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Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22 The Harvard Club of the Netherlands invites you to a popular lecture by Nobel prize winner Prof. Dr. Gerard ’t Hooft Science ≠ fiction

Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007 The Harvard Club of the Netherlands invites you to a popular lecture by Nobel prize winner

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Page 1: Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007 The Harvard Club of the Netherlands invites you to a popular lecture by Nobel prize winner

Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

The Harvard Club of the Netherlandsinvites you to a popular lecture

by Nobel prize winnerProf. Dr. Gerard ’t Hooft

Science ≠ fiction

Page 2: Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007 The Harvard Club of the Netherlands invites you to a popular lecture by Nobel prize winner

Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

Gerard ’t HooftUtrecht University

and

Page 3: Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007 The Harvard Club of the Netherlands invites you to a popular lecture by Nobel prize winner

Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

Page 4: Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007 The Harvard Club of the Netherlands invites you to a popular lecture by Nobel prize winner

Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007Cassini – Huygens mission

Page 5: Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007 The Harvard Club of the Netherlands invites you to a popular lecture by Nobel prize winner

Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

Foundations ofModern Science

Page 6: Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007 The Harvard Club of the Netherlands invites you to a popular lecture by Nobel prize winner

Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

Page 7: Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007 The Harvard Club of the Netherlands invites you to a popular lecture by Nobel prize winner

Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

What modern science has taught us:

There are very strict rules

The rules can be derived from what is NOT possible:

● Energy is conserved: 1) No energy out of nothing2) No energy out of heat !

Unless there are temperature differences !

● All masses generate the same gravitational force

Anti-gravity is not possible !

Page 8: Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007 The Harvard Club of the Netherlands invites you to a popular lecture by Nobel prize winner

Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

● There are speed limits !

1) The speed of sound

2) The speed of light

Air: 344 m/secCopper: 3100 m/sec

Stone: 5971 m/sec

299 792 458 m/sec

Page 9: Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007 The Harvard Club of the Netherlands invites you to a popular lecture by Nobel prize winner

Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

The speed of sound is approximately the limit of all velocities that can be obtained using chemical substances only:

Page 10: Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007 The Harvard Club of the Netherlands invites you to a popular lecture by Nobel prize winner

Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

The Earth’s escape velocity isapproximately 11 km /sec

The exhaust velocity in most rockets is limitedby approx. 3 km/sec

To reach Earth orbit, you needabout 9 km/sec

Page 11: Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007 The Harvard Club of the Netherlands invites you to a popular lecture by Nobel prize winner

Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

The same numbers are decisivefor the concept of a space elevator

The limiting factor is the strengthof a tether relative to its weight

It is expressed in terms of GigaPascal / specific weight, orNewton meter / kg

2 2Nm / kg kgm / sec m / kg (m / sec)

Steel: 154 kNM/kg = 392 m/sec ²

Nanotubes: 48,462 kNm/kg= 7 km/sec ²

Page 12: Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007 The Harvard Club of the Netherlands invites you to a popular lecture by Nobel prize winner

Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

Consisting of carbon atoms only

Nano tubes

Page 13: Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007 The Harvard Club of the Netherlands invites you to a popular lecture by Nobel prize winner

Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

The space elevator

tethered satellites

Catapulting spacecraft tohigher velocities

But never velocity differences much beyond the sound velocity of a few km / sec

Also the wheels of anautomobile would explode if you would drive faster than that ...

Applications of tethers:

Page 14: Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007 The Harvard Club of the Netherlands invites you to a popular lecture by Nobel prize winner

Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

To reach much greater velocities in space, you must use nuclear propellants (or solar energy if you can ...)

The characteristic velocities in nuclear reactions is one tenth of the speed of light ...

Freeman Dyson

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Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

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Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

A black hole

Page 17: Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007 The Harvard Club of the Netherlands invites you to a popular lecture by Nobel prize winner

Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

Important restrictions:

Space travel: people will probably never be able to travel faster than approx. 1000 km/sec, a lot slower than light velocity ... !

“Space-warp” will remain fiction forever ....

Black holes are no “worm holes”

The mass would have to exceed 10 000 solar masses (so you can’t bring them along in your space ship), and even if ...

Communication and transport to other stars (than our sun) will remain

problematic.

Black hole diameter is proportionalto its massOne solar mass = 3 km.Velocity of light = 300 000 km / sec

Page 18: Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007 The Harvard Club of the Netherlands invites you to a popular lecture by Nobel prize winner

Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

What fantastic things can we still imagine without clashing with science ?

Information technology

Truly intelligent computers do not contradict any of our present knowledge –it is just difficult !

The IT revolution has only just started !

Page 19: Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007 The Harvard Club of the Netherlands invites you to a popular lecture by Nobel prize winner

Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

The basic units in computer chips can still becomea lot smaller – and faster !

Page 20: Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007 The Harvard Club of the Netherlands invites you to a popular lecture by Nobel prize winner

Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

Richard Feynman, 1959, APS CalTech:

“There is plenty of Room at the Bottom!”

Page 21: Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007 The Harvard Club of the Netherlands invites you to a popular lecture by Nobel prize winner

Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

The information period has only barely begun

Computer software and hardware can become a lot better and faster

Computers can become intelligent, indeed a lot more intelligent than humans ...

Robots (automated machines, controlled by computers), may become tiny and universal, but:

if they are tiny, their vision will be very bad ... !

Moore’s Law

Page 22: Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007 The Harvard Club of the Netherlands invites you to a popular lecture by Nobel prize winner

Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

Will NANO TECHNOLOGY determine our future?

Page 23: Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007 The Harvard Club of the Netherlands invites you to a popular lecture by Nobel prize winner

Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

A proteineand DNA

10 nm

Page 24: Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007 The Harvard Club of the Netherlands invites you to a popular lecture by Nobel prize winner

Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

The Human

Genome

Genetic engineering offers fantastic possibilities in the future

Food

water

energy

space colonization

Page 25: Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007 The Harvard Club of the Netherlands invites you to a popular lecture by Nobel prize winner

Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

How will space be colonized ?

Page 26: Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007 The Harvard Club of the Netherlands invites you to a popular lecture by Nobel prize winner

Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

The Solar System Can we go there ?

The Moon: 3 - 4 days Mars: 8 months

Asteroids: ~ 1 yearJupiter moons ~ 2 years ?Saturnus moons ~ 3 years ?

Then: Uranus, Neptune, etc. Pluto and beyond ?

Page 27: Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007 The Harvard Club of the Netherlands invites you to a popular lecture by Nobel prize winner

Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

Our motives: curiosity and expansionism

But human colonization will onlyhappen if affordable !

SF authors perhaps underestimate:

the Media the Internet

To keep funding agencies interested

For essential information

remotely controlled machines (robots)

Human Colonization ...

Page 28: Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007 The Harvard Club of the Netherlands invites you to a popular lecture by Nobel prize winner

Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

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Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

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Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

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Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

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Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

The first colonies willbe small and under ground ...

Glass can be made onany planet

Ice is also a magnificent buildingmaterial

The Lunar hotel

Page 33: Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007 The Harvard Club of the Netherlands invites you to a popular lecture by Nobel prize winner

Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

John von Neumann:Robots can reproduce themselves.Robots can become semi-intelligent .

Self-reproduction and intelligence are not possible today

but not forbidden by science !

Neumannbots

Page 34: Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007 The Harvard Club of the Netherlands invites you to a popular lecture by Nobel prize winner

Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

Travelling to the stars will take thousands or millions of years

But perhaps living oranisms can be spread and cultivated.

Humans of flesh and blood will not be interested in such long-lasting trips

To the stars ?

Page 35: Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007 The Harvard Club of the Netherlands invites you to a popular lecture by Nobel prize winner

Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

Our science is also the science for intelligentcreatures elsewhere in the Universe

if these creatures exist at all, they will be subjectto the same limitations

therefore, we should not expect visits by creatures of flesh and blood

But their neumannbots might be able to reach us

they haven’t done so yet.

Page 36: Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007 The Harvard Club of the Netherlands invites you to a popular lecture by Nobel prize winner

Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

Page 37: Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007 The Harvard Club of the Netherlands invites you to a popular lecture by Nobel prize winner

Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

Are neumannbots dangerous ?

Not if we adhere to some fundamental principles. Read Richard Dawkins

All “evolutions” must be orchestrated from one central point (on Earth)

Then all neumannbots will be genetically identical. They behave like termites. The “queen” stays on Earth.

Page 38: Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007 The Harvard Club of the Netherlands invites you to a popular lecture by Nobel prize winner

Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

Cassini

Page 39: Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007 The Harvard Club of the Netherlands invites you to a popular lecture by Nobel prize winner

Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

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Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

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Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

Atomic nucleus

electron

More than 10 000 x greater distance !

Matter as we know it: atoms

Page 43: Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007 The Harvard Club of the Netherlands invites you to a popular lecture by Nobel prize winner

Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007

Proton

Neutron

Quarks

Atomic nucleus

Page 44: Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007 The Harvard Club of the Netherlands invites you to a popular lecture by Nobel prize winner

Harvard Club, Sociëteit de Witte, Den Haag, March 22, 2007