Silent-Greatest (Over 74) 41% 11% 7% 38% 4%Men 31% 16% 12% 34% 6%Women 22% 13% 13% 46% 6%

50% 17% 9% 19% 5%Big city 23% 13% 10% 47% 6%Small city 26% 14% 15% 33% 12%Suburban 26% 11% 14% 48% 0%Small town/Rural 37% 20% 13% 26% 4%

33% 9% 16% 36% 7%

20% 16% 13% 47% 4%

Small city/Suburban Men

Small city/Suburban Women

NBC News/Marist Poll Arizona Adults. Interviews conducted July 14th through July 22nd, 2020, n=1020 MOE +/- 3.7 percentage points.^Arizona Registered Voters: n=826 MOE +/- 4.1 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

Age

Generation

Gender

White Evangelical Christians

Area Description

Race/Ethnicity

Household Income

Education

Race and Education

Gender - Race - Education

Candidate Support

Party Identification^

Party Identification^

Party ID and Gender^

Region

AZ Adults

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? [And, would you say you strongly approve/disapprove of the job he is doing or just approve/disapprove?]

AZ Adults

AZ Registered Voters

TRUDP105R. NBC News/Marist Poll Arizona Tables July 14th through July 22nd, 2020

2

Approve Disapprove Vol: UnsureRow % Row % Row %

39% 50% 11%

39% 53% 8%Joe Biden 17% 76% 7%Donald Trump 66% 26% 8%Democrat 19% 73% 8%Republican 61% 30% 9%Independent 37% 57% 6%Strong Democrats 15% 79% 6%Soft Democrats 20% 73% 7%Soft Republicans 57% 35% 8%Strong Republicans 68% 24% 8%Democrat men 24% 70% 6%Democrat women 17% 75% 8%Republican men 64% 28% 8%Republican women 57% 34% 10%Independent men 40% 54% 6%Independent women 34% 60% 7%Maricopa County (Phoenix) 37% 54% 9%Pima County (Tucson) 34% 49% 17%Rest of State 48% 40% 12%White 41% 50% 10%Latino 37% 48% 15%Less than $50,000 37% 50% 13%$50,000 or more 42% 51% 7%Not college graduate 40% 46% 14%College graduate 38% 56% 6%White - Not College Graduate 41% 47% 12%White - College Graduate 41% 54% 5%Men - White - Not College Graduate 44% 43% 13%

Men - White - College Graduate 46% 49% 5%

Women - White - Not College Graduate

37% 51% 12%

Women - White - College Graduate 35% 59% 6%

Under 45 32% 55% 12%45 or older 45% 45% 10%Gen Z/Millennials (18-39) 30% 56% 14%Gen X (40-55) 47% 45% 7%Baby Boomers (56-74) 40% 52% 8%Silent-Greatest (Over 74) 50% 36% 14%Men 43% 46% 11%Women 36% 53% 11%

55% 37% 7%Big city 38% 53% 9%Small city 42% 42% 16%Suburban 30% 64% 6%Small town/Rural 48% 39% 13%

39% 49% 13%

33% 59% 8%

White Evangelical Christians

Area Description

Small city/Suburban Men

Small city/Suburban Women

NBC News/Marist Poll Arizona Adults. Interviews conducted July 14th through July 22nd, 2020, n=1020 MOE +/- 3.7 percentage points.^Arizona Registered Voters: n=826 MOE +/- 4.1 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

Race and Education

Gender - Race - Education

Age

Generation

Gender

Party ID and Gender^

Region

Race/Ethnicity

Household Income

Education

AZ Adults

AZ Registered Voters

Candidate Support

Party Identification^

Party Identification^

DUCD105. NBC News/Marist Poll Arizona Tables July 14th through July 22nd, 2020

AZ AdultsDo you approve or disapprove of the job Doug Ducey is doing as

governor?

3

Joe Biden, the Democrat

Donald Trump, the Republican Other Undecided

Row % Row % Row % Row %

50% 45% 1% 3%Strongly support 48% 52% 0% 0%Somewhat support 65% 35% 0% 0%Like Biden, Not Trump 98% 1% 0% 1%Dislike Biden and Trump 56% 29% 9% 6%Like Trump, Not Biden 0% 97% 0% 3%Democrat 94% 3% 0% 2%Republican 9% 89% 0% 1%Independent 55% 38% 1% 5%Strong Democrats 97% 2% 0% 0%Soft Democrats 94% 5% 0% 2%Soft Republicans 12% 82% 2% 4%Strong Republicans 4% 94% 0% 1%Democrat men 94% 2% 0% 4%Democrat women 95% 4% 0% 1%Republican men 10% 89% 0% 0%Republican women 7% 90% 0% 2%Independent men 51% 43% 2% 4%Independent women 60% 32% 1% 7%Maricopa County (Phoenix) 54% 42% 1% 2%Pima County (Tucson) 53% 43% 0% 4%Rest of State 39% 54% 2% 5%White 46% 49% 1% 4%Latino 61% 31% 4% 3%Less than $50,000 55% 39% 1% 5%$50,000 or more 49% 48% 2% 2%Not college graduate 48% 48% 0% 4%College graduate 55% 40% 3% 2%White - Not College Graduate 43% 52% 0% 5%White - College Graduate 51% 44% 2% 3%Men - White - Not College Graduate 40% 57% 0% 2%

Men - White - College Graduate 47% 48% 4% 1%

Women - White - Not College Graduate

45% 47% 0% 8%

Women - White - College Graduate 56% 40% 0% 4%

Under 45 57% 36% 3% 4%45 or older 45% 52% 0% 3%Gen Z/Millennials (18-39) 59% 33% 3% 5%Gen X (40-55) 44% 52% 1% 3%Baby Boomers (56-74) 47% 50% 0% 3%Silent-Greatest (Over 74) 45% 53% 1% 2%Men 43% 53% 2% 2%Women 57% 38% 0% 4%

23% 72% 0% 5%Big city 54% 42% 1% 2%Small city 49% 46% 1% 4%Suburban 62% 37% 0% 2%Small town/Rural 36% 56% 1% 6%

52% 44% 1% 3%

61% 37% 0% 2%

Area Description

Small city/Suburban Men

Small city/Suburban Women

NBC News/Marist Poll Arizona Registered Voters. Interviews conducted July 14th through July 22nd, 2020, n=826 MOE +/- 4.1 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

Gender - Race - Education

Age

Generation

Gender

White Evangelical Christians

Region

Race/Ethnicity

Household Income

Education

Race and Education

Intensity of Support

Favorability Combo

Party Identification

Party Identification^

Party ID and Gender

PZWLNS1. NBC News/Marist Poll Arizona Tables July 14th through July 22nd, 2020

AZ Registered Voters

If November's election for president were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are: [If undecided: If you had to decide today, are you leaning more towards:]

AZ Registered Voters

4

Strongly support Somewhat support Might vote differently UnsureRow % Row % Row % Row %

67% 25% 7% <1%Joe Biden 61% 32% 6% 1%Donald Trump 74% 19% 7% 0%Democrat 77% 19% 3% 1%Republican 85% 14% 1% 0%Independent 49% 38% 12% 0%Strong Democrats 84% 12% 3% 0%Soft Democrats 52% 39% 8% 1%Soft Republicans 62% 32% 5% 0%Strong Republicans 90% 9% 1% 0%Maricopa County (Phoenix) 66% 26% 8% 0%Pima County (Tucson) 66% 28% 6% 0%Rest of State 72% 22% 5% 2%White 72% 21% 6% 1%Latino 52% 36% 11% 1%Less than $50,000 61% 30% 9% 1%$50,000 or more 71% 23% 5% 0%Not college graduate 65% 27% 7% 1%College graduate 71% 22% 7% 0%White - Not College Graduate 72% 22% 5% 1%White - College Graduate 72% 20% 8% 0%Men - White - Not College Graduate 69% 25% 5% 1%

Men - White - College Graduate 71% 19% 10% 1%

Women - White - Not College Graduate

76% 18% 5% 0%

Women - White - College Graduate 74% 20% 6% 0%

Under 45 45% 43% 11% 1%45 or older 83% 13% 4% 0%Gen Z/Millennials (18-39) 42% 48% 9% 1%Gen X (40-55) 71% 19% 9% 1%Baby Boomers (56-74) 82% 14% 4% 0%Silent-Greatest (Over 74) 89% 8% 3% 0%Men 68% 24% 7% 1%Women 67% 26% 7% 0%

80% 16% 4% 0%Big city 62% 31% 8% 0%Small city 67% 27% 6% 0%Suburban 74% 17% 8% 0%Small town/Rural 74% 23% 2% 1%

74% 19% 7% 0%

69% 23% 8% 0%NBC News/Marist Poll Arizona Registered Voters with a Candidate Preference. Interviews conducted July 14th through July 22nd, 2020, n=753 MOE +/- 4.3 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

Gender

White Evangelical Christians

Area Description

Small city/Suburban Men

Small city/Suburban Women

Education

Race and Education

Gender - Race - Education

Age

Generation

Party Identification

Party Identification^

Region

Race/Ethnicity

Household Income

AZ Registered Voters with a Candidate Preference for President

Would you say that you strongly support <candidate> somewhat support <candidate>, or do you think that you might vote differently on Election Day?

AZ Registered Voters with a Candidate Preference for President

Candidate Support

STSPZ1. NBC News/Marist Poll Arizona Tables July 14th through July 22nd, 2020

5

Favorable Unfavorable Unsure-Never HeardRow % Row % Row %

38% 58% 5%

41% 57% 3%Joe Biden 2% 97% 1%Donald Trump 88% 10% 2%Democrat 4% 93% 2%Republican 87% 11% 1%Independent 30% 67% 4%Strong Democrats 2% 97% 0%Soft Democrats 7% 91% 2%Soft Republicans 69% 29% 2%Strong Republicans 92% 7% 2%Democrat men 7% 93% 1%Democrat women 3% 94% 3%Republican men 86% 12% 1%Republican women 89% 10% 1%Independent men 35% 63% 3%Independent women 24% 71% 5%Maricopa County (Phoenix) 35% 61% 4%Pima County (Tucson) 39% 54% 7%Rest of State 43% 52% 4%White 44% 52% 4%Latino 23% 70% 8%Less than $50,000 32% 62% 6%$50,000 or more 41% 56% 3%Not college graduate 39% 55% 6%College graduate 35% 63% 2%White - Not College Graduate 49% 46% 5%White - College Graduate 37% 61% 2%Men - White - Not College Graduate 54% 42% 4%

Men - White - College Graduate 41% 57% 2%

Women - White - Not College Graduate

44% 50% 5%

Women - White - College Graduate 32% 65% 3%

Under 45 27% 69% 5%45 or older 47% 48% 4%Gen Z/Millennials (18-39) 25% 71% 4%Gen X (40-55) 41% 54% 5%Baby Boomers (56-74) 47% 49% 3%Silent-Greatest (Over 74) 50% 46% 4%Men 43% 52% 5%Women 33% 63% 4%

63% 33% 4%Big city 34% 62% 4%Small city 37% 56% 7%Suburban 35% 63% 2%Small town/Rural 52% 43% 5%

41% 54% 5%

31% 65% 4%

White Evangelical Christians

Area Description

Small city/Suburban Men

Small city/Suburban Women

NBC News/Marist Poll Arizona Adults. Interviews conducted July 14th through July 22nd, 2020, n=1020 MOE +/- 3.7 percentage points.^Arizona Registered Voters: n=826 MOE +/- 4.1 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

Race and Education

Gender - Race - Education

Age

Generation

Gender

Party ID and Gender^

Region

Race/Ethnicity

Household Income

Education

AZ Adults

AZ Registered Voters

Candidate Support

Party Identification^

Party Identification^

TRUD020R. NBC News/Marist Poll Arizona Tables July 14th through July 22nd, 2020

AZ AdultsIn general, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of

Donald Trump?

6

Favorable Unfavorable Unsure-Never HeardRow % Row % Row %

41% 50% 9%

42% 52% 5%Joe Biden 80% 16% 4%Donald Trump 6% 90% 4%Democrat 82% 12% 6%Republican 11% 85% 4%Independent 45% 49% 6%Strong Democrats 94% 3% 2%Soft Democrats 68% 27% 6%Soft Republicans 20% 77% 3%Strong Republicans 4% 92% 4%Democrat men 84% 13% 3%Democrat women 82% 11% 7%Republican men 14% 83% 4%Republican women 8% 87% 5%Independent men 43% 51% 5%Independent women 46% 47% 7%Maricopa County (Phoenix) 43% 48% 8%Pima County (Tucson) 45% 46% 9%Rest of State 34% 56% 11%White 37% 57% 6%Latino 50% 36% 14%Less than $50,000 45% 41% 14%$50,000 or more 40% 56% 4%Not college graduate 39% 49% 12%College graduate 46% 51% 3%White - Not College Graduate 34% 57% 8%White - College Graduate 41% 56% 4%Men - White - Not College Graduate 28% 64% 8%

Men - White - College Graduate 38% 59% 3%

Women - White - Not College Graduate

41% 51% 8%

Women - White - College Graduate 44% 52% 4%

Under 45 41% 49% 10%45 or older 42% 51% 8%Gen Z/Millennials (18-39) 40% 50% 9%Gen X (40-55) 41% 49% 10%Baby Boomers (56-74) 42% 52% 6%Silent-Greatest (Over 74) 43% 48% 9%Men 37% 54% 9%Women 45% 46% 9%

23% 71% 5%Big city 45% 47% 8%Small city 37% 50% 13%Suburban 50% 47% 2%Small town/Rural 34% 56% 10%

38% 52% 10%

50% 45% 5%

Area Description

Small city/Suburban Men

Small city/Suburban Women

NBC News/Marist Poll Arizona Adults. Interviews conducted July 14th through July 22nd, 2020, n=1020 MOE +/- 3.7 percentage points.^Arizona Registered Voters: n=826 MOE +/- 4.1 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

Gender - Race - Education

Age

Generation

Gender

White Evangelical Christians

Region

Race/Ethnicity

Household Income

Education

Race and Education

AZ Registered Voters

Candidate Support

Party Identification^

Party Identification^

Party ID and Gender^

BIDJ020R. NBC News/Marist Poll Arizona Tables July 14th through July 22nd, 2020

AZ AdultsIn general, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Joe

Biden?

AZ Adults

7

Mark Kelly, the Democrat

Martha McSally, the Republican Other Undecided

Row % Row % Row % Row %

53% 41% 1% 5%Strongly support 58% 42% 0% 0%Somewhat support 55% 45% 0% 0%Joe Biden 94% 5% 0% 1%Donald Trump 10% 83% 1% 6%Democrat 92% 4% 0% 3%Republican 12% 83% 0% 4%Independent 62% 32% 1% 5%Strong Democrats 96% 3% 0% 0%Soft Democrats 91% 6% 0% 3%Soft Republicans 25% 67% 2% 6%Strong Republicans 8% 89% 0% 3%Democrat men 91% 5% 0% 4%Democrat women 93% 4% 0% 3%Republican men 14% 83% 0% 2%Republican women 11% 83% 0% 6%Independent men 55% 37% 1% 7%Independent women 69% 26% 2% 3%Maricopa County (Phoenix) 54% 40% 1% 4%Pima County (Tucson) 59% 36% 3% 2%Rest of State 47% 44% 0% 8%White 48% 47% 0% 4%Latino 67% 24% 1% 7%Less than $50,000 60% 32% 2% 6%$50,000 or more 52% 45% 0% 4%Not college graduate 51% 41% 1% 7%College graduate 57% 39% 1% 3%White - Not College Graduate 45% 50% 0% 5%White - College Graduate 54% 43% 0% 3%Men - White - Not College Graduate 42% 55% 0% 3%

Men - White - College Graduate 49% 45% 0% 6%

Women - White - Not College Graduate

47% 45% 0% 7%

Women - White - College Graduate 59% 40% 0% 1%

Under 45 63% 29% 1% 8%45 or older 47% 49% 1% 3%Gen Z/Millennials (18-39) 67% 26% 0% 7%Gen X (40-55) 45% 49% 1% 6%Baby Boomers (56-74) 49% 47% 2% 2%Silent-Greatest (Over 74) 47% 48% 1% 4%Men 45% 48% 1% 5%Women 61% 33% 1% 5%

30% 66% 0% 3%Big city 58% 37% 1% 4%Small city 52% 37% 0% 10%Suburban 58% 42% 0% 0%Small town/Rural 45% 47% 1% 7%

52% 43% 0% 4%

59% 37% 0% 4%

Small city/Suburban Men

Small city/Suburban Women

NBC News/Marist Poll Arizona Registered Voters. Interviews conducted July 14th through July 22nd, 2020, n=826 MOE +/- 4.1 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

Age

Generation

Gender

White Evangelical Christians

Area Description

Race/Ethnicity

Household Income

Education

Race and Education

Gender - Race - Education

Candidate Support

Party Identification

Party Identification^

Party ID and Gender

Region

AZ Registered Voters

If November's election for U.S. Senate in Arizona were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are: [If undecided: If you had to decide today, are you leaning more towards:]

AZ Registered Voters

U.S. Senate Intensity of Support

SNWLNS1. NBC News/Marist Poll Arizona Tables July 14th through July 22nd, 2020

8

Strongly support Somewhat support Might vote differently UnsureRow % Row % Row % Row %

61% 26% 12% 1%

Mark Kelly 63% 25% 12% 0%Martha McSally 58% 27% 12% 3%Democrat 72% 22% 6% 0%Republican 66% 25% 8% 2%Independent 51% 30% 19% 1%Strong Democrats 81% 14% 5% 0%Soft Democrats 59% 25% 15% 1%Soft Republicans 41% 42% 16% 2%Strong Republicans 72% 18% 8% 1%Maricopa County (Phoenix) 61% 26% 11% 2%Pima County (Tucson) 62% 29% 9% 0%Rest of State 59% 24% 16% 1%White 64% 26% 9% 1%Latino 53% 29% 18% 1%Less than $50,000 53% 31% 14% 1%$50,000 or more 66% 23% 10% 1%Not college graduate 56% 28% 15% 1%College graduate 67% 24% 8% 1%White - Not College Graduate 61% 27% 11% 1%White - College Graduate 66% 25% 7% 2%Men - White - Not College Graduate 56% 28% 15% 1%

Men - White - College Graduate 70% 20% 9% 0%

Women - White - Not College Graduate

67% 26% 6% 1%

Women - White - College Graduate 62% 30% 5% 3%

Under 45 45% 34% 20% 1%45 or older 71% 21% 6% 2%Gen Z/Millennials (18-39) 42% 35% 22% 1%Gen X (40-55) 62% 26% 11% 1%Baby Boomers (56-74) 72% 23% 4% 1%Silent-Greatest (Over 74) 79% 13% 5% 3%Men 61% 23% 16% 1%Women 61% 29% 8% 2%

65% 27% 8% 1%Big city 60% 27% 13% 0%Small city 61% 25% 13% 0%Suburban 65% 27% 8% 0%Small town/Rural 58% 25% 12% 5%

64% 21% 16% 0%

64% 32% 5% 0%

Small city/Suburban Men

Small city/Suburban Women

NBC News/Marist Poll Arizona Registered Voters with a Candidate Preference for U.S. Senate. Interviews conducted July 14th through July 22nd, 2020, n=745 MOE +/- 4.3 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

Age

Generation

Gender

White Evangelical Christians

Area Description

Race/Ethnicity

Household Income

Education

Race and Education

Gender - Race - Education

AZ Registered Voters with a Candidate Preference for U.S. Senate

U.S. Senate Candidate Support

Party Identification

Party Identification^

Region

STSSN1. NBC News/Marist Poll Arizona Tables July 14th through July 22nd, 2020

AZ Registered Voters with a Candidate Preference for U.S. SenateWould you say that you strongly support <candidate> somewhat support <candidate>, or do

you think that you might vote differently on Election Day?

9

Joe Biden Donald TrumpBoth would be equally

good Neither would be good Vol: It depends Vol: UnsureRow % Row % Row % Row % Row % Row %

35% 53% 4% 6% 1% 3%

35% 55% 3% 5% <1% 1%Joe Biden 69% 15% 6% 8% 1% 2%Donald Trump 1% 98% 0% 0% 0% 0%Democrat 76% 13% 4% 4% 0% 3%Republican 5% 92% 0% 2% 0% 1%Independent 34% 51% 5% 8% 1% 1%Strong Democrats 88% 6% 3% 3% 0% 0%Soft Democrats 55% 24% 8% 9% 1% 4%Soft Republicans 7% 89% 0% 4% 0% 1%Strong Republicans 4% 95% 0% 0% 0% 1%Democrat men 73% 19% 0% 3% 1% 4%Democrat women 77% 11% 5% 5% 0% 2%Republican men 6% 92% 0% 0% 0% 1%Republican women 4% 91% 0% 5% 0% 0%Independent men 29% 59% 5% 6% 0% 0%Independent women 40% 43% 5% 10% 1% 1%Maricopa County (Phoenix) 37% 51% 4% 6% 1% 3%Pima County (Tucson) 43% 50% 3% 3% 0% 1%Rest of State 25% 59% 4% 8% 0% 5%White 31% 59% 3% 5% 0% 2%Latino 41% 41% 5% 8% 0% 5%Less than $50,000 39% 49% 3% 4% 1% 4%$50,000 or more 32% 55% 5% 8% 0% 1%Not college graduate 30% 55% 4% 6% 0% 4%College graduate 43% 48% 3% 5% 1% 1%White - Not College Graduate 27% 65% 2% 4% 0% 2%White - College Graduate 37% 51% 4% 6% 1% 1%Men - White - Not College Graduate 20% 72% 2% 5% 0% 2%

Men - White - College Graduate 33% 58% 5% 3% 0% 1%

Women - White - Not College Graduate

34% 57% 2% 4% 0% 2%

Women - White - College Graduate 41% 44% 3% 9% 2% 0%

Under 45 34% 47% 5% 10% 1% 3%45 or older 35% 57% 3% 2% 0% 2%Gen Z/Millennials (18-39) 30% 48% 6% 11% 1% 4%Gen X (40-55) 38% 52% 4% 3% 0% 3%Baby Boomers (56-74) 36% 57% 2% 3% 0% 2%Silent-Greatest (Over 74) 37% 56% 3% 1% 0% 3%Men 28% 61% 3% 5% 1% 2%Women 41% 44% 4% 6% 0% 4%

20% 77% 2% 0% 0% 1%Big city 38% 53% 3% 4% 1% 1%Small city 29% 54% 6% 6% 0% 6%Suburban 43% 42% 5% 9% 0% 0%Small town/Rural 27% 62% 3% 5% 0% 3%

31% 55% 6% 8% 0% 0%

43% 40% 6% 7% 0% 5%

White Evangelical Christians

Area Description

Small city/Suburban Men

Small city/Suburban Women

NBC News/Marist Poll Arizona Adults. Interviews conducted July 14th through July 22nd, 2020, n=1020 MOE +/- 3.7 percentage points.^Arizona Registered Voters: n=826 MOE +/- 4.1 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

Race and Education

Gender - Race - Education

Age

Generation

Gender

Party ID and Gender^

Region

Race/Ethnicity

Household Income

Education

AZ Adults

AZ Registered Voters

Candidate Support

Party Identification^

Party Identification^

DTJBECO1. NBC News/Marist Poll Arizona Tables July 14th through July 22nd, 2020

AZ AdultsWho do you think would be better when it comes to dealing with the economy:

10

Joe Biden Donald TrumpBoth would be equally

good Neither would be good Vol: It depends Vol: UnsureRow % Row % Row % Row % Row % Row %

47% 34% 3% 13% 1% 3%

48% 37% 3% 11% <1% 2%Joe Biden 92% 2% 0% 5% 0% 1%Donald Trump 5% 79% 4% 10% 0% 1%Democrat 91% 3% 1% 3% 0% 2%Republican 12% 76% 4% 7% 0% 1%Independent 51% 26% 2% 19% 0% 2%Strong Democrats 95% 0% 1% 2% 1% 1%Soft Democrats 82% 6% 1% 10% 0% 2%Soft Republicans 16% 59% 5% 19% 0% 1%Strong Republicans 6% 83% 4% 6% 0% 1%Democrat men 89% 6% 1% 1% 1% 2%Democrat women 91% 1% 1% 4% 0% 2%Republican men 12% 74% 5% 8% 0% 1%Republican women 12% 78% 3% 6% 0% 1%Independent men 48% 30% 2% 18% 0% 1%Independent women 54% 22% 3% 19% 0% 2%Maricopa County (Phoenix) 51% 32% 2% 11% 1% 3%Pima County (Tucson) 46% 34% 4% 12% 0% 3%Rest of State 37% 38% 5% 16% 0% 3%White 43% 40% 3% 12% 0% 2%Latino 57% 19% 4% 14% 1% 6%Less than $50,000 50% 29% 5% 11% 2% 3%$50,000 or more 46% 35% 3% 15% 0% 1%Not college graduate 44% 34% 3% 14% 1% 4%College graduate 53% 31% 4% 11% 0% 1%White - Not College Graduate 39% 45% 3% 12% 0% 1%White - College Graduate 49% 34% 3% 13% 0% 2%Men - White - Not College Graduate 33% 52% 1% 13% 0% 1%

Men - White - College Graduate 47% 36% 2% 13% 0% 2%

Women - White - Not College Graduate

46% 38% 4% 10% 0% 2%

Women - White - College Graduate 51% 31% 4% 13% 0% 2%

Under 45 52% 20% 5% 18% 1% 3%45 or older 43% 44% 2% 8% 0% 3%Gen Z/Millennials (18-39) 53% 18% 5% 20% 1% 3%Gen X (40-55) 47% 37% 3% 10% 0% 3%Baby Boomers (56-74) 43% 46% 1% 8% 0% 2%Silent-Greatest (Over 74) 43% 45% 3% 5% 0% 4%Men 39% 40% 4% 14% 1% 2%Women 54% 28% 3% 11% 0% 4%

25% 57% 5% 10% 0% 2%Big city 51% 30% 3% 13% 2% 2%Small city 41% 36% 3% 13% 0% 7%Suburban 57% 30% 1% 11% 0% 1%Small town/Rural 36% 41% 6% 14% 0% 2%

44% 40% 3% 12% 0% 2%

55% 27% 1% 13% 0% 4%

Area Description

Small city/Suburban Men

Small city/Suburban Women

NBC News/Marist Poll Arizona Adults. Interviews conducted July 14th through July 22nd, 2020, n=1020 MOE +/- 3.7 percentage points.^Arizona Registered Voters: n=826 MOE +/- 4.1 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

Gender - Race - Education

Age

Generation

Gender

White Evangelical Christians

Region

Race/Ethnicity

Household Income

Education

Race and Education

AZ Registered Voters

Candidate Support

Party Identification^

Party Identification^

Party ID and Gender^

DTJBCV1. NBC News/Marist Poll Arizona Tables July 14th through July 22nd, 2020

AZ AdultsWho do you think would be better when it comes to dealing with the coronavirus:

AZ Adults

11

Joe Biden Donald TrumpBoth would be equally

good Neither would be good Vol: It depends Vol: UnsureRow % Row % Row % Row % Row % Row %

53% 31% 2% 11% <1% 3%

53% 33% 1% 10% <1% 2%Joe Biden 93% 1% 0% 4% 0% 1%Donald Trump 10% 74% 2% 12% 0% 2%Democrat 91% 2% 0% 5% 0% 2%Republican 15% 75% 1% 9% 0% 0%Independent 61% 21% 2% 14% 0% 2%Strong Democrats 97% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0%Soft Democrats 85% 4% 2% 8% 0% 2%Soft Republicans 28% 50% 3% 17% 0% 1%Strong Republicans 10% 83% 1% 7% 0% 0%Democrat men 93% 4% 0% 2% 0% 1%Democrat women 90% 1% 0% 6% 0% 2%Republican men 18% 71% 2% 8% 0% 0%Republican women 11% 78% 0% 10% 0% 0%Independent men 56% 26% 3% 13% 0% 2%Independent women 67% 17% 1% 15% 0% 1%Maricopa County (Phoenix) 54% 30% 3% 10% 0% 4%Pima County (Tucson) 57% 30% 3% 10% 0% 1%Rest of State 49% 33% 1% 14% 0% 2%White 50% 37% 2% 10% 0% 2%Latino 57% 17% 4% 16% 1% 5%Less than $50,000 60% 24% 2% 9% 0% 4%$50,000 or more 51% 33% 2% 13% 0% 1%Not college graduate 50% 31% 3% 12% 0% 3%College graduate 58% 30% 1% 9% 0% 2%White - Not College Graduate 47% 40% 2% 10% 0% 1%White - College Graduate 55% 33% 1% 9% 0% 2%Men - White - Not College Graduate 41% 43% 3% 12% 0% 1%

Men - White - College Graduate 51% 35% 2% 8% 0% 4%

Women - White - Not College Graduate

53% 36% 1% 8% 0% 2%

Women - White - College Graduate 58% 31% 1% 11% 0% 0%

Under 45 61% 17% 3% 17% 0% 2%45 or older 47% 42% 1% 6% 0% 3%Gen Z/Millennials (18-39) 61% 15% 3% 18% 0% 3%Gen X (40-55) 54% 32% 3% 10% 0% 1%Baby Boomers (56-74) 46% 43% 1% 5% 0% 4%Silent-Greatest (Over 74) 46% 44% 3% 3% 0% 4%Men 46% 36% 3% 12% 0% 2%Women 59% 25% 1% 10% 0% 4%

30% 56% 2% 9% 0% 4%Big city 56% 27% 3% 11% 0% 2%Small city 50% 33% 2% 11% 0% 4%Suburban 60% 28% 1% 10% 0% 2%Small town/Rural 44% 40% 2% 11% 0% 3%

50% 35% 3% 9% 0% 3%

61% 26% 0% 11% 0% 2%

Small city/Suburban Men

Small city/Suburban Women

NBC News/Marist Poll Arizona Adults. Interviews conducted July 14th through July 22nd, 2020, n=1020 MOE +/- 3.7 percentage points.^Arizona Registered Voters: n=826 MOE +/- 4.1 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

Age

Generation

Gender

White Evangelical Christians

Area Description

Race/Ethnicity

Household Income

Education

Race and Education

Gender - Race - Education

Candidate Support

Party Identification^

Party Identification^

Party ID and Gender^

Region

AZ AdultsWho do you think would be better when it comes to dealing with race relations:

AZ Adults

AZ Registered Voters

DTJBRR1. NBC News/Marist Poll Arizona Tables July 14th through July 22nd, 2020

12

Getting better Getting worse Staying about the same Vol: UnsureRow % Row % Row % Row %

17% 50% 31% 3%

18% 49% 32% 2%Joe Biden 5% 72% 22% 1%Donald Trump 33% 24% 40% 3%Democrat 5% 73% 21% 0%Republican 32% 28% 37% 2%Independent 16% 50% 33% 2%Strong Democrats 5% 77% 18% 1%Soft Democrats 5% 68% 26% 1%Soft Republicans 23% 35% 40% 2%Strong Republicans 38% 23% 36% 3%Democrat men 5% 68% 27% 0%Democrat women 5% 76% 18% 1%Republican men 32% 32% 33% 3%Republican women 32% 24% 42% 2%Independent men 16% 49% 33% 2%Independent women 15% 50% 33% 1%Maricopa County (Phoenix) 19% 49% 30% 2%Pima County (Tucson) 14% 57% 26% 4%Rest of State 13% 48% 37% 2%White 16% 48% 34% 3%Latino 14% 56% 28% 3%Less than $50,000 14% 53% 31% 2%$50,000 or more 18% 48% 31% 2%Not college graduate 17% 49% 32% 3%College graduate 16% 53% 30% 2%White - Not College Graduate 15% 46% 36% 3%White - College Graduate 16% 51% 31% 2%Men - White - Not College Graduate 16% 46% 35% 3%

Men - White - College Graduate 18% 42% 37% 3%

Women - White - Not College Graduate

15% 47% 37% 2%

Women - White - College Graduate 14% 60% 25% 2%

Under 45 10% 56% 32% 3%45 or older 22% 45% 31% 2%Gen Z/Millennials (18-39) 9% 58% 30% 3%Gen X (40-55) 19% 46% 33% 2%Baby Boomers (56-74) 25% 44% 29% 2%Silent-Greatest (Over 74) 16% 44% 37% 4%Men 18% 46% 33% 3%Women 15% 54% 29% 2%

21% 38% 40% 2%Big city 18% 53% 26% 3%Small city 13% 52% 33% 2%Suburban 14% 49% 35% 2%Small town/Rural 18% 44% 35% 3%

16% 46% 35% 3%

12% 54% 33% 1%

White Evangelical Christians

Area Description

Small city/Suburban Men

Small city/Suburban Women

NBC News/Marist Poll Arizona Adults. Interviews conducted July 14th through July 22nd, 2020, n=1020 MOE +/- 3.7 percentage points.^Arizona Registered Voters: n=826 MOE +/- 4.1 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

Race and Education

Gender - Race - Education

Age

Generation

Gender

Party ID and Gender^

Region

Race/Ethnicity

Household Income

Education

AZ Adults

AZ Registered Voters

Candidate Support

Party Identification^

Party Identification^

CVSTTE1. NBC News/Marist Poll Arizona Tables July 14th through July 22nd, 2020

AZ AdultsThinking about the coronavirus pandemic in Arizona, do you think things are:

13