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The BEST Glycemic Control Tool Yanhaijin 11-02-2014

Glycemic Control Tool The BESTxqdoc.imedao.com/.../DexCom+PPT_YANHAIJIN_20141102.pdf · CGM Reimbursements-Covered by 98% of private insurers for T1D.-Covered by 25% of private insurers

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  • The BEST Glycemic Control ToolYanhaijin11-02-2014

  • DIABETES IS A GLOBAL EPIDEMIC-382 million people w/w have diabetes. (2012/IDF)-592 million people w/w will have diabetes. (2030/IDF)-29.1 million people or 9.3% of the U.S. population have diabetes. (2012/CDC)-We estimate 1.5m T1D & 27.6m T2D. (2012)

    Dexcom HQ

  • Hypoglycemia

    Diminished cognitive function

    Loss of consciousness

    Potential Death

    THE INTRICACY OF D/B MANAGEMENT Preferred Assessment: A1c Tests (Adult

  • LET’S DO THE MATH...

    D/B pts typically spend >70% of their time outside euglycemia.

    CGM generates 288 reads/day vs. SMBG 4-8 reads/ day.CGM delivers comprehensive information on glucose excursions.

  • “CGM is the ONLY tool available to help patients continually track their glucose levels and alert them when

    levels are too high or too low. ”

    … AND SEE THIS PARADIGM SHIFT

    SENSOR APPLICATOR TRANSMITTER RECEIVER SHARE MOBILE GLUCOCLEAR

  • DEXCOM TIMELINE & PIPELINE

    -Animas Vibe SAP is expected to be approved by YE14.

    -Tandem t:slim G4 has submitted a PMA application in Mid-14, 12-18 months of review period are broadly expected by the market.

    -G5’s (mobile integration) application strategy is TBD (ongoing dialogue w/ FDA), could be a whole package or separate filings including a PMA-S covering the latest algorithm.

    -G6 will see sensor improvement in accuracy and membrane blocking of certain drug reaction (ICU), could be a 2016-2017 event. Dexcom will seek for ‘non-adjunctive’ label against BG thru several steps, could be a major reference for Medicare reimbursement decision.

  • THE CURRENT D/B LANDSCAPETODAY’S THERAPY OPTIONS$15-16b market w/w (2012)

    For T1D & insulin-dependent T2D patients

    CGMDexcom

    MedtronicAbbott (Defunct)

    Echo (ICU)

    BGM/FGMRoche

    LifeScan (JNG)Abbott Bayer

    PumpMedtronic

    Animas (JNJ)InsuletRoche

    TandemAsante

    T1D PENETRATION

    CGM: HSD-10% PUMP: 30%

    Note: Companies highlighted are Dexcom’s partners.

  • THE CURRENT D/B LANDSCAPEFUTURE COMBO THERAPY OPTIONS For T1D & insulin-dependent T2D patients

    SENSOR AUGMENTED PUMP/APP INTEGRATION

    -Dexcom + Animas/Tandem

    -Dexcom + Insulet/Asante (Authorized by Dexcom)

    -Medtronic Combo

    -Roche Combo

    SINGLE PATCH

    -Minimed Duo (mid-14)

    -Insulet (15H1 human trial)

    -Becton Dickinson + JDRF (2010-14Q2, project abandoned)

    ARTIFICIAL PANCREAS

    -Dexcom participates in 18/20 AP projects w/w

    -Medtronic internal projects

    Current preferred route Controversial route

    Potential problems:

    -CGM sensor life and pump replacement cycle cannot be aligned.

    -Malfunctioning of one component leads to system replacement.

    The ultimate loop closure

  • COMPETITION: IT’S ALL ABOUT MARD

  • COMPETITION: IT’S ALL ABOUT MARDDEXCOM PRODUCT SUPERIORITY IS REFLECTED IN PATIENT CHOICE

    Note: Close Concerns affiliate dQ&A QTR survey on 700+ pts.

  • COMPETITION: A CLOSER LOOK AT MEDTRONICTHERE’S LITTLE CHANCE MDT WILL CATCH UP WITH DXCM IN MARD TRAJECTORY

    -Medtronic is focused on complex and expensive AP system internally.

    -Dexcom is SOLELY focused on simplified and miniaturized CGM product. Dexcom do all the heavy-lifting work around sensor accuracy, and leverage pump partners for SAP and ultimately, AP systems.

    530G/Enlite: Low glucose Suspension based on preset threshold, 50%+ error rate. US launch in 13Q4. MARD ~18%.

    640G/Enlite Enhanced: LGS based on predictive algorithm. US launch expected in 16H2. MARD 10-18%.

    670G/Enlite 3: partially closed loop insulin delivery and suspension. US launch expected in Mid-2018. Targeting Single Digit MARD, and Dexcom has already achieved it NOW!

    MM Flex: hybrid durable pump, can either be worn w/ or w/o tubing.

  • COMPETITION: SOME RELEVANT COMPETITORS

    Abbott Freestyle Libre

    -Approved in Sep-2014

    -Positioned btw BGM & CGM

    -MARD 11.4%, factory-calibrated

    -14d, Non-continuous, no alerts

    -Insurance reimbursement unclear

    Roche internal CGM project

    -Compelling data in 2014 ADA. MARD 8-10% vs. G4 11-12% at excursion rate of ±1 mg/dL/min, 11-16% vs. 25-30% at ± >3mg/dL/min.

    -Project progress unclear, could be filed around or after G6 timeline

    Abbott Freestyle Navigator II

    -Available in Europe, but hard to get

    -PMA Filing plan unclear, could be around G6 timeline

    -MARD unclear (could be L-10s)

    Insulet single-site project

    -CGM partner undisclosed

    -15H1 human trial, BD failed

    -CGM sensor life will be limited to 3 days and malfunctioning of either component will lead to system replacement

    AND THEN

    WE GOT THIS OVERWHELMING TOUTS AROUND NON-INVASIVE

    TECHNOLOGY… MOVE ON TO REALITY CHECK NEXT PAGE

  • COMPETITION: NON-INVASIVE DREAM50+ YEARS OF EFFORTS, 70+ COMPANIES HAVE FAILEDTATTOO, TEARS, SWEAT, SALIVA, EYEBALL, CONTACT LENSES, EARLOBE, YOU NAME IT

    HG1-c Optical Glucose Monitor

    -Received CE Mark in Oct-2012

    -Broke down in 2013 due to unstable performance and mfg variability

    -Raman spectroscopy, Non-continuous

    -Extremely sensitive to sunlight, should be covered completely under clothes

    -Affected by body hair and skin color

    Symphony tCGM system

    -Used in OR/ICU setting

    -PMA Application filed in Mid-13

    -Prelude SkinPrep removes the Stratum Corneum

    -ICU trials’ average MARD 11.9%

    Smart contact lens

    -Secret CGM project starting from mid-2012, unveiled in early 2014

    -Novartis joined in mid-2014

    -Timeline unclear (at least 5 years)

    -Corr. btw glucose level in tears and blood are not proven, yet

    Wild guess on iWatch Glucose Monitor-Apple hired former employee of C8 MediSensor-Numerous challenges ahead, wild guess is still wild guess

    Quotes from C8 CEO:

    “From a technological standpoint, what we had done was a stellar achievement. But the problem was that the performance was marginal, it was LIGHT YEARS from where it needed to be for a product.”

    GlucoTrack-Received CE Mark in June-’13, US trial starts in ‘14-Ear-clip, 1st generation non-continuous, but do PWDs really wanna wear this bulky clip as CGM?-MARD probably around 20-30%-Redundant sensing, thermal/ultrasound/EM tech

  • CGM Reimbursements

    -Covered by 98% of private insurers for T1D.

    -Covered by 25% of private insurers for T2D.

    -Medicare coverage should be expected after G6 launch. (~⅓ T1D are eligible for Medicare).

    G4 Distribution

    -In 14H2-15H1, G4 will lock down its preferred position in Express Script’s drug formulary as the ONLY CGM product in d/b category.

    -G4 has also entered into collaboration with CVS and two other major PBMs (could be Catamaran and United Health).

    -Transition from DME benefit to pharmacy benefit simplifies the purchase and reimbursement process for d/b patients.

  • FINANCIAL REVIEW

  • Note: The scales are not proportional.

    CGM: HUGE OPPORTUNITIES LIE AHEAD

  • CLASSIC CASE: DXCM vs. GMCR

    RAZOR

    RAZORBLADE

    MODEL Dexcom is here

  • MORE DISCUSSIONS (1)

  • MORE DISCUSSIONS (2)

    Exparel Approval

    Phase 3 Results

    Xtandi Approval

  • Thanks!Any questions?

    You can find me at:

    weibo @yanhaijin