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Global Economy, Energy and Environment: An Overview

Global Economy, Energy and Environment: An Overview

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Global Economy, Energy and Environment: An Overview

GDP (Trillion US$ 1990)

0

5

10

15

20

25

1991 1993 1995 1997 1999

GD

P

Developed

Developing

Transition

Global Population (Billion)

0

1

2

3

4

5

1991 1993 1995 1997 1999

Pop

ula

tion

Developed

Developing

Transition

GDP and Population Share - 1999

PopulationGDP

73%

23%

4%

Developed Developing Transition

14%

78%

8%

GDP and Population Share - 1999

32%

4%

31%

3%4%2%

24%

North America Central and South AmericaWestern Europe Eastern Europe and Former U.S.S.RMiddle East AfricaFar East & Oceania

7%

7%

7%

8%3%

13%

55%

PopulationGDP

Global Energy Consumption (1015 Btu)

0

50

100

150

200

250

1991 1993 1995 1997 1999

Con

sum

pti

on

Developed

Developing

Transition

Global Carbon Emissions (BTCE)

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

1991 1993 1995 1997 1999

Em

issi

ons

Developed

Developing

Transition

BTCE: Billion Tons of Carbon Equivalent

Shares of Energy and Carbon Emissions - 1999

Carbon EmissionsEnergy Consumption

52%

34%

14%

48%

38%

14%

Developed Developing Transition

Share of Energy and Carbon Emissions - 1999

31%5%

18%

13%

4% 3% 26%

North America Central and South America

Western Europe Eastern Europe and Former U.S.S.R

Middle East Africa

Far East & Oceania

28%4%

17%

13%

5% 4%29%

Carbon EmissionsEnergy Consumption

Global Energy Production (1015 Btu)

0

40

80

120

160

200

1991 1993 1995 1997 1999

En

ergy

Pro

du

ctio

n

Developed

Developing

Transition

Primary Energy Production (1999)

36%

48%

16%

DevelopedDeveloping

Transition

World Primary Energy Production - 1999

25%7%

12%

16%

14% 7%

19%

North AmericaCentral and South America

Western EuropeEastern Europe and Former U.S.S.R

Middle EastAfrica

Far East & Oceania

Per Capita GDP (1999)(Thousand 1990 US$)

0

5

10

15

20

25

Developed Transition Developing

GD

P/p

erso

n

Energy Intensity of GDP - 1999 (Thousand Btu /1990 US$)

0

15

30

45

60

Developed Transition Developing

En

ergy

In

ten

sity

Carbon Intensity of GDP - 1999 (TC/Million 1990 US$)

0

200

400

600

800

1000

Developed Transition Developing

Car

bon

Int

ensi

ty

Per Capita Energy Consumption - 1999 (Billion Btu/ person)

0.00

0.05

0.10

0.15

0.20

0.25

Developed Transition Developing

En

ergy

/ Per

son

Per Capita Carbon Emission - 1999 (TC/ person)

0

1

2

3

4

Developed Transition Developing

Car

bon

/ Per

son

Structural Changes in Developing Economies

GDP Trends in Selected Countries (1990 = 1.0)Period: 1966-95

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0C

hin

a

Ger

man

y

Jap

an

Mex

ico

US

A

Fra

nce

Ind

ia

Kor

ea

Tu

nis

ia

Economic Development Phases

Phase Phase

Time

High

Growth

Medium

GrowthMedium

-Low

Growth

Low

Growth

Phase

Under developed

Phase

DevelopingTime

Developed

High

Growth

Medium

GrowthMedium

-Low

Growth

Low

Growth

Gro

wth

Relationship between GDP AAGR and Shares of Manufacturing

9

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

-0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2Relative Index

GD

P A

AG

R

12

1

96

7

811

26

2017

15

2928

25

27

21

19

30

22

23

14

24

105

2

18

413

16 3

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

-0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.2Relative Index

GD

P A

AG

R

12

1

96

7

811

26

2017

15

2928

25

27

21

19

30

22

23

14

24

105

2

18

413

16 3

Average Annual Growth Rate of Total Population in Selected Countries (%)

Critical Trends, UN, 1997

Country 60’s 80’s 00’s 20’s

China 2.4 1.5 0.7 0.3

India 2.3 2.1 1.4 0.9

USA 1.2 1.0 0.7 0.5

Japan 1.0 0.6 0.0 -0.4

Germany 0.7 0.1 0.0 -0.3

Brazil 2.8 2.0 1.2 0.7

Poland 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0

Tunisia 2.0 2.4 1.5 1.0

Average Annual Growth Rate of Urban Population in Selected Countries (%)

Critical Trends, UN, 1997

Country 60’s 80’s 00’s 20’s

China 3.2 4.4 2.8 1.5

India 3.3 3.2 2.9 2.4

USA 1.7 1.2 1.0 0.7

Japan 2.4 0.7 0.3 -0.2

Germany 1.1 0.5 0.2 -0.2

Brazil 5.1 3.2 1.6 0.9

Poland 1.9 1.3 0.8 0.5

Tunisia 4.1 3.6 2.4 1.4

Illiteracy Rate (Over 15 Years Old)

Statistical Yearbook, UNESCO, 1994

Country Year (%)

Canada 1986 3.4

Former Soviet Union 1989 2.0

Rep. of Korea 1990 3.7

Poland 1978 1.2

China 1990 22.2

Brazil 1991 20.1

Tunisia 1989 42.7

GDP Shares of Sectors in Selected Countries

Statistical Yearbook, UNESCO, 1994

Country Year Agriculture Industries Services

USA 1970 2.7 34.8 62.4

  1991 2.0 27.0 71.0

Japan 1970 6.1 46.6 47.3

  1991 2.0 39.0 59.0

Mexico 1970 12.0 30.0 58.0

  1991 8.0 30.0 62.0

Malaysia 1970 29.0 28.0 43.0

  1991 17.0 43.0 40.0

China 1970 40.0 41.0 19.0

  1991 28.0 49.0 23.0

India 1970 42.0 21.0 37.0

  1991 32.0 28.0 40.0

Number of Vehicles per 100 People (1992)

World Automotive Market Report 1994-95

Country Total Passenger Car

Tunisia 6.0 3.8Brazil 8.6 7.9Mexico 12.3 8.3USA 74.6 56.5India 0.6 0.3Japan 49.5 31.3China 0.6 0.2Czech Republic 25.6 22.3Poland 20.5 16.9Germany 52.3 48.7Netherlands 41.6 37.3Australia 56.6 45.0

Number of Radio and Television per 1000 People (1992)

Statistical Yearbook, UNESCO, 1994

Country Radio Television

Zimbabwe 84 27.0USA 2,118 815.0Argentina 683 221.0

Brazil 386 208.0China 182 31.0India 80 37.0Japan 908 614.0Thailand 192 114.0France 889 408.0

Hungary 599 414.0Poland 435 295.0UK 1,146 435.0

Fossil Contribution to CO2 Emissions

Climate Change Policy Initiatives – 1995/96 Updated, vol. 2, “Selected Non-IEA Countries”, OECD/IEA, 1996

Africa Asia/Pacific

Latin America

OECD World

Coal 1996 (%) 44.5 56.1 7.7 31.0 37.7

Oil 1996 (%) 42.7 37.1 71.7 48.7 42.8

Nat. Gas 1996 % 12.8 6.8 20.6 20.3 19.5

90-96 Coal cha.% 18.3 24.5 -3.8 -0.3 2.6

90-96 Oil cha. % 16.3 37.3 10.9 7.8 5.7

90-96 Gas cha. % 33.4 61.9 31.4 23.2 15.1

90-96 Tot.cha. % 19.1 31.1 13.2 7.8 6.2

Global GDP (1990 US$ Trillion)

0

5

10

15

20

25

1991 1993 1995 1997 1999

GD

P

Developed

Developing

Transition

Country Comparisons

Selected Countries

Developing Countries

• China• India• Indonesia• Brazil• South Africa

Developed Countries

• France• Germany• Japan• Russia• S. Korea• U.K• US.A

GDP (Billion 1990 US$)

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1991 1993 1995 1997 1999

GD

P

China Brazil India Indonesia South Africa

Population (Million)

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1991 1993 1995 1997 1999

Pop

ula

tion

(M

illi

on)

China India Indonesia Brazil South Africa

Energy Consumption (1015 Btu)

0

10

20

30

40

1991 1993 1995 1997 1999

En

ergy

Con

sum

pti

on

China India Brazil South Africa Indonesia

Carbon Emission (MTCE)

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1991 1993 1995 1997 1999

Car

bon

Em

issi

ons

(MT

CE

)

China India South Africa Brazil Indonesia

MTCE: Million Ton of Carbon Equivalent

Energy Production (1015 Btu)

0

10

20

30

40

1991 1993 1995 1997 1999

En

ergy

Pro

du

ctio

n

China India Indonesia Brazil South Africa

Per Capita GDP - 1999(Thousand 1990 US$)

0

1

2

3

4

India Indonesia China Brazil SouthAfrica

GD

P/p

erso

n

Energy Intensity - 1999 (Thousand Btu/1990 US$)

0

8

16

24

32

40

Ch

ina

Ind

ia

Ind

ones

ia

Bra

zil

S. A

fric

a

En

ergy

In

ten

sity

0

20

40

60

80

Fra

nce

Ger

man

y

Jap

an

Ru

ssia

S. K

orea

UK

US

A

Carbon Intensity - 1999 (TC/Million 1990 US$)

Ind

ones

ia

S. A

fri c

a

0

200

400

600

800

Ch

ina

Ind

ia

Bra

zil

Car

bon

In

ten

sity

0

300

600

900

1200

Fra

nc

e

Ge

rma

ny

Ja

pa

n

Ru

ss

ia

S.

Ko

rea

UK

US

A

Energy Consumption Per Capita - 1999 (Billion Btu/Person)

0.00

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.10

Ch

ina

Ind

ia

Ind

ones

ia

Bra

zil

S. A

fric

a

En

erg

y/

Pe

rso

n

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

Fra

nc

e

Ge

rma

ny

Ja

pa

n

Ru

ss

ia

S.

Ko

rea

UK

US

A

Carbon Emissions Per Capita - 1999 (TC/ Person)

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

Ch

ina

Ind

ia

Ind

ones

ia

Bra

zil

S. A

fric

a

Car

bon

/ p

erso

n

Ge

rma

ny

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

Fra

nc

e

Ja

pa

n

Ru

ss

ia

S.

Ko

rea

UK

US

A