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1
Green Growth: An OECD
Perspective
UNEP Workshop on SCP & GE
8-19 March 2010, Paris
Helen Mountford
Acting Deputy Director
OECD Environment Directorate
2
A working understanding of green growth:
“Green growth can be seen as a way to pursue
economic growth and development, while preventing
environmental degradation, biodiversity loss, and
unsustainable natural resource use.”
It is making investing in the environment a driver for
economic growth.
It aims at maximising the chances of exploiting cleaner
sources of growth, thereby leading to further “decoupling”
between environmental and economic performance.
x Not looking for a single definition
x No clear end point “greener” growth
3
How does it differ from what we’ve done
before?
BUT other Ministries are taking ownership of green growth.
Initial ideas on key elements of green growth:
Internalising environmental externalities/ addressing market failures
Incentivising eco-innovation (positive knowledge externalities)
Focus on the transition (employment, distribution, sectoral)
New growth accounting framework
Green growth ≈sustainable
development≈ SCP
4
OECD Green Growth Strategy
Requested by Ministers of Finance, Economy & Trade, for mid-2011.
25 OECD Committees: delegates from Ministries of Agriculture,
Economy, Environment, Development Co-operation, Industry, etc.
A framework for understanding green growth and indicators for identifying
gaps and measuring progress.
A policy toolkit for OECD and partner countries with policy approaches
and measures for:
i. Overcoming policy barriers: e.g. reform of environmentally-harmful subsidies,
removal of barriers to trade in green G&S.
ii. Enabling an efficient shift to green growth: e.g. taxes & MBIs, regulations,
R&D and green innovation policies, VAs, information-based approaches.
iii. Managing the transition: green job opportunities & new skills, industrial
restructuring, distributional aspects.
International co-operation: financing global public goods (climate,
biodiversity), addressing competitiveness effects, green
technology development and transfer, pro-poor GG.
5
Why now? Lessons from the crisis…
Many countries used their stimulus packages to invest in:
– Green infrastructure (public transport, energy efficiency in public buildings, renewable
energy, smart grids, water & sanitation)
– Green RD&D (including CCS)
– Some put in place green tax reform
But other measures may be environmentally harmful:
– Support for auto industry
– Road building
– Car-scrapping schemes (scale effects vs. efficiency effects)
Coming out of the crisis:
– The opportunity cost for green investment is now low
– Opportunity to reform costly & environmentally damaging policy measures (eg some
subsidies to energy and agriculture)
– Opportunity for revenue raising via environmental taxes or auctioned permits (offset
reductions in labour taxes, fiscal consolidation, raise funds for international finance)
– Need to manage employment impacts & develop skills
6
Removing fossil fuel subsidies is good for
the economy & the environment→ G20 Leaders Summit
Impact of energy subsidy removal on GHG emissions in 2050
Source: joint OECD-IEA analysis, cited in OECD (2009), Economics of Climate
Change Mitigation, based on IEA data on subsidies
6
-45
-40
-35
-30
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
World China India Oil-exportingcountries
Russia Non-EUEastern
European countries
% d
ev
iati
on
rela
tiv
e t
o B
usin
ess a
s U
su
al
7
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
Ru
ssia
Ind
ia
Oil-
pro
du
cin
gco
un
trie
s *
*
Ch
ina
Re
st o
f th
e w
orl
d
Bra
zil
% d
ev
iati
on
re
lati
ve
to
th
e b
as
eli
ne
2050
…and for the economy (household income)→ some win-win opportunities
Source: joint OECD-IEA analysis, cited in OECD (2009), Economics of Climate
Change Mitigation, based on IEA data on subsidies
8
Incentives for eco-innovation: a clear
policy signal
Source: OECD (2010), The Invention and Transfer of Environmental Technologies
8
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
121980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004P
ate
nti
ng
ac
tivit
y i
n A
nn
ex
1 r
ati
fic
ati
on
co
un
trie
s(3
-ye
ar
mo
vin
g a
ve
rag
e, in
de
xe
d o
n 1
99
0=
1.0
)
Wind power
Fuel cells
Lighting
Solar PV
Electric cars
All tech. sectors
1997- Kyoto Protocol
9
A framework for indicators of green growth
9
Consumers
Inputs:
Labour, capital, energy, materials,
environmental services
Multi-factor productivity
Outputs:
Goods, services
Economic activities (production, consumption, trade)
Policies, measures, instruments:
Taxes, subsidies, regulations, investments, innovation, education
1: Indicators of environmental efficiency of production and changes in production patterns 2: Indicators of environmental efficiency of consumption and changes in consumption patterns 3: Indicators of stocks of natural capital and environmental quality 4: Indicators of objective and subjective environmental quality of life 5: Indicators of responses by economic actors
4
5
1
Production process
Recycling,
re-use, re-manufacturing,
substitution
Pollutants, waste
Natural capital stocks and environmental quality
Services, amenities, health & safety aspects
Economic and social agents
Natural resources (water, biomass, air, land, energy, materials, …)
3
2
Public per-
ceptions
10
Indicators: progress in decoupling selected
emissions in OECD countries
10
40
60
80
100
120
140
16019
90
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Inde
x, 1
990=
100
GHG emissionsSOx emissionsNOx emissionsGDP
Source: OECD Key Environmental Indicators
relative decoupling
Absolute decoupling
11
Indicators: progress in decoupling waste in
OECD countries
11
40
60
80
100
120
140
1601
99
0
19
92
19
94
19
96
19
98
20
00
20
02
20
04
Ind
ex 1
990=
100
DMC (1)
GDP
Municipal waste
Domestic material consumption
Source: OECD Key Environmental Indicators
12
2008 OECD Household Survey on
Environmental Behaviour
Scope: energy, organic, transport, waste, water
Coverage: 10 countries (Australia, Canada, Czech Republic, France, Italy, Korea, Mexico, the Netherlands, Norway, Sweden)
Method of data collection: Internet panel-based Survey
Total sample size: 10 000 respondents (approx. 1000 per country)
Data analysis: 9 expert teams coordinated by the OECD.
Approach: Policy oriented (Survey questionnaire design, Advisory
Committee)
Next steps: publication of results (2010); new survey 2010-2011 with focus
on eco-innovation and low-carbon economy.
13
Share of households who have water
efficient appliances
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Water Efficient washing machine
Low volume or dual flush toilets
Water flow restrictor taps / low flow shower
head
No Charge
Variable Water Charge
14
What would encourage you
to reduce your car use most?
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Increased cost of drivingbetter public transportcheaper public transportmore and safer cycling paths
15
Green Growth – some emerging messages…
Need a mix of policy instruments to tackle key environmental challenges.
Importance of market-based approaches, but complemented by
regulations & standards, R&D investment, labelling. Ensure coherence in
policy design and implementation.
Internalising environmental externalities is necessary for green growth,
but insufficient need to ensure a smooth transition (sectoral shifts,
employment, skills) and incentivise eco-innovation (internalising positive
knowledge spill-overs).
The green growth framework needs to be flexible will need to be
applied differently in different counties. OECD country peer reviews
(economic, environmental) to help tailor to countries.
Green growth must be fundamentally integrated into economic growth
accounting importance of green growth indicators for identifying gaps
and measuring progress.