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BUSINESS NEWS.............A12COMICS ............................ C8OPINION PAGES..............A17
LOTTERIES........................B3OBITUARIES......................B5WORLD NEWS...................A8
Printed using recycled fiberDAILY CODEDetails, B2
7 7 5 7 CONTENT © 2016The Washington Post
Year 139, No. 277
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WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 7, 2016 washingtonpost.com . $3.50Thunderstorm 91/75 • Tomorrow: Mostly sunny 97/78 details, B8
EXPANDED FALL KICKOFF EDITION
More Metro woes: Ridership is down 11% from the April-to-June period in 2015. B1
Bill Clinton’s rogue diplomacy His quiet efforts against the Iraq War in 2003 broke with an ex-president’s usual role. A28
BY DAN BALZAND SCOTT CLEMENT
With nine weeks until ElectionDay, Donald Trump is withinstriking distance in the UpperMidwest, but Hillary Clinton’sstrength in many battlegroundsand some traditional Republicanstrongholds gives her a big elec-toral college advantage, accord-ing to a 50-state WashingtonPost-SurveyMonkey poll.
The survey of all 50 states isthe largest sample ever undertak-en by The Post, which joined withSurveyMonkey and its onlinepolling resources to produce theresults. The state-by-state num-bers are based on responses frommore than 74,000 registered vot-ers during the period of Aug. 9 toSept. 1. The individual state sam-ples vary in size from about 550to more than 5,000, allowinggreater opportunities than typi-cal surveys to look at differentgroups within the populationand compare them from state tostate.
The massive survey highlightsa critical weakness in Trump’scandidacy — an unprecedenteddeficit for a Republican amongcollege-educated white voters, es-pecially women. White collegegraduates have been loyal Repub-lican voters in recent elections,but Trump is behind Clinton withthis group across much of thecountry, including in some solid-ly red states.
The 50-state findings come at atime when the average nationalmargin between Clinton andTrump has narrowed. What oncewas a Clinton lead nationally ofeight to 10 points shortly after theparty conventions ended a monthago is now about four points,according to the RealClearPoli-tics polling average. A number ofbattleground states also havetightened, according to surveysreleased from other organiza-tions in recent days.
The Post-SurveyMonkey re-sults are consistent with many ofthose findings, but not in allcases. Trump’s support in the
POLL CONTINUED ON A26
How each state polled, in electoral votes
Fla.Fla.
Ga.Ga.
S.C.S.C.
N.C.N.C.
Va.Va.
Pa.Pa.
N.Y.N.Y.
N.J.N.J.
Conn.Conn.R.I.R.I.Mass.Mass.
Vt.Vt.N.H.N.H.
Md.Md. Del.Del.
MaineMaine
Ala.Ala.
Tenn.Tenn.
Ky.Ky.
OhioOhio
Mich.Mich.
Wis.Wis.
Minn.Minn.
W. Va.W. Va.
Miss.Miss.
Ark.Ark.
Mo.Mo.
IowaIowa
Ill.Ill. Ind.Ind.
La.La.Tex.Tex.
Okla.Okla.
Kan.Kan.
Neb.Neb.
S.D.S.D.
N.D.N.D.Mont.Mont.
Wyo.Wyo.
Colo.Colo.
N.M.N.M.Ariz.Ariz.
UtahUtah
IdahoIdaho
Wash.Wash.
Ore.Ore.
Nev.Nev.
Calif.Calif.
AlaskaAlaska
HawaiiHawaii
SOLID ORLEANING CLINTON
244244SOLID OR
LEANING TRUMP
126126TOSSUPS
168168270 to win
10 states,168 elec. votes
6 states,57 elec. votes
14 states and D.C.,187 elec. votes
3 states,18 elec. votes
17 states,108 elec. votes
BY MARK GUARINOAND MARK BERMAN
chicago — This city’s grim mur-der statistics continued to mountover the long holiday weekend,despite a few dozen civic blockparties in besieged neighbor-hoods organized by residentsalarmed at talk of a police slow-down.
By Monday night, in a surge ofviolence, the country’s third-largest city had recorded morehomicides this year than NewYork and Los Angeles combined.Thirteen people were fatally shotover the long weekend, policesaid, pushing the year’s homicidecount to 488, already surpassingthe 481 tallied last year. The oldestvictim was an 80-year-old pastorfound shot in the face on theporch of a senior home where helived, according to news reports,and more than 60 were injured,including a pregnant womanwhose baby was delivered at thehospital.
Eddie Johnson, the Chicago po-lice superintendent, said the vio-lence was due to repeat offendersin “impoverished” neighbor-hoods utilizing what he describedas an absurd proliferation of gunson the streets.
“It’s not a police issue,” John-son said at a news briefing Tues-day. “It’s a society issue . . . peoplewithout hope do these kinds ofthings.”
It has also become a campaignissue, with Republican presiden-tial nominee Donald Trump re-peatedly invoking the homiciderate as evidence that Democratshave failed African Americans liv-ing in inner cities.
The city has had nearly 500homicides this year, amid persis-tent deteriorating relationshipsbetween police and citizens sincelast year’s release of a video thatshowed a white officer shooting ablack teenager 16 times. The offi-cer was charged with murder, anda Justice Department civil rights
CHICAGO CONTINUED ON A4
Clinton has edge in 50-state pollCAMPAIGN 2016Chicago’s
homicides already top 2015 count
Police superintendent blames proliferation
of guns on streets
BY PAUL FARHI
It took years for Roger Ailes tobuild Fox News Channel into thedominant player in cable news.It’s taken just two months for itsfuture to become uncertain.
The network took twin public-relations blows on Tuesday, cul-minating a summer of turbu-lence. Fox’s parent company, 21stCentury Fox, agreed to pay $20 million to former Fox hostGretchen Carlson to settle hersexual-harassment claims against
Ailes, the network founder andformer GOP strategist who wasousted in July amid widespreadallegations of unsavory behavior.The payment, which was accom-panied by a public apology by thecompany to Carlson, is apparently
unprecedented in size for an indi-vidual sexual-harassment case.
Meanwhile, another Fox host,Greta Van Susteren, abruptly quitthe network on Tuesday. Shedidn’t cite a specific reason, butshe took advantage of a contractclause enabling her to leave fol-lowing the departure of her pa-tron, Ailes. A person with knowl-edge of the matter said Van Sus-teren left because of disagree-ments over contract terms.
The events have cast a shadowover Fox, which Ailes turned into
a potent force in GOP politics anda wildly profitable arm of RupertMurdoch’s media empire since itsfounding in 1996. Ailes’s successlay in countering other mediaoutlets’ allegedly liberal reportingand commentary by giving star-ring roles to a series of pugna-cious and generally conservativepersonalities.
The loss of Van Susteren, whooccupied the 7 p.m. weeknightslot on Fox, highlighted Fox’s vul-nerability to the departure of its
FOX NEWS CONTINUED ON A4
At Fox, double dose of bad news and a hazy future
BY JESSICA CONTRERA
She crunched the cookies in her mouth,carefully mashing them into chunks.She spit. They made a plunk sound asthey hit the toilet water. The worst, the
absolute worst thing had happened, and now,Maureen was sure, this was her only option.
“Moommm,” she called down the stairs. “Ipuked!”
She could not show her face in the seventhgrade. She had to play sick. All day, she laycrumpled on the couch, replaying what he’dsaid to persuade her.
You’re so beautiful.Don’t be ashamed of your body.I won’t show anyone.Then, last night, when he admitted he’d
shown the photo to a few people:“Don’t even come to my funeral,” she texted
him.I’ll piss on your grave, b.At least she had been wearing a bra and
underwear. The camera flash reflected in themirror had hidden her face, hadn’t it?
But he knew. And by the end of the day,everyone else would, too.
It would be months before she would learnSEXTING CONTINUED ON A14
THE SCREEN AGE
And everyone saw itA seventh-grader’s sext was meant to impress a boy. He shared it. It nearly destroyed her.
BONNIE JO MOUNT/THE WASHINGTON POST
Maureen, 15, plays Minecraft in her bedroom in Auburn, Mass., last month. She has built a community of friends through the video game and has thousands of followers.
BY ROBERT BARNES
A coalition of civil rightsgroups, Democratic lawyers andthe Obama administration hasscored significant victories inoverturning strict voting laws,highlighting how the death ofJustice Antonin Scalia has re-moved the Supreme Court as acrucial conservative backstop forsuch measures.
As the presidential electionapproaches, the challengers haverung up wins against their twotop targets. Texas and NorthCarolina are now under judicialorder to shelve comprehensivevoting laws, passed by Republi-can legislators, that appealscourts said discriminatedagainst African Americans andHispanics. In Wisconsin, mean-
while, a federal judge has begunoverseeing efforts to make iteasier for those lacking thestate’s required ID to cast ballots.
With the Supreme Court at anideological impasse and SenateRepublicans refusing to allowhearings for President Obama’snominee to the court, MerrickGarland, the final state rules forelections throughout the countryare likely to be set in a variety ofdecisions by state courts andlower-level federal judges.
“We’ll be in hand-to-handcombat the rest of the way,” saidMarc E. Elias, a Washingtonlawyer who has filed many of thesuits challenging the laws andwhose firm represents Demo-cratic presidential nominee Hil-lary Clinton and a host of partyofficeholders and committees.
While state officials have suf-fered legal setbacks in NorthCarolina, Texas and Wisconsin —where federal courts restoredsome early-voting opportunities,seen as beneficial to AfricanAmericans — only North Caro-
COURT CONTINUED ON A11
Split on Supreme Court aids challenges to voter-ID laws
MIDWEST OFFERS TRUMP HOPE
Dead heat in Texas is survey’s biggest surprise
Conservatives no longer have the backstop they
once counted on in Scalia
$20 million settlement, host’s abrupt exit fuel
talk of more departures
Campaign 2016A sweeping look at the race in its closing weeks A21-28
NFL previewRedskins taking their gameto the next level SECTION H
Food for thought The essential guide to
college cooking SECTION E
What might make Donald Trump apologize?Asked about any outrageous claim he’s made, Trump is likely to avoid discussing it. A28
Clinton seizes on Trump’s 2013 donation“The list goes on and on: the scams, the frauds,” the Democrat said of her GOP rival. A2
