Harvard presentation

The Future

The Futureof

Interaction

Different Life CyclesRequire a Different Kind of Programming

- Users- Content- Display- Furniture- Interior- Sensors- Shell

Fantasy

Technology Practicality

Drivers

Fantasy

Media Shape Our Vision

Fantasy

But They Shape a Different Visionfor Each Generation

Machine as Point Solution

Man vs. Machine

Man Orchestrates immersive Computation

Man and Machine Are One

- Boomers build telecom backbone and invests in platforms. - Gen X builds WWW on top

- Gen Y Builds Social Computing

It takes 10-20 years to build a new technology platform

Each Generationhas a different vision

of the Future

Here is How 40 Year olds at MicrosoftSees 2019 Today

Aweful Cool,But Theyre Stuckon the Holodeck.

In the future,there isnt a difference between

the user and the system.

The people building it grew up in the Matrix.

Its Minority Report vs.

Avatar

Fantasy


Drivers

Technology

Materials and DistributionShape Whats Possible

Sensor Network Processing NetworkTrigger Display

Now- Mobile Computing- Location Aware Apps- Tablet PCs

2-5 Years- Intenet TV- Social Software- Video Telepresence- Online Video- Public Virtual Worlds- Cloud Computing- SOA

5-10 Years

- 3D Flat-Panel Displays- Context Delivery Architecture- Video Search- Surface Computers- Augmented Reality- Personal Monitoring

Always On the Horizon

- Wireless Power- Case-level RFID- Speech Recognition- Mesh/Ad Hoc Networks

Sensing


1 MP Digital Camera

Era Cost1994-95 $10,000 2010 $1-3 2020 ?

Types of Sensing

3DVisionMotionSound

RFCapacitance/Resistance

What This Means

It will cost very little for materials to be aware.

Key Trade Off

Installation vs. Security vs. Lifespan

Processing


Rendering Toystory

Era Computer Hours Cost1994-95 800,000 $20,000,0002010 12.5 $42020 5 Seconds $.02

What This Means

We can compute really fastor really energy efficiently.

Key Trade Off

Speed vs. Heat

Network


Display

Era Cost1994-95 $10,000 2010 $4502020 ?

42 Display

Types of DisplayASS

PlasmaLCDLED

OLEDBistable

Roll to RollEmissive Materials

Types of Display

Autostereoscopic

Types of Display

Roll to Roll

What This Means

Order of magnitude price drop in electronics and lighting cost.

Key Trade Off

electronics vs. light vs. mechanical

Network


Network

Era Speed1994-95 56k 2010 1.5 Mbps2020 2.5 GBps

Types of Network

Wired vs. Wireless

What This Means

Streaming Realtime Media

Key Trade Off

Wiredcost/time of install/upgrade vs. speed

WirelessSpeed vs. Concrete

The Future is Here

It Just Isnt Evenly Distributed

Interface still existsin frames

Today system is aware of actions.

Tomorrow, the system is aware of users

Technology isnt on the walls.It is the walls.

Its Minority Report vs.

Avatar

Fantasy


Drivers

It will cost very little for materials to be aware.

We can compute really fastor really energy efficiently.

Order of magnitude price drop in video electronics and lighting cost.

Streaming Realtime, interactive Media

The Future of Interaction

Different Life CyclesRequire a Different Kind of Programming

- Users- Content- Display- Furniture- Interior- Sensors- Shell

This Makes Strange Things Happen

Physical Environment Modelled in Virtual Environment

Light = VideoVideo = Surface Finish

Sound = PartitionsSensors = User-centered Environments

So, What Do We Need to Invent for You?

Physical Environment Modelled in Virtual Environment

Light = VideoVideo = Surface Finish

Sound = PartitionsSensors = User-centered Environments

Documents

Harvard presentation