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Security marking: PUBLIC
Generation Covid:A confidence and contact challenge
Sander Kristel - @SKristel1Chief Operations Officer UCAS
Security marking: PUBLIC
Pre-CovidContext
Who is ‘the applicant’?▪ 58% of 18 year old UK applicants hold
3 or more A levels.
▪ 13% of UK applicants disclose a disability or
mental health condition.
▪ 13% of applicants are aged 25 and over.
▪ 12% of UK 18 and 19 year old applicants are
from FE colleges.
▪ 14% of accepted applicants are placed
through Clearing.
▪ 20% of applicants are from outside the UK.
▪ 29% of applicants are from POLAR4 Q1 and Q2.
▪ 19,600 apply directly to Clearing.
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2019 cycle (end of cycle)
541,240 applicants placed
34.1% of UK 18 year olds accepted
26,435 POLAR Q1 applicants accepted
– a record high, gap continues to close slowly
Record numbers of Asian and Black
18 year old applicants accepted
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2020: “There has never been a better time to apply to HE”
Around 1/3 of UK
18 year olds enter HE each year.
UK 18 year olds make up
around 45% of HE
entrants each year.
2020: The best year yet for WP?
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68,680 students applied for courses
with a 15 October deadline, +4%
35,290 UK 18 year olds applied, +5%
2,350 POLAR Q1 applied, +8% (a new record)
98%of applicants have concerns
about starting university in autumn
Q5. Which of the following, if any, are you personally worried about?
Base: All respondents (522) May 11th 2020
Covid: The confidence crisis
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77%of applicants have been personally
impacted by Coronavirus
The lasting impact…
Q6. Young people like yourself may have been impacted by Coronavirus in different ways. Which of the following, if any, have impacted you as a result of Coronavirus?
Base: All respondents (519)
69%
23% 22%
13%7% 5% 3%
Personal or familyfinancial/job
problems
Personal mentalhealth problems
Moreresponsibilities at
home e.g. caring forothers
Family mentalhealth problems
Family physicalhealth problems
Personal physicalhealth problems
I have lost a lovedone to Coronavirus
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Applicants need a lot of different reassurances this year
Q5. Young people like yourself, may have some worries about starting university in Autumn due to social distancing. Which of the following, if any, are you personally worried about?
Base: All respondents (522) May 11th 2020
43%42%
33%32%
29%29%
22%16%16%
13%11%
7%2%2%
Missing out on the real university…
Not having access to university facilities
Not having a fresher’s week
Not having a summer job before…
Not having access to academic staff
Not getting my first-choice…
Something else
% who ranked each in their top 3 worries
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Biggest concern is having to learn online
% who ranked each 1st in their top 3 worries
19%
15%13%
10%
Having to learnonline
Missing out onthe real university
experience
Having to learn athome
Being at adisadvantageacademically
Q5. Young people like yourself, may have some worries about starting university in Autumn due to
social distancing. Which of the following, if any, are you personally worried about?
Base: All respondents (522) May 11th 2020
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What we heard….
Of those who have changed their mind…
Q4. In the last week, have you changed any of your decisions about university?
Base: All respondents (506)
are sitting their exams in the Autumn
have changed their firm/insurance
choices
have changed their list of preferred
universities
have decided not to go to university
are deferring a year
are redoing the year
5% 3% 2%
1% 1% 1%
'I have not been able to visit my firm choice university so as it stands I am not confident that it can really be my firm choice.'
'I want to stay more local.'
'Different universities have courses that are more suited for distance learningthan others.'
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30%of year 12 report zero hours
contact during lockdown
Q5. Which of the following, if any, are you personally worried about?
Base: All respondents (522) May 11th 2020
Covid: The confidence crisis
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Year 12s: How much contact time are you getting with your teachers?
(Zoom calls, online classes, email)
Survey 15,000 Year 12s: Motivation
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Year 12s: What help would you find most useful?
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Expanded information and advice
Our Covid experience
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Coordinating announcements Ofqual, Government, OFS, UUK, British Council, SQA…
Supporting stabilityExtending deadlinesData led decisionsStudent first approach
Going social: FB Live sessionsBBC Bitesize content80% increase in social interactionsPromotion of HEP virtual events
Services: No service interruption, despite furlough of workforce and 100% remote workingCovid links in Search
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Covid information and advice
Year 13 Year 12
▪ Weekly Facebook Lives: reaching over 1m in a month
▪ Collaborating with Brightside, NEON and others to target WP
▪ Expand Unibuddy on UCAS.com
▪ Free lesson plans for advisers to guide the Year 12 through the research process
▪ Live Q and A in the UCAS Hub
▪ New virtual events programme
▪ Short Autumn events series
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Applicant domicile
2019 cycle 2020 cycle Total changeProportional
change
UK 408,220 410,420 +2,200 +1%
EU 36,700 34,530 -2,160 -6%
Outside EU 49,610 55,380 +5,770 +12%
Total 494,530 500,340 5,810 +1%
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Looking to the future –June 18 deadline
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Looking to the future –June 18 deadline: Polar
POLAR4 quintile
2019 cycle 2020 cycle Total changeProportional
change
1 26,320 27,430 +1,110 +4%
2 35,630 36,870 +1,240 +3%
3 44,840 45,310 +460 +1%
4 54,910 55,940 +1,040 +2%
5 77,580 79,530 +1,960 +3%
Clearing 2020: key dates
Clearing opens
6 July
SQA results (no later than)
4 August
JCQ Results (08:00embargo)
Adjustment opens
13 August
Clearing vacancy information closes
30 September
Last date to add a Clearing choice
20 October
Unplaced students in Clearing can view a list of courses they've personally been matched to in Track – alongside our search tool which will still have over 30,000 course options.
▪ From too much choice to informed choice.
▪ Matches are unique – we match a students application to the students universities and colleges tell us they're looking for.
▪ The most relevant matches will appear at the top.
▪ Students can browse options they might not have originally considered.
▪ Students are in control
Clearing Plus
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Thank you
Sander Kristel - @SKristel1Chief Operations Officer UCAS