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SUSTAINABLE MANAGEMENT OF URMIA LAKE BASIN IGA-436 April 30, 2015 Group Flamingo Mahdi Z, Ka Tsai K, Mahfuzul I, Ying L, Safwan S

Urmia lake presentation Harvard Kennedy School

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Page 1: Urmia lake presentation Harvard Kennedy School

SUSTAINABLE MANAGEMENT OF URMIA LAKE BASIN

IGA-436April 30, 2015

Group FlamingoMahdi Z, Ka Tsai K, Mahfuzul I, Ying L, Safwan S

Page 2: Urmia lake presentation Harvard Kennedy School

Urmia Lake Basin

Characteristics:

The largest inland lake in Iran and one of the largest saline lakes in the world

Basin Area: 52000 sq. km ~ 20000 sq. mi

Lake area: 5000 sq. km ~ 2000 sq. mi

Rainfall: 250 mm/y ~10 inch/y

Evaporation: 1000 mm/y ~ 3 feet/y

Page 3: Urmia lake presentation Harvard Kennedy School

Biodiversity

~550 plant species+315

animal speciesincluding unique

Artemia

Page 4: Urmia lake presentation Harvard Kennedy School

Urmia Lake is Drying Up

Page 5: Urmia lake presentation Harvard Kennedy School

Urmia Lake is Drying Up

Page 6: Urmia lake presentation Harvard Kennedy School

Impacts on Biodiversity and Livelihoods

Page 7: Urmia lake presentation Harvard Kennedy School

Assessment of Causes

Natural Phenomena (Drought)

Comparing the yearly changes of temperature, water level and precipitation of Urmia Lake during 1966 to 2010Zoljoodi and Didevarasl, Atmospheric and Climate Sciences (2014)

Page 8: Urmia lake presentation Harvard Kennedy School

Man-made Causes– Construction of dams

– Development of agriculture

– Direct extraction of surface water and groundwater at the basin level

Assessment of Causes

Page 9: Urmia lake presentation Harvard Kennedy School

UNEP (2012)

Page 10: Urmia lake presentation Harvard Kennedy School

What happens if we do nothing?

Case: Rapid desiccation and salinization since 1960s due to unsustainable expansion of irrigation Impact: Disappearance of indigenous fish species, harm to rich ecosystem, decline of fishing industrySolution: North-south separation by dike and dam to raise of water level + lower salinity

Case: Desiccation both due to climatic changes and to high demands for agricultural waterImpact: Desertification + loss of lake-based livelihood of surrounding communities(Potential) Solution: Cooperative management of trans-boundary waterways

Aral Sea

Lake Chad

Page 11: Urmia lake presentation Harvard Kennedy School

Agriculture

Page 12: Urmia lake presentation Harvard Kennedy School

Problem Focus - Agriculture

Technical: Too much water from the Urmia Lake basin is being allocated to agriculture every year (94% of annual usage; only 35% used).

Implementation: Problems at local level forintroducing and enforcing new policies: No incentives/ reluctance to change Inappropriate/ insufficient legislative and institutional framework

Insufficient stakeholder engagement

Page 13: Urmia lake presentation Harvard Kennedy School

Policy Solutions - Agriculture

From Supply Side:Water collection and storage facilitiesWater reclamation for irrigationCloud seeding Inter-basin water transfer

Page 14: Urmia lake presentation Harvard Kennedy School

Policy Solutions - Agriculture

From Demand Side:Restructure Water pricing : from "area of each farm" and

"crop type“ to “crop type” and “quantity of consumption”Curbing groundwater over-exploitation Efficient Irrigation system Crop substitution

Page 15: Urmia lake presentation Harvard Kennedy School

Provincial Level Stakeholders

Province Governors (3) Province Department of Environment Offices (3) Province MOJA Offices (3) Province Water Authorities (3) University of Medical Science Cultural Heritage and Tourism Organization Other Universities Provincial Road and Transportation Offices (2) Provincial Industries and Mines Office

Page 16: Urmia lake presentation Harvard Kennedy School

Local Level Stakeholders

Local Governor Offices (3)Local Department of Environment Offices (3)Local MOJA Offices (3)Local Natural Resources Offices (3)Local Offices for Veterinary Services (3)FarmersReed HarvestersArtemia HarvestersSalt Harvesters

Local Communities/ Rural PopulationFishersBuffalo HerdersHuntersVisitorsHealth and Sanitation OfficeLocal NGOsIslamic Councils

Page 17: Urmia lake presentation Harvard Kennedy School

Local Level Stakeholders

Local Governor Offices (3)Local Department of Environment Offices (3)Local MOJA Offices (3)Local Natural Resources Offices (3)Local Offices for Veterinary Services (3)FarmersReed HarvestersArtemia HarvestersSalt Harvesters

Local Communities/ Rural PopulationFishersBuffalo HerdersHuntersVisitorsHealth and Sanitation OfficeLocal NGOsIslamic Councils

Page 18: Urmia lake presentation Harvard Kennedy School

Stakeholder Analysis - Farmers

Farmers are not in a good bargaining position (against corporations and government)

But government cannot negotiate with all the farmers individually

Bottom Line: It is easy to force farmers to reduce water use – but how to do it without alienation or backlash?

Page 19: Urmia lake presentation Harvard Kennedy School

Policy Solutions - Implementation

Focus on the local level – how to move farmers and local stakeholders away from present agriculture practices

Incentivize move away from agriculture Develop choice architecture (‘nudge’ – let stakeholders take

ownership of own decisions) Create job opportunities for new farmers

Punish stakeholders who disobey water restrictions/regulations Meters, law enforcement Cultural ‘taboos’ – enlist the force of the community against people

who break water restrictions? Initiate culture change / shift in popular thinking

NGO involvement for public awareness campaigns (videos, etc.)

Page 20: Urmia lake presentation Harvard Kennedy School

Policy Solutions - Implementation

Focus on the local level – how to move farmers and local stakeholders away from present agriculture practices

Incentivize move away from agriculture Develop choice architecture (‘nudge’ – let stakeholders take

ownership of own decisions) Create job opportunities for new farmers

Punish stakeholders who disobey water restrictions/regulations Meters, law enforcement Cultural ‘taboos’ – enlist the force of the community against people

who break water restrictions? Initiate culture change / shift in popular thinking

NGO involvement for public awareness campaigns (videos, etc.)

Page 21: Urmia lake presentation Harvard Kennedy School

Incentives System – California Example

California: 80% of water supply usage is for agriculture; 40% of farm land is flood irrigated

Marginal cost pricing: reflect opportunity cost of last unit of water Requires tracking water usage per user/ “farm”

Urmia Lake: not charged on quantity but on the "area of each farm" and "crop type”

Example of Aral Sea

Encourage local agencies to adopt water management practices

Loans/subsidies to adopt center-pivot, drop or micro irrigation (replace flood irrigation)

Water Rate Incentives

Financial Assistance Incentives

Education

Page 22: Urmia lake presentation Harvard Kennedy School

Incentives Systems – Challenges for Urmia

Iranian Government's 10 Year Urmia Lake Restoration Program Focuses on dam and reservoir management; not on incentivizing

stakeholders Fails to engage farmers - top-down, low-stakeholder

engagement strategies Fails to solve administrative red tape

Access/collection of data for water demand and irrigation water consumption needed

Selecting appropriate water rates Funding for financial assistance incentives Transaction Costs – dollars and processes

Implementation Issues

Current Measures

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Acknowledgments!

Page 24: Urmia lake presentation Harvard Kennedy School

Team Flamingo

Mahfuzul IslamUNDPI

Liu YingMinistry of CommercePeople’s Republic of China

Mahdi Zarghami Water Management

Safwan ShababInvesting / Financial Services

Ka Tsai KuJapanese Politics and LawUniversity of Tokyo ‘13

Work and Education Background

Page 25: Urmia lake presentation Harvard Kennedy School

Thank You!

Questions?Comments? If you want to discuss further, contact

us at [email protected]!