21
GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 Chotani, 2003 PART II: Epidemiology PART II: Epidemiology

GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 PART II: Epidemiology. GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 Epidemiology As of 10 June 2003 8430 cases reported world-wide 789 deaths 5937 recovered

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 PART II: Epidemiology. GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 Epidemiology As of 10 June 2003 8430 cases reported world-wide 789 deaths 5937 recovered

GIDSAS

Chotani, 2003Chotani, 2003

PART II: EpidemiologyPART II: Epidemiology

Page 2: GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 PART II: Epidemiology. GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 Epidemiology As of 10 June 2003 8430 cases reported world-wide 789 deaths 5937 recovered

GIDSAS

Chotani, 2003Chotani, 2003

EpidemiologyEpidemiology

As of 10 June 2003As of 10 June 2003

8430 cases reported world-wide 8430 cases reported world-wide

789 deaths789 deaths

5937 recovered5937 recovered

With Disease 1184With Disease 1184

Case-fatality proportion: 9.4%Case-fatality proportion: 9.4%

Source: WHO

Page 3: GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 PART II: Epidemiology. GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 Epidemiology As of 10 June 2003 8430 cases reported world-wide 789 deaths 5937 recovered

GIDSAS

Chotani, 2003Chotani, 2003

EpidemiologyEpidemiologyTotal Cases = 8430Total Cases = 8430

China: China: 5328 = 63.2%5328 = 63.2%Hong Kong: Hong Kong: 1754 = 20.8%1754 = 20.8%Taiwan:Taiwan: 686 = 686 = 8.1%8.1%Canada:Canada: 229 = 229 = 2.7% 2.7% Singapore:Singapore: 206 = 2.4% 206 = 2.4%Rest – WorldRest – World 95 = 95 = 1.1% 1.1%USAUSA 69 = 0.8% 69 = 0.8%Viet NamViet Nam 63 = 0.7% 63 = 0.7%

Total Deaths = 770Total Deaths = 770China:China: 343 = 43.4% 343 = 43.4%Hong Kong:Hong Kong: 290 = 36.8% 290 = 36.8%Taiwan:Taiwan: 81 = 10.3% 81 = 10.3%Canada:Canada: 32 = 4.1% 32 = 4.1%Singapore:Singapore: 31 = 3.9% 31 = 3.9%Rest – WorldRest – World 7 = 0.9% 7 = 0.9%Viet NamViet Nam 5 = 5 = 0.6% 0.6%USAUSA 0 = 0.0% 0 = 0.0%

Source: WHO

~ 95% cases in Asia~ 95% cases in Asia~95% Deaths in Asia~95% Deaths in Asia

Page 4: GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 PART II: Epidemiology. GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 Epidemiology As of 10 June 2003 8430 cases reported world-wide 789 deaths 5937 recovered

GIDSAS

Chotani, 2003Chotani, 2003

Probable Cases Reported by Probable Cases Reported by CountryCountry

5328

5 3229 1

686

1 1 7 10 3 2 9 1 5 9 1 12 1 3 1 1

1754

206 1 1 3 1 9 4

69

63

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

Au

stralia

Brazil

Can

ada

Ch

ina

Ch

ina, H

K

Ch

ina, M

acao

Ch

ina, T

aiwan

Co

lom

bia

Fin

land

Fran

ce

Germ

any

Ind

ia

Ind

on

asia

Italy

Ku

wait

Malaysia

Man

go

lia

New

Zealan

d

Ph

ilipp

ines

Rep

ub

lic of Irelan

d

Rep

ub

lic of K

orea

Ro

man

ia

Ru

ssian F

ederatio

n

Sin

gap

ore

So

uth

Africa

Sp

ain

Sw

eden

Sw

itzerland

Th

ailand

Un

ited K

ing

do

m

Un

ited S

tates

Viet N

amN

o. o

f C

ases

N=8430N=8430June 10June 10

Source: WHO

Page 5: GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 PART II: Epidemiology. GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 Epidemiology As of 10 June 2003 8430 cases reported world-wide 789 deaths 5937 recovered

GIDSAS

Chotani, 2003Chotani, 2003

Deaths Reported by CountryDeaths Reported by Country

521

31

22

81

32

343

290

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Australia

Brazil

Canada

China

China, H

K

China, M

acao

China, Taiw

an

Colum

bia

Finland

France

Germ

any

India

Indonasia

Italy

Kuw

ait

Malaysia

Mangolia

New

Zealand

Philippines

Poland

Republic of Ireland

Republic of K

orea

Rom

ania

Russian Federation

Singapore

South A

frica

Spain

Sw

eden

Sw

itzerland

Thailand

United K

ingdom

United S

tates

Viet N

amN

o. o

f C

ases

N=789N=789June 10June 10

Source: WHO

Page 6: GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 PART II: Epidemiology. GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 Epidemiology As of 10 June 2003 8430 cases reported world-wide 789 deaths 5937 recovered

GIDSAS

Chotani, 2003Chotani, 2003

No. of Cases vs. Recovered No. of Cases vs. Recovered by Countryby Country

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

Au

stralia

Brazil

Can

ada

Ch

ina

Ch

ina, H

K

Ch

ina, M

acao

Ch

ina, T

aiwan

Co

lom

bia

Fin

land

Fran

ce

Germ

any

Ind

ia

Ind

on

asia

Italy

Ku

wait

Malaysia

Man

go

lia

New

Zealan

d

Ph

ilipp

ines

Rep

ub

lic of Irelan

d

Rep

ub

lic of K

orea

Ro

man

ia

Ru

ssian F

ederatio

n

Sin

gap

ore

So

uth

Africa

Sp

ain

Sw

eden

Sw

itzerland

Th

ailand

Un

ited K

ing

do

m

Un

ited S

tates

Viet N

amN

o. o

f C

ases

Cumulative Cases No. Recovered

8430 vs. 64578430 vs. 6457June 10June 10

Source: WHO

Page 7: GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 PART II: Epidemiology. GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 Epidemiology As of 10 June 2003 8430 cases reported world-wide 789 deaths 5937 recovered

GIDSAS

Chotani, 2003Chotani, 2003

Sick, Deaths & No. RecoveredSick, Deaths & No. Recovered

No. Recovered, 6457, 77%

Deaths, 789, 9%

Probable Cases,

1184, 14%June 10,June 10,

20032003

Source: WHO

Page 8: GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 PART II: Epidemiology. GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 Epidemiology As of 10 June 2003 8430 cases reported world-wide 789 deaths 5937 recovered

GIDSAS

Chotani, 2003Chotani, 2003

Page 9: GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 PART II: Epidemiology. GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 Epidemiology As of 10 June 2003 8430 cases reported world-wide 789 deaths 5937 recovered

GIDSAS

Chotani, 2003Chotani, 2003

International TravelInternational Travel

Country Area

International

Passenger

Screening

Travel to

Consider

Postponing

Canada Toronto YES NO

China Beijing YES YES

China Guangdong YES NO

China Hebei YES YES

China Hong Kong YES NO

China Inner Mongolia YES YES

China Jilin YES NO

China Shanxi YES YES

China Tianjin YES YES

China Taipei YES YES

Source: WHO

All international travelers should be aware of the main features of SARS and the areas of the world where local transmission has been reported. This table summarizes those areas of the world for which further specific measures have been recommended.

Page 10: GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 PART II: Epidemiology. GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 Epidemiology As of 10 June 2003 8430 cases reported world-wide 789 deaths 5937 recovered

GIDSAS

Chotani, 2003Chotani, 2003

Weekly Cases & Deaths - World

568

692

1189

864

417338

182

37

979

1166

289167

46

73

104

140

91 9182

45

14

40

0

500

1000

1500

February 1-March 17

March 18-24

March 25-31

April 1-7

April 8-14

April 15-21

April 22-28

April 29-5

May 6-12

May 13-19

May 20-26

May 27-June 2

June 3-9

Weeks

No

of

Re

po

rte

d C

as

es

0

50

100

150 No

of R

ep

orte

d D

ea

ths

CASES DEATHS

Source: WHO

Page 11: GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 PART II: Epidemiology. GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 Epidemiology As of 10 June 2003 8430 cases reported world-wide 789 deaths 5937 recovered

GIDSAS

Chotani, 2003Chotani, 2003

Weekly Cases & Deaths - China

541

955

1366

733

223

8012 0

150

00

806

462

22

45

75

4637

28

17

61119

0

500

1000

1500

February 1-March 17

March 18-24

March 25-31

April 1-7

April 8-14

April 15-21

April 22-28

April 29-5

May 6-12

May 13-19

May 20-26

May 27-June 2

June 3-9

Weeks

No

of

Re

po

rte

d C

as

es

0

50

100

150

No

of R

ep

orte

d D

ea

ths

CASES DEATHS

Source: WHO

Page 12: GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 PART II: Epidemiology. GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 Epidemiology As of 10 June 2003 8430 cases reported world-wide 789 deaths 5937 recovered

GIDSAS

Chotani, 2003Chotani, 2003

Page 13: GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 PART II: Epidemiology. GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 Epidemiology As of 10 June 2003 8430 cases reported world-wide 789 deaths 5937 recovered

GIDSAS

Chotani, 2003Chotani, 2003

Weekly Cases & Deaths - Hong Kong

307

212

155

8046

3114 18 7

95 111

324353

24

4744

49

3133

18

13

6

10

0

100

200

300

400

500

February 1-March 17

March 18-24

March 25-31

April 1-7

April 8-14

April 15-21

April 22-28

April 29-5

May 6-12

May 13-19

May 20-26

May 27-June 2

June 3-9

Weeks

No

of

Re

po

rte

d C

as

es

0

10

20

30

40

50

No

of R

ep

orte

d D

ea

ths

CASES DEATHS

Source: WHO

Page 14: GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 PART II: Epidemiology. GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 Epidemiology As of 10 June 2003 8430 cases reported world-wide 789 deaths 5937 recovered

GIDSAS

Chotani, 2003Chotani, 2003

Page 15: GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 PART II: Epidemiology. GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 Epidemiology As of 10 June 2003 8430 cases reported world-wide 789 deaths 5937 recovered

GIDSAS

Chotani, 2003Chotani, 2003

Weekly Cases & Deaths - Tiawan

2 6

3750

68

160

252

88

0 6 4 110 0 0

8

12

20

32

0

9

0 0 0 00

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

February 1-March 17

March 18-24

March 25-31

April 1-7

April 8-14

April 15-21

April 22-28

April 29-5

May 6-12

May 13-19

May 20-26

May 27-June 2

June 3-9

Weeks

No

of

Re

po

rte

d C

as

es

0

10

20

30

40 No

of R

ep

orte

d D

ea

ths

CASES DEATHS

Source: WHO

Page 16: GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 PART II: Epidemiology. GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 Epidemiology As of 10 June 2003 8430 cases reported world-wide 789 deaths 5937 recovered

GIDSAS

Chotani, 2003Chotani, 2003

Weekly Cases & Deaths - Singapore

52

20 21

51 1 0 0 0

20

44

27

15

6

4

7

3

2

0

3

0

3

0 0

2

4

0

20

40

60

80

100

February 1-March 17

March 18-24

March 25-31

April 1-7

April 8-14

April 15-21

April 22-28

April 29-5

May 6-12

May 13-19

May 20-26

May 27-June 2

June 3-9

Weeks

No

of

Re

po

rte

d C

as

es

0

5

10

No

of R

ep

orte

d D

ea

ths

CASES DEATHS

Source: WHO

Page 17: GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 PART II: Epidemiology. GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 Epidemiology As of 10 June 2003 8430 cases reported world-wide 789 deaths 5937 recovered

GIDSAS

Chotani, 2003Chotani, 2003

Page 18: GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 PART II: Epidemiology. GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 Epidemiology As of 10 June 2003 8430 cases reported world-wide 789 deaths 5937 recovered

GIDSAS

Chotani, 2003Chotani, 2003

Weekly Cases & Deaths - Viet Nam

1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

40

18

0

4

1

0 0 0 0 0

3

0 0

1

3

0 00

10

20

30

40

February 1-March 17

March 18-24

March 25-31

April 1-7

April 8-14

April 15-21

April 22-28

April 29-5

May 6-12

May 13-19

May 20-26

May 27-June 2

June 3-9

Weeks

No

of

Re

po

rte

d C

as

es

0

1

2

3

4

No

of R

ep

orte

d D

ea

ths

CASES DEATHS

Source: WHO

Page 19: GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 PART II: Epidemiology. GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 Epidemiology As of 10 June 2003 8430 cases reported world-wide 789 deaths 5937 recovered

GIDSAS

Chotani, 2003Chotani, 2003

Weekly Cases & Deaths - Canada

10

32

106

-5 -3

8

50

31

46

33

3

8

4

-1

6

4

0

1

3

4

12

5

11

2

-10

10

30

50

70

90

February 1-March 17

March 18-24

March 25-31

April 1-7

April 8-14

April 15-21

April 22-28

April 29-5

May 6-12

May 13-19

May 20-26

May 27-June 2

June 3-9

Weeks

No

of

Re

po

rte

d C

as

es

-1

4

9

14

No

of R

ep

orte

d D

ea

ths

CASES DEATHS

Source: WHO

Page 20: GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 PART II: Epidemiology. GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 Epidemiology As of 10 June 2003 8430 cases reported world-wide 789 deaths 5937 recovered

GIDSAS

Chotani, 2003Chotani, 2003

Weekly Cases & Deaths - USA

33

-135

2

20

3 3 -2 1 2

0

3722

82

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00 0 0 0

-200

-150

-100

-50

0

50

100

February 1-March 17

March 18-24

March 25-31

April 1-7

April 8-14

April 15-21

April 22-28

April 29-5

May 6-12

May 13-19

May 20-26

May 27-June 2

June 3-9

Weeks

No

of

Re

po

rte

d C

as

es

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

No

of D

ea

ths

Re

po

rted

CASES DEATHS

Source: WHO

Page 21: GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 PART II: Epidemiology. GIDSAS Chotani, 2003 Epidemiology As of 10 June 2003 8430 cases reported world-wide 789 deaths 5937 recovered

GIDSAS

Chotani, 2003Chotani, 2003

Case-Fatality ProportionCase-Fatality ProportionAs of June 10As of June 10

Hong Kong: Hong Kong: 290/1754 = 16.5%290/1754 = 16.5%

Singapore:Singapore: 31/206 = 15.0% 31/206 = 15.0%

Canada:Canada: 32/229 = 14.0% 32/229 = 14.0%

Taiwan:Taiwan: 81/686 = 11.8% 81/686 = 11.8%

Viet NamViet Nam 5/63 = 7.9% 5/63 = 7.9%

China: China: 343/5328 = 6.4% 343/5328 = 6.4%

USAUSA 0/66 = 0.0% 0/66 = 0.0%

Go to Part III "The Virus"

Source: WHO

Over ALL CFP= 9.4% (Range 0%-16.5%)Over ALL CFP= 9.4% (Range 0%-16.5%)