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September 2014
Passenger Traffic Flow Development
Total Scheduled Revenue Passenger-Kilometers To/From and Intra Regions (trillions)
2 Source: Boeing Current Market Outlook 2013-2033, IATA Industry Financial Forecast March 2014
Total Revenue (2014F)
745 Billion USD (2013 -2014 5.3% growth)
Schd. Passenger (2014F)
3.3 Billion
(2013 -2014 5.6% growth)
RPK (2014F)
6.1 Trillion
(2013 -2014 5.8% growth)
2033 2013
2,0
4,6
2,2
7,4
2,0
3,9
0,6
1,9
0,3
0,9 0,6
2,2
Europe Asia Pacific North America Latin America Africa Middle East
International Passenger Growth
3
Africa
Asia - Pasific
Europe
Latin America Middle East
North America
Average
0
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2.500
2,5% 3,0% 3,5% 4,0% 4,5% 5,0% 5,5% 6,0% 6,5%
20
31
Pas
sen
ger
Nu
mb
er
2011-2031 Annual Average Growth (CAGR)
International Passenger Growth Regionally (2011 - 2031)
*The diameter of spheres show extra passenger number in 2031 compare to 2011
• Although growth rate of international passengers at European airports will be lower than the rest of the world, Europe will still have the biggest international passenger share.
Source: ACI 2012-2031 Traffic Forecast
4
Regional Aviation Market & Economic Growth
RPK: Revenue Passenger Km * Europe except Turkey (a forecast value)
Source: Boeing Current Outlook 2013-2032
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
LatinAmerica
Asia Pasific Middle East Africa World CIS NorthAmerica
Europe* Turkey
4,0%
4,5%
3,8%
4,4%
3,2% 3,4%
2,5%
1,8%
4,3%
6,9%
6,3% 6,3%
5,7%
5,0%
4,5%
2,7%
4,1%
6,0%
GDP Growth (2013-2032) RPK Growth (2013-2032)
World RPK Growth
World GDP Growth
5
Turkish Aviaiton Market Growth
Source: General Directorate of State Airports Authority (DHMI).
Total Passengers (million)
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014F
29 36 44 50 54 63 65 79 89 98 111 124
4 6 10 14 16 18 21 26 30 33 38
44 25
30 34
36 38
45 44
53
59 65
73
80
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014F
Domestic International
2004 – 2014: CAGR=13%
Geographic centre of gravity of departing/arriving/connecting passengers per city
Until recently, the airline industry was
viewed as the center of Europe
Traffic as month of September; estimates for historic passenger derived from offered seats; respective centres of gravity as median of city coordinates weighted by passenger traffic
Source: Airbus Global Market Forecast 2012
Driving The Center Of Gravity Of Traffic To The South And East
After 2020, the industry will move to the center to the East
Cities,like Istanbul, Doha, Abu Dhabi and Dubai, will play a key role as
centers of the new attraction
6
-4%
2%
-2%
14%
6% 6%
4%
2%
-1%
9%
6% 5%
5% 6% 6%
-3%
15% 15%
19% 19%
13% 17%
19%
23%
27%
23% 19%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014June
World RPK Growth THY RPK Growth
Log. (World RPK Growth) Log. (THY RPK Growth)
Aviation Market
RPK Growth %
13p
2003 – 2013 Passenger Growth Rates
Next 20 years, World passenger traffic (RPK) growth
rate %4.7 Population growth rate %0.9 Source: IATA, Airbus GMF 2013
7
76%
258%
363%
world tr tk
8
World Passenger Market Share Development – ASK
Source: World AKK from 2002-2013 is from IATA data. Airline AKK values from 2002-2012 are from IATA Wats reports. Airline AKK for 2013 are from official websites of airlines and 2014 data are forecasted based on innovata data for August 2014 given in Air Transport News.
World Largest Airlines’ Market Share in terms of ASK 2014 Jan-August Market Share
4,7% 4,4% 4,2% 3,3% 3,0% 2,7% 2,4% 2,4% 2,3% 2,2% 2,1% 1,8% 1,8% 1,7%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
UnitedAirlines
Delta AirLines
Emirates AmericanAirlines
SouthwestAirlines
ChinaSouthernAirlines
Air China Lufthansa BritishAirways
Air France ChinaEasternAirlines
QantasAirways
TurkishAirlines
CathayPacific
Airways
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 August
9
Turkish Airlines Global Passenger Market Share Development
Source: World traffic values are from IATA reports.
0,6% 0,5% 0,5% 0,6% 0,7% 0,7%
0,8%
0,9% 1,0%
1,2%
1,4%
1,6%
1,9%
0,4%
0,7%
1,0%
1,3%
1,6%
1,9%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F
% of World Scheduled Traffic (ASK)
% of World Scheduled Traffic (ASK)
ASK Share
5 5 6 7 9 10 11 12 14 15 16 20
26
5 5 6 7
8 10
12 13
16 18
23
28
33
10,3 10,4 11,9 14
16,9 19,7
22,6 25,1
29,1 32,7
39
48,1
59,5
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014B
Domestic International Total
10
Turkish Airlines Passenger Numbers
2004 – 2014: CAGR=17% X
1 m
illion
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014B
759 786 1.022 941 1,130 1,114 1,563 2,229
3,129
4,445 5,147
6.238
8,976
11.597
14.185
Transfer Passengers
International to international transfer passengers accounted for %41 of international passengers (2013).
%22
11
2000 – 2005: CAGR= 8%
2005 – 2013: CAGR=34%
X 0
00
Int'l-Int'l Transfer
24%
Int'l-Dom Transfer
10%
Int'l Direct 25%
Domestic 41%
Split of Total Passenger
* The diameter of the sphere illustrates total annual passenger number
Network Development
12
2005 14m
2006 17 m
2007 20 m
2008 23 m
2009 25 m
2010 29 m
2011 33 m
1.000
3.000
5.000
7.000
9.000
11.000
90 110 130 150 170 190 210 230 250 270
# o
f La
nd
ings
Destinations
2014 B
60 million pax
2012 39 m
2013 48 m
2003, 2004 10m
Global Rankings (Network Size)
TK is flying to more countries than
any other airline in the world
TK is the 4 th largest airline in
terms of network size
TK is flying to more international
destination than any other airline in the
world
1 4 1
13
108 Country
218 International Destinations
263 Destinations in the World
* Rankings are based on OAG data from April 2014
14
İZMİR
ESKİŞEHİR
ANKARA
KONYA
ANTALYA
DENİZLİ
BODRUM
DALAMAN
NEVŞEHİR
SİVAS
KAYSERİ
ADANA
ADIYAMAN
G.ANTEP
DİYARBAKIR
MALATYA ELAZIĞ
ERZİNCAN
TRABZON
SAMSUN
ERZURUM
KARS
AĞRI
VAN
MUŞ
BATMAN
MARDİN Ş.URFA
K.MARAŞ
SİNOP
MERZİFON
HATAY
BALIKESİR
İSTANBUL
İSTANBUL
IĞDIR
KÜTAHYA
ISPARTA
TEKİRDAĞ
KASTAMONU
BİNGÖL
ŞIRNAK
HAKKARİ
KOCAELİ
ÇANAKKALE
Destinations in Turkey
Africa
2002 THY Network (4 Destinations)
Planned (7 Destinations)
2003 - 2014 (38 New Destinations)
AFRICA
Europe
18
KATANYA
KASSEL
MUNSTER
VARNA
PISA
EUROPE
2002 THY Network (40 Destinations)
Planned (5 Destinations)
2013 - Current (40 New Destinations)
19
America
20
AMERICA
2002 THY Network (2 Destinations)
Planned (6 Destinations)
2003 - 2014 ( 8 New Destinations)
Middle East
22 Planned (2 Destinations)
2003 - 2014 (23 New Destinations)
2002 THY Network (11 Destinations)
MIDDLE EAST
Far East
24
2002 THY Network 18 Destinations
Planned (3 Destinations)
2003 - 2014 (33 New Destinations)
FAR EAST
25
Turkish Airlines’ World
Country Destination
DOMESTIC 1 45
INTERNATIONAL 107 218
EUROPE 41 101
FAR EAST 21 31
MIDDLE EAST 14 34
AFRICA 27 42
NORTH AMERICA 2 8
SOUTH AMERICA 2 2
108 COUNTRY
263 DESTINATION
26
O&D Opportunities
Africa O&D Pair
Africa – Europe 4242
Africa – Domestic 1932
Africa – Middle East 1428
Africa – Far East 1302
Africa – America 420
Africa – Total 9324
Far East O&D Pair
Far East – Europe 3131
Far East – Domestic 1426
Far East – Africa 1302
Far East – Middle East 1054
Far East – America 310
Far East - Total 7223
Middle East O&D Pair
Middle East – Europe 3434
Middle East – Domestic 1564
Middle East – Africa 1428
Middle East – Far East 1054
Middle East- America 340
Middle East – Total 7820
67 84 83 105 109 124 138 159 181 204
349
17 18 17
18 20 29
35 36
43
54
79
1 1 2
4 4 5
6 7
9
9
7
85 103
102 127 133
158 179
202 233 267
435
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014B 2021
Cargo Wide Narrow
%24 %1 %15 %5 %19
%13 %15 %14 %25 %58
Fleet Development
27
Seat Capacity
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 CAGR
12k 15k 28k 51k 79k 14 %
Fleet Group A/C Orders
Wide Body A330 13
B777 18
Narrow Body
A320 CEO/NEO 117
B737 NG/MAX 95
B737-900ER 5
Total 248
248 A/C Orders
Cargo Development
Leading cargo carrier in total export and import
cargo in Turkey.
As from April 2014, operates 49 destinations with its 3 A310-300 and 6 A330-200F freighters.
In 2013, 565,000 ton cargo were carried.
28
6 6th largest cargo
carrier of Europe in total carried cargo
ton km
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
115 126 145 161 201
274 334
422
518
30 33 39 38
36
39
37
40
47
Cargo (ton)
Domestic International22%
Cargo(ton) 2013 July 2014 July
Domestic 27,099 29,809
International 284,973 349,164
10%
22%
X1
00
0
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 6M 2013 6M 2014
09
:08
09
:15
10
:21
10
:31
11
:13
11
:40
11
:39
12
:02
11
:40
12
:14
12
:40
12
:28
12
:55
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 6M 2013 6M 2014
94
5
1.0
16
1.0
94
1.2
71
1.3
23
1.5
16
1.6
06
1.6
44
1.7
01
1.8
26
2.0
43
2.0
84
1.0
67
1.0
89
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 6M 2013 6M 2014
10
23
9
10
95
6
11
12
1
12
80
7
12
95
1
14
07
2
15
26
9
17
11
9
17
87
6
19
10
8
23
16
0
20
98
9
24
06
6
29
Operating Efficiency
Passenger per Employee
* Technic A.S., HABOM ve MNG Technic are included.
Average Daily Flight Utilization (hrs)
2%
Number of Personnel* 14,6%
3,6%
Global Rankings (Quality)
4 star airline in all services
Catering
The best airline for in-flight food
(according to Skyscanner)
Winner of Air Transport World-Market
Leadership Award’11
Market Leader
1 Best Airline in Europe
Global Rankings (Quality)
31
4 year in a row BEST AIRLINE IN EUROPE (2014)
Airline of the Year Award (CAPA ,2013)
Best Business Class Catering in the World
Best Business Class Catering in Lounge in the World
Sponsorships and Commercials
32
33
CIP Lounge
Star Alliance Member
34
35
36
Geographical Advantage
Within narrow body range;
70% of international destinations,
More than 55 countries
* Size of bubbles shows the traffic volume
Advantages / Geographical Location
The advantage is to become a global hub of Istanbul
Istanbul is in the middle of Europe, Middle East and Asia regions with high volume of traffic and growth rate.
37
Top 20 busiest airport (International Traffic)
~%17
Detour distance advantage from Europe
~%10
~%6
0,00
5,00
10,00
15,00
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800
Unit Cost– Flight Time Change
CA
SK
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Hour
38
İstanbul
Third Airport
3rd Bridge
Atatürk International Airport
Black Sea
Sabiha Gökçen
Istanbul
39
76.5 km2 Area
500 Aircraft Park Positions
6 Runways
4 Terminals
150 million
PASSENGERS CAPACITY (Phase4)
A candidate for 3rd Biggest (After Phase 1) & Biggest (After All Phases) in the World
3rd Airport In Istanbul
40
Taking Out Non-physical Barriers
• Maximizing the operations, services and limited recourses in member
countries
• Economies of Scale : The more the supplies - The less Costs
• Increasing propensity to travel within the member states
Reduce Non-infrastructural Barriers
• Remove frequency and capacity restrictions
Visa Requirements
• Transit travel via Turkey: NO VISA required for available Schengen, UK
and/or USA visa.
• E-visa is ready within 2 hours after application
• NO VISA required for stop-overs up to 72 hours.
• Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Turkey has been striving in principle, for
reciprocally exemption of visas between Turkey and other countries.
Increasin
g Trade an
d Travel b
etween
OIC
C
ou
ntries
Barriers in Member States & Recommendations