How Draft NTP 2011 Affect Foreign Equipment Vendors

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    How draft National Telecom Policy 2011 affect foreign equipment

    vendors2011-10-15 15:29:46, India

    The National Telecom Policy 2011 has several references to the global context, besides itsoverwhelming reference to becoming a self-sufficient telecom nation. In his national address,

    Kapil Sibal, Minister of Telecommunications & HRD, mentioned several measures to make India

    a global telecom hub " in terms of manufacturing, VAS and other internationally-followed

    telecom practices.

    Judging from past experience, these lofty ambitions have never come to life, due to problems

    unique to our country " in terms of a telecom market with the highest number of service

    providers, but lowest ARPUs and tariffs, the urban-rural telephony divide, underutilization and

    hoarding of spectrum, insufficient fixed line penetration, inadequate broadband and internet

    penetration, and disunity amongst telecom bodies, to name the most important.

    However, the telecom minister and his ministry seems determined this time to put preaching into

    practice, and has thus come out with clear-cut strategies for implementing these goals, in a

    measured time-frame.

    "The draft NTP 2011 released by the Minister of Communications is expected to take the

    country into the next stage of inclusive growth. We understand that the government will now

    initiate the consultative process across multiple stakeholders including the telecom operators.

    Idea Cellular will actively participate in this consultation as the country formulates its new

    telecom policy. There are several areas that are included in the proposals and we will need to

    review each of them with our experts, before reverting to the policy maker, with our comments,"said Idea Cellular in a statement.

    One of the key questions is what effect NTP 2011 will have on the global perspective?

    One of the most obvious effects relates to the goal of making India a global hub for telecom

    manufacturing, while becoming self-sufficient to supply 80 percent of the country's own telecom

    equipment needs by 2020, which will include domestically-manufactured telecom networks.

    While 80 percent of telecom equipment today is imported, due to poor quality of indigenous

    equipment, the telecom ministry now plans to spend more to bring R&D and local telecom

    manufacturing on par with international standards, making more provisions for entrepreneurship

    and local manufacturing to be encouraged, with a Rs 2,50,000 crore domestic demand within

    the country itself.

    This follows DoT's directive for the 12th Five-Year Plan to provide 100 percent preference to

    indigenous telecomequipment and products. In April, TRAI has also recommended an increase

    of indigenous telecom products from three percent in 2009-10 to 80 percent by 2020. To take

    this forward, TRAI had said that it would provide incentives to operators and Indian

    manufacturers. The Centre also said that it had plans to restrict import of telecom equipment to

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    a maximum of 20 percent over an eight-year period, while funding a National Electronics

    Mission, and incentivizing telecom, IT and electronics manufacturers to boost production. Kapil

    Sibal also reiterated the same statement, saying that the telecom ministry would support

    advanced electronic manufacturing for telecom equipment.

    However, this move will affect foreign equipment vendors, for whom India and South Asia arethe most lucrative market for export of telecom equipment. In recent months, foreign equipment

    vendors like NSN, Ericsson, Alcatel-Lucent and ZTE have expanded their India presence,

    opening several R&D facilities, to jointly manufacture telecom equipment in India. Since global

    markets are now facing a cash crunch, investment in telecom equipment has dropped, so India

    reducing or cutting off its telecom imports, will have drastic effects on foreign equipment

    vendors.

    Another aspect of the NTP 2011 that will have far-reaching effects on India's global relations,

    are the broadband initiatives. With a mission to provide "broadband for all' and "on-demand',

    with a special focus on rural areas, while using broadband for purposes of governance,

    education and finance, among others, the telecom ministry aims to achieve a target of 175

    million broadband users by 2017 and 600 million by 2020, while increasing rural tele-density

    from the current 35 percent to 60 percent by 2017 and to 100 percent by 2020. The ministry

    also aims to actively increase broadband speed for all from 256 Kbps to a minimum of 2 Mbps

    by 2015, and 100 Mbps by 2020. Broadband will also be utilized from other sources like radio,

    satellite, TV, cable and others.

    This is a welcome move from the global perspective, as it will mean that India may finally be

    able to get new technology and products at the same time as they are released globally. As of

    now, it takes close to six months to a year, for new products to reach India, since the technology

    available is not on par with that offered abroad. Increasing broadband penetration will also helpin quicker migration to next-generation technologies like 4G and LTE, currently in trials abroad

    and making optimum use of the same. The ministry's decision to look into freeing up more

    spectrum on a 5-year basis and shifting existing service providers to alternate frequency bands,

    to make provision for new technologies will also help in this respect. 3G has also not reached its

    optimum potential in India, due to poor broadband penetration in the country, and hence new

    3G-based devices are taking time to enter the Indian market.

    MNP has been very successful abroad, but in India has not garnered much traction. However,

    combined with abolishing roaming charges, allowing subscribers to keep their mobile numbers

    when they move to another city in the country, with no roaming charges, will pave the way for

    more innovation in this respect, as is the case abroad, paving the way for free calls betweennetworks in the future. However, Indian operators who are already under pressure for low tariffs

    and ARPUs, will stand to lose a huge chunk of revenues from subscribers, with roaming fees

    being lifted " both for 2G and 3G. Very recently, mobile operators were pulled up by TRAI for

    increasing mobile tariffs, while 3G operators were pulled up for making roaming

    arrangements among themselves, without taking prior permission from the government or

    paying the fee to the government in this regard.

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    The decision to recognize telecom as an infrastructure sector and relax M&A norms for

    consolidation, as well as reducing overall taxation on the telecom sector, as well as carriage

    charges, will also help in more investments from MNCs and global telecom companies, who are

    currently put off by the high cost of taxation and fees they have to pay on a yearly basis for

    operating in the country. The decision to segregate the network service operator and thenetwork delivery operator " providing different roles for each, may also help to encourage FDI

    in the sector, while making telecom services seamless. Creation of a finance co-operation to

    facilitate investment in the telecom sector will also ease investment procedures for global

    companies.

    Security is yet another important aspect, which foreign equipment vendors " like Chinese

    equipment manufacturers and RIM have been facing issues with in India, for inability to provide

    security of equipment andlawful interception " resulting in a ban of Chinese telecom equipment

    for a few months last year. While service providers have to ensure security of data flowing

    through their networks, there was a conflict between them and the government when they were

    asked to set up security monitoring cells by themselves, and train people for the same. After

    this, the DoT said that it would set up a central security monitoring unit, and bring in

    professionals from abroad to train Indians to work in this unit.

    Taking this forward, NTP 2011 aims to develop systems for lawful assistance, and build

    capacity for lawful interception and monitoring, while making provisions for the government and

    service providers to share the cost of implementing security measures, and standardizing

    telecom equipment, so standard of security for all telecom equipment " whether local or foreign

    is universal. This step will no doubt come as a big relief to foreign equipment vendors, who have

    been struggling for months with the government to establish a single security standard, which all

    can abide by, while testing their own equipment at source as well.

    The recognition of telecom as an infrastructure sector is a good step and it would give telecom

    operators some relief on the tax front. The new guidelines to allow net telephony from phone is

    also a welcome move and it will have a major impact on the unified communication industry,

    according to Frost & Sullivan.

    "In the new policy we had some expectations on Government's clear roadmap on spectrum

    renewal charges and reframing. Though the move to create a Spectrum Act to look into this is a

    good step, we fear that it will delay the process for determining the spectrum related liabilities

    for the operators," said Frost & Sullivan in a statement.

    Considering revenue generation as secondary and abolishing roaming, with focus on QoS is

    really going to pave way for the entire ecosystem. Spectrum sharing, pooling and trading would

    allow the operators to increase QoS without any significant expenses and open a parallel

    revenue stream. Unified licensing regime and transparent allocation policies at market rates

    would prevent any controversies. However, it would be interesting to watch the implementation

    as 600 Million broadband users, at 100 Mbps and 80 percent domestic manufacturing by 2020

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    really looks optimistic.

    Other proposed features of NTP 2011, like setting up of training institutes for telecom, in

    accordance with global standards, making provisions for transitions from IPv4 to IPv6 " the

    standard that the world is currently migrating to, and formulating new policies to address cloud

    services and M2M issues, are also steps in the right direction to bringing Indian on par withglobal telecom standards. The decision to bring in more applications on IPv6, will also aid in the

    goal of making India a global VAS hub, as declared by the telecom minister.

    According to a recent report by Gartner, the investments in the telecom sector are set to reach

    $566 million in 2012, up from $512 million in 2011, with IT spend going up to $1.8 billion in

    2012. FDI investment in thetelecom sectorin India has witnessed a significant decline of almost

    35 percent, with total FDI investment in FY2011 pegged at $1.7 billion, as compared with $2.6

    billion in FY2010. Investments in this sector by leading operators were also down by 50 per

    cent. It is hoped that the NTP 2011, will change these statistics, with its heavy emphasis on

    making India a global telecom hub.

    By Beryl M

    [email protected]

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