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1 GEOLOGIC HAZARDS OF VIRGINIA 1 2 Author contacts 3 4 L. Scott Eaton, Department of Geology and Environmental Science, James Madison 5 University, Harrisonburg, VA 22807, [email protected] 6 7 R. Craig Kochel, Department of Geology, Bucknell University, Lewisburg, PA 17837, 8 [email protected] 9 10 David A. Hubbard, Jr., Virginia Department of Mines, Minerals and Energy’s Division of 11 Mineral Resources, 900 Natural Resources Dr., Suite 500, Charlottesville, VA 22903, 12 [email protected] 13 14 Fiorella V. Simoni de Cannon, Department of Chemistry and Biochemistry, George 15 Mason University, Fairfax, VA 22030, [email protected] 16 17 Douglas G. Mose, Department of Chemistry and Biochemistry, George Mason 18 University, Fairfax, VA 22030, [email protected] 19 20 21 22 23

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Page 1: GEOLOGIC HAZARDS OF VIRGINIA 2 3 Author …csmres.jmu.edu/.../geologic_hazards_final_eaton.pdf124 mountainous terrain to alluvial fans and valley bottoms include water floods (streamflows),

1

GEOLOGIC HAZARDS OF VIRGINIA 1 2 Author contacts 3 4 L. Scott Eaton, Department of Geology and Environmental Science, James Madison 5 University, Harrisonburg, VA 22807, [email protected] 6 7 R. Craig Kochel, Department of Geology, Bucknell University, Lewisburg, PA 17837, 8 [email protected] 9 10 David A. Hubbard, Jr., Virginia Department of Mines, Minerals and Energy’s Division of 11 Mineral Resources, 900 Natural Resources Dr., Suite 500, Charlottesville, VA 22903, 12 [email protected] 13 14 Fiorella V. Simoni de Cannon, Department of Chemistry and Biochemistry, George 15 Mason University, Fairfax, VA 22030, [email protected] 16 17 Douglas G. Mose, Department of Chemistry and Biochemistry, George Mason 18 University, Fairfax, VA 22030, [email protected] 19 20 21 22

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2

INTRODUCTION: AN OVERVIEW OF GEOLOGIC 24

HAZARDS OF VIRGINIA 25

L. Scott Eaton 26

In the United States, natural hazards are annually responsible for hundreds of deaths, 27

disruption of commerce, destruction of homes and infrastructure, and billions of dollars 28

in disaster aid (USGS, 2007). The U.S. Geological Survey includes earthquakes, floods, 29

hurricanes, landslides, tsunamis, volcanoes, and wildfires as natural hazards. Although 30

the number of lives lost to natural hazards each year generally has declined, the economic 31

cost of major disaster response and recovery continues to rise. Each decade, property 32

damage from natural hazards events doubles or triples. The United States is second only 33

to Japan in economic damages resulting from natural disasters (USGS, 2007). 34

Geologic hazards, a subset of natural hazards, are defined as a geologic condition or 35

phenomenon, natural or brought about by human activity, that represents a threat to 36

human life, welfare, and property (Neuendorf et al., 2005). In the Commonwealth, the 37

threat of natural hazards continues to increase as more rural counties become 38

suburbanized. In 2005, three of the top ten fastest growing counties in the United States 39

were in Virginia (Christie, 2006). Loudoun County’s population increased nearly 60% 40

from 2000 to 2006, making it the fourth fastest-growing county in the United States 41

(Francis, 2007). Additionally, sparsely populated regions of Virginia are not immune to 42

geologic hazards. The remnants of Hurricane Camille in 1969 resulted in landslides and 43

flooding that killed over 150 people in Nelson County, equating to approximately 1% of 44

the county population. Other geologic hazards, although not as energetic, pose risk1

1 Throughout the section on radon, the term risk is used to mean the possibility of unwanted, adverse consequences to human life, health, property, or the environment. (Source: The Society for Risk Analysis, www.sra.org.)

to 45

humans and property. For example, many rural counties in western Virginia have 46

extremely high radon gas concentrations, and counties in karst regions can be at risk of 47

sinkhole collapse and groundwater contamination. Regardless of the population density, 48

recognizing these potential hazards in the Commonwealth, and disseminating the 49

information to its citizens is of utmost importance. 50

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3

The Virginia Department of Emergency Management lists geologic hazards within the 51

Commonwealth as including landslides, flooding, subsidence from sinkholes and mining, 52

radon, shoreline erosion, earthquakes, and soil movement. This chapter focuses on the 53

first four of the listed topics; the topics of shoreline erosion, earthquakes, and subsidence 54

from mining are addressed in other chapters of this volume. Soil movement, including the 55

processes of frost heave and expandable soils, are notably present in Virginia, and are 56

discussed in the Soils of Virginia chapter of this volume. 57

58

LANDSLIDE AND FLOODING HAZARDS IN VIRGINIA 59

L. Scott Eaton and R. Craig Kochel 60

INTRODUCTION 61

Landslides and flooding events pose a threat to both property and life throughout the 62

United States. Annually, landslides cause approximately $3.5 billion in damage (valued 63

in year 2001 dollars), and kill between 25 and 50 people annually, primarily from rock 64

falls, rock slides, and debris flows (USGS, 2006). Flooding is even more costly in the 65

loss of life and property, where over $6 billion in property damage and 140 deaths occur 66

annually. Virginia experienced 13 flood-related federally declared disasters between 1996 67

and 2005, during which 12 hurricanes tracked across the state, including Fran, Bonnie, 68

Floyd, Isabel, Jeanne, and Dennis (VDEM, 2007). Surprisingly to some, Virginia has 69

experienced several of the most catastrophic geomorphic flooding events in the history of 70

the United States. Two floods in recent memory that were notorious for their intensity 71

and destructiveness are the Hurricane Camille event in Nelson County in 1969, and the 72

Rapidan flood in Madison County in 1995 (Fig. 1). In Nelson County, nearly 1% of the 73

County’s population perished in this deluge; 113 confirmed dead with 39 missing, and 74

damages amounting to more than $1.4 billion. In Madison County, the loss of life was 75

limited to one fatality; and destruction of property reached $110 million. Geologically, 76

these storms are remembered for accomplishing over a thousand year’s worth of erosion 77

in a single day, and for altering mountain front landscapes to a degree rivaling anything 78

observed in the nation since European settlement (Eaton et al., 2003a,b). Rainfall in both 79

of these events reached approximately 760 mm (30 in) in a day, and the resulting peak 80

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4

discharges of streams rank among the largest in the nation, based on the USA maximum 81

flood envelope (Fig. 2). Virginia’s geographic position as a common collision zone 82

between extratropical and tropical air masses; and a wide distribution of orographic-83

triggering mechanisms on the slopes of the Appalachians (Michaels, 1985) combine to 84

give Virginia one of the most dramatic hydroclimatic flood-producing terrains in the 85

eastern USA. 86

Flooding has the potential to occur across Virginia. Notably, slow moving coastal 87

storms, such as Northeasters, can cause widespread disturbances to seaside communities, 88

as evident by the Ash Wednesday storm of 1962 (e.g., Zhang et al., 2002). Chincoteague 89

Island experienced the brunt of this storm, where a combination of northeasterly winds 90

from a stalled low pressure system and a tidal surge further enhanced from spring tide 91

conditions, impacted the island community. This event still remains the largest flood to 92

impact Chincoteague Island in recent memory. Coastal flooding is important, and is 93

addressed in the chapter on Coastal Processes and Offshore Geology in this volume. 94

Occasionally, large geographic areas of Virginia are inundated by storms of both 95

tropical and extratropical origins, including Hurricane Agnes in 1972 and Hurricane Fran 96

in 1996. These storms were most remembered for their impact on the lowlands, where 97

many communities were flooded by steadily rising water from mainstem rivers and large 98

tributaries. Generally, these large storms bring periods of steady precipitation over 99

several days, and usually allows citizens to seek shelter as flood waters are predicted to 100

rise. In contrast, the scenario that continues to be of increasing concern is storms that are 101

less predictable, intense, of long duration, and have the ability to strike rapidly in 102

mountainous terrain and trigger landslides. While the authors do not want to minimize the 103

importance of flooding in the lowlands or along the coastline, this section examines the 104

real and largely unrecognized hazards created by the combination of 1) heavy, prolonged 105

rainfall; 2) steep mountainous topography of the central Appalachians; and 3) the 106

encroachment of human development onto these landslide hazard areas. Specifically, this 107

section of the paper examines both the geologic and practical considerations of 108

catastrophic flooding and landslides, and how they affect human activity in the 109

Commonwealth of Virginia. 110

111

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5

STORM-GENERATED DEPOSITS AND LANDFORMS IN VIRGINIA 112

The term landslide is a general expression for the downslope movement of rock, soil, 113

or artificial fill under the influence of gravity. Specifically, mass movements can be 114

broadly categorized as slides, flows, or heaves (Carson and Kirkby, 1972). In slides, 115

cohesive blocks of rock or soil move along a well-defined failure surface, and minimal 116

internal disruption of the material takes place while in motion. In comparison, flows 117

move entirely by differential shearing within the material, and no clear failure plane can 118

be defined at the base of the moving mass (Ritter et al., 2002). Debris flows are a subset 119

of this class, and includes a complex group of gravity-induced rapid mass movements 120

that contain a variety of grain sizes from boulders to clay; and have sediment 121

concentrations that range from 70 to 90% by weight (Costa, 1988) (Fig. 3). 122

In Virginia, geomorphic processes responsible for transporting sediment from steep, 123

mountainous terrain to alluvial fans and valley bottoms include water floods (streamflows), 124

debris flows, and hyperconcentrated flows, the latter defined as streamflows carrying 40 to 70% 125

of sediment by weight (Costa, 1988) (Fig. 3). All types of flow processes have been documented 126

in Virginia, but there appears to be some regional geologic factors that promote dominance of 127

one process over the other, and the resulting alluvial fan types. In general, the fans along the 128

western slopes of the Blue Ridge (i.e., eastern margins of the Shenandoah Valley) tend to be 129

dominated by streamflow processes; whereas those of the interior and eastern Blue Ridge, along 130

the flanks of Massanutten Mountain, and the western Appalachian front tend to be dominated by 131

debris flows (Fig. 4). These distinctions are based on stratigraphy and morphology of the 132

landforms. The formative processes and resulting landforms appear to be both a function of the 133

watershed hydrology, basin lithology, and the lateral accommodation space for the deposits. 134

The western flank of the Blue Ridge is bordered by extensive sand and gravel of fluvial origin 135

that form a nearly continuous apron, or bajada, between the Blue Ridge and the low, hilly ground 136

stretching to the Shenandoah River or its tributaries (Fig. 4). Gravel deposits were described by 137

King (l950) in the Elkton vicinity, and more broadly by Hack (l965). More detailed studies have 138

been undertaken by Kochel and Johnson (1984), Kochel (1987, 1990, 1992), Duffy (1991), Kite 139

(1992), Whittecar and Duffy (1992, 2000), Morgan et al. (2003), Wieczorek et al. (2006); and by 140

thesis studies of Bell (1986), Wilson (1987), Simmons (1988) and Mason (1992). Together these 141

studies have demonstrated that an extensive plexus of alluvial fan deposits extend with gentle 142

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6

slopes of usually less than 6° from the mountain front to the Shenandoah River (Fig. 4). The 143

sharp demarcation of bedrock resistance that exists between the siliciclastic-based mountains and 144

the carbonate lowlands allows these fans to grow unrestricted, in the lateral sense, into the 145

Shenandoah Valley. These fans are comprised of imbricated, well-sorted quartz arentite gravels 146

and sands, display a broad fan shape in plan view, and range in area from approximately 2 to 10 147

km2 (Simmons, 1988) (Fig. 5). The aerial extent of the fans is proportional to the drainage basin 148

area, similar to the fans in the southwestern Unites States (Mills et al., 1987). Typically, fan 149

thickness is greatest in the mid-fan region, but overall fan thickness varies depending upon 150

vertical accommodation space from the dissolution of underlying carbonates, that is strongly 151

influenced by the dip of the carbonate bedrock underlying the fans (Simmons, 1988). The older 152

fans have collapsed into the karst so that accumulations of alluvial deposits commonly reach 30 153

m (100 ft) (King, 1950); and drill records reveal that they can be as much as 180 m (600 ft) thick 154

in places (Simmons, 1988). Some debris flow sediments are common in the proximal areas of 155

these fans, but most of the fans are formed by streamflows and hyperconcentrated flows. 156

Watersheds feeding these fans are typically larger than those directly producing debris flows 157

(e.g., basins draining the eastern flank of the central Blue Ridge (Kochel, 1990)), and thereby 158

able to dilute sediment yields with enough water volume to retard debris flow transport. Flash 159

floods of significant magnitude are historically common on these fans, as exemplified in the 160

floods produced by the remnants of Hurricanes Juan (1985), Fran (1996), and, most recently, 161

Isabel in 2003 (Fig. 6). 162

In contrast, debris fans have drainage basins that are usually smaller and steeper than fans 163

formed by streamflow (Fig. 7). Fan shapes are often irregular (Kochel 1987, 1990) because of 164

their restricted lateral accommodation space, having formed within rocks of low solubility in the 165

high-relief mountain regions of the Blue Ridge and the western Appalachian front. In the Blue 166

Ridge, debris fan slopes average 5-17°, and are composed of poorly-sorted sediments that range 167

in size from boulders of several meters in diameter to clay (Eaton et al., 2003a). These deposits 168

are relatively thin (several meters thick), and possess both matrix-supported and clast-supported 169

units (Fig. 7). Stratification of these units is usually lacking, but the boundary between individual 170

deposits is typically sharp. Paleosols are partially preserved at some contacts between these 171

units, indicating a period of quiescence of debris flow activity sufficiently long enough to create 172

soil profiles. Lower magnitude floods are usually incapable of remobilizing the largest of the 173

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7

material, leaving it to weather in-situ or to be remobilized by the next event of similar or greater 174

magnitude. 175

Fans and associated landforms in montane and mountain-front areas appear to be little 176

impacted by frequent low magnitude storm events. Rather, these landforms which include 177

boulder berms, boulder bars, boulder levees, and fan sediments are only altered by extreme high 178

magnitude events of low frequency like those mentioned previously in this paper. In these steep 179

environments, thousands of years of geomorphic work occurs episodically during a single event. 180

Measurements from the 1969 and 1995 events suggest that the long-term transport of sediment 181

from the mountains to the lowland floodplains is episodic; that is nearly half of the sediment that 182

would normally be expected be transported gradually over a few thousand years is moved by a 183

single event (Eaton et al., 2003b). Episodic, high magnitude events appear to be the dominant 184

agents of landscape change and geomorphic work in mountain regions (e.g., Hack and Goodlett, 185

1960; Wolman and Miller, 1960; Williams and Guy, 1973; Kochel, 1987; Jacobson et al., 1989; 186

Miller, 1990; Eaton et al., 2003b). 187

188

RECENT HISTORY OF COUPLED FLOODING AND MAJOR LANDSLIDE 189

ACTIVITY 190

Numerous storms that produced torrential rain and associated flooding have struck the 191

Commonwealth. Four storm events between 1949 through 1995 were intense enough to produce 192

significant numbers of landslides, primarily debris flows, which modified the landscape, 193

damaged property, and in most cases took lives. Two of the storms impacted the central Virginia 194

Blue Ridge, whereas the other two affected the Valley and Ridge province along the West 195

Virginia–Virginia border near the central Shenandoah Valley. What is noteworthy about all four 196

of these storms in both the Valley and Ridge and Blue Ridge provinces is that catastrophic 197

flooding was generated by a variety of extreme weather conditions, rather than by exclusively 198

hurricanes. The most infamous of these was Hurricane Camille. In the late evening of August 19, 199

1969, the remnants of Hurricane Camille crossed the Blue Ridge from the west, collided with a 200

southeastward-advancing cold front, and stalled in the rugged foothills of Nelson County, 201

Virginia. As much as 711 mm (28.0 in) of rain fell over a 7–8 hour period during the early 202

morning hours of August 20 (Camp and Miller, 1970), although one unofficial reading of nearly 203

1020 mm (40.2 in) of rainfall was made at a single locality (Simpson and Simpson, 1970). The 204

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8

deluge triggered thousands of debris flows and killed more than 150 people, and still ranks as 205

Virginia’s most costly natural disaster (Fig. 8). 206

Not all of these events, however, were hurricane derived. In contrast, the June 27, 1995 storm 207

centered over the Rapidan River basin in Madison County developed from the combination of a 208

stalled cold front and westward-flowing, moisture-laden air moving toward the eastern slopes of 209

the Blue Ridge Mountains (Smith et al., 1996). Maximum rainfall totals for the storm system 210

reached 775 mm (30.5 in) during a 16 hour period (Wieczorek et al., 2000). The deluge triggered 211

more than 1000 debris flows, and flooding in the region was catastrophic (Fig. 9). Major 212

flooding from this event also affected the North Fork of the Moormans River in western 213

Albemarle County, located 45 km southwest of the Rapidan Basin. The rainfall exceeded 279 214

mm (11.0 in) (Morgan and Wieczorek, 1996), but may have been as great as 63 mm (25 in) 215

(Carlton Frazier, 1996, pers. comm.). Nearly 100 debris flows were documented in the basin. 216

This same storm also impacted a third area near Buena Vista, where over a dozen debris flows 217

were mobilized and entered the Maury River (Sas and Eaton, 2006a). Unfortunately, no rainfall 218

estimates exist for this cell of the storm. Both the 1969 and 1995 storms rank near the edge of the 219

USA maxima flood envelope (Fig. 2), illustrating the extreme flash flood index potential (i.e.; 220

Beard, 1975) of the Blue Ridge Province (Fig. 2). 221

West of the Blue Ridge, catastrophic storms struck the Valley and Ridge province along the 222

West Virginia–Virginia border in 1949 and 1985 (Fig. 1). In both storms, nearly all of the 223

fatalities were from flooding in the lowlands rather than from debris flow impacts. The June 224

1949 storm was the result of convective storm cells limited to only a few mountainous basins in 225

Augusta and Rockingham Counties. The torrential rainfall produced as much as 229 mm (9.0 in) 226

of rainfall in western Virginia and 380 mm (15.0 in) in eastern West Virginia (Stringfield and 227

Smith, 1956), and triggered dozens of debris slides and flows (Hack and Goodlett, 1960). In 228

contrast, the November 1985 storm covered a much larger area, and was noted for rainfall at a 229

moderate intensity and a long duration of three days. The storm produced as much as 250 mm 230

(9.8 in) of rain, and was dominated primarily by two low-pressure systems and, to a lesser extent, 231

the remnants of Hurricane Juan (Colucci et al., 1993). This storm initiated thousands of debris 232

flows and occurred over the same region as areas affected by the 1949 deluge. Large-scale flood 233

events are typically associated with debris flow-producing events and may affect significant 234

areas downstream of the mountainous region along piedmont rivers. For example, the 1969 235

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9

Nelson County flood produced one of the largest discharges in the past 400 years on the James 236

River at Richmond. 237

238

HAZARDS AND DEVELOPMENT ON FANS IN VIRGINIA 239

Overview 240

Several aspects of debris flows in the mountainous terrain of Virginia make them especially 241

problematic, resulting in potentially dangerous situations for humans. First, the recurrence of 242

debris flows at an individual site is episodic over the span of several thousand years, but occurs 243

somewhere across the whole of the southern and central Appalachians approximately every 5-10 244

years. Second, steep slopes in mountainous terrain tend to focus human development on the fans 245

rather than neighboring hillslopes. Third, when events do occur they are typically catastrophic, 246

impacting significant parts of the fan surface. Finally, there has been an increasing trend of 247

suburban sprawl targeting mountain-front developments in piedmont areas such as the 248

episodically-active fans in Virginia. Comprehension of these factors is essential for assessing the 249

level of risk associated with development on alluvial and debris fans in the Appalachians. 250

Recognition of Debris Fans and Debris Flow Frequency 251

Debris fans are ubiquitous mountain-front landforms along the eastern slopes of the Virginia 252

Blue Ridge and the western Appalachian front. Prior to the Hurricane Camille (1969) and 253

Rapidan storm (1995) events, debris fans in Virginia were not recognized as active landforms 254

due to the combination of their atypical fan morphology; and that they are commonly forested or 255

cultivated as orchards, thus disguising their presence. Recent geomorphic mapping illustrates the 256

location of debris fans, and the high frequency of debris fans that have not experienced historic 257

activity along segments of the Blue Ridge (e.g., Eaton et al., 2001) (Fig. 10). Radiometric dating 258

of these fan surfaces shows a history of late Pleistocene and Holocene activity; and they will 259

likely see similar catastrophic events in the future. In basins where mountain hollows are filled 260

with colluvium, and the fan deposits show a paucity of recent debris flow activity, it is even 261

more likely the conditions are primed for debris flows when the next intense rainfall occurs in 262

their contributing mountain watersheds. These are the sites where considerable suburban 263

development is occurring and will likely continue in the future. 264

Recent work on Virginia debris fans activated in the 1969 and 1995 storm events provide 265

pertinent information on the long-term recurrence intervals of these events (Kochel and Johnson, 266

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10

1984; Eaton and others, 2003a, b). Figure 11 depicts radiocarbon-dated debris flows in Madison 267

County. Return intervals for debris flows vary between 1,800 – 3,000 years at-a-site. Similar 268

debris flow return intervals were found in Nelson County (Kochel, 1987). The presence of 269

debris flows occurrence during the Holocene post-glacial climate is reasonable warning that they 270

are active processes capable of generation by modern hydroclimatic conditions; and not relicts of 271

a former climate. A fact worth noting is that while at-a-site recurrence intervals are measured in 272

millennial timescales, significant historic debris flow events have occurred somewhere in 273

Virginia once each decade, and throughout the Appalachians on average of every three years 274

(Eaton et al., 2003a; Clark, 1987). Thus, the hazard and risk of debris flows increases 275

significantly as development spreads to new locations throughout Virginia and the Appalachians. 276

Another factor to consider is that conditions capable of producing debris flows occur even more 277

frequently at a site than the 1,800 – 3,000 year interval as suggested, because a significant 278

recovery period is necessary to refill the hillslope hollows and stream channels with colluvium so 279

that there is ample material available for mobilization by the next intense rainfall (Fig. 12). A 280

good example of the importance of event ordering is illustrated by the succession of storms in 281

Madison County in 1995, and Hurricane Fran in 1996. The 1995 event produced over 1,000 282

debris flows, whereas not a single debris flow resulted from up to 432 mm (17 in) of rain from 283

the remnants of Hurricane Fran in 1996 (Eaton, 1999). The possibility exists that all of the 284

unstable hillslope colluvium was mobilized in 1995, as many of the debris flows in 1995 were 285

triggered around this threshold rainfall value. In contrast, the 1996 event produced massive 286

runoff from recently exposed bedrock slopes evacuation by debris flows in 1995; and resulted in 287

major floodplain and channel morphological changes downstream from the fans. Similar 288

contrasts in geomorphic response to subsequent rainfalls were also observed in Great Britain by 289

Newson (1980). Interestingly, in 2003 Hurricane Isabel delivered up to 513 mm (20.2 in) of rain 290

near Waynesboro (Wieczorek et al., 2006). This region had no historic record of debris flow 291

activity in the past, and no debris flows or large scale slope failures were observed from 292

Hurricane Isabel. Perhaps not enough time has passed in this part of the Blue Ridge to refill the 293

hollows with sediment to the critical threshold required to mobilize debris flows; or that the 294

triggering threshold of rainfall/duration may not have been exceeded. 295

The level of risk from debris flow hazards can be reduced by detailed bedrock and 296

surficial mapping of the geomorphic landforms within the landscape (e.g., Eaton et al., 2001; 297

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11

Mills et al., 2005; Heller and Eaton, 2010). This knowledge can assist in alerting land managers 298

and home owners of the potential risks of debris flows and flooding. Figure 10b depicts surficial 299

mapping of the Graves Mill area on the Rapidan River, and shows numerous dwellings residing 300

on debris fans that were activated during the 1995 storm. Fortunately, only several of the homes 301

were destroyed and loss of life was minimal. Based on the growth trends in Virginia, surficial 302

mapping will become increasingly important as more of the fans are considered for developed. 303

304

GEOLOGIC FACTORS INFLUENCING DEBRIS FLOW LOCATION AND 305

FREQUENCY 306

Although rainfall events like those in 1969 and 1995 are likely to result in widespread debris 307

flow activity, the distribution of debris flows in these areas compared to spatial patterns of 308

rainfall does not perfectly correlate; suggesting that there are other factors such as geologic 309

structure that may exert an influence on the localization of debris flow activity. Several 310

investigators examined nearly 50 debris flows triggered by the Camille 1969 event in Nelson 311

County (Terranova, 1987; Terranova and Kochel, 1987; Gryta and Bartholomew, 1989). They 312

found that the morphology of slope failures varied according to hillslope orientation and its 313

intersection with structural elements in the granite-gneiss bedrock (Fig. 13). The research noted 314

that where slope aspect coincided with dominant foliation and joint strikes and dips, residual 315

soils around the margin of failure scarps showed sandier soils of lower cohesion compared to 316

sites where slope aspects did not parallel structural lineations. Kochel (1987) suggested that the 317

more cohesive, clay-rich soils reflected areas of lower frequency of debris flow activity. Jurgens 318

(1997) conducted a similar survey of three hollows in Madison County and concluded that areas 319

where foliation and major joint trends coincided had significantly more debris flows than other 320

regions with similar rainfall. Figure 14 is an example of this asymmetry. Here, the dominant 321

foliation and a dominant joint plane both dip toward the southeast. Debris flow scars are seen on 322

these southeast-facing slopes, whereas no debris flows occurred on the northwestern slope of 323

Kirtley Mountain, or on the northwestern slope of the small drainage to its west. In another 324

study, Sas and Eaton (2006a) examined geologic controls of slope failures from the 1995 debris 325

flows in Rockbridge County and found preferential failure along joint and bedding planes. In 326

summary, these studies indicate that bedrock geologic mapping may prove quite useful in 327

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12

delineating regions of highest risk for debris flow in areas where a variety of slope orientations 328

occur, such as in major topographic hollows common in the Blue Ridge Province. 329

330

RAINFALL THRESHOLDS 331

One of the applied products that is beginning to emerge from debris flow research are 332

threshold curves that document the level at which rainfall intensity and duration are sufficient to 333

mobilize debris flows. Wieczorek et al. (2000) determined a minimum continuous rainfall 334

intensity-duration envelope for the granitic-gneissic terrains of the central Blue Ridge, including 335

sites impacted from the 1969 and 1995 storms. The threshold curve indicates that sustained 336

intensities of 70 mm/hr for 2 hours, 50 mm/hr for 4 hours, 40 mm/hr for 6 hours, and 25 mm/hr 337

for 12 hours are sufficient for triggering debris flows in the Blue Ridge of central Virginia. The 338

research notes that the Blue Ridge has the highest recognized rainfall thresholds when compared 339

to other studied regions, including Puerto Rico, Hawaii, and the San Francisco Bay area. Possible 340

explanations for the high values may include high permeability and storage capacity of the thick 341

regolith. It also appears that these intensity-duration threshold curves are probably rock type 342

dependent. One site in the Blue Ridge near Waynesboro received 513 mm (20.2 in) of rainfall in 343

less than 24 hours during Hurricane Isabel, clearly placing this event above the threshold curve 344

(Wieczorek et al., 2006). The small basin is underlain by highly fractured quartzite bedrock, and 345

its regolith may be more conducive to efficiently storing and expelling into the subsurface 346

rainwater to minimize slope failures. As more automated weather stations are activated and are 347

able to report rainfall data in near real-time format, scientists and emergency officials will 348

hopefully have a greater ability to forecast the potential for debris flows during the course of a 349

storm. 350

351

CONSIDERATIONS FOR WATERSHED PLANNING AND MANAGEMENT 352

Since the seminal work of Wolman (1967) and Leopold (1968), it has been recognized that 353

land use can have significant impacts on the nature of water runoff and sediment yield to stream 354

channels and floodplains. Suburban development into remote mountain watersheds will 355

undoubtedly increase runoff rates, and hence increase the unit hydrograph for rainfalls of most 356

recurrence intervals. Major debris flow events like that of the Rapidan event in 1995 can also 357

significantly alter runoff characteristics for decades after the event. Bedrock, primarily exposed 358

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13

in headwater streams from debris flow events, can increase the routing efficiency of streams and 359

changes in channel morphology in large rivers may reduce their conveyance efficiency, such that 360

water is routed more rapidly from the mountain streams and drains more slowly from the 361

lowland and valley bottom streams. Conversations with people residing along the Rapidan River 362

indicate that significant floods now occur in the Rapidan watershed from lower magnitude 363

rainfall events than those prior to June 1995 (i.e., Randall Lillard, Douglas Graves, 2006, pers. 364

comm.). A prime example is the volume of runoff from Tropical Storm Fran in September 1996, 365

when discharges nearly equaled that of 1995 but from half of the rainfall in 1996 (Fig. 15). In 366

addition to problems of flooding, there is an increased volume of coarse bedload in transport 367

during flows following the 1995 debris flow event. Sediments released from the slopes in 1995 368

are now being flushed through mid-and-downstream reaches of the Rapidan River by subsequent 369

floods like the 1996 event and other smaller floods. Culverts that were replaced from the 1995 370

event were quickly overwhelmed by the bedload transport in 1996 along many of the tributaries 371

of the Rapidan (Eaton, 1999). These examples highlight the importance of factoring in 372

significant adjustments in water and sediment fluxes when designing upgrades or replacements 373

to infrastructures following a major disturbance within a watershed. 374

Similarly, changes in discharge and sediment yield need to be incorporated into the planning 375

of stream restoration projects in a system-wide basin-scale approach. Stream channel geometry 376

is greatly influenced by discharge and sediment delivered to the channel from the upstream 377

watershed. Changes in land use (e.g., channelization, deforestation) and by major geomorphic 378

events such as debris flows will result in downstream adjustments in channels that often require 379

decades to re-establish equilibrium. A stream restoration project on the Rapidan River near 380

Graves Mill is a prime example of the kinds of problems than can occur when these issues are 381

not taken into account in project design. First, the Rapidan River has been channelized multiple 382

times for agricultural and transportation purposes since the region was first settled in the late 383

1700s, thus altering its system from a multiple-channel braided pattern to a single meandering 384

channel. Channels transporting large quantities of coarse bedload are better served by braided 385

courses with wide and shallow channels to maximize bed shear stress. Thus, when large supplies 386

of sediment are delivered to the Rapidan during major floods and debris flow events, the channel 387

reverts back to its braided condition, resulting in valley-wide inundation, scour, and deposition. 388

This happened in 1995 and again in 1996 (Fig. 15) (Eaton, 1999). Exposures of the floodplain 389

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14

uncovered during these events revealed numerous wide and shallow paleochannels that were 390

likely the high-flow anabranches of the Rapidan prior to channelization following European 391

settlement. In 2002 the Virginia Department of Transportation initiated a restoration project on a 392

reach of the Rapidan River, 1 km south of Graves Mill, to help maintain the course of the river 393

under the State Route 767 bridge. Within a year a major stream avulsion had occurred because 394

the restored channel was not designed to transport the higher supply of bedload the reach was 395

receiving, largely due to the continued adjustments to the 1995 debris flow event (Fig. 16). Most 396

natural channel design projects do not account for long-term adjustments that may be occurring 397

in streams due to past land use and/or major geomorphic changes. Kochel et al. (2005) observed 398

a failure rate of more than 70% for natural channel design projects in North Carolina after 399

experiencing their first significant flood. 400

401

LANDSLIDES AND TRANSPORTATION 402

Road construction on steep hillslopes can increase landslide susceptibility by 1) 403

adding weight to the slope with fill material; 2) steepening the slope on both cut and fill 404

surfaces; 3) removing support of the cutslope; and 4) rerouting and concentrating 405

drainage water (see review by Sidle et al., 1985). Increased landslide susceptibility from 406

roads can impact downslope and downstream areas, and interrupt transportation. The 407

literature shows that landslide hazards along transportation corridors in the central 408

Appalachians are numerous (e.g., Watts and Whisonant, 1992; Sas and Eaton, 2006b; 409

Douglas et al., 2007; Lantham et al., 2007). Some of the larger landslide events in the 410

central Appalachian region in recent memory include large rockslides along the Interstate 411

40 corridor in 1985 (Winchester, 1985) and debris flows originating from road fill 412

failures along the Blue Ridge Parkway from Hurricanes in 2004 (Sas and Eaton, 2006b). 413

These road-related landslides often have a larger volume and can increase the risk of 414

debris flows to downstream areas (May, 2002). Recent advances in remote sensing and 415

terrain analysis are likely to increase the ability of scientists and land managers to detect 416

high risk areas along transportation corridors. 417

418

419

420

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15

CLIMATE CHANGE 421

Because of the common linkage of floods and debris flows with tropical storms, the concern 422

about global climate change could be significant in the evaluation of flood hazards for Virginia. 423

If tropical storm frequency increases in the mid Atlantic, or if the hurricane tracks are altered so 424

that these storms collide with the central Appalachians, a higher frequency of debris flow events 425

may result in some locations in Virginia. Kochel (1987) suggested that debris flow activity in 426

the Appalachians could be correlated to the retreat of the polar front as the Pleistocene climate 427

waned; although Eaton et al. (2003a) found activity since the Last Glacial Maximum. What is 428

not known is, if discrete warming trends that occur as documented in the Blue Ridge pollen 429

record (Litwin et al., 2001) may also correlate to these debris flow events. It is clear from Clark’s 430

(1987) research that more debris flow events have impacted the southern Appalachians, 431

presumably from their closer proximity to tropical air masses and steep, mountainous terrain. 432

Whether or not these events become more common from south to north over time as the 433

incursion of tropical air masses would likely have become increasingly common is still 434

undetermined, but worthy of further investigation. 435

436

437

KARST HAZARDS IN VIRGINIA 438

David A. Hubbard, Jr. 439

INTRODUCTION 440

Karst is a terrain that develops by the action of water with soluble bedrock and 441

characteristically features karren, sinkholes, caves, and subsurface drainage. Soluble 442

bedrock that has developed karst in Virginia occurs in all five of the major physiographic 443

provinces: in Pliocene indurated shelly sand of the Yorktown Formation of the Coastal 444

Plain province; in Cambrian to Ordovician marble and limestone of the Piedmont and 445

Blue Ridge provinces; in Cambrian to Mississippian-age limestone, dolostone, gypsum, 446

and salt in the Valley and Ridge province; and as the Mississippian limestone in the 447

Appalachian Plateaus province. The most significant karst in the Commonwealth, and the 448

focus of this discussion, extends over twenty-six counties in the Valley and Ridge 449

physiographic province (Fig. 17). Karst mapping of the Valley and Ridge province 450

defined areas of karst by carbonate and non-carbonate rock boundaries and sinkholes 451

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16

(Hubbard, 1983, 1988, 2001). Approximately 48,800 sinkholes were remotely sensed 452

using stereographic interpretation of low-altitude aerial photography and are plotted on 453

the three karst maps. Because Virginia karst is a cover karst, wherein a mantle of soil and 454

sediment covers most of the solutional patterns of bedrock (karren), sinkholes are the 455

most readily observable surface feature. The natural processes active in karst result in 456

some phenomenon recognized as hazards: subsidence, sinkhole flooding, and the 457

recharge of karst groundwater aquifers with contaminated surface water. Unfortunately, 458

land-use modifications in karst may induce changes to the local hydrology than can 459

trigger and exacerbate these hazards. 460

461

KARST HAZARDS 462

Three phenomena that are commonly recognized as karst hazards are subsidence, 463

sinkhole flooding, and the recharge of the aquifer by surface waters. Each of these 464

hazards is the result of natural processes and water-rock interactions in karst. Historically, 465

the hazard of greatest concern to karstland residents is catastrophic sinkhole collapse. 466

Subsidence Hazards 467

Water-rock interactions in a landscape underlain by soluble bedrock, which may range 468

from 60 to 99 percent soluble, almost guarantee that subsidence will occur. Anecdotal 469

evidence suggests that most people who reside in karstlands are relatively at ease with 470

existing sinkholes that gradually deepen or slowly grow in extent; and many are 471

undaunted by sudden collapses within alluviated subsidence features. However, residents 472

are concerned when un-patterned catastrophic sinkholes develop without warning; 473

particularly at locations without a previous history of cover subsidence. The collapse of 474

bedrock into cave passages is relatively rare in karst, as the soils and sediments that 475

mantle bedrock in a covered karst can temporarily span enlarging soil-bedrock interface 476

voids that form at epikarst drains. These voids may expand beyond the strength of the 477

arching soils and catastrophically fail to the surface of the landscape and form a sinkhole 478

(Fig. 18). 479

The soluble bedrock surface is not equally exposed to water, so most dissolution 480

occurs along preferred flow paths at the bedrock surface and within rock partings and 481

fractures. The solutional patterns of the bedrock, both on exposed surfaces and under soil 482

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17

or sediment cover, are known as karren. Unfortunately, the preferred flow paths hidden 483

by covering sediments are not necessarily mirrored by the landscape surface. Most water 484

flow is not along surface drainage features, but along channels eroded on the covered 485

bedrock surface and in the solution-enlarged partings and fractures, known as conduits 486

and caves, within the bedrock. Some subsidence sinkholes are the result of the direct 487

dissolution of the bedrock and form by the gradual letdown of cover materials over 488

periods of human life-spans. 489

In contrast, collapse sinkholes result from erosion of soil and sediment covers at 490

epikarst drains, (the interval between the mostly unaltered bedrock and the topsoil), and 491

may be catastrophic in their failure. The water-rock processes of karst that sculpt this 492

dominantly erosional landscape are sensitive to the stability of climatic and land-use 493

conditions. Because the degree of activity of water-rock processes largely is veiled by the 494

mantle of soil and sediment, these unstable terrains are mistakenly perceived as inactive 495

or stable. Extreme weather events, including droughts, and land-use changes that result in 496

changes to the local hydrology can trigger and exacerbate subsidence hazards. 497

To help assist the risk of rapid subsidence, government officials have used subsidence 498

susceptibility mapping, primarily a GIS tool used by planners, to designate or model site 499

suitability for development. From the most simplistic perspective, areas of dense sinkhole 500

populations are more likely to experience future sinkhole formation than karst without 501

existing sinkholes. However, research suggests that the greatest influence in future 502

sinkhole formation is not the past land-use, nearest sinkhole, nearest stream, etc.; rather, 503

most new sinkholes form in response to very recent land-use changes in drainage 504

volumes and flow-paths (Hubbard, 2003). Hubbard noted that sinkholes frequently form 505

over an existing epikarstic drain, and the subsequent surface collapse is accelerated by 506

alteration of the localized drainage volume or flow-path of surface runoff. The additional 507

volume of water provides a positive feedback situation, which scours out sediment within 508

the void and contemporaneously increases the conduit size, thus allowing for greater flow 509

capacity. The covered subsurface drain is gradually enlarged and leads to the subsequent 510

collapse of the soil mantle. 511

512

513

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18

Sinkhole Flooding Hazards 514

Throughout most of the Commonwealth, sinkhole flooding is a minor hazard. 515

Sinkholes, blind valleys, and losing surface streams are input points for surface water, 516

especially storm-generated runoff, to enter groundwater conduits of the karst aquifer. All 517

karst sinkholes are drained by solution-enlarged flow-paths that lead to the karst aquifer, 518

or to base-level streams and rivers. Under normal hydraulic conditions, most sinkholes 519

serve as drains for surface water runoff and subsurface water, draining along the soil-520

bedrock interface, to access the karst aquifer. There are three conditions under which 521

sinkholes and other karst depressions flood (Fig. 18). The first two conditions are 522

characterized by under-drainage occurring at lesser rates than drainage into the sinkhole, 523

whereas the final condition is one of back-flooding due to high-head pressures in the 524

groundwater conduits under-draining the sinkhole. The first condition typically occurs 525

during exceptional precipitation events whereby surface water run-off topographically 526

funneled to sinkholes greatly exceeds the subsurface drain’s capacity to transmit water to 527

the karst aquifer. This type of flooding is usually temporary and represents a lag or 528

ponding of drainage. The second condition is usually due to a change in the land-use and 529

results from increased sediment yield in the development of the area topographically 530

draining to a sinkhole, and the partial choking of the sinkhole drain by sediment. Under 531

such circumstances, storm-generated runoff can pond in the sinkhole due to the reduced 532

efficiency of the sediment-clogged drain. This condition is usually further complicated by 533

a secondary effect of land-use change, an increase in surface runoff. Most anthropogenic 534

induced land-use modification creates more runoff by changes in vegetation, soil 535

compaction, and the application of impermeable surfaces such as roofs and pavements. 536

Increased runoff to a sediment-clogged sinkhole drain greatly enhances sinkhole ponding. 537

Sedimentation from such ponded waters, which may carry additional sediment to the 538

sinkhole, tends to increase the period of ponding. The third type of sinkhole flooding is 539

caused by a non-passive back-flooding phenomenon and truly is a flooding hazard. This 540

type of flooding occurs when the under-draining conduit or cave system is overwhelmed 541

by down-system sinkhole drainage during an exceptionally large precipitation event. 542

Under this situation, flow of water from other sinkholes downstream in the conduit 543

system results in high head pressures reversing conduit flow. Water resurges from the 544

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19

sinkhole drain and floods the sinkhole. Under these circumstances, a sinkhole may not 545

only flood, but water may fill and overflow from the sinkhole and create additional 546

flooding of other adjacent sinkholes or lowlands. 547

548

Karst Aquifer Contamination Hazards 549

The most pervasive karst hazard is of aquifer contamination by recharge of polluted 550

surface waters. Perhaps the greatest hazard in Virginia karst is the routing of highway 551

run-off to sinkhole drains. Not only does this type of design contribute heavy metals, road 552

salts, nutrients, bacteria, and hydrocarbons carried in highway run-off (Stephenson and 553

Beck, 1995) to aquifer recharge, but such designs assure that hazardous materials and 554

other potential contaminant cargos that are transported along highways are potential 555

aquifer contaminants (Hubbard, 1999). Data from both the U.S. Department of 556

Transportation and the Environmental Protection Agency indicate that highway 557

transportation of hazardous materials is a relatively high-risk industry (Padgett, 1993). 558

Crop and livestock operations can pollute karst groundwater directly by sinkholes, as 559

well as through diffuse non-point source entry of bacteria, leaching nutrients, pesticides, 560

or other contaminants (Berryhill, 1989; Boyer and Pasquarell, 1994, 1999). Some of the 561

contaminants that have degraded Virginia’s karst aquifers include: the leachate of 562

improperly disposed wastes; and spills or leaks of petroleum products, herbicides, 563

solvents, fertilizers and poultry waste, sheep and cattle dip, sewage, and milk (Hubbard 564

and Sterrett, 1994). 565

566

HAZARD MITIGATION AND REMEDIATION 567

The successful mitigation and remediation of karst hazards is problematical due to the 568

out-of-sight nature of the water-soil-rock processes that form karst and its attendant 569

hazards. That karst in an unstable terrain, and that land-use changes to it generally 570

enhance hazard realization, does not bode well for the idea of hazard mitigation. 571

Although the basic concepts for hazard mitigation and remediation are presented in the 572

following sections, most mitigation and remediation in karst addresses the manifestations 573

of the hazards and solutions to stop and correct subsidence, flooding, and aquifer 574

pollution. Successful mitigation and remediation is more likely accomplished through 575

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20

professionals experienced with karst hazards, and the use of appropriate methodologies 576

that address the site-specific processes and conditions. 577

578

Subsidence Hazard Mitigation and Remediation 579

Catastrophic sinkhole collapse is undoubtedly the hazard of greatest concern to 580

karstland residents. The most commonly recognized land-use triggers of sinkhole 581

collapse are water-well drilling and increased run-off. In most situations where water-582

well drilling induces one or more sinkholes, three conditions are present: 1) a water level 583

is encountered above bedrock; 2) a saturated mud-seam (a mud-filled cave), is 584

intercepted at some depth in the bedrock; and 3) the driller “blows mud” to develop a 585

water-filled void in the saturated mud-fill. The cause of ground failure is the creation of 586

an open water-filled void in rock and its failure through overlying rock and soil straight 587

to the surface. Most catastrophic karst sinkholes do not involve rock failure. Collapse 588

sinkholes are formed when voids at the soil-bedrock surface fail through the sediment-589

soil cover to the ground-surface. When the groundwater level is above the soil-bedrock 590

interface, saturated cave fills have continuity within the cave to the saturated sediment 591

above the sediment covered cave entrance. Most caves are presently entrance-less or are 592

not enterable, and probably not recognized by humans. In the folded and faulted 593

carbonates of Virginia’s Valley and Ridge province, extensive mud seams may wind 594

through bedrock to a sediment covered-rock opening within hundreds of feet of the well-595

head. When groundwater is shallower than bedrock, drillers should avoid blowing-out 596

saturated mud-seams. 597

Increased run-off is the other most commonly recognized cause of new sinkhole 598

collapses. Extending drainage outflows as far from buildings as possible will reduce the 599

risk of new sinkhole formation near structures. Increases in run-off and new flow paths 600

trigger more rapid growth of soil voids at epikarst drains, which form new sinkholes as 601

the voids extend in size beyond critical soil strength and progressively collapse to the 602

land surface. 603

The best way to remediate a collapsed sinkhole, and not induce additional new 604

sinkholes, is to excavate the feature to the bedrock surface and build a reverse filter that 605

bridges the rock throat of the drain so that material cannot wash into the drain, but 606

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21

subsurface water can continue to drain. An aggregate size too large to fit into the bedrock 607

drain is used as a base. Successively finer aggregate, that is too coarse to fit in the voids 608

between clasts in the underlying layer, is used in adjacent layers to construct a stable 609

filter that allows water to pass, but prevents voids from forming and collapsing. Methods 610

utilizing materials that can erode into under-draining conduits may undergo further 611

subsidence. Grout plugs that are not emplaced on bedrock may undergo settling as the 612

underlying soil is eroded into under-draining conduits. 613

Effective grout sealing of a solution-enlarged epikarst drain restricts groundwater 614

movement, which may create addition problems. Subsoil water that previously drained at 615

this site may collect and saturate adjacent soils, or propagate new sinkholes proximal to 616

the site by moving along the soil/bedrock interface into adjacent epikarst drains and 617

enhances void expansion and collapse. In rare circumstances, grout sealing may extend 618

into the under-draining cave system, resulting in back flooding of up-system sinkholes 619

drained by the grout-occluded conduit. 620

621

Sinkhole Flooding Hazard Mitigation and Remediation 622

Sinkhole flooding can be mitigated by reducing the amount of run-off flowing to the 623

sinkhole, and by eliminating siltation and sedimentation problems in these drainage 624

features. Whereas most individuals that work and/or reside in karst landscapes understand 625

that building within a closed contour feature may lead to flooding, the presence of large 626

complex sinkholes and blind valleys, many of which extend more than a half-kilometer in 627

length in Virginia, can make the recognition and delineation of potential flood zones 628

extremely difficult. The modification of sinkhole drains, also referred to as dry wells and 629

drainage wells, to better accommodate surface water run-off and minimize sinkhole 630

flooding, may result in new sinkhole formation and non-passive back-flooding of other 631

sinkholes adjacent or remote to a remediated site. This type of modification commonly 632

contributes to groundwater contamination of karst aquifers by enhancing recharge of 633

contaminated surface waters. 634

635

636

637

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22

Karst Aquifer Contamination Hazard Mitigation and Remediation 638

Karst aquifer contamination is the most extensive and serious karst hazard in Virginia. 639

The folded and faulted nature of the sedimentary rocks in the Valley and Ridge province 640

can compromise thin shale and other thin non-carbonate beds as potential aquitards that 641

would normally partition carbonate sequences into separate aquifers in less tectonically-642

affected sedimentary sequences. The first step in the mitigation of a karst groundwater 643

contaminant is to determine the source and stop the flow of the contaminant. This 644

concept may be much easier to state than to implement. Karst aquifers in dense, low 645

primary porosity carbonate and evaporite rocks are principally composed of conduits that 646

are difficult to intercept by drilling. Investigators unfamiliar with karst commonly 647

interpret the absence of a contaminant at a newly drilled monitoring well as evidence that 648

a contaminant is contained, or that the plume is limited to up-gradient of the 649

uncontaminated well. Drilling into the right conduit is akin to the proverbial search for a 650

needle in a haystack. Tracers, commonly dyes, are utilized in tracking karst aquifers and 651

determining the routes of contaminants. In karst, the question is not did the contaminant 652

move, but where did it go? Existing water wells and springs are common monitoring 653

points to determine flow paths, which may demonstrate surprisingly rapid transport. 654

Contaminant remediation in karst aquifers generally is more complicated than in 655

homogeneous aquifers. Remedial technologies have continued to advance in the past few 656

decades. In-situ treatment by biodegradation can be effective, as can extractive methods. 657

Extremely toxic and refractory organic contaminants that can destroy aquifer resources 658

remain problematic. Karst aquifer contamination sites are contaminant and site specific, 659

and their remediation is beyond the scope of this summary. Complexities include the 660

nature of the contaminants in terms of density, solubility, stability, toxicity, volubility, 661

reactivity with rock and sediment as well as complexities of the nature of the particular 662

karst aquifer (Freeze and Cherry, 1979; Fetter, 1988). 663

The contamination of karst aquifers continues as land is shifted from agricultural to 664

residential, commercial, and industrial land-uses. Perhaps the most significant 665

contaminant disasters involve tanker releases of hazardous and toxic cargoes along 666

Virginia’s karstland highway corridors. A major initiative is needed to trace and map the 667

run-off flow routes from Interstate Highways and other major transportation routes 668

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23

through Virginia karst. Such a project could enable the development of early warning 669

communication systems for emergency responders to alert groundwater users along major 670

hazardous and toxic transportation corridors; and could alleviate the potential of 671

avoidable waterborne lethal exposures and poisonings. 672

673

SINKHOLES OTHER THAN KARST 674

Non-karst collapse sinkholes typically form by two processes: 1) soil piping, or 2) 675

collapse of anthropogenically-made voids, such as underground mines. Numerous 676

examples of these failures exist in the Commonwealth. Examples of sinkholes resulting 677

from underground mine failures exist in karst rocks such as salt, gypsum, and carbonate 678

rocks. The failure processes probably include some degree of dissolution of the host rock, 679

but blast damage, existing fractures, weak strata above ceilings, excessive ceiling spans, 680

and robbed pillars are more likely the critical culprits in these failures (Figs. 20a,b). Most 681

historic mines were not designed for longevity and post-mining failures are inevitable at 682

many of these underground mines. An example of a subsurface mine failure in a non-683

karst setting is this coalfield sinkhole shown in Fig. 21, , which resulted from the collapse 684

of coalfield workings. 685

686

687

RADON HAZARDS IN VIRGINIA 688

Fiorella V. Simoni de Cannon, Douglas .G. Mose, and L. Scott Eaton 689

INTRODUCTION 690

Naturally occurring radioactive radon gas (Radon-222) is always present in the air that 691

we breathe (Lowder, 1985). However, indoor radon in high levels has been a recent 692

addition to the list of natural health hazards that pose serious risk to human health and 693

property value. Radon has always been present in air, water and soil, but in 1924 Ludwig 694

and Lorenser postulated radon as an important factor in lung cancer (Samet, 1994). By 695

the mid 1960s, many reports of lung cancer mortality among U.S. uranium miners 696

emerged (e.g., Wagoner et al., 1965; Sevc et al., 1976; Kunz and Sevc, 1978; Harley, 697

1984, 1989; Proctor, 1995; NAS, 1999). The focus of the problem was transferred from 698

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24

miners to the general public in the 1980s, when a home in Pennsylvania was found to 699

have radon levels over 600 times the threshold level recommended by the Environmental 700

Protection Agency (Lafavore, 1987). The elevated concentrations at this site as well as 701

other localities throughout the United States created nationwide concern of radon, and 702

initiated a series of state and federal programs to assess and understand the problem 703

(Gunderson and Wanty, 1991). 704

In 1994, the National Toxicology Program (NTP) of the U.S. Department of Health 705

and Human Services first listed radon in its Seventh Annual Report on Carcinogens. In 706

1999, the National Academy of Sciences BEIR VI (BEIR-Committee on the Biological 707

Effects of Ionizing Radiation) Report concluded that radon is the second leading cause of 708

lung cancer after smoking (NAS, 1999). Today, NTP (2005) lists radon in its 11th Annual 709

Report on Carcinogens as a known human carcinogen based on evidence of 710

carcinogenicity in humans presented by the Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease 711

Registry (ATSDR) and by the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC). In 712

the United States, it is estimated that radon causes between 15,000 to 22,000 deaths from 713

lung cancer each year. That is, approximately 12% of all lung cancer deaths are linked to 714

radon exposure (NAS, 1999). By U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (US-EPA) 715

(2005) estimates, indoor radon causes lung cancer fatalities in hundreds of Virginia 716

residents each year. 717

Radon concentrations in air are measured in picoCuries per liter (pCi/L). By 718

definition, a Curie is the rate of decay of one gram of radium, that is, 37 billion decays 719

per second (Cohen, 1989). Because this is a very large quantity, radioactivity in the 720

environment is usually measured in units of one millionth of a millionth of a Curie (10-12 721

Curie), or a picoCurie (pCi). In effect, in a room with a radon concentration of 1 pCi/L, 722

two alpha-particles would be emitted about every minute from radon atoms per liter of air 723

(Brookins, 1990). While the US-EPA (2006) has established 4 pCi/L as a general 724

guideline for maximum acceptable indoor radon concentration when buying a home, it 725

established 2 pCi/L as the limit for people living in a home. It also recommends testing 726

all homes and urges mitigating action by increasing ventilation and preventing soil gas 727

entry into the home. The average home in the U.S. has an indoor radon concentration of 728

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25

1.3 pCi/L; the average outdoor radon concentration is 0.3 pCi/L (Cohen, 1989; 729

UNSCEAR, 2000; US-EPA, 2006). 730

731

VARIATION IN RADON CONCENTRATION 732

Uranium is a naturally occurring radioactive element that is present in varying 733

concentrations in all rocks and soils throughout the United States. Studies in Virginia 734

and other states show that particular geologic units and the soil above these units are 735

associated with elevated indoor radon concentrations (Mose and Mushrush, 1997a; Mose 736

and Mushrush, 1999). For example, granite has relatively high uranium content and so 737

granite and granitic soil tend to generate more radon than do other geological materials 738

(Brookins, 1990). 739

Indoor radon concentrations can vary in response to weather on hourly, daily, and 740

seasonal time scales. The most important weather factors are wind, barometric pressure 741

changes, and soil moisture changes (Mose et al., 1992a,b; Mose and Mushrush, 1997b). 742

Of all the weather variables, a change in soil moisture is the most important. As 743

precipitation infiltrates and saturates the surface horizons of the soil profile, the saturated 744

zone temporarily serves as a confining unit and is effective at slowing the release of gases 745

from within the profile. Therefore, on rainy days the wet soil around a home slows the 746

rate at which radon is released into the atmosphere, thus increasing its concentration in 747

the profile around a home relative to non-precipitation days. Conversely, on hot sunny 748

days the soil is dry, allowing the release of soil gases through the surface horizons into 749

the atmosphere; and less radon is available in the soil for potential migration into the 750

home. 751

The mechanism of radon entry into buildings is well understood. Large to microscopic 752

wall and floor cracks, floor and wall penetrations (wires, pipes, sump holes) and floor-to-753

wall corner joints are all common entry points. A negative atmospheric pressure in a 754

home relative to the soil produces a soil-to-home pressure gradient that draws radon in 755

through entry points in soil-facing walls and floors. Atmospheric pressure in a home can 756

also be reduced by furnace combustion, ventilation devices, and the stack effect (the 757

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26

rising and escape of warm air from the upper floors of the building) during cold winter 758

months. This negative pressure draws radon into a home from the underlying soil. 759

Mose and Mushrush (1988, 1997b; Mose et al., 1991) found that variations in home 760

construction are related to indoor radon levels in homes with otherwise similar weather 761

and geology. That is, factors related to home construction affect indoor radon levels. For 762

example, they found that higher indoor radon tends to occur in homes with basements, 763

probably because homes with basements have more soil-touching entry points for radon, 764

a more pronounced stack effect, and lower air pressure relative to the surrounding soil 765

than no-basement homes (i.e., homes without a basement or with a crawl space). The 766

authors note that basements with concrete block walls tend to have higher indoor radon 767

concentrations than basements with poured concrete walls, probably because concrete 768

blocks are likely to be more permeable and to develop more fractures. The research also 769

documents that homes with electrical heating systems (heat pumps) tend to have higher 770

indoor radon than homes with combustion heating systems, probably because a fuel-771

burning furnace significantly removes home air for combustion, which pulls in low-radon 772

air from outside the home. 773

774

WATERBORNE RADON AND CANCER 775

The pores between the grains of soil and the cracks in rock usually contain a mixture 776

of air and water (Brady and Weil, 1996). Often, a radon atom will come to rest in the 777

water and remain there (Wilkening, 1990). In many homes in Virginia, domestic water is 778

drawn through a water well from underground sources. Surface water (e.g., from a water 779

reservoir) normally has radon concentrations too low to measure (less than 100 pCi/L), 780

but ground water tends to accumulate radon generated within the groundwater aquifer 781

(Hess et al., 1982; Nazaroff and Nero, 1988; Gosink et al., 1990; Mose and Mushrush, 782

1997a). Radium is also in groundwater, but because radium is not as soluble as radon, 783

the concentration of radon is usually 10-1,000 times the concentration of radium 784

dissolved in ground water (Milvy and Cothern, 1990; Mose et al., 1990; Mose and 785

Mushrush, 1997b). 786

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27

Waterborne radon enters the air in a home primarily as bursts of radon released into 787

the air by mechanical sprays during a shower or by the heating and agitation of water that 788

occur during laundering, washing, and cooking (Mose et al., 2005). All of these 789

contribute to an increase in indoor radon concentration. Hess et al. (1982) first reported 790

that indoor radon levels can be correlated with concentrations of radon in the water 791

supply, suggesting that in a typical home about 1 pCi of radon per liter would be added to 792

indoor air from the outgassing of water containing 10,000 pCi/L of radon. Many 793

subsequent studies have used this 1:10,000 ratio, though in small homes the ratio may be 794

as low as 1:100 (Mose et al., 2005) This can be a problem in Virginia homes where the 795

waterborne radon is sometimes as high as 10,000 pCi/L. 796

The ingestion of radon-enriched and RDP (radon decay product)-enriched water may 797

also be a serious health concern. Gosink et al. (1990) reported that radon ingested from 798

drinking well water is not rapidly eliminated by metabolic respiration and can remain in 799

the body for 12 hours depending on physical activity. During this time interval, radium, 800

radon, and RDPs carried by ingested water can move through the body and may produce 801

an effect at cancer prone sites (Mose and Mushrush, 1997b). 802

803

RADON IN VIRGINIA 804

According to Schumann (1993), the rock types and overlying soils that are most likely 805

to cause indoor radon problems in the U.S. are carbonaceous shales, sandstones, certain 806

fluvial sediments, phosphorites, carbonate rocks, uranium-rich granitic rocks, 807

metamorphic rocks of granitic origin, and sheared and faulted rocks. Those least likely to 808

produce indoor radon problems are marine quartz sandstone, non-carbonaceous shales 809

and siltstones, and silica-poor metamorphic and igneous rocks. However, localized 810

uranium deposits cause exceptions within all these categories and can produce high-radon 811

concentrations in homes. Within the Commonwealth of Virginia, the varied geology in 812

each of the geologic provinces creates different radon potentials, and these conditions are 813

examined further in the following text. 814

815

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28

Coastal Plain 816

The Coastal Plain of Virginia is underlain largely by fluvial and marine sediments that 817

date from the Cretaceous to the Late Holocene, and many of these sediments were 818

deposited in beach or near shore environments. Under these conditions, quartz (which 819

contains essentially no uranium) is chiefly the residual surviving product of the intense 820

mechanical and chemical weathering (Gundersen et al., 1992). The uranium-bearing 821

minerals are mostly dissolved and the uranium is carried away. This process is thought to 822

explain the general trend of low indoor radon readings in the Coastal Plain (i.e., most 823

houses tested in this area have concentrations of less than 4 pCi/L). Interestingly, some 824

small areas have shown high indoor radon, possibly due to accumulations of less-825

weathered river-deposited sediments. Higher values were also found in samples 826

originating from phosphatic fossil units and glauconitic sands in the Aqui, Brightseat, and 827

Calvert Formations in Maryland and Virginia (Otton, 1992). In one extreme example, the 828

Yorktown Formation had an average radon concentration of 1050 PCi/l, and Goodwin et 829

al. (1989) suggests that fossilized whale bones in the formation may be the source of the 830

radon. Additionally, heavy mineral deposits in the Virginia Coastal Plain have also 831

created localized high values of radon (Gundersen, 1993). 832

Mose and Mushrush (1987) first reported on the comparatively low indoor radon 833

measurements characteristic of the Coastal Plain in 1987. The US-EPA reports the 834

average indoor radon concentrations from 1986-1989 were <1 pCi/L for most parts of the 835

Outer Coastal Plain (Gundersen et al., 1992), and that indoor radon measurements from 836

the Inner Coastal Plain averaged 2.3 pCi/L. Earlier, Berquist et al. (1990) found similar 837

trends within Virginia in his study of radon potential with respect to geologic province, 838

finding that the probability of a house exceeding 4 pCi/l in the Coastal Plain is less than 839

10%. He attributed the fact that homes on the Outer Coastal Plain tend to have the lowest 840

indoor radon due to 1) the deep burial of uranium-bearing basement rocks as the clastic 841

wedge of sediments thickens to the east; and 2) the largely weathered nature of the 842

sediments residing in the Coastal Plain. In summary, it appears that with the exception of 843

localized elevated radon concentrations, the Coastal Plain has the lowest potential of the 844

provinces for radon. 845

846

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29

Piedmont and Blue Ridge Provinces 847

In contrast to the Coastal Plain, the complexity and varied geology found in the 848

Piedmont and Blue Ridge provinces creates a patchwork of high and moderate zones of 849

concentrated radon. The region is underlain by Proterozoic and Paleozoic igneous and 850

metamorphic rocks that have undergone differing levels of metamorphism and structural 851

deformation; and also include sedimentary and contact metamorphic rocks deposited or 852

emplaced during Mesozoic rifting. The literature originating from both Virginia and the 853

larger mid Atlantic region indicates that granites, pegmatites, and monazites have the 854

greatest propensity to contain trace amounts of uranium (e.g., Grauch and Zarinski 1976; 855

Mose and Mushrush, 1987; Gundersen and Wanty, 1991). In general, several known 856

localities exist in the province have elevated levels of radioactivity. These sites include 857

1) the inner Piedmont and Goochland Terrane; 2) plutons northwest of Fredericksburg 858

(Neuschel et al., 1971); and 3) the region near Spotsylvania (Neuschel, 1970) (Fig. 22). 859

Very high uranium concentrations have been documented in the Petersburg Granite near 860

Richmond (Baillieul and Dexter, 1982), the Maidens Gneiss of the Goochland Terrane 861

near Powhatan (Krason et al., 1988), the Old Rag Granite in Rappahannock County 862

(Baillieul and Daddazio, 1982), the Crozet Granite in Albemarle County (Baillieul and 863

Daddazio, 1982), and the Swanson Uranium deposit near Pittsylvania County (Halladay, 864

1987). Gundersen (1993) provides an excellent review on the numerous plutons 865

throughout the Commonwealth that also have elevated concentrations of uranium and the 866

potential for radon. 867

Regional metamorphism (heat, pressure, and chemically active fluids) can produce 868

conditions conducive to the segregation and concentration of radioactive minerals. 869

Within the Piedmont and Blue Ridge, the foliated metamorphic rocks, including phyllites, 870

schist and gneisses, have the potential to contain radioactive minerals (e.g., allanite, 871

monazite, zircon, and titanite). One of the best studied examples of the above conditions 872

is in northern Virginia, where researchers document very high aerial radioactivity, soil-873

gas radon, and indoor radon levels are associated with the Peters Creek Schist in Fairfax 874

County (Mose et al., 1988a,b; Otton et al., 1988; Schumann and Owen, 1988). 875

Additionally, sheared fault zones have been found to be generating high amounts of 876

radon. Mylonitization of the rock can increase the radon levels through 1) a volume loss 877

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30

and grain size reduction of uranium accessory minerals, thereby leaving the rock enriched 878

in uranium; and 2) the foliation imparted on the rock during shearing increases the 879

permeability, allowing the introduction of uraniferous fluids and gases into the shear zone 880

(Gundersen, 1991). Several Piedmont sites that report high radioactive anomalies or the 881

presence of uranium are in shear zones (e.g., Baillieul and Dexter, 1982; Halladay, 1987; 882

Gundersen, 1991) Additionally, some of the highest indoor radon concentrations 883

documented in the United States have been within shear zones (Gundersen et al., 1987, 884

1988; Smith et al., 1987; Henry et al., 1991). 885

Postdating the regional Paleozoic metamorphism of the Piedmont and Blue Ridge are 886

the rocks of the Mesozoic basins (Fig. 22). In numerous locations, these rocks, chiefly 887

siltstones, sandstones, and conglomerates, were transformed to uranium-enriched 888

hornfels when they were locally metamorphosed by igneous intrusions. When faulting 889

occurred as best seen in the Danville and Richmond basins, zones of high-uranium 890

mylonites were created (Gundersen, 1993). Particular geological units now known to be 891

higher than average in uranium include the Manassas Sandstone of the Culpepper Basin, 892

the Cow Branch Formation of the Danville Basin (Gundersen et al., 1992), and hornfels 893

in the Culpeper basin (Otton et al., 1988; Schumann and Owen, 1988). Also known as 894

high-uranium units are black shales in the Mesozoic basins (e.g., the Cow Branch 895

Member, the Balls Bluff Siltstone, the Catharpin Creek Formation, the Waterfall, Turkey 896

Run, and Midland Formations, the upper portions of the Danville basin lacustrine 897

sequence, and the Vinita Beds Member of the Tuckahoe Formation). All appear to have 898

locally elevated uranium (J.P. Smoot, USGS, oral comm.). 899

In general, the Inner Piedmont and Goochland Terrane subprovinces have the greatest 900

potential for radon (Fig. 22). Goodell (1989) reports that homes in the Piedmont have a 901

30% probability of high radon values, with local values exceeding 50% in homes located 902

in dark gray phyllites, graphite schists, slates, and hornfels, many of which likely fall 903

within these two subprovinces. Homes located in the Mesozoic basins have radon values 904

equivalent to the rest of the Piedmont (Goodell, 1989). 905

906

907

908

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31

Valley and Ridge and Appalachian Plateau Provinces 909

The rocks of the Valley and Ridge geologic province of Virginia include Paleozoic 910

sedimentary rocks dominated by the carbonates, shales, and sandstones that have been 911

folded and faulted. Similar are the rocks present in the Appalachian Plateau province, 912

with the addition of bituminous coal and a minimal amount of structural deformation to 913

the rocks. In both provinces, the dark shales and soils derived from carbonate and dark 914

shale bedrock show the highest concentrations of radon in the province (e.g., Schultz et 915

al., 1992; Gundersen, 1993). In general, most carbonate rocks have low concentrations of 916

uranium, but the residual soils developed from the underlying bedrock are commonly 917

elevated in uranium. Research by Schultz et al. (1992) in the Great Valley of West 918

Virginia suggest that the deepest, most mature soils have the highest radium and radon 919

concentrations, presumably from the dissolution of the carbonates and the concentration 920

of base metals, including uranium. Elevated concentrations of soil-gas radon have been 921

found in the Elbrook, Conococheague, and Beekmantown formations, all of which are 922

interbedded limestones and dolomites; and in soils underlain by the Martinsburg 923

Formation, characterized by zones of dark shales (Schultz et al., 1992). Gundersen 924

(1993) reports the findings of aerial radiometric data in Virginia (Texas Instruments 925

Incorporated, 1980), where uranium anomalies are associated with Devonian black shales 926

to which the Martinsburg belongs. Specifically, the anomalies were present in 1) the 927

sandstones and shales of the Chemung Formation; 2) shale and sandstone of the 928

Hampshire Formation; 3) sandstone, shale, and coal of the Pocono Formation; 4) 929

limestone and shale of the Greenbrier Group; and 5) with some of the Pennsylvanian 930

sandstones, shales, and coals, where the upper Devonian-Pennsylvanian sandstone units 931

in Virginia have only local areas of high radioactivity (Baillieul and Daddazio, 1982; 932

Gundersen, 1993). Additionally, the enlargement of fractures and cave systems would 933

likely increase the advection of radon, although Schultz et al. (1992) found no increase in 934

radon concentration with respect to proximity to fractures, joints, or faults in the Great 935

Valley. 936

The numerous studies listed previously indicate that some localities in the Valley and 937

Ridge contain some of the highest concentrations of radon in the Commonwealth. 938

Additionally, Goodell (1989) found the highest probabilities of radon exceeding the 939

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32

threshold value in the Valley and Ridge, where they average 50%, with values exceeding 940

70% in houses located on black or dark gray shales. In general, the US-EPA has 941

designated the Valley and Ridge as having a high potential for radon (Fig. 22). 942

943

RADON POTENTIAL MAPS FOR VIRGINIA 944

The preceding section illustrates the general usefulness of geologic maps for providing 945

a good first approximation of delineating areas that may have the presence of 946

radioactivity. However, the previous research mentioned shows the heterogeneity of 947

radon concentrations within a geologic province, and even within a specific rock 948

formation. These studies illustrate some of the shortcomings of only relying on geologic 949

maps or soil surveys for predicting the levels of radioactivity, as anomalies are often 950

missed. Several factors that limit the usefulness of geologic maps include 1) uranium is 951

usually not uniformly distributed in each geologic unit shown on maps; 2) generalized 952

geologic maps may not show fault zones, which can be enriched in uranium; 3) fault 953

zones may be soil covered and inconspicuous to bedrock mappers, leading to their 954

omission on geologic maps; and 4) the complexity of the soil physics that cannot be 955

measured by mapping. In short, geologic maps alone can, at best, be used to produce 956

generalized radon-risk maps. 957

Most radon potential maps such as those developed by the U.S. Geological Survey 958

(USGS) for the US-EPA are very dependent on geological maps. The US-EPA in 959

cooperation with the USGS published Open-File Report 93-292, titled Geologic Radon 960

Potential of EPA Region 3, which includes Virginia (Schumann, 1993). The purpose and 961

intended use of this report was 1) to help identify areas where states can target their radon 962

program resources; 2) to provide guidance in selecting the most appropriate building code 963

options for areas; and 3) to provide general information on radon and geology for each 964

state for federal, state, and municipal officials dealing with radon issues. In this report 965

(EPA Region 3), the radon potential map is based on countywide generalizations of the 966

bedrock geology. The map is also based on a database of indoor radon measurements to 967

verify the report’s conclusions. The EPA’s national indoor radon database consisted of 968

about 100,000 home-tests, of which about 1,100 measurements were from the 969

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33

Commonwealth of Virginia. The EPA map is also based on a consideration of 970

aeroradioactivity. 971

As a follow up to the USGS Geologic Radon Potential study, the US-EPA (2006) 972

published a series of Radon Zones Maps, including one for Virginia (Fig. 22). They 973

developed three tiers of potential radon zones derived from the results of their national 974

radon survey program in conjunction with the USGS. The zones show areas with a high, 975

an intermediate, or a low percentage of homes with an indoor radon problem (Fig. 22), 976

where: 977

• Zone 1 has the highest indoor radon potential and shows counties where untested 978

homes probably have an average indoor radon level greater than 4 pCi/L; 979

• Zone 2 has moderate indoor radon potential and shows counties where untested 980

homes probably have an average indoor radon level between 2 and 4 pCi/L; 981

• Zone 3 has the lowest indoor radon potential and shows counties where untested 982

homes probably have an average indoor radon level less than 2 pCi/L. 983

Homes possessing elevated levels of radon have been documented in all three zones; 984

and serves as a reminder that these maps are generalized and should only be used as a 985

first approximation of radon potential. These maps were only intended to aid in the 986

resource-allocation-decision-making-process of national, state, and local organizations as 987

radon-resistant building codes are implemented (US-EPA, 2006). 988

989

SUMMARY 990

The diversity of Virginia’s geology, geography, and climatic setting, when combined 991

with its rapidly increasing population, has created an environment prone to geologic 992

hazards. The primary hazards include lowlands flooding, landslides and debris flows in 993

steep terrain, subsidence from sinkholes in karst areas, and radon gas emissions into 994

homes. Nationwide, flooding is the leading weather-related killer in the U.S., costing an 995

average of $3.7 billion annually; and flooding is the cause of 90 percent of all natural 996

disaster damage, excluding agricultural losses due to drought. In Virginia, combined 997

flooding and landslides are responsible for the greatest loss of life and property in recent 998

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34

history. These hazards are created by the combination of 1) heavy and prolonged rainfall; 999

2) steep mountainous topography of the central Appalachians; and 3) the encroachment 1000

of human development onto these flood-prone landscapes. The hazard of sinkhole 1001

development is primarily found in terrain underlain by carbonate rock. Geomorphic 1002

processes active in karst result in subsidence, sinkhole flooding, and surface water 1003

recharge of groundwater aquifers. Human induced changes to the local hydrology can 1004

trigger and exacerbate subsidence, flooding, and groundwater contamination hazards. 1005

Successful mitigation and remediation of karst hazards require mitigation that address the 1006

karst processes. In addition to land surface processes, radon is also a risk in Virginia. 1007

Radon is a naturally occurring radioactive gas formed as a decay-product of uranium, a 1008

radioactive element that is a known human carcinogen. Radon may accumulate inside a 1009

home due to a number of factors, including rock and soil types, weather conditions, soil 1010

moisture levels, construction style of the home, and from negative air pressure inside a 1011

home. Radon is present in varying concentrations in nearly all rocks and soils throughout 1012

the U.S., but has a tendency to be highest in granitic rocks, dark marine shales and 1013

limestones, and environments that have been severely structurally deformed. All five 1014

geologic provinces contain specific formations that have elevated concentration of radon. 1015

The provinces of the Valley and Ridge, as well as the Piedmont show a greater propensity 1016

for high radon concentrations in homes. Current radon potential maps are useful as a first 1017

approximation for assessing radon concentrations, but more data of in-situ radon 1018

concentrations and detailed geologic mapping are necessary to assess the radon levels of 1019

individual dwellings. 1020

1021

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS 1022

Virginia Division of Geology and Mineral Resources colleague James A. Lovett 1023

graciously provided the photograph of the sinkhole associated with an underground 1024

gypsum mine. The authors express their appreciation for the helpful comments and 1025

suggestions offered on this manuscript by colleagues Christine May, Karen Hostettler, 1026

and William Lassetter. Funding for radiocarbon dates was provided by the U.S. 1027

Geological Survey. 1028

1029

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35

REFERENCES 1030 1031 Baillieul, A., and Daddazio, P.L., 1982, National Uranium Resource Evaluation of the 1032 Charlottesville quadrangle, Virginia and West Virginia: U. S. Department of Energy, 1033

National Uranium Resource Evaluation Report PGJ/F-114 (82), 46 p. 1034 1035 Baillieul, A., and Dexter, J.J., 1982, Evaluation of uranium anomalies in the Hylas zone 1036 and northern Richmond basin, east-central Virginia: in Goodknight, C.S., and Burger, 1037 J.A., eds., Reports on investigations of uranium anomalies: U. S. Department of 1038 Energy, National Uranium Resource Evaluation Report GJBX-222 (82). 97 p. 1039 1040 Beard, L.R., 1975, Generalized evaluation of flash flood potential. Austin: Univ. Texas 1041 Center Water Res. Tech. Rpt. CRWR-124., p. 1-27. 1042 1043 Bell, A.M., 1986, Morphology and stratigraphy of terraces in the upper Shenandoah 1044 Valley, Virginia: M.S. Thesis, West Virginia University, Morgantown, 160 p. 1045 1046 Berquist, C.R., Jr., Cooper, J.M., and Goodwin, B.K., 1990, Radon from Coastal Plain 1047 sediments, Virginia: Preliminary results: Geological Society of America, Abstracts 1048 with Programs, v. 22, no. 2, p. 4-5. 1049 1050 Berryhill, W.S., Jr., 1989, The impact of agricultural practices on water quality in karst 1051 regions, in Beck, B.F., ed., Engineering and Environmental Impacts of Sinkholes and 1052 Karst, Proc. Third Multidiscipinary Conference on Sinkholes and the Engineering and 1053 Environmental Impacts of Karst. St. Petersburg Beach, FL. A.A. Balkema, 1054 Rotterdam, p. 159-164. 1055

Boyer, D.G., and Pasquarell, G.C., 1994, Agricultural land use impacts on karst 1056 groundwater quality. American Water Resources Association, Proceedings of the 1057 Symposium on Effects of Human-Induced Changes on Hydrologic Systems, p. 791- 1058 799. 1059 1060 Boyer, D.G., and Pasquarell, G.C., 1999, Agricultural land use impacts on bacterial water 1061 quality in a karst groundwater aquifer. Journal of the American Water Resources 1062 Association, 35(2): 291-300. 1063 1064 Brady, N.C., and Weil, R.C., 1996, The nature and properties of soils: Prentice Hall, New 1065 Jersey. 1066 1067 Brookins, D., 1990, The indoor radon problem: Columbia University: New York. 1068 1069 Camp, J.D., and Miller, E.M., 1970, Flood of August, 1969 in Virginia: U.S. Geological 1070 Survey Water Resources Division Open-File Report, 120 p. 1071 1072 Carson, M.A., and Kirkby, M., 1972, Hillslope form and process. London: Cambridge 1073 University Press. 1074 1075

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UNSCEAR, [United Nations Scientific Committee on the Effects of Atomic Radiation], 1489 2000, Sources and Effects of Ionizing Radiation: United Nations Scientific Committee 1490 on the Effects of Atomic Radiation (UNSCEAR), 2000 Report to the General 1491 Assembly with Scientific Annexes: Set of two volumes. United Nations: June, 2001. 1492 1493 US-EPA, 2006, Radon (Rn) [Online]. November 17, 2006 [cited on November 20, 1494 2006].URL http://www.epa.gov/radon. 1495 1496 USGS, 2006, Flood Hazards: A National Threat, USGS Fact Sheet 2006-3026. 1497 http://landslides.usgs.gov/recent/archives/1997kinsey.php 1498 1499 USGS, 2007, Natural Hazards: A National Threat, USGS Fact Sheet 2006-3009. 1500 http://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/2007/3009/2007-3009.pdf 1501 1502 VDEM, (Virginia Department of Emergency Service), 2007, 1503 http://www.vaemergency.com/threats/flood/index.cfm 1504 1505 Wagoner, J.K., Archer, V.E, Lundin, F.E., Holaday, D.A., and Lloyd, J.W., 1965, 1506 Radiation as the cause of lung cancer among U.S. uranium miners: New England 1507 Journal of Medicine, v.273, p. 181-188. 1508 1509 Watts, C.F., and Whisonant, R.C., 1992, Slope stability problems along highway roadcuts 1510 in the Virginia Valley and Ridge Province: Geological Society of America Abstracts 1511 with Programs, v.24, no.2, p.72. 1512 1513 Wieczorek, G.F., Morgan, B.A., and Campbell, R.H., 2000, Debris-flow hazards in the 1514 Blue Ridge of central Virginia: Environmental and Engineering Geoscience, v. 6, p. 1515 3–23. 1516 1517 Wieczorek, G.F., Eaton, L.S., Yanosky, T.M., and Turner, E.J., 2006, Landslide activity 1518 along Meadow Run, Shenandoah Valley, Virginia, Journal of Landslides, v. 3, p. 95-1519 106. 1520 1521 Whittecar, G.R., and Duffy, D.L., 1992, Geomorphology and stratigraphy of Late 1522 Cenozoic alluvial fans, Augusta Co., Virginia, in Whittecar, G.R. (Editor), Alluvial 1523 Fans and Boulder streams of the Blue Ridge Mountains, west-central Virginia: 1524 Southeastern Friends of the Pleistocene, 1992 Field Trip, p. 79-112. 1525 1526 Whittecar, G.R., and Duffy, D.L, 2000, Geomorphology and stratigraphy of late 1527 Cenozoic alluvial fans, Augusta County, Virginia, U.S.A., Southeastern Geology, 1528 vol.39, no.3-4, p.259-279, Oct 2000 1529 1530 Wilkening, M., 1990, Radon in the Environment: Elsevier, New York. 1531 1532 1533 1534 1535

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Williams, G.P., and Guy, H.P., 1973, Erosional and depositional aspects of Hurricane 1536 Camille in Virginia, 1969: U.S. Geological Survey Professional Paper 804, 80 p. 1537 1538 Wilson, G.C., 1987, Debris flows and alluvial fan development in the Appalachians 1539 (M.S. Thesis), Southern Illinois University, Carbondale. 1540 1541 Winchester, P.W., Jr., 1985, Rockslide on Interstate 40 in North Carolina blocks both 1542 lanes approximately four miles from Tennessee-North Carolina state line, AEG 1543 Newsletter, vol.28, no.3, pp.16-18, Jul 1985. 1544 1545 Wolman, M.G., 1967, A cycle of sedimentation and erosion in urban river channels. 1546 Geogr. Annlr. 49-A:385-95. 1547 1548 Wolman, M.G., and Miller, J.P., 1960, Magnitude and frequency of forces in geomorphic 1549 processes: Journal of Geology, v. 68, p. 54–74. 1550 1551 Zhang, K., Douglas, B., Leatherman, S., 2002, Do storms cause long-term 1552 beach erosion along the U.S. east barrier coast?, Journal of Geology, vol.110, no.4, 1553 p.493-502, Jul 2002 1554 1555 1556 FIGURE CAPTIONS 1557 1558 Figure 1. Areas affected by debris-flow events in Virginia and West Virginia from 1949 1559 to 1996. 1—June 17–18, 1949, storm in western Virginia and eastern West Virginia; 2—1560 August 19–20, 1969, storm in western Nelson County, Virginia; 3—November 3–5, 1561 1985, storm in western Virginia and eastern West Virginia; 4—June 27, 1995 storm of 1562 the Blue Ridge Mountains. Site 4a corresponds to western Madison and Greene Counties; 1563 4b is western Albemarle; and 4c depicts eastern Rockbridge County. 1564

Figure 2. Flood envelope curve for United States, including discharge values 1565 for Hurricane Camille (Nelson County), the Rapidan Storm (Madison County), the 1949 1566 storm (western Virginia), and the 1985 storm (western Virginia and eastern West 1567 Virginia). 1568 1569 Figure 3. Rheologic classification of sediment-water flows. Vertical boundaries A, B, and 1570 C are rheologic thresholds, and are a function of grain size distribution (here assumed to 1571 be coarse, poorly-sorted mixture) and sediment concentration. Moving from left to right, 1572 boundary A marks onset of yield strength; boundary B marks sudden, rapid increase in 1573 yield strength that permits static suspension of gravel and onset of liquefaction behavior; 1574 boundary C marks cessation of liquefaction behavior. Horizontal velocity boundaries, 1575 also function of grain-size distribution and sediment concentration as well as particle 1576 density, are determined by how stress is transmitted between particles during flow (from 1577 Pierson and Costa, 1987) 1578 1579 Figure 4. Map of central Shenandoah Valley and Blue Ridge Mountains depicting 1580 dominant debris flow and alluvial fan types (indicated by arrows). 1581

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1582 Figure 5a. Topographic sketch map and longitudinal cross section of an alluvial fan in the 1583 Shenandoah Valley between Waynesboro and Elkton at One Mile Run basin. Evidence 1584 of the old age of this fan includes its being graded to a high terrace level and post-1585 depositional dissection. Erosion by the South Fork of the Shenandoah River has removed 1586 a significant portion of the northern toe of this fan. This can be seen clearly by comparing 1587 the two fan profiles. Fans appear to be of varying ages along the eastern Shenandoah 1588 Valley because others are graded to lower terrace levels. 1589 1590 Figure 5b. Schematic diagram of down-fan variation in facies in the fluvial dominated 1591 Shenandoah Valley fans. Thickness in the columns are not to scale, but the range of 1592 observed or inferred (from drillers’ logs) thicknesses are given in parentheses. Proximal 1593 fan facies are dominated by poorly-sorted, coarse-grained, angular-to-subangular 1594 bouldery material. Mid-fan facies contain interbedded sand and subrounded cobble 1595 gravel. Distal fan facies are dominated by cobble to granule gravels and well-stratified 1596 sheet sands. 1597 1598 Figure 6. (A) Bankful flow from Hurricane Isabel (2003) at Meadow Run near Grottoes; 1599 and (B) the resulting coarse grained braided stream pattern downstream of figure A. 1600 1601 Figure 7a. Stratigraphy and sedimentology of a debris fan along the North Prong of Davis 1602 Creek, Nelson County. A) Cross sections show irregular nature of 1969 deposits across 1603 fan, resulting from shifting loci of depositional lobes. Trends in variations in texture and 1604 matrix composition with depth are useful in determining boundaries between debris flow 1605 events. 1606 Figures 7B to 7E) Debris flow deposits exposed by the June 1995 storm in Madison 1607 County. Dashed lines shows boundary between two prehistoric debris flow deposits in 1608 photos B and D; and between saprolite and a debris flow unit in photo C. In photo E, the 1609 trowel easily penetrates a granitic clast of a debris flow deposit. 1610 1611 Figure 8: Debris flows and avalanches in Nelson County, Virginia, during 1969. A.) 1612 Flows deposited debris on small fans at the base of first-order hillslope channels near 1613 Lovingston. B.) Catastrophic erosion and impact forces from these flows removed some 1614 structures and devastated others (view from Davis Creek). Photos courtesy of Virginia 1615 Division of Mineral Resources. 1616 1617 Figure 9: Debris flows in Madison County, Virginia, from the 1995 storm. A) Two debris 1618 flows separated by 1.5 hours struck and moved a two story farm house; B) house was 1619 pushed forward by nearly 10 meters by the two events; C) large boulders deposited in 1620 1995 on the Generals fan, located 1 km northwest of Graves Mill. Arrow denotes person 1621 for scale. 1622 1623 Figure 10. A) Debris flow activity on Kirtley Mountain, western Madison County, 1624 Virginia, following Madison County 1995 storm. Debris-flow activity affected and 1625 denuded numerous low-order drainages. Arrows denote houses for scale. Dashed line 1626 denotes upper margins of debris fans. B) Surficial mapping of the Graves Mill area 1627

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(Eaton et al., 2001). Landforms on the simplified map are denoted as debris fans (df), 1628 terraces (t), and floodplains (fp). The letter ‘X’ marks the location of the dwelling 1629 destroyed in 1995 and is shown in figure 9b. 1630 1631 Figure 11. Ages of 11 debris flows in the upper Rapidan basin. Recurrence of debris 1632 flows was approximately every 2500 years (Eaton, 1999). The small circles represent 1633 samples from debris flow deposits, and their respective dates are listed in the table. Each 1634 vertical dashed line is interpreted as a discrete debris flow event. 1635 1636 Figure 12. A.) Cripple Creek, located in Nelson County, is typical of many first- and 1637 second-order tributaries in the Blue Ridge Mountains of Virginia. Note the abundance of 1638 cobbles and boulders. B.) An unnamed tributary of the upper Rapidan River denuded to 1639 bedrock and purged of nearly all boulders following the Madison County storm. 1640 1641 Figure 13. Schematic cross sections showing influence of bedrock structural 1642 characteristics on debris avalanche scar morphology. A.) Planar surfaces, where foliation 1643 and hillslope orientation are nearly normal. In these cases, failures were characterized by 1644 spalling of thin layers of bedrock along joint surfaces normal to slope. B.) Stepped 1645 surfaces, where foliation planes intersected hillslopes at small acute angles. These 1646 differences can be seen along the track of a single debris flow scar if its trend changes 1647 significantly downslope. 1648 1649 Figure 14. Topographic and structural controls of debris flows at Kirtley Mountain, 1650 Madison County. Note the dominant failure pattern to the southeast. 1651 1652 Figure 15. Figure 15. A) Rapidan River, 1 km downstream of Graves Mill during 1653 recession of the June 27, 1995 flood. Arrow denotes the remnants of the State Route 676 1654 bridge (view is upstream). Note the braided pattern of the channels emerging from the 1655 recession of the flow. B) This pattern resumed again during Hurricane Fran (Sept. 1996). 1656 The system has been repeatedly anthropogenically modified to a single narrow channel, 1657 and continues to be unstable. 1658 1659 Figure 16. Avulsion of Rapidan River at the State Route 676 bridge shortly after stream 1660 restoration in 2002. 1661 1662 Figure 17. A collapse sinkhole that formed during a rainfall event in Austinville, 1663 Virginia in September, 1989. 1664 1665 Figure 18. Sinkhole flooding that extended over part of a blind valley near Harrisonburg, 1666 Virginia after a rainfall event in October, 1996. 1667 1668 Figure 19a. A collapse sinkhole that formed above an underground limestone mine near 1669 Lowmoor, Virginia prior to 1990. 1670 1671 Figure 19b. A large collapse sinkhole that formed above an underground gypsum mine 1672 in Plasterco, Virginia in November, 1984. 1673

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1674 Figure 20. A collapse sinkhole that formed over coalfield workings in the Richmond 1675 basin, Virginia in January 2007, (DMME photograph). 1676 1677 Figure 21. Geologic provinces of Virginia (after Gundersen, 1993). Gray areas indicate 1678 Mesozoic basins. Numbers indicate descending levels of radon potential (after US-EPA, 1679 2006). 1680

1681

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Figure 1. 1682 1683

1684 1685 1686 Figure 2. 1687

0.1

1

10

100

1000

10000

100000

0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 1000000 10000000

Dis

char

ge (m

3 /s)

Basin Area (km2)

USA Flood Maxima

Rapidan River, Madison Co., 1995

Tye River, Nelson Co., 1969

North River, Rockingham Co., 1949

Upper Potomac Basin, 1985

1688 1689 1690

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1691 Figure 3. 1692 1693

1694 1695 Figure 4. 1696 1697

1698 1699

1700

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Figure 5. 1701 1702

1703 1704 Figure 6. 1705 1706

1707 1708 1709 1710 1711 1712 1713 1714 1715 1716 1717 1718

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Figure 7. 1719

1720 1721 Figure 8. 1722 1723

1724 1725 1726

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Figure 9. 1727 1728

1729 1730 Figure 10. 1731

1732 1733

1734

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1735 Figure 11. 1736 1737

1738 1739 Figure 12. 1740 1741

1742 1743 1744 1745 1746

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Figure 13. 1747

1748 1749 Figure 14. 1750

1751 1752

1753 1754 1755 1756 1757 1758

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1759 1760 Figure 15. 1761 1762

1763 1764 1765 Figure 16. 1766 1767

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1768 1769 1770 1771 1772 Figure 17: 1773 1774

1775 1776 1777 1778 1779 1780 1781 1782 1783 1784 1785 1786

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1787 Figure 18. 1788 1789

1790 1791 Figure 19. 1792 1793

1794

1795 1796 1797 1798

1799

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Figure 20. 1800

1801 1802 1803 1804

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Figure 21. 1805 1806

1807 1808 1809 Figure 22. 1810 1811

1812 1813 END OF FIGURES. 1814