How the Survey was Conducted Nature of the Sample: NBC ...maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/MIpolls/MI170813/NBC News… · How the Survey was Conducted Nature of the Sample:

How the Survey was Conducted

Nature of the Sample: NBC News/Marist Poll of 907 Michigan Adults This survey of 907 adults was conducted August 13th through August 17th, 2017 by The Marist Poll

sponsored in partnership with NBC News. Adults 18 years of age and older residing in the state of

Michigan were contacted on landline or mobile numbers and interviewed in English by telephone using

live interviewers. Mobile telephone numbers were randomly selected based upon a list of telephone

exchanges from throughout the state from Survey Sampling International. The exchanges were selected

to ensure that each region was represented in proportion to its population. Mobile phones are treated as

individual devices. After validation of age, personal ownership, and non-business-use of the mobile

phone, interviews are typically conducted with the person answering the phone. To increase coverage,

this mobile sample was supplemented by respondents reached through random dialing of landline phone

numbers from ASDE Survey Sampler, Inc. Within each landline household, a single respondent is

selected through a random selection process to increase the representativeness of traditionally under-

covered survey populations. Assistance was provided by Luce Research for data collection. The samples

were then combined and balanced to reflect the 2013 American Community Survey 5-year estimates for

age, gender, income, race, and region. Results are statistically significant within ±3.3 percentage points.

There are 795 registered voters. The results for this subset are statistically significant within ±3.5

percentage points. There are 270 Republican and Republican leaning independents. The results for this

subset are statistically significant within ±6.0 percentage points. The error margin was not adjusted for

sample weights and increases for cross-tabulations.

Michigan Adults Michigan Registered Voters

Col % Col %

100%

88% 100%

Democrat n/a 33%

Republican n/a 23%

Independent n/a 41%

Other n/a 3%

Very liberal n/a 5%

Liberal n/a 22%

Moderate n/a 37%

Conservative n/a 27%

Very conservative n/a 8%

n/a 16%

Support Tea Party n/a 32%

Do Not Support Tea Party n/a 68%

Men 48% 47%

Women 52% 53%

Under 45 45% 42%

45 or older 55% 58%

18 to 29 21% 18%

30 to 44 24% 24%

45 to 59 29% 30%

60 or older 26% 28%

White 78% 79%

African American 13% 14%

Latino 3% 3%

Other 5% 5%

Wayne County Detroit 18% 17%

Oakland and Macomb Counties 21% 21%

Southeast 22% 22%

Southwest 19% 19%

North Central-Upper Peninsula 20% 20%

Less than $50,000 52% 49%

$50,000 or more 48% 51%

Not college graduate 64% 62%

College graduate 36% 38%

White - Not College Graduate 49% 48%

White - College Graduate 29% 31%

Non-White - Not College Graduate 15% 14%

Non-White - College Graduate 7% 7%

21% 21%

Landline 36% 38%

Cell Phone 64% 62%

NBC News/Marist Poll Michigan Adults. Interviews conducted August 13th through August 17th, 2017, n=907 MOE +/- 3.3 percentage points. Michigan Registered Voters: n=795 MOE +/- 3.5 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

Interview Type

Region

Household Income

Education

Race and Education

White Evangelical Christians

Republicans

Gender

Age

Age

Race

Party Identification

Political Ideology

Tea Party Supporters

Michigan Adults

Michigan Registered Voters

Nature of the Sample - Michigan

Approve Disapprove Unsure

Row % Row % Row %36% 55% 10%

36% 55% 9%

Democrat 7% 88% 5%

Republican 80% 16% 4%

Independent 35% 52% 13%

Very liberal-Liberal 8% 88% 4%

Moderate 28% 61% 12%

Conservative-Very conservative 68% 25% 7%

74% 24% 2%

Support Tea Party 91% 8% 1%

Do Not Support Tea Party 71% 20% 9%

84% 9% 6%

Wayne County Detroit 30% 62% 8%

Oakland and Macomb Counties 37% 54% 9%

Southeast 33% 57% 10%

Southwest 38% 47% 15%

North Central-Upper Peninsula 41% 52% 7%

Less than $50,000 34% 56% 11%

$50,000 or more 36% 57% 7%

Not college graduate 36% 52% 12%

College graduate 35% 58% 7%

White 38% 51% 11%

African American 10% 88% 2%

18 to 29 33% 57% 10%

30 to 44 31% 57% 13%

45 to 59 40% 51% 8%

60 or older 37% 55% 9%

Under 45 32% 57% 11%

45 or older 38% 53% 9%

Men 45% 44% 11%

Women 27% 64% 9%

White - Not College Graduate 41% 47% 12%

White - College Graduate 34% 58% 8%

58% 33% 9%

Landline 37% 56% 8%

Cell Phone 35% 54% 11%

NBC News/Marist Poll Michigan Adults. Interviews conducted August 13th through August 17th, 2017, n=907 MOE +/- 3.3 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.^Michigan Registered Voters: n=795 MOE +/- 3.5 percentage points.

Age

Gender

Race and Education


Interview Type

Region

Household Income

Education

Race

Age

Party Identification^

Political Ideology^

Tea Party Supporters^

Republicans

Trump Supporters

Michigan AdultsDo you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing

as president?

Michigan Adults


NBC News/Marist Poll Michigan Tables

NBC News/Marist Poll Michigan August 2017 1

Strongly approve Approve Disapprove Strongly disapprove Unsure

Row % Row % Row % Row % Row %19% 17% 16% 38% 10%

19% 16% 15% 40% 9%

Democrat 4% 3% 14% 74% 5%

Republican 47% 33% 10% 6% 4%

Independent 18% 18% 18% 34% 13%

Very liberal-Liberal 2% 5% 19% 69% 4%

Moderate 11% 16% 19% 42% 12%

Conservative-Very conservative 43% 25% 10% 15% 7%

47% 27% 13% 10% 2%

Support Tea Party 60% 31% 6% 2% 1%

Do Not Support Tea Party 36% 35% 12% 9% 9%

49% 35% 8% 2% 6%

Wayne County Detroit 17% 13% 13% 49% 8%

Oakland and Macomb Counties 20% 17% 19% 35% 9%

Southeast 17% 16% 14% 43% 10%

Southwest 17% 20% 12% 35% 15%

North Central-Upper Peninsula 23% 18% 22% 30% 7%

Less than $50,000 15% 18% 19% 37% 11%

$50,000 or more 22% 14% 14% 42% 7%

Not college graduate 18% 18% 19% 34% 12%

College graduate 20% 15% 12% 46% 7%

White 21% 17% 17% 34% 11%

African American 4% 5% 17% 72% 2%

18 to 29 13% 20% 22% 34% 10%

30 to 44 17% 13% 19% 38% 13%

45 to 59 20% 20% 15% 37% 8%

60 or older 23% 14% 11% 44% 9%

Under 45 15% 16% 20% 36% 11%

45 or older 22% 17% 13% 40% 9%

Men 23% 21% 16% 29% 11%

Women 15% 13% 17% 47% 9%

White - Not College Graduate 22% 19% 19% 27% 12%

White - College Graduate 20% 14% 14% 44% 8%

35% 23% 14% 19% 9%

Landline 24% 13% 14% 42% 8%

Cell Phone 16% 19% 18% 36% 11%

Interview Type


Age

Age

Gender

Race and Education


Trump Supporters

Region

Household Income

Education

Race



Political Ideology^


Republicans

Michigan AdultsDo you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? [And, would you say you

strongly approve/disapprove of the job he is doing or just approve/disapprove?]

Michigan Adults



Favorable Unfavorable Unsure-Never Heard

Row % Row % Row %34% 59% 8%

34% 59% 7%

Democrat 6% 90% 5%






71% 27% 2%



80% 13% 7%

Approve 87% 9% 4%

Disapprove 2% 95% 3%






Less than $50,000 32% 59% 9%

$50,000 or more 35% 60% 5%



White 38% 56% 7%


18 to 29 25% 67% 8%

30 to 44 33% 57% 10%

45 to 59 40% 54% 6%

60 or older 35% 58% 7%

Under 45 29% 62% 9%

45 or older 37% 56% 6%

Men 43% 48% 9%

Women 25% 68% 6%



54% 39% 6%

Landline 36% 56% 7%


Race and Education


Interview Type


Education

Race

Age

Age

Gender

Republicans

Trump Supporters

Trump Approval Rating

Region

Household Income

Michigan Adults



Political Ideology^


Michigan AdultsOverall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of

Donald Trump?




Row % Row % Row %31% 55% 15%

30% 55% 15%

Democrat 7% 85% 9%






49% 42% 10%



62% 26% 12%

Approve 59% 30% 12%







Less than $50,000 30% 56% 13%

$50,000 or more 33% 55% 12%



White 34% 51% 14%


18 to 29 35% 53% 12%

30 to 44 26% 56% 18%

45 to 59 31% 54% 15%

60 or older 31% 56% 13%

Under 45 30% 55% 15%

45 or older 31% 55% 14%

Men 35% 49% 15%

Women 26% 60% 14%



47% 37% 16%

Landline 29% 55% 16%


Race and Education


Interview Type


Education

Race

Age

Age

Gender

Republicans

Trump Supporters


Region

Household Income

Michigan Adults



Political Ideology^



the Republican Party?




Row % Row % Row %42% 44% 14%

43% 43% 14%

Democrat 78% 14% 8%






20% 76% 4%



19% 74% 8%

Approve 21% 72% 7%







Less than $50,000 47% 37% 16%

$50,000 or more 39% 53% 9%



White 41% 46% 13%


18 to 29 41% 42% 16%

30 to 44 46% 41% 13%

45 to 59 40% 48% 12%

60 or older 42% 44% 14%

Under 45 44% 42% 15%

45 or older 41% 46% 13%

Men 33% 53% 14%

Women 50% 36% 14%



32% 57% 11%



Race and Education


Interview Type


Education

Race

Age

Age

Gender

Republicans

Trump Supporters


Region

Household Income

Michigan Adults



Political Ideology^



the Democratic Party?




Row % Row % Row %38% 31% 31%

39% 32% 28%

Democrat 61% 14% 26%






17% 60% 23%



21% 59% 21%

Approve 19% 54% 27%







Less than $50,000 38% 24% 38%

$50,000 or more 37% 41% 22%



White 38% 32% 30%


18 to 29 25% 21% 54%

30 to 44 35% 36% 29%

45 to 59 36% 38% 27%

60 or older 53% 27% 20%

Under 45 30% 29% 41%

45 or older 44% 33% 24%

Men 30% 40% 30%

Women 45% 23% 32%



34% 39% 27%



Race and Education


Interview Type


Education

Race

Age

Age

Gender

Republicans

Trump Supporters


Region

Household Income

Michigan Adults



Political Ideology^



Debbie Stabenow?




Row % Row % Row %38% 32% 30%

36% 34% 30%







48% 26% 26%



53% 18% 29%

Approve 53% 17% 30%







Less than $50,000 37% 29% 34%

$50,000 or more 40% 37% 23%



White 40% 31% 29%


18 to 29 45% 29% 26%

30 to 44 40% 40% 20%

45 to 59 43% 29% 28%

60 or older 25% 31% 44%

Under 45 43% 35% 22%

45 or older 34% 30% 35%

Men 42% 33% 25%

Women 35% 31% 34%



42% 25% 33%



Race and Education


Interview Type


Education

Race

Age

Age

Gender

Republicans

Trump Supporters


Region

Household Income

Michigan Adults



Political Ideology^



Robert Ritchie known as "Kid Rock"?




Row % Row % Row %37% 47% 16%

37% 48% 15%







59% 30% 11%



59% 29% 13%

Approve 57% 30% 13%







Less than $50,000 37% 47% 16%

$50,000 or more 38% 49% 14%



White 40% 44% 16%


18 to 29 38% 40% 22%

30 to 44 32% 54% 14%

45 to 59 37% 50% 13%

60 or older 39% 45% 16%

Under 45 35% 47% 18%

45 or older 38% 48% 14%

Men 40% 43% 17%

Women 33% 52% 15%



54% 31% 15%



Race and Education


Interview Type


Education

Race

Age

Age

Gender

Republicans

Trump Supporters


Region

Household Income

Michigan Adults



Political Ideology^


Michigan Adults

Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Rick Snyder?



A Congress controlled by Republicans

A Congress controlled by Democrats Undecided

Row % Row % Row %35% 48% 17%

Democrat 3% 92% 5%






75% 17% 8%



78% 9% 13%

Approve 77% 9% 14%







Less than $50,000 30% 54% 16%

$50,000 or more 41% 48% 12%



White 38% 44% 17%


18 to 29 33% 51% 16%

30 to 44 33% 52% 15%

45 to 59 36% 49% 16%

60 or older 37% 43% 20%

Under 45 33% 51% 16%

45 or older 36% 46% 18%

Men 41% 41% 18%

Women 30% 54% 16%



56% 27% 16%




Interview Type

NBC News/Marist Poll Michigan Registered Voters. Interviews conducted August 13th through August 17th, 2017, n=795 MOE +/- 3.5 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

Race

Age

Age

Gender

Race and Education

Trump Supporters


Region

Household Income

Education



Political Ideology


Republicans

Michigan Registered VotersNow, knowing it is a long way off, what is your preference for the

outcome of next year's congressional elections:



Strengthened Weakened Unsure

Row % Row % Row %42% 39% 19%

42% 39% 19%







77% 12% 10%



87% 5% 8%

Approve 89% 4% 7%







Less than $50,000 38% 40% 22%

$50,000 or more 46% 41% 14%



White 46% 34% 20%


18 to 29 38% 45% 17%

30 to 44 37% 46% 17%

45 to 59 50% 29% 20%

60 or older 40% 40% 20%

Under 45 38% 45% 17%

45 or older 45% 35% 20%

Men 51% 31% 17%

Women 33% 47% 20%



57% 27% 16%



Race and Education


Interview Type


Education

Race

Age

Age

Gender

Republicans

Trump Supporters


Region

Household Income

Michigan Adults



Political Ideology^


Michigan AdultsDo you think the United States' economy has been strengthened or

weakened by Donald Trump's decisions as president?



Winning Losing Unsure

Row % Row % Row %40% 47% 13%

40% 47% 13%

Democrat 15% 76% 8%






76% 19% 5%



77% 11% 12%

Approve 80% 9% 11%







Less than $50,000 40% 47% 13%

$50,000 or more 40% 50% 10%



White 42% 44% 14%


18 to 29 33% 52% 14%

30 to 44 38% 48% 15%

45 to 59 48% 41% 10%

60 or older 37% 49% 14%

Under 45 36% 50% 15%

45 or older 43% 45% 12%

Men 44% 42% 13%

Women 35% 51% 13%



59% 30% 11%



Race and Education


Interview Type


Education

Race

Age

Age

Gender

Republicans

Trump Supporters


Region

Household Income

Michigan Adults



Political Ideology^


Michigan Adults

When it comes to delivering on campaign promises, so far, do you think Donald Trump is winning or losing on bringing

manufacturing jobs back to the U.S.?



Strengthened Weakened Unsure

Row % Row % Row %34% 59% 7%

33% 59% 8%

Democrat 8% 89% 3%




Moderate 26% 69% 5%


67% 27% 5%



76% 15% 8%

Approve 81% 12% 7%







Less than $50,000 34% 59% 8%

$50,000 or more 35% 61% 4%



White 38% 55% 8%


18 to 29 27% 69% 5%

30 to 44 31% 60% 8%

45 to 59 41% 53% 6%

60 or older 34% 56% 10%

Under 45 29% 64% 7%

45 or older 38% 54% 8%

Men 43% 49% 7%

Women 25% 67% 7%



54% 39% 7%

Landline 34% 57% 8%


Race and Education


Interview Type


Education

Race

Age

Age

Gender

Republicans

Trump Supporters


Region

Household Income

Michigan Adults



Political Ideology^


Michigan Adults

Do you think the United States' role on the world stage has been strengthened or weakened by Donald Trump's decisions as

president?



A great deal of confidence A good amount Not very much No confidence at all

Row % Row % Row % Row %18% 23% 17% 42%

18% 23% 16% 43%

Democrat 4% 7% 14% 75%

Republican 38% 48% 5% 9%

Independent 20% 23% 20% 38%

Very liberal-Liberal 7% 7% 10% 76%

Moderate 11% 21% 28% 41%

Conservative-Very conservative 36% 38% 7% 19%

38% 41% 7% 15%

Support Tea Party 47% 45% 6% 2%

Do Not Support Tea Party 36% 41% 11% 13%

43% 45% 7% 5%

Approve 44% 48% 4% 5%

Disapprove 2% 5% 23% 70%

Wayne County Detroit 18% 15% 15% 52%

Oakland and Macomb Counties 19% 25% 20% 36%

Southeast 12% 23% 14% 51%

Southwest 21% 25% 17% 37%

North Central-Upper Peninsula 19% 28% 18% 35%

Less than $50,000 13% 25% 18% 43%

$50,000 or more 21% 20% 17% 42%

Not college graduate 17% 26% 18% 40%

College graduate 20% 19% 16% 46%

White 20% 25% 17% 39%

African American 4% 6% 21% 69%

18 to 29 14% 25% 21% 40%

30 to 44 18% 22% 12% 48%

45 to 59 19% 25% 17% 38%

60 or older 18% 20% 18% 44%

Under 45 16% 23% 16% 44%

45 or older 19% 23% 18% 41%

Men 22% 29% 15% 35%

Women 14% 18% 19% 49%

White - Not College Graduate 19% 28% 18% 35%

White - College Graduate 20% 19% 16% 45%

29% 32% 16% 23%

Landline 19% 21% 16% 44%

Cell Phone 17% 25% 17% 41%

Race and Education


Interview Type


Education

Race

Age

Age

Gender

Republicans

Trump Supporters


Region

Household Income

Michigan Adults



Political Ideology^


Michigan AdultsHow much confidence do you have in Donald Trump to lead the nation in an

international crisis:



Proud Embarrassed Unsure

Row % Row % Row %28% 64% 9%

28% 64% 8%

Democrat 8% 89% 3%




Moderate 18% 73% 9%


63% 29% 8%



66% 21% 13%

Approve 72% 16% 11%







Less than $50,000 27% 65% 8%

$50,000 or more 28% 65% 7%



White 32% 60% 8%


18 to 29 21% 71% 8%

30 to 44 27% 65% 7%

45 to 59 32% 59% 9%

60 or older 28% 62% 10%

Under 45 24% 68% 8%

45 or older 30% 61% 9%

Men 35% 55% 10%

Women 21% 72% 7%



47% 47% 6%



Race and Education


Interview Type


Education

Race

Age

Age

Gender

Republicans

Trump Supporters


Region

Household Income

Michigan Adults



Political Ideology^


Michigan Adults

Does Donald Trump's conduct as president so far make you feel:



For Hillary ClintonAgainst Donald

Trump Unsure

Row % Row % Row %61% 38% 1%

Democrat 72% 28% 0%



Moderate 51% 46% 3%

Less than $50,000 64% 34% 2%

$50,000 or more 55% 43% 1%



Under 45 48% 51% 1%

45 or older 69% 29% 2%

Men 51% 47% 2%

Women 66% 33% 1%



Landline 68% 31% 1%


Age

Gender

Race and Education

Interview Type

NBC News/Marist Poll Michigan Clinton Supporters. Interviews conducted August 13th through August 17th, 2017, n=323 MOE +/- 5.5 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

Michigan Clinton Supporters


Political Ideology

Household Income

Education

Michigan Clinton SupportersDid you vote for Hillary Clinton because you were for her or

against Donald Trump?



For Donald TrumpAgainst Hillary

Clinton Unsure

Row % Row % Row %67% 30% 4%



Moderate 68% 30% 2%


71% 25% 4%



Less than $50,000 72% 23% 5%

$50,000 or more 64% 34% 2%



Under 45 70% 24% 6%

45 or older 66% 32% 3%

Men 67% 29% 4%

Women 66% 31% 3%



69% 29% 2%

Landline 69% 29% 2%



NBC News/Marist Poll Michigan Trump Supporters. Interviews conducted August 13th through August 17th, 2017, n=279 MOE +/- 5.9 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

Age

Gender

Race and Education


Interview Type

Political Ideology


Republicans

Household Income

Education

Michigan Trump SupportersDid you vote for Donald Trump because you were for him or

against Hillary Clinton?

Michigan Trump Supporters



Unite Divide Unsure

Row % Row % Row %48% 37% 16%







57% 27% 15%

Less than $50,000 45% 38% 16%

$50,000 or more 46% 38% 16%



Under 45 35% 47% 18%

45 or older 55% 31% 14%

Men 47% 44% 9%

Women 48% 28% 24%



56% 29% 15%



Interview Type

NBC News/Marist Poll Michigan Republicans and Republican leaning Independents. Interviews conducted August 13th through August 17th, 2017, n=270 MOE +/- 6.0 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

Education

Age

Gender

Race and Education



Political Ideology

Republicans

Trump Supporters

Household Income

Republicans and Republican leaning independentsDo you think Donald Trump is doing more to unite the

Republican party as president, or doing more to divide the Republican party?

Republicans and Republican leaning independents




Row % Row % Row %64% 31% 5%

63% 31% 5%

Democrat 96% 3% 1%




Moderate 71% 24% 5%


31% 67% 2%



24% 71% 4%

Approve 26% 71% 3%







Less than $50,000 68% 28% 4%

$50,000 or more 62% 33% 5%



White 60% 34% 6%


18 to 29 76% 20% 5%

30 to 44 62% 32% 6%

45 to 59 58% 38% 4%

60 or older 62% 32% 6%

Under 45 69% 26% 5%

45 or older 60% 35% 5%

Men 58% 37% 5%

Women 69% 26% 5%



44% 52% 4%

Landline 61% 32% 7%


Race and Education


Interview Type


Education

Race

Age

Age

Gender

Republicans

Trump Supporters


Region

Household Income

Michigan Adults



Political Ideology^



Barack Obama?




Row % Row % Row %56% 33% 12%

58% 32% 10%

Democrat 87% 7% 6%






25% 71% 4%



21% 65% 14%

Approve 21% 67% 13%







Less than $50,000 58% 29% 12%

$50,000 or more 54% 38% 8%



White 53% 35% 12%


18 to 29 65% 28% 7%

30 to 44 56% 33% 11%

45 to 59 49% 37% 14%

60 or older 56% 31% 14%

Under 45 60% 30% 9%

45 or older 52% 34% 14%

Men 50% 38% 12%

Women 61% 28% 11%



40% 45% 15%



Race and Education


Interview Type


Education

Race

Age

Age

Gender

Republicans

Trump Supporters


Region

Household Income

Michigan Adults



Political Ideology^



Bernie Sanders?



Documents

How the Survey was Conducted Nature of the Sample: NBC ...maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/MIpolls/MI170813/NBC News… · How the Survey was Conducted Nature of the Sample: