54
Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB Knut Lönnroth, WHO/STB/PSI The Wolfheze meeting, The Hague, 30 May 2013 1

Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

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Page 1: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB

Knut Lönnroth, WHO/STB/PSI The Wolfheze meeting,

The Hague, 30 May 2013

1

Page 2: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

• The recommendations in this guideline were developed by a Guideline Development Group consisting of the following experts: Dr Sevim Ahmedov (United States Agency for International Development, United States), Dr Helen Ayles (University of Zambia, Zambia), Dr Lucie Blok (KIT Royal Tropical Institute, the Netherlands), Dr Gavin Churchyard (Aurum Institute for Health Research, South Africa), Dr Liz Corbett (MLW Clinical Research Programme, Malawi), Dr Mao Tang Eang (National TB Programme, Cambodia), Dr Peter Godfrey-Faussett (London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom), Dr Jonathan Golub (Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, United States), Dr Katharina Kranzer (London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom), Dr Josué Lima (National TB Programme, Brazil), Dr Wang Lixia (National TB Programme, People’s Republic of China), Dr Thandar Lwin (National TB Programme, Myanmar), Dr Ellen Mitchell (KNCV Tuberculosis Foundation, the Netherlands), Dr Mary Reichler (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, United States), Dr Adrienne Shapiro (John Hopkins University School of Medicine, United States), Dr Alena Skrahina (National TB Programme, Belarus), Dr Pedro Guillermo Suarez (Management Science for Health, United States), Dr Marieke van der Werf (European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Sweden), Dr Anja Van’t Hoog (Amsterdam Institute for Global Health and Development, the Netherlands), Dr Norio Yamada (Research Institute for TB, Japan). Dr David Sinclair (Cochrane Infectious Diseases Group and Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom) served as the guideline’s methodologist.

• The WHO steering group consisted of Dr Haileyesus Getahun, Dr Knut Lönnroth, Dr Ikushi Onozaki, Dr Salah Ottmani, Dr Mario Raviglione, Dr Mukund Uplekar, and Ms Diana Weil, from the Stop TB Department, and Mr Jacob Creswell and Dr Suvanand Sahu from the Stop TB Partnership secretariat. In addition, the following WHO staff contributed to the guideline’s development: Dr Philippe Glaziou, Dr Malgosia Grzemska, Dr Dennis Falzon, Mr Wayne Van Gemert and Dr Karin Weyer from the Stop TB Department; Dr Andreas Reis from the Department of Ethics, Equity, Trade and Human Rights; Dr Daniel Kibuga from the Regional Office for Africa; and Dr Catharina van Weezenbeek from the Regional Office for the Western Pacific. The development of the guideline was coordinated by Dr Knut Lönnroth, who also wrote the first draft. All members of the Guideline Development Group and WHO Secretariat staff involved in developing the guideline reviewed and commented on several iterations of the draft.

• Peer review comments on the prefinal draft were received from Dr Martien Borgdorff (University of Amsterdam, the Netherlands), Dr Frank Cobelens (Amsterdam Institute for Global Health and Development, the Netherlands), Dr Paul Douglas (Department of Immigration and Citizenship, Australia), Dr Steven Graham (Childhood TB Subgroup, Centre for International Child Health, Australia), Dr Anthony D Harries (International Union Against Tuberculosis and Lung Disease, United Kingdom), Dr Giovanni B Migliori (European Respiratory Society, WHO Collaborating Centre for TB and Lung Diseases, Italy), Dr Lisa Nelson (WHO HIV Department), and Dr Alasdair Reid (UNAIDS, South Africa).

• Funding through TB CARE (USAID)

Acknowledgements

2

Page 3: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

1. Rationale, definitions and objectives

2. Summary of systematic review findings

3. Recommendations on risk groups to screen

4. Screening and diagnostic algorithm options

5. Key principles

6. Need for tools and operational guidelines

Presentation overview

3

Page 4: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

Definition

"Systematic screening for active TB" Systematic identification of people with suspected active TB, in a predetermined target group, by the use of tests, examinations, or other procedures which can

be applied rapidly

Among those screened positive, the diagnosis should be established through diagnostic tests and clinical assessments with combined high sensitivity and specificity.

Can target: a) people who do not seek care (access barriers, not recognising symptoms as

serious, etc) or

a) people who seek care (with or without symptoms/signs compatible with TB), e.g.

specific clinical risk groups

4

Page 5: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

• The primary objective of screening is to detect active TB early; this contributes to two ultimate goals: 1. reducing the risk of poor treatment outcomes, health sequelae, and

the adverse social and economic consequences of TB for the individual. This can help reduce suffering, the prevalence of TB, and death from TB;

2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence of TB.

• A second objective is to rule out active disease to help identify people

who are eligible for treatment of latent TB infection – for example, among people living with HIV and contacts who are younger than 5 years.

Screening objectives & goals

5

Σ (individual health + externalities) = public health

Page 6: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

Active TB

Patient recognizing symptoms

Patient accessing

health care

Notification & treatment

Improving knowledge

& awareness

Improve referral and notification

practices

Ensuring quality-assured diagnosis

Infected

Patient delay

Suspect identification

delay

Access delay

Strengthening identification of patients

with suspected TB

Contacts -Children

-Other risk groups

-All household

-Workplace

-Wider

Clinical risk groups -HIV

-Previous TB

-Malnourished

-Smokers

-Diabetics

-Drug abusers

Risk populations -Prisons

-Urban slums

-Poor areas

-Migrants

-Workplace

-Elderly/infants

The screening pathway

Minimize barriers to health care access

Identification of patient requiring

TB test

Completing high quality

diagnosis

Exposed

Natural history delay

Diagnostic delay

Treatment delay

The patient-initiated pathway

Improving early detection

Page 7: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

Why a screening guideline?

• What we knew: Many people in the community have undetected TB Many of them have vague symptoms Long health seeking and health system delays common

Burden of undetected TB often concentrated to some risk groups Screening can identify TB in symptomatic and non-symptomatic persons Screening can be very expensive and huge numbers of people need to be

screened if prevalence is moderate to low and indiscriminate screening is done

• What the guideline should answer:

? Can screening in risk groups help improve early TB detection, and reduce morbidity and mortality?

? Is it cost effective compared to other interventions? ? When is screening appropriate? ? What risk groups should be prioritized? ? What screening/diagnostic tools/algorithms should be used? ? What key principles should apply?

7

Passive case finding seems insufficient

WHO expert committee on TB, 1974:

“…the policy of indiscriminate tuberculosis case-finding by mobile mass radiography should now be abandoned.”

Page 8: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

Guideline development process • Scoping meeting 2011

• Four systematic reviews commissioned:

the general benefits of TB screening (Review 1); the sensitivity and specificity of different screening tools

(Review 2); the number needed to screen to detect one case of TB in

different risk groups (Review 3); the acceptability of screening in different risk groups (Review 4).

• Final guideline meeting October 2012

• Peer-review November- December 2012 (including

symposium in Kuala Lumpur and presentations in various meetings)

• WHO Guideline Review Committee approval March 2013

8

Page 9: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

Summary of results from the systematic reviews

9

Page 10: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

Review 1: Comparator and key outcomes

10

Screening (overall and by risk group)

in addition to passive case

finding

Vs.

Passive case finding alone

Important outcomes

Change in case detection

Time from onset to diagnosis

Severity of disease at diagnosis

Critical outcomes:

Treatment outcomes

Social/economic consequences

TB burden in the community

Intervention Impact

Page 11: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

Impact on transmission/population burden

Important (intermediary) outcomes •Low quality evidence that screening can improve case detection (if large number of people screened) •Low quality evidence that screening can reduce delay to diagnosis

Critical outcomes •Moderate quality evidence that community screening with modest intensity and sensitivity has no impact on TB transmission or TB burden in the community •Low quality evidence that more intense and sensitive screening impacts on transmission within and outside the risk group (=impact uncertain)

Conclusions: 1.Don't expect impact on transmission from community screening of low/moderate intensity

2.More research needed to assess epidemiological impact of more intense screening, in the community and within targeted risk groups

3.Until better evidence is available, the primary goal of screening should be to improve health outcomes for the individual

11

Page 12: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

Individual level impact

Direct evidence of very low/low quality (review 1): Important outcomes •Screening can improve case detection, reduce delay and identify people with less severe disease

Critical outcomes •Treatment outcomes are the same for screened and "passively" detected. •No studies on impact on quality of life, social or economic consequences (positive or negative) •No empirical studies assessing relative cost-effectiveness of screening

12

Page 13: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

Individual level impact, cont

Indirect evidence of potential positive impact (review 3-4 and other data) •Burden of undetected TB is high in certain risk groups – and many can be detected through screening •TB treatment reduces suffering and death dramatically (vs. no treatment) •Some risk groups also have high risk of poor TB treatment outcomes, which probably can be lowered with early detection and treatment •Acceptability/consent rate is generally high •Some indirect cost data;

Many interventions costly, labor-intense, and very high NNS Some screening interventions easy to do and with low NNS

13

Page 14: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

Individual level impact, cont

Indirect evidence of adverse impact (review 2 and other data): •Many false positive cases when TB prevalence is low and the screening and diagnostic algorithm has diagnostic specificity <100%

Problem already when prevalance is less than 1% (1,000/100,000)

•Side effects of treatment •High direct and indirect cost to patients •Stigma and discrimination

14

Page 15: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

Individual level impact, cont.

Conclusions: 1. Screening can reduce suffering from TB, especially in vulnerable groups

2. Screening can be very resource demanding

3. Screening can cause harm to individuals

Therefore: Prioritize groups with high likelihood of individual benefit and low risk of harm:

a) High TB prevalence b) High risk of severe negative consequences if diagnosis is missed/delayed c) Poor access to general health services d) Low risk of harm from screening e) Screening is feasible and affordable

15

Page 16: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

NNS in medium and high incidence settings

16

13 25

110

35 20

111

269

506

603

120

10 17 36

7

795

100

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Medium Incidence

High Incidence

1,200

Health facility "Community"

Page 17: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

Groups with Weighted mean ≥80%

Risk Groups (#) Mean

% weighted. mean

% SD %

Min %

Max %

Median %

Military 96 99 0.05 93 100 96

Farm & Factory (5) 97 97 0.02 95 98 98

Homeless (5) 66 96 0.24 41 97 75

Mentally Ill (2) 94 95 0.02 93 95 94

Diabetics (2) 96 94 0.03 94 98 96

Pregnancy (3) 85 94 0.12 68 96 90

Drug Dependent (5) 84 93 0.13 69 94 89

Urban poor areas (11) 87 91 0.12 59 99 88

Sex Worker(2) 86 84 0.12 84 88 88

Children Under 5 (2) 87 87 84 91

Transport workers (3) 85 86 0.13 73 98 84

Migrants (8) 77 85 0.15 55 96 81

PMTCT (3) 79 81

0.14 68 96 88

Immigration 73 80 0.20 34 96 79

Source: Mitchell 2012

Page 18: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

Groups with Weighted mean <80%

Risk Groups (#) Mean

%

weighted. mean %

SD %

Min %

Max %

Median %

Transgenders* 77 79 0.07 77 91 84

PLHIV 82

78

0.13 52 99 83

Elderly- Institutionalized * 83

72

0.17 72 95 83

Prisoners 71

72

0.29 18 98 86

Miners 81

70

0.11 66 93 84

Source: Mitchell 2012

Page 19: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

Groups with Weighted mean <80%

Risk Groups (#) Mean

% weighted. mean %

SD %

Min %

Max %

Median %

Indigenous 82

69

0.20 40 97 89

Persons testing for HIV (VCT) 73

69

0.23 41 97 85

Attendees of Health centers* 59

68

0.07 52 67 57

Men who have sex with men (MSM)* 76

61

0.48 64 91 -

Health Care Workers (HCW)* 78

59

0.14 56 91 80

Source: Mitchell 2012

Page 20: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

Contacts of an infectious TB Patient

Type of Contact Tracing

Mean % N S.D.

Min %

Max %

Median %

Contract Tracing- Household

80 24 0.17 39 99 85

Contact Tracing- Community

88 27 0.12 57 100 91

Contact Tracing- Health care

59 4 0.14 43 73 60

Source: Mitchell 2012

Page 21: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

Acceptability of TB screening: summary

• High participation in almost all groups when screening is designed for them.

• Screening: The faster and least invasive the better (1 step process) for hard to reach/hard to keep group

• Who does the screening matters

• Where it takes place matters

• HIV testing may deter uptake of screening in some risk groups, however inclusion of HIV testing in TB screening was not found to increase refusal in community-based TB screening

• Acceptability of screening vs. diagnosis vs. treatment

Page 22: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

Recommendations on prioritization of

risk groups to screen

22

Priority?

Feasibly and cost

Benefits Harm

Expert opinions

Evidence

Page 23: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

First, key principle No 2:

• Indiscriminate mass screening should be avoided.

• The prioritization of risk groups for screening should be based on assessments made for each risk group of; the potential benefits and harms; the feasibility of the initiative; the acceptability of the approach; the number needed to screen; and the cost effectiveness of screening.

23

Page 24: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

Strong recommendations = Should be screened in all settings

1. Household contacts and other close contacts should be systematically screened for active TB.

2. People living with HIV should be systematically screened for active TB at each visit to a health facility.

3. Systematic screening for active TB should be done in current and former workers in workplaces with silica exposure

24

Page 25: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

Conditional recommendations = prioritization needed

4. Systematic screening for active TB should be considered in prisons and other penitentiary institutions. (including staff) (disagreement in the group, many wanted a strong recommendation if prevalence >100/100,000)

5. Systematic screening for active TB should be considered in people with untreated fibrotic CXR lesion.

6. In settings where the TB prevalence is ≥100/100,000 in the general population, systematic screening for active TB should be considered among people who are seeking care or who are in care and belong to selected risk groups (see remarks, including staff)

25

Page 26: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

26

Risk factor Relative Risk of TB Poor health outcomes related to risk factor

Underweight

(BMI <18.5)

3.2 (95% CI, 3.1–3.3) Increased risk of death and TB relapse; systematic reviews, no pooled

estimate

Gastrectomy or

jejunoileal bypass

No pooled estimate

Gastrectomy: Range 2–5.

Gastric bypass: Range 27–63

Increased risk of death associated with undernutrition (see

”Underweight”)

Diabetes mellitus 3.1 (95% CI, 2.3–4.3) Pooled relative risk of TB treatment failure or death from systematic

review: 1.69 (95% CI, 1.36–2.12) and relapse: 3.89 (95% CI, 2.43– 6.23)

Alcohol dependence 2.9 (95% CI, 1.9–4.6) Higher risk of TB treatment failure and relapse (six studies) and death

during treatment (seven studies); systematic review, no pooled estimate

Tobacco smoking 2.0 (95% CI, 1.6–2.5) Increased risk of death; systematic review, no pooled estimate

Chronic renal failure

or haemodialysis

No pooled estimate; range 10-25 Increased risk of death; systematic review, no pooled estimate

Intravenous drug use No pooled estimate Increased risk of death; systematic review, no pooled estimate

Solid organ

transplantation

No pooled estimate; range, 20–74 No published data

Old age No pooled estimate, prevalence

surveys report increased risk with age

Increased risk of death; systematic review, no pooled estimate

Previously treated TB No pooled estimate Retreatment cases have higher risk of poor outcomes and higher risk of

MDR-TB

Pregnancy No pooled estimate Infants of mothers with TB have increased risks of premature birth and

perinatal death;, pregnant women with TB are more likely to have

complications during pregnancy; initiating TB treatment earlier in the

pregnancy is associated with better maternal and infant outcomes than

late initiation

Page 27: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

Conditional recommendations, cont.

7. A. Systematic screening may be considered for geographically defined sub-populations with extremely high levels of undetected TB (>1% prevalence)

B. Systematic screening may be considered also for other sub-populations with very poor health care access, such as urban slum dwellers, homeless people, people living remote areas with poor access, indigenous populations, migrants, and other vulnerable groups.

27

Page 28: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

Algorithm options

Algo

rithm

Prevalence = 1% (1,000/100,000)

100,000 persons screened (1,000 true C+ cases)

Screening Diagnosis % of true cases

detected True positive False positive

Positive predictive

value

1

Cough >2-3 w SSM 21% 214 105 67%

GXP 32% 324 52 86%

1. Cough >2-3 w 2. CXR

SSM 19% 193 46 81%

GXP 29% 291 23 93%

2

Any symptom SSM 47% 470 640 42%

GXP 71% 710 320 69%

1. Any symptom 2. CXR

SSM 42% 423 281 60%

GXP 64% 639 141 82%

3

CXR: Any abn. SSM 60% 597 487 55%

GXP 90% 902 244 79%

CXR: TB abn. SSM 53% 529 210 72%

GXP 80% 800 105 88% 28

Page 29: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

Number of tests and cost

29

Screening Diagnosis %

detected PPV NPV

CXR per TP

SSM per TP

GXP per TP

Test cost per TP

Cough >2-3 weeks SSM 21% 67% 97.4% 0 26 0 52

GXP 32% 86% 99.5% 0 0 17 173

1. Cough >2-3 w. 2. CXR GXP 29% 93% 99.5% 19 0 9 119

Any symptom GXP 71% 69% 99.8% 0 0 46 461

1. Any symptom 2. CXR GXP 69% 90% 99.1% 48 0 21 286

CXR: TB abnormalities GXP 80% 88% 99.4% 125 0 14 330

Screening Diagnosis %

detected PPV NPV

CXR per TP

SSM per TP

GXP per TP

Test cost per TP

Cough >2-3 weeks SSM 21% 80% 94.9% 0 14 0 28

GXP 32% 93% 98.9% 0 0 9 91

1. Cough >2-3 w. 2. CXR GXP 29% 96% 98.9% 10 0 5 65

Any symptom GXP 71% 82% 99.6% 0 0 23 234

1. Any symptom 2. CXR GXP 69% 95% 98.3% 24 0 11 148

CXR: TB abnormalities GXP 80% 94% 98.7% 62 0 8 169

Prev 1%

Prev 2%

Test cost assumptions

SMS x 2 = 2 $. Digital CXR = 1.5 $. GXP=10 $

Number of tests per true positive case

Page 30: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

0,0% 0,5% 1,0% 1,5%

Nu

mb

er/1

00

,00

0 s

cree

ned

; n

um

ber

nee

ded

to

scr

een

TB prevalence in screened population

TB cases (c+)

True positive

False positive

Number needed to screen G

o a

hea

d !

Screen: Cough >2weeks (35% sens. ; 95% spec.) Diagnosis: SSM (61% sens. ; 98% spec.)

30

500/100,000 C

au

tio

n !

Page 31: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

Screen: Cough >2weeks (35% sens. ; 95% spec.) Diagnosis: GXP (92% sens. ; 99% spec.)

31

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

0,0% 1,0% 2,0%

Nu

mb

er/1

00

,000

scr

een

ed;

nu

mb

er

ne

ed

ed

to

scr

ee

n

TB prevalence in screened population

TB cases (C+)

True Positive

False Positive

NNS

500/100,000

Ca

uti

on

!

Page 32: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

32

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

0,0% 1,0% 2,0%

Nu

mb

er/1

00

,00

0 s

cree

ned

; n

um

ber

nee

ded

to

scr

een

TB prevalence in screened population

CXR screen - GXP diagn Screen: CXR Suggestive of TB - sens 0.87 spec 0.89

Conf tests: GXP sens 0.92 spec 0.99

TB cases (C+)

True Positive

False Positive

NNS

Screen: CXR (87% sens. ; 89% spec.) Diagnosis: GXP (92% sens. ; 99% spec.)

500/100,000

Ca

uti

on

!

Page 33: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

33

Screen: Cough >2weeks 35% sensitivity 95% specificity

Diagnosis: SSM 61% sensitivity 98% specificity

Page 34: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

Algorithms for children

• TB contacts under the age of five years and HIV-infected children: symptom screening (any symptom : cough, weight-loss/failure to

thrive, fever, fatigue) chest radiography may be added to the initial screening.

• Community screening: Children who are TB contacts or HIV-positive follow algorithm above.

Children over the age of 10 years follow adult algorithm

No screening recommended for children <10 who are not contacts or

HIV infected No empirical data on screening test accuracy, but likely to have very low

specificity, since pulmonary TB would be a relatively rare cause of lower respiratory symptoms and signs

Most confirmatory diagnostic tests for TB have lower accuracy in children than in adults, likely resulting in a high number of false-positive cases

34

Page 35: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

Key principles

1. Basic conditions before initiating screening Quality diagnosis and treatment (including MDR-TB)

is in place and there is capacity to scale up Baseline assessment: epidemiology, health system,

other screening programmes; legal and human rights framework

Baseline assessment suggests that benefits outweigh harm

Reasonable cost and likely cost-effectiveness compared to other possible interventions

2. Prioritization of risk groups for screening

3. Choosing screening/diagnostic algorithm

4. Ethical issues:

Informed consent; Privacy and confidentiality (when possible) Minimize risks of stigma and discrimination

35

Page 36: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

Key principles

5. Optimizes synergies across health/social services Integrate with other screening/health

promotion initiatives Bi-directional screening (HIV, diabetes, etc)

6. M&E, re-assessment, re-prioritization, discontinuation Numbers screened / yield = number needed to

screen Contribution to case notification, by risk group Initial default Treatment outcome

36

Page 37: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

Next: Operational guidelines • Findings from systematic review 2,3, and 4, plus field experiences

• Steps before and during screening (checklist)

• Tools for prioritization of risk groups

• Tools for choice of screening and diagnostic tool/algorithm

• Ethical considerations; advice on how to obtain informed consent and disclose

information about results

• M&E tools and forms

37

Page 38: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

Thanks!

38

Page 39: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

Details on review findings

39

Page 40: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

Systematic review 1: impact of screening Question Studies Finding Quality Remarks

Imp

ortan

t ou

tcom

es

Impact on case detection?

5 RCTs 16 cross-sectional

-Screening improves case detection -Larger impact if large groups and large coverage

Very low/low

-Large variation, some studies showed no, small or temporary impact. -Indirectness bias

Impact on time to diagnosis and severity at diagnosis?

Delay: 3 RCTs and 3 cross-sectional Severity: 19 cross sectional

-Shorter reported delay -Smaller proportion smear-positive, smear grade 2/3+ and severe CXR.

Very low/low

-Large variation, some studies showed no or very small impact. -Indirectness bias

Critical o

utco

me

s

Impact on treatment outcomes?

6 comparative cohort analyses 1 case control study on TB mortality (miners)

Same treatment outcome in screened and passively detected Reduced mortality (miners)

Very low -Consistent findings -Length time bias, survival bias

Social/economic consequences?

No study - - -

Impact on TB epidemiology in the community

Community: 1 RCT, 2 before-after Contacts: 2 RCTs Prisons/homeless: 3 Secular trend studies

RCT: no impact Before-after: reduced prev./notification Reduced prev. or incidence Declining secular trend

Moderate Low Low/mod. Very low

-Uncertain impact. One large RCT on community screening showed no impact of moderate intensity screening. -Indirectness bias and confounding

40

Page 41: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

GRADE tables: case detection

41

Quality assessment

Summary of findings

Importan

ce

No of

cases/population Effect

Quality No of

studies Design

Limi-

tations

Incon-

sistency

Indirect-

ness

Im-

precision

Inter-

vention Control

Relative

(95%CI) Absolute

1. Impact on case detection

1.1. Cross sectional studies assessing proportion of detected cases through screening vs. all notified cases

Community-based screening, including screening in specific risk populations

11

Cross-

sectional

Serious Serious Not

serious

Not

serious

NA NA NA Proportion of cases

detected through

screening of all TB cases,

range across studies: 6% -

86%

VERY

LOW

IMPORTA

NT

Contact investigation

5 Cross-

sectional2

Serious3 Not

serious

Not

serious

Not

serious

NA NA NA Proportion of cases

detected through

screening of all TB cases,

range across studies: 2% -

9% (19% among children

under 10 in one study)

VERY

LOW

Page 42: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

42

Quality assessment Summary of findings

Importance No of cases/population Effect

Quality No of

studies Design Limitations

Inconsistenc

y Indirectness Imprecision

Interventi

on Control

Relative

(95%CI) Absolute

1.2. Community randomized trials

CRITICAL

Health extension workers informed community about TB and identified TB symptomatics and collected sputum samples at health posts once a month

over 20 months. Sputum smear positive notification detection rate

1 (Datiko

2009)

RCT Serious Only one

trial

Serious Not

serious

230/178138

(129/100,00

0)

88/118673

(74/100,000

RR 1.55 Case detection rate 53%

higher in intervention

clusters (95% CI; 40 to 65%)

LOW

Community promoters informed about TB symptoms, sputum collection in monthly outreach clinics in rural areas over 1 year. Sputum smear positive

case notification rate

1 (Shargie

2006)

RCT Serious Only one

trial

Serious16 Serious8 159/1276

07

(125/100,

000)

221/225284

(98/100,000)

RR 1.27

(0.81;1.72

)

27 more cases detected per

100,000 population (from 19

fewer to 72 more)

VERY LOW

Repeat information campaigns about TB to the community, decentralised sputum collection points with easy access, sputum collection in health

camps, over 3 years

1 (Ayles

2012)

RCT Not serious Only one

trial

Serious Serious Cases at 0

vs. 3 years

875/946

(0.92)

Cases at 0 vs. 3

years

2024/2181

(0.93)

1.0 No difference in the change

in case notification between

intervention and control

LOW

Door-to-door screening for symptomatics in poor urban areas

1 (Miller

2010)

During 27d Intervention +60d

RCT Not serious Only one

trial

Serious11 Serious N=11249 19: 934/100000 32: 516/100000

N=12304 16: 604/100,000 41: 493/100,000

Rate Ratio

1.55(1.10;

1.99)

1.05(0.56;1.54)

330/100,000 more cases

(from 60 more to 598 more)

during intervention, no

difference 60 days after

LOW

Infants screened 3 monthly through household visits; suspected TB disease was investigated as inpatient

1 (Moyo

2012)

RCT Serious Only one

trial

Serious Not serious 89/4109

PY

(2166/100

000)

36/4372 PY

(823/100,000)

2.6 (1.8-

4.0)

1,317 more cases detected

per 100,000 population per

year (from 659 more to 2470

more per 100,000)

LOW

Page 43: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

Key principles - details

Details

43

Page 44: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

1. Prerequisites

1. Quality TB diagnosis, treatment, management and patient support is in place. • Low initial default and treatment interruption; uninterrupted drug supply • Capacity to tailor treatment programme to the needs of the screened population

2. Actions to improve “passive case finding” have been pursued:

• Access to free-of-charge TB services of good quality • Optimization of TB diagnosis in health facilities • Enforced notification of all detected TB cases / PPM

3. Benefit of screening clearly outweighs harm, and at reasonable cost.

• Analysis of potential harm done; legal framework, disease control law; labor laws, immigration laws

• Analysis of individual and/or public health gain in relation to investments.

4. MDR considerations

• Only use diagnostic tests that identify drug resistance if a PMDT programme is in place • Only screen for TB in moderate/high MDR-TB prevalence settings if DST andPMDT is in place

5. Health systems opportunity costs: Sufficient additional resources are available or

can be made available without adverse impact on other key function of the health system

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Page 45: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

2. Prioritization of risk groups 1. Potential benefits for the individual; larger if high risk of delaying diagnosis due

to poor health care access and/or high risk of poor treatment outcomes due to delay, e.g. poor immune status.

2. Potential risks for the individual; screening and diagnostic process (time, inconvenience, cost); negative consequences of correct TB diagnosis (stigma, discrimination); false positive diagnosis.

3. Potential impact on transmission, within and beyond the risk group; congregate settings; in-and out migration. Larger risk group=larger impact.

4. Feasibility and acceptability; reaching; screening; starting and completing treatment. More feasible in well-defined risk groups that are possible to reach in a specific location.

5. The number needed to screen

6. Cost in relation to benefit. NNS; screening and diagnostic algorithm; method of reaching people; direct and indirect costs incurred for individuals.

• NOTE: Benefit/harm judgement, cost-effectiveness and feasibility consideration may differ depending who is the main stakeholder: NTP; MoH; other ministries; NGOs; private sector 45

Page 46: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

3. Choice of screening/diagnostic algorithm

1. Estimated true/false positive/negative cases, which depends on; • The sensitivity and specificity of the screening tool(s) • The sensitivity and specificity of the diagnostic tool(s) • The prevalence of undetected TB in the screened population.

2. Consequences of each for each risk group considered;

• True positive: Benefits and risk of correct TB diagnosis • False positive: Wrongly labelled and treated for TB • False negative: Wrongly declared not having TB • True negative: Inconvenience and cost of screening

3. Same considerations for MDR-TB, plus:

• Capacity to deal with persons diagnosed with drug resistance • Need for DST in moderate/high MDR-TB prevalance settings

4. Cost and feasibility

• What screening and diagnostic tests are available or can be easily made available • Costs of tests and number of tests needed for each true positive case detected • Operational logistics and workload, required maintenance etc.

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Page 47: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

4. Ethics and risk minimization

1. "First do no harm"

2. Different ethical obligations when screening compared to "passive case finding"

3. Different target populations have different stakes.

4. User involvement in the design

5. Informed consent and appropriate method to inform about results

6. Assess and address risk of discrimination/stigmatization (e.g. migrants, employees)

7. Minimize pain, discomfort, unnecessary worry, time loss, indirect costs.

8. Minimize risk of stigmatization for the target group as a whole

9. Combine with other screening; Proper management of other conditions than TB

10. Address underlying risk factors and social determinants

47

Page 48: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

5. Synergies across health/social services

1. Coordinated and integrated, as appropriate; to optimise effective use of resource to increase relevance and attractiveness of the screening

2. Assess collaboration across different health care disciplines

HIV clinics / VCTC Diabetes clinics, antenatal care clinics, substance abuse clinics General OPD, etc.

3. Explore existing screening platforms;

Non-communicable diseases, childhood malnutrition, malaria, HIV, etc.

Social services for special populations (homeless, refugees, remote areas, slum dwellers, etc)

48

Page 49: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

6. M&E, re-assessment, re-prioritization

1. Preparation, monitoring and evaluation plan should be in place with basic indicators • Annual review of active screening programme • Define stopping rules before starting active case screening (doing harm, yield too low)

2. Verify assumptions (yield, NNS, accuracy, acceptability, resource requirement)

3. Continuously assess yield / contribution / impact

4. Re-adjust to changing TB epidemiology and risk group distribution

5. Suggested key indicators for M&E

• Proportion screened of those eligible • Proportion screened positive • Proportion tested of those screened positive • Proportion with TB of those tested • NNS • Initial defaulters and treatment success rate

6. Required R&R

• A log of number of people screened in each risk group • (A register of all suspected TB cases subjected to further diagnostic evaluation) • A column in the laboratory register • A column in the treatment register.

7. Operational research – controlled trials

49

Page 50: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

50

Poor individual health Negative public health impact

Primary (for the person with disease)

•Death

High TB death rate

• No cure; delayed cure; sequelae; disability

High prevalence of TB (& of sequelae)

• High cost, stigma, discrimination

High societal cost of TB

Secondary

•TB transmission to contacts

High incidence of infection

Tertiary High incidence of TB disease

Σ individual health = public health

Page 51: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

Systematic review 3: Number needed to screen Population (# studies) Weighted Mean NNS (Range)

Low Incidence Moderate Incidence Medium Incidence High Incidence

HIV

HIV clinic/cohort (74) 30 (8-391) 61 (5-316) 13 (2-120*) 10 (3-64)

VCT (5) - 37 (8-120)

Household contacts (89)

54 (5-430)

40 (7-355)

25 (3-568)

17 (2-129)

Prisons (44) 1180 (4-2945) 155 (19-191) 110 (7-2762)

Miners (8) 48 (-) 154 (-) - 36 (21-93)

Within health facilities

Diabetes (6) - 2223 (-) 35 (17-54)

Drug users (8) 158 (108-252) 5 (-) 20 (8-20) -

Elder/Nursing homes (7) 120 (68-137) - 7 (-)

Psychiatric Facilities (3) 1049 (32-1275) 111 (-) -

General Inpatient (4) - - 795 (6-3364)

General Outpatient (14) 758 (42 – 30000) 269 (19-806)

Health Care workers (16) 1613 (30-5550) 506 (25-842*) -

Community

Whole community (98) 3922 (137-30865) 669 (15-5594) 603 (25-4286) 100 (16-6355)

Homeless (18) 133 (22-1778) - - -

Refugees (38) 108 (6-1630) 120 (57-291)

Immigrants (26) 235 (3-1262*) - 1206 (198-6250) - 51

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NNS in medium and high incidence settings

52

13 25

110

35 20

111

269

506

603

120

10 17 36

7

795

100

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Medium Incidence

High Incidence

1,200

Health facility "Community"

Page 53: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

Systematic review 4: Acceptability

53

Risk Groups

Number of

studies

weigted.

mean %

Median

%

Homeless 5 96 75

Mentally Ill 2 95 94

Diabetics 2 94 96

Pregnant women 6 94 90

Drug Dependent 3 93 89

Residents of Urban poor areas 11 91 88

Children Under 5 2 87 86

Migrants 8 85 81

Immigration 14 80 79

PLIHIV 17 78 83

Refugee Camps/IDP 2 74 ?

Elderly- Institutionalized 2 72 83

Prisoners 16 72 86

Miners 6 70 84

Indigenous 9 69 89

Persons testing for HIV 5 69 85

Attendees of Health centers 3 68 57

Health Care Workers 5 59 80

Page 54: Guidelines on systematic screening for active TB · 2015. 9. 24. · 2. reducing TB transmission by shortening of the duration of infectiousness. This can help reduce the incidence

Number of tests and cost

54

Screening Diagnosis %

detected PPV NPV

CXR per TP

SSM per TP

GXP per TP

Test cost per TP

Cough >2-3 weeks SSM 21% 67% 97.4% 0 26 0 52

GXP 32% 86% 99.5% 0 0 17 173

1. Cough >2-3 w. 2. CXR GXP 29% 93% 99.5% 19 0 9 119

Any symptom GXP 71% 69% 99.8% 0 0 46 461

1. Any symptom 2. CXR GXP 69% 90% 99.1% 48 0 21 286

CXR: TB abnormalities GXP 80% 88% 99.4% 125 0 14 330

Screening Diagnosis %

detected PPV NPV

CXR per TP

SSM per TP

GXP per TP

Test cost per TP

Cough >2-3 weeks SSM 21% 80% 94.9% 0 14 0 28

GXP 32% 93% 98.9% 0 0 9 91

1. Cough >2-3 w. 2. CXR GXP 29% 96% 98.9% 10 0 5 65

Any symptom GXP 71% 82% 99.6% 0 0 23 234

1. Any symptom 2. CXR GXP 69% 95% 98.3% 24 0 11 148

CXR: TB abnormalities GXP 80% 94% 98.7% 62 0 8 169

Prev 1%

Prev 2%

Test cost assumptions

SMS x 2 = 2 $. Digital CXR = 1.5 $. GXP=10 $